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Cnotes53

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Friday?s 6-pack
Six leading scorers in college basketball:

22.0? Antoine Davis, Detroit
22.1? Michael Flowers, South Alabama
22.1? Davion Warren, Hampton
22.3? Isaiah Ross, Iona
22.4? Cameron Thomas, LSU
25.3? Luka Garza, Iowa

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 475,235
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Thought of the Day
Happy birthday to Abe Lincoln; not only is today February 12 (2/12) today would be his 212th birthday.

Friday?s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League, what number did he wear?

Thursday?s quiz
Shaquille O?Neal finished his NBA career with the Celtics, ten years ago.

Wednesday?s quiz
1993 was last time a Canadian franchise won the Stanley Cup, when Montreal won.

********************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??..

13) Washington State 81, UCLA 73
? Bruins lose for third time in last four games.
? USC takes sole possession of first place in the Pac-12.
? Wazzu wins for third time in four games.

12) From 2006-08, Ben Howland got UCLA to the Final Four three years in a row; unfortunately for them, Billy Donovan?s Florida team beat them in the Final Four two years in a row, then they lost to Memphis in ?08. Making the Final Four three years in a row is damn fine coaching, but if your fanbase is spoiled, it leaves a sour taste.

We live in a fickle society; the fanbase got tired of Howland and his defense-first approach, so Steve Alford replaced him, and that didn?t go well enough (three Sweet 16?s in six years), so after butchering the latest coaching search, they eventually hired Mick Cronin, a coach who wins a lot (11 NCAA tourneys, never in Elite 8) but also believes in defense-first.

The last eight years (8 years is a significant trend), Mick Cronin?s teams have finished outside the top 300 in tempo (they are 357 teams in the country). If they thought Howland?s teams weren?t entertaining enough, they?re going to get tired of Cronin pretty soon, once fans are let back in Pauley Pavilion.

Unless, of course, Cronin wins a national title; that would appease the fanbase, for a while.

11) I have a new hero; his name is Mark Daigneault, he coaches the Oklahoma City Thunder.

At age 35, he is an NBA head coach; he began his basketball career as a student manager at UConn, working for Jim Calhoun. He was going to stay in college and get a Master?s degree, but Calhoun and assistant coach George Blaney pushed him to apply for an assistant coaching job at Holy Cross, which he got, because Calhoun/Blaney are influential people.

From there he hooked up with Billy Donovan at Florida and then moved up to become the head coach of Oklahoma City Thunder?s G League team. Last year he became an assistant coach for the Thunder, and now he sits in the first chair, at age 35.

For those of us who were student managers in college, this guy is a hero; there are others who have followed this path? Lawrence Frank, Will Wade, Buzz Williams. I root for those guys.

10) While we?re talking about the Oklahoma City Thunder, lets talk about Kenrich Williams, a 6-6 forward. This is a guy who didn?t get a D-I scholarship offer playing high school ball in Waco, TX. Baylor missed the boat on this guy.

Williams went to New Mexico JC, then to TCU, where he helped the Horned Frogs improve into a contending team, but he wasn?t an All-American or anything.

His persistence is inspirational; for two years, he bounced between the G League and the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans traded him to the Thunder last November, and how he is scoring 5.6 ppg in 16.6 mpg for Oklahoma City.

Not bad for a kid with no scholarship offers coming out of high school; it shows kids that if you work your butt off on your game and don?t give up, great things can and will happen.

9) Lakers won their last six games, with last three games all going overtime. In those three games, 36-year old Lebron James played:

46:29, 42:31, 41:03

Lot of minutes for a 36-year old, even if he is one of the five best players ever. At some point, as the playoffs approach, they?re going to have to taper his off playing time a little- they?ll need his legs to be fresh for the playoffs. He is an all-time great, but he?s still a human being.

8) Valparaiso University is dropping their Crusaders nickname, mascot and logos, because they?ve been adopted and embraced by different hate groups. Animal mascots are going to be even more popular as we move forward; I think Valparaiso Armadillos would be a cool name.

Are there armadillos in Indiana?

7) Stanford?s best basketball player is Oscar deSilva; the young man speaks six languages!!!! He can get away with cursing at officials any time he wants, as long as the refs aren?t bilingual.

6) Ivy League will let current senior student-athletes play an additional year as graduate students next season, a one-time deal, since the league didn?t play this season.

Previously, the Ivy League hasn?t let athletic redshirts or graduate students to play sports, which is why lot of them transfer elsewhere to play in their fifth year of eligibility. Right now, there are 20 Ivy League men?s basketball players currently in the NCAA transfer portal.

This spring/summer will be a very active time for transfers/roster poaching in college hoop.

5) Texas State 63, Tex-Arlington 56:
? Bobcats are 14-6, 8-3 in Sun Belt with an interim coach.
? Texas State is #13 at shooting 3?s, #10 at forcing turnovers.

4) From 2004-08, Mike D?Antoni coached the Phoenix Suns; they won 62-54-61-55 games in those years, they were so much fun to watch, they won a lot, but they went 26-25 in playoff games and the new owner sent D?Antoni packing, a large mistake.

They?ve made the playoffs once in 12 years since then, they? haven?t been fun to watch, they?ve pretty much been a dismal franchise, but hey, the owner is a really rich guy with no patience.

Sacramento Kings have the NBA?s longest playoff drought (14 years); Suns are next, at 10 years. Suns are doing well, look like they?ll make the playoffs this year. Hopefully the jackass owner will leave Monty Williams alone and let him coach a young, improving team.

3) Red Sox gave Marwin Gonzalez $3M to play this season; Gonzalez is a switch-hitter who plays a lot of different positions. He knocked in 90 runs for the world champion Astros in 2017.

2) Jacksonville Jaguars raised eyebrows this week when they hired Chris Doyle as their strength coach; he had that job with the Iowa Hawkeyes for 21 years. Supposedly a good strength coach.

Here?s the thing: in 2019, former players made accusations about institutional racism within the Iowa football program, including specific accusations against Doyle, who was given $1.1M to take a hike. Now Urban Meyer brings him to the NFL? Eyebrows raised.

1) You bring a head coach with zero NFL experience to a franchise that loses a lot; one of the first people he hires is a guy that has been accused of racist activity, at a lower level. What could possibly go wrong?

When I heard that Jacksonville hired Meyer, first thing that popped into my head was this: This won?t be a mediocre hire; it?ll either go really well, or really, really badly. They?re not off to a great start.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 12


Tulane @ Central Florida
Tulane (8-7, 3-7)
? ranked #154 by KenPom
? Tempo: #268
? Experience: #334
? Continuity: #308
? Green Wave lost five of their last seven games overall.
? Tulane has won two of its last three road games.
? Tulane has #336 eFG% in country (#317 on arc, #331 inside arc).

Central Florida (5-10, 3-9)
? ranked #103 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #278
? UCF lost nine of its last 11 games.
? Knights lost three of last four home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? UCF is turning ball over 22.4% of time (#315)

? UCF won four of last five series games.
? Green Wave lost eight of last visits to Orlando.

Milwaukee @ Wright State
Milwaukee (7-8, 6-7)
? ranked #251 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #138
? Panthers lost six of their last eight games overall.
? Milwaukee is 4-3 SU in its Horizon road games.
? Opponents are shooting 37.4% on the arc (#303)

Wright State (15-4, 13-3)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #67
? Experience: #295
? Continuity: #90
? Raiders won their last seven games.
? Wright won its last three games, by 36-9-30 points.
? Raiders have #6 eFG% defense in country.

? Wright won last five series games.
? Panthers lost 14 of last 15 visits here (56-54/82-70 last two)

Cal-Irvine @ Cal-Riverside
Cal-Irvine (10-6, 6-2)
? ranked #113 by KenPom
? Tempo: #279
? Experience: #337
? Continuity: #182
? Anteaters won eight of their last ten games.
? Irvine split pair at Hawai?i, its only Big West road games.
? Irvine isn?t a great shooting team (#291 eFG%)

Cal-Riverside (8-4, 4-2)
? ranked #131 by KenPom
? Tempo: #282
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #184
? Riverside hasn?t played in 12 days.
? Highlanders won four of their last five games.
? Riverside has #2 eFG% defense in country, vs schedule #263

? Irvine won last 13 series games.
? Anteaters won last five visits here, by 10-12-10-21-4 points.

Akron @ Miami
Akron (11-4, 9-3)
? ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #235
? Akron won seven of their last eight games.
? Zips won three of their last four road games.
? Akron is shooting 56.0% inside arc (#16)

Miami (8-7, 5-5)
? ranked #173 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #25
? Miami lost three of its last four games.
? RedHawks won four of their last five home games.
? Miami has #241 eFG% defense in country.

? Akron won last four games, all by 10+ points.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

St Bonaventure @ VCU
St Bonaventure (10-2, 8-2)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #300
? Experience: #116
? Continuity: #29
? St Bonaventure was held to 57-59 points in its two losses.
? Bonnies won three of their five conference road games.
? Bonnies have #37 eFG% defense in country.

VCU (14-4, 7-2)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #302
? Continuity: #280
? VCU won its last four games, giving up 58.5 ppg.
? Rams are forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#5)
? VCU is 5-4 vs top 100 teams.

? VCU lost 70-54 in Olean January 20.
? Rams won five of last six series games.
? Bonnies lost last four visits here, by 19-8-5-28 points.

UAB @ Louisiana Tech
UAB (16-2, 9-1)
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #33
? Continuity: #165
? Blazers won last six games, giving up 55.5 ppg in last four.
? UAB is 3-1 in true road games, splitting pair at Charlotte.
? Blazers are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#10)

Louisiana Tech (15-6, 8-4)
? ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #99
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #113
? Tech won seven of its last nine games overall.
? Bulldogs won last three home games, by 11-16-3 points.
? Tech has #27 eFG% defense in country.

? Home side won eight of last nine series games.
? Blazers lost their last four visits to Ruston.

North Texas @ Southern Miss
North Texas (10-6, 6-2)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #25
? Continuity: #92
? North Texas won five of its last six games.
? Mean Green won 8 of 9 games vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? North Texas is shooting 37.6% on the arc (#35).

Southern Miss (7-12, 3-9)
? ranked #251 by KenPom
? Tempo: #272
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #192
? Southern Miss lost its last six games, five of them on road.
? Golden Eagles won three of their five C-USA home games.
? Southern Miss is shooting 46.1% inside arc (#288).

? North Texas won last two meetings, 65-62/72-52.
? Mean Green lost three of last four visits to Hattiesburg.

Rice @ Western Kentucky
Rice (12-8, 6-6)
? ranked #180 by KenPom
? Tempo: #87
? Experience: #287
? Continuity: #298
? Rice lost last three road games, by 10-12-26 points.
? In their last four games, Owls allowed 80.5 ppg.
? Rice is shooting 37% on the arc (#45), has #43 eFG%.

Western Kentucky (13-4, 6-2)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #193
? Experience: #52
? Continuity: #86
? WKU hasn?t played in 19 days.
? Hilltoppers won last four games, scoring 75 ppg.
? WKU gets 22.9% of its points on foul line (#19)

? Hilltoppers won last four series games.
? Rice lost 79-72/68-61 in last two visits to WKU.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Georgia Tech (9-7, 5-5)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #3
? Continuity: #10
? Tech lost its last three road games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
? Jackets are 5-0 in ACC if they score 70+ points, 0-5 if they don?t.
? Tech is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#50)

Clemson (12-5, 6-5)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #97
? Clemson won three of its last four games.
? Tigers won five of six ACC home games, losing to Virginia.
? Clemson is forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#24).

? Tigers lost 83-65 at Georgia Tech January 20.
? Tech won last three series games, by 9-3-18 points.
? Tech lost 13 of last 14 games in Littlejohn.

Illinois @ Nebraska
Illinois (13-5, 9-3)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #79
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #46
? Illinois won four in row, 8 of last 10 games.
? Illini won its last three road games, scoring 84.7 ppg.
? Illinois has #8 eFG% in country (#10 on arc, #24 inside arc)

Nebraska (4-11, 0-8)
? ranked #129 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #101
? Continuity: #321
? Nebraska is 0-4 at home in Big 14, losing by 11-8-7-13 points.
? Cornhuskers have #311 eFG% (#298 on arc, #291 inside arc)
? Nebraska?s last D-I win was December 1st over South Dakota.

? Illinois won three of last four series games.
? Illini lost four of last five visits to Lincoln.

Detroit @ Cleveland State
Detroit (8-8, 7-5)
? ranked #167 by KenPom
? Tempo: #266
? Experience: #9
? Continuity: #219
? Detroit won 7 of last 8 games, after a 1-7 start.
? Titans are 0-5 vs top 200 teams, giving up 83.8 ppg.
? Detroit is shooting 38.3% on arc (#19).

Cleveland State (14-5, 14-2)
? ranked #157 by KenPom
? Tempo: #287
? Experience: #78
? Continuity: #130
? Vikings won their last four games, scoring 76.8 ppg.
? Cleveland is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#71)
? Vikings are being rewarded for playing #7 non-conference schedule.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Titans lost three of last four visits to Cleveland.

Temple @ Cincinnati
Temple (4-7, 3-7)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #173
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #293
? Temple lost last three games, scoring 63.7 ppg.
? Owls have #322 eFG% (#280 on arc, #322 inside arc)
? Temple lost three of four road games, winning at Tulane.

Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)
? ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #69
? Experience: #118
? Continuity: #196
? Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
? Bearcats gave up 60-61 points in two games since its COVID pause.
? Cincinnati is shooting 29% on arc (#323), has #264 eFG%.

? Bearcats won 63-60 at Temple, eight days ago.
? Cincinnati won last eight series games.
? Owls lost last three visits to Cincy, by 7-1-33 points.

UCSB @ Hawai?i
UCSB (12-3, 6-2)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #62
? This is Gauchos? first game in 13 days.
? UCSB won its last four road games, scoring 86.5 ppg.
? Gauchos are forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#48)

Hawai?i (7-5, 5-5)
? ranked #193 by KenPom
? Tempo: #228
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #318
? Rainbows won last three games, giving up 64.3 ppg.
? This is Hawai?i?s first top 100 game; they split with #112 Cal-Irvine.
? Rainbows are 2-3 in Big West games decided by 5 or fewer points.

? UCSB won five of last seven series games.
? Gauchos lost four of last five visits to Hawai?i.


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837IL-CHICAGO -838 IUPUI
IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

839CANISIUS -840 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997.

841IUPU-FT WAYNE -842 YOUNGSTOWN ST
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.

843N KENTUCKY -844 WI-GREEN BAY
N KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

845MANHATTAN -846 IONA
IONA is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

847MIDDLE TENN ST -848 MARSHALL
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

849LONG BEACH ST -850 CAL DAVIS
CAL DAVIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

851TULANE -852 UCF
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

853FLA ATLANTIC -854 TX-SAN ANTONIO
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.

855OAKLAND -856 ROBERT MORRIS
OAKLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games in the current season.



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NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 12


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Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PRE at HAMP 04:00 PM
PRE +2.5

SFBK at SFPA 04:00 PM
SFPA -2.5......66 - 80.......WINNER

WEBB at LONG 04:00 PM
WEBB -3.5


***********************

MAN at IONA 05:00 PM
MAN +4.5

PFW at YSU 05:00 PM
PFW +5.5
O 149.5

NKU at WIGB 05:00 PM
NKU +1.0........82 - 86.....LOSER


********************


SEMO at MURR 06:00 PM
MURR -13.0
U 133.0

LBSU at UCD 06:00 PM
UCD -7.5
U 154.5

UNF at LIB 06:00 PM
LIB -11.5

CHSO at HP 06:00 PM
CHSO +7.5......69 - 68.....WINNER

MTU at MRSH 06:00 PM
O 144.5

STET at KENN 06:00 PM
STET -5.5

************************

SBON at VCU 07:00 PM
VCU -3.0........64 - 67.......PUSH

TEM at CIN 07:00 PM
CIN -6.5

MW at CCSU 07:00 PM
MW -5.5

OAK at RMU 07:00 PM
OAK +1.5

AKR at M-OH 07:00 PM
O 142.5

UCI at UCRV 07:00 PM
UCRV +1.5

WIN at RAD 07:00 PM
WIN -6.0.......55 - 47.....WINNER

FAU at UTSA 07:00 PM
UTSA -4.5

SCUS at CAMP 07:00 PM
SCUS +4.0.......49 - 64........LOSER

LIP at JAC 07:00 PM
JAC +5.5

MILW at WRST 07:00 PM
MILW +16.0.......81 - 92
O 146.0..........WINNER

TULN at UCF 07:00 PM
TULN +5.5

UMASS at ALBY 07:00 PM
UMASS +4.5

UCSD at CSB 07:00 PM
CSB -9.0...........71 - 76.......LOSER

BELL at NORAL 07:00 PM
BELL -5.5

UAB at LT 07:30 PM
UAB -1.0

***************************

WMU at BUFF 08:00 PM
WMU +14.0..........64 - 86.......LOSER

RICE at WKU 08:00 PM
RICE +10.5

UNT at USM 08:00 PM
UNT -8.5

DEN at WIU 08:00 PM
WIU -5.0

GT at CLEM 08:00 PM
GT +3.5.........72 - 74........WINNER

NEOM at KC 08:00 PM
KC -6.0
O 130.0

DSTATE at UVU 08:00 PM
DSTATE +9.0............72 - 87.....LOSER

UALR at ARST 08:30 PM
ARST +3.5
O 140.0

*************************

ILL at NEB 09:00 PM
ILL -14.5

FIU at UTEP 09:00 PM
UTEP -7.0

DETU at CLEVST 09:00 PM
CLEVST -3.0............89 - 83......LOSER
U 138.0

NMSU at SEA 09:00 PM
SEA +7.5 72 - 83......WINNER
O 138.0.........WINNER


UCSB at HAW 11:59 PM
UCSB -5.0
U 136.5




FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............106 - 98...........- 9.00

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50
 
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Saturday?s 6-pack
Six leading scorers in the NBA:

32.8? Bradley Beal, Wash
30.0? Steph Curry, GSt
29.4? Damion Lillard, Port
29.4? Joel Embiid, Phil
28.2? Zach LaVine, Chi
28.1? Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 480,510
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?I don?t like it at all because that?s not who I am. The drama, the extra whatever you want to call it, the negativity for me. I don?t really like negative energy. That?s draining. So I don?t like how it necessarily happened. I feel like it could have happened a lot smoother, a lot easier, but it is what it is.?
James Harden, on how his Houston tenure ended

Saturday?s quiz
Which state is known as ?The Land of Lincoln??

Friday?s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League, he wore number 45.

Thursday?s quiz
Shaquille O?Neal finished his NBA career with the Celtics, ten years ago.

********************

Saturday?s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind??.

13) NCAA Tournament, like everything else for the last year or so, promises to be a bit bizarre; right now, Michigan/Baylor would both be #1 seeds in the Field of 68, but both teams are on pause, because of COVID.

In my mind, teams like that will need to play some games before the tournament, so their players can get their legs back. Teams on pause usually don?t practice, sometimes the players aren?t even allowed to go outside and jog, or shoot hoops.

12) Houston Texans released JJ Watt, who has been a great player and is an iconic figure in the Houston area? he raised $41.6M for victims of Hurricane Harvey a few years ago.

The thing is, Watt will be 32 in March; he doesn?t want to go thru a rebuilding program, and if any team is going thru a rebuild, it is the Texans. He requested the release and he got it.

11) Illinois 77, Nebraska 72 OT? Illini was favored by 15 points in Lincoln; they needed five extra minutes to put away the gritty Cornhuskers.

10) Iona 85, Manhattan 67? Rick Pitino?s Gaels are 6-3; this was their first game in 51 days.

9) Robert Morris 88, Oakland 82 OT? Colonials? last four home games have gone into overtime; this was the first one of those they won.

8) Utah 129, Milwaukee 115? Jazz won five in row, 15 of last 16 games; they?re 14-1-1 ATS in those 16 games.

7) Lakers 115, Memphis 105? Lakers were down 22-2, but they still won/covered. LA won its last seven games. Lebron James played 34 minutes, down some from their last few games.

6) Texas State?s football team offered over 100 kids scholarships this year, but none of them accepted. That is zero out of 100, very unsuccessful recruiting.

Texas State has instead brought in 11 transfer students, who will try and improve the fortunes of Bobcat football. They need to do better at recruiting next year.

5) Guy on the Interweb posted a picture of a room in his house, where he had his sneaker collection spread out on the floor. 85-90 pairs of Air Jordans; thats an expensive collection, and a very cool one.

4) Thing I learned from listening to Bill Walton on TV: Arizona is the 6th biggest state in the country, roughly the same size as Italy.

3) Oregon basketball coach Dana Altman has won Coach of the Year in four different leagues.

2) I?ve had two eye operations in the last 16 months, then I saw the Miami Heat?s new uniforms last week and thought my eye fell apart again. Pink on the left side, blue on the right, ugly on both sides. First I checked my eyes, then the TV; they?re all fine. The uniforms are terrible.

1) There is a United States Senator from Rhode Island named Sheldon Whitehouse; this guy has to run for President someday, yes? I don?t even know what party he is in, but if your last name is Whitehouse, he needs to seriously consider running for President.
 

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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 13


UConn @ Xavier
UConn (8-5, 5-5)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #154
? Huskies lost four of their last five games overall.
? UConn lost last two road games, by 8-11 points.
? UConn?s best player Bouknight has missed last 7 games.

Xavier (11-2, 4-2)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #77
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #178
? This is Xavier?s first game in two weeks.
? Musketeers won last three games, giving up 63 ppg.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Xavier has #32 eFG% in country (#62 on arc, #37 inside arc)

Indiana @ Ohio State
Indiana (11-8, 6-6)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #289
? Continuity: #83
? Road team won six of their last seven games.
? Four of their last ten games went to overtime.
? Indiana is experience team #289 that has played schedule #8.

Ohio State (16-4, 10-4)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #252
? Experience: #93
? Continuity: #177
? Buckeyes won their last five games, scoring 79.6 ppg.
? Ohio State is 5-1 in Big 14 home games, losing to Purdue.
? Buckeyes are getting 22.5% of their points on foul line (#24)

? Ohio State won five of last six series games.
? Hoosiers lost 71-56/68-59 in last two visits to Columbus.

Loyola Chi @ Drake
Loyola Chi (17-3, 12-1)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #311
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #24
? Ramblers won their last ten games, nine by 10+ points.
? Loyola?s last loss was January 10, 76-71 at Indiana State.
? Ramblers are shooting 60.2% inside arc (#3)

Drake (19-1, 10-1)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #74
? Continuity: #179
? Drake is 5-0 in Valley home games (four wins by 18+)
? Bulldogs are grabbing 32.3% of their missed shots in MVC games (#1 of 10)
? Drake is shooting 37.5% on arc (#35)

? Loyola won six of last seven series games.
? Teams split last six series games played here.

Oklahoma @ West Virginia
Oklahoma (12-5, 7-4)
? ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #56
? Sooners won six of their last seven games.
? Oklahoma turns ball over only 15.5% of time (#13)
? Opponents are shooting 43.6% inside arc (#14)

West Virginia (8-7, 5-5)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #132
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #32
? West Virginia won four of its last five games.
? Mountaineers split their last four home games.
? West Virginia is grabbing 36.5% of its missed shots (#9)

? West Virginia lost 75-71 in Norman January 2.
? Sooners won four of last five series games.
? Teams split last four meetings in Morgantown.

Auburn @ Kentucky
Auburn (11-12, 5-7)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #314
? Auburn lost three of its last four games.
? Tigers lost four of seven SEC road games.
? Auburn is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#305)

Kentucky (5-13, 4-7)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #343
? Kentucky lost four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Wildcats are shooting 44.1% inside arc in SEC games (#14 of 14)
? In their last four games, Kentucky gave up 77 ppg.

? Kentucky lost 66-59 at Auburn January 16.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Auburn lost last ten visits to Rupp Arena, with three of last four losses here by 20+ points.

Oregon @ Arizona
Oregon (16-2, 9-1)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #298
? Oregon split its last six games, after an 8-1 start.
? Ducks won three of their four Pac-12 road games.
? Oregon is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#71)

Arizona (14-6, 8-6)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #175
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #325
? Arizona lost three of its last five games overall.
? Wildcats split their last six home games.
? Arizona is a top 20 rebounding team in country.

? Oregon won last five series games; three of them were in OT.
? Ducks won 59-54/73-72 OT in last two trips to Tucson.

Tennessee @ LSU
Tennessee (14-4, 7-4)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #241
? Continuity: #100
? Tennessee won four of its last five games.
? Volunteers lost two of their last three road games.
? Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#13).

LSU (12-6, 7-4)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #137
? LSU lost four of its last six games.
? Tigers lost last two home games, to Alabama, Texas Tech.
? Southern Miss is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#38).

? LSU won four of last five series games.
? Vols lost 92-82/82-80 OT in last two visits to Baton Rouge.

Iowa @ Michigan State
Iowa (12-8, 6-6)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #100
? Experience: #213
? Continuity: #150
? Iowa lost four of its last six games.
? Hawkeyes lost last two road games, by 2-5 points.
? Iowa is shooting 38.9% on the arc (#12), has #23 eFG%.

Michigan State (10-7, 4-7)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #152
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #85
? Spartans won last two games, giving up 56-58 points.
? Michigan State is turning ball over 19.3% of time in Big 14 games (#13)
? Spartans have the #235 eFG% in country.

? Spartans lost 84-78 at Iowa February 2.
? Michigan State won five of last six series games.
? Iowa lost last four visits to Breslin Center, by 11-3-22-8 points.

Arkansas @ Missouri
Arkansas (15-5, 7-4)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #20
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #337
? Arkansas won five of its last six games.
? Hogs are 6-2 with Smith back in lineup; they were 1-3 without him.
? Arkansas lost four of its last seven road games.

Missouri (13-4, 6-4)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #7
? Continuity: #8
? Mizzou won six of its last eight games.
? Tigers won last four home games, last three by 5 or fewer points.
? Mizzou is shooting 54.0% inside arc (#47).

? Mizzou won 81-68 at Arkansas January 2.
? Home side won nine of last ten series games.
? Arkansas lost their last four visits to Mizzou.

Villanova @ Creighton
Villanova (13-2, 8-1)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #330
? Experience: #127
? Continuity: #7
? Villanova scored 84-96 points in its last two games.
? Wildcats lost their last road game, at St John?s.
? Villanova has #22 eFG% in country (#14 on arc, #62 inside arc)

Creighton (15-5)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #117
? Experience: #411
? Continuity: #21
? Creighton won five of its last six games overall.
? Bluejays lost two of their last three home games.
? Creighton is shooting 57.5% inside arc (#9)

? Villanova won 11 of last 13 series games.
? Wildcats won five of last six visits to Omaha.

North Carolina @ Virginia
North Carolina (12-6, 7-4)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #72
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #148
? North Carolina won seven of last nine games.
? Tar Heels lost four of their seven ACC road tilts.
? UNC is grabbing 40% of its own missed shots (#2).

Virginia (14-3, 10-1)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #158
? Virginia won three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Cavaliers are shooting 39.5% on the arc. (#8)
? In its last three games, Virginia gave up 57.3 ppg.

? Virginia won last six series games.
? Carolina lost last three visits to Virginia, by 10-12-9 points.

USC @ Washington State
USC (16-3, 10-2)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #226
? Experience: #192
? Continuity: #323
? USC won its last five games, giving up 59.6 ppg.
? Trojans are 5-1 on Pac-12 road, losing 58-56 at Oregon State.
? Opponents are shooting 42.0% inside arc (#5).

Washington State (12-8, 5-8)
? ranked #101 by KenPom
? Tempo: #162
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #208
? Wazzu won three of its last four games.
? Coogs lost three of their five Pac-12 home games.
? Wazzu lost last six times they scored less than 73 points.

? Coogs lost 85-77 at USC January 16
? Trojans won last nine series games.
? USC won its last five visits to the Paloose, all by 9+ points.

Utah @ Stanford
Utah (9-7, 6-6)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #264
? Experience: #282
? Continuity: #16
? Utah won three in row, five of last seven games.
? Utes are shooting 54.1% inside arc in Pac-12 games (#1)
? Utah won its last two road games, by 1-3 points.

Stanford (12-8, 8-6)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #100
? Experience: #294
? Continuity: #82
? Stanford lost five of its last nine games.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 20.5% of time in Pac-12 games (#11)
? Stanford lost two of its three games in Maples Pavilion.

? Cardinal lost 79-65 at Utah January 14.
? Utah won five of last six series games.
? Utes lost six of last seven visits to Palo Alto.



************************


601CONNECTICUT -602 XAVIER
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

605IL-CHICAGO -606 IUPUI
IUPUI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

607KANSAS ST -608 OKLAHOMA ST
KANSAS ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

609INDIANA -610 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

611THE CITADEL -612 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

613LOYOLA-IL -614 DRAKE
DRAKE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

615SAMFORD -616 VMI
VMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home lined games in the current season.

617OKLAHOMA -618 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

619CANISIUS -620 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

621ELON -622 COLL OF CHARLESTON
ELON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


KSU at OKST 12:00 PM
OKST -12.5........60 - 67.....LOSER
U 136.0

CONN at XAV 12:00 PM
XAV -4.0

IND at OSU 12:00 PM
OSU -6.5......69 - 78 WINNER

WAKE at FSU 12:00 PM
WAKE +13.5

UIC at INDPU 12:00 PM
UIC -1.0.......81 - 88......LOSER
U 144.5...........LOSER


L-IL at DRKE 12:00 PM
DRKE +3.5..........81 - 54.....LOSER

CIT at CHAT 12:00 PM
CIT +10.0......66 - 70
O 156.5......LOSER

************************

NE at TOWS 01:00 PM
NE -2.5...........76 - 67
O 134.5...........WINNER

CAN at QUIN 01:00 PM
QUIN -1.0........89 - 70....LOSER

OKLA at WVU 01:00 PM
WVU -3.0

SAM at VMI 01:00 PM
VMI -5.5.........56 - 85..........WINNER

AUB at UK 01:00 PM
UK -3.0
O 147.5

VAN at MSST 01:00 PM
VAN +7.5

ELON at COFC 01:00 PM
ELON +7.5.......53 - 71......LOSER

BUT at GTWN 01:30 PM
GTWN -2.0

HOF at JMU 02:00 PM
JMU -2.0

L-MD at LAF 02:00 PM
LAF -2.5

NORF at MORG 02:00 PM
MORG -4.0

TCU at TEX 02:00 PM
TCU +12.0

NIU at KENT 02:00 PM
KENT -15.5......58 - 80.....WINNER
O 138.0.........WINNER


BGSU at TOL 02:00 PM
TOL -8.0........88 - 81
O 155.0..............WINNER

BC at SYR 02:00 PM
SYR -11.5

UNCG at MER 02:00 PM
UNCG -2.0...............77 - 74....WINNER

ORE at ARIZ 02:00 PM
ARIZ -2.0.............63 - 61........LOSER

TENN at LSU 02:00 PM
LSU +2.5.......65 - 78......WINNER
O 145.5...............LOSER

IDHO at IDST 02:00 PM
IDST -10.5

STON at UVM 02:00 PM
UVM -11.0...........78 - 86........LOSER

WCU at FUR 02:00 PM
WCU +13.0
O 147.5

EWU at MTST 02:05 PM
MTST +3.5............85 - 69........LOSER
O 153.5.............WINNER


IOWA at MSU 02:30 PM
MSU +4.5
U 152.0

***********************

KU at ISU 03:00 PM
ISU +11.5

MILW at WRST 03:00 PM
WRST -15.5.....82 - 92......LOSER
U 148.0

CSUS at CALBA 03:00 PM
CALBA -2.5

FRES at AFA 03:00 PM
FRES -4.5.........67 - 64........LOSER

UTA at TXST 03:00 PM
TXST -5.5........68 - 79........WINNER

SLU at FOR 03:30 PM
SLU -17.0

UGA at ALA 03:30 PM
UGA +13.0

SDAK at UND 03:30 PM
UND +6.5.......76 - 85...........WINNER

CHAR at ODU 04:00 PM
CHAR +4.0

ARK at MIZZ 04:00 PM
ARK +3.0..........86 - 81.....WINNER
O 150.5...........WINNER


LBSU at UCD 04:00 PM
UCD -6.5...76 - 78.....WINNER
U 151.0

MTU at MRSH 04:00 PM
MTU +17.0
U 147.0

FAU at UTSA 04:00 PM
UTSA -5.0..........75 - 86.....WINNER

STET at KENN 04:00 PM
STET -7.0......75 - 83......LOSER

WOF at ETSU 04:00 PM
ETSU -2.5......49 - 71.....WINNER

DUKE at NCST 04:00 PM
NCST +4.0

UAB at LT 04:00 PM
LT -2.5

ILST at SIU 04:00 PM
SIU -5.5.........80 - 55.......LOSER

WEB at MONT 04:30 PM
WEB -1.5

MAN at IONA 05:00 PM
IONA -8.0.....77 -70,......LOSER
U 129.0

FAIR at SPC 05:00 PM
SPC -10.5.....55 - 50......LOSER

OAK at RMU 05:00 PM
OAK -2.5.....86 - 81.........WINNER
U 144.5

SIUE at JVST 05:00 PM
JVST -9.0 60 - 80......WINNER
U 141.0........WNNER

EIU at TNTC 05:00 PM
TNTC +1.0

EKY at TNST 05:00 PM
TNST +7.0............93 - 73.........LOSER

MORE at BEL 05:00 PM
BEL -10.0.....58 - 73.........WINNER

UNF at LIB 05:00 PM
LIB -12.5.....60 -80................WINNER

USA at TROY 05:00 PM
TROY +1.5

UNT at USM 05:00 PM
USM +9.5

ULL at ULM 05:00 PM
ULL -3.0

VILL at CREI 05:00 PM
CREI +2.5........70 -86...........WINNER
O 143.5.......WINNER

NW at RUTG 05:00 PM
RUTG -8.0........50 - 64..........WINNER

PFW at YSU 05:00 PM
YSU -5.5......70 - 72,......LOSER
U 151.0

NKU at WIGB 05:00 PM
WIGB -1.0.......71 - 66..........LOSER

SDST at ORU 05:00 PM
SDST -3.5........86 - 103.......LOSER

AMCC at ACU 05:00 PM
ACU -19.5

GONZ at SF 06:00 PM
GONZ -16.5.........100 - 61........WINNER

SEMO at PEAY 06:00 PM
PEAY -11.0.........63 - 78......WINNER

RICE at WKU 06:00 PM
WKU -10.0........66 - 89.....WINNER

ARST at UALR 06:00 PM
UALR -5.5

LIP at JAC 06:00 PM
LIP -6.0.......71 - 69......LOSER

UNC at UVA 06:00 PM
UVA -6.0....48 - 60.....WINNER
O 128.5.....LOSER


MISS at SCAR 06:00 PM
SCAR +1.5

CARK at SHSU 06:00 PM
SHSU -12.5

BRAD at MOSU 06:00 PM
MOSU -2.5

-----------------------------


PAC at LMU 07:00 PM
LMU -2.0.........76 - 80
O 129.5.......WINNER

DETU at CLEVST 07:00 PM
DETU +2.5.......64 - 71.......LOSER
O 141.0......LOSER

UCSD at CSB 07:00 PM
UCSD +9.0

BELL at NORAL 07:00 PM
BELL -4.5.........87 - 63.........WINNER

UCLA at WASH 07:30 PM
WASH +9.5

DEN at WIU 08:00 PM
WIU -6.5..........60 - 72........WINNER

PROV at DEP 08:00 PM
PROV -2.5

NEOM at KC 08:00 PM
O 130.0

VALP at UNI 08:00 PM
UNI -7.0

DSTATE at UVU 08:00 PM
UVU -10.5............93 - 89......WINNER

UTM at MURR 08:30 PM
O 138.5.........84 - 55.....WINNER

COLO at CAL 10:00 PM
COLO -10.0...........62 - 72.......LOSER

UTAH at STAN 10:00 PM
UTAH +4.5.....66 - 73...........LOSER

UNLV at BSU 10:00 PM
BSU -9.5

UCI at UCRV 11:59 PM
UCRV -1.0
U 126.5

UCSB at HAW 11:59 PM
UCSB -5.5
U 134.0



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............138 - 124........-+8.00

*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50
 
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Cnotes53

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Sunday?s 6-pack
Six teams that score the most in college basketball:

92.7? Gonzaga
88.1? Bryant
87.4? Iowa
87.0? Baylor
86.5? Colgate
85.6? Southern Utah

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 480,510
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?After my freshman year, I just felt like I didn?t produce enough or show enough to show them I could play at the next level. With me, it?s all about getting better, no matter how long it takes, no matter how long you stay in college. That never really bothered me. I always heard, ?You should go to the draft.? But it was always my decision. I just wanted to get better and better every year.?
Alabama?s John Petty, a rare 5-star recruit who played four years in college

Sunday?s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Saturday?s quiz
Illinois is known as ?The Land of Lincoln?

Friday?s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the Birmingham Barons in the Southern League, he wore number 45.

*********************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) A word of caution:

Friday afternoon, I got a text from my credit card company; someone tried to charge $458 on my credit card, and they were checking to see if it was me, which it wasn?t, so they shut down my credit card and will send me another one. No harm done, but no bueno.

Be careful with your personal information; lot of scam artists out there.

12) The Urban Meyer era in Jacksonville is off to a rocky start; the strength coach they hired a few days ago quit already, after complaints about how he left his job at Iowa, with former players at Iowa accusing him of racist behavior. Not the best way for this era of Jaguar football to start.

11) Baseball stuff:
? Seattle gave lefty P James Paxton $8.5M for one year.
? Royals signed IF Asdrubel Cabrera to a 1-year deal.
? Bronx signed OF Jay Bruce to a minor league deal

10) Florida State 92, Wake Forest 85 OT:
? Seminoles won their 11th straight overtime game.
? Florida State tied game with 0:00.5 left on a transition layup.
? Wake was 13-27 on the arc, Seminoles 12-25.
? This was FSU?s first game in 14 days; guys on TV who watched this game said the Seminoles looked exhausted near the end of regulation. They have a few weeks to get their legs.

9) Creighton 86, Villanova 70:
? When Bluejays make 12-26 on the arc, they can beat anyone.
? The thing is, no goes 12-26 all that often; can they make a run to the Final 4?
? Creighton starts three seniors, two juniors; they?re experience team #39.

8) Arkansas 86, Missouri 81 OT? They were telling Eric Musselman stories on this telecast; the son of former NBA coach Bill Musselman, Eric was a coach/GM in the Continental League when he was in his mid-20?s, highly unusual.

The first day he was GM of the Rapid City Thrillers, Musselman made four trades, which sounds like a guy I?d like to have in our fantasy baseball league.

Musselman?s Razorbacks are 16-5, 8-4 in the SEC; they?ve won six of last seven games.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? California (+10) 71, Colorado 62
? Vanderbilt (+7.5) 72, Mississippi State 51
? Valparaiso (+7) 70, Northern Iowa 57
? North Dakota (+6.5) 85, South Dakota 76
? Arkansas State (+6) 67, Little Rock 65
? Illinois State (+5.5) 80, Southern Illinois 55
? Oral Roberts (+4) 103, South Dakota State 86

6) Oklahoma 91, West Virginia 90, 2OT:
? Sooners have won six of their last severn games.
? Lon Kruger is a really underrated coach; he?s led five different schools to the NCAA Tournament, getting two of them to a Final Four.
? He also coached the Atlanta Hawks for a couple years.
? 671 college wins is a lot of wins.

5) Cal-Santa Barbara 81, Hawai?i 74:
? Gauchos win despite blowing a 12-point halftime lead.
? Santa Barbara has a slim lead atop the Big West; two of their last three wins were in OT.

4) Northeastern 76, Towson 67:
? Tyson Walker made 7-12 3-pointers, scored 36 points.
? Walker is a sophomore; Huskies? coaches better make sure he doesn?t get poached by Duke, or some other big money program.

3) Pundits on the Big 14 Network rattle on and on about how great their league is, but fact of the matter is this: Last time a Big 14 team won the basketball national title was when Michigan State won it all, in 2000. A 21-year drought seems lengthy for such a great league.

2) Candidates for the NFL?s Name Hall of Fame:
? Eagles used to have a kicker named Happy Feller? he kicked in college at Texas.
? Browns used to have a receiver named Fair Hooker? insert your own joke here.

1) Lot of times when I?m writing this site late at night, I put old episodes of The West Wing on my laptop and listen while I write. The other night, I finished up, turned the laptop off and started watching an old episode of Columbo on TV.

1973, back when I was a kid, Columbo was a popular show; Peter Falk is a quirky cop who always gets his man, but there was a familiar face in this episode, a much, much younger Martin Sheen, who I had just watched play President Bartlett on my laptop while I was writing.

What a great career he?s had; that was 48 years ago, and he still does commercials on TV.
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 14


attachment.php



*************************

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 14


UCF @ Cincinnati
UCF (6-10, 4-9)
? ranked #105 by KenPom
? Tempo: #262
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #277
? UCF won two of its last three games.
? Knights lost five of last six road games, winning at Tulsa.
? UCF is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#324)

Cincinnati (6-7, 4-4)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #65
? Experience: #229
? Continuity: #217
? Cincinnati is 3-0 since its 25-day COVID pause.
? Cincy is turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#264)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Bearcats have #265 eFG% in country (#325 on arc, #300 on line)

? Bearcats lost 75-50 at UCF December 20.
? Knights won three of last four series games.
? UCF lost four of its last five visits to Cincinnati.

Michigan @ Wisconsin
Michigan (13-1, 8-1)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #153
? This is Michigan?s first game in 23 days.
? Wolverines? only loss; 75-57 at Minnesota January 16.
? Michigan has #4 eFG% defense in country.

Wisconsin (15-6, 9-5)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #11
? Badgers split their last six games overall.
? Wisconsin won four of its six Big 14 home games.
? Badgers have #39 eFG% defense in country.

? Badgers lost 77-54 at Michigan January 12.
? Michigan won five of last seven series games.
? Wolverines lost three of last four visits to Madison.

Loyola Chi @ Drake
Loyola Chi (18-3, 13-1)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #41
? Continuity: #14
? Ramblers won their last 11 games, ten by 10+ points.
? Loyola?s last loss was January 10, 76-71 at Indiana State.
? Ramblers are shooting 60.6% inside arc (#3)

Drake (19-2, 10-2)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #76
? Continuity: #175
? Drake is 5-1 in Valley home games (four wins by 18+)
? Bulldogs lost two of their last three games.
? Drake is shooting 37.0% on arc (#44)

? Ramblers outscored Drake 50-20 in 2nd half of Saturday?s 81-54 win.
? Loyola won seven of last eight series games.
? Ramblers are 4-3 in last seven series games played here.

Tulane @ South Florida
Tulane (8-8, 3-8)
? ranked #149 by KenPom
? Tempo: #288
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #308
? Green Wave lost six of their last eight games.
? Tulane has #340 eFG% in country (#321 on arc, #334 inside arc)
? This is Tulane?s third game in five days.

South Florida (7-6, 3-4)
? ranked #117 by KenPom
? Tempo: #268
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #73
? Bulls lost four of their last six games overall.
? USF lost three of its last four home games.
? Bulls are turning ball over 22% of time (#305) have #285 eFG%.

? South Florida won three of last four series games.
? Green Wave won four of last five visits to Tampa.

Nebraska @ Penn State
Nebraska (4-12, 0-9)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #102
? Continuity: #322
? Nebraska blew 6-point lead with 2:55 left, lost in OT to Illinois Friday.
? Cornhuskers lost their last nine games, six of them by 10+ points.
? Nebraska has#314 eFG% in country (#294 on arc, #310 inside arc)

Penn State (7-9, 4-8)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #50
? Nittany Lions won their last four home games.
? Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#315)
? To this point, Penn State has played hardest schedule in country.

? Penn State won four of last six series games.
? Cornhuskers lost their last six visits to Happy Valley.

Marquette @ Seton Hall
Marquette (9-11, 5-9)
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #262
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #176
? Marquette lost five of its last six games.
? Golden Eagles split their six Big East road games.
? Opponents are shooting 36.8% on arc (#290)

Seton Hall (11-8, 8-5)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #237
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #133
? Pirates lost last two home games (Creighton/Villanova)
? Seton Hall is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#52)
? Pirates are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#34)

? Pirates won 70-63 in Milwaukee December 17
? Seton Hall won last five series games.
? Marquette lost four of last five visits to the Garden State.

Illinois State @ Southern Illinois
Illinois State (6-14, 3-11)
? ranked #204 by KenPom
? Tempo: #131
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #260
? Redbirds lost six of their last seven games overall.
? State lost five of its seven MVC road games.
? Redbirds are shooting only 47.2% inside arc (#264).

Southern Illinois (9-9, 3-9)
? ranked #226 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #340
? Continuity: #273
? Salukis lost nine of their last 11 games overall.
? SIU lost three of its last four home games.
? Salukis have #318 eFG% defense in country.

? Redbirds beat SIU 80-55 here yesterday.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Redbirds lost three of last four games in Carbondale.

Bradley @ Missouri State
Bradley (11-12, 5-9)
? ranked #133 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #207
? Bradley split its last four games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Braves lost five of their last six road games.
? Opponents ate shooting 43.3% inside arc (#11), 38.1% on arc (#316)

Missouri State (13-5, 9-5)
? ranked #105 by KenPom
? Tempo: #142
? Experience: #216
? Continuity: #289
? Bears? MVC losses are all against Drake/Loyola.
? State won its last four games, giving up 60 ppg.
? Bears are shooting 55.8% inside arc (#20).

? Bradley was down 20 at half, lost 80-58 here yesterday.
? Braves still won six of last nine series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh (15-5, 7-4)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #120
? Experience: #306
? Continuity: #112
? Panthers lost four of their last five games.
? Pitt split its four ACC road games, losing at Wake/Virginia.
? Pitt has #249 eFG%; they?re grabbing 34.4% of their missed shots (#28)

Georgia Tech (9-8, 5-6)
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #207
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Tech lost five of its last seven games overall.
? Jackets are 5-1 in ACC home games, losing to Virginia.
? Tech is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#47).

? Tech won five of last seven series games.
? Panthers lost their last four visits to Atlanta.

Miami @ Notre Dame
Miami (7-11, 3-10)
? ranked #125 by KenPom
? Tempo: #203
? Experience: #240
? Continuity: #241
? Miami lost five of its last six games.
? Hurricanes lost last four road games, all by 12+ points.
? Miami is shooting 29.4% on arc (#315), has #254 eFG%.

Notre Dame (8-10, 5-7)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #258
? Experience: #46
? Continuity: #127
? Notre Dame won five of its last seven games overall.
? Irish lost three of their five ACC home games.
? Notre Dame is shooting 39.0% on the arc (#14)

? Notre Dame won 73-59 at Miami January 24.
? Teams split last ten series games.
? Teams also split last four series games played here.

Minnesota @ Maryland
Minnesota (13-7, 6-7)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #99
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #189
? Minnesota is 6-0 at home, 0-7 on road in Big 14 games.
? Gophers are shooting 29.4% on the arc (#316)
? Minnesota is 5-7 against top 100 teams.

Maryland (10-10, 4-9)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #157
? Continuity: #92
? Maryland lost four of its last six games.
? Terps lost four of their six Big 14 home games.
? Last four games, Maryland scored 57.8 ppg.

? Maryland won 63-49 at Minnesota January 23.
? Terps won last five series games.
? Gophers lost three of last four visits to Maryland.

Oregon State @ Arizona State
Oregon State (10-9, 6-7)
? ranked #122 by KenPom
? Tempo: #318
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #159
? Beavers lost their last four road games, scoring 56.0 ppg.
? Oregon State is shooting 44% inside arc (#324)
? Beavers are getting 42.0% of their points on foul line (#12).

Arizona State (6-9, 3-6)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #152
? ASU lost seven of its last nine games.
? Sun Devils lost four of their six Pac-12 home games.
? ASU is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#42)

? Sun Devils lost 80-79 in Corvallis January 16.
? ASU won four of last five series games.
? Beavers lost their last 11 visits to Tempe.

Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa
Valparaiso (8-13, 5-7)
? ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #100
? Valpo lost four of its last six games overall.
? Crusaders won three of its five MVC road games.
? Valpo is shooting 30.3% on arc (#303).

Northern Iowa (6-14, 4-10)
? ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #287
? Continuity: #196
? UNI lost four of its last five games.
? Panthers split first three home sets of MVC back/backs.
? In its last four games, UNI scored 60.8 ppg.

? Valpo made 11-24 on arc, won 70-57 here yesterday.
? UNI won five of last seven series games.
? Crusaders lost three of last four series games played here.




**************************


787UCF -788 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

789ELON -790 COLL OF CHARLESTON
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1997.

791NORTHEASTERN -792 TOWSON ST
NORTHEASTERN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

793MICHIGAN -794 WISCONSIN
MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the current season.

795HOFSTRA -796 JAMES MADISON
HOFSTRA is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

797TULANE -798 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 29-14 ATS (13.6 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

799NEBRASKA -800 PENN ST
PENN ST is 75-38 ATS (33.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997.

801LOYOLA-IL -802 DRAKE
DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

803MARQUETTE -804 SETON HALL
MARQUETTE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

805SACRAMENTO ST -806 CAL BAPTIST
CAL BAPTIST is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

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SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STON at UVM 12:00 PM
STON +11.5...........57 - 61.......WINNER

NE at TOWS 01:00 PM
NE -3.0
U 134.5

UCF at CIN 01:00 PM
UCF +6.0........68 - 69.......WINNER

MICH at WIS 01:00 PM
MICH +1.0.......67 - 59 WINNER
O 132.5..........LOSER


ELON at COFC 01:00 PM
COFC -7.5..........66 - 55........LOSER
U 130.0

****************

NORF at MORG 02:00 PM
MORG -3.0

HOF at JMU 02:00 PM
HOF +2.0.......70 - 74.....LOSER
U 152.0,..............WINNER

TULN at USF 02:00 PM
TULN +5.0
O 128.5

NJIT at HART 02:00 PM
HART -2.0
U 131.5

MARQ at HALL 03:00 PM
MARQ +7.0............51 - 57........WINNER
U 139.5

L-IL at DRKE 03:00 PM
DRKE +5.5...........50 - 51..........WINNER

NEB at PSU 03:00 PM
PSU -11.0.....62 - 61.............LOSER

CSUS at CALBA 03:00 PM
CALBA -3.5........70 -69...........LOSER

SDAK at UND 03:30 PM
SDAK -5.5........81 - 85............LOSER


******************

PITT at GT 04:00 PM
PITT +5.0

INST at EVAN 04:00 PM
INST -2.5.........76 - 70.....WINNER
U 122.5..........LOSER


BRAD at MOSU 04:00 PM
MOSU -10.5........57 - 72......WINNER

ILST at SIU 04:00 PM
ILST +4.5

FAIR at SPC 05:00 PM
SPC -10.5

HC at BU 05:00 PM
HC +8.0........68 - 86.....LOSER

SDST at ORU 05:00 PM
SDST -3.5.......95 - 80.........WINNER
O 163.0...........WINNER

LAF at L-MD 06:00 PM
LAF +2.5.........69 - 88......LOSER

COLG at ARMY 06:00 PM
COLG -6.0..........92 - 83......WINNER
O 150.5...........WINNER


MIA at ND 06:00 PM
MIA +7.5


*********************

ORST at ASU 07:00 PM
ORST +5.0 71 - 75.....WINNER
O 145.0...........WINNER


MINN at MD 07:00 PM
MD -3.0........59 - 72.....WINNER
U 138.5.......LOSER


VALP at UNI 07:00 PM
VALP +5.5
O 137.5





FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............153 - 134........-+28.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50
 
Last edited:

Udog

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Sunday, February 14


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Trend Report
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Cnotes53

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Monday?s 6-pack
Six of the college teams that play the best FG% defense:

42.1%? opponents? eFG%- Houston
43.1? Michigan
43.6? USC
44.1? Memphis
45.1? Alabama
45.5? Texas

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 485,235
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Feels like I?m super washed up, but still had a blast. That was the most fun I?ve had in a while. Win or lose we booze on the Zappers.??
Johnny Manziel, who is playing in an Arena Football-type league, Fan Controlled Football

Monday?s quiz
Which American President was in office for only 32 days, before he died?

Sunday?s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

Saturday?s quiz
Illinois is known as ?The Land of Lincoln?

********************

Monday?s Den: Going thru college basketball conferences

Selection Sunday is less than four weeks away; no one even knows yet how Championship Week is going to play out; will every conference have a tournament this year, or just a lot of makeup games, so the better teams can jack up their power ratings?

Here is what I think/know about how teams look heading into the season?s stretch run:

AAC? Houston is 17-2, the AAC?s only sure bet to be in the field of 68; Cougars beat Texas Tech on a neutral floor in November, will be a popular sleeper pick in people?s brackets.

Cincinnati is 4-0 since their 25-day COVID pause; the four wins were by a total of nine points. Memphis, SMU still have a shot to play their way into at-large bids.

ACC? When ESPN?s announcers openly talk about the ACC being down this year, you KNOW the league is down. kenpom.com has ACC as the #4 league, tied for its lowest ranking since 2013. Right now, Virginia/Florida State look like the only sure things for the NCAA?s.

ACC will wind up with 2-3 other teams in the field, but it?ll be dependent on who wins lot of games from now on. Louisville is on a pause; Virginia Tech and UNC should get in if the wheels don?t fall off for them. Duke is 8-8, 6-6 in league; they?re a bubble team.

A-14? Some teams in this league have been hit hard by the pandemic; Davidson hasn?t played in three weeks, Saint Louis went 34 days between games, Fordham didn?t play a game until December 30, then fired its coach.

Their conference tournament will be one of the better ones; the winner might be the only A-14 team in the field of 68.

Big East? Villanova/Creighton are in, Seton Hall is mostly in. Rest of the league better get hot, or they?ll be in the NIT. KenPom has the Big East at #5, as low as they?ve been since 2002.

UConn lost lost four of its last six games; Xavier just had a 2-week pause. Under Patrick Ewing., Georgetown is 23-42 in regular season conference games; how does he get to fix things?

Big 14? One of the most interesting parts of Selection Sunday will be how many teams from this league get in the field of 68. Pundits on the Big 14 Network would have you believe that every team in the league is tournament-worthy, but we know thats not true. Why should a team that finishes 9th or 10th in a 14-team league get to play for a national title?

Michigan came off a 23-day layoff Sunday and had a terrific comeback win at Wisconsin; Ohio State has won 9 of its last 10 games, Illinois has won five in a row (with two OT wins). One of the things I?ll be looking at is if Iowa gets in the same bracket as a real athletic underdog, a team like VCU or Loyola or Oregon.

Big X? Baylor hasn?t played in three weeks; my thing is that teams will need 3-4 games before the tournament to get their sea legs back. Oklahoma won its last won 7 of its last 8 games, and has a coach who has taken two other schools to a Final Four. They?re going to get six teams in the tournament unless Oklahoma State gets hot and makes it seven.

Texas was 11-2 before their 10-day COVID pause; they?re 3-2 since, but won their last couple games- they?re a team to watch between now and Selection Sunday.

Big West? I enjoy watching Big West games on my laptop late at night; its a good league, not a great league, but highly competitive. Adding Cal-Bakersfield made their conference tournament a hell of a lot harder- they?re a tough defensive team that doesn?t score points early, a lot like Cal-Irvine, another one of the league?s frontrunners.

Cal-Santa Barbara hasn?t lost yet in 2021 (10-0); this is the best team Cal-Riverside has ever had, and with a first-year head coach. Bottom part of the league has been on pause a lot; the semi-final doubleheader at the Big West tournament will be must-see TV.

Conference USA? North Texas/Western Kentucky seem like the two best teams; Mean Green hasn?t made the tournament since 2010, WKU hasn?t made it since 2013. UAB, Louisiana Tech also have a legit shot to win the tournament; this is a one-bid league.

Last three NCAA tournaments, C-USA had three different teams repping it, and none of those three were North Texas/Western Kentucky. Hilltoppers have an NBA big man in Bassey and three senior starters; this is Rick Stansbury?s time to shine.

Mountain West? Utah State, Boise State, San Diego State figure to battle it out in Las Vegas; Aztecs can get an at-large bid even if they lose in Vegas- they beat UCLA, Arizona State back before Christmas. San Diego State plays Boise State twice in a couple weeks; Aztecs got swept by Utah State. All three of those teams shouldo be in the Mountain West Final Four.

Bottom half of this league is really bad; the bottom three teams are a combined 6-35. Aztecs will sweat some on Selection Sunday if they lose in the MW tournament, but they?re likely the only team in the league that rates an at-large bid.

Pac-12? Contrary to what Bill Walton talks about on ESPN every week, league is a little down- Arizona?s being ineligible because of recruiting violations is a big part of that. I?m thinking four teams from Pac-12 get in. Right now, USC is clearly the best team, but Andy Enfield won more NCAA tourney game at Florida Gulf Coast (2) than he has with the Trojans (1).

UCLA lost three of its last five games; Mick Cronin hasn?t had a great record in March. Oregon usually gets stronger as time goes on; they?re likely to make some noise next month. Colorado has a veteran team, but they play one good game, then have a stinker- their last three losses are to Washington, Utah, Cal, all bad losses.

SEC? The most 2020 thing in college hoop is that Kentucky is 6-13, 6-7 in conference; curious to see if John Calipari is in the CBS studio during the first round of the tournament. With the league?s perennial frontrunner out of the picture, that leaves Alabama as the best team- they?re fun to watch, play a very fast pace, but they don?t have a great basketball pedigree (one win in NCAA?s, since 2007).

SEC figures to get five other teams in the field of 68; Arkansas, Florida, LSU, Missouri, Tennessee. Would expect all six teams to win their first round game; not sure any of them, other than Alabama, will get to the Sweet 16.

Southern? Much like the Big West, I?m looking forward to the semi-finals of this tournament; this is a one-bid league, so when East Tennessee, Furman, NC-Greensboro and Wofford likely face off in the semi-finals, it?ll be very entertaining.

WCC? Gonzaga is in this league; they?re this generation?s version of Jerry Tarkanian?s great UNLV teams from 30-40 years ago. Big fish, small pond, strong national footprint. Gonzaga is going to be favored to win a national title; that springs added pressure.

BYU is only other WCC team that has a shot at an at-large bid; they have wins over San Diego State, Utah. BYU probably needs to get to 20 wins for that to happen; they?re a mature team in terms of the players? ages, which has to help in a weird season like this one.
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 15


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MURRAY ST (11 - 9) at SIU EDWARDSVL (8 - 11) - 2/15/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MURRAY ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MURRAY ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SIU EDWARDSVL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-2 against the spread versus MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
MURRAY ST is 4-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (15 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (11 - 3) - 2/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E TENN ST (11 - 8) at UT-CHATTANOOGA (15 - 5) - 2/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
E TENN ST is 75-46 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
E TENN ST is 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 76-117 ATS (-52.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 3-3 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 5-1 straight up against UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 16) at WASHINGTON ST (12 - 9) - 2/15/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 197-241 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (14 - 6) at TCU (11 - 8) - 2/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 95-133 ATS (-51.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 97-131 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 162-202 ATS (-60.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TCU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
TCU is 110-142 ATS (-46.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 208-264 ATS (-82.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 125-168 ATS (-59.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TCU is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 3-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E KENTUCKY (16 - 5) at TENNESSEE TECH (3 - 19) - 2/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
E KENTUCKY is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE TECH is 2-2 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SF AUSTIN ST (12 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 12) - 2/15/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-1 against the spread versus SF AUSTIN ST over the last 3 seasons
SF AUSTIN ST is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMPTON (9 - 10) at LONGWOOD (8 - 14) - 2/15/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMPTON is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMPTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 3-2 against the spread versus LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 5-1 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC UPSTATE (4 - 15) at PRESBYTERIAN (6 - 12) - 2/15/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRESBYTERIAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC UPSTATE is 2-1 against the spread versus PRESBYTERIAN over the last 3 seasons
PRESBYTERIAN is 2-1 straight up against USC UPSTATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALCORN ST (4 - 9) at ARK-PINE BLUFF (3 - 17) - 2/15/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALCORN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALCORN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons
ALCORN ST is 4-1 straight up against ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTN BAPTIST (4 - 13) at TEXAS A&M CC (3 - 15) - 2/15/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M CC is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTN BAPTIST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M CC is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTN BAPTIST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN U (5 - 8) at MISS VALLEY ST (1 - 17) - 2/15/2021, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 3-2 against the spread versus MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN U is 4-1 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS SOUTHERN (7 - 7) at JACKSON ST (6 - 5) - 2/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSON ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-0 straight up against JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


***************************


NCAAB

Monday, February 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans
Stephen F. Austin
No trends to report
New Orleans
No trends to report

George Fox @ Idaho State
George Fox
No trends to report
Idaho State
Idaho State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Texas Southern @ Jackson State
Texas Southern
No trends to report
Jackson State
No trends to report

Murray State @ Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
Murray State
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Murray State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Illinois-Edwardsville's last 5 games when playing Murray State

Hampton @ Longwood
Hampton
No trends to report
Longwood
No trends to report

USC Upstate @ Presbyterian
USC Upstate
No trends to report
Presbyterian
No trends to report

East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga
East Tennessee State
No trends to report
Chattanooga
Chattanooga is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Chattanooga is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against East Tennessee State

Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee Tech
Eastern Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee Tech's last 5 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Eastern Kentucky

Virginia @ Florida State
Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Virginia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Washington @ Washington State
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Washington State
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Houston Baptist @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Houston Baptist
No trends to report
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report


---------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 15


Virginia @ Florida State
Virginia (15-3, 11-1)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #160
? Virginia won four in row, 11 of its last 12 games.
? Cavaliers are 5-1 on ACC road, losing at Va Tech.
? In its last four games, Virginia gave up 55 ppg.

Florida State (11-3, 7-2)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #118
? Experience: #92
? Continuity: #99
? Florida State won six of its last seven games.
? Seminoles won in OT Saturday, their first game in two weeks.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? FSU is rebounding 35.8% of their missed shots (#10)

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Teams also split last four series games played here.

Murray State @ SIU-Edwardsville
Murray State (11-9, 8-7)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #76
? Murray won three in row, six of last eight games.
? Racers won three of last four OVC road games.
? Murray is shooting 55.8% inside the arc (#23)

SIU-Edwardsville (8-11, 6-7)
? ranked #293 by KenPom
? Tempo: #156
? Experience: #186
? Continuity: #274
? Cougars lost five of their last seven games.
? SIU-E is turning ball over 23.7% of time (#335)
? Cougars lost five of their last six home games.

? Murray State won last 13 series games.
? Racers won last six visits here (59-58 LY).

Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee Tech
Eastern Kentucky (16-5, 10-4)
? ranked #172 by KenPom
? Tempo: #3
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #193
? Colonels lost three of their last five games.
? EKU is forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#7)
? This is third game in five nights for both teams.

Tennessee Tech (3-19, 3-12)
? ranked #327 by KenPom
? Tempo: #177
? Experience: #259
? Continuity: #165
? Tech won Saturday, snapping a 6-game losing streak.
? Golden Eagles are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#325)
? Tech split its last four home games.

? Tech lost 90-80 at EKU January 9.
? Colonels won last four series games.
? EKU won three of last four visits to Cookeville

East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga
East Tennessee State (12-8, 8-4)
? ranked #129 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #341
? ETSU lost three of its last five games.
? Buccaneers are grabbing 33.3% of their missed shots in SoCon games (#1)
? ETSU is making 39.9% of its 3-pointers in SoCon games (#1)

Chattanooga (16-5, 7-5)
? ranked #162 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #282
? Mocs won last four games, only one of which was at home.
? Chattanooga split its last six home games.
? Mocs have #275 eFG% in country.

? Chattanooga won 67-65 at ETSU nine days ago.
? That win snapped ETSU?s 10-game series win streak.
? Buccaneers won last five visits to Chattanooga.

Washington @ Washington State
Washington (3-16, 2-12)
? ranked #168 by KenPom
? Tempo: #87
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #196
? Huskies lost last five games, four by 12+ points.
? Washington is 0-7 on Pac-12 road (five losses by 12+)
? Huskies are shooting 47% inside arc (#268).

Washington State (12-9, 5-9)
? ranked #104 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #206
? Coogs lost four of their last five home games.
? Wazzu is turning ball over 21.2% of the time (#281)
? Third game in five nights for both teams.

? Coogs won 77-62 in Seattle 15 days ago.
? Wazzu won last three series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.


-----------------------------------


841MURRAY ST -842 SIU EDWARDSVL
SIU EDWARDSVL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

843VIRGINIA -844 FLORIDA ST
VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

845E TENN ST -846 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

847WASHINGTON -848 WASHINGTON ST
WASHINGTON is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

1183SF AUSTIN ST -1184 NEW ORLEANS
SF AUSTIN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better in the last 3 seasons.

1185HAMPTON -1186 LONGWOOD
LONGWOOD is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

1187USC UPSTATE -1188 PRESBYTERIAN
USC UPSTATE is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons.

1195TEXAS SOUTHERN -1196 JACKSON ST
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


**************************


CBB
Dunkel

Monday, February 15


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Cnotes53

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MONDAY, FEBRUARY 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SFA at UNO 02:00 PM
UNO +11.0.......89 - 79.....WINNER
O 152.0......WINNER


EKY at TNTC 04:00 PM
TNTC +7.5.........83 - 72......LOSER
O 151.5..........WINNER


MURR at SIUE 05:00 PM
MURR -11.5........86 - 57........WINNER
U 138.0.......LOSER


HAMP at LONG 06:00 PM
HAMP +4.0

SCUS at PRE 06:00 PM
SCUS -1.0.......65 - 75.....LOSER
U 134.0

UVA at FSU 07:00 PM
UVA +1.5.......60 - 81.......LOSER
U 127.5........LOSER


ETSU at CHAT 07:00 PM
CHAT -1.5.........51 - 53.........WINNER
U 131.0............WINNER


WASH at WSU 08:00 PM
WSU -7.5..........65 - 63...........LOSER
U 142.5.........WINNER




FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............160 - 140........-+30.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

NBA teams who score the most points/game:
120.9? Brooklyn Nets
120.7? Milwaukee Bucks
115.8? Los Angeles Clippers
115.5? Denver, Portland
115.0? Utah Jazz
114.7? Chicago Bulls

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 486,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Florida State 81, Virginia 60:
? Seminoles were up 20 at the half; they played nine guys 14:00+
? Florida State made 13-24 on the arc.
? Very curious where they?ll be seeded next month.

12) North Carolina?s basketball team actually advertised on Twitter this week for a home game and they got one, Wednesday against Northeastern.

We?re going to see more of that over the next 2-3 weeks, teams adding games to the schedule on the fly, to juice up their resume some, and also keep their players sharp.

11) Was listening to Hubie Brown analyze a game on ESPN the other night; guy is one of the best analysts ever, and he is still sharp, even at age 87. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Brown way back in 1984, when he was coaching the Knicks. Good guy, very smart.

10) Duke?s freshman Jalen Johnson ?opted out? of the rest of the season, a nice way of saying he quit and will enter the NBA Draft. This news created mixed reactions on social media.

?Start what you finish? is probably an antiquated concept, but today is February 16. Duke isn?t going to make the NCAA?s, and even off they did, they wouldn?t last long. Would practicing and working out for an extra month be such a bad thing for him?

He could get hurt, that is true, but ?opting out? has to hurt his perception with at least some of the NBA teams who might draft him. He is going to have to work out anyway in preparation for the NBA Combine, and he could get hurt there too. I?m thinking the kid got bad advice.

9) One of the great strategic debates that doesn?t have a right answer is whether a team should foul intentionally, when they?re up 3 points in the last 0:15.

If you foul on purpose, the opponent can?t hit a game-tying 3, but they could rebound a missed foul shot, and that has happened. If you play it out and the opponent makes a 3, the game is still tied and you play overtime.

I watch a lot of games on TV and there is a very mixed opinion on what the right strategy is.

8) Central Florida hired former Auburn coach Gus Malzahn as its next football coach, to the tune of $2.3M a year. Not bad for a guy who, as recently as 2005, was a HS coach in Arkansas.

Malzahn was 9-3 in one year as Arkansas State?s coach, then went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC games. He had the misfortune of being at Auburn while Nick Saban was at Alabama.

7) Boston College fired basketball coach Jim Christian, who went 26-94 in ACC games; moving from the Big East to the ACC has been a debacle for BC?s athletic department.

Christian went 101-37 in eight years as a MAC coach at Ohio/Kent State, but he also went 18-44 in Big X games at TCU. BC is a tough job.

6) Hovering over every open coaching job is former Michigan coach John Beilein, whose brief stint in the NBA was a disaster. He went 63-15 his last two years at Michigan; I?m guessing a lot of AD?s would fire their coach, if they knew they could get Beilein to replace him.

5) Clippers 125, Heat 118: Since Patrick Beverley has been a Clipper:
? Clippers are 101-47 when Beverley played
? Clippers are 17-18 when Beverley didn?t play
? Beverley was one of four Clipper starters who sat this game out.

4) Baseball stuff:
? Mets signed OF Kevin Pillar
? Twins signed P Matt Shoemaker
? Braves signed 2B Jason Kipnis

3) I watch a lot of movies late at night; you know its an old(er) movie if someone uses a payphone, or doesn?t have a cellphone. We used to always to carry a quarter in our pocket in case you needed to make a quick phone call.

2) Why is Jeremy Lin in the G League? There are 30 NBA teams, 15 guys on a team; Jeremy Lin isn?t one of the best 450 basketball players in the world? That is nonsensical.

He scored 11.6 ppg in nine NBA seasons, dishing out 4.3 assists/game. This season in his four G League games, he is scoring 17.8 ppg, dishing out 7.3 ppg. He should be on an NBA roster.

1) Young lady named Jessica Pegula is a tennis pro playing in the Australian Open this week; her parents own the Buffalo Bills/Sabres, so she is a rich kid but she has worked very hard at playing tennis and is now at an elite level. Good for her.
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 16


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*********************


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 16


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*********************

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 16


Iowa State @ Oklahoma State
Iowa State (2-14, 0-11)
? ranked #148 by KenPom
? Tempo: #89
? Experience: #158
? Continuity: #245
? ISU?s two wins are over teams #285/#352
? Four of Cyclones? last six road losses were by 7 or less points.
? Iowa State is turning ball over 21.4% of time (#283)

Oklahoma State (13-6, 6-6)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #320
? Continuity: #284
? OSU won last three home games, by 4-8-7 points.
? Cowboys are 3-6 when they allow 77+ points, 10-0 when they allow less.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Cowboys have #38 eFG% defense in country.

? Cowboys won 81-60 in Ames January 25.
? Oklahoma State won last three series games.
? Cyclones lost two of last three visits to Stillwater.

Providence @ UConn
Providence (11-10, 7-8)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #221
? Friars split their last eight games overall.
? Providence lost four of its last six road games.
? In winning their last two games, Friars allowed 59-47 points.

UConn (9-5, 6-5)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #158
? Huskies lost four of their last six games.
? UConn is grabbing 36.4% of its missed shots (#8)
? Huskies are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#266)

? UConn lost 76-70 at Providence six days ago.

Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri (13-5, 6-5)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #8
? Continuity: #7
? Mizzou won three of their last four road games.
? Tigers have #63 eFG% defense in country.
? Mizzou gets 21.1% of their points on foul line (#59)

Georgia (12-8, 5-8)
? ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #15
? Experience: #142
? Continuity: #260
? In its last two games, Georgia gave up 89-115 points.
? Dawgs are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#310)
? Georgia won three of its last four home games.

? Missouri won four of last five series games.
? Tigers lost four of last five visits to Athens.

Dayton @ Rhode Island
Dayton (11-6, 7-5)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #324
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #239
? Dayton split its last six games, after an 8-3 start.
? Flyers shoot well, but turn ball over 21.4% of time (#286)
? Dayton lost three of its last five road games.

Rhode Island (9-12, 6-8)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #151
? Experience: #121
? Continuity: #305
? Rams lost their last four games, scoring 60.3 ppg.
? URI is turning ball over 21.0% of time (#274).
? Rams have #35 eFG% in the country.

? Rams lost 67-56 at Dayton January 30.
? Dayton won four of last five series games.
? Flyers won 77-48/84-57 in last two visits to Kingston.

Michigan State @ Purdue
Michigan State (10-8, 4-8)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #84
? Spartans lost five of their last seven games.
? State lost last three road games, by 30-17-6 points.
? Last three games, Spartans scored 66-60-58 points.

Purdue (13-8, 8-6)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #285
? Experience: #331
? Continuity: #10
? Purdue lost three of its last five games overall.
? Purdue?s last three games were decided by total of 9 points.
? Boilers are 5-1 in Big 14 home games, losing to Michigan.

? Purdue won 55-54 at Michigan State January 8.
? Boilers won five of last six series games.
? Spartans lost their last four games in Mackey Arena.

Temple @ Tulsa
Temple (4-8, 3-8)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #152
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #295
? Temple lost last four games, last three by 3-3-2 points.
? Owls lost four of five road games, with only win at Tulane.
? Temple has #325 eFG% in country (#326 inside arc, #288 on arc)

Tulsa (9-9, 6-7)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #199
? Tulsa lost three in row, six of last eight games.
? Tulsa lost last three home games, scoring 56.3 ppg.
? Hurricane is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#255)

? Tulsa lost 76-67 at Temple January 26.
? Teams split last ten series games.
? Owls lost their last four visits to Tulsa.

Florida @ Arkansas
Florida (6-14, 3-11)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #252
? Continuity: #156
? Florida won four of its last five games overall.
? Gators split their six road games this season.
? This is Florida?s first game in 13 days.

Arkansas (16-5, 8-4)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #239
? Continuity: #337
? Arkansas won three in row, six of last seven games overall.
? Razorbacks won their last four home games, three by 15+ points.
? Arkansas is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#93).

? Florida won 11 of last 12 series games.
? Gators won last three visits to Arkansas, by 2-9-6 points.

Austin Peay @ SE Missouri State
Austin Peay (13-8, 9-6)
? ranked #188 by KenPom
? Tempo: #258
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #127
? Governors won five of their last seven games.
? Austin Peay lost its last two road games, both by one point.
? Governors have #313 eFG% in country; opponents are shooting 54.7% inside arc (#309)

SE Missouri State (7-14, 5-10)
? ranked #296 by KenPom
? Tempo: #186
? Experience: #176
? Continuity: #298
? SE Missouri lost its last three games, scoring 59 ppg.
? Red Hawks split their eight OVC home games.
? SE Missouri is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#301).

? Red Hawks lost 78-63 at Austin Peay Saturday.
? Governors won last eight series games.
? Austin Peay won its last five visits to Cape Girardeau.

Nebraska @ Maryland
Nebraska (5-12, 1-9)
? ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #101
? Continuity: #323
? Nebraska snapped a 9-game skid with Saturday?s win at Penn State.
? Cornhuskers lost five of their six road games.
? Nebraska has #309 eFG%; they?re shooting 45.8% inside arc (#294)

Maryland (11-10, 5-9)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #308
? Experience: #154
? Continuity: #92
? Maryland split its last eight D-I games.
? Terps lost five of their seven Big 14 home games.
? These teams play here again tomorrow night.

? Maryland is 7-3 vs Nebraska in Big 14 games.
? Cornhuskers lost their last two visits here, 74-72/72-70.

Xavier @ St John?s
Xavier (11-3, 4-3)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #107
? Continuity: #179
? Xavier lost 80-72 to UConn Saturday, after a 2-week pause.
? Xavier split its only two games outside of Cincinnati.
? Opponents are shooting 43.8% inside arc (#15)

St John?s (13-8, 7-7)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #14
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #163
? Johnnies won six of their last seven games overall.
? Johnnies are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#24)
? Despite that, St John?s has #276 eFG% defense in country.

? St John?s lost 69-61 at Xavier January 6.
? Xavier won last 12 series games.
? Musketeers won last five visits here, by 8-5-5-11-3 points.

LMU @ Santa Clara
LMU (9-6, 4-3)
? ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #229
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #231
? LMU lost four of its five road games.
? Lions are turning ball over 23.5% of the time (#333)
? LMU is a top 25 rebounding team in country.

Santa Clara (9-4, 3-2)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #90
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #30
? This is Santa Clara?s first game in 24 days.
? Broncos lost last two home games, scoring 57-50 points.
? Santa Clara has #329 eFG%; they?re shooting 28% on arc (#336)

? Santa Clara won 72-69 at LMU January 23- that was their last game.
? LMU won four of last five series games.
? Lions won last three visits here, by 1-8-6 points.

Northwestern @ Illinois
Northwestern (6-12, 3-11)
? ranked #72 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #251
? Continuity: #40
? Wildcats lost their last 11 games, seven of them by 10+ points.
? Northwestern is 0-7 on Big 14 road (five losses by 10+)
? Wildcats get 34.8% of their points on arc (#73).

Illinois (14-5, 10-3)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #152
? Illinois won its last five games; two of their last three wins were in OT.
? Illini is shooting 39% on arc; they have #10 eFG%.
? Illinois is a top 25 rebounding team in country.

? Illini won 81-56 in Evanston January 7.
? Illinois won last five series games.
? Wildcats lost their last four visits to Champaign.

LaSalle @ Saint Louis
LaSalle (8-12, 5-8)
? ranked #184 by KenPom
? Tempo: #172
? Experience: #292
? Continuity: #144
? Explorers lost four of their last five games overall.
? LaSalle lost its last three road games, by 11-8-13 points.
? LaSalle is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#266).

Saint Louis (10-3, 3-2)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #22
? Saint Louis won its last three games, giving up 53 ppg.
? Billikens are 9-1 at home, with only loss to Dayton.
? Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#54)

? Billikens lost 82-75 at LaSalle February 3.
? Saint Louis won five of last six series games.
? Explorers lost their last five visits to St Louis.



**************************

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 16


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Trend Report
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601N ILLINOIS -602 AKRON
N ILLINOIS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points in the last 3 seasons.

603IOWA ST -604 OKLAHOMA ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

611DAYTON -612 RHODE ISLAND
RHODE ISLAND is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.

613BOWLING GREEN -614 BALL ST
BALL ST is 44-78 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

615KENT ST -616 W MICHIGAN
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

617MICHIGAN ST -618 PURDUE
MICHIGAN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

619TEMPLE -620 TULSA
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

621FLORIDA -622 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

623MIAMI OHIO -624 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

625AUSTIN PEAY -626 SE MISSOURI ST
AUSTIN PEAY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.


***********************


Games postponed so far on Tuesday

NBA
Spurs/Pistons

CBB
Buffalo/Eastern Michigan
Georgia State/Troy
South Carolina/Tennessee
Texas/Oklahoma
Auburn/Mississippi State
TCU/Texas Tech
 
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