BASON'S NCAAF PLAYS
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
That's what I was wondering. I'm thinking about using them in a ml parlay too. Ditto with CFU. Any leans?
Always enjoy your writeups, Bason! :0008
Been going over and over the Maryland game and I just keep coming back to one play:
Maryland TT Ov 34.5
I definitely think Maryland is the better team and they should win this game. However, I am not very excited about an unproven road team being favored by 7 in a conference game. There is always a risk that MD lays an egg on the road, but I do not think that will happen. The win over West Virginia gave them a lot of confidence and proved that this offense is for real. They put up 30 on a very good defense. Illinois does not have a good defense. They gave up 37 to UTSA and 42 to UVA. I finally got to watch the UVA game and their secondary got torched. I believe Maryland has a better QB and better WR's than UVA and they are better than UTSA. Demus and Jarrett are for real and should tear their secondary up. Little Tua has already proven that he has improved greatly especially protecting the ball and I expect another solid performance from him. I just do not think Illinois will be able to stop them so I am going with the TT as my primary play (I also just bet the FH TT Ov 16.5).
I do think they will win so I am not opposed to a ML play or a tease.
Yanno, I would lean to UCF winning the game, but just like MD and even more so, I do not love laying those points on the road. I think Louisville is a little better than they showed against Ole Miss and I expect them to play much better tonight. Definitely a pass for me.
Maryland TT Ov 34.5
I definitely think Maryland is the better team and they should win this game. However, I am not very excited about an unproven road team being favored by 7 in a conference game. There is always a risk that MD lays an egg on the road, but I do not think that will happen. The win over West Virginia gave them a lot of confidence and proved that this offense is for real. They put up 30 on a very good defense. Illinois does not have a good defense. They gave up 37 to UTSA and 42 to UVA. I finally got to watch the UVA game and their secondary got torched. I believe Maryland has a better QB and better WR's than UVA and they are better than UTSA. Demus and Jarrett are for real and should tear their secondary up. Little Tua has already proven that he has improved greatly especially protecting the ball and I expect another solid performance from him. I just do not think Illinois will be able to stop them so I am going with the TT as my primary play (I also just bet the FH TT Ov 16.5).
I do think they will win so I am not opposed to a ML play or a tease.
Yanno, I would lean to UCF winning the game, but just like MD and even more so, I do not love laying those points on the road. I think Louisville is a little better than they showed against Ole Miss and I expect them to play much better tonight. Definitely a pass for me.
They did! Was an ugly game but they covered. West Virginia tried to give it away but they cam through also.
Really getting sick of all these teams passing on FGs and then getting stuffed on 4th down. Clemson just did it and cost us any likely chance of covering the FH. Their QB does not look good at all.
I also know one thing, there is no way Spencer Rattler is the first pick in the NFL draft.
Really getting sick of all these teams passing on FGs and then getting stuffed on 4th down. Clemson just did it and cost us any likely chance of covering the FH. Their QB does not look good at all.
I also know one thing, there is no way Spencer Rattler is the first pick in the NFL draft.
I am going to be away most of this week and thru the weekend so I will not have much time at all to post or update so I put these three plays in today:
Florida -18 -131
West Virginia +17.5 -135
Louisville -2.5 -108
Florida would be a large play for me if they were not coming off the Alabama game. Not sure we will see their best effort as there is usually a hangover from that game, but as I have said before, I will be against TN when I can. They have not played anyone close to the talent level of Florida (Pitt just lost to W. Mich at home) and I expect Florida's defense to completely dominate this game.
The West Va play is just a continued play against Oklahoma. They are vastly overrated and I think the West Va defense can keep them in this game. Only issue is with West Va's QB who is usually a disaster on the road, but the Sooners did not come close to covering against Tulane and Nebraska and I think West Va is better than both of those teams.
Louisville play is simply a play against Florida State. I expected Louisville to play better versus UCF and they did. They should have some confidence coming into this game while Florida State is quite the opposite. Every team in the ACC loves beating Florida State after getting dominated for years. I do not love laying points with an average team on the road but Florida State looked bad against Wake and I do not see them getting much better.
Laying off Rutgers and NC State. Clemson's offense has been atrocious this year and I think they are going to struggle most of the year. They have an elite defense but have a lot of work to do offense. I think the Michigan line is inflated and there is too much hype around this team, but just not sure I can trust Rutgers on the road. I like their coach and would not be surprised is this is a close game.
Maryland should handle Kent State at home but I would not be surprised if it is not a blowout. They have a massive home Friday night game the following week against Iowa (which I think I will be going to), so it will be hard for them not to look ahead so I would not be comfortable laying more than 2 tds. It is a pass for me.
Florida -18 -131
West Virginia +17.5 -135
Louisville -2.5 -108
Florida would be a large play for me if they were not coming off the Alabama game. Not sure we will see their best effort as there is usually a hangover from that game, but as I have said before, I will be against TN when I can. They have not played anyone close to the talent level of Florida (Pitt just lost to W. Mich at home) and I expect Florida's defense to completely dominate this game.
The West Va play is just a continued play against Oklahoma. They are vastly overrated and I think the West Va defense can keep them in this game. Only issue is with West Va's QB who is usually a disaster on the road, but the Sooners did not come close to covering against Tulane and Nebraska and I think West Va is better than both of those teams.
Louisville play is simply a play against Florida State. I expected Louisville to play better versus UCF and they did. They should have some confidence coming into this game while Florida State is quite the opposite. Every team in the ACC loves beating Florida State after getting dominated for years. I do not love laying points with an average team on the road but Florida State looked bad against Wake and I do not see them getting much better.
Laying off Rutgers and NC State. Clemson's offense has been atrocious this year and I think they are going to struggle most of the year. They have an elite defense but have a lot of work to do offense. I think the Michigan line is inflated and there is too much hype around this team, but just not sure I can trust Rutgers on the road. I like their coach and would not be surprised is this is a close game.
Maryland should handle Kent State at home but I would not be surprised if it is not a blowout. They have a massive home Friday night game the following week against Iowa (which I think I will be going to), so it will be hard for them not to look ahead so I would not be comfortable laying more than 2 tds. It is a pass for me.
A beautiful sweep for the weekend I am away. Was a very strong weekend as the other plays I liked hit also.
Some lines that caught my eye.
Iowa -3
BC +16
Rutgers +15.5
Mizzu -3
More to come!
Some lines that caught my eye.
Iowa -3
BC +16
Rutgers +15.5
Mizzu -3
More to come!
Congratulations on the sweep.
Notre Dame line seems off to me.
I may go ahead and buy it to plus 3.
Notre Dame line seems off to me.
I may go ahead and buy it to plus 3.
First play is in:
Iowa -2.5 -126
I will have more on this later and I think I am going to the game. Biggest MD football game in a long time in prime time on Friday night. I want nothing more than a MD win to get this program over the hump, but not quite sure they are ready for this moment. My money can't follow my heart in this one. I expect this line to move up a little so I will take it now.
Iowa -2.5 -126
I will have more on this later and I think I am going to the game. Biggest MD football game in a long time in prime time on Friday night. I want nothing more than a MD win to get this program over the hump, but not quite sure they are ready for this moment. My money can't follow my heart in this one. I expect this line to move up a little so I will take it now.
Two more are in:
Missouri -2.5 -127
Kansas State +10.5 -108
I think TN is going to have a tough time off the FL game. They played better than I expected and still could not cover the 20. I see a hangover game against a Missouri team that will relish a win over the Vols.
I will continue to play against OK until they adjust the lines. If you watched their games this year there is no way they should be this big of a favorite on the road against a team they tend to struggle with. I maintain that they are way overrated and that Rattler is an average QB at best let alone a first round NFL pick. When the leader of the pack is vulnerable you get the best from your opponents and I expect K State to play well and even may throw a little on the +325.
I am still tempted to take BC but I am not sure their QB can throw at all and Clemson should be able to stop the run, so I am likely to lay off. Looking hard at Louisville as I am not sure Wake merits being a TD favorite. Still leaning to Cincy but have not pulled the trigger yet.
Missouri -2.5 -127
Kansas State +10.5 -108
I think TN is going to have a tough time off the FL game. They played better than I expected and still could not cover the 20. I see a hangover game against a Missouri team that will relish a win over the Vols.
I will continue to play against OK until they adjust the lines. If you watched their games this year there is no way they should be this big of a favorite on the road against a team they tend to struggle with. I maintain that they are way overrated and that Rattler is an average QB at best let alone a first round NFL pick. When the leader of the pack is vulnerable you get the best from your opponents and I expect K State to play well and even may throw a little on the +325.
I am still tempted to take BC but I am not sure their QB can throw at all and Clemson should be able to stop the run, so I am likely to lay off. Looking hard at Louisville as I am not sure Wake merits being a TD favorite. Still leaning to Cincy but have not pulled the trigger yet.
Easy money on Iowa last night. I knew MD would not be ready for that game. Locksley can recruit and the players love him, but he has yet to prove he can coach. His team is undisciplined and I will never understand using your best offensive player to return kicks. I have had this argument with many for years given the new trend, but it is just stupid given the athletes on your team.
I may add one more for today. Little surprised the OK line moved to 12, but the public loves betting on this team.
I may add one more for today. Little surprised the OK line moved to 12, but the public loves betting on this team.
I am adding:
Cincy -1.5
I will probably regret this, but I think they are the better team. I think ND will struggle on offense and see Cincy pulling out a close game. It is possible the moment it too big for them, but this is the game for them to prove they belong so I will ride them once again.
Cincy -1.5
I will probably regret this, but I think they are the better team. I think ND will struggle on offense and see Cincy pulling out a close game. It is possible the moment it too big for them, but this is the game for them to prove they belong so I will ride them once again.
Good luck today. Iowa played a great game last night. Any thoughts on Michigan game? I want to take the Badgers but their QB reminds me of the recent Spartan QB who couldn?t accurately pass the ball over 10 yards.
Sorry I did not see this earlier. I will never bet on a QB as bad as Wisconsins' against a good defense. The line is a little fishy here but Wisconsin is just not a team to bet on against another good team. They have to learn how to recruit a QB. The starting RB for Wisconsin is the son on an old friend from DC, so I root for them, but they are tough to watch. The high school QB I saw last night is better than what they have.
Jesus, Missouri is fucking terrible. Now I know why Clemson is 14.5. I will likely put a few on them -13.5 to try to get the Mizzu money back.
Glad I bet Michigan live to buy back Badger bet. That QB has no business starting in Big 10.
Ha!, I bet it in game also a few times. The Wisconsin offense is simply pathetic and so easy to defend. Unless you have an elite offensive line you can not play that way and they do not have an elite offensive line this year.
