CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 22

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NCAAB

Monday, February 22

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 22

NC-Greensboro @ Western Carolina
NC-Greensboro (16-4, 11-4)
? ranked #114 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #190
? Continuity: #88
? UNCG won 10 of their last 12 games.
? Spartans lost two of their last three road tilts.
? UNCG?s last three wins were all by 6 or fewer points.

Western Carolina (9-14, 2-12)
? ranked #261 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #179
? Continuity: #67
? WCU lost three in row, 12 of last 14 games.
? Last three games, Catamounts gave up 85.7 ppg.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Opponents are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#327)

? UNCG won last nine series games.
? Spartans won last four visits here, by 8-11-3-14 points.

Pepperdine @ Saint Mary?s
Pepperdine (10-9, 6-4)
? ranked #113 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #62
? Waves won three of their last four games.
? Pepperdine lost three of its five WCC road games.
? Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#320)

Saint Mary?s (11-7, 2-5)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #220
? Saint Mary?s lost five of its last seven games.
? Gaels lost their last three home tilts, scoring 58.3 ppg.
? Saint Mary?s is shooting 31.6% on arc (#268).

? Gaels lost 60-58 in Malibu, nine days ago.
? Saint Mary?s won nine of last 11 series games.
? Waves lost three three visits to Moraga, by 20-14-7 points.

Texas-Arlington @ Louisiana
Texas-Arlington (11-11, 7-7)
? ranked #246 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #269
? Tex-Arlington split its last ten games.
? Mavericks are shooting 41.6% inside arc (#344)
? UTA lost four of their seven Sun Belt road games.

Louisiana (14-7, 8-6)
? ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #54
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #204
? This is Louisiana?s first game in nine days.
? Ragin? Cajuns lost three of last four games.
? ULL is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#278)

? These teams split a pair of games in Arlington January 15-16.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Mavericks lost three of last five visits to Lafayette.

Citadel @ Mercer
Citadel (12-9, 5-9)
? ranked #232 by KenPom
? Tempo: #5
? Experience: #123
? Continuity: #120
? Citadel is 3-2 in last five games, after a 1-7 skid.
? Bulldogs are 0-6 on SoCon road (four losses by 14+)
? Citadel has #244 eFG% defense in country.

Mercer (13-9, 6-8)
? ranked #144 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #116
? Continuity: #258
? Mercer lost five of its last eight games.
? Bears lost three of their last four home games.
? Mercer is shooting 36.8% on the arc (#44)

? Mercer won 83-63 at The Citadel January 20.
? Mercer won last three series games, by 5-16-20 points.
? Citadel won two of last three visits to Macon.

Syracuse @ Duke
Syracuse (13-6, 7-5)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #73
? Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 75.7 ppg.
? Orangemen won Saturday, after trailing by 20 with 16:49 left.
? Syracuse lost five of its seven true road games.

Duke (10-8, 8-6)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #251
? Duke won its last three games, giving up 59.3 ppg.
? Blue Devils won five of their seven ACC home games.
? Duke gets only 13% of its points on foul line (#345)

? Duke won five of last six series games.
? Orangemen won two of last three visits to Durham.

VMI @ Furman
VMI (12-11, 7-7)
? ranked #151 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #227
? Continuity: #106
? VMI is 1-10 in true road games, winning in OT at Wofford.
? Keydets are shooting 37.9% on arc (#30).
? VMI?s last two losses are by total of three points.

Furman (15-7, 9-4)
? ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #178
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #15
? Furman won its last three games, by 18-14-10 points.
? Paladins are forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#52)
? Furman is shooting 60.6% inside arc (#3).

? Furman (-9) lost 74-73 at VMI January 20.
? Paladins won 10 of last 11 series games.
? VMI lost last five visits here, by 28-17-22-10-2 points.

Texas State @ Arkansas State
Texas State (15-6, 9-3)
? ranked #161 by KenPom
? Tempo: #352
? Experience: #23
? Continuity: #51
? Bobcats won four in row, nine of their last 11 games.
? Texas State won its last six road games.
? Bobcats are shooting 39.6% on arc (#7)

Arkansas State (10-9, 7-5)
? ranked #245 by KenPom
? Tempo: #181
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #163
? Red Wolves won last four games, scoring 79.5 ppg.
? ASU is shooting 45.5% inside arc (#307), 39.1% on arc (#13)
? This is both teams? first game in nine days.

? Bobcats won last eight series games.
? Texas State won last four visits here, by 11-6-10-3 points.

Oregon @ USC
Oregon (14-4, 9-3)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #205
? Experience: #38
? Continuity: #286
? Oregon won its last five games, giving up 61.3 ppg in last four.
? Ducks? last three wins were by 2-4-3 points.
? Oregon is 4-1 on Pac-12 road, losing 79-72 at Colorado.

USC (18-4, 12-3)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #322
? USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Trojans had 7-game win streak snapped by Arizona Saturday.
? USC grabs 36.3% of their missed shots (#8)

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Ducks lost 72-70/66-49 in last two visits here.

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State
Texas Tech (14-7, 6-6)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #275
? Continuity: #244
? Texas Tech lost four of its last seven games.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24% of time (#8)
? Tech is grabbing 34.1% of its missed shots (#26)

Oklahoma State (14-6, 7-6)
? ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #51
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #284
? Cowboys won five of their last seven games.
? OSU won its last four home games.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#271).

? State won 82-77 in OT in Lubbock January 2.
? Teams split last ten series games.
? Red Raiders lost three of last four visits to Stillwater.

Evansville @ Drake
Evansville (8-13, 6-9)
? ranked #210 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #230
? Evansville lost its last five games, giving up 87-85 points in last two.
? Purple Aces lost their last six road games.
? Evansville is shooting 37.1% on arc (#37); over half their shots are 3?s.

Drake (22-2, 13-2)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #166
? Drake won its last three games, after a 1-2 skid.
? Bulldogs have #28 eFG% in country.
? Drake gave up 74-81 points in their two losses.

? Evansville lost 85-71 here yesterday; Drake was 11-21 on arc.
? Drake won last four series games.
? Purple Aces lost last four visits here, by 12-16-12-5 points.

Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois
Valparaiso (9-15, 6-9)
? ranked #191 by KenPom
? Tempo: #241
? Experience: #269
? Continuity: #98
? Valparaiso split its last six games overall.
? Crusaders split their eight MVC road games.
? Valparaiso is shooting 30.2% on the arc (#303).

Southern Illinois (10-11, 4-11)
? ranked #220 by KenPom
? Tempo: #276
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #283
? Salukis lost 11 of their last 14 games, after a 7-0 start.
? SIU has the #308 eFG% defense in country.
? Salukis lost five of their last seven home games.

? Valparaiso won 66-65 here yesterday.
? Valpo is 4-3 vs SIU in conference meetings.
? Teams split four meetings played in Carbondale.

New Mexico @ Air Force
New Mexico (5-13, 1-13)
? ranked #286 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #251
? Continuity: #318
? Lobos lost last five games, two of them in OT.
? New Mexico?s only MW win was 67-51 over San Jose State January 21.
? Lobos are shooting 25.3% on arc (#346)
? New Mexico has been in Colorado Springs for while; they played pair of games with Wyoming here last week.

Air Force (4-16, 2-14)
? ranked #324 by KenPom
? Tempo: #355
? Experience: #94
? Continuity: #219
? Falcons lost their last nine games, last three by 5-6-3 points.
? Air Force hasn?t played in nine days.
? Air Force has #342 eFG% defense in country.

? New Mexico won four of last six series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

Little Rock @ UL-Monroe
Little Rock (10-12, 6-9)
? ranked #222 by KenPom
? Tempo: #251
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #47
? Trojans lost their last five games, four by 10+ points.
? Little Rock is turning ball over 22.7% of the time (#323)
? Trojans are 7-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

UL-Monroe (6-16, 4-11)
? ranked #302 by KenPom
? Tempo: #258
? Experience: #97
? Continuity: #316
? Bobcats have #3 eFG% defense in country.
? Quinnipiac split their four MAAC home games.
? Bobcats are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#234)

? Little Rock lost 78-66 here yesterday.
? ULM won five of last eight series games.
? Trojans lost six of last seven visits to Monroe.


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841E KENTUCKY -842 SE MISSOURI ST
SE MISSOURI ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

843ARK-LITTLE ROCK -844 LA-MONROE
LA-MONROE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1997.

845UNC-GREENSBORO -846 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

847MOREHEAD ST -848 SIU EDWARDSVL
SIU EDWARDSVL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in the current season.

849PEPPERDINE -850 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.

851TX-ARLINGTON -852 LA-LAFAYETTE
LA-LAFAYETTE is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games since 1997.

853EVANSVILLE -854 DRAKE
DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

855THE CITADEL -856 MERCER
MERCER is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

857SYRACUSE -858 DUKE
DUKE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

859VALPARAISO -860 S ILLINOIS
S ILLINOIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.


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NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 22

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

EKY at SEMO 03:00 PM
EKY -4.5.......87 - 65...........WINNER
U 151.0

UALR at ULM 05:00 PM
ULM +3.5
O 132.0

UNCG at WCU 05:00 PM
UNCG -8.0......77 - 66....WINNER
U 142.0..........LOSER

GRAM at JKST 05:30 PM
JKST -7.5
U 135.0

UTA at ULL 06:00 PM
ULL -4.5
U 146.5

PEPP at SMC 06:00 PM
PEPP +5.5........61 - 66.....WINNER
O 136.5.........LOSER

CHSO at PRE 06:00 PM
PRE -3.0.......78 - 77
O 135.0..........WINNER

WEBB at SCUS 06:00 PM
WEBB -4.5...........69 - 58 WINNER
O 140.5

MORE at SIUE 06:00 PM
SIUE +11.5 ........56 - 48...WINNER
O 134.0..........LOSER


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TXST at ARST 07:00 PM
TXST -3.0
O 130.5

CWM at ELON 07:00 PM
ELON -4.0...........54 - 73.......WINNER
O 136.5

SYR at DUKE 07:00 PM
DUKE -5.5........71 - 85
O 148.0................WINNER

VALP at SIU 07:00 PM
VALP +2.0......64 - 67
U 133.0............WINNER

CIT at MER 07:00 PM
MER -8.5........52 - 88...WINNER
U 159.0............WINNER

EVAN at DRKE 07:00 PM
DRKE -11.0.......63 - 74....PUSH
O 134.0.............WINNER

VMI at FUR 07:00 PM
FUR -10.5.............PPD
O 152.0

SELA at AMCC 07:30 PM
SELA +1.5

HBU at NWST 07:30 PM
NWST -4.0...........80 - 86....WINNER
O 157.5

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CARK at UNO 08:00 PM
UNO -3.5...........63 - 88
O 154.0........LOSER

SHSU at LAM 08:00 PM
SHSU -9.5

AAMU at ALCN 08:30 PM
AAMU -1.0

ALST at SOU 08:30 PM
SOU -11.5

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TTU at OKST 09:00 PM
OKST +3.5.........69 - 74....LOSER
O 138.0.........WINNER

ORE at USC 09:00 PM
ORE +4.0.........58 - 72..........LOSER
O 140.5

UNM at AFA 09:30 PM
UNM +1.5........73 - 65.......WINNER
U 125.5........LOSER


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............304 - 251........-+139.50


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January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
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December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
Odds for the PGA Tour event this week:
13-2? Dustin Johnson
9-1? Jon Rahm
16-1? McIlroy, Schauffele
18-1? DeChambeau, Thomas
20-1? Cantlay, Finau, Hatton, Holland
25-1? Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 500,899
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s been great so far. Today was the first day we took the field as a team, and seeing these guys? work ethic makes you want to elevate your game. I have heard nothing but good things about this group of guys and I just want to be a piece of this puzzle.?
Francisco Lindor

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was the Boston Celtics? coach, before Brad Stevens?

Monday?s quiz
Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

Sunday?s quiz
Red Holzman was Knicks? coach when they won their only two NBA titles, in 1970, 1973

****************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) There could be more of this to come; Western Kentucky will visit Houston Thursday night, in a hastily-arranged game designed to elevate both teams? resume for the NCAA Tournament.

WKU is 15-4, and appears to be a bubble team at best if they don?t win the C-USA tournament. Houston is 18-3, but a win here would help improve their resume.

12) Oklahoma State 74, Texas Tech 69 OT:

Oklahoma State was 22-32 on foul line, Texas Tech 8-12.

Cade Cunningham was the #1 high school recruit in the country last year; he chose to go to Oklahoma State, which ?coincidentally? had just hired his brother as an assistant coach.

All that is perfectly legal, has been done many times before. In the mid?80?s, Kansas hired Ed Manning as an assistant coach, then Ed?s son Danny led the Jayhawks to a national title. Ed Manning played in the NBA, but he was a truck driver when Kansas hired him.

During this game, ESPN?s Fran Fraschilla had the onions to say that the brother?s hiring wasn?t a ?package deal.? In other words, Oklahoma State would?ve hired the brother as an assistant coach, even if Cade Cunningham was a badminton player. Have to call bullshit on that one.

11) By the way, Oklahoma State will be going on probation soon, just not this year, because the NCAA hasn?t gotten around to hearing OSU?s appeal of the NCAA?s verdict on a previous issue. By the time the Cowboys go on probation, Cade Cunningham will be playing in the NBA.

In June 2020, after an FBI bribery-and-corruption investigation implicated a former OSU assistant coach- he got a three-month prison sentence, the NCAA gave Oklahoma State a 3-year probation, a one-year postseason ban and the loss of three total scholarships over a three-year period.

10) Duke 85, Syracuse 71? There is a phrase called ?addition by subtraction? where the group does better when one person leaves. Not necessarily that person?s fault, just that roles become more defined, there are fewer people looking over their shoulders to be subbed out.

Duke, in three games since Jalen Johnson skipped town:
? won 84-60 at Wake Forest
? won 66-65 over Virginia
? won 85-71 over Syracuse

Duke was 5-8 when Johnson played; they?re 6-0 in games he missed. Those are the facts; they are not in dispute. Decide for yourself why those facts are what they are.

9) There have been Celtic fans on social media bitching about coach Brad Stevens; Celtics are 15-15, lost six of their last nine games. To this point, they?re underachieving.

I?ll say this; of the 357 D-I college teams, how many would fire their coach if Stevens became available? He made the Final Four with a HORIZON LEAGUE TEAM (Butler wasn?t in the Big East yet). If he isn?t appreciated in Boston, someone with deep pockets surely will.

8) West Virginia won six of its last eight games; they?ve won five road games in a row, which is pretty amazing. West Virginia plays in the Big X; of the other nine teams in the league, closest town to West Virginia is Ames, Iowa, which according to Mapquest, is 872 miles away.

Thats their shortest conference road trip, 872 miles. Yikes.

7) South Carolina used to be an ACC school; they bolted the league in 1971, stayed independent in football until 1991, when they joined the SEC.

The basketball Gamecocks joined the old Metro Conference in 1983; that was a pretty good league, with Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, but it was basketball-only.

You wonder if they could do it all over again, if South Carolina would?ve stayed in the ACC.

6) Only one major league team ever has had a player wear 0 and another player wear 00 at the same time; the 1985 Blue Jays had Al Oliver (0) and Cliff Johnson (00).

This season, Marcus Stroman will wear 0 for the Mets; there were rumors that Taijuan Walker was going to wear 00, but he will wear 99 instead, joining Turk Wendell as Mets who wore #99.

5) Reliever Tyler Clippard is going to sign with Arizona; he must be good at packing:
2007? Bronx
2009-14? Washington
2015? Oakland/NY Mets
2016? Arizona/Bronx
2017? Bronx-White Sox-Houston
2018? Toronto
2019? Cleveland
2020? Minnesota
2021? Arizona

4) Since 2000, colleges with the most NFL draft picks:
141? Ohio State
127? Alabama
126? LSU
119? Miami
109? Florida, Florida State, Georgia, USC
101? Oklahoma

3) QB Tyler Shough has bolted Oregon for Texas Tech; Slough started all seven games for the Ducks last year, as Oregon won its 2nd consecutive Pac-12 title, but he was splitting time with Anthony Brown at the end of the season.

2) Albert Pujols? wife announced on Instagram that this season will be her husband?s last year in the major leagues; Albert Pujols has had a great career, hitting 662 home runs, a career OPS of .924, winning two World Series rings. He also earned roughly $345M in salary.

No word from Pujols himself on his career plans, but five years after he retires, he?ll be going to Cooperstown.

1) Golfer Tony Finau won the 2016 Puerto Rico Open, his only PGA Tour win; since then, he?s finished in the top ten of 37 other tournaments, earned $19.2M, but no more wins.

During that time, 43 other golfers have won 2+ tournaments. $19.2M is damn good golfing, but you?d think he would have more than one tournament win.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 23

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NCAAB

Tuesday, February 23

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 23

Pacific @ San Diego
Pacific (7-7, 4-6)
? ranked #126 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #146
? Pacific lost six of their last eight games.
? Tigers lost five of their six D-I road tilts.
? Pacific has #276 eFG% (#308 on arc, #327 on foul line)

San Diego (3-8, 2-5)
? ranked #188 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #66
? Continuity: #194
? San Diego is 1-8 vs top 200 teams.
? Toreros lost two of their three home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? San Diego is shooting 45.4% inside arc (#311)

? Pacific won six of last seven series games.
? Tigers won three of last four visits to San Diego.

Saint Louis @ VCU
Saint Louis (11-4, 4-3)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #157
? Experience: #152
? Continuity: #23
? Billikens won four of their last five games.
? Saint Louis lost three of its last four road games.
? Saint Louis is 1-4 when they allow 75+ points, 10-0 when they allow less.

VCU (16-5, 9-3)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #303
? Continuity: #280
? VCU won six of its last seven games.
? Rams have #18 eFG% defense in country.
? VCU is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#7).

? VCU won eight of last nine series games.
? Billikens lost last five visits here, by 11-20-33-14-6 points.

Illinois @ Michigan State
Illinois (16-5, 12-3)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #90
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #44
? Illini won its last seven games.
? Illinois also won its last five road games.
? Illini is shooting 39.3% on the arc (#10)

Michigan State (11-9, 5-9)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #136
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #81
? Spartans are 3-2 in last five games, after a 2-7 skid.
? Michigan State split its last six home games.
? Spartans have #242 eFG% in country.

? Michigan State won six of last eight series games.
? Illinois lost last three visits here, by 25-20-20 points.

West Virginia @ TCU
West Virginia (15-6, 8-4)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #124
? Experience: #154
? Continuity: #34
? West Virginia won six of its last eight games.
? WVU won its last five road games (all long road trips).
? Mountaineers won Saturday after trailing by 19 with 18:18 left.

TCU (11-9, 4-7)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #150
? TCU lost seven of its last nine games.
? In last two games, Horned Frogs scored 55-54 points.
? TCU is #245 at protecting ball, #296 at forcing turnovers.

? Home side won last six series games.
? West Virginia lost last three visits here, by 9-31-7 points.

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech (11-8, 7-6)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #214
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Yellow Jackets lost four of last five road games.
? GT is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#39).
? Yellow Jackets are 4-5 vs top 50 teams.

Virginia Tech (14-4, 8-3)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #296
? Va Tech hasn?t played in 17 days.
? Hokies won six of their last eight games.
? VT is 5-0 in ACC home games (3 wins by 7 or fewer points)

? Hokies won six of last seven series games.
? Georgia Tech lost last three visits here, by 2-1-8 points.

Notre Dame @ Louisville
Notre Dame (9-11, 6-8)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #263
? Experience: #47
? Continuity: #125
? Notre Dame is 6-3 in its last nine games, after 3-8 start.
? ND is 4-11 in top 100 games.
? Notre Dame is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#1 of 15) in ACC tilts.

Louisville (11-5, 6-4)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #284
? Experience: #339
? Continuity: #325
? Louisville lost four of its last six games.
? Cardinals are 8-1 SU at home (lost to Florida State)
? Louisville is shooting 30.4% on the arc (#299).

? Louisville won last four series games.
? Notre Dame lost 71-64/67-64 in last two visits here.

St John?s @ Villanova
St John?s (14-9, 8-8)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #159
? St John?s lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 6-0 run.
? Red Storm won four of its last five road games.
? St John?s is forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#27)

Villanova (14-3, 9-2)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #331
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #7
? Villanova is 3-2 in its last five games, after an 11-1 start.
? Villanova is 6-0 at home in Big East (five wins by 8+)
? Wildcats have #38 eFG% in country (#33 on arc, #71 inside arc)

? Johnnies upset Villanova 70-59 at home February 3.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Johnnies lost 76-71/71-60 in last two visits here.

Washington @ Arizona State
Washington (5-17, 4-13)
? ranked #170 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #198
? Huskies won two of last three games, after a 3-16 start.
? Five of their last six losses were by 12+ points.
? Washington is in bottom 15 in country on defensive boards.

Arizona State (7-11, 4-8)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #18
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #142
? ASU lost three of last four games, giving up 79.3 ppg.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Sun Devils won three of their last four home games.
? ASU has #262 eFG% defense in country (#285 on arc)

? Arizona State won four of last six series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

UConn @ Georgetown
UConn (10-6, 7-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #164
? UConn lost five of its last eight games.
? Huskies are 9-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? UConn is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#9)

Georgetown (7-10, 5-7)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #94
? Experience: #59
? Continuity: #248
? Hoyas won four of last six games, after a 3-8 start.
? Georgetown won its last four home games.
? Hoyas are turning ball over 22.4% of the time (#316).

Oklahoma @ Kansas State
Oklahoma (14-5, 9-4)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #56
? Oklahoma won three in row, 8 of last 9 games.
? Sooners are 3-3 on Big X road, with two 1-point wins.
? Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#14).

Kansas State (6-18, 2-13)
? ranked #186 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #335
? Continuity: #287
? Wildcats snapped a 13-game skid in last game Saturday.
? K-State is turning ball over 22.8% of time, shooting 27.6% on arc in Big X play.
? Wildcats lost their last seven home games.

? K-State lost 76-50 in Norman January 19.
? Wildcats are 8-5 in last thirteen series games.
? Oklahoma lost its last eight visits to Manhattan.
? Sooner coach Kruger went to college at K-State.

Florida @ Auburn
Florida (11-6, 7-5)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #131
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #157
? Gators won five of their last seven games overall.
? Florida split its six SEC road games.
? Gators are 11-2 when they score 70+ points, 0-4 when they do not.

Auburn (11-12, 5-9)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #315
? Auburn lost five of its last six games, giving up 81.3 ppg.
? Tigers lost last two home games, by total of 7 points.
? Auburn is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#299)

? Florida won 12 of last 14 series games.
? Auburn lost their last ten visits to Gainesville.

Ole Miss @ Missouri
Ole Miss (12-9, 7-7)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #215
? Ole Miss won four of its last five games.
? Rebels are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#6)
? Rebels are shooting 28.5% on arc (#334)

Missouri (14-6, 7-6)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #12
? Continuity: #8
? Mizzou lost three of its last four games.
? Tigers allowed 80+ points in each of last four losses.
? Mizzou is shooting 31.6% on arc (#267)

? Rebels hammered Mizzou 80-59 at home, 13 days ago.
? Ole Miss won 13 of last 15 series games.
? Rebels won five of last six visits to Columbia.

Kansas @ Texas
Kansas (17-7, 11-5)
? ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #170
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #117
? Kansas won its last five games, allowing 56.4 ppg.
? Jayhawks are 7-7 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Big X opponents are shooting 44.5% inside arc (#1 of 10)

Texas (13-6, 7-5)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #151
? Experience: #116
? Continuity: #3
? Texas lost five of its last eight games.
? Longhorns blew 19-point 2nd half lead in last game, an 84-82 loss.
? In that game, Texas was 4-10 on foul line (at home), Oklahoma 26-37

? Texas waxed the Jayhawks 84-59 in Lawrence on January 2.
? Kansas won 13 of last 15 series games.
? Kansas won five of its last six visits to Austin.


****************************


NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 23

***************************


601AKRON -602 OHIO U
AKRON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

603PACIFIC -604 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 59-34 ATS (21.6 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.

607MIAMI OHIO -608 C MICHIGAN
MIAMI OHIO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they had 2 or less steals in the last 3 seasons.

609BUFFALO -610 N ILLINOIS
BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons.

609BUFFALO -610 N ILLINOIS
Jim Whitesell is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games (Coach of BUFFALO)

611MASSACHUSETTS -612 RICHMOND
MASSACHUSETTS are 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games since 1997.

615ILLINOIS -616 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

617W VIRGINIA -618 TCU
TCU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

621GEORGIA TECH -622 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

625BOWLING GREEN -626 E MICHIGAN
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

AKR at OHIO 02:00 PM
AKR -1.5..........73 - 90..........LOSER
O 151.0..........WINNER

PAC at USD 03:00 PM
USD +3.0..........77 - 67.......LOSER
O 133.5..............WINNER

M-OH at CMU 05:00 PM
CMU +4.5
O 149.5

APP at GSU 05:00 PM
GSU -6.5........71 - 87......WINNER
U 142.5........LOSER

BUFF at NIU 05:00 PM
BUFF -11.0........102 - 74....WINNER
O 145.0..............WINNER

SLU at VCU 06:00 PM
VCU +3.5...........67 - 65.....WINNER
O 135.5..............LOSER

MASS at RICH 06:00 PM
RICH -9.0.........65 - 79......WINNER
U 149.5..............WINNER

 

[Cnotes53]

Evening action:

WVU at TCU 07:00 PM
TCU +6.5.........74 - 66.....LOSER
O 145.5

BGSU at EMU 07:00 PM
EMU +6.5............82 - 69
O 146.0..............WINNER

ND at LOU 07:00 PM
LOU -4.0
U 142.0

ILL at MSU 07:00 PM
ILL -6.5.......72 - 81........LOSER
U 142.0............LOSER

LSU at UGA 07:00 PM
UGA +4.5..........78 - 91
O 165.5..............WINNER

GT at VT 07:00 PM
VT -3.5..........69 - 53.........LOSER
O 136.5............LOSER

FLA at AUB 07:00 PM
AUB -2.0
U 154.0

******************

PSU at NEB 08:00 PM
PSU -6.5..........86 - 83...........LOSER
O 144.0..............WINNER

ISU at BAY 08:00 PM
BAY -23.0.............72 - 77.......LOSER
U 147.5..............LOSER

SJU at VILL 08:00 PM
SJU +11.0...........58 - 81..........LOSER
U 153.0

******************

OKLA at KSU 09:00 PM
KSU +10.5........57 - 62
O 131.0................LOSER

MISS at MIZZ 09:00 PM
MISS +3.5.........60 - 53.....WINNER
O 132.0.............LOSER

KU at TEX 09:00 PM
TEX -2.5...........72 - 75.....WINNER
U 138.0

WASH at ASU 09:00 PM
ASU -9.5
O 150.5

CONN at GTWN 09:00 PM
CONN -4.5
U 140.5



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............317 - 266........-+122.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the college basketball title:
3-1? Gonzaga, Baylor
7-1? Michigan
11-1? Villanova
14-1? Houston, Ohio State, Texas
16-1? Florida State
18-1? Illinois, Iowa

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?We all wish we could have more rest. I?m here to work. I?m here to punch my clock in and be available to my teammates.?
Lebron James

Wednesday?s quiz
Which college team did Brad Stevens lead to two Final Fours?

Tuesday?s quiz
Doc Rivers was the Boston Celtics? coach before Brad Stevens.

Monday?s quiz
Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

*************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.

The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.

12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72? That was the Bears? first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We?re about to find out.

11) March?s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they?re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I?ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

10) NBA trends on back/backs:
? Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
? Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
? Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
? Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
? Home teams 38-38-1???favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2

9) I?d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.

Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach? lot more of that in college.

Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.

8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn?t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.

7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
1) Golden State
2) Houston
3) Chicago
4) Minnesota
5) Philadelphia

6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?

5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.

Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I?m guessing this year?s number will be around 1,500.

4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
? Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
? Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games

3) Michigan?s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh?s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.

2) Georgia 91, LSU 78? Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG?s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.

1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn?t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn?s chances of winning again this season. They?ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

**********************


NCAAB

Wednesday, February 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

---------------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 24

Clemson @ Wake Forest
Clemson (13-5, 7-5)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #310
? Experience: #174
? Continuity: #98
? Clemson won last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
? Tigers lost last three road games, by 18-19-26 points.
? Clemson is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#35)

Wake Forest (6-11, 3-11)
? ranked #131 by KenPom
? Tempo: #228
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #275
? Wake Forest is 1-11 vs top 100 teams.
? Deacons lost last three games, giving up 85.3 ppg.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Wake has #294 eFG% defense in country.

? Clemson won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Tigers won four of last five visits here (lost 56-44 LY).

St Bonaventure @ Davidson
St Bonaventure (10-3, 8-3)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #110
? Continuity: #29
? Bonnies split last four games, after a 9-1 start.
? Bonnies have #31 eFG% defense in country.
? Bonnies lost last two road games, scoring 59-64 points.

Davidson (11-6, 6-3)
? ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #348
? Experience: #183
? Continuity: #43
? Monday was Davidson?s first D-I game in four weeks.
? Wildcats split last four A-14 home games.
? Davidson is shooting 57.5% inside arc (#8)

? Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
? Monday night, Davidson lost 69-58 to the Bonnies in Olean.
? Bonnies lost last four visits here, by 5-10-18-29 points.

Chattanooga @ Mercer
Chattanooga (18-6, 9-6)
? ranked #153 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #280
? Chattanooga won six of its last seven games.
? Mocs won four of their last five road games.
? Chattanooga?s last four games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.

Mercer (14-9, 7-8)
? ranked #134 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #122
? Continuity: #257
? Mercer won four of its last six games.
? Bears lost three of their last five home games.
? Bears have #27 eFG% in country (#41 on arc, #33 inside arc).

? Mercer blew a 19-point lead, lost 83-80 in Chattanooga January 13.
? Mercer won five of last eight series games.
? Teams split last six meetings in Macon.

Seton Hall @ Butler
Seton Hall (13-9, 10-6)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #132
? Seton Hall won four of its last five games.
? Pirates split their last six road games.
? Seton Hall is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

Butler (7-13, 6-11)
? ranked #132 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #178
? Continuity: #236
? Butler lost three in row, six of its last eight games.
? Bulldogs split their last six home games.
? Butler is shooting 45.5% inside arc (#311), has #289 eFG%.

? Butler lost 68-60 at Seton Hall January 2.
? Pirates won four of last five series games.
? Seton Hall won three of last four games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Marquette @ North Carolina
Marquette (10-12)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #176
? Marquette won 6 of last 8 games (both wins vs Butler)
? Golden Eagles lost three of last four road games.
? Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#13), 36.1% on arc (#279)

North Carolina (14-7)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #58
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #150
? Carolina won six of its last eight games.
? Tar Heels are 8-0 at home, winning last two by 20-45 points.
? Tar Heels have #237 eFG% in country; they?re #2 on offensive boards.

Indiana @ Rutgers
Indiana (12-10, 7-8)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #284
? Continuity: #80
? Indiana is 5-6 SU in its last eleven games.
? Hoosiers won three of their last four road games.
? Indiana gets 22.1% of its points on foul line (#27), but is shooting only 66.7% there (#291)

Rutgers (12-9, 8-9)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #7
? Rutgers lost three of its last four games.
? Scarlet Knights won three of last four at home.
? Rutgers gets 59.3% of its points on 2-point shots (#14)

? Rutgers won 74-70 at Indiana January 24.
? Rutgers won four of last five series games.
? Hoosiers lost 66-58/59-50 in last two visits to the Garden State.

Florida State @ Miami
Florida State (13-3, 9-2)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #117
? Experience: #93
? Continuity: #99
? Seminoles won three in row, 8 of last 9 games.
? Florida State split its last four road games.
? Florida State is shooting 39.4% on arc (#9)

Miami (7-13, 3-12)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #199
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #242
? Miami lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
? Hurricanes? only win in that span was over Duke.
? Miami is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324)

? Miami lost 81-59 at Florida State January 27.
? Seminoles won last six series games.
? FSU won 78-66/83-79OT in last two visits to Miami.

Xavier @ Providence
Xavier (12-4, 5-4)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #184
? Xavier lost two of its last three games.
? Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#23)
? Xavier is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.

Providence (11-11, 7-9)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #287
? Experience: #145
? Continuity: #223
? Friars lost eight of their last 12 games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Providence lost three of their last five home games.
? Providence has #249 eFG% in country (#237 on arc, #238 inside arc)

? Friars lost 74-73 at Xavier January 10.
? Xavier won three of last four series games.
? Musketeers lost four of last five visits to Providence.

Cincinnati @ Tulsa
Cincinnati (7-8, 5-5)
? ranked #105 by KenPom
? Tempo: #79
? Experience: #232
? Continuity: #215
? Cincy won four of its last five games; all four wins were by 3 or less points.
? Bearcats turn ball over 20.7% of time (#260), have #276 eFG%.
? Cincinnati won three of its last five road games.

Tulsa (10-9, 7-7)
? ranked #111 by KenPom
? Tempo: #318
? Experience: #32
? Continuity: #200
? This is Tulsa?s first game in eight days.
? Tulsa lost six of its last nine games.
? Tulsa is shooting 28.3% on the arc (#339).

? Tulsa won 70-66 at Cincinnati January 2.
? Cincinnati won seven of last eight series games.
? Bearcats won three of last four visits to Tulsa.

Alabama @ Arkansas
Alabama (18-5, 13-1)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #10
? Experience: #137
? Continuity: #148
? Alabama won three in row, 14 of last 16 games.
? Crimson Tide lost two of their last three road games.
? In their last three games, Alabama scored 92.7 ppg.

Arkansas (17-5, 9-4)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #29
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
? Razorbacks won their last five home games.
? Arkansas is grabbing 32.7% of their own missed shots (#44)

? Arkansas got waxed 90-59 at Alabama January 16.
? Razorbacks won six of last seven series games.
? Alabama lost last three visits here, by 25-2-19 points.

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
Tennessee (15-6, 8-6)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #100
? Tennessee split its last six games overall.
? Vols scored 80+ points in last four wins; 65 or less in their losses.
? Tennessee forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)

Vanderbilt (6-12, 2-10)
? ranked #104 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #277
? Continuity: #75
? Vandy?s last four losses were all by 6 or fewer points.
? Commodores lost five of their last six home games.
? Vandy is turning ball over 20.0% of time (#223)

? Vandy lost 81-61 in Knoxville January 16.
? Tennessee won last seven series games.
? Vols won last four trips to Nashville, by 12-8-5-21 points.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (9-9, 7-9)
? ranked #207 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #304
? Continuity: #300
? Fresno is 2-5 on road (both wins at Air Force)
? Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#313)
? Fresno has #254 eFG% (#316 on arc, #326 on foul line)

UNLV (10-11, 7-7)
? ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #267
? Continuity: #291
? UNLV is 6-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
? Rebels won five of their seven home games.
? Opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#330)

? Fresno won seven of last nine series games.
? Bulldogs won four of last five series games on the Strip.

DePaul @ Creighton
DePaul (4-10, 2-10)
? ranked #122 by KenPom
? Tempo: #73
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #221
? DePaul lost five of its last six games.
? Blue Demons actually split their last four road tilts.
? DePaul is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#326)

Creighton (16-5, 12-4)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #38
? Continuity: #19
? Creighton won three in row, six of last seven games.
? Bluejays split their last four home games.
? Creighton is shooting 58% inside the arc (#6).

? Creighton won 69-62 at DePaul January 30.
? Bluejays won last 12 series games.
? DePaul lost its last five visits to Omaha, all by 13+ points.


-----------------------------------


653KENT ST -654 BALL ST
BALL ST is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

657CLEMSON -658 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

659ST BONAVENTURE -660 DAVIDSON
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

663DAYTON -664 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

665GEORGE WASHINGTON -666 GEORGE MASON
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games since 1997.

667NEW MEXICO -668 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

669NC STATE -670 VIRGINIA
NC STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

673THE CITADEL -674 FURMAN
THE CITADEL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

675W CAROLINA -676 UNC-GREENSBORO
W CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

677UT-CHATTANOOGA -678 MERCER
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.


------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 24

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENT at BALL 02:00 PM
KENT -7.0...........71 - 90.....LOSER
O 145.0............WINNER

AAMU at SOU 03:30 PM
SOU -8.0
U 135.0

CLEM at WAKE 04:30 PM
CLEM -2.5
U 131.5

SBON at DAV 05:00 PM
SBON +2.5........56 - 53..........WINNER
O 131.5...........LOSER

NCAT at NCCU 05:00 PM
NCCU -4.0
U 140.5

ALST at ALCN 05:00 PM
ALCN -5.5
U 136.0

DAY at STJOE 06:00 PM
DAY -8.0..........84 - 97.....LOSER
U 146.5...........LOSER

GW at GMU 06:00 PM
GW +7.0
O 140.0

DSU at NORF 06:00 PM
NORF -14.0
U 150.5

HAMP at LONG 06:00 PM
LONG -7.0
U 139.5

UNM at AFA 06:00 PM
UNM -1.5.....55 - 62.....LOSER
O 127.5.......LOSER

NCST at UVA 06:30 PM
NCST +11.0..........68 - 61.,.....WINNER
O 124.5...........WINNER

 

[Cnotes53]

EVENING BEST BETS:

AMER at L-MD 07:00 PM
L-MD -9.5
U 139.0

DUQ at LAS 07:00 PM
DUQ -4.0...........65 - 85.....LOSER
U 140.0

MARQ at UNC 07:00 PM
UNC -9.5..........83 - 70......LOSER
U 146.0

HALL at BUT 07:00 PM
HALL -7.5..............52 - 61........LOSER
U 130.0

TEM at USF 07:00 PM
USF -4.5
U 135.5

HC at BU 07:00 PM
HC +9.0
O 141.0

CHAT at MER 07:00 PM
CHAT +3.5......77 - 81......LOSER
O 137.5.......WINNER

SCAR at MSST 07:00 PM
MSST -6.0.......48 - 69.....WINNER
U 145.0

CIT at FUR 07:00 PM
FUR -17.0..........63 - 72.....LOSER
U 160.0..........WINNER

WCU at UNCG 07:00 PM
UNCG -14.5.........81 - 80.....LOSER
O 143.5.........WINNER

SFA at NWST 07:30 PM
NWST +10.5...........83 - 57.....LOSER
O 153.5

*************************

UNO at AMCC 08:00 PM
UNO -1.5.......69 - 61
O 147.0.......LOSER

IND at RUTG 08:00 PM
IND +3.5.........63 - 74....LOSER
O 133.0

NAU at SUU 08:00 PM
SUU -12.0.........80 - 85....LOSER
U 143.0

LAM at IW 08:00 PM
IW -1.0
U 134.5

TULN at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -10.5........46 - 61.....WINNER
U 131.0

HBU at NICH 08:00 PM
NICH -12.0
U 157.0

MCNS at SELA 08:00 PM
SELA -4.0
U 143.0

FSU at MIA 08:30 PM
FSU -11.5.......88 - 71....WINNER
U 142.5.............LOSER

SHSU at ACU 08:30 PM
SHSU +9.0
O 142.0

*********************

XAV at PROV 09:00 PM
PROV +1.5
O 142.0

DEP at CREI 09:00 PM
DEP +15.0..........53 - 77......LOSER
O 145.0.......LOSER

CIN at TLSA 09:00 PM
CIN +2.0........70 - 69
O 131.5.........WINNER

TENN at VAN 09:00 PM
VAN +8.0......70 - 58.....LOSER
O 142.5..........LOSER

ALA at ARK 09:00 PM
ARK -2.0.........66 - 81.,...WINNER
U 158.5...........WINNER

FRES at UNLV 11:00 PM
FRES +7.0
O 130.5


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

+
Feb. 24,2021.........12 - 21.......-55.50
Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............329 - 287........-+66.50


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the Baltimore Orioles? best prospects:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
4) Heston Kjerstad, OF
5) Ryan Mountcastle, OF
7) Yusniel Diaz, OF
9) Dean Kremer, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 506,030
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Since the AFL/NFL merger 50+ years ago, only one NFL quarterback who has started 50+ games hasn?t thrown at least one pick-6. The answer is surprising; I?ll post it down below.

12) May 17, 1979; Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in ten innings, with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. One of the craziest ballgames ever:

? Neither starting pitcher finished the first inning.
? Cubs? #3-4 hitters went a combined 7-13, with seven runs scored, 13 RBI and Chicago still lost.
? Cubs? #3 hitter was Bill Buckner, who was a very good big league hitter.
? For some reason, Larry Bowa hit 2nd, Pete Rose 3rd for the Phillies. Bowa was a good fielder but a less-than-average hitter. Bake McBride batted leadoff for Philly.

?Tug McGraw gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in 0.2 innings; you may have heard of his son, Tim McGraw, the great singer. Tug McGraw saved 180 games in his 19-year MLB career.
? Rawly Eastwick got the win in relief, throwing two perfect innings in a 23-22 game.
? Six different players knocked in 4+ runs.
? Bob Boone (Aaron Boone?s father) was the Phillies? catcher.
? The game took 4:03 to play; 14,952 fans watched it.

11) Jazz 114, Lakers 89:
? Jazz have played 32 games; they?re had a 20+ point lead in 20 of them.
? In its last 23 games, Utah is 20-2-1 against the spread.

10) NBA will host two 4-team play-in tournaments May 18-21, to determine the last four playoff teams this season, two in each conference:
? #7-seed hosts the #8-seed; winner is in.
? #10-seed visits the #9-seed; loser is out.
? Loser of the 7-8 game hosts the 9-10 winner; winner of that game gets in playoffs.

9) Arkansas 81, Alabama 66:
? Free throws: Arkansas 27-43, Alabama 3-8. Seems fair.
? One kid on Arkansas was 16-19 on the line; Alabama?s whole team was 3-8.
? Arkansas has won five in row, 8 of last 9 games.
? Alabama is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.

8) Rutgers 74, Indiana 63? The pundits on the Big 14 Network preach endlessly about how great their league is; I?m a skeptic. FS1?s Doug Gottlieb was saying how fewer kids from the Big 14 jump early to the NBA, so they have an advantage early in the season, their teams have more continuity, an advantage that erodes as the season goes on.

7) ESPN missed the boat when they let Gottlieb walk; he is a way better analyst than Jay Bilas, who somehow is ESPN?s #1 analyst. Bilas played for Duke, which seems to mean a lot at ESPN.

Gottlieb speaks his mind, has some humor and doesn?t bitch about the refs every 90 seconds, the way Bilas does. Always learn stuff listening to Gottlieb.

6) NC State 68, Virginia 61:
? Virginia lost three in row, after a 15-3 start.
? Wolfpack won three in row, after an 8-9 start.
? NC State played seven guys the whole game. Not many teams have depth these days.

5) Wednesday night?s biggest upsets:
? Western Carolina (+14) 81, NC-Greensboro 80
? NC State (+12) 68, Virginia 61
? Marquette (+8.5) 83, North Carolina 70
? St Joe?s (+8) 97, Dayton 84
? Butler (+7.5) 61, Seton Hall 52
? Fresno State (+7) 67, UNLV 64

4) SNY in New York City does it right; they replay a classic Mets? game every weekday at 3pm. Watching ballgames is the fun thing to do, listening to Cohen-Darling-Hernandez is a fine way to spend a winter afternoon, at least until exhibition games start this weekend.

3) Blue Jays? 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr has lost 42 pounds since last season; he turns 22 next month, has hit .269 in his first 183 big league games, over two seasons. Curious to see if being so much lighter will make him a better hitter.

2) I?m amazed that people bet on the NFL Draft; you can wager on how many QB?s will get taken in the first round, what pick in the first round will the last QB be taken, basically anything you can think of.

Over the last 50 years, Mitch Trubisky is the only NFL quarterback with 50+ starts who hasn?t thrown at least one pick-6.

1) Conference tournaments start tonight; the Horizon League has four first-round games.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 25

**************************


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 25

Iowa @ Michigan
Iowa (17-6, 11-5)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #198
? Continuity: #48
? Iowa won last four games, scoring 79.5 ppg.
? Hawkeyes are 1-5 if they allow 80+ points, 16-1 if they allow less.
? Iowa is shooting 40.3% on the arc (#4)

Michigan (16-1, 11-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #57
? Continuity: #149
? Michigan won its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#2)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Michigan is 3-0 since its COVID pause, winning by 8-7-5 points.

? Michigan won five of last seven series games.
? Iowa lost 74-59/103-91 in last two visits here.

Western Kentucky @ Houston
Western Kentucky (15-4)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #91
? Hilltoppers haven?t played in 12 days.
? WKU won its last six games, giving up 65.8 ppg.
? WKU has wins over Memphis/Alabama; are they an at-large team?

Houston (18-3)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #122
? Houston split its last four D-I games.
? Cougars have the best eFG% defense in country.
? Houston is also #1 in country on offensive boards.

UCLA @ Utah
UCLA (16-5, 12-3)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #266
? Continuity: #18
? UCLA won 3 in row overall, but lost 3 of last 4 road games.
? Six of Bruins? last nine games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
? UCLA outscored ASU 10-2 over final 3:56 of their 80-79 home win Saturday.

Utah (9-10, 6-9)
? ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #286
? Continuity: #17
? Utah lost its last three games, scoring 62 ppg.
? This is Utah?s second home game in 40 days.
? Utes are a poor rebounding team (#248 on both ends on boards)

? Utah lost 72-70 at Pauley Pavilion New Year?s Eve.
? UCLA won last three series games.
? Bruins lost four of last six visits to Salt Lake City.

Ohio State @ Michigan State
Ohio State (18-5, 12-5)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #132
? Buckeyes won seven of its last eight games overall.
? Ohio State won their last six road games.
? Buckeyes have #46 eFG% in country.

Michigan State (12-9, 6-9)
? ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #78
? Spartans won four of their last six games.
? MSU shot 54.9% inside arc in Tuesday?s upset of Illinois.
? Spartans have #219 eFG% in country (#227 inside arc).

? Spartans lost 79-62 in Columbus January 31.
? Michigan State won four of last five series games.
? Buckeyes lost their last seven visits to East Lansing.

San Francisco @ BYU
San Francisco (10-11, 4-7)
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #81
? Continuity: #165
? USF lost its last four games, all at home, scoring 62.8 ppg.
? Dons split their last four road games.
? Over half the shots they take are 3?s (34.5%, #127)

BYU (17-5, 8-3)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #202
? Experience: #80
? Continuity: #272
? BYU won eight of its last ten games.
? Cougars are shooting 55.4% inside arc (#23)
? BYU is 3-1 at home in WCC (lost to Gonzaga)

? BYU won 72-63 at USF on January 16.
? BYU won 13 of last 16 series games.
? Dons lost seven of last eight visits to Provo.

Oregon @ Stanford
Oregon (14-5, 9-4)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #39
? Continuity: #284
? Oregon won five of its last six games.
? Average total in Ducks? last four games is 125.2.
? Oregon is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#64)

Stanford (14-9, 10-7)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #284
? Continuity: #74
? Stanford won four of its last six games, lost last one in 3OT?s.
? Cardinal split its four games in Maples Pavilion.
? Stanford turns ball over 21.1% of time (#281)

? Stanford lost 73-56 in Eugene January 2.
? Home side won eight of last nine series games.
? Ducks lost three of last four visits to the Farm.

USC @ Colorado
USC (19-4, 13-3)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #321
? USC won eight of its last nine games.
? Trojans won their last four road games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.2% on arc (#3)

Colorado (17-7, 11-6)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #263
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #89
? Colorado won four of its last six games.
? Buffaloes won six of seven Pac-12 home games.
? Last three games, Colorado scored only 59.7 ppg.

? Buffs won 72-62 at the Galen Center on New Year?s Eve.
? Colorado won last five series games.
? Trojans lost 78-67/70-66 in last two visits to Boulder.

LMU @ Pepperdine
LMU (11-7, 6-4)
? ranked #115 by KenPom
? Tempo: #225
? Experience: #150
? Continuity: #211
? LMU won four of its last five games.
? Lions are turning ball over 23.3% of time (#332)
? LMU is #3 in country on defensive boards.

Pepperdine (10-10, 6-5)
? ranked #113 by KenPom
? Tempo: #50
? Experience: #112
? Continuity: #61
? Waves lost last two games, by 4-5 points.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Pepperdine won four of their last five home games.
? Waves pass ball well (59.5% of hoops got assists, #29)

? Home side won 10 of last 11 series games.
? LMU lost its last eight visits to Malibu.

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (18-4, 14-3)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #246
? Boise swept Utah State LW, has won four in row overall.
? Broncos lost three of their last four road games.
? Boise has #58 eFG% in country (53.2% inside arc, #55)

San Diego State (17-4, 11-3)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #149
? Aztecs won last eight games, all vs cruddy teams.
? San Diego State forces turnovers 23.0% of time (#18)
? San Diego State is shooting 38.7% on the arc (#15).

? Aztecs won last four series games.
? Boise lost last three visits to Viejas, by 8-6-18 points.

Horizon League tournament (@ campus sites)
Robert Morris @ Detroit
Robert Morris (18-5, 13-1)
? ranked #290 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #155
? Robert Morris lost 11 of its last 12 games (4 of 11 losses in OT)
? Colonials have #314 eFG% defense in country.
? In their last four games, RMC allowed 83.3 ppg.
? Robert Morris won the NEC tournament LY.

Detroit (11-9, 10-6)
? ranked #147 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #210
? Detroit won 10 of last 12 games, after a 1-7 start.
? Detroit won its last six home games.
? Titans have #332 eFG% defense in country.
? Last four years, Detroit is 0-3 in this event; they DNP last year.
? This is first time since 2013 that Titans were over .500 in Horizon.

? This is Robert Morris? first year in Horizon.
? Colonials got swept here, 85-74/80-61 just last weekend.

Ill-Chicago @ Youngstown State
Ill-Chicago (9-12, 6-10)
? ranked #271 by KenPom
? Tempo: #176
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #226
? Flames lost eight of their last nine games.
? UIC gets only 13.4% of its points on foul line (#341)
? Flames are shooting 32.6% on arc (#231), 65.5% on line (#316)
? UIC lost in finals of this event LY; they?re 6-6 in last six Horizon tourneys.

Youngstown State (14-11, 9-11)
? ranked #242 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #211
? Continuity: #102
? Penguins won five of their last six D-I games.
? Youngstown grabs 33.4% of its missed shots (#37)
? Penguins have #326 eFG% defense in country.
? Last seven years, Youngstown is 3-7 in this tournament.

? Flames split pair of games at Youngstown in mid-January
? Teams split last six series games.
? UIC won three of last four visits to Youngstown.

Fort Wayne @ Green Bay
Fort Wayne (7-14, 6-14)
? ranked #286 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #166
? Mastodons lost nine of their last ten games.
? Fort Wayne is turning ball over 24.7% of time (#344)
? Mastodons are shooting 57.7% inside arc (#8), 39.3% on arc (#9)
? Last six years, Fort Wayne was 3-6 in Summit tournament.

Green Bay (8-16, 8-12)
? ranked #236 by KenPom
? Tempo: #279
? Experience: #296
? Continuity: #299
? Green Bay is 8-7 in its last 15 games, after an 0-9 start.
? Phoenix won six of their last seven home games.
? Opponents are shooting 35.7% on arc (#269).
? Last three years, Green Bay went W-L in Horizon tourney.

? Fort Wayne got swept here, 77-59/87-73 in late January.

IUPUI @ Milwaukee
IUPUI (8-9, 7-9)
? ranked #256 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #66
? Continuity: #76
? Jaguars won three of their last four games.
? IUPUI won four of its last six road games.
? Opponents are shooting 56.5% inside arc (#339)
? Last nine years, IUPUI is 1-9 in conference tourneys.

Milwaukee (8-11, 7-10)
? ranked #227 by KenPom
? Tempo: #104
? Experience: #182
? Continuity: #141
? Milwaukee lost five of its last six games.
? Panthers have #285 eFG% defense in country.
? Average total in their last four games, 172.3.
? Last three years, Milwaukee is 1-2 in this event.

? Milwaukee split pair of games at IUPUI in late January.
? Milwaukee won five of last seven series games.
? IUPUI lost last three visits here, by 1-12-4 points.


*****************************


727MIAMI OHIO -728 W MICHIGAN
MIAMI OHIO is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.

729E MICHIGAN -730 OHIO U
OHIO U is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

735TENN-MARTIN -736 SIU EDWARDSVL
TENN-MARTIN is 7-28 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a road underdog or pick in the last 3 seasons.

737IOWA -738 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

739WASHINGTON -740 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

741TENNESSEE ST -742 MOREHEAD ST
TENNESSEE ST is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after a conference game in the last 3 seasons.

743COLL OF CHARLESTON -744 UNC-WILMINGTON
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 61-32 ATS (25.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

749W KENTUCKY -750 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.

751BELMONT -752 E KENTUCKY
E KENTUCKY is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

753UCLA -754 UTAH
UCLA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.


*************************


NCAAB

Thursday, February 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami-Ohio @ Western Michigan
Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami-Ohio's last 10 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Western Michigan's last 10 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Western Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami-Ohio

Eastern Michigan @ Ohio
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 11 games when playing Ohio
Ohio
Ohio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Central Michigan's last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Central Michigan is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

Tennessee-Martin @ Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
Tennessee-Martin is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois-Edwardsville's last 7 games when playing Tennessee-Martin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Illinois-Edwardsville's last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee-Martin

St. Francis-Brooklyn @ Merrimack
St. Francis-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Merrimack
No trends to report

Tennessee State @ Morehead State
Tennessee State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tennessee State's last 16 games on the road
Tennessee State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Morehead State
Morehead State
Morehead State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Morehead State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Wagner @ Central Connecticut State
Wagner
No trends to report
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report

LIU-Brooklyn @ Bryant
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report
Bryant
No trends to report

Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart
Fairleigh Dickinson
No trends to report
Sacred Heart
No trends to report

Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis-Pennsylvania
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report
St. Francis-Pennsylvania
No trends to report

Iowa @ Michigan
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
Iowa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Iowa

Washington @ Arizona State
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
Washington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona State's last 16 games at home

Florida A&M @ South Carolina State
Florida A&M
No trends to report
South Carolina State
No trends to report

Nebraska @ Illinois
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games on the road
Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 8 games at home
Illinois is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Nebraska

Western Kentucky @ Houston
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Robert Morris @ Detroit
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Belmont @ Eastern Kentucky
Belmont
Belmont is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky
Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 6 games when playing at home against Belmont

UCLA @ Utah
UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Utah
UCLA is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against UCLA
Utah is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

UIC @ Youngstown State
UIC
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UIC's last 7 games when playing on the road against Youngstown State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UIC's last 5 games on the road
Youngstown State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Youngstown State's last 7 games when playing at home against UIC
Youngstown State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

IUPUI @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee
IUPUI
The total has gone OVER in 17 of IUPUI's last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of IUPUI's last 6 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing IUPUI

IPFW @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
IPFW
IPFW is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
IPFW is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Weber State @ Sacramento State
Weber State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Weber State's last 13 games when playing Sacramento State
Sacramento State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento State's last 5 games when playing at home against Weber State
Sacramento State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report

Portland State @ Northern Colorado
Portland State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing Portland State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland State

Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois
Southeast Missouri State
Southeast Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southeast Missouri State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Illinois's last 6 games when playing at home against Southeast Missouri St

Murray State @ Jacksonville State
Murray State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Murray State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville Stat
Murray State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville State's last 8 games when playing at home against Murray State
Jacksonville State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Murray State

Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine
Loyola Marymount
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola Marymount's last 6 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Pepperdine
Pepperdine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Loyola Marymount
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Portland @ San Diego
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Montana @ Idaho State
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho State
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
Idaho State
Idaho State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho State's last 5 games when playing at home against Montana

Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech
Austin Peay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Austin Peay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Austin Peay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee Tech's last 6 games at home
Tennessee Tech is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Austin Peay

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boise State's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
Boise State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State

Ohio State @ Michigan State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ohio State

Northwestern @ Minnesota
Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Oregon @ Stanford
Oregon
Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Stanford
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games at home
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon

USC @ Colorado
USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of USC's last 5 games when playing Colorado
USC is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing USC

San Francisco @ BYU
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against BYU
BYU
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Oregon State @ California
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing on the road against California
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing California
California
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games when playing Oregon State

Pacific @ Saint Mary's-California
Pacific
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pacific's last 6 games on the road
Pacific is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pacific
Saint Mary's-California is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Pacific

Washington State @ Arizona
Washington State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington State's last 12 games on the road
Washington State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Washington State


------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 25

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CMU at BUFF 02:00 PM
CMU +20.5
O 161.5

EMU at OHIO 02:00 PM
OHIO -11.0........67 - 80......WINNER
O 142.5............WINNER

SFBK at MW 06:00 PM
MW -2.5

UTM at SIUE 06:00 PM
SIUE -4.5
O 139.5

*********************

SCU at GONZ 07:00 PM
SCU +30.0..........75 - 89,,,,,WINNER

FAMU at SCST 07:00 PM
SCST +11.0

FDU at SH 07:00 PM
FDU -1.0

WAG at CCSU 07:00 PM
WAG -9.0

NEB at ILL 07:00 PM
ILL -12.5........70 - 86.....WINNER
U 144.5...........LOSER

RMU at DETU 07:00 PM
DETU -10.5.........73 - 83
O 144.0.............WINNER

TNST at MORE 07:00 PM
MORE -10.5..........60 - 74.....WINNER

WKU at HOU 07:00 PM
WKU +11.5........57 - 81.....LOSER
O 137.0............WINNER

IOWA at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -5.0........57 - 79......WINNER

MSM at SFPA 07:00 PM
SFPA +1.5........72 - 65.......LOSER
O 127.5..............WINNER

WASH at ASU 07:00 PM
WASH +9.0.........72 - 80.....WINNER

LIU at BRY 07:00 PM
U 163.5

MVSU at PV 07:30 PM
MVSU +31.5

*********************

BEL at EKY 08:00 PM
EKY +7.5...........67 - 81......WINNER
O 161.5.............LOSER

UIC at YSU 08:00 PM
UIC +5.5.............58 - 74........LOSER
U 142.5..............WINNER

UCLA at UTAH 08:00 PM
UCLA -1.5

INDPU at MILW 08:00 PM
MILW -4.5..........72 - 84..........WINNER
O 152.0.............WINNER

PFW at WIGB 08:00 PM
PFW +6.0...........89-84......WINNER
O 143.5...........WINNER

WEB at CSUS 08:05 PM
CSUS +6.0.....82 - 73
U 144.0............LOSER

MURR at JVST 08:30 PM
JVST +3.5...........74 - 87.....WINNER

SEMO at EIU 08:30 PM
SEMO +5.0........94 - 88
O 138.0..........WINNER

ARPB at TXSO 08:30 PM
TXSO -14.0

PRST at UNCO 08:30 PM
PRST -1.0.........64 - 66......LOSER
U 139.0

**************************

LMU at PEPP 09:00 PM
LMU +4.5..........81 - 74....WINNER
O 144.5..........WINNER

PORT at USD 09:00 PM
USD -12.5............PPD
U 143.5

SF at BYU 09:00 PM
BYU -9.5.........73 - 79......LOSER
O 141.5..............WINNER

USC at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -3.0........62 - 80...........WINNER
U 135.5

ORE at STAN 09:00 PM
STAN +1.5.........71 - 68.....LOSER
O 135.0.............WINNER

OSU at MSU 09:00 PM
OSU -3.5...........67 - 70....LOSER
O 145.5.........LOSER

NW at MINN 09:00 PM
MINN -4.5
U 141.5

PEAY at TNTC 09:00 PM
PEAY -8.0...........76 - 81....LOSER

BSU at SDSU 09:00 PM
SDSU -6.5.......66 - 78..........WINNER
O 137.5..............WINNER

MONT at IDST 09:00 PM
MONT -2.5..........64 - 58.....WINNER

ORST at CAL 10:00 PM
CAL +1.0....59 - 57....LOSER
O 131.0..........LOSER

PAC at SMC 11:00 PM
SMC -6.0............46 - 58...WINNER
O 123.0...........LOSER

WSU at ARIZ 11:00 PM
WSU +9.0
O 138.5


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 25,2021.........27 - 15......+52.50
Feb. 24,2021.........12 - 21.......-55.50
Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............356 - 302........-+119.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Six of the Boston Red Sox? best prospects:
1) Triston Casas, 1B
3) Bobby Dalbec, 1B/3B
4) Bryan Mata, P
5) Jarren Duran, OF
7) Gilberto Jimenez, OF
8) Tanner Houck, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 507,803
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?He who cannot be a good follower,, cannot be a good leader.?
Aristotle

Friday?s quiz
Oakland A?s have won four World Series, under three different managers; two of the three are in the Hall of Fame (Dick Williams, Tony LaRussa). Who is the third manager?

Thursday?s quiz
Last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in basketball was 1995, when UCLA won.

Wednesday?s quiz
Before heading to the NBA, Brad Stevens led Butler to two Final Fours.

***********************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) Read a good story this week, we don?t hear enough positive stuff these days.

Matthew Berry writes for ESPN, mostly about fantasy sports, but his first job out of college was production assistant for The George Carlin Show. It was uplifting when Berry wrote an article saying what a great guy Carlin was, and how nice the great comedian was to Berry .

There is too much hostility in our world; we need to be nicer to each other. Seriously.

12) NBA TV showed the replay of a 1977 Jazz-Knicks game from New Orleans, when the great Pete Maravich hung 68 points on the Knicks- this was before there were 3-pointers.

I remember watching the game with my dad, who was a big Knicks fan. It was fun watching the replay; Maravich would dribble up the floor and take a lot of quick, pull-up jumpers. Picture Steph Curry time traveling back 44 years; that?s what it was like.

Knicks had some interesting subs that year:
? Phil Jackson obviously became one of the NBA?s best-ever coaches.
? Tom McMillen wound up as a US Congressman for six years.
? Ticky Burden was one of the best-ever basketball players from here in Albany.
? Dean Meminger was the first head coach of the Albany Patroons of the CBA, a team that Phil Jackson would later coach, before his great run in the NBA.

11) Michigan 79, Iowa 57:
? Michigan is 17-1; they?ve won six in a row. Wolverines are very good.

10) Michigan State 71, Ohio State 67:
? Spartans won last three games, are 13-9; imagine the #1-seed who is going to see the Spartans in their bracket, in a potential 2nd-round game?

? Michigan State scored 65 or less points in six of their last seven losses; they scored 78-81-71 points in their last three games.

9) Cincinnati Bearcats won five of their last six games; none of the five wins was by more than three points. They still don?t shoot well, but they?ve saved their season.

8) Horizon tournament opened last night; three of the four home teams won. Fort Wayne was the only road winner; they won 89-84 in double OT at Green Bay, after trailing by 8 points in the second half. Mastodons made 10-21 3-pointers; they won for only second time in their last 11 games.

7) Illinois star Ayo Dosunmu broke his nose, is out for a while; he?ll probably be wearing a mask when he comes back. Dosumnu is Illinois? best player, a 40% shooter on the arc; this isn?t great timing for the Illini.

6) Colorado 80, USC 62? Buffaloes are an experienced team with good guards, but they play better against the good teams than weak sisters. Thats not a good recipe for March. Colorado has now won six games in a row over USC, which lost for only second time in their last 10 games.

5) Upsets of the Night:
? Tennessee Tech (+8.5) 81, Austin Peay 76
? Eastern Kentucky (+8) 81, Belmont 67
? SE Missouri State (+6) 94, Eastern Illinois 88
? Fort Wayne (+5.5) 89, Green Bay 94, 2OT
? Northwestern (+4.5) 67, Minnesota 59
? LMU (+4.5) 81, Pepperdine 74

4) Bad Beat of the Night: San Diego State (-6) 78, Boise State 66, OT? Aztecs led by 17 early in the second half, blew the lead, then covered in overtime. Boise was 12-40 on the arc, 12-26 inside the arc.

3) Shin-Soo Choo retired from the major leagues and went home to Korea, where he?ll play for the Wyverns in the KBO this season. Choo had a .377 on-base %age in 16 big league seasons, and now he gets to finish his career at home. Good for him.

2) Sportsbooks in New Jersey banked an $82.6M profit in January; sportsbooks in Nevada raked in $52.4M. Tough times for gamblers; too many variables. I?m not picking games on this site these days because I don?t think there is a realistic expectation of coming out ahead right now, and I like coming out ahead.

1) There is a good program on ESPN2 most weekdays; Daily Wager, that talks about gambling and handicapping. Handicapping is a grind, it is fun, but there are ups and downs, and dealing with those determines who wins and who loses over the long haul. It is well worth watching.

 

[smax]

"Dean the Dream" Meminger

"Dean the Dream" Meminger

Wow, a name from the past. Thanks for the flashback
Saw him play at Marquette. He was all-world back then.
Al McGuire was Marquette coach. The 1970 NIT Champs beat Pistol Pete and LSU in the semis. St Johns in the championship. Good stuff. :toast:

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 26

********************


NCAAB

Friday, February 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 26

Tulane @ Cincinnati
Tulane (9-10, 4-10)
? ranked #137 by KenPom
? Tempo: #243
? Experience: #328
? Continuity: #308
? Tulane lost five of its last seven games.
? Green Wave has #339 eFG% (#337 inside arc, #318 on arc)
? Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.4% of the time (#16)

Cincinnati (8-8, 6-5)
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #72
? Experience: #230
? Continuity: #212
? Cincy won five of its last six games; all five wins were by 3 or less points.
? Bearcats played three starters 33:00+ in Wednesday?s 70-69 win at Tulsa.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Cincy is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324), 64.5% on line (#328)

? Cincinnati won 64-61 at Tulane February 7.
? Bearcats won seven of last eight series games.
? Cincy won three of last four visits here (lost 76-71 LY)

Manhattan @ Siena
Manhattan (6-9, 5-9)
? ranked #302 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #278
? Jaspers haven?t played in 13 days.
? Manhattan lost five of its last six games.
? Jaspers turn ball over 21.6% of time (#298), have #344 eFG%.

Siena (9-3, 9-3)
? ranked #158 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #164
? Continuity: #209
? Siena went L-W the last three weekends, after a 6-0 start.
? Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9).
? Saints won three of last four at home; last home tilt was January 23.

? Siena won four of last five series games.
? Jaspers lost five of last six visits to Albany.

Richmond @ Saint Louis
Richmond (13-5, 6-3)
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #10
? Continuity: #11
? Richmond won five of its last seven games.
? Spiders are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#25)
? Richmond is 4-3 against top 100 teams.

Saint Louis (11-5, 4-4)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #21
? Billikens lost last two games overall, scoring 53-65 points.
? Saint Louis is shooting 28.8% on arc in A-14 play (#13 of 14)
? Billikens won last three home games, by 11-7-21 points.

? Saint Louis won four of last five series games.
? Spiders lost three of last five visits to Saint Louis.

North Texas @ Marshall
North Texas (12-6, 8-2)
? ranked #76 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #95
? Mean Green won seven of its last eight games overall.
? North Texas is shooting 55.8% inside arc (#19)
? North Texas has #16 eFG% defense in country.

Marshall (12-5, 6-4)
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Tempo: #26
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #6
? Marshall won five of their last six games.
? Thundering Herd is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
? Last three games, Marshall scored 96.7 ppg.

? Neither team has played in thirteen days.
? Marshall won five of last six series games.

Missouri State @ Evansville
Missouri State (15-5, 11-5)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #215
? Continuity: #288
? State won its last six games, giving up 58.3 ppg.
? Bears? last four losses were all against Loyola/Drake.
? State is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#16)

Evansville (8-14, 6-10)
? ranked #212 by KenPom
? Tempo: #355
? Experience: #42
? Continuity: #232
? Evansville lost its last six games, five by 11+ points.
? Purple Aces have #342 eFG% in country (out of 357 teams)
? Over half the shots they?ve taken are 3?s (37.2%, #37)

? Missouri State won last three series games, by 16-13-10 points.
? Bears won last two visits here, by 12-10 points.

UAB @ Tex-San Antonio
UAB (18-5, 10-4)
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #29
? Continuity: #160
? UAB lost three of its last four D-I games, after a 16-2 start.
? Blazers are shooting 29.7% on arc (#314)
? UAB is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#10)

Tex-San Antonio (12-9, 8-6)
? ranked #181 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #122
? Continuity: #65
? Roadrunners haven?t played in 13 days.
? UTSA won seven of its last eight games.
? Roadrunners are 2-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

? UAB won four of last six series games.
? Blazers lost three of last four visits to the Alamo.

Purdue @ Penn State
Purdue (15-8, 10-6)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #113
? Purdue won three of its last four games.
? Purdue is 4-5 SU in Big 14 road games.
? Boilers are a top 40 rebounding team nationally.

Penn State (8-12, 5-11)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #122
? Experience: #41
? Continuity: #46
? Penn State lost four of its last five games.
? Nittany Lions are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#307)
? Opponents are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#316)

? Nittany Lions lost 80-72 at Purdue January 17.
? Purdue won 10 of last 11 series games.

Rice @ Louisiana Tech
Rice (12-10, 6-8)
? ranked #183 by KenPom
? Tempo: #96
? Experience: #291
? Continuity: #302
? Rice lost seven of its last nine games.
? Owls lost last five road games, four by 10+ points.
? Rice is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, giving up 81.3 ppg.

Louisiana Tech (17-6, 10-4)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #116
? Tech hasn?t played in thirteen days.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Bulldogs won nine of their last 11 games.
? Tech has #28 eFG% defense in country.

? Home side won last six series games.
? Rice lost last six visits to Ruston, all by 10+ points.

Nevada @ Utah State
Nevada (14-7, 9-5)
? ranked #98 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #301
? Nevada hasn?t played in 19 days.
? Wolf Pack lost their last four true road games.
? Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#56)

Utah State (14-7, 11-4)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #118
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #143
? Aggies lost four of their last six games.
? Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#11).

? Nevada won five of last seven series games.
? Wolf Pack lost three of last four visits to Logan.

Missouri-Kansas City @ South Dakota State
UMKC (11-10, 7-5)
? ranked #215 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #208
? Kangaroos won last five games, giving up 54.4 ppg.
? UMKC forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#32)
? This is UMKC?s first road game in 33 days (2-2 on Summit road)

South Dakota State (13-6, 7-3)
? ranked #123 by KenPom
? Tempo: #42
? Experience: #235
? Continuity: #9
? Jackrabbits split their last six games overall.
? South Dakota State won five of six Summit home games.
? South Dakota State is shooting 40.7% on arc (#3)

Cal-Northridge @ Cal-Bakersfield
Cal-Northridge (8-9, 4-6)
? ranked #285 by KenPom
? Tempo: #94
? Experience: #304
? Continuity: #234
? Matadors won three of their last five games.
? CSUN is shooting 46.7% inside arc (#280)
? Matadors have #308 eFG% defense in country.

Cal-Bakersfield (14-9, 8-6)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #1
? Continuity: #23
? Roadrunners are 4-5 in their last nine games.
? Bakersfield won five of six Big West home games.
? Roadrunners don?t shoot well; they grab 38.6% of their missed shots (#3)

UCSB @ Cal-Riverside
UCSB (7-14, 6-14)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #311
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #59
? Gauchos won their last 12 games- they?re undefeated in 2021.
? UCSB is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#1 of 11) in Big West play
? Two of Gauchos? last three road games went to overtime.

Cal-Riverside (10-6, 6-4)
? ranked #118 by KenPom
? Tempo: #262
? Experience: #90
? Continuity: #180
? Highlanders are 4-3 in Big West home games.
? Riverside is shooting 39.4% on arc (#8)
? Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#4).

? UCSB won six of last seven series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (10-9, 8-9)
? ranked #206 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #303
? Continuity: #300
? Bulldogs are 5-3 in their last eight games.
? Fresno won last three road games, by 6-3-3 points.
? Fresno has #259 eFG%, turns ball over 21.6% of time (#299)

UNLV (10-12, 7-8)
? ranked #163 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #267
? Continuity: #293
? UNLV is 4-6 in in its last ten games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 38.2% on arc (#327)
? Rebels get only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)

? Fresno won 67-64 here Wednesday, despite shooting 35.7% inside arc.
? Bulldogs won eight of last ten series games.
? Fresno won five of last six series games played here.


-------------------------------


815CANISIUS -816 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

817TULANE -818 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

819RIDER -820 ST PETERS
ST PETERS are 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

821DREXEL -822 JAMES MADISON
JAMES MADISON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing a game as favorite in the current season.

823MANHATTAN -824 SIENA
MANHATTAN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

825LA-MONROE -826 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

827CAL DAVIS -828 CAL POLY-SLO
CAL DAVIS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

829APPALACHIAN ST -830 GA SOUTHERN
GA SOUTHERN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

831NEBRASKA-OMAHA -832 DENVER
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a road dog of 3 or less since 1997.

835SOUTHERN UTAH -836 N ARIZONA
N ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997.


-------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 26

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 26
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

UNF at STET 02:00 PM
STET -5.5

DREX at JMU 04:00 PM
JMU -1.5............84 - 78.......LOSER
U 144.5............LOSER

RID at SPC 04:00 PM
SPC -10.0

WAG at CCSU 04:00 PM
WAG -9.5..........77 - 83.........LOSER

SFBK at MW 04:00 PM
MW -2.5....67 - 75.....WINNER
U 138.0.......LOSER

TULN at CIN 04:00 PM
TULN +6.0............71 - 91.........LOSER

LIU at BRY 04:00 PM
O 164.0

********************

MAN at SIE 05:00 PM
SIE -9.0........69 -74.....LOSER
O 126.0

UCD at CP 05:00 PM
UCD -6.5........69 - 61.....WINNER
U 136.5

ULM at TXST 05:00 PM
TXST -9.5...........49 - 58.....WINNER
U 123.5

******************

GW at SBON 06:00 PM
SBON -14.0..........41 - 88....WINNER
U 134.5

NEOM at DEN 06:00 PM
NEOM +2.0.........80 -76....WINNER
O 147.0..........WINNER

APP at GASO 06:00 PM
GASO -2.0.........84 - 78........LOSER
U 131.0

***********************

MTU at ODU 07:00 PM
ODU -10.0......61 - 67
U 134.5.........WINNER

RICH at SLU 07:00 PM
SLU -4.5......67 - 72.....WINNER
U 143.5

FDU at SH 07:00 PM
U 153.5

BGSU at AKR 07:00 PM
BGSU +4.0.........83 - 71......WINNER
O 154.5.............LOSER

UCSD at UCI 07:00 PM
UCI -11.5........55 - 80....WINNER
U 137.5

CCU at TROY 07:00 PM
CCU -4.5......75 - 69........WINNER
O 139.5

ARST at UTA 07:00 PM
UTA -4.5
O 140.0

UNT at MRSH 07:00 PM
UNT +3.0...........77 - 65.......WINNER

PUR at PSU 07:00 PM
PUR +1.5..........73 - 52......WINNER

INST at VALP 07:00 PM
VALP +3.0
O 134.5

SUU at NAU 07:00 PM
NAU +7.5.......92 - 62.....LOSER
O 144.0..........WINNER

UAB at UTSA 07:00 PM
UAB -4.0.........64 - 57......WINNER
U 145.0

MTST at IDHO 07:00 PM
MTST -12.5.........69 - 74......LOSER
U 136.0

DRKE at BRAD 07:00 PM
DRKE -8.0..........80 - 71.....WINNER
U 135.0

ULL at UALR 07:30 PM
ULL +1.5
O 146.5

RICE at LT 07:30 PM
LT -9.5..........57 - 101......WINNER

*********************

FAU at USM 08:00 PM
USM +1.0

UTRGV at UVU 08:00 PM
UTRGV +3.0

KC at SDST 08:30 PM
SDST -9.5.........49 - 67......WINNER

NMSU at TST 08:00 PM
TST +7.0............78 - 51....LOSER
O 129.5...........WINNER

FAU at USM 08:00 PM
USM +1.0

GSU at USA 09:00 PM
USA +2.5........84 - 81.....LOSER
O 146.0..........WINNER

NEV at USU 09:00 PM
USU -8.5..........72 - 75.....LOSER
U 141.0............LOSER

SIU at L-IL 09:00 PM
L-IL -19.5......52 - 60.......LOSER
U 124.5...........WINNER

UNI at ILST 09:00 PM
UNI -3.0......70 - 56
U 142.5...........WINNER

GRC at SEA 09:00 PM
SEA +5.5..........57 - 63....WINNER
O 135.5........LOSER

CSN at CSB 10:00 PM
CSN +8.0.........58 - 84......LOSER
O 141.0........WINNER

UCSB at UCRV 11:00 PM
UCSB -2.5
O 132.0

FRES at UNLV 11:00 PM
FRES +5.5
O 131.0

LBSU at HAW 11:59 PM
HAW -6.0
U 146.0


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 26,2021.........24 - 17......+26.50
Feb. 25,2021.........27 - 15......+52.50
Feb. 24,2021.........12 - 21.......-55.50
Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............380- 319........-+145.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Six of the Washington Nationals? best prospects:
1) Cade Cavalli, P
3) Cole Henry, P
4) Yasel Antuna, SS
5) Andry Lara, P
7) Tim Cate, P
8) Eddy Yean, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 508,750
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s not the referee?s fault when you run into a guy shooting a 3. I told the guys I don?t want anymore reactions to calls period. I?m going to screw calls up in practice on purpose just to see if you can move on to the next play.?
Nate Oats

Saturday?s quiz
Who managed the Colorado Rockies, in their one World Series appearance?

Friday?s quiz
Oakland A?s have won four World Series, under three different managers; two of the three are in the Hall of Fame (Dick Williams (1972-73), Tony LaRussa (1989)). Alvin Dark was the A?s manager when they won it all in 1974.

Thursday?s quiz
Last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in basketball was 1995, when UCLA won.

*******************

Saturday?s Den: NCAA tourney notes, and random thoughts on a winter night

13) Lady Gaga?s two French bulldogs, stolen Thursday by thieves who shot and wounded a dog walker,, were recovered unharmed Friday in Los Angeles. The dog walker is expected to recover from his gunshot wounds; they didn?t say if the woman who returned the dogs banked the $500,000 reward Lady Gaga posted.

12) Georgia State 84, South Alabama 81? When ESPN first started 40 years ago, they showed a lot of Sun Belt games early on. I?m thinking they should give the league a weekly time slot now, either on Friday nights or Sundays:

a) They play good basketball; this game was fun to watch.
b) to show appreciation for helping ESPN get off the ground 40 years ago

This loss snapped South Alabama?s 8-game winning streak.

11) Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan are heavy favorites to be #1-seeds in the NCAA Tournament, but it is totally unclear who the fourth #1-seed will be.

10) Saint Louis 72, Richmond 67? Teams in A-14 are cannibalizing each other; I?m not even sure the A-14 will get more than one team in the tournament. Top six teams in the standings all have either three or four conference losses.

9) New Mexico fired basketball coach Paul Weir, but he?ll finish the season. Lobos are 16-36 in Mountain West games the last three years. Firing a coach after this screwed-up season could be judged as hasty; Lobos are very inexperienced this year, a bad season for that to happen.

8) Wichita State removed the interim tag from basketball coach Isaac Brown?s job title, named him the full-time head coach. Shockers have won five in a row, are 13-4 this season.

7) Random fact: actor Jim Belushi owns a cannabis farm in Oregon.

Some notes to remember for the upcoming NCAA tournament:
6) Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round, 4-7 ATS in second round

5) Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round, 6-10 ATS in second round.

4) Last six years, in 2nd round games in #4-5 seeds? bracket, favorites are 19-5 ATS.

3) Last four years, underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

2) Last six tournaments (obviously, there was no tournament LY), underdogs are 16-8 ATS in Elite 8 games.

1) Last nine years, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in national semifinals, but favorites covered six of last nine national title games.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 27

************************


NCAAB

Saturday, February 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

---------------------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 27

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas (14-6, 8-5)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #118
? Continuity: #4
? Texas won three of last four games, after a 1-4 skid.
? Longhorns won three of four Big X road games.
? Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#20)

Texas Tech (14-8, 6-7)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #275
? Continuity: #244
? Tech lost its last three games, scoring 67 ppg.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24% of time (#9)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Tech is shooting 48.1% inside arc (#240)

? Tech won 79-77 in Austin January 13; they were down 10 with 11:53 left.
? Red Raiders won six of last seven series games.
? Texas lost four of last five visits to Lubbock (won 68-58 LY)

Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan (17-1, 12-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #219
? Experience: #57
? Continuity: #151
? Michigan won its last six games, three by 17+ points.
? Wolverines? only loss was 73-57 at Minnesota on January 16.
? Michigan has #5 eFG% defense in country.

Indiana (12-11, 7-9)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #285
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #82
? Indiana lost three of last four games overall, four of last six at home.
? Hoosiers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#29), but make only 66.5% on charity stripe (#297).
? To this point in season, Indiana has played schedule #5.

? Michigan won last seven series games.
? Wolverines won last three visits here, by 3-12-23 points.

Illinois @ Wisconsin
Illinois (17-6, 13-4)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #220
? Continuity: #43
? Illini star Dosunmu (broken nose) is out here.
? Illinois won won eight of its last nine games.
? Illini is a top 30 rebounding team in country.

Wisconsin (17-6, 13-4)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #88
? Experience: #220
? Continuity: #43
? Badgers are 4-5 SU in their last nine games, 1-3 in last four at home.
? Wisconsin gets 36.3% of their points on arc (#53), shooting 35.9% (#76)
? Badgers are shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#280)

? Badgers lost 75-60 at Illinois February 6.
? Illinois won last two series games, after losing the previous 15.

VCU @ Davidson
VCU (17-5, 10-3)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #306
? Continuity: #281
? VCU won seven of its last eight games overall.
? Rams are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#6)
? VCU has #16 eFG% defense in country.

Davidson (11-7, 6-4)
? ranked #72 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #182
? Continuity: #39
? Davidson lost its last two games, scoring 58-53 vs St Bonaventure.
? Wildcats are shooting 57.7% inside arc (#8)
? Davidson is getting 39.5% of its points on arc (#18)

? Davidson won four of last six series games.
? Rams lost last three visits here, by 4-7-10 points.

LSU @ Arkansas
LSU (14-7, 9-5)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #67
? Experience: #326
? Continuity: #135
? LSU won three of its last four games, is 2-3 in last five on road.
? Tigers are #324 in country on defensive boards.
? LSU is shooting 54.8% inside arc (#28)

Arkansas (18-5, 10-4)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #30
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won five in row, eight of last nine games.
? Razorbacks won their last six home games.
? Last four games, Arkansas scored 80.8 ppg.

? Arkansas lost 92-76 at LSU January 13.
? LSU won four of last six series games.
? Bayou Bengals lost four of last five visits to Arkansas.

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma
Oklahoma State (15-6, 8-6)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #53
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #286
? Cowboys won last three games, giving up 62.3 ppg.
? State has #26 eFG% defense in country.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 21.0% of time (#281)

Oklahoma (14-6, 9-5)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #230
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #56
? Sooners won eight of last ten games overall, six in row at home.
? Opponents are shooting 44.4% inside arc (#17)
? In last four losses, Oklahoma scored only 55.8 ppg.

? Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
? Cowboys lost last three visits to Norman, by 20-10-13 points.

Florida State @ North Carolina
Florida State (14-3, 10-2)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #113
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #100
? Seminoles won four in row, nine of last ten games.
? FSU is grabbing 35.9% of its missed shots (#13)
? Seminoles are a deep team (#20 in bench minutes)

North Carolina (14-8, 8-5)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #154
? Tar Heels split their last six games.
? UNC is grabbing 39.5% of its missed shots (#2)
? Carolina has #243 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#239)

? Tar Heels lost 82-75 in Tallahassee January 16.
? Seminoles won three of last four series games.
? Florida State lost its last five visits to the Deandome.

Florida @ Kentucky
Florida (12-6, 8-5)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #139
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #157
? Florida won six of its last eight games.
? Gators have #61 eFG% defense in country.
? Florida is turning ball over 20% of the time (#226)

Kentucky (8-13, 7-7)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #199
? Experience: #340
? Continuity: #343
? Kentucky won last three games, after a 1-7 skid.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Wildcats have #299 eFG%, but their eFG% defense is #27.
? Last four games, Kentucky scored 78.5 ppg.

? Kentucky won 76-58 in Gainesville January 9.
? Wildcats won last five series games.
? Florida lost last two visits here, 66-57/65-59.

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (18-5, 14-4)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #68
? Continuity: #246
? Boise won four of last five games; they lost in OT here Thursday.
? Broncos lost four of their last five road games.
? Boise has #64 eFG% in country (52.9% inside arc, #61)

San Diego State (18-4, 12-3)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #292
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #146
? Aztecs won last nine games overall, eight in row at home.
? San Diego State forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#20)
? San Diego State is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#14).

? San Diego State blew a 17-point lead, beat Boise by 12 in OT Thursday.
? Aztecs won last five series games.
? Boise lost last four visits to Viejas, by 8-6-18-12 points.

Creighton @ Xavier
Creighton (11-10, 7-5)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #39
? Continuity: #20
? Creighton won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
? Bluejays are shooting 58.3% inside arc (#5)
? Creighton has #31 eFG% defense.

Xavier (12-5, 5-5)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #142
? Experience: #137
? Continuity: #184
? Xavier lost three of its last four games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#26)
? In its last four losses, Xavier allowed 80+ points.

? Xavier lost 66-61 at Creighton December 23.
? Creighton won last three series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Louisville @ Duke
Louisville (12-5, 7-4)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #338
? Continuity: #223
? Louisville lost four of its last seven games.
? Cardinals lost last three road tilts, by 6-4-45 points.
? Louisville gets 57.2% of its points inside arc (#30)

Duke (11-8, 9-6)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #251
? Duke won its last four games, after a 2-7 skid.
? Blue Devils have #39 eFG% in country.
? Opponents are shooting 37.5% on arc (#319)

? Duke lost 70-65 at Louisville January 23.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Cardinals lost two of last three visits to Durham.

Oregon State @ Stanford
Oregon State (12-11, 8-9)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #308
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #156
? Oregon State lost four of its last six games.
? Beavers are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#312)
? Oregon State is getting 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30)

Stanford (14-10, 10-8)
? ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #118
? Experience: #284
? Continuity: #72
? Cardinal lost last two games, one in triple OT, other by 3 points.
? Stanford is 9-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 21% of time (#275).

? Stanford won 81-71 in Corvallis January 4.
? Cardinal won five of last seven series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

UCLA @ Colorado
UCLA (17-5, 13-3)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #267
? Continuity: #19
? UCLA won its last four games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
? Bruins are shooting 37% on arc (#44).
? UCLA is #38 team in country on defensive boards.

Colorado (18-7, 12-6)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #32
? Continuity: #87
? Colorado won five of its last seven games.
? Last three games, Buffs gave up only 59.7 ppg.
? Colorado is shooting 83.1% on foul line (#1)

? Buffs lost 65-62 in Westwood January 2.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Teams also split last six series games played here.


***************************


601SYRACUSE -602 GEORGIA TECH
SYRACUSE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

603TENNESSEE -604 AUBURN
TENNESSEE is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

605TEXAS -606 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

607MICHIGAN -608 INDIANA
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

609GEORGETOWN -610 DEPAUL
DEPAUL is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

613MERCER -614 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

615N ILLINOIS -616 E MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

617C MICHIGAN -618 BALL ST
C MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

621MONTANA -622 IDAHO ST
MONTANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

623WEBER ST -624 SACRAMENTO ST
WEBER ST is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 27
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NAVY at L-MD 12:00 PM
NAVY -1.0
U 134.0

TEX at TTU 12:00 PM
TEX +3.0........59 - 69......LOSER
O 136.5..............................LOSER

LIB at BELL 12:00 PM
LIB -3.0............94 - 78....WINNER
O 130.0

GTWN at DEP 12:00 PM
DEP +3.0
O 142.0

SYR at GT 12:00 PM
GT -4.5
U 145.0

MICH at IND 12:00 PM
MICH -8.0..............73 - 57....WINNER
U 138.5

TENN at AUB 12:00 PM
AUB +7.0....................72 - 77...WINNER
O 145.0...........................WINNER

NIU at EMU 01:00 PM
EMU -3.5
U 133.5

CMU at BALL 01:00 PM
CMU +11.5.............91 - 97....WINNER
O 150.0............................WINNER

MER at WCU 01:00 PM
MER -5.0...................61 - 85.....LOSER
U 148.0

SCAR at UGA 01:00 PM
UGA -5.5..................91 - 70....LOSER
U 161.0..........................PUSH

STON at UMASS 01:00 PM
STON +1.0
O 136.0


**********************


VCU at DAV 02:00 PM
DAV -3.0.................57 - 65 .......WINNER
U 130.5

PRE at HAMP 02:00 PM
HAMP -2.5
U 137.5

FAMU at SCST 02:00 PM
SCST +8.5
O 137.0

BUFF at OHIO 02:00 PM
BUFF +1.5............86 - 66.....WINNER
O 159.5.........................LOSER

AMER at BUCK 02:00 PM
BUCK -3.5...............78 - 71....WINNER
U 139.0

UNT at MRSH 02:00 PM
UNT +2.5..............72 - 73........WINNER
O 142.0.........................WINNER

ND at BC 02:00 PM
ND -7.5...........90 - 94....LOSER
U 149.0

UNF at STET 02:00 PM
UNF +6.0
O 147.0

ILL at WIS 02:00 PM
WIS -5.5.............74 - 69.....LOSER
U 135.5........................LOSER

WASH at ARIZ 02:00 PM
WASH +14.0................74 - 75
O 145.5.....................WINNER

MIA at CLEM 02:00 PM
MIA +13.0
O 128.0

LSU at ARK 02:00 PM
ARK -6.0.............75 - 83.....WINNER
U 162.0.......................WINNER

RICE at LT 02:00 PM
LT -12.0..............58 - 79.........WINNER
U 146.5

MONT at IDST 02:00 PM
MONT -2.5.................59 - 58...LOSER
U 126.0

PRST at UNCO 02:00 PM
PRST +2.0.................73 - 65.......WINNER
O 136.5............................WINNER

BING at HART 02:00 PM
BING +6.5
O 132.0

WEB at CSUS 02:05 PM
WEB -6.5...............72 - 70....LOSER
U 146.0

MARQ at CONN 02:30 PM
MARQ +6.5.........62 - 80.........LOSER
O 133.0.............................WINNER


******************

CREI at XAV 05:00 PM
CREI -5.0...........69 - 77
U 145.5...............LOSER

WMU at TOL 05:00 PM
WMU +16.0.............44 - 91
O 145.5...............LOSER

PEAY at JVST 05:00 PM
JVST -3.0..............67 - 75....WINNER
U 144.5.............................WINNER

UTM at EIU 05:00 PM
EIU -12.5.................73 - 68...LOSER
U 142.5

UCD at CP 05:00 PM
UCD -7.0..............68 - 66.....LOSER
U 135.5

CCU at TROY 05:00 PM
CCU -6.0.................76 - 71....LOSER
U 138.0

FAU at USM 05:00 PM
FAU -1.5
U 135.0

ARST at UTA 05:00 PM
UTA -4.0
U 140.5

ULL at UALR 05:00 PM
UALR +1.0.........59 - 69
O 143................LOSER

ULM at TXST 05:00 PM
TXST -10.0.............57 - 61.........LOSER
U 123.0

WIU at ORU 05:00 PM
WIU +9.0........81 - 85
O 163.0..................WINNER

NJIT at ALBY 05:00 PM
ALBY -3.5
U 137.5

ALCN at SOU 05:30 PM
SOU -8.0
U 136.0

TXSO at ALST 05:30 PM
ALST +11.0
O 140.5

PV at AAMU 05:30 PM
AAMU +9.5
O 132.0

SFA at LAM 05:30 PM
SFA -10.0...........83 - 88.....LOSER
U 146.5............LOSER


*******************


ELON at UNCW 06:00 PM
UNCW -1.0..........80 - 77
U 138.0...........LOSER

TCU at ISU 06:00 PM
ISU -1.0...........76 - 72.........LOSER
U 141.0

CHAR at UTEP 06:00 PM
UTEP -5.0
U 126.0

SEMO at SIUE 06:00 PM
SEMO -2.5.........69 - 63.....WINNER
U 138.0.......................WINNER

NEOM at DEN 06:00 PM
DEN -1.0............80 - 76
O 147.0..................WINNER

LOU at DUKE 06:00 PM
DUKE -5.0...........80 - 73
U 141.0................LOSER

FGCU at KENN 06:00 PM
FGCU -4.5
U 135.0

ALA at MSST 06:00 PM
MSST +5.0..........64 - 59........PUSH
O 144.5................LOSER

SIU at L-IL 06:00 PM
SIU +19.0..........58 - 65.......WINNER
O 123.0

INST at VALP 06:00 PM
INST -1.0..............58 - 70....LOSER
U 130.0

ACU at CARK 06:00 PM
CARK +17.0
O 145.0

UNI at ILST 06:00 PM
ILST +4.5....94 - 87
O 140.0..............WINNER

ORST at STAN 06:30 PM
ORST +7.0...............73 - 62....WINNER
O 133.5.........................WINNER


*********************


MTU at ODU 07:00 PM
MTU +10.0
O 134.5

GSU at USA 07:00 PM
GSU -2.5..............82 - 73....WINNER
U 147.5..........................LOSER

MAN at SIE 07:00 PM
SIE -8.0..............56 - 64.......PUSH
U 127.0

MINN at NEB 07:00 PM
MINN -2.5..........74 - 78...LOSER
U 145.0

URI at DUQ 07:00 PM
URI +1.0..............75 - 86....LOSER
O 136.0

TNST at EKY 07:00 PM
EKY -13.0...........84 - 89......LOSER
U 154.0

UCSD at UCI 07:00 PM
UCI -13.0.............64 - 75....LOSER
U 136.5.............LOSER

NICH at UNO 07:00 PM
UNO +4.5........105 - 101
O 152.5..................WINNER

FUR at WOF 07:00 PM
WOF +2.0.........73 - 74....WINNER
U 138.5..............LOSER

MOSU at EVAN 07:00 PM
MOSU -5.5...........63 - 72..........LOSER
U 138.5

DRKE at BRAD 07:00 PM
DRKE -8.0.............61 - 67.....LOSER
U 136.0


*************************


RID at SPC 08:00 PM
RID +10.0
O 131.0

COPP at DSU 08:00 PM
DSU +6.5
O 163.0

NCCU at NCAT 08:00 PM
NCAT -3.0
U 139.0

BAY at KU 08:00 PM
BAY -3.0.........58 - 71....LOSER
U 142.0

USC at UTAH 08:00 PM
UTAH +4.5.....61 - 71
O 138.0.................LOSER

NMSU at TST 08:00 PM
NMSU -9.0.......55 - 64.....LOSER
U 129.5............WINNER

UTRGV at UVU 08:00 PM
UVU -3.0
U 146.0

JKST at MVSU 08:30 PM
MVSU +22.0
O 137.5

KC at SDST 08:30 PM
SDST -10.0.............77 - 88....WINNER
U 134.0

HBU at MCNS 08:30 PM
MCNS -4.5........58 - 85.....WINNER
U 155.0.............WINNER


************************


MURR at TNTC 09:00 PM
TNTC +10.5.........61 - 71...WINNER
O 141.5............LOSER

WSU at ASU 09:00 PM
WSU +3.5............74 - 77....WINNER
O 145.0

GRC at SEA 09:00 PM
SEA +4.0..............81 - 71....LOSER
O 133.5

SMC at BYU 10:00 PM
BYU -7.5.......51 - 65....WINNER
U 127.0........................WINNER

LMU at GONZ 10:00 PM
LMU +24.5..........69 - 86
O 152.5...............WINNER

SF at PAC 10:00 PM
SF -1.5...............69 - 76
O 134.5...................WINNER

UCLA at COLO 10:00 PM
COLO -6.5..............61 - 70.......WINNER
U 136.5

UCSB at UCRV 10:00 PM
UCSB -2.0
U 132.0

LBSU at HAW 10:00 PM
LBSU +6.5.........76 - 79....WINNER
O 147.0.............................WINNER

CSN at CSB 10:00 PM
CSB -10.0...........90 - 87.........LOSER
U 140.0...........................LOSER



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 27,2021.........43 - 38......+6.00
Feb. 26,2021.........24 - 17......+26.50
Feb. 25,2021.........27 - 15......+52.50
Feb. 24,2021.........12 - 21.......-55.50
Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............423- 357........-+151.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50