- Jun 23, 2008
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WEC 41: Brown vs Faber 2 - June 7th
- Thread starter Coach_K
- Start date
The thought process is along my lines, BUT....Faber is a big time fan favorite and money is going to go his way as the moronic "revenge plays" pour in.
My thoughts are: Faber is extremely talented and overwhelms most others in this weight class. However, Faber isn't used to the strength and power that Brown brings and he simply can't handle it.
I'm on Brown -105.
Im starting to rethink my play here, is there anyway that the ref/judges would sway this Fabers way so that there can be a trilogy? Dont get me wrong this fight is basically a coin flip but I think Brown has the edge, just wondering if UFC/WEC wants Faber to win because he is the more marketable fighter.
- Feb 12, 2000
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So is the "betting public" as big of a factor in UFC as it is in the big 3 sports?
If so, you have to think that whatever the odds are on this fight, they are skewed to Brown-backers advantage.
If not, then the odds are correct at a basic coin flip.
I guess what I'm wondering is if there is a large enough pool of "public" bettors (i know it's large but nothing like NFL) to sway the odds in favor of the "crowd favorite"?
Personally, I don't think so. I think there is a larger percentage of "sharp" bettors in UFC than the majors.
NOTE: For the most part, I think the term "sharp" and "public" bettors are a complete load of donkey shit.
If so, you have to think that whatever the odds are on this fight, they are skewed to Brown-backers advantage.
If not, then the odds are correct at a basic coin flip.
I guess what I'm wondering is if there is a large enough pool of "public" bettors (i know it's large but nothing like NFL) to sway the odds in favor of the "crowd favorite"?
Personally, I don't think so. I think there is a larger percentage of "sharp" bettors in UFC than the majors.
NOTE: For the most part, I think the term "sharp" and "public" bettors are a complete load of donkey shit.
For the most part, I think the term "sharp" and "public" bettors are a complete load of donkey shit.
So true I hate that "public"/"sharp" bullshit, I mean if you are on one side you are "the public" if you are on the other you are "sharp" I mean whatever:jerkit:
Although if you look above you can see weinerdog's thoughts on my Brown selection:142smilie
So true I hate that "public"/"sharp" bullshit, I mean if you are on one side you are "the public" if you are on the other you are "sharp" I mean whatever:jerkit:
Although if you look above you can see weinerdog's thoughts on my Brown selection:142smilie
I slightly favour brown over Faber due to his size and power. I do think Faber made a mistake in the first one that he won't do again. Should be a great fight.
wow brown went from +110 to -105 at my book, now that doesn't make too much of a difference as those are all pretty much even odds but it shows where the money is going. I still like brown in this just going to wait till tomorrow to bet it. Hopefully most people put there plays in then. I hope the judges think that the challenger has to beat the champion to win not just keep it close.
If Uriah doesnt win this Ill be shocked. And not because he is the superior fighter. The posts in here are so square and all the bandwagon jumping going on its crazy.
I am a huge Brown fan as well. lol. And we wonder why the books always win.
I wont brag when Uriah wins because it is such a no-brainer. good luck guys
I am a huge Brown fan as well. lol. And we wonder why the books always win.
I wont brag when Uriah wins because it is such a no-brainer. good luck guys
...so as far as winning picks go,all we do is come to weinerdog,kneel, get the wafer, and go home? ...:00x11
man,that`s so easy...thanks,w.dog!.......:lol:
MMA Record (since UFC 58)
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 24-21
Fighter vs. Fighter 139-211
Parlays 65-86
+41.40 Joe Rogans
Mike Brown beat Urijah Faber $2.15 (+115) *2.5 Joe Rogans
Note: Above is super super duper square play, big time square, big time
Jens Pulver beat Josh Grispi $2.50 (+150) *1 Joe Rogan
James Krause beat Donald Cerrone $5.00 (+400) *1 Joe Rogan
Noah Thomas beat Frank Gomez $2.25 (+125) *1.5 Joe Rogans
I have to say that on every site I look at the majority of people are saying Brown. On HDNet MMA show they had the percentage of people that voted as 57 to 43(or something close to that)on Brown. It's a 2 or 3 unit play for me but I can't decide. It doesn't help when I feel like I'm getting gooched by someone on our board. It's like in football when you really like a game and then you open the forum and someone has it as their game of the year. At that point you might as well forget your bet because there's a good chance it's a loser.
Ghost....one problem.....I have Jens Pulver and you have Josh Grispi, so one of us has to be a square and one of us has to be a rhombus, I'll be the rhombus.
:142smilie
As for the other plays.....big huge massive square...huge:burnout :142lmao:
:142smilie
As for the other plays.....big huge massive square...huge:burnout :142lmao:
And yes.......not only is there lots of square money coming in on Brown I have just learned that many British Books are getting the following action on Brown:
"rhombus money"......200K within last hour
"rectangle money"......300K within last half hour
"parallelogram money"....400K within last 15 minutes
"trapezoid money".........700K within last 5 minutes
Yep....weinerdog will be all over thiskurby
"rhombus money"......200K within last hour
"rectangle money"......300K within last half hour
"parallelogram money"....400K within last 15 minutes
"trapezoid money".........700K within last 5 minutes
Yep....weinerdog will be all over thiskurby
