2010 World Cup Picks

[GoldenTaint]

[HT]

Pick: Chile-Switzerland under 1 +141, risking 200 to win 282 push

why: return is too good to resist. swi should be able to delay this out for a draw. if not, wins or loses 1-0 resulting in push

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1542)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: Spain -725 (Honduras), risking 725 to win 100 :0074

why: was either this or corners, but corners priced over 1200. spain is far better team, will hold the ball much longer, have many more chances. yes, risking a lot to win a little, but imo the real price of this ought to be more than 10 to win 1.

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1442)

Pick: France -1/2 corners (South Africa) -192, risking 384 to win 200 :sadwave:

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: Mexico -1/2 corners (Uruguay) -111, risking 222 to win 200 :sadwave:

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-2048)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: Argentina -1/2 corners (Greece) -225, risking 550 to win 200 :0074

why: both teams have dominated corners so far, but in this game greece could use a tie, will play more defensively. arg, with starters or backups, will dominate the play, should get more corners

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: 2Parlay: South Korea pk (Nigeria) -130, and Argentina pk (Greece) -631, risking 600 to win 630 :0074 (arg win, skor tie, reduced payout)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: South Korea +1/2 corners (Nigeria) -125, risking 375 to win 300 :0074

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1443)

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1443)

Pick: England -1/2 corners (Slovenia) -450, risking 900 to win 200 :0074

why: might seem a high price, but England will be the aggressor, and i think the true odds are about 10% that slovenia has more corners

Pick: USA-Algeria 3 under -219, risking 438 to win 200 :0074

why: no great offense for Algeria, see this as 2-1 at worst, push, much likelier to be under that than over it, so -219 is a very reasonable price

ledger: (-1043)

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1043)

Pick: Australia +1 (Serbia) -203, risking 606 to win 300 :0074

why: think a tie or aus victory is much likelier than serb winning by 2 or more goals

Pick: Australia-Serbia corners 9' over -123, bet 615 to win 500 :0074

why: both sides need a win; have to believe this will lead to attacking and enough corners to push it over

ledger: (-243)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: 2Parlay: Italy-Slovakia 3 under -310, New Zealand-Paraguay 3 under -264, risking 500 to win 412 :sadwave:

Pick: New Zealand +2 (Paraguay) -300, risking 600 to win 200 :0074

Pick: Italy -1/2 corners (Slovakia) -310, risking 620 to win 200 :sadwave:

why: don't think slovakia will score. price on italy at pk is too high, return too small. probably italy wins 1-0 or 2-0, at worst, draw 0-0 or 1-1. possibly 2-1, but nothing over three goals in that game. italy should try harder to score, should have more of the ball, should have more corners. as for new zealand, i think they will play as hard as possible, and i dont think earlier results are flukes. at most they lose 0-2, but i think it's much likelier they lose by one or draw.

 

[GoldenTaint]

[halftime]

Pick: New Zealand +1/2 (Paraguay) +104, risking 200 to win 208 :0074

Pick: New Zealand +1000 (Paraguay), risking 200 to win 2000 :sadwave:

why: don't see any indication paraguay is going to win this. looks to me like a draw is most likely, and if a goal is scored, just as likely to be new zealand as paraguay

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-1163)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: Denmark -1/2 corners (Japan) -133, risking 798 to win 600 :0074 (7-2)

why: Denmark has the incentive to attack, should lead to more corners, reasonable price. denmark played poor defense last game, if that happens, and japan gets ahead, will lead to even wilder attacking from denmark, which will help it gain corners.

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: Denmark-Japan first half 1 under -171, risking 340 to win 200 :sadwave:

 

[GoldenTaint]

[halftime]

Pick: Netherlands -1 (Cameroon) -243, risking 486 to win 200 PUSH

Pick: Denmark-Japan 4 under -368, risking 736 to win 200 PUSH

 

[GoldenTaint]

ledger: (-903)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Pick: North Korea +2 (Ivory Coast) -220, risking 660 to win 300 :sadwave:

why: been burned on NK before, but think they rebound here to play some good defense, stay within two