UFC Fight Night 25: Battle on the Bayou
- Thread starter BUCSnotYUCKS
- Start date
you certainly do live in the land of unicorns and faeries,don`t you spongy......do you make this may excuses in your personal life?...
- Oct 8, 2010
- 625
- 5
- 0
quick look i really liked Belcher but those odds are insane for a guy coming off of retina surgery. Belcher is a really tough tough guy with a granite chin. More of a brawler but man coming off an injury like that and almost a three to one favorite no thanks. Before the eye surgery i might take a shot but Mac (Nuts and Six Fives favorite fighter) might be worth the play here. Jake E i love if he fights Shields with and attitude. If he goes in there giving Shields all kinds of respect then this goes the distance and Shields is the poster boy of gift decisions.
Nuts and Six Five do u guys have any opinion on the Belcher/McDonald fight? :142smilie
Nuts and Six Five do u guys have any opinion on the Belcher/McDonald fight? :142smilie
again,injuries have turned a card into a clusterfuck(at least the undercard)...so many un-ufc worthy guys.....i spent a little time the other night watching dsome guys on youtube that i wasn`t very familiar with......and i`m still having a hard time finding something interesting in the prelims....
maybe tall baczynski a medium play at -145...without a ton of confidence....i`m reaching...
stone looks like the better fighter,but coming off back-to-back stoppages?.....and is naturally smaller...
dunham and lopez look superior...but the odds reflect it....peralta is mostly a stand-up guy vs a grapplwer in lullo...neither guy a world beater...
stumpf is scrappy but waldburger has been in much tougher....i would play waldburger in a par but wouldn`t ever lay -240....
leaning mcgee but yang has a real punchers chance early.....longer it goes,the easier it gets for mcgee.....
so far:
-baczynski -145 medium...
-3-way par with shields/dunham and belcher laying 1 to win 1.75...(belcher has home court)...
leaning mcgee but yang has a real punchers chance early.....longer it goes,the easier it gets for mcgee.....
tough card to bet with conviction,imo......
maybe tall baczynski a medium play at -145...without a ton of confidence....i`m reaching...
stone looks like the better fighter,but coming off back-to-back stoppages?.....and is naturally smaller...
dunham and lopez look superior...but the odds reflect it....peralta is mostly a stand-up guy vs a grapplwer in lullo...neither guy a world beater...
stumpf is scrappy but waldburger has been in much tougher....i would play waldburger in a par but wouldn`t ever lay -240....
leaning mcgee but yang has a real punchers chance early.....longer it goes,the easier it gets for mcgee.....
so far:
-baczynski -145 medium...
-3-way par with shields/dunham and belcher laying 1 to win 1.75...(belcher has home court)...
leaning mcgee but yang has a real punchers chance early.....longer it goes,the easier it gets for mcgee.....
tough card to bet with conviction,imo......
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- Oct 8, 2010
- 625
- 5
- 0
The entertainment value on this card looks to be really shitty. I don't think it's a coincidence that this card is on spike, on the same night as the mayweather bout.
Disappointed with the odds on Dunham, only value as a parlay stuffer.
I'm liking Koch alot, but was hoping for some better odds. I don't think zuffa is behind brookins here, terrible fight for him after a long layoff and drop in weight class. They handed Micheal Johnson a complete gift for his first fight. :shrug:
Leaning a little towards Clay Harvison as well, might be some value there, he caught a huge break when Demarques Johnson pulled out.
Disappointed with the odds on Dunham, only value as a parlay stuffer.
I'm liking Koch alot, but was hoping for some better odds. I don't think zuffa is behind brookins here, terrible fight for him after a long layoff and drop in weight class. They handed Micheal Johnson a complete gift for his first fight. :shrug:
Leaning a little towards Clay Harvison as well, might be some value there, he caught a huge break when Demarques Johnson pulled out.
MMA Record (since UFC 58)
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 41-79
Fighter vs. Fighter 285-437
Parlays 118-186
+8.53 Joe Rogans
Jake Ellenberger beat Jake Shields $2.70 (+170) *1.5 Joe Rogans
Jason MacDonald:canada1 beat Alan Belcher $3.35 (+235) *1 Joe Rogan
Mike Lullo beat Robert Peralta $2.50 (+150) *1 Joe Rogan
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 41-79
Fighter vs. Fighter 285-437
Parlays 118-186
+8.53 Joe Rogans
Jake Ellenberger beat Jake Shields $2.70 (+170) *1.5 Joe Rogans
Jason MacDonald:canada1 beat Alan Belcher $3.35 (+235) *1 Joe Rogan
Mike Lullo beat Robert Peralta $2.50 (+150) *1 Joe Rogan
Weigh In Results.................
* Jake Ellenberger (170) vs. Jake Shields (171)
* Court McGee (184.5) vs. Dongi Yang (186)
* Jonathan Brookins (145.5) vs. Erik Koch (146)
* Alan Belcher (186) vs. Jason MacDonald (185)
* Cody McKenzie (155.5) vs. Vagner Rocha (155.5)
* Shamar Bailey (156) vs. Evan Dunham (156)
* Lance Benoist (170.5) vs. Matt Riddle (171)
* Ken Stone (136) vs. Donny Walker (135.5)
* Seth Baczynski (171) vs. Clay Harvison (170)
* Mike Stumpf (171) vs. T.J. Waldburger (171)
* Mike Lullo (146) vs. Robert Peralta (145.5)
* Justin Edwards (171) vs. Jorge Lopez (171)
* Jake Ellenberger (170) vs. Jake Shields (171)
* Court McGee (184.5) vs. Dongi Yang (186)
* Jonathan Brookins (145.5) vs. Erik Koch (146)
* Alan Belcher (186) vs. Jason MacDonald (185)
* Cody McKenzie (155.5) vs. Vagner Rocha (155.5)
* Shamar Bailey (156) vs. Evan Dunham (156)
* Lance Benoist (170.5) vs. Matt Riddle (171)
* Ken Stone (136) vs. Donny Walker (135.5)
* Seth Baczynski (171) vs. Clay Harvison (170)
* Mike Stumpf (171) vs. T.J. Waldburger (171)
* Mike Lullo (146) vs. Robert Peralta (145.5)
* Justin Edwards (171) vs. Jorge Lopez (171)
i could be wrong(because that fricking ufc site is harder to decipher than a david lynch movie),but they may be playing the weigh-in at 8:30........
i`d rather wipe my ass with a chain saw than poke around on that site.....
man, am i computer illiterate.... :lol:
i`d rather wipe my ass with a chain saw than poke around on that site.....
man, am i computer illiterate.... :lol:
heres the link...i hope it`s appreciated.....i went through hell to get it....sort of....:grins:
http://www.ufc.com/news/Official-UFC-Fight-Night-25-Weigh-In-Results
what i noticed....shemar bailey was cut and looked super strong compared to dunham...another dunham loss and ????
walker looked bigger and heavier than stone
dongi yang in great shape...another huge guy at the weight...
koch looks like a cross between an alien and something from "the hills have eyes"...the guy has no f-cking ears....brookins looked gaunt afyer cutting to 145...making me reconsider my "goes the distance" prop....
jorge lopez has very,very polished stand-up and should handle edwards....
lullo looked strong and his ground game just might give peralta real problems.....
shields looked a good deal bigger than ellenberger...that surprised me a bit....
http://www.ufc.com/news/Official-UFC-Fight-Night-25-Weigh-In-Results
what i noticed....shemar bailey was cut and looked super strong compared to dunham...another dunham loss and ????
walker looked bigger and heavier than stone
dongi yang in great shape...another huge guy at the weight...
koch looks like a cross between an alien and something from "the hills have eyes"...the guy has no f-cking ears....brookins looked gaunt afyer cutting to 145...making me reconsider my "goes the distance" prop....
jorge lopez has very,very polished stand-up and should handle edwards....
lullo looked strong and his ground game just might give peralta real problems.....
shields looked a good deal bigger than ellenberger...that surprised me a bit....
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Well I had already played Ellenberger. However in the weigh in pics (I not seen the video yet) he looks a LOT smaller than shields. I wonder how Shields performs after the recent death of his father. Sometimes that can motivate you more - see Freeman over Mir.
Got Macdonald against Belcher to go under 1.5 rounds
Also took a no submission of the night to be awarded at +1500
Got Macdonald against Belcher to go under 1.5 rounds
Also took a no submission of the night to be awarded at +1500
MMA Record (since UFC 58)
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 41-79
Fighter vs. Fighter 285-437
Parlays 118-186
+8.53 Joe Rogans
Jake Ellenberger beat Jake Shields $2.70 (+170) *1.5 Joe Rogans
Jason MacDonald beat Alan Belcher $3.35 (+235) *1 Joe Rogan
Mike Lullo beat Robert Peralta $2.50 (+150) *1 Joe Rogan
Parlay #1
--------------------------------------------
Jorge Lopez
Mike Lullo
TJ Waldburger
Ken Stone
Matt Riddle
Evan Dunham
Vagner Rocha
Erik Koch
odds = $22.01 (21.01-1) *0.75 Joe Rogan
Parlay #2
-------------------------------------------
Jorge Lopez
Matt Riddle
TJ Waldburger
Evan Dunham
Vagner Rocha
odds = $4.69 (+369) *1 Joe Rogan
synopsis...
small plays on baczynski-145
ken stone-120
longshot par on shields/dunham/koch/jorge lopez and schlemenko.....laying 1 to make 4.3....
probably opting ouit of koch/brookins goes the distance....brookins looked awfully gaunt after making 145....
small plays on baczynski-145
ken stone-120
longshot par on shields/dunham/koch/jorge lopez and schlemenko.....laying 1 to make 4.3....
probably opting ouit of koch/brookins goes the distance....brookins looked awfully gaunt after making 145....
