WNBA BEST BETS AND MORE !

[Cnotes53]

WNBA'S SEPT. BEST BETS !

09/08/2023.......................4 - 4....................50.00%....................- 2.00
09/03/2023.......................3 - 2....................60.00%...................+ 4.00
09/02/2023.......................0 - 2....................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/01/2023.......................3 - 2....................60.00%...................+ 4.00

TOTALS............... ..........10 - 10....................50.00%...................- 5.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Interesting point spreads in the NFL this week:
— Cardinals @ Washington (-7, 38)
— Raiders @ Denver (-3.5, 43)
— Miami @ LA Chargers (-3, 51)
— Eagles (-4, 44.5) @ New England
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5, 42)
— Cowboys (-3.5, 45) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“I wish I wasn’t out there for the seventh to be honest. I was at 90 pitches and I didn’t think I needed to go anymore, but, you know, it is what it is. It’ll be a conversation soon.”
Mariners’ starting pitcher George Kirby, after Seattle’s 7-4 loss Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; who did they play in their season opener that year?
Hint: That team won the Super Bowl the next season

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year.

Thursday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Our Week 1 NFL writeup​

Texans (0-0) @ Ravens (0-0)
— Texans have their fourth head coach the last four years.
— Last 3 years, Texans are 10-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— However, they’re 4-9-1 ATS as a road dog outside AFC South, 6-2 in division.
— Houston covered five of last six road openers.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
— Rookie QB Stroud gets the nod under center here, with a rookie head coach.
— Last two years, under is 11-6 in Houston road games.
— Since 2013, NFL coaches in their first year with a new team are 13-7-1 ATS as Week 1 underdogs.
— Last seven years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS in Week 1
— Last two years, Baltimore is 3-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home openers
— Last three years, they scored 38-36-38 points in home openers
— Lamar Jackson is 46-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Last two years, Ravens are 18-16 SU, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.
— Ravens are 10-2 against Houston.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Texans are 0-6 in Baltimore, losing last visit 41-7 in 2019.

Bengals (0-0) @ Browns (0-0)
— QB Burrow hurt his calf in preseason; is expected to play here.
— Cincinnati lost its last four road openers.
— Bengals went to OT in Week 1 the last two years (1-1)
— Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Last 2 years, Bengals were 22-11 SU, 22-9-2 ATS.
— Last 2 years, Cincy is 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last 2 years, Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 road games.
— Browns have had one winning season (2020) since 2007.
— Browns are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Cleveland scored 35-31-30 points in their home opener.
— Last year was first time since 2004 that Browns won in Week 1.
— Last nine years, Cleveland is 9-17-1 ATS in AFC North home tilts (3-0 LY)
— Over is 7-2 in Browns’ last seven home openers.
— Watson is 32-30 as an NFL starter, was 3-3 for Cleveland LY.
— Browns won five of last six games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last five visits to Cleveland.

Buccaneers (0-0) @ Vikings (0-0)
— Despite being 8-9, Tampa Bay won the NFC South last year.
— Since 2017, Bucs are 6-13-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Bucs are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games on artificial turf.
— Mayfield is 32-39 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Buccaneers were 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games LY.
— Bucs are 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Last two years, under is 11-5 in Tampa Bay road games.
— Bucs’ new OC Dave Canales spent last 12 years in Seattle.
— Minnesota made playoffs LY, for first time since 2019.
— Vikings won/covered 7 of their last 8 home openers.
— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Minnesota is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11-1 as a non-divisional home favorite.
— Last three years, over is 18-7 in Minnesota home games.
— Cousins is 73-66-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Vikings’ new defensive coordinator is former Dolphins’ HC Brian Flores.
— Tampa Bay won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Bucs lost last visit to Minnesota, 34-17 in 2017.

Titans (0-0) @ Saints (0-0)
— Titans were 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2015.
— Tennessee lost its last seven games (1-5-1 ATS) last year.
— Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road openers.
— Last 3 years, Tennessee is 9-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tannehill is 80-68 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— Since 2015, Titans are 19-14-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Last two years, Titans are 7-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— New Orleans was 7-10 LY, their first losing season since 2016.
— Saints are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight home openers.
— New Orleans won last four years in Week 1, scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Since 2018, Saints are 13-15 ATS as a home favorite
— Since 2018, NO is 18-11-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Derek Carr is 63-80 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last two years, under is 10-7 in Saints’ home games.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
— Tennessee leads series, 9-6-1
— Road team won four of last five meetings.
— Titans won their last three visits to Bourbon Street.

Panthers (0-0) @ Falcons (0-0)
— New coach, rookie QB usually suggests a losing season.
— Panthers have had five straight losing seasons.
— Reich was 41-35-1 coaching the Colts (1-2 in playoffs)
— Carolina went 8-3 ATS in last 11 games LY, after they fired the coach.
— Last two years, Panthers were 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Carolina is 5-4 ATS in last nine road openers.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Last four years, Panthers are 7-5 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Last 3 years, dogs were 19-2 ATS in Carolina games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Falcons have also had five straight losing seasons.
— Atlanta is 14-20 SU in two years under Arthur Smith.
— Seven of their last 10 games LY were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Since 2004, Atlanta is 15-4 ATS in home openers.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 7-4-2 ATS in games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Ridder was 2-2 as a starter last year, his rookie season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— Teams split their season series (3-3) the last three years.
— Panthers won two of last three visits to Atlanta.

Jaguars (0-0) @ Colts (0-0)
— Jaguars made playoffs LY for 1st time since 2017, 2nd time since ’07.
— Jags were first team EVER to win playoff game with a minus-5 TO ratio.
— Jacksonville was +6 in turnovers LY; they were minus-20 in 2021.
— Last five years, Jaguars are 5-8-2 ATS in AFC South road games.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 6-12-2 ATS on artificial turf.
— Lawrence is 12-22 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Over last decade, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Pederson is 56-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— This will be 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Colts lost 10 of their last 12 games SU last year.
— Colts are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Indy is 2-6-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
— No idea which QB starts; Minshew has a 8-16 record as a starter.
— Rookie QB Richardson starts, rookie QB/new coach combo isn’t great.
— Last three years, under is 14-10 in Colts’ home games.
— Colts were minus-13 in turnovers LY (+14/+10 previous two years)
— Home side won last 11 series games.
— Jaguars lost their last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS, all as underdogs)

49ers (0-0) @ Steelers (0-0)
— San Francisco won 12 of its last 13 games (10-3 ATS) LY.
— 49ers were +14 in turnovers last year (minus-15 in 2020-21)
— Last two years, SF were 23-11 in regular season, 4-2 in playoffs.
— Since 2016, 49ers are 11-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— SF is 3-4 SU/ATS in its last seven road openers.
— 49ers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— 49ers are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games vs AFC opponents.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 7-1 as NFL starter.
— Steelers went 9-8/9-7-1 the last two seasons.
— Pittsburgh won/covered six of its last seven games LY.
— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Pitt is 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Since 2015, Steelers are 20-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Steelers are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— 2nd-year QB Pickett is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
— Home team won last five series games.
— 49ers lost last two visits here; their last win in Pittsburgh was in 1996.

Cardinals (0-0) @ Commanders (0-0)
— New GM, new coach, different QB for Arizona in Week 1.
— Cardinals lost seven in row, 11 of their last 13 games SU (4-6 ATS in last 10).
— Kyler Murray is still recovering from a knee injury; Colt McCoy is starter.
— 37-year old McCoy is 11-25 as an NFL starter (4-4 since 2020)
— Last five years, Cardinals are 20-9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU last year when it scored less than 29 points.
— Cardinals won their last three road openers, covered last four.
— Dobbs is 0-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
— 2022 5th-round pick QB Howell gets his 2nd NFL start here.
— Howell won his first NFL start 26-6 against the Cowboys.
— LY, Washington was 5-1 when it scored 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— Last five years, Commanders are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under was 10-3 in Washington’s last 13 games last year.
— Under is 17-6 in Commanders’ last 23 home games.
— Washington is 3-8 SU/ATS in last eleven home openers.
— Washington won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2020.
— Cardinals lost last eight visits here; their last win in Washington was in 1998.

Raiders (0-0) @ Broncos (0-0)
— Last three years, Raiders are -7/-9/-11 in turnovers.
— Raiders blew five double digit leads in 2nd half last year.
— Garoppolo is 40-17 as an NFL starting QB.
— Garoppolo worked with coach McDaniels in New England.
— Last four years, Raiders are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Las Vegas is 6-4 ATS as an AFC West road dog.
— Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road openers.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 road games.
— Raiders were 3-8 SU LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Sean Payton (152-89 as NFL HC) makes his Denver debut here.
— Denver lost 11 of its last 14 games last year.
— Last 8 years with the Saints, Payton was 20-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2017, Broncos are 7-15-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Denver is 5-3-1 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Denver is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home openers.
— Last two years, under was 10-6 in Broncos’ home games.
— Russell Wilson is 117-71-1 as an NFL starter.
— Las Vegas won last six series games.
— Raiders won last three visits to Denver (won 22-16 in OT LY)

Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-0)
— Last 3 years, Miami was 10-6/9-8/9-8……0-1 in playoffs.
— Miami was 9-8 LY despite a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 13-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over was 7-2 in Miami road games last season.
— Last four years, Dolphins are 12-7 ATS on artificial turf.
— Last 2 years, Miami is 4-6 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Tagovailoa is 21-13 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers made playoffs LY, lost 31-30, blowing 27-0 lead in Jacksonville.
— Kellen Moore comes in from Dallas to be new OC.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 6-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-12-7 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Herbert is 25-25 as an NFL starter.
— Chargers started the last four seasons 1-0 SU.
— Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six home openers.
— Bolts’ last three home openers stayed under the total.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins won last three visits to San Diego/LA.

Eagles (0-0) @ Patriots (0-0)
— Last 20 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the next year.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 25-13 SU.
— Last 3 years, Eagles are 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five road openers.
— Hurts is 25-13 as an NFL starter.
— Philly is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Eagles lost both coordinators to HC jobs after last season.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-25 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last three years, Patriots are 3-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— Mac Jones is 16-16 as an NFL starting QB.
— Patriots brought Bill O’Brien in to be Jones’ new QB guru.
— Patriots are 6-4 ATS last ten games vs NFC opponents.
— New England is 4-8 ATS in last dozen home openers.
— Last year was first time since 2002 NE was an underdog in its home opener.
— Under is 23-17-1 in New England’s last 41 home games.
— New England won five of last seven series games.
— Two of those games (1-1) were Super Bowls.
— Eagles are 2-3 in Foxboro; their last visit here was in 2015.

Rams (0-0) @ Seahawks (0-0)
— Last year was Rams’ first losing season since 2016.
— Rams were 1-5-1 ATS as a road dog LY (7-3-1 from ’17-’21)
— Big ?? For Rams; did they improve their offensive line?
— Stafford is 93-104-1 as an NFL starter, 19-11 with the Rams.
— Rams are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 NFC West road games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS in season openers.
— Rams covered four of last five road openers.
— WR Kupp (hamstring) is out for this week.
— Since 2003, Seahawks are 18-2 SU/15-5 ATS in home openers.
— Last two years, Seattle is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last six years, Seahawks are 7-10-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— Geno Smith is 22-29 as an NFL starter, 10-11 with Seattle.
— Under Carroll, Seattle is 41-35-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under is 9-3 in Seahawks’ last dozen home openers.
— Last three years, under is 15-10 in Seattle home games.
— Seattle was 16-19 last two years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— Rams are 8-4 in last 12 series games, but lost 27-23/19-16 LY.
— Rams won three of their last four visits to Seattle.

Packers (0-0) @ Bears (0-0)
— Jordan Love lost his only NFL start 13-7 at Kansas City in 2021.
— Last four years, Packers are 11-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— GB is 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Packers are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.
— Green Bay is 2-4 SU/ATS in last six road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last eight road openers.
— This is 5th year in a row that Green Bay opens on the road (2-2 L4)
— Green Bay had three losing seasons in the last six years.
— Bears were 9-25 SU/12-20-2 ATS the last two years.
— Fields is 5-20 SU as an NFL starter; prospect or suspect?
— Last four years, Chicago is 5-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chicago is 1-8 ATS last nine NFC North home games.
— Bears are 13-9-2 in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago won four of its last five home openers.
— Bears’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
— Chicago was 3-14 LY; their turnover ratio was only minus-2.
— Green Bay won/covered last eight games in this rivalry.
— Packers are 17-2 SU in last 19 series games.
— Green Bay’s last loss here was in 2018.

Cowboys (0-0) @ Giants (0-0)
— McCarthy takes over as play-caller for departed OC Moore.
— Last two years, Dallas is 17-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Cowboys are 16-11-1 in last 28 games as a road favorite.
— Dallas is 6-6 SU/9-3 ATS in last dozen road openers.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven road openers.
— QB Prescott is 63-40 as an NFL starter.
— Last six years, Dallas is 11-7 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Giants made playoffs LY for first time since 2016.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-19 ATS as a home dog (2-1 LY)
— Last five years, Big Blue is 5-10 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-32-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last 11 years, Giants are 2-9 SU/1-10 ATS in last 11 home openers.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.
— Giants were +1 in turnovers LY (minus-25 from 2019-21)
— Last four years, under is 23-9-1 in their home games.
— Dallas won four in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered five of last six visits to Giants Stadium.
— This is 7th time in last 12 years these teams met in Week 1.

Bills (0-0) @ Jets (0-0)
— Last four years, Bills are 37-18 in regular season, 4-4 in playoffs.
— Last four years, Buffalo is 13-9 ATS as road favorites.
— Last five years, Buffalo is 9-5-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Josh Allen is 56-28 as an NFL starter.
— Buffalo is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.
— Bills are 7-3 ATS in last ten Week 1 games.
— Last 7 years, Jets are 34-80 SU; they have new QB now, guy named Rodgers.
— Jets haven’t made the playoffs since 2010.
— Rodgers is 158-85-1 as an NFL starter, 11-10 in playoff games.
— Last two years, Jets are 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Jets are 4-11 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Last three years, Jets are 3-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Jets are 4-8 SU in last 12 home openers, 7-3 ATS in last ten.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Bills won four of last five series games in New Jersey.

 

[Udog]

No games today.... play resumes tomorrow.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Most popular picks in the Circa Casino Survivor Pool in Las Vegas:
(all team has to do is win SU)
3,549— Commanders
2,985— Ravens
1,044— Vikings
600— Seahawks
349— Falcons
273— Jaguars

Quote of the Day
“Even when it got dicey … I love the response and the grit and perseverance our guys showed.”
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian

Sunday’s quiz
Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; they played the Baltimore Ravens in their season opener that year. Ravens won the Super Bowl the next season.

Friday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the Chiefs’ backup QB his rookie year in the NFL; Alex Smith was the Chiefs’ starting QB that year.

**************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday​

— Texas 34, Alabama 24
Loss ends Alabama’s 21-game home winning streak.
Texas outscored Crimson Tide 21-8 in 4th quarter.
Texas QB Evers was 24-38/349 passing, with 3 TD’s.
— So far this season, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS in non-conference games.

— Oregon 38, Texas Tech 30
If you took Texas Tech +4.5, don’t read this part.
Ducks kicked FG with 1:10 left to take 31-30 lead.
Oregon scored on a pick-6 with 0:35 left to cover the spread.
— So far this season, Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 11-4 ATS.

— North Carolina 40, Appalachian State 34 OT
App State kicked FG with 1:22 left to force overtime.
Total yardage: 527-494, Tar Heels
App State is a dangerous opponent; they’re used to winning.
A year from today, App State is scheduled to visit Clemson.

— Miami 48, Texas A&M 33
Van Dyke threw for 374 yards, 5 TD’s.
Miami had TD passes of 52-64 yards, ran kickoff back 98 yards for a TD.
I’m guessing the wealthy A&M boosters were thrilled with this score.
If A&M fires Jimbo Fisher this year, his buyout is $76.8M. He ain’t getting fired.

— Rice 43, Houston 41 OT
Rice led this game 28-0 with 3:00 left before halftime.
Houston tied game on a TD with 0:15 left.
Rice QB Daniels was 28-42/401, with 4 TD passes.
Big win over their local rival for the Rice program.

— James Madison 36, Virginia 35
Dukes were favored by 6.5 points in this game.
Virginia led 35-24 after third quarter.
JMU drove 80 yards for winning TD with 0:55 left.

— Upsets of the Day:
Florida International (+12) 46, North Texas 39
Rice (+8) 43, Houston 41 OT
Texas (+7) 34, Alabama 24
Cincinnati (+6.5) 27, Pittsburgh 21
Auburn (+5.5) 14, California 10
Washington State (+5) 31, Wisconsin 22

— Word of the Day: Opportunity— A set of circumstances that makes it possible to do something.

— Utah 20, Baylor 13
Neither starting QB played in this game.
Baylor’s #2 QB threw an INT deep in his own territory with game tied, 1:35 left
Utah scored game-winning TD with 0:17 left.

— Colorado 36, Nebraska 13
Nebraska’s QB lost three fumbles in this game, all without getting hit.
He fumbled two shotgun snaps, lost a handoff to a RB- he was awful.
Colorado QB Sanders has thrown for 910 yards in two games.

— Auburn 14, California 10— This is the first game Auburn ever won in the state of California.

— Orioles 13, Red Sox 12— James McCann hit two home runs for Baltimore.

— Arizona 3, Cubs 2 (10)— Diamondbacks are 3-0 in Wrigley so far this weekend, have moved into the third Wild Card slot in the NL, 1.5 games ahead of Miami.

— Rays 7, Mariners 5— Yandy Diaz hit a double and walk-off homer in a game he didn’t start.

— Astros 7, Mariners 5— Yordan Alvarez scored twice, knocked in two runs.

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 10

WNBA

Sunday, September 10

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 10​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CHI at CON	01:00 PM	CHI +9.5 O 161.5	+500 +500
MIN at IND	01:00 PM	MIN -2.5 U 163.5	+500 +500
DAL at ATL	01:00 PM	DAL +1.5 O 171.5	+500 +500
WAS at NY	01:00 PM	NY -9.5 U 162.5	+500 +500
PHO at LV	03:00 PM	LV -18.5 O 165.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
09/10/2023	5-5-0	50.00%	-250	Detail
09/08/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1300	Detail
09/03/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail
09/02/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
09/01/2023	3-3-0	50.00%	-150	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA'S SEPT. BEST BETS !

09/10/2023.......................3 - 5....................37.50%....................- 12.50
09/08/2023.......................4 - 4....................50.00%....................- 2.00
09/03/2023.......................3 - 2....................60.00%...................+ 4.00
09/02/2023.......................0 - 2....................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/01/2023.......................3 - 2....................60.00%...................+ 4.00

TOTALS............... ..........13 - 15....................46.42%....................- 17.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for Week 2 in college football:
— Kansas State (-5) @ Missouri
— LSU (-7) @ Mississippi State
— Virginia Tech @ Rutgers (-3)
— Tennessee (-4) @ Florida
— Vanderbilt (-2) @ UNLV
— TCU (-5) @ Houston

Quote of the Day
“Winning helps……..and losing doesn’t.”
Bill Parcells

Monday’s quiz
Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, how many have won a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

Saturday’s quiz
Kurt Warner won the Super Bowl with the 1999 Rams; they played the Baltimore Ravens in their season opener that year.

***************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Dolphins 36, Chargers 34
— Tagovailoa was 28-45/466 passing, with three TD’s.
— Tyreek Hill caught 11 passes for 215 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Over is 8-2 in Miami’s last ten road games.
— Last 4+ years, Dolphins are 14-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— In last 2 games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34 points, but lost both.
— Chargers ran for 234 yards, were 9-15 on third down…….but still lost.
— Miami drove 75 yards for game-winning TD with 1:45 left.
— Bolts are 6-13-7 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Rams 30, Seahawks 13
— Stafford was 24-38/334 yards; he was freakin’ awesome.
— Rams were 11-17 on third down, Seattle 2-9.
— total yardage in game: Rams 426, Seahawks 180.
— Under McVay, Rams are 6-1 SU/ATS in season openers.

— Seahawks’ 1st 3 drives: 30 plays, 160 yards, 13 points.
— Seahawks rest of game: 18 plays, 23 yards, no points.
— Last 2+ years, Seattle is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 6+ years, Seahawks are 7-11-1 ATS in NFC West home games.

Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17
— McLaughlin made a 57-yard FG with 5:15 left for winning score.
— Minnesota outgained the Buccaneers 369-242.
— Buccaneers averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt (Minn 7.1)
— Under is 12-5 in Tampa Bay’s last 17 road games.

— Vikings were 11-0 SU LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Jefferson caught nine passes for 150 yards, but no scores.
— Vikings ran the ball only 17 times for 41 yards.
— Last 3+ years, Minnesota is 7-13 ATS as a home favorite.

Ravens 25, Texans 9
— Baltimore led 7-6 at halftime.
— First two drives of 3rd quarter, Ravens drove 71-42 yards for TD’s.
— Texans are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road dog outside AFC South
— Under is 12-6 in Houston’s last 18 road games.

— Ravens were 8-15 on third down, Houston 7-18.
— Last eight years, Ravens are 7-1 ATS in Week 1
— Lamar Jackson is 47-19 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.

Browns 20, Bengals 3
— Cleveland outgained the Bengals 350-152.
— Cincinnati was 2-15 on 3rd down, had only six first downs.
— Cincinnati has now lost its last five road openers.
— Under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 road games.

— Browns won six of last seven games against Cincinnati.
— Bengals lost their last six visits to Cleveland.
— Browns ran ball for 206 yards.
— Watson is 33-30 as an NFL starter, 4-3 for Cleveland.

Saints 16, Titans 15
— Titans scored five times, but they were all field goals.
— Tennessee kicked FG with 2:20 left, but never got ball back.
— Hopkins caught 7 passes for 65 yards (13 targets)
— Tennessee has now lost its last eight games (2-5-1 ATS).

— Saints won their last five season openers.
— Only New Orleans TD came on a 33-yard drive, after an INT.
— Saints had four takeaways (+3) picking off three passes.
— LY, New Orleans was minus-11 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)

Falcons 24, Panthers 10
— Game was tied 10-10 after three quarters.
— Teams combined to throw ball for only 261 yards.
— Atlanta’s TD drives were short; 17-61-56 yards.
— Panthers are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.

— Since 2004, Atlanta is 16-4 ATS in home openers.
— Allgeier ran ball for 75 yards and two TD’s.
— Total yardage: Carolina 281, Atlanta 221.
— Under is 8-1 in Falcons’ last nine games.

Jaguars 31, Colts 21
— Jaguars scored two TD’s in 1:06 span of 4th quarter for comeback win.
— Jaguars were 3-12 on third down, Colts 2-12.
— Lawrence averaged 7.0 yards/pass attempt, Colts 5.0.
— Pederson is 57-48-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).

— This was 7th year in row Colts had a different #1 QB in Week 1
— Colts scored odd defensive TD to take 21-17 lead with 2:20 left in 3rd quarter.
— Indy is 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog.
— Colts have lost 11 of their last 13 games SU

49ers 30, Steelers 7
— 49ers’ first four drives: two TD’s, two FG’s, 20 points.
— Steelers’ first five drives: 15 plays, minus-9 yards, 0 points.
— McCaffrey had a 65-yard TD run in third quarter.
— Since start of LY, 49ers are +17 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)

— 49ers ran ball 34 times for 188 yards; Steelers 10 times for 41 yards.
— Pitt QB Pickett was sacked five times.
— Total yardage: 49ers 391, Steelers 239
— Steelers are 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in last six home openers.

Commanders 20, Cardinals 16
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by its defense with 0:55 left in half.
— Arizona kicked FG’s on two of its first three drives.
— After that, Redbirds gained total of 110 yards on 43 plays.
— Cardinals have lost 8 in row, 12 of last 14 games SU (5-6 ATS in last 10).

— Washington’s two TD drives were only 24-29 yards.
— Arizona led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Total yardage: Washington 248, Arizona 210.
— Under is 18-6 in Commanders’ last 24 home games.

Raiders 17, Broncos 16
— Raiders drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 6:34 left.
— Las Vegas won last seven games in this rivalry.
— Last 4+ years, Raiders are 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Garoppolo is 41-17 as an NFL starting QB.

— Denver started this game with an unsuccessful onside kick.
— Broncos missed PAT after first TD, which proved costly.
— Last 8+ years as a HC, Payton is 20-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Denver has lost 12 of its last 15 games SU.

Eagles 25, Patriots 20
— Eagles led this game 16-0 after the first quarter.
— Philly’s first TD was a pick-6 with 4:56 left in first quarter.
— Elliott kicked four FG’s, including ones from 56-48-51 yards.
— QB Hurts is 26-13 as an NFL starter.

— Patriots’ first 5 series: 17 plays, 43 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 punts.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Belichick was 249-75 in games with Brady as his QB.
— Belichick is 80-90 in games without Brady as his QB.

Packers 38, Bears 20
— Packers scored TD on three of first four drives in 3rd quarter.
— Green Bay scored on pick-6 that put them ahead 38-14.
— GB is 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last four years, Packers are 12-5 ATS as a road underdog.

— Fields is now 5-21 SU as an NFL starting QB.
— Chicago is 1-9 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Green Bay won/covered last nine games in this rivalry.
— Packers were 9-16 on third down, Chicago 3-13.

Cowboys 40, Giants 0
— Cowboys’ first TD came on a blocked FG.
— Cowboys’ second TD came on a 22-yard pick-6.
— Dallas won five in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
— Cowboys won/covered six of last seven visits to Giants Stadium.

— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 18-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 5+ years, Big Blue is 5-11 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Daniel Jones is 22-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Since 2018, Giants are 9-20 ATS as a home underdog

 

[Udog]

Regular season concluded.... playoffs start Wednesday.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for Week 2 in college football:
— Virginia @ Maryland (-14)
— Penn State (-14) @ Illinois
— Washington (-13) @ Michigan State
— BYU @ Arkansas (-8)
— Colorado State @ Colorado (-19)
— Fresno State (-1) @ Arizona State

Quote of the Day
“I hurt our team tonight. I cost our team tonight. It feels eerily similar to last year, and I hate that it’s something I do.”
Josh Allen

Tuesday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach threw the first TD pass in Carolina Panther history?

Monday’s quiz
Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, nine have won a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State.

**************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Jets 22, Bills 16
Aaron Rodgers tore his achilles on 4th play of game, is out for year.
Xavier Gipson returned a punt 65 yards for a TD in OT for walk-off win.
Jets ran ball for 172 yards, averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
Jets’ QBs now are Zach Wilson/former Packer Tim Boyle.

Buffalo led 13-3 at halftime.
Bills in 2nd half: 32 plays, 111 yards, 3 points, 3 turnovers
Diggs caught 10 passes for 102 yards and a TD.
Under is 6-2 in Buffalo’s last eight road openers.

— Since 2003, NFL QB’s taken first in the NFL Draft are 1-14 ATS in their first NFL start.

— Random fact: Philadelphia Eagles have 10 players who make more money than anyone on the New England Patriots.

— Tennessee Titans challenged a play 0:04 into their game in New Orleans Sunday, and they won the challenge; Saints’ kick returner was stripped of the ball near the sideline, but ref called the guy down. Tennessee challenged the call, and got the ball, wound up kicking a FG.

— NFC South has four new starting QB’s this season, first time in 21 years every team in an NFL division changed signal callers.

— 27.6% of the Detroit Lions’ roster is made up of undrafted free agents; only 17.2% of the Kansas Chiefs’ roster went undrafted.

— CBS halftime show Sunday had six guys on the panel; halftime is only 12-14 minutes long, you don’t really need six guys. Or five. Or four.

— Ravens beat Houston 25-9 Sunday, the first NFL game ever to end with a 25-9 score.

— Word of the Day: Debacle– a complete and total failure.

— NFL Trend of the Day: Last three years, Tennessee Titans were 2-6 ATS as road favorites.

— From 2018-22, college football teams who turned ball over 4+ times in a game, and got less than 15 first downs were 1-65 in those games.

Saturday night at Cal, Auburn had 12 first downs, four turnovers, but managed to win, 14-10.

— Michigan State football coach Mel Tucker has been suspended without pay, while the school investigates a claim that he sexually harassed a speaker who was hired to address the Spartan team.

Spartans brought back former MSU coach Mark Dantonio to help out in the interim; he’ll be wearing a headset and actively coaching from the sideline or the press box during Tucker’s absence.

Tucker signed a fully guaranteed 10-year, $95M contract extension in 2021 after Michigan State went 11-2, but in three years coaching the Spartans, Tucker is only 18-14.

Sounds like someone is trying to get out from under a very expensive contract.

— Michigan State played I-AA Richmond last week; the Spiders’ helmet logo is one of the best in college football, the Spider draped over the side of the helmet. They have white helmets now; I like the blue helmets they used to wear with that logo on it.

— Phillies’ SS Trea Turner has hit 10 home runs in his last 12 games.

— Braves’ 1B Matt Olson hit two homers Monday, now has 50 this season.

— Arizona 4, Mets 3
Tommy Pham tied game with an 8th-inning home run.
Ketel Marte drove in the winning run with a 9th-inning double.

— Padres 11, Dodgers 8
Juan Soto went 3-5 with 4 RBI, including a 9th-inning 3-run homer.

— A’s 4, Astros 0
Oakland is 11-9 in its last 20 games.
Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 home games.

 

[Udog]

Playoffs begin tomorrow.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for Week 2 in the NFL:
— Vikings @ Philadelphia (-7, 49)
— Packers (-1.5, 40.5) @ Atlanta
— Raiders @ Buffalo (-9.5, 47)
— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-3.5, 46.5)
— Seahawks @ Detroit (-6, 47)
— Chargers (-3, 45) @ Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“I do want to make it very clear: Zach’s (Wilson) our quarterback. We’ve got a lot of faith in Zach. This is Zach’s team and we’re rolling with Zach.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Giants’ QB Daniel Jones play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina coach Frank Reich threw the first TD pass in Carolina Panther history.

Monday’s quiz
Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, nine have won a Super Bowl.

***********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings

— For the next two weeks, there will be two NFL games on Monday nights, starting an hour apart (7:15/8:15 ET).

— There is some good news for the Jets within the Aaron Rodgers fiasco; because Rodgers won’t play anymore this season, the 2024 draft pick the Jets are sending to Green Bay slips from a 1st-round pick to a 2nd-round pick. Small consolation, but it’ll help next spring.

— But where the Jets/Rodgers are concerned, there is way more bad news than good news; here are the cap charges for Rodgers:

Jets
2023— $8.9M
2024— $17.1M
2025— $51.5M

Green Bay
2023— $40.3M

— When the Jets’ Xavier Gipson ran that punt back for a TD in overtime Monday night, it was just the third time there was a punt return TD in overtime:

2023— Xavier Gipson, NYJ
2011— Patrick Peterson, Ariz
1995— Tamarick Vanover, KC

— Field position is important in football; there were six NFL games over the weekend where one team won average starting field position by 10+ yards; all six of those teams won.

Avoiding 3/outs in important; you want the other team to have to drive as far as possible to score, so getting a first down or two, even if you don’t score, helps the squad out.

— In Week 1 of the NFL, there were exactly 100 plays of 20+ yards. Broken down by what down they happened on:

1st down: 43
2nd down: 29
3rd down: 26
4th down: 2

— Sunday in Cleveland, Cincinnati Bengals had the football seven times in the first half; they punted all seven times. They ran 26 plays in the first half for 83 yards, with only 3 first downs.

Bengals had only one play longer than 12 yards the whole game; their game with the Ravens Sunday will be very interesting to watch.

— More and more NFL teams are going for it on 4th down in situations where it is debatable whether it is a smart thing to do. When asked why, they always reply “analytics” which is total BS.

Colts were down 31-21 in the last 2:00 Sunday; QB Richardson got hurt, backup Gardner Minshew came in, but you need 10 points anyway, and time was a factor. Why not just kick the FG; either way, they needed to recover an onside kick to tie/win the game, but no, they went for it, failed, and the game quickly ended.

I’ll just say this; the old-school way isn’t always the wrong way. Understood that I went to a state college and barely graduated, so I’m basically a moron, but these Ivy League nitwits don’t have all the answers, either.

— Word of the Day: tenacious— unwilling to accept defeat or stop doing or having something. Persistent, stubborn, or obstinate.

— NFL Trend of the Day: Under Nick Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 4-7 as a road favorite.

— Mets are poaching Milwaukee Brewers’ president of baseball operations David Stearns; he will become the Mets’ new president of baseball ops. He grew up in New York City as a huge Mets’ fan; when the moronic Wilpon family owned the Mets, then-GM Omar Minaya wanted to hire Stearns to a permanent position (he was an intern) but the Wilpons said no.

Somehow, current GM Billy Eppler will stay with the Mets, despite this debacle of a season they’re having. He will be the #2 guy in the front office, serving under Stearns.

— Braves 7, Phillies 6 (10)
Eddie Rosario had the game-winning hit for Atlanta.
Matt Olson hit his 51st home run this year.

— Dodgers 11, Padres 2
Freddie Freeman went 4-5, with 4 runs scored, 2 RBI.
Will Smith scored three runs, knocked in three more.

— Cubs’ rookie OF Pete Crow-Armstrong appears to be a legitimately great defensive CF; he made two tremendous catches Tuesday night, robbing Nolan Jones of a pair of doubles, at least.

Crow-Armstrong is the son of actress Ashley Crow, who was the mom in Little Big League.

— Rangers 6, Blue Jays 3
Corey Seager got his 1,000th career hit; he also had hits #1,001 and #1,002.
Max Scherzer left after 5.1 scoreless IP with some kind of an injury.

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 13

WNBA

Wednesday, September 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Connecticut
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut
Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Chicago @ Las Vegas
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Las Vegas is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 13​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIN at CON	08:00 PM	CON -9.0 U 159.5	+500 +500
CHI at LV	10:00 PM	CHI +16.0 O 170.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Pending Picks​

Date	League	Game	Score	Status	Pick
Sep 13, 2023	WNBA	Minnesota Connecticut	- -	08:00 PM	CON -9.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Date	League	Game	Score	Pick	Outcome
Sep 13, 2023	WNBA	Minnesota Connecticut	60 90	CON -9.0	Win
Sep 9, 2023	NCAAF	New Mexico State Liberty	17 33	LIB -9.5	Win

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA PLAYOFF RECORD !

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
09/15/2023	0-0-0	0.00%	+0	Detail
09/13/2023	2-2-0	50.00%	-100	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

WNBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

09/15/2023.......................2 - 2 - 0........................50.00%.....................- 1.00

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Six biggest American cities, in terms of population:
6) Philadelphia
5) Phoenix
4) Houston
3) Chicago
2) Los Angeles
1) New York

Quote of the Day
“I told my wife and the couple of people that I confided in the night we made the decision, I told them it’s going to be bad. A couple of people were like, ‘Well, it’ll be a few hours, a few days, but it’ll blow by.’ I said ‘No, I’ve lived in these shoes. It’s going to be that bad.’
“I had a lot of different people trying to break into the house the days after it happened, and 95% of the fans and people out there at Oklahoma or anybody else are great. You typically always have that percentage that at times take it too far. Obviously, this was one of those instances.”
USC coach Lincoln Riley, on the reaction in Norman when he bolted Oklahoma for USC

Thursday’s quiz
Which former NFL head coach (he coached in multiple Super Bowls), also played in the NBA?

Wednesday’s quiz
Giants’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina coach Frank Reich coach threw the first TD pass in Carolina Panther history.

*********************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Braves 4, Phillies 1
Atlanta wins the NL East for the sixth year in a row.
Strider struck out nine hitters in 7 IP.

— Texas Rangers lost P Max Scherzer for the rest of the regular season after straining a muscle in his upper arm. He isn’t having surgery, could return to the playoffs, but it isn’t likely.

— Rangers’ 1st-round pick in this year’s draft was Wyatt Langford, an outfielder who has 27 RBI in his first 35 pro games, while playing for three different teams. He’s already up to the AA level, where he is 10 for his first 26 at the plate.

— Washington Nationals agreed to a multiyear contract extension with GM Mike Rizzo, who has been running the Nationals for 15 years now. Washington has already won 10 more games this year than they did all of last year, but they’re still likely to finish last for fourth year in a row, after they won the World Series in 2019.

— Aaron Rodgers gets hurt, and now the NFL Players’ Association wants the league to get rid of artificial turf. This, from NFLPA Executive Director Lloyd Howell:
“Moving all stadium fields to high quality natural grass surfaces is the easiest decision the NFL can make. The players overwhelmingly prefer it and the data is clear that grass is simply safer than artificial turf.”
Stay tuned on this one.

— Movie of the Day— Heartburn (1986)— A female writer from New York meets a famous columnist from Washington at a wedding; they up falling in love despite her reservations about getting married. They buy a house that needs a lot of renovations— the guy in charge of the renovations is played by Yakov Smirnov— he wasn’t good at his job.
Great cast: Jack Nicholson/Meryl Streep are the writers. Their friends include Richard Masur, Jeff Daniels, Stockard Channing. Steven Hill (the original DA on Law and Order) is the bride’s father.
Good movie, a little dated now but Jack Nicholson is always good. Carly Simon did the music for this movie, which adds a lot.

— Word of the Day— Oxymoron— a combination of words that have opposite or very different meanings, like “cruel kindness”, “open secret” or “jumbo shrimp”

— NFL Trend of the Day— Under Dan Campbell, Lions are 24-10-1 ATS, 4-1 as a home favorite.

— Apparently, Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield figured out Minnesota’s defensive signals in the first half of their game last week; he watched their signals and knew what defense they were going to begin. Is it possible that a teams’ signals are so simple that they can be stolen with the naked eye?
If I owned the Vikings, I’d be asking some freakin’ questions.

— This is from Bill Barnwell, of ESPN:
Five oldest teams in the NFL: Saints, Broncos, Eagles, 49ers, Bills
Five youngest teams in the NFL: Giants, Chiefs, Packers, Bears, Lions

— San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in America; was it a good move financially for the Chargers to bolt San Diego for SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles? I’m not saying yes or no, just wondering.

— A hacking group named Scattered Spider brought down the systems of the $14B gaming giant MGM Resorts International this week.
Several MGM systems remained paralyzed for a third straight day Wednesday after it said on Monday it had shut down some of them to contain a “cybersecurity issue.” The company, which operates over 30 hotel and gaming venues around the world including in Macau and Las Vegas, is investigating the hacking.
This isn’t good; I’ve stayed at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas several times, excellent place. Very good sports book, good pizzeria (Bonanno’s) around the corner from there.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Mariners
Posted on September 14, 2023Leave a comment on Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings

— For the next two weeks, there will be two NFL games on Monday nights, starting an hour apart (7:15/8:15 ET).

— There is some good news for the Jets within the Aaron Rodgers fiasco; because Rodgers won’t play anymore this season, the 2024 draft pick the Jets are sending to Green Bay slips from a 1st-round pick to a 2nd-round pick. Small consolation, but it’ll help next spring.

— But where the Jets/Rodgers are concerned, there is way more bad news than good news; here are the cap charges for Rodgers:
Jets
2023— $8.9M
2024— $17.1M
2025— $51.5M
Green Bay
2023— $40.3M

— When the Jets’ Xavier Gipson ran that punt back for a TD in overtime Monday night, it was just the third time there was a punt return TD in overtime:
2023— Xavier Gipson, NYJ
2011— Patrick Peterson, Ariz
1995— Tamarick Vanover, KC

— Field position is important in football; there were six NFL games over the weekend where one team won average starting field position by 10+ yards; all six of those teams won.
Avoiding 3/outs in important; you want the other team to have to drive as far as possible to score, so getting a first down or two, even if you don’t score, helps the squad out.

— In Week 1 of the NFL, there were exactly 100 plays of 20+ yards. Broken down by what down they happened on:
1st down: 43
2nd down: 29
3rd down: 26
4th down: 2

— Sunday in Cleveland, Cincinnati Bengals had the football seven times in the first half; they punted all seven times. They ran 26 plays in the first half for 83 yards, with only 3 first downs.
Bengals had only one play longer than 12 yards the whole game; their game with the Ravens Sunday will be very interesting to watch.

— More and more NFL teams are going for it on 4th down in situations where it is debatable whether it is a smart thing to do. When asked why, they always reply “analytics” which is total BS.
Colts were down 31-21 in the last 2:00 Sunday; QB Richardson got hurt, backup Gardner Minshew came in, but you need 10 points anyway, and time was a factor. Why not just kick the FG; either way, they needed to recover an onside kick to tie/win the game, but no, they went for it, failed, and the game quickly ended.
I’ll just say this; the old-school way isn’t always the wrong way. Understood that I went to a state college and barely graduated, so I’m basically a moron, but these Ivy League nitwits don’t have all the answers, either.

— Word of the Day: tenacious— unwilling to accept defeat or stop doing or having something. Persistent, stubborn, or obstinate.

— NFL Trend of the Day: Under Nick Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 4-7 as a road favorite.

— Mets are poaching Milwaukee Brewers’ president of baseball operations David Stearns; he will become the Mets’ new president of baseball ops. He grew up in New York City as a huge Mets’ fan; when the moronic Wilpon family owned the Mets, then-GM Omar Minaya wanted to hire Stearns to a permanent position (he was an intern) but the Wilpons said no.
Somehow, current GM Billy Eppler will stay with the Mets, despite this debacle of a season they’re having. He will be the #2 guy in the front office, serving under Stearns.

— Braves 7, Phillies 6 (10)
Eddie Rosario had the game-winning hit for Atlanta.
Matt Olson hit his 51st home run this year.

— Dodgers 11, Padres 2
Freddie Freeman went 4-5, with 4 runs scored, 2 RBI.
Will Smith scored three runs, knocked in three more.

— Cubs’ rookie OF Pete Crow-Armstrong appears to be a legitimately great defensive CF; he made two tremendous catches Tuesday night, robbing Nolan Jones of a pair of doubles, at least.
Crow-Armstrong is the son of actress Ashley Crow, who was the mom in Little Big League.

— Rangers 6, Blue Jays 3
Corey Seager got his 1,000th career hit; he also had hits #1,001 and #1,002.
Max Scherzer left after 5.1 scoreless IP with some kind of an injury.