2018-19 Season
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
- Feb 5, 2016
- 1,382
- 17
- 38
Disgusting another sucker bet wins, too. Leicester started it off this morning not covering the half by giving up a terrible goal in added time. Now this.
Oh man we have to put that week behind us. I missed out on 3 wagers due to 3 missed penalties, sickening. This will all even out in the end, but it sure does sting.
It still was a good weekend but it could have been much better.
We move on!
CL
Dortmund Ev - I know this looks like the obvious play. Truthfully, neither team has looked that great lately. Given that Spurs won 3-0, I have to go with Dortmund in this one. This season has started to prove to me that the top of the Premier League is weaker than usual this year. Man U showed that in the last round of CL and Liverpool, Spurs, Arsenal and Chelsea almost weekly have showed weakness. Now Dortmund has certainly struggled also, but they still have one of the best home fields in all of Europe and my guess is they think they can return the favor. I doubt they win 3-0 but I think they will win and we get even money at home in a good back to back situation.
Real/Ajax Over - Get 3 if you can, but I would even bet it at 3.5. Ajax took it to Real last round and were unlucky not to get a result. They will come out on fire and I expect them to score at some point but Real will score more. I think we see a 3-1 type game.
We move on!
CL
Dortmund Ev - I know this looks like the obvious play. Truthfully, neither team has looked that great lately. Given that Spurs won 3-0, I have to go with Dortmund in this one. This season has started to prove to me that the top of the Premier League is weaker than usual this year. Man U showed that in the last round of CL and Liverpool, Spurs, Arsenal and Chelsea almost weekly have showed weakness. Now Dortmund has certainly struggled also, but they still have one of the best home fields in all of Europe and my guess is they think they can return the favor. I doubt they win 3-0 but I think they will win and we get even money at home in a good back to back situation.
Real/Ajax Over - Get 3 if you can, but I would even bet it at 3.5. Ajax took it to Real last round and were unlucky not to get a result. They will come out on fire and I expect them to score at some point but Real will score more. I think we see a 3-1 type game.
Dortmund just could not get one in while Spurs have one shot on goal and win. Love watching Ajax play and enjoyed that one. Real has serious issues. Coach likely getting fired right now. Happy for Ajax.
I like Porto tomorrow. Bet it this morning at Even and already up to -120. Taking them straight and parlaying them with PSG since I do not want to lay the -260 with PSG, but I think they win.
I like Porto tomorrow. Bet it this morning at Even and already up to -120. Taking them straight and parlaying them with PSG since I do not want to lay the -260 with PSG, but I think they win.
As well as VAR worked in the World Cup, I think it is fair to say that VAR was a disaster in the Champions League. Horrible decisions with massive ramifications. Coaches likely losing jobs and million upon millions of dollars changing hands. I do not think there was one VAR decision made in CL that I agreed with. All very weak penalty calls and no way that ball was not out of bounds yesterday. Frustrating as a fan to see it work in some situations and not in others. They really need to work on how this is done.
I am playing Monterrey tonight in CONCACAF CL. Atlanta is going to have a tough time there. Both MLS teams lost at home last night to Mexican teams.
I am playing Monterrey tonight in CONCACAF CL. Atlanta is going to have a tough time there. Both MLS teams lost at home last night to Mexican teams.
Not in love with a lot in Europa tomorrow, so going to play a couple home team parlays:
Sevilla/Chelsea/Napoli/Valencia +230
Frankfurt/Zenit +350
Sevilla/Chelsea/Napoli/Valencia +230
Frankfurt/Zenit +350
That sucked, Sevilla just can not win lately. No way they should not win that game. My guess is the three home teams at 3 will win since Sevilla drew.
Knew the last 3 would win.
Three team Dutch 2nd division parlay for tomorrow
PSV/Sparta/Twente +315 or +485 if you use -1.5 on PSV vs ML
Three team Dutch 2nd division parlay for tomorrow
PSV/Sparta/Twente +315 or +485 if you use -1.5 on PSV vs ML
Norwich -180 - have to go with them as they are very hot so I am willing to lay it here. Line is getting steam rolled.
Some surprising lines today:
Juve is -1.5. They have their game of the season coming up this week in CL being down 2-0
Bremen +105 - how the hell are they not minus at home against Schalke? Do not understand this one.
Union Berlin -123 - they are in 3rd position and Ingolstadt is in relegation. This one should be over -160.
Not playing any of these but some contrarian plays on these are tempting.
Some surprising lines today:
Juve is -1.5. They have their game of the season coming up this week in CL being down 2-0
Bremen +105 - how the hell are they not minus at home against Schalke? Do not understand this one.
Union Berlin -123 - they are in 3rd position and Ingolstadt is in relegation. This one should be over -160.
Not playing any of these but some contrarian plays on these are tempting.
At least Norwich won. All three obvious lines hit easily yesterday.
I do not like much today so I am putting in a parlay against all the bad German teams once again and throwing Leipzig is so we get a little return
Dortmund/Leipzig/Hoffenheim/Leverkusen
I do not like much today so I am putting in a parlay against all the bad German teams once again and throwing Leipzig is so we get a little return
Dortmund/Leipzig/Hoffenheim/Leverkusen
Adding
PSV -2.5 - I know it is a ridiculous amount of goals to lay but this should be at least a 3-0 game and probably more. Breda is bad and PSV is at home and needs to win to stay atop the league.
PSV -2.5 - I know it is a ridiculous amount of goals to lay but this should be at least a 3-0 game and probably more. Breda is bad and PSV is at home and needs to win to stay atop the league.
Fucking Leipzig, I knew I should not have added them in.
I am playing a Hoffenheim/Leverkusen parlay (ML only pays +60 but with -1.5 on Hoff it pays +130) tomorrow which is sure to win now that Leipzig could not win.
I put some on Bayern +116 in CL already since I really like the number and likely will be adding more. I will have more on this later, but they are shaping up to be a large play for me.
I am playing a Hoffenheim/Leverkusen parlay (ML only pays +60 but with -1.5 on Hoff it pays +130) tomorrow which is sure to win now that Leipzig could not win.
I put some on Bayern +116 in CL already since I really like the number and likely will be adding more. I will have more on this later, but they are shaping up to be a large play for me.
I am playing Juve FH on the Asian Line -.25. I think it is imperative for them to get a FH goal if they are going to advance. If it is 0-0, I lose half, but come back with Juve in the second half for a larger bet. Really looking forward to this one.
Great result today for me. Already have Bayern but I am adding about half of what I won today on it again. Have a lot riding on it, but I feel good about it.
I am making a few parlays today since I have money to play with from yesterday and I have Bayern to finish off a few parlays so I do not need to add money to them. Nothing big, just some extra action:
Bayern TT Ov 1.5/Barca TT Ov 2.5
Barca FH/Bayern FH (I did both ML and GL)
Key to Barca game is them getting that first goal, then they should get a few. I expect to see a strong Barca side today. Kind of the same with Bayern. Counting on them coming out strong and getting a FH goal like Juve yesterday. Hoping they both get that first one in the FH.
Bayern TT Ov 1.5/Barca TT Ov 2.5
Barca FH/Bayern FH (I did both ML and GL)
Key to Barca game is them getting that first goal, then they should get a few. I expect to see a strong Barca side today. Kind of the same with Bayern. Counting on them coming out strong and getting a FH goal like Juve yesterday. Hoping they both get that first one in the FH.
