2018-19 Season

Snafu

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if you like to gamble...

today is traditional over day in EFL cup, nowadays called as carabao cup.
my selective memory says O2? has been profitable several years in row.

yep, all matches blindly O2? :0074


i also like

D. Zagreb (Cro) -? +144


:0008
 

Snafu

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zagreb... well done. glad you exited


carabou cup : 21 matches ? 50 (1050) returns (bet365 odds) 1300

:0008
 

BASON

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Some bad games. It was a miracle Kiev did not lose that game. They should have lost at least 3-0 as they were completely dominated and Zagreb shit the bed in the second half. Cup was a mess as usual. I really do not like betting those games. Some teams just do not show. Stick with Kid there he does much better than me in the English Cup games.
 

BASON

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I do not like much tomorrow, only play I am considering is:

Salzburg -1 - I do not like laying the goal here but I do think they will win the game. If they can get an early goal they have a good chance at covering this number. This is a huge game for them as they have never reached the group stage. I think they will get it done this time.
 

BASON

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Did you look at the profit/loss number since there had to be some high juice 2.5's?

I am done with Cup games, just stick with Kid for those as he is much better than me on them.

Price of Red Bull likely going up after Salzburg's collapse yesterday in the second half. I laid off but it was a big choke job.

Staying away from Euro today. We had a great run in the first few rounds and nothing really stands out to me today, so I am not going to force any plays (that got me in trouble Tuesday). Burnley normally would be a play since it is a situation I really like (even talent, home team down 3-1), but I simply do not trust them right now. They already have issues in the league, seem tired and have Man U at home on Sunday. Just do not see them up for this match. My guess is most players want Europe to end.

Tomorrow I will likely be on Leeds at home after they stunk up the pitch mid week in the Cup. Will have that and a couple others up later on once I finish some college football capping.
 

BASON

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Friday

Dortmund -165 - Lot of juice on the road and I am not against laying the -1, but I simply feel they are the better team and will win this game. They played very well last week at home and they usually start the season off fast before they have troubles. Hannover got a result on the road, but this is a step up in talent and I am not sure they are ready to win this type of game.

Roma Pk +110 - It is almost impossible to ignore Roma's road record last year. They were 12-1 with the only loss coming to Juve. In addition. Milan has only won 2 meetings out of the last 12 between the two. All this points to a play on the Pk line.

Lyon -1.5 Even - Lyon can score and Nice can not. I like this Lyon team but they have not looked great opening the season after a very strong pre-season. They are an extremely strong home side, have won 8 in a row at home and I think they put it together today. Nice will improve under Veira, but for now they are having trouble scoring which likely will be a problem today.
 

BASON

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I do think Leeds bounces back today, but I am laying off that one. If they were playing just about anyone but Borough I would be on them, but Borough can shut teams down, so I see no reason to force a play when there are others I like more.
 

BASON

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Just a shitty fucking day. Sorry.

Dortmund was absolutely horrible. That game totally sucked. Lyon was just as bad. And to top it off AC Milan scores in the 95th for the loss there. Just pisses me off.
 

BASON

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Premier

B&H +120 - I always like them at home against a bottom half team at this number. These are games they have to win to stay up.

Everton -1 -120 - Will continue to play against Huddersfield on the road. Like how Everton is playing

Crystal Palace Even - Not a big fan of CP but this is a play against Southampton.

I like the over in the Chelsea game but waiting to see if I can get 3. Very tempted to bet against West Ham once again also.
 

Vig

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Considering Frankfurt's German Cup success, and off season opportunities to showcase their team, this line with Bremen is very low. I think Bremen is great play tomorrow pk +110. I don't see a loss here without a red going against based on this line. Any opinion?
 

BASON

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I do not like Frankfort that much this year. They had their over performing year last year and I do not think things will go the same this year. That said, not sure I like betting against them at home against an average Bremen team. Bremen did not look very good last week. Certainly could see a draw in this one but not worth a bet for me.

Not a like to love in the Bundesliga tomorrow. Nurnberg finally signed two good players today, one from Ludogorets and a Brazilian from Sporting Lisbon, both who will be starters but obviously not for tomorrow. They had to improve the team just to compete. I will certainly be routing for them, but not willing to give them my money quite yet. They were not a great home team the last couple years. If I played the game it would be on the Pk line.

Tempted to take Wolfsburg +1 but not sure I trust them either but Leverkusen is a little overvalued here. If I had to play one game this would be it.

I will probably make a play or two in the morning, but nothing really stands out.

I do like Schalke on Sunday and maybe the over in Leipzig, more on them later.
 

BASON

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No problem, good luck!

Made Everton bet at -175 versus the -1. Not sure why it came down, but I do not care.

Played Chelsea Ov 3 -140 as it came down overnight.
 
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