2018-19 Season

[BASON]

Adding:

Frankfurt Ov 2.5 -140 - I expect BTTS here. I have been anti Frankfurt so far and I expect Marseille to score at least 2 here. Likely 3-1 type game.

 

[BASON]

Be careful with Leipzig. Looks like they are sitting a few starters for this one so that is why the line is moving against them.

 

[BASON]

Great call by Snafu on Bate!! Hope others tailed.

Overs split. Malmo was pathetic but Genk should've scored 3 and there was a late goal not given on a controversial offsides. Just a bad break in that one.

I still bet Leipzig but very small. Biggest play is Larnaca for me.

 

[Snafu]

Thanks Bason, i was wondering why the line was so high but :shrug:

one more: AC Milan TT O2? +125

GL :toast:


edit: if AC Milan can't get easy win here i'm all over Atalanta next sunday :director:

 

[Landsharks]

Parlayed the BATE pick with Marseille over 2.5. Thanks guys.:00hour

 

[BASON]

Celtic and Lisbon look like good halftime bets given 0-0 FH.

 

[BASON]

Not so great in the late games. Larnaca was simply a bad call, sorry, not much more to say. Learned my lesson. Hoffenheim and Leverkusen both decided to play their best games in Europe rather than the Bundesliga. Maybe they both start playing better in league play. Big line movement against Leipzig was right as they started a B team and sucked in the first half. Dudelange hung in there against AC Milan.

Was expecting much better for the three days, but wasn't that bad overall.

I know they are not posted but keep your eye out on second half plays on good size home favorites (-170 +) in 0-0 first halves (good for when they are losing but juice can be larger). You get much better number and they are hitting at a relatively good pace (besiktas, sporting and celtic all good today alone). I know most of you work so hard to do during the week, but something to keep an eye on.

 

[Snafu]

good job Milan...

match commentator said that Dudelange has eight part time players with day time jobs in opening 11, they had to ask extra days off to play EL-matches :142smilie

Gattuso must be so proud... but seriously, Milan is on an edge to take deep dive to bottom of Serie-A. This team has zero attitude and half of the squad are just surfing around and other half that actually try are getting pissed off to that.

Atalanta -? +293 (not big because they suck too)

:0008

 

[Vig]

.

I know they are not posted but keep your eye out on second half plays on good size home favorites (-170 +) in 0-0 first halves (good for when they are losing but juice can be larger). You get much better number and they are hitting at a relatively good pace (besiktas, sporting and celtic all good today alone). I know most of you work so hard to do during the week, but something to keep an eye on.

In the same vein, I like to watch similar situations live. Many times you can get your play at a cheaper price, or at a better line if something unfavorable happens. I find this method to be very lucrative in soccer only

 

[Snafu]

friday thoughts:

Sassuolo -? +118 & -1? +290

Bristol City -? +243

Preussen Munster - Energie Cottbus O2? +100 x 2


GL :toast:

 

[Crookity]

Not so great in the late games. Larnaca was simply a bad call, sorry, not much more to say. Learned my lesson. Hoffenheim and Leverkusen both decided to play their best games in Europe rather than the Bundesliga. Maybe they both start playing better in league play. Big line movement against Leipzig was right as they started a B team and sucked in the first half. Dudelange hung in there against AC Milan.

Was expecting much better for the three days, but wasn't that bad overall.

I know they are not posted but keep your eye out on second half plays on good size home favorites (-170 +) in 0-0 first halves (good for when they are losing but juice can be larger). You get much better number and they are hitting at a relatively good pace (besiktas, sporting and celtic all good today alone). I know most of you work so hard to do during the week, but something to keep an eye on.

What are your opinions on the Chelsea/West Ham game over 3 goals currently at even money? I am already on Chelsea, Kid is locked and loaded on them. We all know about West Ham's inefficiencies, there has only been one West Ham game this year where there wasn't a total of at least 3 total goals scored. Chelsea has been in great form recently and should net a bunch. Thoughts?

 

[BASON]

I will get back you with some more detail after I work through today and Saturday, but my initial reaction is that there will be goals in this game and I like the Over better than Chelsea. Just need to know if Arnautovic is healthy, but West Ham looked like a different team against Everton. Chelsea slept walked through their mid week game so I do no think we will see much of a hangover. The hangover effect and the mid week games coming are a big part of this weekend's handicapping . Traditionally, many CL and Europa teams can struggle after a tough mid-week game especially is they do not have great depth. One of the reasons I am looking a Nimes right now against Monaco as they had a tough one against Atletico. More to come...

 

[BASON]

Going to make one small play today

Monaco Ov 3 -105 - I think Monaco will have a hangover from playing on Tuesday against Atletico Madrid. Tough turn around after a hard fought game and they do not have a lot of depth. I though about just taking Nimes +5, but going with the over instead. Nimes has been a scoring machine of late and scored 2 against PSG, 3 against Marseille and Bordeaux. On the other hand the history between these two is low scoring. I will side with current trends though and the fact that Monaco may be a little off. They have been bad so far in the league and need to get it going. So, I am hoping Nimes tries to take advantage of this and plays an aggressive attacking style which should force Monaco to do the same. I do not like Ligue 1 much, but this is the best play I see for today.

 

[Crazy Fingers]

Listened to XM FC this morning and they were questioning whether Chelsea has made it back to England yet. High winds have cancelled flights into London and Ireland.

I will get back you with some more detail after I work through today and Saturday, but my initial reaction is that there will be goals in this game and I like the Over better than Chelsea. Just need to know if Arnautovic is healthy, but West Ham looked like a different team against Everton. Chelsea slept walked through their mid week game so I do no think we will see much of a hangover. The hangover effect and the mid week games coming are a big part of this weekend's handicapping . Traditionally, many CL and Europa teams can struggle after a tough mid-week game especially is they do not have great depth. One of the reasons I am looking a Nimes right now against Monaco as they had a tough one against Atletico. More to come...

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[Crookity]

Listened to XM FC this morning and they were questioning whether Chelsea has made it back to England yet. High winds have cancelled flights into London and Ireland.

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They landed a day late, had to spend 2 nights in Greece...pushed back their scheduled prep which was to be today.

 

[PittsburghKid]

Yea and things like this are one of the drawbacks of getting some bets in early,, sometimes it?s works for ya and sometimes things happen that go against you.. but I?m already in and up a good bit on year but i could understand if someone were to buy some
Back on chelsea


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[PittsburghKid]

I already have some Newcastle in and are really likening them this week, may add.. I feel they turn in a west ham performance like last week


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[Crazy Fingers]

If you were to put that in today would you still play at the same way?

Yea and things like this are one of the drawbacks of getting some bets in early,, sometimes it?s works for ya and sometimes things happen that go against you.. but I?m already in and up a good bit on year but i could understand if someone were to buy some
Back on chelsea


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[PittsburghKid]

No... but i had doubts with Dortmund and it came Through so I?m personally sticking it out


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[BASON]

Picked the wrong damn side. Nimes +. 5 was the play. 1-1 after 20 minutes and that is the final. That just sucks. Should have just stuck with my gut that Monaco would not be good.

My two cents is the travel will not have a big impact on that game since it is on Sunday.