CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

? Mavs 134, Warriors 132? Doncic had 42 points, Steph Curry scored 57.
? Kings 119, Nuggets 114? Nikola Jokic had 50 points, 12 assists in losing cause.
? 76ers 124, Nets 108? Durant, Irving didn?t play in this game.
? Hawks 132, Raptors 121? Atlanta made 19-36 3-pointers.
? Portland Pilots of the WCC fired hoop coach Kevin Porter.
? A?s traded DH Khris Davis to Texas, for SS Elvis Andrus.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a college hoop Saturday

13) Missouri 68, Alabama 65:
? This was Crimson Tide?s first loss in 11 SEC games.
? Mizzou led 58-36 with 13:05 left; Alabama had a layup blocked when they were down by a point in the last few seconds.
? Alabama?s 12-21 shooting on foul line didn?t help.

12) West Virginia 91, Kansas 79:
? Kansas has lost five in a row on road, for first time since 1983.
? Jayhawks are out of top 20 for first time since 2009.
? Kansas lost five of last seven games overall.
? West Virginia made 11-21 3-pointers; they?ve won 4 of last 5 games.

11) Tennessee 82, Kentucky 71:
? Wildcats lost three in row, 6 of last 7 games; they?re 5-12 overall.
? Vols outscored Kentucky 48-29 in second half.

10) Colorado 82, Arizona 79:
? Buffaloes jumped out to a 19-2 lead.
? Colorado made 11-20 3-pointers.
? Arizona lost three of its last four games.

9) Oklahoma State 75, Texas 67, 2OT:
? Longhorns lost four of last five games; they were 5-35 on the arc.
? Texas was 0-12 from the floor in the two overtimes.
? Longhorns are 0-3 since their 10-day COVID pause.
? Oklahoma State star Cunningham was 5-22 from the floor.

8) Drake 80, Valparaiso 77:
? Drake is the quietest 18-0 team ever; they?ve played schedule #260.
? Crusaders won despite trailing by 10 at the half.
? Drake has trailed by double digits in four of its last ten games.
? Drake plays Loyola twice next week, battle of MVC kingpins.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Ball State (+8.5) 81, Toledo 67
? UMass (+8) 75, Rhode Island 63
? Bakersfield (+7) 62, Irvine 57
? Wofford (+6) 75, Furman 67
? Chattanooga (+5.5) 67, East Tennessee State 65
? Fordham (+5.5) 76, LaSalle 68
? UCF (+5) 65, Tulsa 58
? Middle Tennessee (+5) 72, Charlotte 60

6) Wofford 75, Furman 67:
? Wofford snaps Paladins? 19-game home win streak.
? Furman was 12-40 on arc, 14-24 inside arc, 3-6 on foul line.
? Wofford was down 9 with 10:51 left; they made 10-25 on the arc.

5) North Carolina 91, Duke 87:
? Blue Devils lost five of last seven games, are 3-6 vs top 100 teams.
? North Carolina made 10 of its 15 3-point shots, scored 1.20 ppp.
? Tar Heels won seven of their last nine games.

4) Virginia Tech 80, Miami 76 OT:
? Miami hit a 3-pointer with 0:02.1 left to take the lead.
? Hokies hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime.
? Va Tech is 14-4, 8-3 in ACC:
? Miami?s five starters all played 38+ minutes.

3) Ole Miss 86, Auburn 84, OT:
? Auburn led by 14 with 16:43 left in game.
? Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 87 ppg.
? Devontae Shuler stuck an 18-foot jumper at buzzer for the win.

2) Clemson 78, Syracuse 61:
? Syracuse lost last four road games, giving up 84 ppg.
? Orangemen are worst defensive rebounding team in the ACC.
? Clemson won three of last four games, is 6-5 in ACC.

1) USC 66, UCLA 48:
? LA rivals are now tied for first in the Pac-12.
? UCLA shot 3-19 on arc, 3-8 on foul line.

 

[Cnotes53]

795CINCINNATI -796 TULANE
TULANE is 66-121 ATS (-67.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

797IOWA -798 INDIANA
INDIANA is 54-28 ATS (23.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game since 1997.

801TOWSON ST -802 COLL OF CHARLESTON
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 105-136 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games since 1997.

803EVANSVILLE -804 LOYOLA-IL
LOYOLA-IL is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

807DRAKE -808 VALPARAISO
DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

809DREXEL -810 HOFSTRA
DREXEL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

811GEORGETOWN -812 VILLANOVA
VILLANOVA is 154-112 ATS (30.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

815TEMPLE -816 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

817INDIANA ST -818 N IOWA
N IOWA is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

821BOISE ST -822 NEVADA
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game in the current season.


*********************


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 7

**************************


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 7

Cincinnati @ Tulane
Cincinnati (4-7, 2-4)
? ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #213
? Bearcats won at Temple Thursday, their first game in 25 days.
? Cincy is shooting 28.4% on arc (#327)
? Bearcats? last five games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.

Tulane (7-6, 2-6)
? ranked #179 by KenPom
? Tempo: #257
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #308
? Tulane lost four of its last five games.
? Green Wave has #338 eFG% in country.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Tulane is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#41)

? Cincinnati won six of last seven series games.
? Bearcats won three of last four visits to Bourbon Street.

Iowa @ Indiana
Iowa (13-5, 7-4)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #95
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #46
? Iowa lost three of its last four games.
? Hawkeyes are 12-0 when they allow fewer than 80 points.
? Iowa has #16 eFG% in country.

Indiana (9-8, 4-6)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #300
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #82
? Hoosiers lost four of their last six games.
? Indiana lost its last three home games.
? Hoosiers lost 6 of last 7 times they scored fewer than 80 points.

? Hoosiers won 81-69 at Iowa January 11.
? Indiana won seven of last ten series games.
? Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Indiana.

Georgetown @ Villanova
Georgetown (5-8, 3-5)
? ranked #94 by KenPom
? Tempo: #129
? Experience: #50
? Continuity: #244
? Hoyas won last two games, after a 1-6 skid.
? Georgetown is 1-3 on Big East road, losing by 11-11-8 points.
? Hoyas are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#270)

Villanova (11-2, 6-1)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #8
? Villanova is 9-1 in last 10 games, losing at St John?s Wednesday.
? Wildcats are 3-0 in Big East home games, winning by 19-2-15 points.
? Villanova has #54 eFG% in country.

? Villanova won 76-63 at Georgetown December 11.
? Wildcats won 11 of last 12 series games.
? Hoyas lost their last eight visits to Villanova, all by 10+ points.

Temple @ Wichita State
Temple (4-6, 3-6)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #155
? Experience: #232
? Continuity: #292
? Temple lost three of its last four games.
? Owls lost two of three on road, by 26 at Houston, by 11 at SMU
? Temple has #313 eFG% in country.

Wichita State (10-4, 6-2)
? ranked #80 by KenPom
? Tempo: #136
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #232
? Wichita won four of its last five games.
? Shockers are 4-0 at home in ACC (3 wins by 8 or less points)
? Wichita has #306 eFG% in country.

? Wichita State is 4-3 in series games.
? Owls lost two of last three visits here, losing by 7-3 points.

Boise State @ Nevada
Boise State (14-3, 10-2)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #152
? Experience: #76
? Continuity: #243
? Boise lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 13-1 start.
? Broncos won three of five Mountain West road games.
? Boise lost three of its five top 100 games.

Nevada (13-7, 8-5)
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #334
? Continuity: #301
? Nevada won its last three games, scoring 78.3 ppg.
? Wolf Pack won six of their seven MW home games.
? Nevada shot 62.9% inside arc in Friday nite?s win.

? Broncos lost 74-72 here Friday night; Nevada outscored Boise 14-7 over final 4:48.
? Nevada won nine of last ten series games.
? Broncos lost their last five games in Reno.

California @ Stanford
? ranked #148 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #99
? Cal lost its last five games, scoring 59.6 ppg.
? Golden Bears lost 6 of 7 Pac-12 road games, winning at Utah.
? Opponents are shooting 39.8% on arc (#341).

Stanford (11-7, 7-5)
? ranked #45 by KenPom
? Tempo: #96
? Experience: #295
? Continuity: #77
? Stanford lost four of its last seven games.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 21.0% of time in Pac-12 games (#11)
? Stanford lost 72-66 to USC in its only game at Maples Pavilion- they played most of their ?home? games in Santa Cruz.

? Stanford won 70-55 in Berkeley Friday night- they shot 61.1% inside arc.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Golden Bears lost four of last seven games in Palo Alto.

Towson State @ Charleston
Towson State (3-11, 2-7)
? ranked #273 by KenPom
? Tempo: #263
? Experience: #216
? Continuity: #234
? Towson lost its last six games, last two by total of three points.
? Tigers are 0-4 on CAA road, with three losses by 13+ points.
? Towson has #307 eFG% in country (28.9% on arc, #321).

Charleston (6-8, 4-3)
? ranked #223 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #100
? Continuity: #251
? Cougars won four of their last six games.
? Charleston won three of five CAA home games.
? Charleston has #281 eFG% defense in country.

? Towson lost 90-88 in double OT here yesterday- they led by 8 with 6:56 left.
? Charleston won last five series games.
? Tigers lost their last six visits to Charleston.

Drake @ Valparaiso
Drake (18-0, 9-0)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #74
? Continuity: #179
? Drake has been down 10+ points in 4 of its last 10 games.
? Bulldogs have #26 eFG% defense in country.
? Drake is grabbing 35.2% of its missed shots (#18)

Valparaiso (6-12, 3-6)
? ranked #222 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #278
? Continuity: #104
? Valpo lost its last three games, scoring 60 ppg
? Crusaders are 1-4 in MVC home games; the win was in double OT.
? Valpo has #293 eFG%; they?re shooting 29.2% on arc (#315)

? Drake won 80-77 here yesterday; they were down 10 at the half.
? Crusaders lost yesterday despite making 12-29 on arc.
? Drake won four of last five series games.
? Bulldogs split their last four games at Valpo.

Drexel @ Hofstra
Drexel (8-6, 3-4)
? ranked #154 by KenPom
? Tempo: #334
? Experience: #154
? Continuity: #4
? Drexel won two of its last three games, all on road.
? Dragons are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#46)
? Drexel lost three of their four top 200 games.

Hofstra (11-7, 7-4)
? ranked #163 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #79
? Hofstra won five of its last six games.
? Hofstra is 4-2 in ACC home games (losses by 3-2 points)
? Hofstra is shooting 31.2% on arc (#275)

? Drexel made 10-16 on arc, won 73-71 here yesterday.
? Hofstra had won previous 8 series games, before yesterday.
? Dragons lost six of their last seven visits to Hofstra.

Evansville @ Loyola Chi
Evansville (8-9, 6-5)
? ranked #228 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #44
? Continuity: #231
? Evansville lost its last three road games, by 9-31-13 points.
? Purple Aces are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 35-9-13 points.
? Opponents are shooting 39.2% on arc (#333)

Loyola Chi (16-3, 11-1)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #324
? Experience: #43
? Continuity: #14
? Ramblers won their last nine games.
? Loyola is 5-0 in MVC home games; all five wins were by 13+.
? Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25).

? Loyola won yesterday?s meeting 68-55; Evansville took one foul shot.
? Ramblers won last seven series games.
? Purple Aces lost their last five visits here.

Missouri State @ Illinois State
Missouri State (10-5, 6-5)
? ranked #131 by KenPom
? Tempo: #100
? Experience: #222
? Continuity: #288
? Bears lost four of their last five games.
? Missouri State is 4-1 on road, 2-4 at home in Valley games.
? Bears are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

Illinois State (5-13, 2-10)
? ranked #233 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #332
? Continuity: #263
? Illinois State lost their last five games.
? Redbirds lost five of six MVC home games, beating Bradley.
? Illinois State is shooting 61.0% on foul line (#340).

? Missouri State shot 59.4% inside arc, won 74-67 here yesterday.
? Bears won four of last five series games.
? Missouri State won last two visits here, after losing previous eight.

Indiana State @ Northern Iowa
Indiana State (11-7, 8-5)
? ranked #129 by KenPom
? Tempo: #230
? Experience: #162
? Continuity: #68
? Sycamores won their last seven games.
? Indiana State is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#34)
? Sycamores shot 56.7% inside arc in yesterday?s win.

Northern Iowa (5-12, 3-8)
? ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #106
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #191
? UNI lost five of its last six D-I games.
? UNI lost three of its five Valley home games.
? Panthers have #307 eFG% defense in country.

? Indiana State won 61-57 here yesterday, after trailing by 9 early.
? Sycamores won six of last eight series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Southern Illinois @ Bradley
Southern Illinois (8-7, 2-7)
? ranked #205 by KenPom
? Tempo: #243
? Experience: #340
? Continuity: #259
? Salukis lost seven of last eight games, after a 7-0 start.
? SIU lost all five of its MVC road games (3 losses by 12+).
? Salukis are shooting 39.3% on the arc (#13)

Bradley (10-10, 4-7)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #279
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #204
? Bradley snapped a 6-game skid with yesterday?s win.
? Braves won three of their five Valley home games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.3% inside the arc (#7)

? Bradley won 74-66 here yesterday, going 10-23 on arc, 20-21 on line.
? Braves won last four series games.
? Salukis lost 67-48/74-66 in last two visits to Peoria.

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CIN at TULN 12:00 PM
CIN -6.0......64 - 61......LOSER

IOWA at IND 12:00 PM
IND +3.0......65 - 57.......WINNER

LAF at L-MD 12:00 PM
L-MD -2.0

TOWS at COFC 01:00 PM
COFC -3.5.....53 - 66......WINNER

EVAN at L-IL 02:00 PM
EVAN +18.0

DRKE at VALP 02:00 PM
VALP +12.5

HP at HAMP 02:00 PM
HAMP +2.0.....72 - 68.....LOSER

QUIN at FAIR 02:00 PM
FAIR +3.5

DREX at HOF 02:00 PM
HOF -3.5.....74 - 79.....WINNER

COPP at NORF 02:00 PM
NORF -6.5.....72 - 84.....WINNER

GTWN at VILL 02:30 PM
GTWN +13.5

TEM at WICH 03:00 PM
WICH -8.5.....67 - 70.....LOSER

MOSU at ILST 03:00 PM
MOSU -6.0....72 - 62....WINNER

SIU at BRAD 04:00 PM
BRAD -8.0

INST at UNI 04:00 PM
INST +2.5.....67 - 70......LOSER

BSU at NEV 04:00 PM
NEV +5.5.....62 - 73......WINNER

CAL at STAN 10:00 PM
STAN -10.5....70- 76.....LOSER




FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5...........+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17.........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9..........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS................65 - 55...........+22.50

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
? Indiana 67, Iowa 65? Hawkeyes lost four of last five games.
? Valparaiso 74, Drake 57? Drake (18-1) loses for first time this year.
? Cincinnati 64, Temple 61? Bearcats outscored Owls 21-11 over final 9:57
? Nevada 73, Boise State 62? Why isn?t Steve Alford the coach at Indiana?
? Villanova 84, Georgetown 74? Under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 22-41 in Big East.
? Kings 113, Clippers 110? Sacramento won 7 of its last 8 games.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I think light years. Just the mixture of all those guys in the secondary [and] solidifying the front. Again, going into last season, we had to get Shaq [Barrett] back [and] we had to get [Ndamukong] Suh back. Keeping everybody there [and] now getting Vita [Vea] back. That secondary was the key. Getting guys that could play man-to-man, that were aggressive bump-and-run type people that could also play zone, rather than soft zone players. It took a while, but I think Todd (Bowles) has just done a tremendous job and we?ve been winning with defense.?
Bruce Arians

Monday?s quiz
When Tampa Bay won its first Super Bowl title, who was coaching the Raiders that day?

Sunday?s quiz
Tampa Bay beat the Oakland Raiders in the previous Super Bowl appearance.

Saturday?s quiz
Drew Bledsoe was the Patriots? starting quarterback before Tom Brady.

************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up Super Bowl Sunday

13) Coming into this season, in Tampa Bay?s entire franchise history, they had a 6-9 record in playoff games, and they had even won a Super Bowl before.

Summing that up, the Buccaneers had won six playoff GAMES. Tom Brady had six Super Bowl rings, making him a pretty solid upgrade over the previous Tampa Bay starter, Jameis Winston.

12) Tom Brady now has seven Super Bowl rings. Tampa Bay has 10 playoff wins.

11) Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9:
? Teams combined to convert only 7-25 third down plays.
? Penalties in first half: Chiefs 8 for 95 yards, Tampa Bay one for 5 yards.

10) Tell your statistics to shut up: Chiefs outgained Tampa Bay, 350-340.

Chiefs gained 64-65-48 yards on last three drives, after the issue had been decided.

9) On their first seven drives, Tampa Bay scored four TD?s and were stopped on the 1-yard line on another drive.

8) On the drive where the Chiefs stopped Tampa Bay on the 1-yard line, Bucs threw a pass on 2nd down to OL Joe Haeg- it was broken up by a defender. No offensive lineman has ever scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl- he could?ve been the first.

7) Good trivia question: who was Tampa Bay?s backup QB?

Playing for his 4th NFL team in four years, it was Blaine Gabbert, who has a 13-35 career record as an NFL starter, mostly with Jacksonville. He looked happier as hell on the sidelines near the end of Sunday?s game. Super Bowl rings are hard to find, unless you stumble onto one at a Las Vegas pawn shop, or if you?re Vladimir Putin.

Quick side story: Patriots? owner Robert Kraft does business in Russia; he met Putin once, and took off his Super Bowl ring to show Putin, who then stuck the ring in his pocket and quickly walked away, never to be seen again. Seriously, that really happened.

6) Jerry Greene of Detroit News covered his 55th consecutive Super Bowl Sunday; he is the only media member to cover every Super Bowl.

5) Chiefs? over/under for the game was 3.5 touchdowns; they didn?t score one. Kansas City had three drives in the red zone, scored on only one of those drives, a field goal.

4) If you have a friend/relative who went all in wagering on the Chiefs Sunday, you might want to avoid them for a few days- they could be looking for a loan.

3) We mentioned couple of times over weekend that over the last 27 years, Super Bowl teams who were a #3 or lower seed in their conference were 10-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls; now we can make that 11-0-1 ATS. Not really sure why that is true; guess it speaks to teams gaining a lot of momentum/confidence as they get rolling in the playoffs.

2) Odds to win the Super Bowl next year:
11-2? Kansas City
9-1? Green Bay
11-1? Tampa Bay
12-1? Baltimore, Buffalo

1) Elsewhere, Brooks Koepka chipped in for eagle on the 17th hole to win the Phoenix Open; it was his second eagle of the day, when he shot a 6-under par 65.

 

[smax]

Steve Alford

Steve Alford

Player-- yes

Coach-- yes

Person-- "King Steve" and Bob Bowlsby went to great lengths to cover up the "Perv Pierce" rape
when he was at Iowa. :nono:

In a climate where athletes are known for this behavior, NO big school is willing to take that chance hiring someone that will tarnish the University.
You can cheat at recruiting. You can be a prick. But memory of the Iowa incident should keep him out of any quality university. Bowlsby should be working at an Arby's.
Both of these guys are despicable.

 

[Udog]

841QUINNIPIAC -842 FAIRFIELD
QUINNIPIAC is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

845SMU -846 E CAROLINA
SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

847UNC-GREENSBORO -848 FURMAN
UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

849SAMFORD -850 MERCER
SAMFORD is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

851MIAMI -852 N CAROLINA
N CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

853OREGON ST -854 COLORADO
OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games in the current season.

855AUSTIN PEAY -856 TENN-MARTIN
AUSTIN PEAY is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

857NEBRASKA -858 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

859AIR FORCE -860 UNLV
AIR FORCE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

861OHIO ST -862 MARYLAND
MARYLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 8

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 8

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Monday, February 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 8

Quinnipiac @ Fairfield
Quinnipiac (5-6, 3-4)
? ranked #254 by KenPom
? Tempo: #85
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #162
? Yesterday was Quinnipiac?s first game in 15 days.
? Opponents are shooting 41.1% inside arc (#3)
? Bobcats lost four of five games played away from home.

Fairfield (3-13, 3-8)
? ranked #336 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #183
? Continuity: #214
? Yesterday was Fairfield?s first game in 22 days.
? Stags lost eight of their last ten games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Fairfield has #326 eFG% in country (44.5% inside arc, #316)

? Quinnipiac won 78-63 here Sunday, making 11-22 on the arc.
? Bobcats won last four series games.
? Quinnipiac won five of its last six visits here.

Eastern Kentucky @ SIU-Edwardsville
Eastern Kentucky (14-4, 8-3)
? ranked #176 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #297
? Continuity: #189
? EKU lost its last two games, giving up 94-76 points.
? Three of Colonels? last five wins came in OT.
? EKU is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#3)

SIU-Edwardsville (7-9, 5-5)
? ranked #306 by KenPom
? Tempo: #153
? Experience: #182
? Continuity: #265
? Cougars lost three of their last four games, all at home.
? SIU-E lost five of six games vs teams ranked in top 200.
? Cougars are turning ball over 23.9% of time (#335)

? SIU-E won three of last four series games.
? EKU lost their last four visits to Edwardsville

SMU @ East Carolina
SMU (10-4, 6-4)
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #160
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #56
? Mustangs won four of their last six games.
? SMU is 3-2 on AAC road, losing at Memphis/Houston.
? Opponents are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#18)

East Carolina (8-7, 2-7)
? ranked #135 by KenPom
? Tempo: #198
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #8
? ECU lost six of its last seven games, but the win was over Houston.
? Pirates are 2-3 in AAC home games, losing by 6-27-9 points.
? East Carolina has #282 eFG% in country.

? Pirates lost 70-55 at SMU December 16, after leading 13-5 early on.
? SMU won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Mustangs won three of last four visits to ECU.

Samford @ Mercer
Samford (6-8, 2-5)
? ranked #251 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #57
? Continuity: #340
? This is Samford?s first game in 19 days.
? Samford lost five of its last six games.
? Bulldogs are 2-4 on road; they?re only team that beat Belmont.

Mercer (10-7, 3-6)
? ranked #157 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #253
? Mercer lost its last three games, by 13-6-3 points.
? Bears split their four SoCon home games SU.
? Mercer has #22 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #27).

? Mercer is 12-0 vs Samford in SoCon meetings.
? Bulldogs lost last six visits here; three of last four were by 6 or fewer points.

NC-Greensboro @ Furman
NC-Greensboro (13-5, 8-2)
? ranked #108 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #89
? Spartans won their last seven games.
? UNCG was held to 61-45 points in its two SoCon losses.
? Spartans won last seven road games- they lost at Coppin State .December 10

Furman (13-7, 8-5)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #105
? Continuity: #14
? Paladins had 19-game home winning streak snapped Saturday.
? Furman lost three of its last four games overall.
? Paladins are shooting 60.1% inside arc (#3)

? UNCG won six of last eight series games.
? Spartans won three of last four visits here.

Miami @ North Carolina
Miami (7-11, 3-10)
? ranked #120 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #24
? Miami lost five of its last six games.
? Hurricanes lost last four road tilts, three of them by 22+ points.
? Miami split last two games, both decided by a basket.

North Carolina (12-6, 7-4)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #149
? Carolina won seven of its last nine games.
? Tar Heels have #235 eFG%; they?re grabbing 40% of their missed shots (#2)
? Quick turnaround after they beat Duke, always their most important game.

? Tar Heels won 67-65 in Miami January 5.
? North Carolina won last five series games.
? Miami lost last two visits to Chapel Hill, by 3-23 points.

Oregon State @ Colorado
Oregon State (10-7, 6-5)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #159
? Beavers are 5-2 at home, 1-3 on road in Pac-12 games, with losses by 4-13-5 points.
? Oregon State is shooting 44.7% inside arc (#311)
? Beavers are 1-3 on road, with only win at #41 Oregon.

Colorado (14-5, 8-4)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #271
? Experience: #28
? Continuity: #92
? Buffaloes won seven of their last nine games.
? Colorado was up 19-2 on Arizona Saturday, hung on to win by 3.
? Buffs? last three losses were by 3-4-3 points.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Beavers won their last two visits to Boulder.

Austin Peay @ Tenn-Martin
Austin Peay (11-7, 7-5)
? ranked #189 by KenPom
? Tempo: #269
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #130
? Governors lost three of their last four games.
? All five starters played 33:00+ in Saturday?s OT loss to Morehead St.
? Austin Peay has #327 eFG% defense in country.

Tenn-Martin (6-11, 4-9)
? ranked #347 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #224
? Continuity: #339
? Skyhawks are 3-2 in last five games, after an 0-9 skid.
? UTM is 0-8 vs top 200 teams, with six losses by 20+ points.
? Opponents are shooting 58.1% inside arc (#340)

? Austin Peay won last six series games.
? Governors won last three visits here, by 2-2-11 points.

Nebraska @ Minnesota
Nebraska (4-9, 0-6)
? ranked #123 by KenPom
? Tempo: #27
? Experience: #100
? Continuity: #318
? Nebraska lost by 10 at Michigan State Saturday, its first game in 22 days.
? Cornhuskers lost their last eight D-I games, six of them by 10+ points.
? Nebraska has #295 eFG% (#285 on arc, #269 inside arc)

Minnesota (11-7, 4-7)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #107
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #187
? Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
? Gophers are 4-1 at home, 0-6 on road in Big 14 games.
? Minnesota has #286 eFG% in country.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Cornhuskers lost six of last seven visits here, losing last two by 7-32 points.

Air Force @ UNLV
Air Force (4-13, 2-11)
? ranked #325 by KenPom
? Tempo: #354
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #223
? Air Force lost its last six games, scoring 59.3 ppg.
? Falcons are 1-4 on Mountain West road, losing by 17-19-11-10 points.
? Opponents are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#341)

UNLV (7-9, 4-5)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #258
? Continuity: #285
? UNLV lost three of its last four games.
? Rebels won four of five MW home games- they split with Utah State.
? UNLV is getting 39.9% of its points on the arc (#14)

? Rebels won here Saturday, 68-58; Air Force was 15-32 on arc, UNLV 2-14.
? UNLV won six of last seven series games.
? Air Force lost last seven series games played here.

Ohio State @ Maryland
Ohio State (15-4, 9-4)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #266
? Experience: #98
? Continuity: #179
? Buckeyes won four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Ohio State won last four road games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
? Buckeyes are 5-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

Maryland (10-9, 4-8)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #307
? Experience: #159
? Continuity: #93
? Maryland split last six Big 14 games, after a 1-5 start.
? Terrapins lost four of seven Big 14 home games.
? In their last three games, Maryland scored only 55.3 ppg.

? Maryland won three of last four series games.
? Buckeyes lost last four visits to College Park.

Oklahoma State @ Kansas
Oklahoma State (12-5, 5-5)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #320
? Continuity: #286
? Cowboys won five of their last seven games.
? Oklahoma State won three of their last four road games.
? Cowboys played four starters 40:00+ in Saturday?s OT win over Texas.
? Freshman star Cunningham was 5-22 from floor in Saturday?s game.

Kansas (12-7, 6-5)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #186
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #112
? Kansas lost five of its last seven games.
? Jayhawks are 4-1 in Big 14 home games.
? Kansas is grabbing 32% of its own missed shots (#64).

? Jayhawks lost 75-70 in Stillwater January 12.
? Kansas is 4-3 in last seven series games.
? Cowboys lost their last 13+ games in Lawrence.

Gonzaga @ BYU
Gonzaga (18-0, 9-0)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #7
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #182
? Gonzaga has eight top 100 wins, only one in last eight games.
? Four of their five WCC road wins were by 18+ points.
? Gonzaga is shooting 64.7% inside arc (#1)

BYU (15-4, 6-2)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #206
? Experience: #79
? Continuity: #273
? BYU won six of seven games since the Gonzaga loss.
? Cougars are 6-3 in top 100 games this season.
? BYU is shooting 55.5% inside the arc (#28)

? BYU lost 86-69 at Gonzaga January 7.
? Gonzaga won six of last seven series games.
? Zags won five of last six visits here, but lost 91-78 here LY.

San Jose State @ San Diego State
San Jose State (5-11, 3-9)
? ranked #314 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #221
? Continuity: #239
? San Jose won its last three games, after an 0-11 start vs D-I teams.
? Spartans are 0-7 vs top 100 teams, with six losses by 27+ points.
? Opponents are shooting 56.1% inside arc (#328)

San Diego State (13-4, 7-3)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #152
? This is Aztecs? first game in nine days.
? San Diego State won its last four games, all by 27+ points.
? Aztecs are forcing turnovers 23.2% of the time (#17)

? San Diego State won five in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
? Spartans lost last six visits here, five of them by 15+ points.

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

EKY at SIUE 03:00 PM
SIUE +9.5.....78 - 74......WINNER
O 150.5

HP at HAMP 04:00 PM
HP -2.5....71 - 76.......LOSER

UNCG at FUR 05:00 PM
UNCG +4.0.....49 - 68......LOSER
O 143.5....LOSER

WEBB at SCUS 05:00 PM
WEBB -4.5.....69 - 77....LOSER

SMU at ECU 05:00 PM
SMU -6.5

L-MD at LAF 07:00 PM
LAF -1.0

ORST at COLO 07:00 PM
ORST +12.5.....49 - 78....LOSER
O 138.5

COPP at NORF 07:00 PM
NORF -6.5......74 - 64......LOSER

SAM at MER 07:00 PM
MER -9.5

MIA at UNC 07:00 PM
MIA +9.5

PEAY at UTM 07:00 PM
PEAY -12.5.....75 - 76.....LOSER
O 140.5

ACU at AMCC 08:00 PM
AMCC +15.0

NEB at MINN 08:00 PM
MINN -10.0
O 148.5

GRAM at ALCN 08:30 PM
GRAM +1.0

ARPB at AAMU 08:30 PM
AAMU -10.0

AFA at UNLV 09:00 PM
UNLV -14.0.....64 - 69....LOSER

MVSU at ALST 09:00 PM
ALST -18.5

OSU at MD 09:00 PM
OSU -3.0....73 - 65.....WINNER

JKST at SOU 09:00 PM
SOU -2.5

OKST at KU 09:00 PM
OKST +6.5......66 - 78....LOSER

SJSU at SDSU 11:00 PM
SJSU +27.0

GONZ at BYU 11:00 PM
GONZ -10.5....82 - 71......WINNER
O 155.5......LOSER



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5...........+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17.........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9..........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS................68 - 65...........-17.50

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

? Kansas 78, Oklahoma State 66? Jayhawks win for third time in last eight games.
? Ohio State 73, Maryland 65? Buckeyes win their fifth game in a row.
? Gonzaga 82, BYU 71? Zags are 19-0, with three regular season games left.
? Colorado 78, Oregon State 49? NFL ref Bill Vinovich worked this game.
? Mercer 89, Samford 82, 2OT? Mercer was 13-31 on arc, Samford 3-20
? Tenn-Martin 76, Austin Peay 75? Skyhawks were a 12-point underdog.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 463,584
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but??..

13) Former Raiders/Seahawks? coach Tom Flores got elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame over the weekend; he seems like a good guy, won two Super Bowls. Congratulations.

Flores was 83-53 (.610) as coach of the Raiders, but in the nine years before he was their head coach, the Raiders were 91-31-6 (.746). Flores? had an 8-3 record in playoff games, won two Super Bowls, which got him inducted. Fair enough.

I?ll repeat myself here:
Flores with Oakland 83-53 (.610)
9 years before that, Raiders were 91-31-6 (.746).

He later coached the Seahawks for three years, going 14-34.

12) I bring this up because if Tom Flores gets inducted into the Hall of Fame, then Dick Vermeil should get inducted, too. Here is Coach Vermeil?s resume:

1976-82? Eagles 54-47 (53.5%), won NFC title in his 5th year
8 years before that, Eagles were: 33-74-5 (30.8%)

1997-99? Rams 22-26 (45.8%), won Super Bowl in his 3rd year
7 years before that, Rams were 34-76 (30.9%)

2001-05? Chiefs 44-36 (.550)
3 years before that, Chiefs were 23-25 (.479)

It is a lot harder to turn around a losing program and make them champs. Coach Vermeil got to the Super Bowl with two franchises that were dumpster fires when he got there. It is time he got his day and was inducted into the Hall of Fame.

11) Houston Texans hired David Culley as their new head coach; he was the QB coach for Buffalo in Josh Allen?s rookie year, 2018. He?s never been an NFL coordinator.

Brian Daboll hasn?t gotten a head coaching job yet; he has been Buffalo?s offensive coordinator the last three years.

If you watched Josh Allen play in 2018, then watched him play this year, how on God?s green earth could you hire the QB coach from back then, and not Daboll, who has helped Allen?s skill level progress exponentially? It is nonsensical!!!!

10) Robert Morris College made a pretty big jump up in college basketball this year, moving from the NEC to the Horizon League, jumping from the 29th-ranked league to league #19.

Things aren?t going well; the Colonials are 2-11 vs D-I teams, 2-9 in Horizon League, losing their last eight games in a row. But four of their last seven losses came in overtime; including their last three home games.

Seems like this is a rough year for anything new in college basketball; changing leagues means all new road trips, and it is a much better league, with new, tougher opponents. Robert Morris went 24-12 in the NEC the last two years; sounds like they need to step up their recruiting some.

9) You look at the college basketball top 25, and none of these teams are ranked:
Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, UCLA

Last time these five teams were unranked at the same time? 1961.

8) Tampa Bay RB Leonard Fournette scored a TD in all four of Tampa Bay?s playoff games this year, joining Terrell Davis (1997), Larry Fitzgerald (2008) as only players to score a TD in four playoff games in the same season.

7) How is Ben Simmons a career 56.4% shooter on the foul line? The guy is one of the best passers I?ve ever seen, he?s a really, really good player but he can?t shoot- go figure.

6) Speaking of shooting, I heard yesterday that Stephen Curry turns 33 years old next month; time flies, doesn?t it? Can still remember sitting in Graney?s Bar on New Scotland Avenue, watching his Davidson team play in the NCAAs. Hard to believe it was 13 years ago.

Quick aside; if you?re ever in Albany, Graney?s is an excellent sports bar. Lot of TV?s, good food and the bartenders are very attractive. Very good place to watch ballgames.

5) Baseball stuff:
? Cardinals signed C Yadier Molina for one year, $9M
? Angels signed DH Shohei Ohtani for two years, $8.5M.

4) Washington State suspended its starting QB after the kid was arrested for DUI; he went thru a stop sign, then drove the wrong way down a one-way street. Not good.

3) The great basketball scout Tom Konchalski passed away Monday at age 74, after a battle with cancer. He was widely praised as a kind and trusted counselor, a historian of New York-area basketball and he has been remembered by many as a great friend. When you?re from New York City and get praised as being a nice person, you KNOW he was a nice person.

2) On national TV Sunday, Jeff Van Gundy/Mark Jackson were praising Mr Konchalski- Rutgers hired Van Gundy as an assistant coach, largely on Konchalski?s recommendation to Bob Wenzel, who was the Scarlet Knights? coach back then. Mark Jackson was a great high school player in NYC, and also spoke highly of Mr Konchalski.

1) Long time ago, November 2000, I was.a lucky enough to be an assistant coach at Schenectady HS; our team drove south and scrimmaged Christ the King in the Bronx. Mr Konchalski was there; he was a great gym rat, and he knew the top-flight recruits for sure, but he also studied the D-3 level players. He just loved basketball, and was a basketball encyclopedia. RIP, sir.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 9

Notre Dame @ Duke
Notre Dame (7-10, 4-7)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #262
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #125
? Notre Dame won four of its last six games.
? Irish won two of last three road tilts, at Miami/Pitt.
? In its last three games, Notre Dame scored 81 ppg.

Duke (7-7, 5-5)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #120
? Experience: #343
? Continuity: #248
? Duke lost five of its last seven games.
? Blue Devils are 4-5 in top 100 games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? ACC opponents are shooting 40.6% on arc (#15 of 15)

? Duke won 75-65 at Notre Dame December 16.
? Duke won last seven series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Syracuse @ NC State
Syracuse (10-6, 4-5)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #74
? Syracuse lost its last four road games, giving up 84 ppg.
? Orangemen are worst team in ACC on defensive boards.
? Syracuse is 4-6 vs top 100 teams.

NC State (8-7, 4-6)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #137
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #102
? Wolfpack lost six of its last eight games.
? State is 3-2 SU in ACC home games, losing to Virginia/Miami.
? ACC opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#14 of 15)

? NC State lost 76-73 at Syracuse, nine days ago.
? Wolfpack won three of last four series games.
? Syracuse lost two of last three visits to Raleigh.

Alabama @ South Carolina
Alabama (15-5, 10-1)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #9
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #152
? Alabama lost two of last three games, after a 14-3 start.
? Crimson Tide scored 71+ points in last 11 wins; 61-65 in last two losses.
? Alabama has #16 eFG% defense in country.

South Carolina (5-7, 3-5)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #15
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #26
? Gamecocks lost five of their last seven games.
? Carolina has #247 eFG% in country (#256 on arc, #324 on foul line)
? Gamecocks force turnovers 22.3% of time (#33)

? Alabama won last five series games.
? Crimson Tide won 90-86OT/68-62 in last two visits here.

Arkansas @ Kentucky
Arkansas (14-5, 6-4)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #21
? Experience: #239
? Continuity: #336
? Arkansas won four of its last five games overall.
? Razorbacks lost four of their last five road games.
? Arkansas is 5-0 in SEC games if they allow 73 or fewer points. 1-4 if they allow more.

Kentucky (5-12, 4-6)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #219
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #343
? Kentucky lost three in row, six of last seven games.
? Kentucky has #308 eFG% in country (46.5% inside arc, #276).
? #341 experience team playing schedule #5 isn?t a good combination.

? Kentucky won last eight series games.
? Razorbacks lost their last eight visits to Lexington.

Penn State @ Michigan State
Penn State (7-8, 4-7)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #46
? Continuity: #53
? Penn State won four of its last six games.
? PSU is 0-6 on Big 14 road, with three losses by 4 or fewer points.
? Opponents are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#320)

Michigan State (9-7, 3-7)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #131
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #85
? Spartans lost four of last five, 7 of last 10 games.
? MSU split its four Big 14 home games, beating Rutgers/Nebraska.
? Spartans are shooting 48.3% inside arc (#232)

? Penn State won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
? Nittany Lions lost four of last five visits to East Lansing.

Texas @ Kansas State
Texas (11-5, 5-4)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #3
? Texas lost five of its last six games, after a 10-1 start.
? In their last three games, Longhorns gave up 79.3 ppg.
? Overall for season, Texas has #14 eFG% defense in country.

Kansas State (5-15, 1-10)
? ranked #207 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #336
? Continuity: #284
? K-State lost its last ten games- their last win was December 29.
? Wildcats are turning ball over 23.1% of time (#325)
? K-State has #332 eFG% defense in country.

? K-State lost 82-67 at Texas January 16.
? Longhorns won four of last five series games.
? Texas won 67-47/70-59 in last two visits here.

Auburn @ Vanderbilt
Auburn (10-10, 4-7)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #36
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #314
? Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 87.7 ppg.
? Tigers lost four of their six SEC road games, beating Georgia/USC
? Auburn is shooting 54.6% inside arc in SEC games (#1 of 14)

Vanderbilt (5-9, 1-7)
? ranked #130 by KenPom
? Tempo: #182
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #81
? Vandy lost seven of its last eight games.
? Commodores have #321 eFG% defense in country.
? Vandy is 1-3 in SEC home games, losing by 21-3-19 points.

? Auburn won last three series games, by 12-11-4 points.
? Tigers lost seven of last eight visits to Nashville.

West Virginia @ Texas Tech
West Virginia (13-5, 6-3)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #143
? Continuity: #31
? Mountaineers won four of their last five games.
? West Virginia won its last three road games.
? WVU is shooting 44.1% inside arc in Big X games (#10 of 10)

Texas Tech (14-5, 6-4)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #245
? Tech won its last three games, by 5-5-11 points.
? Tech lost three of its five conference home games.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#7)

? Tech lost 88-87 in Morgantown January 25- they led by 12 with 7:11 left.
? West Virginia won three of last four series games.
? Mountaineers lost their last four visits to Lubbock.

Creighton @ Georgetown
Creighton (14-5, 10-4)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #20
? Creighton won four of its last five games.
? Bluejays are 6-1 on Big East road, losing in OT at Butler.
? Creighton is shooting 57.4% inside arc (#9)

Georgetown (5-9, 3-6)
? ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #53
? Continuity: #244
? Hoyas won two of last three games, after a 3-8 start.
? Georgetown is 2-2 at home in Big East, beating St John?s/Providence.
? Hoyas are shooting 47.8% inside arc (#247).

? Hoyas upset Creighton 86-79 in Omaha, six nights ago.
? Creighton won six of last eight series games.
? Bluejays lost five of last seven visits to Georgetown.

Iowa State @ TCU
Iowa State (2-11, 0-8)
? ranked #132 by KenPom
? Tempo: #91
? Experience: #163
? Continuity: #254
? Cyclones? only two wins are over teams #352/#284
? Iowa State lost its last seven games, last two by 4-7 points.
? Cyclones? three Big X road losses are by 5-6-7 points.

TCU (10-7, 3-5)
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #318
? Continuity: #142
? TCU lost five of its last six games.
? TCU is 1-3 in Big X home games, losing by 29-18-4 points.
? Horned Frogs are turning ball over 20.5% of time (#238)

? TCU won five of last six series games.
? Cyclones lost their last four visits to Fort Worth.

St John?s @ Butler
St John?s (15-4, 9-4)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #263
? Continuity: #163
? Johnnies won their last six games, after a 7-7 start.
? Red Storm won their last four road games.
? St John?s is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#21)

Butler (6-10, 5-8)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #327
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #239
? Butler lost three of its last four games.
? Bulldogs are 3-9 vs top 100 teams.
? Butler has #257 eFG%, #286 eFG% defense.

? Butler lost 69-57 at St John?s January 12.
? Teams split last six series games.
? St John?s lost its last four visits to Hinkle Fieldhouse.

VCU @ Dayton
VCU (13-4, 6-2)
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #302
? Continuity: #280
? VCU won its last three games, giving up 65.7 ppg.
? Rams are 4-1 on A-14 road, losing at St Bonaventure.
? VCU is forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#5)

Dayton (12-7, 6-5)
? ranked #107 by KenPom
? Tempo: #237
? Experience: #107
? Continuity: #227
? Dayton won six of its last eight games.
? Flyers won their last four home games.
? Dayton is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#274).

? VCU hammered Dayton 66-43 at home, 17 days ago.
? VCU won five of last seven series games.
? Rams lost four of last five visits to Dayton.

LaSalle @ St Bonaventure
LaSalle (8-11, 5-7)
? ranked #173 by KenPom
? Tempo: #169
? Experience: #291
? Continuity: #138
? LaSalle lost six of its last nine games.
? Explorers are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#288).
? Opponents are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#293)

St Bonaventure (9-2, 7-2)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #116
? Continuity: #29
? Bonnies won seven of their last eight games.
? They?re 4-0 in A-14 home games, winning by 26-14-16-17 points.
? Bonnies have #34 eFG% defense in country.

? Bonnies won three of last four series games.
? Explorers lost last two visits here, by 18-2 points.


*******************************


601W MICHIGAN -602 BUFFALO
W MICHIGAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

603S ALABAMA -604 GEORGIA ST
S ALABAMA is 31-17 ATS (12.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

605JAMES MADISON -606 UNC-WILMINGTON
JAMES MADISON is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

607NOTRE DAME -608 DUKE
DUKE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609BALL ST -610 C MICHIGAN
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

611SYRACUSE -612 NC STATE
NC STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

613ALABAMA -614 S CAROLINA
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

617PENN ST -618 MICHIGAN ST
PENN ST is 47-19 ATS (26.1 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997.

619KENT ST -620 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

621TEXAS -622 KANSAS ST
KANSAS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

USA at GSU 02:00 PM
USA +5.5......70 -67.......WINNER

ND at DUKE 04:30 PM
ND +7.5
U 147.5

VCU at DAY 05:00 PM
DAY +2.5......76 - 67......LOSER

JMU at ELON 06:00 PM
JMU -4.5
U 143.0

LAS at SBON 06:00 PM
SBON -13.0

SYR at NCST 06:30 PM
NCST -2.0
U 148.0

ALA at SCAR 06:30 PM
ALA -6.0......81 - 78......LOSER

KENT at BGSU 07:00 PM
KENT +1.0.....71 - 67......WINNER
O 155.0.....LOSER

PSU at MSU 07:00 PM
MSU -3.5

ARK at UK 07:00 PM
ARK +1.0.....81 - 80.....WINNER
O 142.0......WINNER

TEX at KSU 08:00 PM
TEX -13.5

AUB at VAN 08:30 PM
VAN +5.5......73 - 67.......LOSER
O 155.5.....LOSER

CREI at GTWN 09:00 PM
GTWN +7.5......63 - 48......LOSER

ISU at TCU 09:00 PM
TCU -6.0

WVU at TTU 09:00 PM
WVU +6.0......82 - 71......WINNER
O 141.0.....WINNER

SJU at BUT 09:00 PM
SJU +2.0

UNM at CSU 11:00 PM
CSU -17.5



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6..........- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5...........+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17.........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9..........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS................74 - 71...........-20.50

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
? Arkansas 81, Kentucky 80- Hogs end an 8-game losing skid at Kentucky.
? Notre Dame 93, Duke 89? Blue Devils lost six of last eight games.
? Michigan State 60, Penn State 58? Spartans held PSU scoreless over last 3:18.
? Pistons 122, Nets 111? Brooklyn lost four of last five games.
? Jazz 122, Celtics 108? Utah is 9-0-1 ATS in its last ten home games.
? West Virginia 82, Texas Tech 71? Tech coach Beard got tossed in last minute.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 463,584
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Like any player, you never want to get hit. That?s the reality of playing this position. Ask any quarterback who wants to play this game. But at the same time, it?s part of the job and everything else. I think that the reality is I?ve definitely been hit. I?ve been sacked almost 400 times, so we?ve got to get better. I?ve got to find ways to get better, too.?
Russell Wilson

Wednesday?s quiz
When was last time a Canadian franchise won the Stanley Cup?

Tuesday?s quiz
DJ Lemahieu had the best batting average in the major leagues last year (.364)

Monday?s quiz
When Tampa Bay won its first Super Bowl title, Bill Callahan was coaching the Raiders.

***************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.
13) Big 14 is moving its conference tournament from Chicago to Indianapolis; going to be a lot of basketball played in Indiana next month. Having everything in one state makes it easier, as far as keeping up with all the COVID protocols.

12) Several years ago, I was sitting at an AAU basketball tournament, sitting next to a guy who was a great small college coach, so I picked his brain a little, because thats how we get smarter- you ask people questions who are smarter than you.

I asked him what he looked for when he went to tournaments like this one, with dozens of games mostly being played by kids we had never seen before.

?What is their college skill?? he replied. What can he do at the college level that will make him an effective college player. I had once recommended a player to him and the kid played really well for his team, so he was generous with his ideas and I learned a lot.

11) Trying to figure out a reason the underdog is 10-4 ATS in last fourteen Super Bowls. There doesn?t have to be a reason, but would be nice to know underdogs are covering so much.

10) Patrick Mahomes is having surgery Wednesday for turf toe, which is a sprain of the big toe joint. More serious than it sounds; it ended the career of the great Steeler LB, Jack Lambert.

9) Missouri Tigers are 13-3 this season, 6-3 in the SEC; their coach is Cuonzo Martin, who was a very good player at Purdue. He?s had an interesting career as a coach.

? 2008-11? Missouri State 26-28 in MVC games, 50-21 overall the last two years
? 2011-14? Tennessee 32-20 in SEC games, made Sweet 16 his 3rd year, then he bolted.
? 2014-17? California 29-27 in Pac-12 games, lost his only NCAA game.
? 2017-now?Missouri 28-35 in SEC games, lost his only NCAA game.

? This is his 4th coaching stop; this year is the first time he?s been at the same school four years in a row.
? He won two state titles as a high school player, teammates with LaPhonso Ellis.
? He played in only seven NBA games; he went to the G-League and to an Italian League- he was later diagnosed with lymphoma, which mercifully went into remission.

? As a college coach, Martin is 8-3 in first game of a conference tournament, 2-6 in the second game, 0-2 in third game. He is 3-3 in NCAA tourney games, partly because Mercer upset Duke in the 2014 first round, which gave his Tennessee team a much easier 2nd round game.

Missouri will be a prominent team when the brackets come out in a month or so; they?re #6 experience team in country, which seems to be an important thing in this unusual season.

8) I do lot of work with trends when giving out information on games; I?m seriously wondering how much this year?s trends mean? How similar/different is this season to most seasons? How much does having no fans in the stands affect the games?

7) I mentioned this briefly last week, but it deserved more attention than that; Toronto?s Fred VanVleet scored 54 points in a game last week, the most points EVER by an NBA player who was not drafted.

VanVleet was a really good player at Wichita State, but he is (listed at) 6-1 and doesn?t look like a prototype NBA athlete, but he can really play. He?s in his 5th NBA season, and is scoring over 20.0 ppg this season. Good for him.

6) Watching a replay of a Golden State-Dallas game Tuesday, was laughing listening to Jeff Van Gundy going off on a tangent about Law and Order: SVU? ?Why would any parent send their kid to Hudson University? There was a crime there every week!!!?

Van Gundy is a very good coach, but I hope he stays on TV; he is fun to listen to.

5) In that game, Draymond Green had 13 rebounds, six steals, six assists?.before he scored a point. Thats why he was such a great part of the Warriors? title teams; he did a lot of the hard work that led to Steph Curry/Klay Thompson scoring a ton of points.

All great teams have players who get a lot of loose balls, play tough defense, pass the ball well, make their teammates better players.

4) Green Bay Packers wanted to hire Jim Leonhard as their defensive coordinator; he has that job at Wisconsin now, but he turned the Packers down. Green Bay then turned to Joe Barry, who was a linebackers coach for the Rams, but left there when they didn?t name him DC.

3) Miami Marlins signed OF Adam Duvall for one year, $4.5M.

2) RIP to coach Marty Schottenheimer, who passed away this week at age 77; he played in the AFL for six years (Bills/Patriots), was a head coach for 21 years, going 200-126-1 in regular season games, only 5-13 in playoff games.

The last year he coached was 2006; he is the only guy ever to get fired after going 14-2, which he did with the ?06 Chargers. RIP, coach.

1) Happy birthday to the great actor Joe Pesci, who turned 78 earlier this week; everyone has different likes/dislikes, but My Cousin Vinny is my favorite Pesci movie.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 10

UConn @ Providence
UConn (8-4, 5-4)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #150
? UConn lost three of its last four games overall.
? Huskies won three of their last four road games.
? UConn is grabbing 37.7% of its missed shots (#5)

Providence (9-10, 5-8)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #220
? Providence lost three in row, seven of last nine games.
? Friars lost three of their last four home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Three of their last five wins came in overtime.

Furman @ NC-Greensboro
Furman (12-6, 6-3)
? ranked #91 by KenPom
? Tempo: #144
? Experience: #105
? Continuity: #14
? Furman lost three of its last five games.
? Paladins are shooting 60.6% inside arc (#3)
? Furman is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#47)

NC-Greensboro (13-6, 8-3)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #173
? Experience: #190
? Continuity: #89
? Greensboro won seven of its last eight games.
? Spartans won last three home games, by 14-13-17 points.
? In last three losses, Greensboro was held to 61-45-49 points.

? Furman hammered the Spartans 68-49 at home Monday.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Teams also split last four series games played here.

Pepperdine @ San Francisco
Pepperdine (8-8, 4-3)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #63
? Waves won four of their last six games.
? Opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#324)
? Pepperdine lost six of its seven top 100 games.

San Francisco (10-8, 4-4)
? ranked #80 by KenPom
? Tempo: #172
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #166
? This is USF?s first game in 18 days.
? Dons lost last two home games, to BYU/Saint Mary?s.
? Over half the shots they take (50.3%) are 3-pointers.

? San Francisco won 7 of last 8 series games.
? Waves lost last four visits here, by 21-7-12-2 points.

Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers (11-6, 7-6)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #206
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #10
? Rutgers won its last four games, giving up 58.8 ppg.
? Scarlet Knights split their six Big 14 road games.
? Rutgers is shooting 60.1% on foul line (#344)

Iowa (13-6, 7-5)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #213
? Continuity: #50
? Iowa lost four of its last five games.
? Hawkeyes? last three losses were all by 5 or fewer points.
? Iowa has #22 eFG% in country (#16 on arc, #48 inside arc)

? Iowa won 77-75 at Rutgers January 2nd.
? Iowa is 7-2 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
? Scarlet Knights lost three of four visits here, losing by 34-6-5 points.

Wake Forest @ Boston College
Wake Forest (5-8, 2-8)
? ranked #117 by KenPom
? Tempo: #200
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #277
? Wake split its last four games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Deacons are 0-6 on ACC road, with four losses by 9+ points.
? Wake is shooting 45.2% inside arc in ACC games (#15 of 15)
? This is Deacons? first game in eight days.

Boston College (3-11, 1-7)
? ranked #113 by KenPom
? Tempo: #63
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #198
? Eagles lost six of their last seven games.
? BC lost four of five ACC home games, losing by 38-12-12-16 points.
? Opponents are shooting 56.3% inside arc (#332)

? BC won three of last four series games.
? Wake lost 77-71/77-70 in last two visits here.

Virginia @ Georgia Tech
Virginia (13-3, 9-1)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #157
? Virginia won nine of its last ten games.
? Cavaliers? only ACC loss was 65-51 at Virginia Tech January 30.
? Virginia is shooting 39.8% on arc (#7)

Georgia Tech (9-6, 5-4)
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #9
? Yellow Jackets are 5-0 at home, 0-4 on road in ACC tilts.
? Tech lost three of its last five games overall.
? Tech is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in ACC games (#1 of 15)

? Tech lost 64-62 at Virginia on January 23.
? Virginia won last seven series games.
? Cavaliers won 64-48/63-58 in last two visits here.

Bradley @ Valparaiso
Bradley (10-11, 4-8)
? ranked #129 by KenPom
? Tempo: #277
? Experience: #228
? Continuity: #203
? Bradley lost seven of its last eight games.
? Three of their last four losses were by 3 or less points, or in OT.
? Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside the arc (#10).

Valparaiso (7-12, 4-6)
? ranked #203 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #104
? Valpo lost three of its last four games- they upset Drake Sunday.
? Crusaders lost four of their six MVC home games.
? Valpo has #286 eFG% in country (29.1% on arc, #315)

? Bradley led by 14 early, lost 91-85 in double OT here on January 28.
? Home side won last seven series games.
? Braves lost their last four visits here

Northern Iowa @ Drake
Northern Iowa (6-12, 4-8)
? ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #126
? Experience: #290
? Continuity: #191
? UNI won three of its last five games, after a 2-10 start.
? Panthers are 1-5 on Valley road; they split pair at SIU.
? UNI has #284 eFG% defense in country.

Drake (18-1, 9-1)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #203
? Experience: #74
? Continuity: #179
? Drake lost for the first time this season on Sunday
? Bulldogs are 4-0 in Valley home games, winning by 18-31-2-35 points.
? Drake has trailed by 10+ points at some point in 5 of last 11 games.

? UNI won 11 of last 14 series games.
? Panthers lost two of last three visits to Drake.

Georgia @ Tennessee
Georgia (12-6, 5-6)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #257
? Georgia won its last three games, scoring 85 ppg.
? Dawgs are turning ball over 23.1% of time in SEC play (#13 of 14)
? Georgia is 2-3 in SEC road games, losing by 2-30-24 points.

Tennessee (13-4, 6-4)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #272
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #94
? Tennessee won three of its last four games.
? Vols have #15 eFG% defense.
? Tennessee is turning ball over 23.5% of time (#15).

? Georgia won six of last eight series games.
? Home side won last four series games.
? Dawgs lost 66-61/96-50 in last two visits here.

Rhode Island @ Saint Louis
Rhode Island (9-11, 6-7)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #306
? Rams lost their last three games, scoring 60.3 ppg.
? URI is 2-4 on A-14 road, winning at VCU/LaSalle
? Rams are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#276)

Saint Louis (8-3, 1-2)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #119
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #17
? Saint Louis lost three of its last five games, after a 6-0 start.
? Billikens have #23 eFG% in country (#30 on arc, #41 inside arc)
? Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#29)

? URI won six of last eight series games.
? Rams won five of last six visits to Saint Louis.

Indiana @ Northwestern
Indiana (10-8, 5-6)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #289
? Continuity: #82
? Hoosiers lost four of their last seven games.
? Indiana split their last four road games; last one was January 21.
? Hoosiers? last three games were decided by total of 10 points.

Northwestern (6-10, 3-9)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #46
? Northwestern lost its last nine games.
? Wildcats lost last three home games, by 25-23-8 points.
? Northwestern?s last three losses were by 3-8-5 points.

? Home side won last eight series games.
? Indiana lost its last three visits to Evanston, by 7-13-7 points.

Missouri @ Ole Miss
Missouri (13-3, 6-3)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #6
? Continuity: #8
? Mizzou won three in row, six of last seven games.
? Tigers won three of their five SEC road games.
? Mizzou has #36 eFG% defense in country.

Ole Miss (10-8, 5-6)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #92
? Continuity: #208
? Ole Miss won its last two games, by 2 points each.
? Rebels are shooting 27.9% on arc (#336)
? Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 24.8% of time (#7).

? Ole Miss won 12 of last 14 series games.
? Tigers lost six of last seven visits to Oxford, last two by 8-10 points.

LSU @ Mississippi State
LSU (11-6, 6-4)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #128
? LSU lost four of its last five games.
? Tigers lost three of five SEC road games.
? LSU is shooting 53.6% inside arc (#54)

Mississippi State (11-9, 5-6)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #288
? Experience: #304
? Continuity: #253
? Miss State lost four of its last six games.
? Bulldogs lost three of their five SEC home games.
? Miss State is turning ball over 21.2% of the time (#280)

? LSU won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.


****************************


643CONNECTICUT -644 PROVIDENCE
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

645FURMAN -646 UNC-GREENSBORO
FURMAN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls in the last 3 seasons.

647TULANE -648 TULSA
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

649PEPPERDINE -650 SAN FRANCISCO
PEPPERDINE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

651OLD DOMINION -652 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

653WICHITA ST -654 UCF
UCF is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

655RUTGERS -656 IOWA
RUTGERS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

657HOUSTON -658 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) after playing a game as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

659E TENN ST -660 THE CITADEL
E TENN ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

661VMI -662 W CAROLINA
VMI is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CONN at PROV 04:00 PM
CONN -2.0
U 132.0

PEPP at SF 05:00 PM
SF -4.0......76 - 68 .......LOSER
O 149.0......LOSER

TULN at TLSA 05:00 PM
TLSA -7.5
U 128.0

FUR at UNCG 05:00 PM
UNCG -1.0....58 - 64.......WINNER
U 143.5.....LOSER

IND at NW 05:30 PM
NW +4.0......79 - 76
U 138.0.....LOSER

ODU at CHAR 06:00 PM
ODU +1.0.....78 - 76
O 123.0..........WINNER

**************************

FOR at GMU 07:00 PM
GMU -9.5
O 123.5

VMI at WCU 07:00 PM
VMI +2.0 72 - 74.......WINNER
O 154.5,,,,,,,LOSER

HOU at USF 07:00 PM
HOU -12.5 82 - 65.......WINNER
U 129.5

ETSU at CIT 07:00 PM
ETSU -7.5.....71 - 79
O 153.5.....LOSER

WAKE at BC 07:00 PM
BC +1.0
U 144.5

UVA at GT 07:00 PM
UVA -4.0.....57 - 49
O 126.0......LOSER

BRAD at VALP 07:00 PM
VALP +3.5
O 134.0

WICH at UCF 07:00 PM
WICH -2.0......61 - 60
O 141.5..............LOSER

CHAT at WOF 07:00 PM
CHAT +4.5.....78 -66....WINNER
O 139.5......WINNER

UNI at DRKE 07:00 PM
DRKE -9.5.....59 - 80......WINNER
O 143.5

RUTG at IOWA 07:30 PM
RUTG +6.5....66 - 79
O 149.5.....LOSER

AMCC at SFA 07:30 PM
AMCC +17.5.....68 - 80......WINNER
O 142.5

SELA at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -10.0
O 146.0

*********************

MER at SAM 08:00 PM
MER -4.5.....77 - 70.....WINNER
O 153.5

UGA at TENN 08:00 PM
UGA +12.5......81 - 89......WINNER
O 140.5

NWST at IW 08:00 PM
IW +1.0......68 - 67......PUSH
U 142.5

NICH at LAM 08:00 PM
LAM +6.5....76 - 71.......WINNER
U 145.5

SIU at MOSU 08:00 PM
MOSU -6.0 53 - 65......WINNER
U 139.0

HBU at ACU 08:00 PM
HBU +17.5
O 146.0

MIZZ at MISS 09:00 PM
MIZZ +2.0.....59 - 80.....LOSER
O 133.0....WINNER

URI at SLU 09:00 PM
SLU -8.5......60 - 67.....LOSER
U 137.5

MARQ at VILL 09:00 PM
MARQ +11.0
U 138.5

LSU at MSST 09:00 PM
LSU +2.0.....94 - 80
O 144.5.........WINNER

WIS at NEB 09:30 PM
WIS -11.5.....61 - 48......WINNER
U 138.0......WINNER

SJSU at SDSU 11:00 PM
SDSU -29.5
U 144.5



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS................90 - 82...........- 1.00

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds for this week?s Pebble Beach PGA tournament:
15-2? Patrick Cantlay
14-1? Daniel Berger
18-1? Paul Casey
19-1? Will Zalatoris
21-1? Jason Day
23-1? Francesco Molinari, Jordan Spieth

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 468,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I don?t think that we go out every single day of our lives and sacrifice the time in order to be average at anything. I know you don?t wake up, I know that no one here on this call wakes up to be average at anything that they do. And we look very average??..?
Kyrie Irving

Thursday?s quiz
What team did Shaquille O?Neal finish his NBA career with?

Wednesday?s quiz
1993 was last time a Canadian franchise won the Stanley Cup, when Montreal won.

Tuesday?s quiz
DJ Lemahieu had the best batting average in the major leagues last year (.364)

***************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) If the Seahawks trade Russell Wilson, I?ll be doing snow angels on my front lawn and I?m not kidding. As a Ram fan, watching them defend Wilson twice a year (3 times this past year) for the last nine seasons hasn?t been fun.

Send him to Las Vegas, the Jets, Houston? anywhere outside the NFC West!!!

12) Last bet I made in Las Vegas was October 2019, Seattle @ Cleveland. Seahawks won 32-28, I had some great pizza at Bonanno?s (around corner from excellent sportsbook at MGM Grand) and all was well with the world. Rooting for Wilson is more fun than rooting against him.

While you were sleeping the other night, I was watching movies and doing research. Here are some trends on how teams who lost a Super Bowl fared the next season:

11) 37 of 54 Super Bowl losers made the playoffs again the next season.

10) 8 of 54 Super Bowl losers made it back to the Super Bowl the next year, going 3-5.

Three teams that won the Super Bowl the year after losing one:
? 1971 Cowboys
? 1972 Dolphins
? 2018 Patriots

9) Last team to lose the Super Bowl 2+ years in a row: the 1990-93 Bills.

8) From 1974-86, the loser of the Super Bowl made the playoffs the next season every year, but went only 2-12 in playoff games.

7) Overall, Super Bowl losers are 32-34 SU in playoff games the following season.

Elsewhere??.
6) There was a 3-way trade in baseball:
? Royals get OF Andrew Benitendi
? Red Sox get OF Franchy Cordero and P prospect Josh Winckowski
? Mets get OF prospect Khalil Lee

5) From what I read/hear on the Interweb, the Houston Texans are a tremendous mess.

Team president Jamey Rootes quit Wednesday, at least in part from tensions over the front office?s recent general manager search. I?ve never heard of this freakin? guy, but they said on TV that the team?s owner ignored the work the search committee did on finding a new GM. Roones has worked for Houston for 20 years, so his quitting is no small thing.

Rootes? resignation comes a week after the Texans fired Kevin Krajcovic, director of football administration, as well as equipment manager Mike Parson- they also fired a PR person who had been there for years.

Cal McNair has run the Texans since his father passed away; he got thoroughly ripped on an ESPN talkshow Wednesday, by three ex-NFL players. We?ll see if they wind up trading QB Deshaun Watson, but if I was a Texans? fan, I?d be pretty queasy right now.

4) Over last two NBA seasons, Dallas Mavericks have lost 23 games by 5 or fewer points, the most of any team in the league.

3) Heard a new TV analyst on ESPNU Wednesday; former North Carolina coach Matt Doherty, who was a pleasant surprise. He spoke his mind, gave out some Dean Smith tidbits, and was generally upbeat and candid.

I?ve said this a lot here; the best announce teams are when you feel like you?re eavesdropping on two friends watching a game. Thats what this was like, so a good hire by ESPN.

2) Washington?s NFL team re-signed QB Taylor Heinicke, I?m guessing to be their backup again next season. Heinicke threw for 306 yards in Washington?s playoff game last month; you would think they?ll try to acquire a bigger name to start next year, but Heinicke proved he belongs in the league.

1) Weird season in college basketball; Kentucky is 5-13, Duke is 7-8. Michigan State is 4-7 in conference games. March is going to be a very interesting month.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 11

Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Georgia Southern (12-9, 6-6)
? ranked #265 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #162
? Continuity: #333
? Eagles lost three of their last five games overall.
? Georgia Southern is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#302)
? Eagles has #274 eFG% defense in country.

Georgia State (8-5, 2-4)
? ranked #104 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #126
? Georgia State lost last three games, after an 8-2 start.
? Panthers split their two Sun Belt home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Georgia State is shooting 31.0% on arc (#279)

? State won six of last nine series games.
? Eagles lost five of last six visits to Georgia State.

Utah @ California
Utah (8-7, 5-6)
? ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #282
? Continuity: #16
? Utah won four of last six games, after an 0-4 skid.
? Utes lost three of their five Pac-12 road games.
? Opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#78)

California (7-14, 2-12)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #97
? Cal lost its last six games, four by 8 or fewer points.
? Golden Bears have #307 eFG% defense in country.
? In its last three games, Cal scored 60.3 ppg.

? Cal Bears won 72-63 at Utah January 16.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Utes lost three of last four visits to Berkeley.

Colorado @ Stanford
Colorado (15-5, 9-4)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #256
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #93
? Colorado won eight of its last ten games.
? Buffaloes split their six Pac-12 road games.
? Colorado is shooting 37.9% on the arc (#29)

Stanford (12-7, 8-5)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #90
? Experience: #293
? Continuity: #80
? Stanford won four of its last six games.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#280)
? Stanford split two games they?ve played in Staples Pavilion.

? Stanford lost 77-64 in Boulder January 16.
? Home side won last six series games.
? Buffs lost 75-62/72-64 in last two visits to Palo Alto.

Texas State @ Tex-Arlington
Texas State (13-6, 7-3)
? ranked #153 by KenPom
? Tempo: #351
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #47
? Bobcats won seven of their last nine games.
? Texas State won five of six Sun Belt road games.
? Bobcats are shooting 39.3% on arc (#10)

Tex-Arlington (11-9, 7-5)
? ranked #221 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #262
? UTA won its last three games, giving up 57.3 ppg.
? Mavericks won four of their six Sun Belt home games.
? UTA is shooting only 41.6% inside the arc (#344)

? Tex-Arlington won last five series games.
? Bobcats lost their last ten visits to Arlington.

Iowa State @ Kansas
Iowa State (2-12, 0-9)
? ranked #132 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #154
? Continuity: #247
? Iowa State is 0-4 SU on Big X road; they covered all four games.
? Cyclones allowed 78.8 ppg in their last eight conference games.
? Iowa State?s two wins are over teams ranked #352/#285

Kansas (13-7, 7-5)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #108
? Kansas is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
? Jayhawks are 5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS as Big X home favorites.
? Big X opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#1 of 10)

? Kansas won eight of last ten series games.
? Cyclones lost last 15 visits to Lawrence; four of last five were by 7 or less points.

Troy @ South Alabama
Troy (10-10, 4-6)
? ranked #288 by KenPom
? Tempo: #220
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #273
? Troy lost five of its six Sun Belt road games.
? Trojans are shooting 45% inside arc (#309), 27.6% on arc (#338)
? Troy is 4-0 in Sun Belt if they allow 62 or fewer points, 0-6 when they don?t.

South Alabama (12-8, 6-5)
? ranked #206 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #325
? Jaguars won last four games, last three by 6-4-3 points.
? USA is getting 37.3% of its points on arc (#40)
? Jaguars are 0-4 in Sun Belt if they allow 68+ points, 6-1 otherwise.

? South Alabama won last four series games.
? Trojans lost last two visits here, 81-75/78-63.

Oregon State @ Arizona
Oregon State (10-8, 6-6)
? ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #161
? Beavers lost last three road games, scoring 54.3 ppg.
? OSU is getting 22.7% of their points on foul line (#23).
? Oregon State is shooting 44.1% inside the arc (#323).

Arizona (13-6, 7-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #323
? Arizona lost three of its last four games.
? Wildcats split their six Pac-12 home games (3-3 as HF)
? Arizona is a top 20 rebounding team in country.

? Arizona crushed Oregon State 98-64 in Corvallis January 14.
? Wildcats won nine of last ten series games
? Beavers lost their last eight visits to Tucson.

Purdue @ Minnesota
Purdue (13-7, 8-5)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #284
? Experience: #331
? Continuity: #112
? Purdue won six of its last eight games.
? Boilers are #331 experience team that has played schedule #8.
? 46.5% of opponents? shots have been 3?s (#342- they?ve made 32.4% #126)

Minnesota (12-7, 5-7)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #96
? Experience: #137
? Continuity: #189
? Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.
? Gophers are 5-1 at home in Big 14 (lost to Maryland)
? Minnesota is shooting 29.4% on arc (#309)

? Gophers lost 81-61 at Purdue January 30.
? Purdue won six of last nine series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Oregon @ Arizona State
Oregon (10-4, 5-3)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #39
? Continuity: #300
? Ducks lost three of their last five games.
? Oregon is 2-1 on Pac-12 road; their last road game was January 9.
? Pac-12 opponents are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#11 of 12)

Arizona State (6-8, 3-5)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #15
? Experience: #178
? Continuity: #160
? This is ASU?s first game in 12 days.
? Sun Devils won last two games, after an 0-6 skid.
? ASU is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#26).

? Oregon won 11 of last 13 series games.
? Ducks lost 78-64/77-72 in last two visits to Tempe.

Eastern Kentucky @ Belmont
Eastern Kentucky (15-4, 9-3)
? ranked #178 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #187
? Colonels won their last four road games.
? EKU is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#6)
? Colonels? three OVC losses are by 13-15-12 points.

Belmont (20-1, 14-0)
? ranked #80 by KenPom
? Tempo: #59
? Experience: #289
? Continuity: #200
? Bruins won their last 17 games- their loss was December 5.
? Four of their last six wins were by 13+ points.
? Belmont is shooting 62.2% inside arc (#2)

? Belmont won last 11 series games.
? EKU lost last four visits here, last two by 26-31 points.

UNLV @ Boise State
UNLV (8-9, 5-5)
? ranked #149 by KenPom
? Tempo: #258
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #286
? UNLV lost eight of nine top 100 games.
? Rebels are 1-4 in true road games (won at Kansas State)
? UNLV gets only 14% of its points on foul line (#332).

Boise State (14-4, 10-3)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #121
? Experience: #73
? Continuity: #243
? Boise lost 3 of last 4 games, after a 13-1 start.
? Broncos are 5-0 in MW home games; all wins were by 11+ points.
? Boise is 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

? Boise won nine of last 13 series games.
? Rebels lost six of their last seven visits to Boise.

USC @ Washington
USC (13-3, 6-3)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #218
? Experience: #190
? Continuity: #324
? USC won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Trojans are 4-1 on Pac-12 road, winning by 8-16-4-9 points.
? Opponents are shooting 41.5% inside arc (#4).

Washington (3-14, 2-10)
? ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #69
? Experience: #118
? Continuity: #196
? Washington lost last three games, by 15-20-12 points.
? Huskies are 2-3 in Pac-12 home tilts, beating Colorado/Utah.
? Washington is in bottom 15 in country on the defensive boards.

? Huskies lost 95-68 at USC January 14.
? Teams split last 14 series games.
? USC lost 75-62/72-40 in last two visits to Seattle.

UCLA @ Washington State
UCLA (13-4, 9-2)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #345
? Experience: #258
? Continuity: #13
? UCLA lost its last two road games, at Stanford/USC.
? 8 of their last 10 games were decided by 5 or less points or in OT.
? In their last two games, Bruins scored 57-48 points.

Washington State (11-8, 4-8)
? ranked #114 by KenPom
? Tempo: #189
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #208
? Wazzu lost 3 of 4 Pac-12 home games (beat Oregon State).
? Coogs do have the #24 eFG% defense in country.
? Wazzu is turning ball over 21.4% of the time (#284)

? Coogs lost 91-61 in Pauley Pavilion January 14.
? UCLA won seven of last eight series games.
? Bruins lost four of their last six visits to Pullman.


*****************************


705E CAROLINA -706 TEMPLE
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

707PORTLAND -708 PACIFIC
PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

709GA SOUTHERN -710 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.

711COASTAL CAROLINA -712 APPALACHIAN ST
APPALACHIAN ST is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses since 1997.

713UTAH -714 CALIFORNIA
Mark Fox is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog (Coach of CALIFORNIA)

713UTAH -714 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

717COLORADO -718 STANFORD
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

721IOWA ST -722 KANSAS
IOWA ST is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) as a road dog of 12.5-15 since 1997.

723E WASHINGTON -724 MONTANA ST
MONTANA ST is 38-70 ATS (-39 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

725CINCINNATI -726 MEMPHIS
CINCINNATI is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.


******************************


Quote Originally Posted by Shawn View Post
Why don't i get long trend and Dunkel trend sheet.

I don't know Shawn. I just checked your account and you are set to display images. Those 3 posts are screenshots and should be showing up.

Do you use an ad blocker? If so, try turning it off and see if those screenshots show up. Let me know.


****************************


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 11

NCAAB

Thursday, February 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 11

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

UTM at PEAY 04:00 PM
UTM +15.0
O 142.5

WEBB at LONG 04:00 PM
LONG +3.0

PORT at PAC 05:00 PM
PAC -15.0.....57 - 84.......WINNER

FDU at WAG 05:00 PM
FDU +1.0

PUR at MINN 05:00 PM
MINN -2.5
U 141.0

GASO at GSU 06:00 PM
GSU -6.5.........75 - 79.....LOSER

PRE at HAMP 06:00 PM
PRE +3.0
O 139.5

WIN at RAD 06:00 PM
WIN -5.5.....80 - 64.....WINNER

CHSO at HP 06:00 PM
CHSO +7.0

UTAH at CAL 06:00 PM
CAL +4.0.....76 -7 5......WINNER
O 132.5......WINNER

COLO at STAN 07:00 PM
STAN -1.0......69 - 51.....LOSER
O 137.0.......LOSER

ISU at KU 07:00 PM
KU -15.5

SFBK at SFPA 07:00 PM
SFBK +4.5

LIU at MSM 07:00 PM
O 137.5

MW at CCSU 07:00 PM
MW -4.0

TROY at USA 07:00 PM
USA -6.0.......70 - 73.....LOSER

SCUS at CAMP 07:00 PM
CAMP -4.0.............71 - 72......LOSER

WEB at MONT 07:00 PM
WEB -1.0.....67 - 80....LOSER
U 138.5.......LOSER

EWU at MTST 07:00 PM
EWU -2.5.......93 - 77....WINNER
U 152.5......LOSER

TXST at UTA 07:00 PM
O 128.0

ULM at ULL 08:00 PM
ULL -9.0......72 - 66.....LOSER
U 138.5

SEMO at MURR 08:30 PM
SEMO +12.5......PPD
O 134.5

EIU at JVST 08:30 PM
JVST -8.5......64 - 76.....WINNER
O 139.0

MORE at TNST 09:00 PM
MORE -7.5..........79 - 66........WINNER

EKY at BEL 09:00 PM
U 161.5......74 - 92.....LOSER

SIUE at TNTC 09:00 PM
SIUE +2.5
U 139.0

ORE at ASU 09:00 PM
ORE +1.5.......75 - 64......WINNER

IDHO at IDST 09:00 PM
IDST -8.0

FRES at AFA 09:00 PM
FRES -4.5........69 - 63..........WINNER

USC at WASH 10:00 PM
WASH +12.0

UNLV at BSU 10:00 PM
BSU -9.5

UCLA at WSU 11:00 PM
UCLA -4.0


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS................99 - 92...........- 11.00

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50