2018-19 Season

[BASON]

Had a good weekend in all sports, so hopefully it carries over into the week.

Bournemouth Ov 2.5 -120 - I can make a case for Bournemouth and the Over here and I am having trouble deciding which way to go. Usually when that is the case I go with the Over and I think that is where I am going here. Just a little worried about CP being able to get one, but I see a 2-1 type game. Plus the over has been kind to me in Bournemouth games this year.

 

[BASON]

Tuesday CL

Putting these in now

Lyon -115 - This line is very low in my opinion. Lyon finally getting into form and beat City last time out. Shakhtar is dominating the Ukranian league but I am starting to firmly believe that they play no defense in that league. They were lucky to draw Hoffenheim at home and they have to win home games to have any chance to advance since they are historically bad on the road. If Lyon comes to play they should win this game comfortable. Like it a lot at this number.

CSKA Moscow +1 -117 - Real is a mess right now. Yes this is a big step down in quality but it is on the road in Russia and looks like they will be without Ramos, Marcelo, Bale, and Isco. They are having trouble on offense without Isco. I think they will struggle this week again and Moscow has to think they have a chance so you should see inspired play from them. Just do not see how you can bet Real in this one.

Will not be much else for Tuesday. Very tempted to be against Man U once again, but Valencia is not that good, but +1 is tough to ignore. Not sure yet.

 

[Crookity]

Tuesday CL

Putting these in now

Lyon -115 - This line is very low in my opinion. Lyon finally getting into form and beat City last time out. Shakhtar is dominating the Ukranian league but I am starting to firmly believe that they play no defense in that league. They were lucky to draw Hoffenheim at home and they have to win home games to have any chance to advance since they are historically bad on the road. If Lyon comes to play they should win this game comfortable. Like it a lot at this number.

CSKA Moscow +1 -117 - Real is a mess right now. Yes this is a big step down in quality but it is on the road in Russia and looks like they will be without Ramos, Marcelo, Bale, and Isco. They are having trouble on offense without Isco. I think they will struggle this week again and Moscow has to think they have a chance so you should see inspired play from them. Just do not see how you can bet Real in this one.

Will not be much else for Tuesday. Very tempted to be against Man U once again, but Valencia is not that good, but +1 is tough to ignore. Not sure yet.

Good Luck this week , you are running nicely right now. What are your opinions on the over in the Liverpool/Napoli game?

 

[BASON]

I think the number is right on at 3. Napoli does not want to get into a shootout with Liverpool. They will play more defensively and look to strike on the counter. Liverpool's away CL record is not very good. My focus will likely be on Napoli here as they are strong at home, but they are coming off the Juve game. I see some value in them at +225 at home, but not sure I will be playing it straight. Maybe in a small parlay with another + team I think has a chance. I know I do not post those plays but I like doing that, especially with home + teams. Maybe with Spurs or Lokomotiv.

 

[BASON]

Another winner with Bournemouth Ov today.

I am adding to Lyon bet and playing: Lyon TT Ov 1.5 -135.

No more for tomorrow. Not going to force plays especially because I like a lot more for Wednesday.

I still like Moscow +1 but decided to focus on Lyon and use Moscow in the following parlay:

Athens Draw +260
Roma -280
Moscow +1 -115

Pays little over 8-1 (adding Lyon -120 will about double payout, but I like to stick to 3 teams if I can)

Will be playing a larger parlay for Wednesday. I will post some of these from time to time. Not part of my core plays but something for fun just to spread the action around and I do hit them from time to time. I only play them with house money when I am winning.

 

[Crookity]

Another winner with Bournemouth Ov today.

I am adding to Lyon bet and playing: Lyon TT Ov 1.5 -135.

No more for tomorrow. Not going to force plays especially because I like a lot more for Wednesday.

I still like Moscow +1 but decided to focus on Lyon and use Moscow in the following parlay:

Athens Draw +260
Roma -280
Moscow +1 -115

Pays little over 8-1 (adding Lyon -120 will about double payout, but I like to stick to 3 teams if I can)

Will be playing a larger parlay for Wednesday. I will post some of these from time to time. Not part of my core plays but something for fun just to spread the action around and I do hit them from time to time. I only play them with house money when I am winning.

You were bang on with Moscow , nice call. What makes your card today Mr. Bason?? Good luck however you play it .

 

[BASON]

Thanks. Had a lot of trouble getting on the site yesterday (wanted to post Lyon at halftime, that and the TT saved the day). Had a big writeup done and them got locked out so this is more or less a summary:

Dortmund -1.5 - Two teams going different directions, Monaco has just been bad
Porto -1 - Galatasary great at home, not so great on the road
Lokomotiv +.5, still not sold on Schalke
Tottenham+.5, Barca struggling
Napoli +.5, Liverpool can struggle on the road and Napoli strong at home

These are the games that I like. I tied the ML's of Dort/Atletico/Porto for +160 for a sizable parlay (also considering tying their TT's together also). I think I am going to tie all the +.5's together and maybe a ML one also for a huge payout. I will be surprised if both Spurs and Napoli lose at home today and I definitely think there is value in the +.5, so they will also be straight plays.

Been screwing around more with the parlays since I have been winning. If freaking Bayern (who once again proved they have serious issues) would have scored in the second half yesterday I would have hit another big one. I had luck with TT's yesterday so will go at it again today.

It's a lot, so be careful, but have to take of advantage when your going good.

Gotta run, but will try to post some more info later if I can.

 

[Crookity]

Thanks. Had a lot of trouble getting on the site yesterday (wanted to post Lyon at halftime, that and the TT saved the day). Had a big writeup done and them got locked out so this is more or less a summary:

Dortmund -1.5 - Two teams going different directions, Monaco has just been bad
Porto -1 - Galatasary great at home, not so great on the road
Lokomotiv +.5, still not sold on Schalke
Tottenham+.5, Barca struggling
Napoli +.5, Liverpool can struggle on the road and Napoli strong at home

These are the games that I like. I tied the ML's of Dort/Atletico/Porto for +160 for a sizable parlay (also considering tying their TT's together also). I think I am going to tie all the +.5's together and maybe a ML one also for a huge payout. I will be surprised if both Spurs and Napoli lose at home today and I definitely think there is value in the +.5, so they will also be straight plays.

Been screwing around more with the parlays since I have been winning. If freaking Bayern (who once again proved they have serious issues) would have scored in the second half yesterday I would have hit another big one. I had luck with TT's yesterday so will go at it again today.

It's a lot, so be careful, but have to take of advantage when your going good.

Gotta run, but will try to post some more info later if I can.

How are these weighted? Are there any that you are playing stronger than others? Good Luck.

 

[BASON]

Top 2 are ones I like the most.

 

[Landsharks]

Tailed you on the ML parlay. Thanks again for the solid picks.

 

[BASON]

Thanks. That Parlay and Dortmund saved the day.

Euro

Back to being cautious with Euro. Not going to throw away a lot of winnings on games I simply have not had the time to fully cap. Also many of these tend to be a crap shoot.

Zenit -135
Rangers Even

These are the two that standout most to me. Both are at home where they are very strong and I feel good about both of them winning.

Here are some others that I will consider in some parlays:

Qarabag +1 -105- Doubt we see Arsenals best effort here, line likely better in the am
Salzburg Ov 2.5 -130 - Would not be surprised to see them score 3 themselves
Leverkusen -1.5 -115 - They should roll Larnaca who is terrible on the road
Astana +117 - Solid home team

Should be enough. I am sure I could bet a few others but I am taking it easy.

 

[BASON]

I managed to get Qarabag at +1.5 but they are getting hammered right now. Arsenal was almost -200 now approaching -160. Have the B team playing.

 

[Landsharks]

I managed to get Qarabag at +1.5 but they are getting hammered right now. Arsenal was almost -200 now approaching -160. Have the B team playing.

I took +1.5 -153 as well. Nice win with Astana to start the day.

 

[tt boy]

Very nice day B :0074:0074

 

[BASON]

Thanks tt, crushed it today.

Been on a bit of a roll, so hope some of you are making some money.

Not much tomorrow, so I will pass and start work on the weekend.

 

[Landsharks]

Hit a 5 team parlay today on your plays as well with the individual bets. Great run. Thanks again.


Combination Bet Placed
-$12.17
ID: 73463727
1. Glasgow Rangers v SK Rapid Wien
Glasgow Rangers
-101 Win
2. Lokomotiv Astana v Rennes
Lokomotiv Astana
+127 Win
3. Fc Zenit St Petersburg v Sk Slavia Praha
Fc Zenit St Petersburg
-136 Win
4. Red Bull Salzburg v Glasgow Celtic (Goals Over/Under)
Over +2.5
-130 Win
5. Bayer Leverkusen v Aek Larnaca FC (Asian Handicap)
Bayer Leverkusen -1
-204 Win
Payout: $251.47

 

[BASON]

Fantastic!

Love seeing that. Had something very similar.

 

[Englishman]

Keep up the great work my friend.

Very very impressive.

 

[BASON]

Thanks English, have to ride the wave til it crashes!!

 

[BASON]

Premier League

Burnley +107 - I was very negative on Burnley to start the season primarily because they did not have the roster to handle the league and Europa. Best thing that happened to them is losing out of Europa so that could concentrate on the league. Since then, they have won 2 straight including last week's road win against Cardiff (which cost me a lot of $$$). While they seem to be getting on track, Huddersfield simply sucks. They can not score and can not win games. I think they are done also with Cardiff. I know it is early but they have simply looked outclassed this year. Burnley can move back to the middle of the pack here and I expect them to win. Plus money looks like a bonus to me as this line should be at least -125.

Watford Ov 2.5 -127 - I have been riding Bournemouth overs all year and will continue to do so tomorrow. See no reason this is not at least another 2-1 game.

I like both these games and will also be using them in some parlays.