2018-19 Season

BASON

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Now with Liverpool at Pk-110, I am only playing the Pk line. This line has moved from -120 to +136 as of right now. That is a major move and enough to scare me off the ML. I know I am playing it safe, but it is all about protecting the bankroll and I think this is the right move. If I was not up a lot recently I would probably simply lay off and just play Ajax tomorrow.
 

BASON

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Also, I think the adjustment to the total line is a complete overreaction so I am adding.

Ov 3 +116

Liverpool has nothing to lose, I really see no way this game does not have at least 3 goals in it as we should see a late one or two given the situation.

In fact, this will be my primary play for the game and I recommend this over the game itself.
 

PittsburghKid

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Ill tell ya what?s peculiar. The line on Liverpool to ?qualify? opened at +1200 and now it?s +1100. [emoji2374]


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BASON

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Given the odds it will get money since no one is betting Barca to advance.

Now up to +144. Liking the over more and more.
 

The Situation

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Also, I think the adjustment to the total line is a complete overreaction so I am adding.

Ov 3 +116

Liverpool has nothing to lose, I really see no way this game does not have at least 3 goals in it as we should see a late one or two given the situation.

In fact, this will be my primary play for the game and I recommend this over the game itself.

Thanks for the tip - Excellent call :0corn

Liverpool FC (Alt 4) vs FC Barcelona (Alt 4) Total OVER*3?*+180*for Game

Risk: $500.00To Win: $900.00

Amount Paid : $1,400.00Ticket #149641076-1
 

Crookity

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Also, I think the adjustment to the total line is a complete overreaction so I am adding.

Ov 3 +116

Liverpool has nothing to lose, I really see no way this game does not have at least 3 goals in it as we should see a late one or two given the situation.

In fact, this will be my primary play for the game and I recommend this over the game itself.

Keep it rolling B! Nothing like you and Kid both cooking at the same time in footy :)
I have a personal rule, when you and Kid both agree it's an auto play and usually a strong one at that! LETS GO AJAX!
 

BASON

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Thanks Crook. I should probably be better at noting when we agree as sometimes I will not post something if Kid is already on it.

Need Ajax to complete a nice parlay today!!
 

Crookity

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Thanks Crook. I should probably be better at noting when we agree as sometimes I will not post something if Kid is already on it.

Need Ajax to complete a nice parlay today!!

don't hold back brother lol I appreciate all insights !
 

BASON

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Of course Spurs are getting public money. Now see a Pk line on Ajax, so I am adding a parlay for some action tomorrow:

Ajax Pk/Chelsea ML/Valencia Ov 3

Only about +350 payout but I love playing multiple day parlays as it allows me to risk less, especially when pairing a game I like a lot with games I may not love.

Already have Ajax today to complete a Liverpool and Ov parlay, which was a +/+/+ for almost 10-1 payout.

Can't wait to see the atmosphere in Amsterdam tonight!!
 

PittsburghKid

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If someone was a spurs better and thinks they are going to advance wouldn?t there best bet be to bet them in the future at +900 and then once advanced you?re guaranteed to make more than just betting on them in this game?


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BASON

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I agree with Kid on the Angers play this weekend. I like the +1 straight up and I will use the big + in a parlay with Chelsea today.

Have to agree on Getafe also as I do not see how Barcelona comes back from their humiliation this weekend. And I am not exaggerating, they were utterly humiliated at Liverpool.
 

BASON

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Tomorrow

Nurnberg +.5 -105 - Yes, my boys are likely going down once again, but they have been very tough to beat in the second half of the year and they certainly are not going to lay down in this game. In fact, I think they may even win, but I will take the half. Gladbach has been terrible lately, and while they are desperately trying to hold onto a Euro spot, I do not think they can simply turn it on. Their 1-0 loss at Stuttgart is hard to get over. Probably a 1-1 draw or Nurnberg misses yet another penalty for a win.
 

BASON

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I am taking Villa in a Pk today. Not sure West Brom can do enough to get and hold the lead, so expecting them to open up and Villa to take advantage. Just an action play. May also put in a parlay with Derby +.5 tomorrow.
 

BASON

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I like both home teams in Dutch Europa playoffs tomorrow: Utrecht and Vitesse. Vitesse lost the first leg 2-1 so they need to win this one. Utrecht won 2-0 on the road, but I simply think they are the better team and Heracles will be too aggressive and give up some counters. Just some action plays.

If I get some time, I am going to try and cap the U20 World Cup.
 

BASON

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Thanks Johnny!!

U20 WC

I am going to tread lightly here to start as it is really hard to get great information on these teams, so hard to predict performance, especially for the first game.

Poland +5 -145 - I played this last night and it may be harder to find, but I would also play the pick. Poland is the home country so I expect them to be up for this game. The South American teams are all good, but Columbia may be the weakest of the 4 and south american teams always seem to struggle some on European soil. I think Poland gets a result.

Italy/Mexico Ov 2 -140 - This line just went to 2 for me this morning, so I played it. I expect this to be a tight one, but this is the group of death, so I expect both teams to try to win. I see 1-1 draw as a real possibility so I would only play it if you get the 2.
 

BigGaycapper

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Thanks for the write ups and info. I played the Italy/Mexico draw as I agree with what you're saying about the group of death. Both may play for a result but both may also play not to lose here early in the group stage. Best of luck :0008
 

BASON

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I am considering a draw play to back up the total play. I think Italy is the stronger side so a little concerned about Mexico going for the win here. With a total of two, I am starting to like using both plays.

Still trying to learn more about Ecuador. Given that group both teams need a win so I think we could see some goals.

Good Luck!
 
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