Saturday plays
Saturday plays
Edgar Sosa (-325) - BIG Got what I consider to be great opening odds here. Hope nothing crazy happens. Okubo looks limited, doesn't have the punch to KO Sosa, and is a long way from home in Mehico. Don't think Sosa falters here.
Sergio Martinez (+100) - BIG Genuine even money fight here. I'm playing a strong sense that Martinez is gonna come up big. Pavlik win was a breakout for him, and he will be fighting with great confidence. Paul Williams is a special talent, but the Cintron fight, although he won, disturbed me a bit. If Kermit wasn't a frog, jumping out of the ring as he did, I'm not sure Williams was even gonna win. He was VERY sloppy in that fight. Williams is a fighter who takes a lot of shots, and he may just be showing the effects of that a bit already. If Williams is not technically exceptional, Martinez will capitalize. Martinez will have the best night of his career and win clearly.
Justin Savi (+140) - BIG Savi is a bit of an unknown, but he did dominate Cyril Thomas in France, knocking him down in the 2nd and causing Thomas to quit after 7. Previous to this fight, Cyril Thomas was nip and tuck with then champion Cristobal Cruz. Savi also has another solid win against a good African fighter named Osumanu Akaba. I think he is for real. Garza is improved. KO win over Enoki in Japan was a good one. Not so long ago though, he was a fighter easily outboxed by good, not great fighters. Believing Savi is the real deal, I think he gets it done in a tough fight.
I'm probably gonna add another small play or two, but this is the crux of it.
Good luck my brothers!