Bason 2019-2020 Season

[Crookity]

Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Mr Bason, can I get your opinion on some Bundesliga totals for this week. My main focus is on EPL, but I jump over to Serie A and Bundesliga on occasion. There are 2 totals I am eyeing:

DORTMUND/KOLN OVER 3.5

FRANKFURT / LEIPZIG OVER 3.5


Thoughts on these?

 

[george555g]

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[BASON]

Sorry Crook, I have been out of pocket lately. Was selling one of my restaurants and it just took a ton of time. Everything moves slower in Delaware. They don't call it lower slower DE for nothing!

Making a play that most will not like today:

Nurnberg+1 - on paper it looks like they have no chance in this game at Hamburg. My gut tells me Nurnberg comes to play today. They made a couple acquisitions, the new coach had some much needed time with the team over the break, they played well in the friendlies and they have to start digging themselves out of the basement. I think they can keep this one close.

 

[GmanKC]

Sorry Crook, I have been out of pocket lately. Was selling one of my restaurants and it just took a ton of time. Everything moves slower in Delaware. They don't call it lower slower DE for nothing!

Making a play that most will not like today:

Nurnberg+1 - on paper it looks like they have no chance in this game at Hamburg. My gut tells me Nurnberg comes to play today. They made a couple acquisitions, the new coach had some much needed time with the team over the break, they played well in the friendlies and they have to start digging themselves out of the basement. I think they can keep this one close.

Thanks for the info !
I was looking over , but probably going to wait for a live play at 2 1/2 .

 

[BASON]

Well, that certainly was a bust.

 

[BASON]

Playing two games today:

Watford +.5

Dortmund -105

 

[BASON]

Should have posted the over in the Dortmund game, liked them both.

Parlay for today:

Sheffield/Bayern/Bayern Over

 

[Crookity]

Should have posted the over in the Dortmund game, liked them both.

Parlay for today:

Sheffield/Bayern/Bayern Over

Dortmund overs have been the gift that keeps on giving.

 

[BASON]

Yup, on it again today!

 

[Crookity]

Yup, on it again today!

Chalk up another over winner! Dortmund's attack is ridiculous especially at home. I look forward to that PSG matchup next week.

 

[BASON]

I agree. Getting good value with Dortmund at home. One of the toughest places to play in the world. I like the over in that game also. Looking forward to a lot of these CL games.

 

[BASON]

Derby County +108

I really do not understand this line. Maybe I am getting suckered in, but Huddersfield sucks.

 

[BASON]

Lecce +106

Big home game for them coming off of 2 big wins. SPAL is struggling and lost 3-1 to them at home. Like the number at home.

 

[tt boy]

Lecce gets it done:0074 and Derby concedes on 81' to ruin the sweep

 

[BASON]

Champion's League

Been looking forward to this and we have two strong games for tomorrow. First one is the larger play.

Dortmund Ov 3.25 -120 - Love the asian line on this total. Will be shocked if we do not see at least 3 goals, but I feel good about 4, so much so that I decided not to play a side. Two great attacking teams and two teams with some weakness in the back. Dortmund always gets a pair at home and PSG rested most of their starters over the weekend in order to be ready for this game. Their league is a joke so this is their sole focus. This should be a great game with a lot of action.

Liverpool -.25 -120 and Ov 2.25 -110 - Going to asian lines again here. This is not the Atletico team of the past that Kid and I used to love to play. They are still strong defensively but just not quite at the same level and definitely not the same team on offense. This is usually a game where I would love them, but I just do not think they are the same as in prior years and it is very hard to ignore how strong Liverpool has been. I keep waiting for them to falter, but they do not. What they are doing in the Premier League is historic and they are the defending champions. This is their sole focus now that the Premier League is over. Can not go against them despite how hard it is to play in Madrid. I am thinking 2-1 Liverpool.

 

[BigGaycapper]

Bason

Any thoughts on BTTS in the Liverpool/AtlMadrid match? Can get the yes at -110 right now. Looking hard at that. :shrug:

 

[BASON]

I like it but I am certainly in the minority. But, with a total now of 2, you get very, very little value with a line of -110. I would rather bet the the draw at +205. You are covered at 0-0 and 1-1. Or, bet the exact score. Just do not see a lot of value in betting BTTS at -110 with a total of 2.

Not for the faint of heart, but I will be laying the -260 for BTTS in the Dortmund game.

 

[BigGaycapper]

I like it but I am certainly in the minority. But, with a total now of 2, you get very, very little value with a line of -110. I would rather bet the the draw at +205. You are covered at 0-0 and 1-1. Or, bet the exact score. Just do not see a lot of value in betting BTTS at -110 with a total of 2.

Not for the faint of heart, but I will be laying the -260 for BTTS in the Dortmund game.

Thanks Bason. I played the BTTS in Dortmund game as well, only chalk if it loses. Enjoy the matches today

 

[Vig]

We're definitely seeing reverse line movement with Liverpool getting all the action and the line moving toward Atletico

 

[Crookity]

We're definitely seeing reverse line movement with Liverpool getting all the action and the line moving toward Atletico

I put half my planned wager amount on this in fears that this could happen. I don't like these types of moves, undecided if I will play the full amount now.