Boxing 1/29 - 1/30

Quanah

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Well, after much deliberation I have decided to skip this week. :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

FRIDAY PICKS
potentially huge week with lot's going on.

Luis Melendez (+140) - large + I have taken a good long look at this one, and the more I look, the more I like Melendez. This is a man vs. boy scenario. Sometimes a fighter gains respect and improves through losses, which is the case with Melendez. He is a hard man. He ended the career, and sorry to say, damn near killed Z.Gorres. He came within a whisker of dethroning F.Montiel, who was knocked down heavy and very uncomfortable all night with Melendez's tenacity. I watched this fight again, and Melendez is strong, awkward, and unyielding...a handful for anyone.

This Ruiz kid is just that, a kid. He is just 20 years old and skinny. He may have some potential, but has not yet found his 'man-strength', and at this point looks to be one of those Mexican prospects that is being moved to quickly. Ruiz has beaten NO ONE of note, and indeed has lost when he stepped up. One of his two losses was by KO, the other was against a 26-39 fighter.

Ruiz is not ready for the likes of Melendez. The fights against Montiel and Gorres will have prepared Melendez well, who will find the going much easier here. Melendez by brutal KO is my prediction.


Eloy Perez (+160) - medium This looks to be a very evenly matched fight. I think Perez has more of an upside though. I watched some film of his recent fights and he looks to be very fluid. His last 2 wins were very impressive. From what I hear he has been showing great improvement in the gym. Rodela, although game, seems to scrape by no matter who he fights - 3 recent split decison wins in a row. Rodela is much taller, and has fought a slightly higher standard of opp., but I think Perez is the class and will surprise here.

Avalos-Nieves UNDER 8.5 (+120) - med./small Nieves has got skills, and Avalos, although young and strong, is still a work in progress. There is something electrifying about him though. Nieves has been down numerous times against lesser hitters than Avalos. I think Nieves was specifically chosen because of this, and at some point, probably down on points, Avalos will catch him for the KO.

Good luck madmen!!!! Let's get'em
More Saturday picks to come!
:SIB
 

Ghost Kid

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That looks real good so far Quanah
I'm a bit biased because I know Eloy, but I think he is going to beat Rodela
I actually thought Juanito Garcia beat Rodela
Wish this fight was on TV, but I think we get Lara-Brewer instead.

What are your thoughts on Shumenov-Campillo? You riding the Beibut train with us, or staying clear of this one?
 

Zerwas

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Good catch Quanah!

I'm very indifferent about Shumenov Campillo, Shumenov probably was worth a small bet at +odds, but I'm not so sure about now.

Any thoughts on Brinkley Stevens!?
 

Quanah

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Hey guy's

I like Shumenov, I think...but I also think that Campillo is underrated, even after 2 huge upset wins. If he did it again I would be kicking myself. I think this is a pick'em fight, just like odds suggest. Forced to choose I would go with Shumenov, but with so much else to choose from this week, I'm staying away.

Stevens-Brinkley. First thought was Stevens, but then, fight is in Brinkley's hometown, and he has been in good form lately. I think Brinkley is the best he has ever been right now...no more excuses or chances for him, and he knows this. Brinkley will not be easy to beat. I suppose Stevens, but at -250 I'm steering clear.
 

Spreadking

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I like the under on the Manfredo Jr-Vanda fight. Vanda up to 168 and Manfredo has shown power in the left hook lately. big odds on it.

Beibut owns the footage to his fights i'm pretty sure.....that's why all we get on youtube is his half ass knockdown he scored.

I think Beibut can be smarter though and win. It will be a close fight down the stretch.
 

Ghost Kid

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COZ1283.jpg


From the Downs? Jockey Club in Albuquerque, N.M. for tomorrow night?s ShoBox card on Showtime.

Chris Avalos 118 vs. Jose Nieves 119
Archie Ray Marquez 131 vs. Derrick Campos 132
Promoter: Gary Shaw Productions
Televised on Showtime?s ShoBox at 11 p.m. ET/PT.
 

Ghost Kid

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Chisora-Danny Williams is off.....Danny pulled out

A few thoughts for this weekend:

I have seen both Brinkley and Stevens get demolished. NO PLAY for me.

The Shobox card should be entertaining. I like Avalos, but too many unknown factors with all these youngsters.
NO PLAY

Manfredo and Remillard should win.

I like Shumenov, Perez, Lara, Mads Larsen.

I think Sylvester is safe. Arce should also win, but NO PLAY on the old man for me. I would have used Sylvester for a parlay, but his price has almost doubled now.

My guess is that the UNDERS hit in the Avalos and the Arce fight.

It's Shumenov and Strikeforce MMA for me this weekend
:toast:
 

Ghost Kid

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Campillo 175 lbs. vs. Shumenov 174.6 lbs
Erislandy Lara 154.6 lbs. vs. Grady Brewer 154.6

photos to follow
 

Ghost Kid

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I think Golden Boy has made some of the dumber moves in promotional history

but I will give them credit here:

Shumenov vs. Campillo
Lara vs. Brewer
Perez vs. Rodela

this is a good boxing card
if you are in Vegas, you should go
 

Ghost Kid

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Rodela OVER by a pound
Eloy Perez 129.4 lbs. vs. David Rodela 130.4 lbs. (David over by 1lb has 1hr to lose) - 10 Rds USNBC Super Featherweight Bout

Awesome....GO ELOY GO !
 

Fightwriter

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Agreed on youngsters, Brinkley

Agreed on youngsters, Brinkley

Chisora-Danny Williams is off.....Danny pulled out

A few thoughts for this weekend:

I have seen both Brinkley and Stevens get demolished. NO PLAY for me.

The Shobox card should be entertaining. I like Avalos, but too many unknown factors with all these youngsters.
NO PLAY

Manfredo and Remillard should win.

I like Shumenov, Perez, Lara, Mads Larsen.

I think Sylvester is safe. Arce should also win, but NO PLAY on the old man for me. I would have used Sylvester for a parlay, but his price has almost doubled now.

My guess is that the UNDERS hit in the Avalos and the Arce fight.

It's Shumenov and Strikeforce MMA for me this weekend
:toast:

I'm surprised that Archie Ray Marquez and Avalos have been made such clear favourites, Ghost. Maybe the way the fights play out will justify the odds, but Avalos was struggling badly before he caught Giovanni Caro while Marquez barely beat Ledesma. ... Avalos and Marquez SHOULD win but I see these fights as risky for the young guns ... I was surprised, too, that Stevens was made a more than -200 favourite over Brinkley. Stevens, I am told, was down hard and saved by the bell against trial horse Thomas Reid, and Brinkley is in fine form and boxing at home. I like Stevens a little bit but I wouldn't be shocked if he lost. (Here again, maybe the disposition of the fight will prove the line was spot on.)
 

Ghost Kid

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-5UW9Xp-nw

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khabar

It was broadcasted on this channel in Kazakhstan

KhabarTV.png


Maybe its that nobody from Kazakhstan posts online :mj07:

Supposedly it was taped, but Beibut promoted the whole card with his brother and doesn't want the footage out there.

He is aiming to eliminate any memory of the bout come Friday.

Beibut's brother was quoted as saying:
"The Beibut that is coming Friday would knock out the Beibut from the first fight"

They are talking a good game...a lot of promoting and press releases...let's see what he's got tomorrow!
:toast:
 

Ghost Kid

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I'm surprised that Archie Ray Marquez and Avalos have been made such clear favourites, Ghost. Maybe the way the fights play out will justify the odds, but Avalos was struggling badly before he caught Giovanni Caro while Marquez barely beat Ledesma. ... Avalos and Marquez SHOULD win but I see these fights as risky for the young guns ... I was surprised, too, that Stevens was made a more than -200 favourite over Brinkley. Stevens, I am told, was down hard and saved by the bell against trial horse Thomas Reid, and Brinkley is in fine form and boxing at home. I like Stevens a little bit but I wouldn't be shocked if he lost. (Here again, maybe the disposition of the fight will prove the line was spot on.)

Graham
I saw the Thomas Reid-Curtis Stevens bout and it is one of the BIGGEST reasons I can't back Stevens
The fight aired on gofightlive and can be viewed here for free:
http://gofightlive.tv/showEvent.do?event=96

about 13 minutes into the video....boom.....
NOT A SOFT KNOCKDOWN at all...Stevens was very lucky that was at the end of a round

but then on the other side of the ring, you have Brinkley, who lost to freakin Spina.

This is one I gotta say "I'm out".
 

Romi

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I'm on Shu with ok + odds. I definately lean Shu but can't say I'm totally confident about it. My take on Campillo is that he's a decent world class fighter but not top level and I feel he's more or less a persevering overachiever. I think he got Shu and Garay at just the right time in his last 2 wins. I think Shu will pace himself enough and just show he's a slightly higher class fighter.

I have a parlay of Lara, Manfredo and some French guy that I never heard of :mj07:. The guy apparently can't punch a lick but he should get by his opponent...strictly boxrec wagering. Brewer is 39, been stopped 5 times and fighting a good young world class fighter in lara. I've seen Lara twice and was impressed both times. Manfredo is every bit as good and better IMO than Chavez Jr so I'd be pretty shocked to see him lose to Vanda. The rather ordinary Vanda has gotten some rather dubious decs in Minn. Manfredo will be the hometwn fighter in Conn. I see a little value on the unders on the Lara and Manfredo fights.

Also played the over on the Escobedo fight 9 1/2 -270. Neither has been stopped and Esco went 12 with ponce and Hernandez has been in tough with a few upper level guys including Bernabe Concepcion.


Good luck everybody!
 
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Ghost Kid

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20100128weights008a.jpg


christ.
this photo alone is reason enough to bet on Manfredo.
Vanda looks awful.
Count me in on the Pride of Providence.
he ain't in against bika here....peter wins.
:toast:
 

matt19780

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Friday Play

Friday Play

Curtis Stevens vs Jesse Brinkley Under 9.5 +185 Medium (pick made Wednesday)

Both of these guys have power. Both of these guys will square up and trade punch for punch. Neither guy is going to run. Stevens has early knockout power in rounds 1-4 and Brinkley seems to keep his power throughout his fights. Both guys can be hurt by eachothers power and have shown stamina problems in past fights (ie. Spina vs Brinkley and Stevens vs Marcos Primera I). Stevens seems to have the worse chin and Brinkley is cutting and swelling on his face in fights more with increasing regularity. Both of these guys seem to think they will get title shots off this fight (#2 mandatory IBF), so they are motivated. Stevens either KOs Brinkley early or gets tired and is KOed later by Brinkley.

Btw, I am still looking at Saturday's fights. Does anyone know anything about Lamon Brewster's opponent other than his boxrec profile?

Good Luck tomorrow Guys! :box2:
 

Zerwas

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Helenius isnt bad.
I saw his fight against Bidenko, and he showed decent skills and poise in wearing down his opponent. There's nothing flashy about him and he fights a bit upright, but he's no pushover.

I want to see Brewers weight before I touch this fight.
 

The Brainiac

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Bulgarian rising star Kubrat Pulev training for his fight with Skelton tomorrow :mj07: :142smilie

andrea_kubrat.jpg


andrea_i_kubrat_001.jpg



:mj07:
 
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