Cnotes CFL 2019 News / Notes / Picks / Exhibition Football Schedule

[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
David Schwab

Betting Recap

On the 4th of July, Montreal posted its first straight-up win of the season in Thursday night?s 36-29 upset against Hamilton as a heavy 13-point home underdog. This was the backend of an East Division home-and-home series.

In Friday?s CFL action, Winnipeg remained undefeated on the year with a 29-14 victory over Ottawa as a three-point road underdog. British Columbia edged Toronto 18-17 as an eight-point road favorite in Saturday?s early game ahead of Calgary?s 37-10 pasting of Saskatchewan as a five-point underdog on the road this past Saturday night.

Thursday, July 11

Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Edmonton comes off a bye week looking for its first road win of the season. The Eskimos were upended by Winnipeg 28-21 in Week 3 as five-point road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER 57 ? points in that loss after going OVER in their first two wins at home against Montreal and BC. Edmonton beat the Lions 39-23 in Week 2 as three-point favorites at home. Trevor Harris has thrown for 1,086 yards and six touchdowns against zero interceptions in his first three starts for the Eskimos as their new quarterback.

The Lions snapped a three-game losing streak with Saturday?s win. They were outscored by 30 points in those first three losses before squeezing past Toronto with the one-point win their last time out. Mike Reilly completed 23 of his 34 passing attempts in his last start for 272 passing yards and one score. He was also picked off once. BC got a big effort from John White running the ball with 138 rushing yards and one score on 22 carries.

Betting Trends

-- The Eskimos have a 5-2 edge against the spread in their last seven games against BC and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings. The Lions are 10-4 SU and ATS in their last 14 home games against the Eskimos.


Friday, July 12

Toronto Argonauts (0-3 SU, 1-2ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Toronto is still looking for its first win of the season after losing 14 of 18 games SU in 2018. The Argonauts are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on the road. McLeod Bethel-Thompson put the ball up 33 times against BC on Saturday and he completed 25 of those passes for 303 yards and one touchdown. He also tossed an interception. Toronto was held to 41 yards rushing on 11 attempts. James Wilder Jr. has rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries this season.

The Blue Bombers are the only CFL team with a perfect record both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last two games after going OVER 50 ? point in a 33-23 win against BC in Week 1 with the closing spread set as a PICK. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols left Friday?s game in the third quarter with an apparent neck injury, but he remains optimistic that he will be able to go this Friday night. Chris Streveler took his place and he completed six of his eight passing attempts for 42 yards and a score.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five home games against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in this inter-division clash. The Blue Bombers have won five of the last six meetings SU overall.


Saturday, July 13

Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

The Alouettes stopped a two-game SU skid with last Thursday?s upset. The total went OVER 56 points against Hamilton and it has gone OVER in two of their first three games. Vernon Adams Jr. threw for 202 yards in that game after completing 14 of his 25 passing attempts. William Stanback was the top star on offense with 203 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns on 22 carries. He now leads the CFL in that category with 357 yards on the ground and four scores on 44 carries.

Ottawa started the season with a road upset against Calgary followed by a wild 44-41 victory against Saskatchewan at home as a 4 ?-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER 54 points in the loss to Winnipeg after it went OVER in the RedBlacks? first two games. Dominique Davis has started all three games at quarterback and he has thrown for 864 yards and three touchdowns, but he has also tossed six interceptions. He has completed 67.2 percent of his 119 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has won six of its last seven games against Montreal SU with the total staying UNDER in each of the last five meetings. The RedBlacks are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine home games against the Alouettes.

Calgary Stampeders (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

The defending CFL Champions played the part on Saturday with the lopsided victory against Saskatchewan despite the absence of quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell due to injury. In his place, Nick Arbuckle completed 19-of-22 passes for 262 yards and two scores. Reginald Begelton caught four passes for 61 yards and a score. Arbuckle completed at least one pass to nine different players. The Stampeders ran the ball 21 times for an additional 129 yards on the ground.

The Tiger-Cats fell from the ranks of the unbeaten with last Thursday?s loss as heavy road favorites. They beat Montreal 41-10 in the first meeting on June 28 as 12 ?-point favorites at home. The total went OVER 56 points in that second meeting after staying UNDER 56 ? points in Week 3. Quarterback Jeramiah Masoli leads the CFL in passing after completing 94 of his 134 attempts for 1,325 yards in four games. He has seven touchdown throws against five interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won its last five road games against the Tiger-Cats SU with a 6-1 record ATS in the last seven meetings in Hamilton. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings overall.

 

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, July 11

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EDMONTON (2 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 3) - 7/11/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 12

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TORONTO (0 - 3) at WINNIPEG (3 - 0) - 7/12/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 13

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MONTREAL (1 - 2) at OTTAWA (2 - 1) - 7/13/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (2 - 1) at HAMILTON (3 - 1) - 7/13/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 5

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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 11

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
British Columbia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Edmonton


Friday, July 12

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Winnipeg is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


Saturday, July 13

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Montreal is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 13 games on the road
Montreal is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal

Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Hamilton's last 15 games
Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 13 games when playing Calgary
Hamilton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 13 games when playing at home against Calgary


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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Thursday, July 11


Edmonton @ BC Lions

Game 951-952
July 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
113.974
BC Lions
103.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 10 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 3 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-3 1/2); Over




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 11

Edmonton (2-1) @ BC Lions (0-3)? Edmonton (-3) outscored BC 19-6 in second half of 39-23 home win over the Lions three weeks ago (total yardage 409-202, Eskimos). Home side won last four meetings; Edmonton lost last two visits to Vancouver, 42-32/31-23- over is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Eskimos lost their road opener 28-21 in Winnipeg LW; home side won all three of their games. Lions got first win 18-17 over winless Toronto LW; this is their first home game in four weeks- they lost home opener 33-23 to Winnipeg. Over is 3-1 in their games, 2-1 in Eskimo games.

Season totals through Week 4:
Home teams: 7-8
Favorites: 6-8
Over/under: 8-7

 

[Udog]

Well-rested Eskimos eager to attack
Rohit Ponnaiya

Kenny Stafford and the Edmonton Eskimos will try to continue their dominance through the air as 3.5-point favorites against the BC Lions in CFL action on Thursday night.

Last week was crazy even by CFL standards with underdogs winning straight up in three of four games and losing by just single point in the other. But we're jumping back on the horse with our picks for Week 5.

Usually odds for all of the CFL games in the week drop by Tuesday but books have taken their time rolling out the lines for Week 5 with only Thursday's game on the board. We break down the odds for the Thursday night matchup on the west coast as the BC Lions, fresh off their first win of the season, host the Edmonton Eskimos.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 10-5 SU, 6-9 ATS
Home teams: 9-6 SU, 7-8 ATS
Over/Under: 8-7

Week 4 Picks: 0-4
Season to date: 5-10


EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT BC LIONS

ODDS: Edmonton -3, O/U: 53.5
TIME: Thursday, July 11, 10:00 p.m. ET

This is a rematch from Week 2, except the Eskimos will be on the road. That first game was highly anticipated with star quarterback Mike Reilly returning to Edmonton where he starred with the Eskimos for the last six years. But Reilly went bust in that game, completing just 14 for 27 passes for 149 yards in a 39-23 BC loss. While Reilly hasn't lived up to lofty expectations so far this season with the Lions he has completed 70 percent of his passes while throwing for an average of 316.7 yards in his three other games.

One thing that might help him this week is that BC is starting to establish a ground game and won't be so one-dimensional. In that previous matchup, Lions running back John White had just eight carries for 24 yards, but he's been getting more and more touches every week and carried the ball 22 for 138 yards against Toronto last Saturday.

That game against Toronto was interesting, BC pulled off their first win of the season but it took a last-second rouge to do so. A "rouge" might be one of the weirdest things in the CFL and occurs when a team misses a field goal but the ball goes through the end zone resulting in a single point for the kicking team. Suffice to say, BC sneaking by against a Toronto team that had been blown out in their first two games is not a good look.

The Lions defense has been a weak-spot this season allowing an average of 31.2 points per game. They limited Toronto's league-worst offense to 17 points last week which was just the first time this year they've held an opponent to fewer than 33 points.

The Eskimos should be able to shred the Lions secondary. Quarterback Trevor Harris has been on fire, completing 71.9 percent of his passes for 1086 yards and six touchdowns against zero interceptions. They also have a strong running game led by former USC Trojan CJ Gable who has 60 rushes for 347 yards.

Most surprisingly their defense, led by five-time CFL All-Star defensive tackle Almondo Sewell, has been outstanding, holding opponents to the fewest passing yards (180 per game) and total yards (270 per game) in the league.

The Eskimos are coming off a bye week after a loss on the road to the Blue Bombers in Week 3 and should be well-rested and fired up to come away with the win tonight. On the other hand, BC could be tired after only four days of rest since playing Saturday night in Toronto. The Eskimos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against BC and should be able to take this one and cover as well.

PICK: Edmonton -3

 

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Friday, July 12

Toronto @ Winnipeg

Game 683-684
July 12, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
95.030
Winnipeg
121.550
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 26 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 14 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-14 1/2); Over


Saturday, July 13

Calgary @ Hamilton

Game 687-688
July 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
120.514
Hamilton
118.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 4 1/4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+4 1/2); Under

Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 685-686
July 13, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
107.419
Ottawa
119.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 12 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 9
52
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-9); Over

 

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 12

Toronto (0-3) @ Winnipeg (3-0)? Blue Bombers won five of last six series games; over is 8-2 in last ten meetings. Toronto lost lost last three visits to Manitoba, by 26-8-17 points. Argos are 7-19 vs spread in their last 26 road games; they lost first three games this season, by 1-50-32 points, scoring only 12.7 ppg- Toronto (+11.5) lost their road opener 32-7 at Saskatchewan. Winnipeg scored 30 ppg in winning its first three games, beating Edmonton 28-21 (-4.5) in its home opener. Blue Bombers covered nine of their last 11 games overall.


Saturday, July 13

Montreal (1-2) @ Ottawa (2-1)? Ottawa won six of last seven series games, but lost last meeting as a 16-point home favorite last August. Montreal covered three of its last five visits to Ottawa. RedBlacks covered 10 of last 13 series games, with last seven staying under. Alouettes covered eight of last ten road games, seven of last eight games overall; they upset Hamilton 36-29 (+14 LW, after losing road games by by 31-7 points to Ti-Cats, Edmonton. Ottawa scored 44-32 in winning its first two games, then lost 29-14 (-3) at home to Winnipeg last week.

Calgary (2-1) @ Hamilton (3-1)? Calgary won last ten games in this series, covering six of last seven; Stampeders won their last five visits here, covering four of them. Under is 10-3 in last 13 series games. Calgary scored 36-37 points in winning its last two games after a home opening loss to Ottawa; underdogs covered all three of their games this year. Hamilton scored 39.3 ppg in its 3-1 start, but they lost as a 14-point favorite in Montreal LW, giving up 36 points, after they allowed total of 41 points in their first three wins.

Season totals through Week 4:
Home teams: 7-8
Favorites: 6-8
Over/under: 8-7

 

[Udog]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya


TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS

ODDS: Winnipeg -14.5, 51.5
TIME: Friday, July 12, 8:30 p.m. ET

Winnipeg is looking just as good as advertised, going 3-0 straight up and ATS and coming off a victory on the road in Ottawa. Toronto is just as bad as advertised starting off 0-3.

McLeod Bethel-Thompson will get the start behind center for the second week in a row for the Argos. Last week he played well completing 25 of 33 passes for 303 yards but still couldn't consistently move the chains. Toronto's offense ranks at the bottom of the league in both yardage and scoring.

On defense, the Argos allow the most points (38 per game) and the second most yards (523 per game) in the league. They get destroyed both on the ground (giving up 141.3 yards per game) and through the air (381.7). Toronto will also be without DT Poop Johnson who was recently cut. He didn't start for the Argos but I thought he would have made a good No. 2 (sorry, couldn't resist).

Winnipeg has been winning with their defense and running game, holding opponents to a league low 19.3 points while piling up 134 yards per game on the ground. However, they average just 229.3 yards per game through the air, so they don't have the quick-strike ability of some of the other top teams in the CFL. I expect the Bombers to win but can't take them on the current spread of 14.5. Instead count on them to shut down Toronto's offense and take the Under on the game total.

PICK: Under 51.5


MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT OTTAWA REDBLACKS

ODDS: Ottawa -9, 51
TIME: Saturday, July 13, 4:00 p.m. ET

Nothing sums up the whacky world that is the CFL better than Montreal's 36-29 win over Hamilton just one week after losing 41-10 to the exact same team. The Als ran roughshod over the Ti-Cats on the back of tailback William Stanback who rumbled for 203 yards and three touchdowns on the ground.

Stanback is a 233-pound bruiser with sub-4.5 second speed and every time he's gotten touches he's produced. Montreal will have Vernon Adams Jr. at QB and he's a dangerous scrambler that gained 60 yards on six carries last week. With Stanback and Adams threatening with the ground game the Redblacks front seven will be kept honest.

Ottawa is coming off a home loss to the Blue Bombers where they were dismantled by a clinical Bombers side. Their running game was stuffed against Winnipeg and penalties also cost them 110 yards. Quarterback Dominique Davis' two picks didn't help.

As bad as Montreal is, they are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games on the road. Ottawa has struggled to cover against inferior opponents, going 2-6 ATS in their previous eight contests versus teams with a losing record. With the Als coming off a big win, back them to keep things close. Take them and the points.

PICK: Montreal +9


CALGARY STAMPEDERS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS

ODDS: Hamilton -4, 53
TIME: Saturday, July 13, 7:00 p.m. ET

Hamilton was on the ugly side of that upset loss to Montreal and should be plenty motivated for this one. Calgary on the other hand is coming off a huge upset win, and rout, over Saskatchewan on the road.

Incumbent Calgary QB Nick Arbuckle continues to impress in Bo Levi-Mitchell's absense, completing 19 of 22 passes for 262 yards against the Roughriders. On the other side of the ball, DB Tre Roberson has been incredible for the Stamps, racking up five interceptions through the first three games.

That said, this Hamilton offense led by Jeremiah Masoli is a juggernaut and is first in the league in yardage (456 yards per game) and scoring (39.2 points per game). They should be able to pile up yardage against a Calgary defense that struggled in the first two games of the season. While the Ti-Cats also have the highest rated scoring defense in the CFL, they have yet to play an offense of Calgary's caliber. Take the Over on the total.

PICK: Over 53

Week 4 Picks: 0-4
Season to date: 5-10

 

[Cnotes53]

Betting Recap - Week 5
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

This Week

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 5
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 5
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 5

Year To Date

-- Favorites are 13-6 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 10-9 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 11-8 SU overall
-- Away teams are 10-9 ATS overall
-- The 'Over' is 10-9 overall

Analysis

For the second consecutive week Montreal (2-2) picked up a huge victory as a big underdog, winning outright in Ottawa (2-2) by a 36-19 score as 8 1/2-point underdogs. They're 3-1 ATS this season, all as eight-point 'dogs or more. The 'over' has also connected in three of their four games overall.

For the Red Blacks, they lost outright for the second consecutive weekend as home favorites, but this one was a lot more shocking than Week 4. The RedBlacks have now failed to cover in three straight outings. Defense has been the biggest issue for Ottawa, as they have allowed at least 28 points in all four of their games. The 'over' is 3-1 as a result. The RedBlacks are now just 2-7 ATS across the past nine against losing teams, too.

Winnipeg (4-0) rolled up a 48-21 victory against Toronto (0-4) in a game which ended up about how everyone expected. Surprisingly, the Blue Bombers were 'just' a 15-point favorite, and they easily covered. In fact, Winnipeg had a 37-6 lead by halftime and put it on cruise control. The Bombers have scored 28 or more points in each of their four games, and they're a perfect 4-0 ATS overall.

The Argonauts posted their highest point total of the season (21), but that still didn't make up for their awful defense. They have yielded 32 or more points in three of their four outings. They're 1-3 ATS overall.

Edmonton (3-1) routed the BC Lions (1-4) by a 33-6 count, as the Eskimos improved to 3-5 ATS in the past eight after a bye week. The Esks are an impresive 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings against the Lions, however.

Speaking of the Lions, their only win came on a single as time expired against hapless Toronto last week. They're 1-4 SU/ATS in five games overall, and it doesn't get any easier with a home-and-home on tap against Saskatchewan (1-3), a team with plenty of offense.

In the marquee matchup of the weekend, Hamilton (4-1) handled their business against Calgary (2-2), who continues to adjust to life without QB Bo Levi Mitchell (pectoral). The Stampeders, normally strong against the number, have stumbled out to a 1-3 ATS start.

The Tiger-Cats bounced back from a loss to the Alouettes last week, and are now 4-1 SU/ATS. For Hamilton, the under is now 3-0 in their three home games, and the over is 2-0 in two outings on the road.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Argos will travel to Calgary to meet an angry Stamps side on Thursday night in Southern Alberta. Toronto has failed to cover in seven of the past eight games overall, and they're 6-20 ATS in the past 26 on the road. The Stamps are 2-5 ATS in the past seven against losing teams, but 7-1 ATS in the past eight in this series. The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in Calgary.

-- The RedBlacks and Blue Bombers hook up in Winnipeg on Friday night, and the scoreboard operator better be ready for a lot of action. Ottawa has managed a 26-10 ATS mark across their past 36 road games, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five overall. The Bombers are 5-0 ATS in the past five home games, and 37-18-1 ATS in the past 56 games overall. Winnipeg is also 5-1 ATS in the past six in this series.

-- The Esks and Als hook up on Saturday afternoon in Montreal. Edmonton has covered in just one of their past five games on the road, and they're 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games played in Week 6. The Als are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their past seven games on a Saturday. They're also 7-1 ATS in the past eight against teams iwth a winning overall record, and 4-0 ATS in the past four home outings. However, the Esks have covered five straight trips to Montreal, and they're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings overall in this series. The over is also 5-1-1 in the past seven battles in Montreal, and 12-3-1 in the past 16 meetings overall.

-- The Lions limp into Regina to take on the Roughriders in a battle between two teams with a combined record of 2-7 SU. BC is 1-4 ATS in the past five road games, 2-9 ATS in the past 11 against losing sides and 1-7 ATS in the past eight overall. They're also 1-5 ATS in the past six inside the West Division. On the flip side, the Riders are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against the West, while going 12-5 ATS in the past 17 following a straight-up loss. They're 4-1 ATS in the past five after a bye, too. In this series, the under is 9-2-1 in the past 12 battles in Regina, and 41-18-1 in the past 60 in this series, too.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
David Schwab

Week 5 Betting Recap

The Edmonton Eskimos kicked off Week 5 of the CFL regular season with last Thursday?s 33-6 rout over British Columbia closing as three-point road favorites. On Friday night, the Winnipeg Bombers remained perfect on the year both straight-up and against the spread after hammering Toronto 48-21 as heavy 15-point favorites at home.

Saturday?s CFL doubleheader started with Montreal stunning the Ottawa RedBlacks 36-19 as nine-point road underdogs. Later that day, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats got past Calgary 30-23 as four-point favorites at home to hold onto first place in the East Division title race.

Thursday, July 18

Toronto Argonauts (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Toronto is still searching for its first victory of the season behind an offense that has only scored a grand total of 59 points in its first four games. The Argonauts? defense has not been all that much better with a points-allowed average of 49.5. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson got the start at quarterback in Friday?s loss.

He completed just 56.4 percent of his 39 passing attempts for 388 yards and three scores and he was also picked off twice. Toronto gained 65 yards running the ball on 14 attempts.

The Stampeders fell to .500 with Saturday?s loss to Hamilton and two games off the pace in the West Division standings. Nick Arbuckle continues to fill in for an injured Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback. He put up some big numbers against the Tiger-Cats with 368 yards passing while completing 24-of-40 passing attempts, but he could not get the offense into the end zone through the air. Calgary?s rushing attack was almost nonexistent with 27 yards on nine carries.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won 10 of its last 11 games against Toronto SU and it has a 7-1 record ATS in the last eight meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six matchups in this inter-division clash.


Friday, July 19

Ottawa Roughriders (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Two weeks ago, Ottawa was on the wrong end of a 29-14 loss to Winnipeg closing as a three-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 54-point closing line. Last week?s stunning loss to Montreal as a heavy home favorite went OVER 51 ? points and the total has gone OVER in three of the RedBlacks? first four games.

That game was 9-9 at halftime before they were outscored by 17 points in the second half. Quarterback Dominique Davis scored a pair of touchdowns running the ball.

The Blue Bombers? strong start can be attributed to an offense that is averaging 34.5 points a game. They have also gotten some strong play from a defense that leads the CFL points allowed (19.8). They jumped out to a 21-0 lead against Toronto in the first quarter and cruised to their fourth win on the year.

QB Matt Nichols bounced back from a Week 4 injury to throw for 209 yards and three touchdowns in Friday?s romp.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have a 5-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last six games against Ottawa. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings overall and in six of the last nine meetings in Winnipeg.


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton Eskimos (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS at Montreal Alouettes (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Edmonton opened the season with a 32-25 victory over Montreal, but it could not cover as an eight-point favorite at home. The total went OVER 49 ?-point total line in that game. In Thursday?s 27-point win against BC, the Eskimos took a 16-3 lead into halftime. Trevor Harris went a highly efficient 22-for-28 throwing the ball for 276 passing yards and two scores. CJ Gable anchored the running game with 68 yards rushing on 19 carries.

Following a SU 0-2 start, Montreal is coming off back-to-back upsets as a heavy underdog. It beat Hamilton 36-29 in Week 4 as a 13 ?-point underdog at home ahead of Saturday?s upset on the road against Ottawa. The Alouettes got a career day from Vernon Adams Jr. at quarterback with 327 yards passing and two scoring strikes. William Stanback had another strong outing running the ball with 100 yards on 18 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Including the win in Week 1, Edmonton is a perfect 5-0 SU in its last five games against Montreal. It also has a perfect 5-0 record SU and ATS in its last five road games in this inter-division tilt. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups.

British Columbia Lions (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

High expectations have been met with a very disappointing performance in BC. The arrival of Mike Reilly at quarterback has failed to invigorate an offense that is averaging just 20.5 points per game. He was held to 157 yards passing in last Thursday?s loss to Edmonton with John White rushing for 53 yards on 11 attempts in the team?s 210 yards of total offense. The Lions? defense has allowed an average of 31.6 points in five games.

The Roughriders are coming off a Week 4 bye after losing to Calgary 37-10 the week before as five-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 51 ? points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in three of their first four outings. Saturday will be the first meeting in a home-and-home series against BC. Cody Fajardo has gotten the call at quarterback for an injured Zach Collaros. He has thrown for 945 yards and four touchdowns against two interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- The Lions have a 7-3 edge both SU and ATS in this West Division matchup over the past 10 meetings. They have also won four of the last six meetings SU in Saskatchewan. The total stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings at Mosaic Stadium.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, July 18

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing at home against Toront


Friday, July 19

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Montreal is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games at home
Montreal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 23 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 13 games when playing at home against British Columbia

 

[Cnotes53]

This report will update.....

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, July 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 4) at CALGARY (2 - 2) - 7/18/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (2 - 2) at WINNIPEG (4 - 0) - 7/19/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (3 - 1) at MONTREAL (2 - 2) - 7/20/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) - 7/20/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Thursday, July 18

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 689-690
July 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
105.650
Calgary
113.646
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 8
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 11 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+11 1/2); Under


Friday July 19

Ottawa @ Winnipeg

Game 691-692
July 19, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
105.090
Winnipeg
121.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 13 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 9 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-9 1/2); Under


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton @ Montreal

Game 693-694
July 20, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
106.338
Montreal
109.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+4 1/2); Over

BC Lions @ Saskatchewan

Game 695-696
July 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
106.363
Saskatchewan
104.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+3 1/2); Under

 

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 18

Toronto (0-4) @ Calgary (2-2)? Stampeders won nine of last ten series games, covering seven of last eight; Toronto lost last five visits here, last three by 16+ points. Argonauts are 6-20 vs spread in their last 26 road games; they?re 0-4 SU this season, with three losses by 25+ points- their road losses were 32-7/48-21. Calgary split its first four games, splitting pair of 4-point decisions at home; they allowed 30+ points in three of their four games. Stamps covered seven of last eight series games; under is 9-3 in last dozen series games played here.

Season totals through Week 6:
Home teams: 9-10
Favorites: 9-9
Over/under: 10-9

 

[Cnotes53]

Betting Recap - Week 5
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

This Week

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 5
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 5
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 5

Year To Date

-- Favorites are 13-6 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 10-9 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 11-8 SU overall
-- Away teams are 10-9 ATS overall
-- The 'Over' is 10-9 overall

Analysis

For the second consecutive week Montreal (2-2) picked up a huge victory as a big underdog, winning outright in Ottawa (2-2) by a 36-19 score as 8 1/2-point underdogs. They're 3-1 ATS this season, all as eight-point 'dogs or more. The 'over' has also connected in three of their four games overall.

For the Red Blacks, they lost outright for the second consecutive weekend as home favorites, but this one was a lot more shocking than Week 4. The RedBlacks have now failed to cover in three straight outings. Defense has been the biggest issue for Ottawa, as they have allowed at least 28 points in all four of their games. The 'over' is 3-1 as a result. The RedBlacks are now just 2-7 ATS across the past nine against losing teams, too.

Winnipeg (4-0) rolled up a 48-21 victory against Toronto (0-4) in a game which ended up about how everyone expected. Surprisingly, the Blue Bombers were 'just' a 15-point favorite, and they easily covered. In fact, Winnipeg had a 37-6 lead by halftime and put it on cruise control. The Bombers have scored 28 or more points in each of their four games, and they're a perfect 4-0 ATS overall.

The Argonauts posted their highest point total of the season (21), but that still didn't make up for their awful defense. They have yielded 32 or more points in three of their four outings. They're 1-3 ATS overall.

Edmonton (3-1) routed the BC Lions (1-4) by a 33-6 count, as the Eskimos improved to 3-5 ATS in the past eight after a bye week. The Esks are an impresive 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings against the Lions, however.

Speaking of the Lions, their only win came on a single as time expired against hapless Toronto last week. They're 1-4 SU/ATS in five games overall, and it doesn't get any easier with a home-and-home on tap against Saskatchewan (1-3), a team with plenty of offense.

In the marquee matchup of the weekend, Hamilton (4-1) handled their business against Calgary (2-2), who continues to adjust to life without QB Bo Levi Mitchell (pectoral). The Stampeders, normally strong against the number, have stumbled out to a 1-3 ATS start.

The Tiger-Cats bounced back from a loss to the Alouettes last week, and are now 4-1 SU/ATS. For Hamilton, the under is now 3-0 in their three home games, and the over is 2-0 in two outings on the road.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Argos will travel to Calgary to meet an angry Stamps side on Thursday night in Southern Alberta. Toronto has failed to cover in seven of the past eight games overall, and they're 6-20 ATS in the past 26 on the road. The Stamps are 2-5 ATS in the past seven against losing teams, but 7-1 ATS in the past eight in this series. The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in Calgary.

-- The RedBlacks and Blue Bombers hook up in Winnipeg on Friday night, and the scoreboard operator better be ready for a lot of action. Ottawa has managed a 26-10 ATS mark across their past 36 road games, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five overall. The Bombers are 5-0 ATS in the past five home games, and 37-18-1 ATS in the past 56 games overall. Winnipeg is also 5-1 ATS in the past six in this series.

-- The Esks and Als hook up on Saturday afternoon in Montreal. Edmonton has covered in just one of their past five games on the road, and they're 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games played in Week 6. The Als are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their past seven games on a Saturday. They're also 7-1 ATS in the past eight against teams iwth a winning overall record, and 4-0 ATS in the past four home outings. However, the Esks have covered five straight trips to Montreal, and they're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings overall in this series. The over is also 5-1-1 in the past seven battles in Montreal, and 12-3-1 in the past 16 meetings overall.

-- The Lions limp into Regina to take on the Roughriders in a battle between two teams with a combined record of 2-7 SU. BC is 1-4 ATS in the past five road games, 2-9 ATS in the past 11 against losing sides and 1-7 ATS in the past eight overall. They're also 1-5 ATS in the past six inside the West Division. On the flip side, the Riders are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against the West, while going 12-5 ATS in the past 17 following a straight-up loss. They're 4-1 ATS in the past five after a bye, too. In this series, the under is 9-2-1 in the past 12 battles in Regina, and 41-18-1 in the past 60 in this series, too.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
David Schwab

Week 5 Betting Recap

The Edmonton Eskimos kicked off Week 5 of the CFL regular season with last Thursday?s 33-6 rout over British Columbia closing as three-point road favorites. On Friday night, the Winnipeg Bombers remained perfect on the year both straight-up and against the spread after hammering Toronto 48-21 as heavy 15-point favorites at home.

Saturday?s CFL doubleheader started with Montreal stunning the Ottawa RedBlacks 36-19 as nine-point road underdogs. Later that day, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats got past Calgary 30-23 as four-point favorites at home to hold onto first place in the East Division title race.

Thursday, July 18

Toronto Argonauts (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Toronto is still searching for its first victory of the season behind an offense that has only scored a grand total of 59 points in its first four games. The Argonauts? defense has not been all that much better with a points-allowed average of 49.5. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson got the start at quarterback in Friday?s loss.

He completed just 56.4 percent of his 39 passing attempts for 388 yards and three scores and he was also picked off twice. Toronto gained 65 yards running the ball on 14 attempts.

The Stampeders fell to .500 with Saturday?s loss to Hamilton and two games off the pace in the West Division standings. Nick Arbuckle continues to fill in for an injured Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback. He put up some big numbers against the Tiger-Cats with 368 yards passing while completing 24-of-40 passing attempts, but he could not get the offense into the end zone through the air. Calgary?s rushing attack was almost nonexistent with 27 yards on nine carries.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won 10 of its last 11 games against Toronto SU and it has a 7-1 record ATS in the last eight meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six matchups in this inter-division clash.


Friday, July 19

Ottawa Roughriders (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Two weeks ago, Ottawa was on the wrong end of a 29-14 loss to Winnipeg closing as a three-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 54-point closing line. Last week?s stunning loss to Montreal as a heavy home favorite went OVER 51 ? points and the total has gone OVER in three of the RedBlacks? first four games.

That game was 9-9 at halftime before they were outscored by 17 points in the second half. Quarterback Dominique Davis scored a pair of touchdowns running the ball.

The Blue Bombers? strong start can be attributed to an offense that is averaging 34.5 points a game. They have also gotten some strong play from a defense that leads the CFL points allowed (19.8). They jumped out to a 21-0 lead against Toronto in the first quarter and cruised to their fourth win on the year.

QB Matt Nichols bounced back from a Week 4 injury to throw for 209 yards and three touchdowns in Friday?s romp.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have a 5-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last six games against Ottawa. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings overall and in six of the last nine meetings in Winnipeg.


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton Eskimos (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS at Montreal Alouettes (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Edmonton opened the season with a 32-25 victory over Montreal, but it could not cover as an eight-point favorite at home. The total went OVER 49 ?-point total line in that game. In Thursday?s 27-point win against BC, the Eskimos took a 16-3 lead into halftime. Trevor Harris went a highly efficient 22-for-28 throwing the ball for 276 passing yards and two scores. CJ Gable anchored the running game with 68 yards rushing on 19 carries.

Following a SU 0-2 start, Montreal is coming off back-to-back upsets as a heavy underdog. It beat Hamilton 36-29 in Week 4 as a 13 ?-point underdog at home ahead of Saturday?s upset on the road against Ottawa. The Alouettes got a career day from Vernon Adams Jr. at quarterback with 327 yards passing and two scoring strikes. William Stanback had another strong outing running the ball with 100 yards on 18 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Including the win in Week 1, Edmonton is a perfect 5-0 SU in its last five games against Montreal. It also has a perfect 5-0 record SU and ATS in its last five road games in this inter-division tilt. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups.

British Columbia Lions (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

High expectations have been met with a very disappointing performance in BC. The arrival of Mike Reilly at quarterback has failed to invigorate an offense that is averaging just 20.5 points per game. He was held to 157 yards passing in last Thursday?s loss to Edmonton with John White rushing for 53 yards on 11 attempts in the team?s 210 yards of total offense. The Lions? defense has allowed an average of 31.6 points in five games.

The Roughriders are coming off a Week 4 bye after losing to Calgary 37-10 the week before as five-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 51 ? points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in three of their first four outings. Saturday will be the first meeting in a home-and-home series against BC. Cody Fajardo has gotten the call at quarterback for an injured Zach Collaros. He has thrown for 945 yards and four touchdowns against two interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- The Lions have a 7-3 edge both SU and ATS in this West Division matchup over the past 10 meetings. They have also won four of the last six meetings SU in Saskatchewan. The total stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings at Mosaic Stadium.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, July 18

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing at home against Toront


Friday, July 19

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Montreal is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games at home
Montreal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 23 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 13 games when playing at home against British Columbia

 

[Cnotes53]

This report will update.....



CFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, July 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 4) at CALGARY (2 - 2) - 7/18/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (2 - 2) at WINNIPEG (4 - 0) - 7/19/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (3 - 1) at MONTREAL (2 - 2) - 7/20/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) - 7/20/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Thursday, July 18

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 689-690
July 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
105.650
Calgary
113.646
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 8
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 11 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+11 1/2); Under


Friday July 19

Ottawa @ Winnipeg

Game 691-692
July 19, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
105.090
Winnipeg
121.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 13 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 9 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-9 1/2); Under


Saturday, July 20

Edmonton @ Montreal

Game 693-694
July 20, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
106.338
Montreal
109.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+4 1/2); Over

BC Lions @ Saskatchewan

Game 695-696
July 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
106.363
Saskatchewan
104.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+3 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

PREVIEW
ARBUCKLE, STAMPS SET TO HOST CONFIDENT ARGOS
CFL.CA STAFF

CALGARY ? One sole Canadian Football League team is without a victory so far in 2019, and they hope to change their fortunes on the road.

?We?ve shown some sparks in the second half,? Argonauts head coach Corey Chamblin said. ?But we?ve got to be ready to go for all sixty minutes.?

The winless Toronto Argonauts get another crack at earning their first victory of the season when they visit the Calgary Stampeders at McMahon Stadium Thursday night.

The Argonauts have allowed the most points of all CFL teams this season and have allowed more than 32 points in all but one of their losses in 2019. Their most recent loss was a 48-21 drubbing against the league-best Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Despite the piling losses, the Double Blue still feel the best is yet to come.

?I think there?s a lot more out there,? Argos quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson said. ?We left a lot of yards on table. We didn?t play our best early. We still have that herky jerky, on and off game right now. So, once we put it altogether I think it?s going to be really fun to watch.

?We killed ourselves in the game (against Winnipeg) with a lot of two and outs and turnovers,? receiver Derel Walker said. ?Just not being able to allow ourselves to stay on the field.?

Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup Champion Stampeders are coming off their second loss of the season. The Stamps dropped a 30-23 game to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats five days ago. But quarterback Nick Arbuckle is already raring to get back onto the field.

?It?s good in that after you lose a game, any game, you can?t wait to get out on the field and make up for it,? Arbuckle said. ?With a short week you can do it that much faster.?

?Last game, we started off pretty well and then took turns messing up,?? Stampeders receiver Eric Rogers said. ?All three phases. Special teams sputtered there in the second quarter, then in the third the offence slowed down and when we needed a stop in the fourth we couldn?t get it.?

One guy who could help get the offence back on track is receiver Juwan Brescacin. The 26-year old will return to the lineup Thursday after missing games due to injury. In two games this season, Brescacin has four catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. The Mississauga, Ont. native is chomping at the bit to play again.

?I feel good,? Brescacin said. ?I feel like I had a pretty good week of practice. Especially coming off an injury for two weeks. I?m just looking forward to playing.?

Joining Brescacin into this week?s lineup is Montreal-born receiver Hergy Magala and fellow Canadian and offensive lineman David Brown. American defensive backs Lorenzo Jerome and Brandon Smith will also suit up along with defensive lineman Azeem Victor.

Lineman Justin Lawrence will also start at centre for the Stamps Thursday. The Edmonton native backed up Ryan Sceviour at guard. With centre Ucambre Williams on the injured list, there?s a hole to fill at centre. Lawrence says he?s played guard for most of his college career but feels he could be a fit in his position.

?I definitely have the body for a centre,? Lawrence said. ?Ever since I started playing it, just as my most permanent position, it?s become more natural for me.?

Toronto made some changes on its depth chart for Thursday?s game. Canadian linebacker Justin Herdman-Reed will start at middle linebacker for the Argos, moving Micah Awe from middle to the Will. Matthew Boateng also will start at defensive back instead of Anthony Covington.

International receiver Rodney Smith will get the nod over Llevi Noel. Noel has caught 21 passes for 199 yards, but fought off a couple of drops in Week 5, including one that resulted in an interception.

BY THE NUMBERS

388 ? Argos quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw for that many yards versus Winnipeg last week, in addition to three touchdowns.

12 ? The Stampeders have allowed 12 sacks through their first four games of the season. In their first four games last year, Calgary allowed only five.

5 ? Calgary Stampeders defensive back Tre Roberson has that many interceptions through four games this year. He?s on pace to break the league single-season record of 15 set by Al Brennan in 1972.

Kickoff is at 9 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN and ESPN 2, and followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, JULY 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at CGY 09:00 PM

CGY -12.0

O 52.5


****************************



CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

07/06/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
07/05/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/04/2019 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50



Totals..............18-10-0 64.28% +35.90


******************************


BEST BETS:


DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL


07/06/2019.............0 - 2....................-11.00.................2 - 0...................+10.00............-1.00
07/05/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/04/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................1 - 0...................+5.00..............-0.50
07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00


Totals..................... 7 - 7...................-3.50...................11 - 3..................+33.00............+29.50