2018-19 Season

[BASON]

Glad we agree on the game!! Like it even more now.

For the most part I agree with the hangovers, but France is shaping up to be a big play for me on Tuesday. It is more of a play against Germany than for France, but everyone likes to beat Germany even the WC Champs. Like I said before the Dutch game, Germany is a mess and the Netherlands won 3-0. Players do not want to play, fans are calling for Low's head and things are just not going their way. They dominated for years and everyone wants a piece of them when they are down. There is zero interest in this team right now in Germany. Most want them to lose so they fire Low. I really see no way Germany wins this game. I will be parlaying them with Spain and definitely be on them straight. Anything can happen and there is always a chance France goes through the motions, but I think they want to win at home and Germany can care less. These are situations you have to take advantage of just like in the Netherlands game. Not worth big money but certainly worth some house money.

Did not have much time this weekend, but my hat goes off to Gibraltar who finally got an international win and on the road at that! Embarrassing loss for Armenia, but a historic win for Gibraltar. Will be interesting to see how they bounce back on Tuesday after the big celebration. Also think Norway/Bulgaria will be a good one to see who wins that group.

 

[Englishman]

More facts:

Spain have won each of their last four matches against England on home soil by an aggregate score of 6-0.
England have won just three of their last 13 matches versus Spain (W3 D3 L7), picking up just one win in their last seven meetings (W1 D1 L5).
The last England goalkeeper to keep a clean sheet in an away game versus Spain was Peter Shilton in March 1980, in a 2-0 win.
England?s last away win against Spain came back in February 1987 under Bobby Robson; Gary Lineker scored all four goals in a 4-2 win.
Spain are unbeaten in each of their last 38 competitive home games (W34 D4), last losing versus Greece in June 2003 ? 5609 days ago.
England are winless in their last four competitive matches (D1 L3). They last went five competitive internationals without a win back in October 1992 under Graham Taylor.
Spain?s Paco Alcacer has scored nine goals in just five matches for club and country in all competitions this season, averaging a goal every 27 minutes.
Harry Kane has failed to score in his last six appearances for England, his joint-longest goalless run for the national side (also six between June-September 2016).

 

[BASON]

Yup, just like we said, Spain all the way!!

Wow, I will make Spain a little play in the second half, do not like doing it, but just trying to get my money back.

 

[Englishman]

Sterling scoring twice...wow, who could have seen that coming?

 

[BASON]

They killed them on the counter in the first half as the Spain defense was bad. Second half play saved my butt.

For tomorrow

France
Norway

Already spoke about France/Germany. I like this Bulgaria team and they have been money at home, but I do not trust them on the road. Winning the group is big for Norway and they have to win this game for it to happen. I think they take care of business at home.

 

[BASON]

I do not think Mexico or Peru will lose tonight. Chile appears to be a mess right now and the US simply has a hard time against South American teams. Peru has a strong attack and the US defense will likely struggle once again.

Pk lines are the safer plays given the nature of the game, but I am not against playing the ML.

 

[BASON]

France did not make it easy but they came through as did Norway. Wanted to add the Ukraine as I bet them also last night but got stuck in a long meeting today.

And how about Gibraltar with the two game winning streak!!

Hate to see the Nation's Cup go as it has been very good to us once again!!

 

[Crazy Fingers]

Thanks for sharing Bason. Love the insight [emoji106]

Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk

 

[GaDawg12]

Nice

Nice

nice job Bason

I added em to this one +534

3 Team Parlay
Win 10/15/18 8:15pm NFL Props Football 5889 J.Graham pass receptions over 4? -110* vs J.Graham pass receptions under 4?
Win 10/16/18 1:15pm WTA Tennis 3005 J.Goerges Games Won -4 -155* vs V.Kuzmova Games Won
Win 10/16/18 2:45pm International Soccer 52 France (UEFA-Nations) -? +102* vs Germany (UEFA-Nations)

also played em both straight thanks again

 

[BASON]

Nice one Dawg. Mexico screwed me for big one last night, but it has been a good run.

France was especially good since the line move was huge. You had +102 and the line the day before was almost -150. That is a very significant move in soccer and one I usually avoid or even go the other way, but in this case I stuck with it and did not even mention it because I know this German team is in bad shape.

As most of you know I do not like the MLS, but DC United is in a good situation tonight. Win puts them 4 points up for the final playoff spot, Toronto has been eliminated and without a couple key players off national team duty. It is a juicy play so I will use them in a couple parlays but I do not see them losing this game.

 

[BASON]

Wasn't easy, but Rooney came through for DC United. Had time to do some work on games this morning. Hoping I can keep it going, but the odds are that I am due for a little slump, but I will continue to play what I like.

Premier League

Bournemouth Ev and Ov 2.5 -120 - I will continue to ride this team especially when the lines makers are not catching up with them. They have been consistent winners, especially against mid or bottom level teams. They are this year's Burnley and sit in 6th place only 4 points off the lead! Southhampton is not very good at all and only has 6 goals in 8 games and none in their last 3. I really do not understand why this line is Even money. Maybe it looks too easy, but I really like Bournemouth in this game. Love the line so playing it today. I see a 3-1 type game.

Chelsea -135 - Again, another line I really like. Man U is a bad team on the road, especially at Stamford Bridge where they have won only once in the last 16 games. I will gladly take the better team at home.

West Ham +.5 -105/+284 - This team is tough to figure out. They were on a little roll and them lost to B&H. They have been tough at home though against the big teams and I think they show up in a big way and get at least a draw against the Spurs who have not looked very good lately. The +.5 is the safer way to play it straight, but I think a win is possible, so I will likely use the +284 in a parlay for a big payout.


La Liga

Tough to bet this league right now as no one wants to take charge. However, Real has been bad and they can not score yet they are laying -2.5. I am sure they will come out of this funk at some point but how can you not take Levante +2.5. I think you have to until you see Real start scoring. Plus, Nacho and Ramos have been bad and were terrible against England in the last match as Sterling and Ratchford just scorched them. Levante is a countering team and should be able to get one in this game, so Real have to score 4 to cover. I will take the goals here.

Barca/Sevilla is a big one and I will consider the Ov 3.5, but my out has it at 4 right now. On paper it should be a very high scoring game. Sevilla is top of the league and Barca has not won in 3 straight (not a sentence I thought I would ever be writing!). Will watch this line.


Bundesliga

Dortmund -120 - This line surprises me as you have two teams going in the opposite directions. Stuttgart is in serious trouble. They sit bottom of the table and just fired their coach. They also have some injuries. Dortmund sits top of the table and their attack is getting better and better every week. They still have some defensive weaknesses and Burke can struggle in goal, but I do not think Stuttgart has the offense to challenge as they have only scored 6 goals in 7 games. It is a road game, but it is a short price for the much better team.

Still looking at Leverkusen and the over. They burned me last time out, but they have to put it together at some point. Their roster is strong but they have grossly underperformed. The Hannover defense may be exactly what they need to get back into form.

Will not touch Bayern until I see something from them. If Wolfsburg was not in such bad form I would consider a bet on them, but I just can not do it.

I am around this weekend so feel free to chime in.

 

[BASON]

Marcos Alonso is now on my list of hated players. What a pussy. Stays on the ground and they score because he is trying to sell the foul. If this game ends in a draw it is all on him. Can not tell you how much I hate that.

Meanwhile, Real is about to lose at home!!

 

[1837]

What a pussy. :facepalm: Just get up and stop faking....

 

[BASON]

I am using Leverkusen in a couple parlays. They have to win this game at home today.

 

[BASON]

Dortmund rolled as expected.

Leverkusen really pissed me off today. You know you are doomed when they miss a penalty in the 7th minute. This coach is in serious trouble. They got lucky to get the draw after playing a man up for over 35 minutes. Not a big loss for me, but they are irritating the hell out of me as this was a game they should have easily won today. Of course I got a little greedy after winning the Levante game (I only posted the +2.5, but I had to put a couple $$ on the ML which paid big)

Need a Bournemouth goal. That game is bad as they are not playing very well at all today.

 

[BASON]

I was due and just could not get a break in the Premier League today. Arnautovic should have tied the game at the end but could not get the ball in the air. Bournemouth came crashing down to earth today and was just bad. Oh well, it was a nice run. Still not a terrible day with Dortmund and Levante but I was hoping for much, much better.

Onto American football!

 

[BASON]

Champions League

I do not love anything tomorrow, but I will play the following

Plzen +3 - I will play against Real until I lose. There is no way they should be laying 3 goals against anyone right now, and I really do not care how bad the team is that they are playing. They have lost 5 out of their last 6 and can not score. Will they break out at some point? I am sure they will, but will it be the week before they play Barca on Sunday. I am willing to bet no.

Ajax and Ov2.5 - This team simply plays great attacking futbol at home. They firmly believe they can advance and I think they will play a great inspired game.

Juve Pk - I just have a feeling that Juve is all in for this game. Ronaldo coming back home, etc. They were bad this weekend and I think they were looking ahead.

Will not lay the big number with Roma but will use them in parlays. Same with Lyon +.5. Also tempted by the over in the Man U/Juve game. Seems to be a line set based on the old Juve. They will score on Man U and I expect Ronaldo to score.

For Fun Team Total Parlay (I did a couple of this successfully last time out)

Athens Ov .5
Ajax Ov 1.5
Shakhtar Ov .5

For big payouts, I would consider adding Lyon Ov 1.5

 

[Crookity]

Champions League

I do not love anything tomorrow, but I will play the following

Plzen +3 - I will play against Real until I lose. There is no way they should be laying 3 goals against anyone right now, and I really do not care how bad the team is that they are playing. They have lost 5 out of their last 6 and can not score. Will they break out at some point? I am sure they will, but will it be the week before they play Barca on Sunday. I am willing to bet no.

Ajax and Ov2.5 - This team simply plays great attacking futbol at home. They firmly believe they can advance and I think they will play a great inspired game.

Juve Pk - I just have a feeling that Juve is all in for this game. Ronaldo coming back home, etc. They were bad this weekend and I think they were looking ahead.

Will not lay the big number with Roma but will use them in parlays. Same with Lyon +.5. Also tempted by the over in the Man U/Juve game. Seems to be a line set based on the old Juve. They will score on Man U and I expect Ronaldo to score.

For Fun Team Total Parlay (I did a couple of this successfully last time out)

Athens Ov .5
Ajax Ov 1.5
Shakhtar Ov .5

For big payouts, I would consider adding Lyon Ov 1.5

Good luck today Bason! Which one do you like the best, or are they all weighted the same in terms of units played?

 

[BASON]

I would say that the Ajax game is my favorite play today.

 

[BASON]

A beautiful 93rd minute goal by Ajax made it a fantastic day. And it was a well deserved goal as they were aggressive all game and just could not get one past the Benfica goalie.

The rest went great as Plzen, Juve, Roma and Lyon all came through.

The TT parlay was a mess but as my friend Henry always says. A 3-0 parlay is great, but an 0-3 parlay is good!

Tomorrow will be very light as I have many of the games still tied to a few winners today. I will post a couple shortly, but was another good CL day today!