I have looked over the next few days of the Nations Cup and nothing really stands out as a strong play, at least nothing that does not involve laying serious odds. That of course will not stop me from making a few bets, but I am not risking any significant amounts as I do not want to cut into my bankroll.
For tomorrow, I am playing the following parlay
Romania
Kosovo
Faroe Islands Pk
Posting now, but I think it is likely best to wait to place it as I think the Kosovo line will come down some overnight. The trend seems to be that the larger lines with the lower ranked teams come down once people start betting in Europe. Pays about 3-1 now, but hopefully gets a little better. Tough game here is Faroe Islands, but they have been playing well at home and have to think they have a shot to qualify. You may want to consider playing them at +195 as that enhances the payout to over 4.5 to 1. The Pk offers protection, but if they draw the payout goes down dramatically to about 90 cents on the dollar.
There are certainly some interesting games but they are tough to bet as the top teams are not as motivated as the lower level ones. England/Croatia and Netherlands/Germany top the list. Not sure what to expect out of Croatia right now and I never trust England on the road. Germany is a mess right now. Many of the top players do not even want to play, so they are a definite no play for me. No matter what Germany does, this game is very big for the Dutch as they have not beaten Germany in a meaningful match in over 25 years, so it would be a great win even though I still would not consider this a competitive match.
Starting tomorrow, I will be traveling for a few days, but hopefully I should be able to add a few updates here and there.
