Bason 2019-2020 Season
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
Athletico very rarely lose at home. They also have a great record against top teams at home in the CL. Add the fact that the Reds are going to be happy with a 1-1 or even 0-0, I'm liking the home win/draw market at -150 (Bet365.com).
Obviously, no one at all would be surprised to see LFC win 3-0. They have become very hard to score against this season. Maybe I will take a look at the Althetico not to score market.
Good luck.
Any other year and I would be all over Atletico, but I just do not think they are the same team as in prior years. Definitely would not be surprised to see a 0-0 or 1-0 game, but Atletico has to know they will have an extremely difficult time winning in Liverpool, so they will have to get aggressive at some point in this game. FH could be slow if Liverpool is happy to sit back and wait to attack. I added a FH draw play as I think it plays well into my other plays. This is a tough game because it could easily be 0-0 or 3-1, but my gut has a hard time betting against Liverpool right now. An early goal will change this game dramatically.
Yeah, not helping that PSG totally changed their style of play for this game. I made some stupid halftime bets so I could get killed.
There we go, certainly provides some relief now as BTTS hits (and the second half over which I bet way too much on, but have to stick to your guns sometimes). Dead wrong on Liverpool game, Atletico defense has been awesome.
I feel quite fortunate to have played the Dortmund game last week at 3. What are you thinking today? I liked Leipzig before the Son injury, and can't see them losing here. How is Tottenham going to score missing Erickson, Kane, now Son?? Also liking some goals in Atalanta match up. I lean to Atalanta here but wish I took it yesterday the line shot up to -182!
Yeah, I lost half the bet on the asian line, but I pounded the over at the half. Probably not a smart move, but ended up as the right play.
I agree with thinking on Spurs. They are going to have a very difficult scoring. The Son injury is a big deal. Have to think that Leipzig is happy to sit back and play to nil as long as they can because they have a serious edge at home. I definitely lean to the Under and would definitely play UN 3 even with big juice.
I actually like Valencia +1 in the other game. Think this line is definitely giving the home team too much credit. Will look at BTTS also.
Thinking of a smaller play on all the draws today, FH and game. 2-2 you make some money. I never post this but I play it sometimes when I really think one game will be a draw. Today, I think one game will be a draw.
I agree with thinking on Spurs. They are going to have a very difficult scoring. The Son injury is a big deal. Have to think that Leipzig is happy to sit back and play to nil as long as they can because they have a serious edge at home. I definitely lean to the Under and would definitely play UN 3 even with big juice.
I actually like Valencia +1 in the other game. Think this line is definitely giving the home team too much credit. Will look at BTTS also.
Thinking of a smaller play on all the draws today, FH and game. 2-2 you make some money. I never post this but I play it sometimes when I really think one game will be a draw. Today, I think one game will be a draw.
Valencia sucks. They are getting steam rolled, sorry really bad call. Could use a Spurs goal for 1-1 draw and still an under.
Not much time to cap Euro (maybe that is a good thing)
Wolves/Wolfsburg Parlay (have to play this!)
Home teams I like in a Pk (listed in order of preference):
Getafe (strong home team, I like them to win, Ajax not the same)
Olympiakos (got at +.5 yesterday, but big overnight line movement towards the Greeks, Arsenal sitting some players)
Shakhtar - this is tougher since they are not in league play, but it is going to be very cold and I am not sure how Benfica is going to handle that. They are going to want to get the hell out of there.
Wolves/Wolfsburg Parlay (have to play this!)
Home teams I like in a Pk (listed in order of preference):
Getafe (strong home team, I like them to win, Ajax not the same)
Olympiakos (got at +.5 yesterday, but big overnight line movement towards the Greeks, Arsenal sitting some players)
Shakhtar - this is tougher since they are not in league play, but it is going to be very cold and I am not sure how Benfica is going to handle that. They are going to want to get the hell out of there.
Had a great day in Euro, so hopefully can carry it over to the weekend. Also looks like we have some favorable situations tomorrow
Chelsea Un2.5 -110 - Spurs are off CL and Chelsea has a big CL game coming up against Bayern, plus neither team is scoring much right now. Just do not see the Spurs putting much, if anything, on the board. I do not bet a lot of unders but this sure looks like a good one.
Sheffield -111 - Simply the better team, at home, and at a good price against a terrible road team. Sheffield is having a great year.
Still thinking about Palace Un 2. That game has 1-0 or 0-0 written all over it. I may play the FH draw.
Real Sociedad -140 - Purely a play against Valencia who looked awful on the road this week and now have a tough league game.
Still looking at AC Milan Pk -115 and Schalke +1 (waiting on it to get there) which are two more plays against CL teams (Fiorentina and Leipzig). Plus stats certainly point to AC Milan not losing. Maybe these in a parlay with CP Un in order to limit exposure.
Chelsea Un2.5 -110 - Spurs are off CL and Chelsea has a big CL game coming up against Bayern, plus neither team is scoring much right now. Just do not see the Spurs putting much, if anything, on the board. I do not bet a lot of unders but this sure looks like a good one.
Sheffield -111 - Simply the better team, at home, and at a good price against a terrible road team. Sheffield is having a great year.
Still thinking about Palace Un 2. That game has 1-0 or 0-0 written all over it. I may play the FH draw.
Real Sociedad -140 - Purely a play against Valencia who looked awful on the road this week and now have a tough league game.
Still looking at AC Milan Pk -115 and Schalke +1 (waiting on it to get there) which are two more plays against CL teams (Fiorentina and Leipzig). Plus stats certainly point to AC Milan not losing. Maybe these in a parlay with CP Un in order to limit exposure.
