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Cnotes53

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 6


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NCAAB

Saturday, March 6


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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 6


Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Oklahoma State (17-7, 10-7)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #287
? Star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last game; check status
? Cowboys won five of last six games; their last three wins were by 5-4-4 points, with two of those in overtime.
? OSU turns ball over 21.3% of time (#287)

West Virginia (18-7, 11-5)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #126
? Experience: #153
? Continuity: #36
? West Virginia won seven of its last nine games.
? WVU is grabbing 36% of its missed shots (#12)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? West Virginia split last four home tilts, with both losses in OT.

? West Virginia won 87-84 in Stillwater January 4th.
? WVU won three in row, nine of last 13 series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Indiana @ Purdue
Indiana (12-13, 7-11)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #82
? Indiana lost its last four games, scoring 59.3 ppg in last three.
? Hoosiers lost last three road games, by 19-11-6 points.
? Indiana has #218 eFG% in country (48.5% inside arc, #228).

Purdue (17-8, 12-6)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #273
? Experience: #328
? Continuity: #114
? Purdue won four in row, 10 of last 13 games.
? Boilermakers are a top 30 rebounding team in country.
? In its last four losses, Purdue was held to 68 or fewer points.

? Purdue won 81-69 at Indiana January 14.
? Purdue won last eight series games.
? Indiana lost last three games in Mackey Arena, by 11-15-8 points.

LSU @ Missouri
LSU (15-8, 10-6)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #60
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #135
? LSU lost four of their last six road games.
? LSU has #52 eFG% in country.
? LSU doesn?t pass ball a lot (#342 in assist/basket ratio)

Missouri (15-7, 8-7)
? ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #11
? Continuity: #7
? Missouri lost four of its last six games.
? Missouri has #86 eFG% defense in country.
? Missouri is shooting 53.5% inside the arc (#48).

? LSU won last five series games, last three by 1-6-4 points.
? LSU won its last two visits to Columbia.

Illinois @ Ohio State
Illinois (19-6, 15-4)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #50
? Illinois won three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Illini has #15 eFG% in country.
? Star Dosumnu (nose) missed last three games (check status)

Ohio State (18-7, 12-7)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #89
? Continuity: #175
? Buckeyes lost last three games, giving up 78.7 ppg.
? Ohio State is 10-4 vs teams in top 50.
? Buckeyes have #47 eFG% in country (36.4% on arc, #59).

? Ohio State won 87-81 at Illinois January 16.
? Buckeyes won 10 of last 12 series games.
? Illinois lost nine of its last ten visits to Columbus.

USC @ UCLA
USC (20-6, 14-5)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #218
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #319
? USC lost three of their last five games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 41.8% inside arc (#3)
? Trojans are grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#7)

UCLA (17-7, 13-5)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #277
? Continuity: #22
? UCLA is 5-5 in its last ten games, after a 13-2 start.
? Bruins are 11-0 in Pauley Pavilion this season.
? UCLA is shooting 36.9% on the arc (#44).

? Bruins lost 66-48 at USC February 6.
? Trojans won four of last five series games.
? USC lost three of last four visits to Westwood.

Virginia @ Louisville
Virginia (16-6, 12-4)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #158
? Virginia lost three of their last four games overall.
? Cavaliers lost three of last five road games.
? Virginia has #12 eFG% in country (39.2% on arc, #9).

Louisville (13-5, 8-4)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #288
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #324
? Louisville won three of its last four games.
? Cardinals were held to 54 or fewer points in three of five losses.
? Louisville is shooting 30.7% on the arc (#298).

? Virginia won ten of last eleven series games.
? Cavaliers won four of last five visits to Louisville.

Duke @ North Carolina
Duke (11-10, 9-8)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #252
? Duke lost its last two games, both in overtime.
? Blue Devils lost five of their last seven road games.
? Duke has #254 eFG% defense in country.

North Carolina (15-9, 9-6)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #326
? Continuity: #153
? Carolina split its last eight games overall.
? Tar Heels are 8-1 at home this year (lost to Marquette)
? UNC grabs 40.9% of their missed shots (#1).

? North Carolina won 91-87 at Duke February 6.
? Duke is 10-7 in last 17 series games.
? Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Chapel Hill.

Seton Hall @ St John?s
Seton Hall (13-11, 10-8)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #250
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #132
? Seton Hall lost last three games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
? Big East opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#1 of 11)
? Seton Hall is 11-4 vs teams ranked outside top 50.

St John?s (15-10, 9-9)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #154
? St John?s lost three of its last five games.
? Red Storm is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#36)
? Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside the arc (#301).

? Red Storm lost 77-68 at Seton Hall December 11.
? Seton Hall won six of last seven series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Indiana State vs Loyola

Indiana State (15-9, 12-7)
? ranked #115 by KenPom
? Tempo: #231
? Experience: #184
? Continuity: #65
? Indiana State won 11 of its last 13 games overall.
? Sycamores force turnovers 21.8% of time (#42).
? ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
? ISU played 56-possession game yesterday; slow pace.
? Last 3+ years, Sycamores are 1-3 in Arch Madness.

Loyola (22-4, 17-2)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #335
? Experience: #38
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won 15 of its last 16 games overall.
? Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#36)
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#43)
? Loyola made 10-21 on arc, had stress-free win yesterday.
? Last 6+ years, Loyola is 8-5 in Arch Madness.

? Teams split pair of games in Terre Haute, January 10-11.
? Loyola won eight of last 11 series games.

Missouri State vs Drake
Missouri State (17-6, 13-6)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #120
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #288
? Bears won eight of their last nine games overall.
? Bears are #11 team in country on defensive boards.
? Missouri State is shooting 55.8% inside arc (#17)
? Missouri State was up 31-13 at half of yesterday?s 66-55 win.
? Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years.

Drake (24-3, 15-3)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #256
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #172
? Drake didn?t have to play yesterday; Northern Iowa had COVID issues.
? Drake is down two starters to injury.
? Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
? Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
? Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.

? Drake won twice at Missouri State, 68-61/78-73, January 26-27.
? Drake won seven of last eight series games.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
Saint Louis vs St Bonaventure

Saint Louis (14-5, 7-4)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #118
? Continuity: #17
? Billikens won seven of their last nine games.
? Saint Louis is grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#8)
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#45)
? SLU led 46-33 at the half yesterday; they played three starters 36:00+.
? Last 8+ years, Billikens are 11-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.

St Bonaventure (14-4, 12-4)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #324
? Experience: #111
? Continuity: #29
? Bonnies won four of their last five games.
? St Bonaventure has #16 eFG% defense in country.
? Bonnies are grabbing 33.6% of their missed shots (#32).
? Bonnies played four starters 38:00+ yesterday; they were up 18 at half.
? Last 9+ years, Bonnies are 11-6 in A-14 tourney.

? St Bonaventure lost 70-59 in St Louis February 6.
? Billikens won last three series games, by 2-23-11 points.

Davidson vs VCU
Davidson (13-7, 8-4)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #185
? Continuity: #38
? Davidson is 6-2 in last eight D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
? Wildcats are shooting 58.5% inside arc (#4).
? Davidson is 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
? Wildcats were up 17 at half, had stress-free win yesterday.
? Davidson is 10-4 in six A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.

VCU (18-6, 11-4)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #108
? Experience: #305
? Continuity: #283
? Rams split their last four games, after a 14-2 run.
? VCU is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#7)
? Rams are 9-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
? VCU was up 19 with 9:11 left yesterday, held on for 73-68 win; they played three starters 31:00+.
? VCU are 2-2 in last four A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

? Davidson beat VCU 65-57 in Charlotte last Saturday.
? Wildcats won five of last seven series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Morehead State vs Belmont

Morehead State (22-7, 19-3)
? ranked #137 by KenPom
? Tempo: #304
? Experience: #203
? Continuity: #266
? Morehead won six in row, 18 of last 19 games.
? Morehead has #45 eFG% defense in country.
? Eagles are turning ball over 23.2% of time (#336)
? Morehead played three starters 34:00+ in 67-64 win last night.
? Last 4+ years, Morehead is 4-3 in OVC tourney.

Belmont (26-3, 20-2)
? ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #281
? Continuity: #205
? Belmont split last four games, after a 21-game winning streak.
? Bruins are shooting 59.7% inside arc (#3)
? Six of their last eight wins were by 15+ points.
? Belmont won 72-69 last nite; they were up 13 with 8:06 left.
? Last 4+ years, Belmont is 4-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season

? These teams split pair of games this year; Belmont lost in OT at Morehead a week ago today.
? Belmont won nine of last ten series games.


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601FLORIDA ST -602 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the current season.

605RUTGERS -606 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

607GEORGETOWN -608 CONNECTICUT
CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

609S CAROLINA -610 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

611MISSISSIPPI ST -612 AUBURN
MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

613S FLORIDA -614 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the last 3 seasons.

615SACRAMENTO ST -616 MONTANA ST
SACRAMENTO ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

617OKLAHOMA ST -618 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 74-48 ATS (21.2 Units) in home games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) since 1997.

619ARIZONA ST -620 UTAH
ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

621INDIANA -622 PURDUE
PURDUE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

623N COLORADO -624 WEBER ST
N COLORADO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.


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NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 6


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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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SATURDAY, MARCH 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


L-MD at NAVY 12:00 PM
L-MD +3.5
O 132.5

SH at BRY 12:00 PM
SH +9.0
O 154.0

GTWN at CONN 12:00 PM
CONN -10.0...........82 - 98......WINNER
U 138.0

FSU at ND 12:00 PM
FSU -6.5.............73 - 83............LOSER
U 153.0

PITT at CLEM 12:00 PM
CLEM -9.0.........62 - 77.............WINNER
U 129.0...........................LOSER


RUTG at MINN 12:00 PM
MINN +3.5
O 139.5

SCAR at UK 12:00 PM
SCAR +8.0...........64 - 92
O 147.0...................WINNER

CIT at UNCG 12:00 PM
UNCG -11.0.............72 - 80
O 153.0................LOSER

-------------------------

BU at COLG 01:00 PM
BU +12.5...........69 - 77........WINNER
O 148.5.......................LOSER


USF at WICH 01:00 PM
WICH -11.0.............63 - 80....WINNER
U 136.5

MSST at AUB 01:00 PM
MSST +1.5............71 - 78.....LOSER
O 141.5.........................WINNER


INST at L-IL 01:00 PM
L-IL -11.0.........49 - 65.......WINNER
O 121.5.........................LOSER


CSUS at MTST 01:00 PM
CSUS +3.5............74 - 73.....WINNER
O 135.0

----------------------------

OKST at WVU 02:00 PM
OKST +10.0........85 - 80...WINNER
O 147.5...........................WINNER


CHAR at MRSH 02:00 PM
MRSH -12.0
U 139.5

MSM at WAG 02:00 PM
WAG -4.5...............66 - 60.....LOSER
U 123.0

BUCK at LAF 02:00 PM
LAF -2.5..........92 - 84
U 149.5.....................LOSER

IND at PUR 02:00 PM
PUR -6.5...........58 - 87......WINNER
U 133.0

ASU at UTAH 02:00 PM
UTAH -3.5...........59 - 98.........WINNER
U 147.0

ALA at UGA 02:00 PM
UGA +8.0...........89 - 79
O 159.5..................WINNER

UNCO at WEB 02:00 PM
UNCO +9.5...............PPD
O 145.0

UMASS at UMBC 02:00 PM
UMBC -6.0............79 - 77......LOSER
U 139.5

CARK at NWST 02:00 PM
NWST -3.0
O 154.5

VILL at PROV 02:30 PM
VILL -4.5............52 - 54....LOSER
U 139.5

ETSU at CHAT 02:30 PM
ETSU -1.0..............63 - 53.........WINNER
U 131.5

-----------------------

TOWS at ELON 03:00 PM
ELON -4.0..........48 - 69...........WINNER
U 132.5

LSU at MIZZ 03:00 PM
MIZZ -2.5.........86 - 80.......LOSER
O 155.5.........................WINNER


AMER at ARMY 03:00 PM
AMER +5.0.............66 - 89....LOSER
O 135.0

SUU at PRST 03:05 PM
PRST +4.0..........73 - 54....LOSER
O 146.0

ALCN at PV 03:30 PM
PV -12.5
U 136.5

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UVA at LOU 04:00 PM
UVA -1.0.........68 - 58....WINNER
O 122.5........................WINNER


ILL at OSU 04:00 PM
ILL +2.0..........73 - 68......WINNER
O 149.5.........................LOSER


USC at UCLA 04:00 PM
USC -2.5...............64 - 63....LOSER
U 135.5

HART at UVM 04:00 PM
UVM -9.5.............71 - 65......LOSER
U 132.5

MOSU at DRKE 04:00 PM
DRKE -1.5...........69 - 71....WINNER
U 139.5

IW at ACU 04:00 PM
IW +20.5
O 131.0

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ODU at WKU 05:00 PM
WKU -7.0.....57 - 60...LOSER
U 137.5

MORG at DSU 05:00 PM
DSU +12.0
O 156.5

ISU at KSU 05:00 PM
ISU +4.5..........56 - 61
O 133.0..............LOSER

TAM at ARK 05:00 PM
TAM +15.0..........80 - 87
O 136.5...............WINNER

UAB at UNT 05:00 PM
UAB +4.5..........65 - 61
O 125.5..................WINNER

BUT at CREI 05:00 PM
CREI -12.5...........73 - 93.....WINNER
U 134.0

LAM at MCNS 05:00 PM
LAM -1.0..........60 - 51.........WINNER
U 143.5

MER at WOF 05:30 PM
WOF -3.5...........62 - 61........LOSER
U 141.5

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SLU at SBON 06:00 PM
SBON +2.0.........53 - 71......WINNER
O 131.0

USA at ULL 06:00 PM
ULL -2.0...........68 - 79.......WINNER
O 147.0

DUKE at UNC 06:00 PM
UNC -2.5............73 - 91........WINNER
U 150.5

AMCC at HBU 06:00 PM
HBU -5.0
U 147.0

SFA at SHSU 06:00 PM
SHSU +1.0
O 149.0

ARST at GSU 06:30 PM
GSU -7.0.........68 -71.....LOSER
U 148.0

ALST at JKST 06:30 PM
JKST -13.5...........64 - 79.....WINNER
U 130.5

NEOM at SDST 06:45 PM
NEOM +14.0............71 - 84.........WINNER
O 154.5.................................WINNER
 
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Cnotes53

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EVENING ACTION:

UNCW at CWM 07:00 PM
UNCW -4.0................60 - 73..........LOSER
U 146.0

UCRV at CSN 07:00 PM
CSN +8.0
O 143.5

UCI at LBSU 07:00 PM
UCI -8.0..............73 - 56............WINNER
U 142.5

HALL at SJU 07:00 PM
SJU +2.0............71 - 81
O 153.5......................LOSER

VAN at MISS 07:00 PM
MISS -8.5................46 - 56........WINNER
U 134.5

HAW at UCD 07:00 PM
HAW +2.5............66 - 74........LOSER
O 140.0..........................PUSH


-------------------------

MORE at BEL 08:00 PM
MORE +6.5............86 - 71.........WINNER
O 137.0

CSF at UCSD 08:00 PM
UCSD -2.5...........78 - 85.....WINNER
O 150.5

CP at UCSB 08:00 PM
UCSB -19.5............54 - 70
U 129.0...............WINNER

VMI at FUR 08:00 PM
VMI +8.5...........91 - 90....WINNER
O 151.5.......................WINNER


SELA at UNO 08:00 PM
UNO -8.0............76 - 81
O 150.0......................WINNER

TST at UTRGV 08:00 PM
UTRGV -3.0.............69 - 58.....LOSER
U 131.0

TROY at CCU 08:30 PM
CCU -9.5...............68 - 86......WINNER
U 141.0

SOU at TXSO 08:30 PM
TXSO -6.0
U 145.5

--------------------

DAV at VCU 09:00 PM
VCU -1.0.............52 - 64........WINNER
O 133.0.........................LOSER


LMU at SMC 09:00 PM
LMU +5.0...........47 - 52..........PUSH
O 122.5..........................LOSER


XAV at MARQ 09:00 PM
MARQ -2.0
U 144.0

AAMU at GRAM 09:00 PM
GRAM -7.0
U 128.0

NMSU at DSTATE 09:00 PM
DSTATE +12.5...........56 - 68
O 140.0.................LOSER

APP at TXST 09:00 PM
TXST -5.0..............76 - 73.....LOSER
U 122.5

UVU at GRC 09:00 PM
GRC -7.5.........64 - 74....WINNER
U 137.0

SEA at CALBA 09:00 PM
SEA +3.0..............76 - 79.....PUSH
U 150.0

WIU at SDAK 09:45 PM
SDAK -7.0...........69 - 86.........WINNER
U 154.0..............................LOSER


--------------------------

UNLV at WYO 11:00 PM
WYO -1.0...........69 - 80
O 143.0....................WINNER

USU at FRES 11:00 PM
USU -9.0...........57 - 51......LOSER
U 133.5

SCU at PEPP 11:59 PM
PEPP -4.0
U 148.5




MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS...................129 - 119..........52.01%............- 9.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50
 
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Sunday?s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% (W-L record)


41.2%? Saint Peter?s (13-10)
41.7%? Michigan (19-2)
42.1%? USC (21-6)
42.4%? Jackson State (11-5)
42.6%? Houston (20-3)
42.9%? Cal-Irvine (16-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?There are no ongoing discussions. The (NBA?s) logo is iconic. ? It doesn?t feel to me that this is the appropriate moment (to change it).?
NBA commish Adam Silver

Sunday?s quiz
What actor who was a star in Animal House also played the Vice President in the old TV series, The West Wing?

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season.

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) OVC tournament: Morehead State 86, Belmont 71
This game started at 8:00pm ET; these players had their COVID tests at 8:30 or 9:30am, 11 or so hours before the game, then had shootarounds, then went back to their hotels for the rest of the day. Not the ideal way to prepare for the biggest game of the year.

Last six years, Belmont is 91-15 regular season OVC games; they?ve only won the OVC tourney once in those six seasons, going 6-5 in OVC tournament games.

Morehead State is in the NCAA?s for the first time in ten years.

12) Tough day for #1-seeds in low/mid major tournaments: Texas State, Wagner, Navy, UMBC all got beat Saturday. Play-in games in Dayton in 10 days are going to have some odd teams playing. NCAA Tournament is more fun when higher seeds win the smaller leagues.

11) Oklahoma State 85, West Virginia 80:
? Cowboys won even though their star player (Cunningham) didn?t play (ankle).
? Oklahoma State won six of its last seven games.
? ESPN?s Fran Fraschilla may be campaigning to be the agent for OSU coach Mike Boynton; the last couple times he worked Cowboy games, he made Boynton sound like a combination of Dean Smith/John Wooden.
? Seeing how Boynton hired Cunningham?s brother as an assistant coach, paying him a reported $200,000/year, comparing him to Larry Brown would be more accurate.
? 30+ years ago, Kansas hired Danny Manning?s dad as an assistant coach; couple years later, Brown?s Jayhawks won the national title, led by Danny Manning. It is legal, and it happens a decent amount, but it doesn?t make you Dean Smith.

10) St John?s 81, Seton Hall 71:
? Pirates led this game, 18-0. Eighteen to nothing.
? Seton Hall lost its last four games (hello NIT??)
? St John?s won nine of its last 12 games.

9) Purdue 67, Indiana 58? Boilermakers have beaten Indiana nine times in a row; Archie Miller?s seat keeps getting hotter.

People on social media scoffed at me (imagine that???) for suggesting that Steve Alford would be a good coach for Indiana. He obviously played there; he?s been a good coach at five other D-I schools. He?d energize the fanbase, then all he?d have to do is win. A lot.

8) Notre Dame 83, Florida State 73? This score clinches the ACC regular season title for Virginia. Couple weeks ago, I was prepared to declare the Seminoles as my dark horse choice to win the national title, now I?m queasy. Florida State doesn?t have a star, that one guy who is a 100% cinch to get a basket/free throws, anytime they need one.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Morehead State (+7) 86, Belmont 71
? Oklahoma State (+7) 85, West Virginia 80
? Appalachian State (+5) 76, Texas State 73, OT
? UAB (+4.5) 65, North Texas 61
? Providence (+4) 54, Villanova 52

6) MVC tournament:
? Loyola 65, Indiana State 49? Ramblers won 16 of their last 17 games.
? Drake 71, Missouri State 69? Drake is down two starters to injury; they split a pair of games with Loyola three weeks ago. Bulldogs didn?t have to play Friday because Northern Iowa had COVID issues, and that helped them in this difficult game against Missouri State.

5) Southern Conference tournament:
? #2/#3-seeds both got upset Saturday, leaving NC-Greensboro a clear path to their 2nd NCAA bid over the last 20 years.
? Either VMI/Mercer is going to be in the SoCon final; neither finished over .500 in conference games during the regular season.

4) Summit League tournament:
? South Dakota State 84, Omaha 71?
? South Dakota 86, Western Illinois 69? Finally, a league where the better teams win.

3) Sun Belt tournament:
? Appalachian State 76, Texas State 73 OT? Last September, Texas State fired Danny Kaspar, because of he was accused of using racially insensitive language toward his players. Kaspar had been at Texas State for seven years, going 45-22 the last two years.

This season, assistant Terrence Johnson led the Bobcats to an 18-7 record, 12-3 and top seed in the Sun Belt, but they stumbled in this game and now appear headed to the NIT.

2) WCC tournament:
? Saint Mary?s 52, LMU 47? James Naismith was turning over in his grave during this game; not a very good exhibition of offense.
? Pepperdine 78, Santa Clara 70? Waves play BYU Monday night; WCC smartly takes Sunday off, but mostly it is because BYU isn?t allowed to play games on Sundays.

1) America East tournament:
? UMBC/Vermont tied for the regular season title; they both lost Saturday, leaving Hartford and Mass-Lowell to play for the conference title next Saturday. Hartford is ranked #199, Lowell #217; winner will obviously go to Dayton for a play-in game. This is only second time in last six years the regular season champ didn?t win the conference tournament.
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 7


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 7


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FLORIDA (13 - 7) at TENNESSEE (16 - 7) - 3/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (15 - 6) at HOUSTON (20 - 3) - 3/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
HOUSTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 239-193 ATS (+26.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 167-132 ATS (+21.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 275-228 ATS (+24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (16 - 10) at IOWA (19 - 7) - 3/7/2021, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-2 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (9 - 10) at E CAROLINA (8 - 9) - 3/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CINCINNATI is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 177-230 ATS (-76.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
E CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (7 - 18) at NORTHWESTERN (8 - 14) - 3/7/2021, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 109-153 ATS (-59.3 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 109-153 ATS (-59.3 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 101-133 ATS (-45.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (17 - 8) at BAYLOR (20 - 1) - 3/7/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 146-190 ATS (-63.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 108-141 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 108-141 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 95-135 ATS (-53.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 97-133 ATS (-49.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 4-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (19 - 2) at MICHIGAN ST (14 - 11) - 3/7/2021, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 190-150 ATS (+25.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 190-150 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (9 - 13) at MARYLAND (15 - 11) - 3/7/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 3-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 3-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (16 - 7) at TCU (12 - 12) - 3/7/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 164-204 ATS (-60.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TCU is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TCU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all home games this season.
TCU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 50-79 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TCU is 209-266 ATS (-83.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 126-170 ATS (-61.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 4-2 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (18 - 5) at OREGON ST (14 - 11) - 3/7/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
OREGON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
OREGON ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OREGON ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
OREGON is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 4-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 4-1 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE (7 - 7) vs. HOFSTRA (12 - 9) - 3/7/2021, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
HOFSTRA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOFSTRA is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 4-4 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 6-2 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ELON (8 - 8) vs. JAMES MADISON (13 - 6) - 3/7/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
JAMES MADISON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
JAMES MADISON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
JAMES MADISON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.
ELON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ELON is 4-2 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
ELON is 5-2 straight up against JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WM & MARY (7 - 9) vs. NORTHEASTERN (9 - 8) - 3/7/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHEASTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WM & MARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHEASTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
NORTHEASTERN is 2-2 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DREXEL (9 - 7) vs. COLL OF CHARLESTON (9 - 9) - 3/7/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 73-40 ATS (+29.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
DREXEL is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 6-1 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DRAKE (25 - 3) vs. LOYOLA-IL (23 - 4) - 3/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
DRAKE is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
DRAKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
DRAKE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 3-3 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 4-2 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E TENN ST (12 - 11) vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (19 - 8) - 3/7/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
E TENN ST is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 straight up against E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MERCER (17 - 10) vs. VMI (13 - 11) - 3/7/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
VMI is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 3-2 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 4-1 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA-LAFAYETTE (17 - 8) vs. GEORGIA ST (15 - 5) - 3/7/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 2-2 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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APPALACHIAN ST (15 - 11) vs. COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 6) - 3/7/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-2 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N DAKOTA (9 - 16) vs. ORAL ROBERTS (13 - 10) - 3/7/2021, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
N DAKOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORAL ROBERTS is 3-3 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORAL ROBERTS is 3-3 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI-KC (11 - 12) vs. N DAKOTA ST (13 - 11) - 3/7/2021, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI-KC is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA ST is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAMPBELL (17 - 9) at WINTHROP (22 - 1) - 3/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINTHROP is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINTHROP is 3-2 against the spread versus CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons
WINTHROP is 5-0 straight up against CAMPBELL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ALABAMA (13 - 10) vs. LIBERTY (22 - 5) - 3/7/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
LIBERTY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
LIBERTY is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
LIBERTY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LIBERTY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
LIBERTY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LIBERTY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LIBERTY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LIBERTY is 4-2 against the spread versus N ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LIBERTY is 6-0 straight up against N ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 7


Florida @ Tennessee
Florida (13-7, 9-6)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #243
? Continuity: #160
? Florida won three of its last four games.
? Gators are forcing turnovers 21.0% of time (#62)
? Florida has #50 eFG% in country.

Tennessee (16-7, 9-7)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #103
? Tennessee lost three of its last five games.
? Vols are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#19)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Tennessee gets 21.4% of its points on foul line (#44)

? Vols got whacked 75-49 in Gainesville January 19.
? Tennessee still won four of last five series games.
? Tennessee gets #4-seed in SEC tourney if they win, #6 if they lose.

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis (15-6, 11-3)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #35
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #69
? Memphis won six in row, nine of last ten games.
? Tigers are 5-4 vs top 100 teams this season.
? Memphis has #3 eFG% defense in country.

Houston (20-3, 13-3)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #120
? Houston won its last three games, by 38-24-46 points.
? Cougars have #1 eFG% defense in country.
? Houston gets 35.7% of its points on arc (#55).

? Houston won five of last eight series games.
? Memphis lost last two visits here, 90-77/64-57.

Wisconsin @ Iowa
Wisconsin (16-10, 10-9)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers are 4-7 in their last 11 games, 1-4 in last five.
? Wisconsin is shooting 46.6% inside arc (#283)
? In their last six wins, Wisconsin allowed 56 or fewer points.

Iowa (19-7, 13-6)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #212
? Continuity: #47
? Iowa won six of its last seven games.
? Hawkeyes are shooting 39.9% on the arc (#5)
? Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside the arc (#29).

? Hawkeyes won 77-62 in Madison, February 18.
? Iowa won four of last six series games.
? Badgers won four of last six visits to Iowa City.

Texas Tech @ Baylor
Texas Tech (17-8, 9-7)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #244
? Tech won its last three games, giving up 54 ppg.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#10)
? Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#14).

Baylor (20-1, 12-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #91
? Continuity: #34
? Baylor is grabbing 37.1% of its missed shots (#4)
? Bears? only loss was 71-58 at Kansas February 27,
? Baylor has #3 eFG% in country (42.0% on arc, #1).

? Baylor won 68-60 in Lubbock January 16.
? Bears won 14 of last 19 series games.
? Tech lost last four visits to Waco, by 4-2-11-3 points.

Michigan @ Michigan State
Michigan (19-2, 14-2)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #235
? Experience: #56
? Continuity: #150
? Michigan won eight of its last nine games.
? Wolverines have #6 eFG% defense in country.
? Michigan is shooting 39.0% on the arc (#10).

Michigan State (14-11, 8-11)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #173
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #75
? Spartans won four of their last six games overall.
? Last three games, Michigan State scored only 56.3 ppg.
? Spartans have #264 eFG% in country (47.9% inside arc, #249).

? Wolverines beat State 69-50 at home Thursday.
? Michigan is 5-4 in last nine series games.
? Michigan lost 75-63/87-69 in last two visits to East Lansing.

Oregon @ Oregon State
Oregon (18-5, 13-4)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #36
? Continuity: #271
? Oregon won four in row, nine of last ten games.
? Ducks have #44 eFG% in country (36.7% on arc, #49).
? Oregon is 14-2 vs teams outside the top 50.

Oregon State (14-11, 10-9)
? ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #77
? Continuity: #156
? Beavers won four of their last five games.
? State is shooting 46.0% inside arc (#299)
? Beavers get 21.3% of their points on foul line (#46)

? Oregon State won four of last five series games.
? Beavers won 75-64 in Eugene January 23.
? Ducks lost last three visits to Corvallis, by 12-15-10 points.

CAA tournament (Harrisonburg, VA)
Drexel vs Charleston

Drexel (9-7, 4-5)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #334
? Experience: #159
? Continuity: #3
? This is Drexel?s second game since February 7.
? Dragons are 4-5 in their last nine games.
? Drexel has #47 eFG% in country (54.6% inside arc, #29).
? Last eight years, Drexel is 3-8 in CAA tourney (3-5 in first game)

Charleston (9-9, 6-4)
? ranked #224 by KenPom
? Tempo: #346
? Experience: #98
? Continuity: #258
? Charleston?s last D-I game was three weeks ago.
? Cougars have #220 eFG% defense in country.
? Charleston is shooting 38.0% on the arc (#22).
? Last four years, Charleston is 6-3 in CAA tourney (won it in ?18)

? Charleston beat Drexel twice this year, 61-60/73-68 Jan 9-10.
? Cougars won 11 of last 13 series games.

Elon @ James Madison
Elon (7-8, 4-7)
? ranked #219 by KenPom
? Tempo: #256
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #63
? Elon won its last four games, after a 3-8 start.
? Elon is 0-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 200.
? Elon has #247 eFG% in country (47.9% inside arc, #248).
? Elon never trailed in yesterday?s 69-48 win over Towson.
? Elon was 2-1 in LY?s tourney, after going 1-6 previous six years.

James Madison (13-6, 8-2)
? ranked #174 by KenPom
? Tempo: #37
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #187
? This is JMU?s second game in last three weeks.
? Dukes won seven of their last eight games.
? JMU is forcing turnovers 21.0%of time (#61).
? Last seven years, Dukes are 2-5 in CAA tourney.

? JMU beat Elon twice this year, 78-57/70-61 February 3,9.
? Elon had beaten JMU five in a row, before this season.

Delaware vs Hofstra
Delaware (7-7, 5-4)
? ranked #218 by KenPom
? Tempo: #274
? Experience: #182
? Continuity: #182
? Delaware hasn?t played since January 31.
? Blue Hens won their last three games.
? Delaware is turning ball over 22.0% of time (#314)
? Blue Hens went W-L in last four CAA tourneys.

Hofstra (12-9, 8-6)
? ranked #179 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #80
? This is Hofstra?s first game in three weeks.
? Hofstra lost three of its last four games.
? Opponents are shooting 52.4% inside the arc (#265).
? Hofstra won CAA tourney for first time LY, then there were no NCAA?s.

? Teams split pair of games in Delaware January 15, 17.
? Hofstra won eight of last ten series games- they beat Delaware in last two CAA tourneys, by by 4-11 points.

Wm & Mary vs Northeastern
Wm & Mary (7-9, 4-6)
? ranked #291 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #314
? Continuity: #279
? Tribe is 5-4 in its last nine games.
? Wm & Mary is shooting 29% on arc (#333)
? Tribe played three starters 37:00+ in yesterday?s 73-60 win.

Northeastern (9-8, 8-2)
? ranked #169 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #319
? Continuity: #226
? This is Huskies? first game in 18 days.
? Northeastern lost three of its last four games.
? Huskies get 38.7% of its points on arc (#26).
? Last three years, Northeastern is 7-2 in CAA tourney.

? Northeastern won five of last eight series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Drake vs Loyola

Drake (25-3, 16-3)
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Tempo: #257
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #175
? Drake won six of its last seven games.
? Drake is down two starters to injury.
? Drake is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#27)
? Last 6+ years, Drake is 2-6 in Arch Madness.
? Drake played two starters 40:00 Saturday; a third guy played 36:00.

Loyola (23-4, 18-2)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won 16 of its last 17 games overall.
? Ramblers are forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#42)
? Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#32)
? Loyola had stress-free wins the last two days.
? Last 6+ years, Loyola is 9-5 in Arch Madness.

? These teams split a pair in Des Moines, February 13-14.
? Ramblers won seven of last nine series games.

SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
East Tennessee State vs NC-Greensboro

East Tennessee State (13-11, 9-7)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #102
? Continuity: #341
? Buccaneers lost six of their last nine games.
? ETSU is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#245)
? Bucs were down 11-2 yesterday, won by 10: two starters played 36:00.
? ETSU won SoCon tourney LY, for 2nd time in five years.

NC-Greensboro (19-8, 14-5)
? ranked #108 by KenPom
? Tempo: #168
? Experience: #191
? Continuity: #90
? Spartans won four of their last five games.
? NC-Greensboro is shooting 29.5% on the arc (#327)
? UNCG won tough game yesterday; only one guy played more than 28:00.
? Last four years, NC-Greensboro is 7-3 in SoCon tourney.

? Teams split pair of games this year; UNCG won by 11 in overtime at ETSU, eight days ago.
? Buccaneers won three of last four series games.

Big South tournament (@ Rock Hill, SC)
Campbell @ Winthrop

Campbell (17-9, 13-6)
? ranked #201 by KenPom
? Tempo: #341
? Experience: #163
? Continuity: #78
? Camels won their last nine games.
? Campbell is shooting 38.3% on arc (#17)
? Camels are forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#51).

Winthrop (22-1, 19-1)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #19
? Eagles? one loss was 57-55 to NC-Asheville January 29.
? Winthrop is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#10)
? Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#25).

? Camels lost 84-83/94-76 at Winthrop, December 30-31.
? Winthrop won last six series games.


---------------------------------


NCAAB

Sunday, March 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Delaware @ Hofstra
Delaware
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Delaware's last 5 games when playing Hofstra
Delaware is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hofstra
Hofstra
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hofstra's last 5 games when playing Delaware
Hofstra is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Delaware

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida @ Tennessee
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

Campbell @ Winthrop
Campbell
No trends to report
Winthrop
No trends to report

Wisconsin @ Iowa
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 7 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 8 games on the road
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin
Iowa is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

Cincinnati @ East Carolina
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
East Carolina
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
East Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

Nebraska @ Northwestern
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing at home against Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing Nebraska

North Alabama @ Liberty
North Alabama
No trends to report
Liberty
No trends to report

Drake @ Loyola-Chicago
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Drake's last 9 games when playing Loyola-Chicago
Drake is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago
Loyola-Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Drake
Loyola-Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Drake

Elon @ James Madison
Elon
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Elon's last 7 games when playing James Madison
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Elon's last 6 games when playing on the road against James Madison
James Madison
James Madison is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of James Madison's last 7 games when playing Elon

Texas Tech @ Baylor
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 7 games on the road
Texas Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baylor
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 5 games at home

Michigan @ Michigan State
Michigan
Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State's last 8 games at home
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro
East Tennessee State
No trends to report
UNC Greensboro
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UNC Greensboro's last 9 games when playing East Tennessee State

William & Mary @ Northeastern
William & Mary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of William & Mary's last 5 games when playing Northeastern
William & Mary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northeastern
Northeastern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northeastern's last 5 games when playing William & Mary
Northeastern is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing William & Mary

North Dakota @ Oral Roberts
North Dakota
No trends to report
Oral Roberts
No trends to report

Penn State @ Maryland
Penn State
Penn State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 6 games on the road
Maryland
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 7 games at home

Texas @ TCU
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing on the road against TCU
Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of TCU's last 8 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU's last 6 games when playing Texas

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Georgia State
Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 11 games when playing Georgia State
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia State
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Georgia State's last 11 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Georgia State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette

Mercer @ VMI
Mercer
No trends to report
VMI
No trends to report

Oregon @ Oregon State
Oregon
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oregon's last 12 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oregon State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina
No trends to report

Drexel @ College of Charleston
Drexel
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Drexel's last 12 games when playing College of Charleston
Drexel is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston
College of Charleston
College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drexel
College of Charleston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Drexel

UMKC @ North Dakota State
UMKC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UMKC's last 7 games when playing North Dakota State
UMKC is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing North Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing UMKC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Dakota State's last 7 games when playing UMKC


------------------------------------


729FLORIDA -730 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 70-43 ATS (22.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1997.

731MEMPHIS -732 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the current season.

733WISCONSIN -734 IOWA
IOWA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

735CINCINNATI -736 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.

737NEBRASKA -738 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

741TEXAS TECH -742 BAYLOR
TEXAS TECH is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.

743MICHIGAN -744 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

745PENN ST -746 MARYLAND
MARYLAND is 53-26 ATS (24.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997.

747TEXAS -748 TCU
TCU is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

749OREGON -750 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
29
48
SUNDAY, MARCH 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CAMP at WIN 12:00 PM
CAMP +11.5
U 140.5

FLA at TENN 12:00 PM
FLA +5.5............54 - 65..........LOSER
O 136.5...............LOSER


MEM at HOU 12:00 PM
HOU -10.5..............64 - 67..........LOSER
U 134.5

WIS at IOWA 12:30 PM
IOWA -7.0.........73 - 77......LOSER
U 143.0

----------------------------

CIN at ECU 01:00 PM
ECU +1.5
O 138.5

NEB at NW 01:30 PM
NW -7.0
U 139.5

------------------------------

NORAL at LIB 02:00 PM
LIB -13.5..........79 - 75....LOSER
O 133.5..................WINNER


DRKE at L-IL 02:10 PM
L-IL -8.0............65 - 75.......WINNER
U 126.5............LOSER


ELON at JMU 02:30 PM
ELON +4.5.............72 - 71
O 139.5....................WINNER

---------------------------

TTU at BAY 04:00 PM
BAY -8.0............73 - 88......WINNER
O 136.5

MICH at MSU 04:30 PM
MICH -8.0...............64 - 70.....LOSER
U 137.5

ETSU at UNCG 05:00 PM
ETSU +2.5.........65 - 77..........LOSER
U 130.5...............LOSER


-------------------------

CWM at NE 06:00 PM
NE -7.0............47 - 63.....WINNER
U 135.0

ULL at GSU 06:30 PM
GSU -4.5...........73 - 84......WINNER
U 150.5.......................LOSER


UND at ORU 06:45 PM
ORU -7.0............65 - 76
O 154.5..............LOSER

-------------------------

TEX at TCU 07:00 PM
TCU +7.0
U 136.0

PSU at MD 07:00 PM
MD -5.5...........66 - 61..........LOSER
U 136.5

MER at VMI 07:30 PM
MER -2.0............73 - 59....WINNER
O 153.5.....................LOSER


ORE at ORST 08:00 PM
ORST +5.5..........80 - 67...LOSER
O 136.5......................WINNER


------------------------------

APP at CCU 09:00 PM
APP +5.0.........64 - 61
O 136.5............LOSER

DREX at COFC 09:30 PM
DREX -4.5.........80 -75.....WINNER
U 128.0

KC at NDSU 09:45 PM
NDSU -5.0...........65 - 69...........LOSER
U 119.5



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................138 - 135..........50.54%............- 52.50

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
29
48
Monday?s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% offense (W-L record)


64.4%? Gonzaga (24-0)
60.8%?Furman (16-9)
59.4%?Belmont (26-4)
58.0%? Loyola, Chi (24-4)
57.6%? Weber State (17-5)
57.4%? Colorado State (17-5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Fact of the Day
This is the first time since 1996 where no ACC team is ranked in the nation?s top 10, heading into the ACC tournament. Only 5th time it has ever happened.

Monday?s quiz
What was the name of the domed stadium where the Mariners/Seahawks used to play?

Sunday?s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season.

*****************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend??

13) An underrated aspect of this college basketball season is that EVERY SENIOR in the country can come back and play in college again next season. The better seniors will take their talents and try to make money playing pro ball, but that?s just the tip of the iceberg. Will be curious to see what I think will be a huge amount of player movement this spring/summer.

12) Liberty 79, North Alabama 75? Liberty won the Atlantic Sun title here; they had already clinched the league?s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, because North Alabama just moved to D-I and isn?t eligible yet to play in March Madness.

Liberty has been in the A-Sun three years; they?ve won the league title all three years.

11) Michigan State 70, Michigan 64? This win makes the next week a little easier for fans, players and coaches in East Lansing. Would appear that this win gets the Spartans into the field of 68, but the more they do this coming week the better- playing Maryland Thursday afternoon in the Big 14 tournament is next on Michigan State?s calendar.

10) NCAA Tournament, like everything else, will be different this year; the second weekend of the tournament, usually Thursday-Sunday, will now be Saturday-Tuesday, with the regional finals being played Monday/Tuesday night, March 29-30.

9) USC 64, UCLA 63? Trojans swept their crosstown rivals this year; they?ll be the #2-seed in the Pac-12 tournament. UCLA lost its last three games and is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 12-2 start.

8) From 2006-08, under coach Ben Howland, UCLA made the Final Four three years in a row, going 97-17 those three years, but five years later, Howland got fired after a 25-10 season, saying his style of play wasn?t exciting enough. When a team wins seven national titles in a row, like UCLA did under John Wooden, the fanbase has unrealistic expectations.

In those three Final Four years, UCLA ranked #298-251-209 in tempo, but they went 97-17, so no one said anything. Howland?s last year, the 25-10 season, they were #35 in tempo, but they lost in the first round of the NCAA?s, and a change was made. They played faster, like people wanted, but they didn?t make the Final Four.. Some people are never happy.

7) My point is this: Mick Cronin is now UCLA?s coach; he is 36-20 at UCLA, 25-12 in Pac-12 games, solid numbers. But this is a fanbase who didn?t like Ben Howland?s style; here are the tempos that Mick Cronin?s teams have played the last eight years:

2021: #333 17-8 record (13-6 Pac-12)
2020: #325 19-12, 12-6 (no NCAAs)
2019: #338 28-7, 14-4 AAC (0-1 NCAA)
2018: $330 31-5, 16-2 (1-1)
2017: #330 30-6, 16-2 (1-1)
2016: #333 22-11, 12-6 (0-1)
2015: #339 23-11, 13-5 (1-1)
2014: #328 27-7, 15-3 (1-1)

Cronin went 6-9 in NCAA tourney games at Cincinnati, made one Sweet 16. At this time next year, the UCLA fanbase is going to start mumbling, if they aren?t already. Cronin wins a lot, his teams defend well, but fact of the matter is, he is no Ben Howland.

6) St Bonaventure-VCU are going to play in the A-14 championship game, but that game isn?t until Sunday in Dayton. Both teams are expected to make the NCAA Tournament, which will be held entirely in Indiana, and Dayton is close to Indiana, so the teams can get on a bus and go right from Dayton to their hotel where they?ll hunker down for the NCAA Tournament.

5) Florida basketball coach Mike White played college basketball at Ole Miss, where his roommate was teammate Keith Carter, who is now the athletic director at Ole Miss. Athletic director is a nice way of saying ?lead fundraiser?; Carter raised a record $45.6M in cash contributions for the Rebels, in 2015-16.

Couple of very successful friends there; you wonder how many college roommates are both making six-figure salaries these days (White makes seven figures).

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Foxboro next season, which obviously is Tom Brady going back home to face his former employers. Would love to see the backroom negotiating with the TV networks who want to televise that game; it won?t be in Week 1- the Super Bowl champ opens the next season at home. But you know NBC/ESPN/FOX all want that game.

3) Speaking of which, apparently the NFL schedule will be released in May this year, a little later than usual. Schedule usually comes out before the draft, but with the COVID situation still developing, it makes sense to release the schedule a little later.

2) 31-year old Blake Griffin signed on with the Brooklyn Nets, after accepting a buyout from Detroit; Griffin has already earned $255M in his playing career and is due another $29.5M next year, so he is joining Brooklyn for the rest of this year, to try and win a championship.

1) Astros have injury issues in their pitching rotation; they signed Jake Odorizzi this weekend to a 2-year deal. Odorizzi has a 62-56 career record, was 15-7 for Minnesota in 2019- he started only four games LY, because of bruised ribs and a blister.
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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779ELON -780 HOFSTRA
HOFSTRA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

783WI-MILWAUKEE -784 CLEVELAND ST
CLEVELAND ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

785N KENTUCKY -786 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

791RIDER -792 CANISIUS
CANISIUS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

797ST MARYS-CA -798 GONZAGA
ST MARYS-CA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

799PEPPERDINE -800 BYU
BYU is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ELON (8 - 8) vs. HOFSTRA (12 - 9) - 3/8/2021, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 3-1 against the spread versus ELON over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 4-0 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-MILWAUKEE (10 - 11) vs. CLEVELAND ST (17 - 7) - 3/8/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 189-148 ATS (+26.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 127-92 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 134-94 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 4-2 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 4-2 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N KENTUCKY (14 - 10) vs. OAKLAND (11 - 17) - 3/8/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
OAKLAND is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
N KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RIDER (5 - 16) vs. CANISIUS (7 - 5) - 3/8/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
RIDER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CANISIUS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 2-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST MARYS-CA (14 - 8) vs. GONZAGA (24 - 0) - 3/8/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 96-131 ATS (-48.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 228-183 ATS (+26.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
GONZAGA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 5-3 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 7-1 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PEPPERDINE (12 - 11) vs. BYU (19 - 5) - 3/8/2021, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 277-213 ATS (+42.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PEPPERDINE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PEPPERDINE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 105-151 ATS (-61.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 3-1 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 4-1 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 8


CAA tournament (Harrisonburg, VA)
Drexel vs Northeastern

Drexel (10-7, 5-5)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #336
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #3
? Opponents are shooting 50.8% inside arc (#212)
? Dragons won three of their last four games.
? Drexel has #43 eFG% in country (54.5% inside arc, #30).
? Drexel made 11-18 on arc in yesterday?s win over Charleston.
? Last 8+ years, Drexel is 4-8 in CAA tourney

Northeastern (10-8, 9-2)
? ranked #158 by KenPom
? Tempo: #239
? Experience: #321
? Continuity: #226
? Yesterday was Huskies? first game in 18 days.
? Northeastern lost three of its last five games.
? Huskies get 38.7% of its points on arc (#26).
? Huskies played all five starters 31:00+ yesterday; three played 36:00+.
? Last 3+ years, Northeastern is 8-2 in CAA tourney.

? Northeastern won five in row, 10 of last 11 series games.

Elon vs Hofstra
Elon (9-8, 6-7)
? ranked #217 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #243
? Continuity: #61
? Elon won its last six games, after a 3-8 start.
? Elon is 1-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 200.
? Elon has #247 eFG% in country (47.1% inside arc, #270).
? Elon was down 15 with 13:52 left Sunday; three starters played 35:00+.
? Elon won four of last five CAA tourney games.

Hofstra (13-9, 9-6)
? ranked #176 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #209
? Continuity: #82
? Yesterday was Hofstra?s first game in three weeks.
? Hofstra lost three of its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 51.6% inside the arc (#244).
? Hofstra played two guys 40:00 Sunday; they were down 7 in 2nd half.
? Hofstra won CAA tourney for first time LY, then there were no NCAA?s.

? Hofstra won last five series games.

Horizon tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Milwaukee vs Cleveland State

Milwaukee (10-11, 9-10)
? ranked #205 by KenPom
? Tempo: #91
? Experience: #164
? Continuity: #144
? Milwaukee won last three games, after a 2-9 skid.
? Two of their last three wins came in overtime.
? Milwaukee has #280 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 4+ years, Milwaukee is 6-3 in Horizon tourney.

Cleveland State (17-7, 7-4)
? ranked #156 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #114
? Cleveland State won seven of its last nine games.
? Vikings are grabbing 31.4% of their missed shots (#67)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Cleveland State won its first tourney game LW in triple OT.
? Last 6+ years, Vikings are 6-6 in Horizon tourney.

? Teams split pair of games in Cleveland, January 22-23.
? Vikings won four of last five series games.

Oakland @ Northern Kentucky
Oakland (11-17, 11-10)
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #108
? Experience: #273
? Continuity: #273
? Oakland won three of its last four games.
? Three of their last five games went to overtime.
? Oakland has #340 eFG% defense in country.
? Last three years, Oakland has gone W-L in this event.

Northern Kentucky (14-10, 12-7)
? ranked #188 by KenPom
? Tempo: #323
? Experience: #298
? Continuity: #167
? Norse won nine of its last eleven games.
? NKU is 11-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
? NKU grabs 34.5% of its missed shots (#22).
? NKU won this tournament the last two years.

? Norse won last four series games.

Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State

Oral Roberts (14-10, 11-5)
? ranked #160 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #232
? Continuity: #272
? ORU is 5-2 in their last seven games, 10-5 in last 15.
? Golden Eagles are shooting 38.5% on the arc (#14)
? ORU played three starters 37:00+ in yesterday?s win.
? Last 6+ years, Oral Roberts is 3-5 in Summit tourney.

South Dakota State (16-6, 10-3)
? ranked #117 by KenPom
? Tempo: #55
? Experience: #231
? Continuity: #14
? Jackrabbits won five of their last six games.
? They won their last three games, by 18-12-13 points.
? SD State is shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2)
? State won Saturday, had yesterday off.
? Jackrabbits won this tournament five of last nine years.

? Teams split pair of games in Tulsa February 13-14.
? Jackrabbits are 13-2 vs ORU in Summit meetings.

South Dakota vs North Dakota State
South Dakota (14-10, 11-4)
? ranked #172 by KenPom
? Tempo: #147
? Experience: #215
? Continuity: #311
? Coyotes won three of their last four games- they had Sunday off.
? Coyotes are 4-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
? South Dakota is shooting 38.9% on the arc (#9).
? Last 8+ years, Coyotes are 5-8 in Summit tourney.

North Dakota State (14-11, 12-5)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #246
? Bison won three of their last four games.
? ND State is best team in country on defensive boards.
? Bison won 69-65 Sunday, after leading by 22; they played three starters 34:00.
? Bison won this tournament the last two years.

? Bison won two of three games vs South Dakota this season.
? North Dakota State is 9-5 in last 14 series games.

MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City)
Rider vs Canisius

Rider (5-16, 5-13)
? ranked #314 by KenPom
? Tempo: #193
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #332
? Rider lost six of its last seven games.
? Broncs have #275 eFG% in country (45.9% inside arc, #300).
? Rider?s last two losses were both by three points.
? Last nine years, Rider is 3-8 in MAAC tourney.

Canisius (7-5, 7-5)
? ranked #231 by KenPom
? Tempo: #76
? Experience: #152
? Continuity: #73
? Canisius won six of their last eight games.
? Griffins are shooting 29.7% on the arc (#324)
? Canisius hasn?t played a home game since January 2nd.
? Over last decade, Canisius is 4-10 in MAAC tourney.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Last time they met in MAAC tourney was 2010.

SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Mercer vs NC-Greensboro

Mercer (18-10, 9-9)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #197
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #255
? Mercer won five of their last six games.
? Bears won here the last three days, giving up 59-61-59 points.
? Mercer played 7 guys yesterday; only two played more than 30:00.
? Mercer won last three days in their Cinderella run to this title game; the last five years, Mercer was 0-5 in SoCon tourney.

NC-Greensboro (20-8, 15-5)
? ranked #102 by KenPom
? Tempo: #176
? Experience: #191
? Continuity: #90
? Spartans won five of their last six games.
? NC-Greensboro is shooting 30.2% on the arc (#313)
? UNCG played nine guys 10:00+ in yesterday?s win- they played last two days, Mercer played last three days.
? Last 4+ years, NC-Greensboro is 8-3 in SoCon tourney.

? UNCG beat Mercer twice this year, 81-68/77-74.
? Spartans won 10 of last 11 series games.

Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Appalachian State vs Georgia State

Appalachian State (16-11, 10-8)
? ranked #215 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #142
? Continuity: #238
? App State won here last three days, ending a 1-6 skid.
? Their wins last two days were both in OT; all five starters played 40:00+ last night.
? ASU has #284 eFG%: they?re #283 inside arc, #241 on the arc.
? App State won last three days; last five years, App State was 2-5 in Sun Belt tourney.

Georgia State (16-5, 10-4)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #179
? Continuity: #116
? Panthers won their last eight games overall.
? Georgia State scored 80+ points in four of last five games.
? Panthers never trailed in Sunday?s 84-73 win, but it was 72-71 with 5:27 left.
? Last 3+ years, Georgia State is 6-2 in Sun Belt tourney.

? App State won two of three games vs Georgia State this year.
? Panthers won seven of last ten series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Saint Mary?s vs Gonzaga

Saint Mary?s (14-8, 5-6)
? ranked #76 by KenPom
? Tempo: #349
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #234
? Gaels won three of their last four games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.1% inside arc (#23)
? Gaels are 1-7 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Saint Mary?s is shooting 30.1% on the arc (#314)
? Last 5+ years, Gaels are 10-4 in WCC tourney

Gonzaga (24-0, 15-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #180
? First game in nine days for Gonzaga.
? Gonzaga has ONE WIN this season by less than 11 points; that was December 2nd vs West Virginia (87-82).
? Zags are shooting 64.4% inside the arc (#1).
? Last eight years, Gonzaga is 20-1 in WCC tourney, winning it 7 times.

? Zags won both meetings this year, 73-59/87-65
? Gonzaga won 12 of last 14 series games.

Pepperdine vs BYU
Pepperdine (12-11, 8-6)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #61
? Experience: #114
? Continuity: #56
? Waves are 2-7 this year vs teams in top 100.
? Opponents are shooting 27.6% on the arc (#4)
? Opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#330)
? Last 3+ years, Pepperdine is 6-3 in WCC tourney.

BYU (19-5, 10-3)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #206
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #277
? First game in nine days for BYU.
? BYU has #20 eFG% in country; #25 inside arc, #33 on arc.
? Last four games, Cougars allowed 61.8 ppg.
? Last two years, BYU is 0-2 in A-14 tourney, scoring 57-50 points.

? These teams split a pair of games in late January.
? BYU won eight of last ten series games.




NCAAB

Monday, March 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Elon @ Hofstra
Elon
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Elon's last 8 games when playing Hofstra
Elon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hofstra
Hofstra
Hofstra is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Elon
Hofstra is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Elon

Wisconsin-Milwaukee @ Cleveland State
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cleveland State
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oral Roberts
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Dakota State's last 5 games when playing Oral Roberts

Rider @ Canisius
Rider
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rider's last 7 games when playing Canisius
Rider is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Canisius
Canisius
Canisius is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rider
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Canisius's last 7 games when playing Rider

Mercer @ UNC Greensboro
Mercer
No trends to report
UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mercer
UNC Greensboro is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mercer

Appalachian State @ Georgia State
Appalachian State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Appalachian State's last 7 games when playing Georgia State
Appalachian State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Georgia State
Georgia State
Georgia State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Appalachian State
Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Appalachian State

Saint Mary's-California @ Gonzaga
Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saint Mary's-California's last 23 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California

Northern Kentucky @ Oakland
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report
Oakland
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Northern Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing Northern Kentucky

Drexel @ Northeastern
Drexel
Drexel is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northeastern
Northeastern
Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drexel

North Dakota State @ South Dakota
North Dakota State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of North Dakota State's last 11 games when playing South Dakota
North Dakota State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Dakota
South Dakota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of South Dakota's last 11 games when playing North Dakota State
South Dakota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Dakota State


----------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 8


attachment.php
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
29
48
MONDAY, MARCH 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


ELON at HOF 06:00 PM
HOF -5.0.............76 - 68.......LOSER
U 138.5

MILW at CLEVST 06:30 PM
MILW +3.5..........65 - 71......LOSER
O 141.5.....................LOSER

ORU at SDST 06:45 PM
ORU +5.0............90 - 88
U 162.0..................LOSER

APP at GSU 07:00 PM
APP +7.0.............80 - 73.........WINNER
O 136.0......................WINNER


RID at CAN 07:00 PM
RID +6.0...............78 -76
O 144.5......................WINNER

MER at UNCG 07:00 PM
UNCG -5.0..............61 - 69.........WINNER
O 136.0....................LOSER


SMC at GONZ 09:00 PM
SMC +18.0.....55 - 78 .......... LOSER
O 141.0...................LOSER

DREX at NE 09:30 PM
NE +1.0.............74 - 67..........LOSER
O 131.0........................WINNER

NKU at OAK 09:30 PM
NKU -2.0............58 - 69.........LOSER
U 148.0......................WINNER


NDSU at SDAK 09:45 PM
NDSU -3.0..................79 - 75......WINNER
U 138.5...............................LOSER


PEPP at BYU 11:59 PM
PEPP +8.5..........77- 82..........WINNER.
O 149.0..............................WINNER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................147 - 144..........50.51%............- 57.00

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:
+150- USC
+200- Colorado
+350- Oregon
+400- UCLA
+2000- Stanford
+2500- Arizona State
+3300- Utah
+8000- Washington State
+10000- Oregon State
+20000- California, Washington

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark??.

Miami
? Won seven of last eight games SU.
? 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
? Last three games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee:
? Won six of last seven games SU.
? 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
? Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Minnesota:
? 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
? Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
? 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
? Four of their last five games went over.

New Orleans:
? Lost three of their last four games SU.
? 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
? 12 of their last 14 games went over.

New York
? Won eight of last ten games SU.
? 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
? Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.

Oklahoma City
? 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
? 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
? 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
? Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Orlando
? Lost their last five games SU.
? 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
? Last four road games stayed under total.

Philadelphia
? Won six of their last eight games SU.
? 13-6 ATS at home.
? 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Phoenix
? Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
? 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
? Covered eight of last nine road games.
? Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Portland
? Won their last four games.
? 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
? 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Sacramento
? Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
? 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
? 11 of their last 12 games went over.

San Antonio
? Spurs split their last eight games SU.
? They?re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
? Covered nine of their 13 road games.
? Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Toronto
? Raptors lost four of their last five games.
? 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
? 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
? Last four Toronto games went over.

Utah
? Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
? Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
? Covered only one of last five road tilts.
? Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.

Washington
? Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
? Covered five of last six home games.
? Covered five of last six road games.
? Four of last five series games stayed under.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
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Nov 5, 2017
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 9


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MIAMI (8 - 16) vs. PITTSBURGH (10 - 11) - 3/9/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 162-127 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 15) vs. DUKE (11 - 11) - 3/9/2021, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
DUKE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (6 - 15) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 14) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 92-141 ATS (-63.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 184-229 ATS (-67.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-2 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-2 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (8 - 5) vs. QUINNIPIAC (9 - 12) - 3/9/2021, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MANHATTAN (7 - 12) vs. FAIRFIELD (7 - 16) - 3/9/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-4 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-4 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (5 - 11) vs. CS-NORTHRIDGE (9 - 12) - 3/9/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 4-0 against the spread versus LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 3-1 straight up against LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAL POLY-SLO (3 - 19) vs. CS-FULLERTON (6 - 9) - 3/9/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL POLY-SLO is 180-221 ATS (-63.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
CAL POLY-SLO is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
CS-FULLERTON is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
CS-FULLERTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-FULLERTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAL POLY-SLO is 3-1 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
CS-FULLERTON is 3-1 straight up against CAL POLY-SLO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 16) vs. RICE (13 - 12) - 3/9/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 4-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (9 - 17) vs. MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 17) - 3/9/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MCNEESE ST (10 - 13) vs. SE LOUISIANA (7 - 17) - 3/9/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE LOUISIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MCNEESE ST is 3-2 against the spread versus SE LOUISIANA over the last 3 seasons
SE LOUISIANA is 3-3 straight up against MCNEESE ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTN BAPTIST (5 - 18) vs. INCARNATE WORD (8 - 13) - 3/9/2021, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INCARNATE WORD is 3-3 against the spread versus HOUSTN BAPTIST over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTN BAPTIST is 5-1 straight up against INCARNATE WORD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (11 - 10) at BRYANT (15 - 5) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRYANT is 2-2 against the spread versus MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons
BRYANT is 2-2 straight up against MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 9


ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Miami vs Pittsburgh

Miami (8-16, 4-15)
? ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #199
? Experience: #188
? Continuity: #236
? Miami lost 10 of its last 12 games.
? ?canes are shooting 29.4% on arc (#329), have #299 eFG%.
? Miami is 4-13 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Miami went W-L in 5 of last 7 ACC tournaments, lost in first round other two years.

Pittsburgh (10-11, 6-10)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #175
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #129
? Pitt lost nine of its last eleven games.
? Panthers are shooting 47.7% inside arc (#255)
? Pitt grabs 34.6% of its missed shots (#21).
? Pitt went W-L in four of last five ACC tournaments

? Pitt won 70-55 in Miami, way back on December 16.
? Pitt won last two series games, after losing previous seven.

Boston College vs Duke
Boston College (4-15, 2-11)
? ranked #134 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #178
? Continuity: #184
? BC lost six of last seven games; they already fired the coach.
? Opponents are shooting 56.7% inside arc (#340)
? Eagles are getting 39% of their points on the arc (#23)
? Last nine years, Boston College is 4-9 in ACC tourney

Duke (11-11, 9-9)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #252
? Duke lost its last three games, two of them in OT.
? Blue Devils gets only 13.2% of their points on foul line (#342)
? Duke has #272 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 18 years, Duke is 15-2 in its first ACC tournament game (DNP LY). Duke won two of last three ACC tourneys.
? Last time they finished .500 in ACC (2007) they lost first tourney game.

? BC lost 83-82 at Duke on January 6.
? Duke won 15 of last 16 series games.

Wake Forest vs Notre Dame
Wake Forest (6-15, 3-15)
? ranked #169 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #281
? Wake lost its last seven games, the last six by 12+ points.
? Deacons have #316 eFG% defense in country.
? Wake is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#252)
? Last 13 years, Wake Forest is 2-13 in the ACC tourney

Notre Dame (10-14, 7-11)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #230
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #127
? Notre Dame lost four of its last five games.
? Irish are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Notre Dame is shooting 36.8% on the arc (#47).
? Last six years, Notre Dame is 10-4 in ACC tourney

? Deacons lost 79-58 in South Bend February 2.
? Notre Dame won seven of last nine series games.

CAA tournament (Harrisonburg, VA)
Elon vs Drexel

Elon (10-8, 7-7)
? ranked #198 by KenPom
? Tempo: #255
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #61
? Elon won its last seven games, after a 3-8 start.
? Elon is 2-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 200.
? Elon has #241 eFG% in country (47.1% inside arc, #270).
? Elon is playing for 4th straight night; three starters played 30:00+ Monday.
? Elon won five of last six CAA tourney games- they?re in CAA finals for first time.

Drexel (11-7, 6-5)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #336
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #3
? Opponents are shooting 50.8% inside arc (#212)
? Dragons won four of their last five games.
? Drexel has #43 eFG% in country (54.5% inside arc, #30).
? Drexel made 11-18 on arc in yesterday?s win over Charleston.

? Last 8+ years, Drexel is 5-8 in CAA tourney; they?re in finals here for first time since 2012.
? Drexel won four of last five series games.

Horizon tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Oakland vs Cleveland State

Oakland (12-17, 12-10)
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #108
? Experience: #273
? Continuity: #273
? Oakland won four of its last five games.
? Three of their last six games went to overtime.
? Oakland has #340 eFG% defense in country.
? Oakland is 5-3 in last eight Horizon tourney games.

Cleveland State (18-7, 18-4)
? ranked #157 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #113
? Cleveland State won eight of its last ten games.
? Vikings are grabbing 31.3% of their missed shots (#69)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Cleveland State was down 11 with 9:47 left Monday; only two guys played more than 28:00.
? Last 6+ years, Vikings are 7-6 in Horizon tourney.

? Vikings swept pair at Oakland, 80-72/80-78 on February 5-6.
? Oakland had won 11 of last 13 series games, before this year.

Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Oral Roberts vs North Dakota State

Oral Roberts (15-10, 12-5)
? ranked #155 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #272
? ORU is 6-2 in their last eight games, 11-5 in last 16.
? Golden Eagles are shooting 39.2% on the arc (#7)
? ORU played three starters 37:00+ each of last two nights.
? Last 6+ years, Oral Roberts is 4-5 in Summit tourney.

North Dakota State (15-11, 13-5)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #246
? Bison won four of their last five games.
? ND State is best team in country on defensive boards.
? Bison is #344 in country at forcing turnovers; their eFG% defense is #145.
? Bison won this tournament the last two years.

? Teams split pair of games in Fargo, February 5-6.
? North Dakota State won six of last eight series games.

MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City)
Iona vs Quinnipiac

Iona (8-5, 6-3)- coached by Rick Pitino
? ranked #202 by KenPom
? Tempo: #160
? Experience: #199
? Continuity: #274
? This is Iona?s first game in 17 days.
? Gaels won six of their last eight games.
? Iona is turning ball over 22.7% of time (#327)
? Iona won MAAC tourney four of last five years; they?re 23-5 in last 28 MAAC tournament games.

Quinnipiac (9-12, 7-10)
? ranked #273 by KenPom
? Tempo: #31
? Experience: #317
? Continuity: #160
? Bobcats lost three of their last four games.
? Last four games, Quinnipiac scored 62 ppg.
? Quinnipiac has #4 eFG% defense in country.
? Last eight years, Quinnipiac is 3-7 in MAAC tourney.

? Iona lost 74-70 at Quinnipiac February 17.
? Teams split last eight series games.

Manhattan vs Fairfield
Manhattan (7-12, 6-12)
? ranked #315 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #269
? Manhattan lost eight of their last ten games.
? Jaspers are shooting 27.1% on arc (#344)
? Manhattan forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#26)
? Last five years, Manhattan is 3-5 in MAAC tourney.

Fairfield (7-16, 7-11)
? ranked #324 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #214
? Fairfield is 5-4 in their last nine games.
? Stags are shooting 31.3% on the arc (#280), have #316 eFG%.
? Fairfield is shooting only 45% inside the arc (#319).
? Last seven years, Fairfield is 4-7 in MAAC tourney; they lost in 2018 final.

? Teams split pair of games in Draddy Gym last week.
? Teams split last eight series games; Jaspers beat Fairfield in last two MAAC tourneys.

Conference USA tournament (@ Frisco, TX)
Rice vs Southern Mississippi

Rice (13-12, 6-10)
? ranked #195 by KenPom
? Tempo: #96
? Experience: #290
? Continuity: #304
? Rice is 2-9 in last 11 D-I games; the wins were vs Southern Miss.
? Owls get 42.8% of their points on the arc (35.8%, #75)
? This is first D-I game in ten days for Rice.
? Last nine years, Rice is 2-8 in C-USA tournament

Southern Miss (8-16, 4-13)
? ranked #253 by KenPom
? Tempo: #219
? Experience: #191
? Continuity: #210
? Southern Miss lost 10 of their last 11 games.
? Golden Eagles are shooting 47.4% inside the arc (#261)
? This is their first game in ten days.
? Last six years, USM is 3-3 in C-USA tourney (DNP 3 times).

? Southern Miss lost twice at Rice, 88-62/76-68 February 5-6.
? Rice won 10 of last 12 series games.

Big West tournament (@ Mandalay Bay, Las Vegas)
Long Beach State vs Cal-Northridge

Long Beach State (5-11, 4-8)
? ranked #274 by KenPom
? Tempo: #16
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #172
? Long Beach lost their last four games, three by 3 or fewer points.
? Three of their last eight losses were in overtime.
? Long Beach turns ball over 21.2% of time (#285)
? Last eight years, Long Beach is 6-7 in Big West tournament.

Cal-Northridge (9-11, 5-9)
? ranked #262 by KenPom
? Tempo: #89
? Experience: #314
? Continuity: #241
? Matadors lost five of their last seven games.
? CSUN has #341 eFG% defense in country.
? Matadors are shooting 47.7% inside arc (#255).
? Last six years, Northridge is 0-3 in Big West tourney (3 DNP?s).

? Northridge is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Cal Poly vs Cal-Fullerton
Cal Poly (3-19, 1-15)
? ranked #339 by KenPom
? Tempo: #234
? Experience: #260
? Continuity: #206
? Mustangs lost their last nine games.
? Cal Poly has #338 eFG% in country (#340 inside arc, #313 on arc)
? Last four games, Cal Poly scored 59.5 ppg.
? Last six years, Cal Poly is 0-4 in Big West tourney (DNP last 2 years)

Cal-Fullerton (6-9, 5-7)
? ranked #254 by KenPom
? Tempo: #32
? Experience: #270
? Continuity: #315
? Titans lost four of their last five games.
? Fullerton has #317 eFG% defense in country.
? Titans are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#19).
? Last four years, Titans were 6-2 in Big West tourney (won it in ?18).

? Fullerton won eight of last nine series games.
? In their last meeting LY, Fullerton won 105-101, in four OT?s.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
BYU vs Gonzaga

BYU (20-5, 11-3)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #281
? BYU won five in row, 15 of last 18 games.
? BYU has #25 eFG% in country; #27 inside arc, #36 on arc.
? Cougars played three starters 32:00+ in last nite?s OT win over Pepperdine.
? BYU is 0-3 when playing Gonzaga in the WCC finals.

Gonzaga (25-0, 16-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #180
? Gonzaga was up 18 at half last nite, had another easy win.
? Gonzaga has ONE WIN this season by less than 11 points; that was December 2nd vs West Virginia (87-82).
? Zags are shooting 64.2% inside the arc (#1).
? Last 8+ years, Gonzaga is 21-1 in WCC tourney, winning it 7 times.

? Gonzaga beat BYU twice this year, 86-69/82-71.


------------------------------------


NCAAB

Tuesday, March 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Pittsburgh
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami

Boston College @ Duke
Boston College
Boston College is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Duke
Boston College is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing Duke
Duke
Duke is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Boston College
Duke is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston College

Iona @ Quinnipiac
Iona
Iona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Quinnipiac
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iona's last 12 games when playing Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Quinnipiac's last 12 games when playing Iona

Long Beach State @ Cal State-Northridge
Long Beach State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Long Beach State's last 5 games when playing Cal State-Northridge
Long Beach State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cal State-Northridge
Cal State-Northridge
Cal State-Northridge is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Long Beach State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal State-Northridge's last 5 games when playing Long Beach State

McNeese State @ Southeastern Louisiana
McNeese State
No trends to report
Southeastern Louisiana
No trends to report

Mount St. Mary's @ Bryant
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report
Bryant
No trends to report

Wake Forest @ Notre Dame
Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Wake Forest is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Notre Dame
Notre Dame
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
Notre Dame is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Wake Forest

Oakland @ Cleveland State
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland State's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

Elon @ Drexel
Elon
Elon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Drexel
Elon is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drexel
Drexel
Drexel is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Elon
Drexel is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Elon

Manhattan @ Fairfield
Manhattan
No trends to report
Fairfield
No trends to report

Southern Mississippi @ Rice
Southern Mississippi
Southern Mississippi is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Mississippi's last 7 games when playing Rice
Rice
Rice is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Southern Mississippi
Rice is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Mississippi

Cal Poly @ Cal State-Fullerton
Cal Poly
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cal Poly's last 10 games when playing Cal State-Fullerton
Cal Poly is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Cal State-Fullerton
Cal State-Fullerton
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 10 games when playing Cal Poly
Cal State-Fullerton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cal Poly

Houston Baptist @ Incarnate Word
Houston Baptist
No trends to report
Incarnate Word
No trends to report

Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oral Roberts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Dakota State's last 7 games when playing Oral Roberts

BYU @ Gonzaga
BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of BYU's last 24 games when playing Gonzaga
BYU is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Gonzaga's last 24 games when playing BYU


--------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 9


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---------------------------------------


807MIAMI -808 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

809BOSTON COLLEGE -810 DUKE
DUKE is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

811WAKE FOREST -812 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

813IONA -814 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

815MANHATTAN -816 FAIRFIELD
MANHATTAN is 45-23 ATS (19.7 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

817LONG BEACH ST -818 CS-NORTHRIDGE
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

819CAL POLY-SLO -820 CS-FULLERTON
CS-FULLERTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better in the last 3 seasons.

825SOUTHERN MISS -826 RICE
SOUTHERN MISS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

827FLA INTERNATIONAL -828 MIDDLE TENN ST
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in all neutral court games in the last 3 seasons.

1013MCNEESE ST -1014 SE LOUISIANA
MCNEESE ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
29
48
TUESDAY, MARCH 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIA at PITT 02:00 PM
PITT -2.5
U 135.0

BC at DUKE 04:30 PM
BC +13.0......51 - 86
O 152.0...........LOSER

IONA at QUIN 05:00 PM
IONA -6.0...........72 - 48.....WINNER
U 143.5

LBSU at CSN 06:00 PM
CSN -2.5
U 153.0

MCNS at SELA 06:00 PM
MCNS -1.5........68 - 71.....LOSER
O 146.5....................LOSER


************************

ELON at DREX 07:00 PM
ELON +4.0.........56 - 63....LOSER
O 131.0.................LOSER

MSM at BRY 07:00 PM
MSM +6.5
O 133.5

WAKE at ND 07:00 PM
ND -8.0.........77 - 80....LOSER
U 140.5..............LOSER


OAK at CLEVST 07:00 PM
CLEVST -2.5............69 - 80....WINNER
U 140.0..............LOSER


MAN at FAIR 07:30 PM
MAN -2.5.........58 - 59
U 126.5...............WINNER


*********************


USM at RICE 08:00 PM
USM +4.0,,,,,,,,,,,52 - 61.....LOSER
O 142.0.................LOSER


BYU at GONZ 09:00 PM
GONZ -14.5.........78 - 88.....LOSER
U 155.5..............LOSER


CP at CSF 09:00 PM
CSF -5.5
U 139.0

ORU at NDSU 09:00 PM
ORU +1.0............75 - 72...........WINNER
O 146.0..............WINNER


HBU at IW 09:00 PM
HBU -2.0..........80 - 68......WINNER
U 145.0



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................153 - 156..........49.51%............- 93.00

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
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Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:

+150- Michigan
+350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
+1000- Purdue
+1500- Wisconsin
+2500- Rutgers
+3500- Michigan State
+5000- Maryland, Minnesota
+6600- Indiana
+20000- Northwestern
+30000- Nebraska

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?I don?t really like stats. Exit velocity. I?m more of, exit hits??I dropped out as a sophomore, Look where I am now. I?m OK.?
Bryce Harper

Wednesday?s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, where was Mike Krzyzewski the head coach?

Tuesday?s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

Monday?s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

********************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
? BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
? Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
? Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.

One of the first questions I?ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven?t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn?t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.

Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.

12) Dallas Cowboys? QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:

Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn?t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year?s playoffs.

11) Interesting discussion on Mets? TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.

Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.

Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn?t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets? defense for this season.

10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.

From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington?s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn?t win make the NCAA tournament? he made it once, in 2008, Cross? second year there.

Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.

I?m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.

9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.

Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)

8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.

7) Angels? broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota?s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel?s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels? broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.

Looking at the Angels? website, they haven?t filled Victor Rojas? play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.

6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.

Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that?ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.

Umpire Brian Gorman?s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.

5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.

4) Colorado Rockies? 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth time in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.

He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.

3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.

2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they?re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don?t give a rat?s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don?t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I?m familiar with Meghan Markle?s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don?t want to hear about it.

Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.

1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA?s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.

The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better? several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that?s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing? we didn?t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.
 

smax

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Forum Member
Feb 1, 2005
1,058
16
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Des Moines
Thank you. :toast:
You have the one post I come to first when I come to Jacks.
I don't play much but thoroughly enjoy your variety of sports tidbits. :0008
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 10


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 10


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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 10


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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 10


ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
NC State vs Syracuse

NC State (13-9, 9-8)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #126
? NC State won its last five games.
? Wolfpack are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#32)
? Last four games, NC State gave up 63.5 ppg.
? Last six years, Wolfpack is 4-5 in ACC tournament.

Syracuse (15-8, 9-7)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #71
? Syracuse won five of its last seven games.
? In their last six losses, Syracuse allowed 78+ points- they?re 13-2 allowing less than 78 points.
? Syracuse is #334 in country on the defensive boards.
? In seven years in the ACC, Syracuse is 3-5 in this event.

? Syracuse beat NC State twice this year, 76-73/77-68.
? Teams split ten meetings as ACC rivals.

Miami vs Clemson
Miami (9-16, 5-15)
? ranked #137 by KenPom
? Tempo: #196
? Experience: #180
? Continuity: #232
? Miami won its last two games, after a 1-10 skid.
? ?canes are shooting 29.2% on arc (#330), have #299 eFG%.
? Miami played two subs Tuesday; one for 11:00, one for 8:00.
? Miami went W-L in 5 of last 7 ACC tournaments, lost in first round other two years.

Clemson (16-6, 10-6)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #168
? Continuity: #97
? Clemson won six of its last seven games.
? Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.6% of time (#49)
? Clemson gets 37.6% of its points on arc (#34)
? Last five years, Clemson is 2-5 in ACC tourney.

? Clemson beat Miami twice this year, 66-65/65-58
? Tigers are 6-4 in last ten series games; they beat Miami 69-64 in LY?s tournament.

Duke vs Louisville
Duke (12-11, 10-9)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #252
? Duke lost three of its last three games, with two losses in OT.
? Blue Devils gets only 12.9% of their points on foul line (#345)
? Duke has #255 eFG% defense in country.
? Duke had stress-free win Tuesday, no one played more than 27:00.
? Duke won two of last three ACC tourneys.

Louisville (13-6, 8-5)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #324
? Louisville is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? In their last three losses, Cardinals were held to 50-54-58 points.
? Louisville is grabbing 32.1% of their missed shots (#54)
? Last five years, Louisville is 1-4 in conference tourneys.

? Louisville beat Duke twice this year, 70-65/80-73OT
? Teams split their ten meetings as ACC rivals.

Notre Dame vs North Carolina
Notre Dame (11-14, 8-11)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #228
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #127
? Notre Dame lost four of its last six games.
? Irish are 4-13 vs teams ranked in the top 100.
? Notre Dame is shooting 37.2% on the arc (#36).
? Irish hit walk-off 3-pointer Tuesday, ending game on 17-2 run.
? Last 6+ years, Notre Dame is 11-4 in ACC tourney

North Carolina (16-9, 10-6)
? ranked #169 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #281
? Tar Heels are 5-4 in their last nine games.
? Carolina has #244 eFG%, is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#280)
? UNC is grabbing 40.6% of its missed shots (#1)
? Tar Heels won their first game in ACC tourney the last seven years.

? Carolina won six of last seven series games.

Big X tournament (Kansas City)
Kansas State vs TCU

Kansas State (8-19, 4-14)
? ranked #183 by KenPom
? Tempo: #309
? Experience: #335
? Continuity: #285
? K-State won three of its last four games, after an 0-13 stretch.
? Wildcats turn ball over 22.3% of time (#291), shoot 29.5% on arc (#321)
? In their last five wins, K-State allowed 58 or less points.
? K-State won its first Big X tourney game the last five years.

TCU (12-13, 5-11)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #251
? Experience: #318
? Continuity: #159
? TCU lost six of its last seven games.
? Horned Frogs turn ball over 20.8% of time (#269)
? TCU started season 9-2; since then, not so much.
? Last six years, TCU is 5-6 in Big X tournament.

? Wildcats beat TCU in last three Big X tournaments.
? These teams split a pair this year; road team won both games.
? K-State won eight of last 12 series games.

Iowa State vs Oklahoma
Iowa State (2-21, 0-18)
? ranked #179 by KenPom
? Tempo: #94
? Experience: #139
? Continuity: #227
? Iowa State has two wins, over teams #350/#276
? Cyclones lost last 17 games; their last win was December 20.
? Three of their last five losses were by 5 or fewer points.
? Last seven years, Iowa State won Big X tourney four times, lost in first round the other three.

Oklahoma (14-9, 9-8)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #51
? Oklahoma lost its last four games, by 5-4-4-4 points.
? Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#39)
? 10 of their last 11 games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
? You?re reading ***************.com.
? Last four years, Sooners are 0-3 in Big X tourney, losing by 1-19-11 points.

? Oklahoma beat Iowa State twice this year, 79-72/66-56
? Cyclones are still 6-4 in last ten series games.

Big East tournament (@ New York City)
Marquette vs Georgetown

Marquette (13-13, 8-11)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #219
? Experience: #183
? Continuity: #178
? Marquette won four of its last five games.
? Golden Eagles are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#35)
? Marquette is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#270)
? Last six years, Marquette in 4-1 in its first Big East tourney game.

Georgetown (9-12, 7-9)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #92
? Experience: #65
? Continuity: #249
? Georgetown won four of their last six games.
? Hoyas turn ball over 22.1% of time (#316), shoot 46.3% inside arc (#289)
? Georgetown is grabbing 32.1% of their missed shots (#55)
? Last 4 years, Georgetown is 0-4 in Big East tournament, losing by 1-11-16-13 points.

? Marquette won 64-60 at Georgetown January 2.
? Marquette won six of last seven series games.

Butler vs Xavier
Butler (9-14, 8-12)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #194
? Continuity: #243
? Butler lost four of its last six games.
? Bulldogs have #282 eFG% (#270 inside arc, #250 on arc)
? Butler is shooting only 64.0% on foul line (#329)
? Last seven years, Butler is 1-6 in Big East tourney games.

Xavier (13-7, 6-7)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #191
? Xavier lost five of their last seven games.
? Musketeers are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#30)
? Xavier is shooting only 32.1% on arc (#253), 69.4% on line (#227)
? Xavier won first Big East tourney game six of last seven years.

? Xavier beat Butler twice this season, 68-55/63-51.
? Musketeers won six of last nine series games.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Minnesota vs Northwestern

Minnesota (13-14, 6-14)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #148
? Continuity: #203
? Gophers lost their last seven games.
? Minnesota is shooting 28.6% on arc (#339)
? Gophers are #312 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last 10 years, Minnesota is 6-4 in its first Big 14 tourney game.

Northwestern (9-14, 6-13)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #40
? Wildcats won their last three games, after an 0-13 skid.
? Northwestern is 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Wildcats get 35.3% of their points on arc (#68).
? Northwestern is 5-15 in last 20 Big 14 tourney games, 0-3 last three years, losing by 8-5-17 points.

? Northwestern won 67-59 at Minnesota on January 25.
? Gophers won four of last five series games- they beat Wildcats in LY?s Big 14 tourney.

Nebraska vs Penn State
Nebraska (7-19, 3-16)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #102
? Continuity: #327
? Nebraska is making 46.7% of their shots inside arc (#277)
? Cornhuskers split their last four games, beating Minnesota/Rutgers.
? Nebraska is getting 36.3% of their points on the arc (#50)
? Last 10 years, Nebraska is 3-7 in its first Big 14 tournament game.

Penn State (10-13, 7-12)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #121
? Experience: #43
? Continuity: #45
? Penn State won three of their last four games.
? Nittany Lions are shooting 45.5% inside the arc (#311)
? Penn State has #294 eFG% defense in country.
? Last six years, Penn State is 5-5 in Big 14 tourney.

? Teams split two games this year; road side won both.
? Nittany Lions won four of last six series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Washington State vs Arizona State

Washington State (14-12, 7-12)
? ranked #107 by KenPom
? Tempo: #207
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #209
? Coogs split their last ten games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Wazzu is shooting 45.6% inside arc (#309)
? Wazzu turns ball over 21.4% of time (#299)
? This is Coogs? first game in 11 days.
? Last 11 years, Coogs are 1-10 in Pac-12 tournament- they beat Colorado LY.

Arizona State (10-13, 7-10)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #24
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #138
? ASU is 6-5 in its last 11 games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Last two games, Sun Devils scored 61-59 points.
? ASU is 3-8 when it scores less than 75 points.
? Under Hurley, Sun Devils are 2-4 in Pac-12 tourney

? Wazzu lost 77-74 in OT at Arizona State February 27.
? Teams split last ten series games.

Washington vs Utah
Washington (5-20, 4-16)
? ranked #176 by KenPom
? Tempo: #72
? Experience: #123
? Continuity: #198
? Washington lost nine of their last 11 games.
? Huskies have #249 eFG% in country (#258 inside arc, #217 on arc)
? Last three games, Washington allowed 84.0 ppg.
? Last seven years, Washington is 3-7 in Pac-12 tourney.

Utah (11-12, 8-11)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #285
? Continuity: #22
? Utes lost five of their last seven games.
? Utah is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#63)
? Utes are #259 on offensive boards, #260 on defensive boards.
? Last four years, Utah is 0-4 in Pac-12 tourney (40-32 in regular season)

? Teams split pair of games this year; home side won both.
? Utes won eight of last eleven series games.

California vs Stanford
California (8-19, 3-17)
? ranked #162 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #93
? Cal lost 11 of its last 12 games.
? Opponents are shooting 38.5% on arc (#333)
? Last four games, Cal scored 55.5 ppg.
? Last six years, Cal Bears are 5-5 in Pac-12 tourney.

Stanford (14-12, 10-10)
? ranked #77 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #290
? Continuity: #76
? Stanford lost last four games; da Silva missed last three (check status)
? Cardinal turns ball over 21.2% of time (#284)
? Stanford has #67 eFG% defense in country.
? Last five years, Stanford is 1-4 in Pac-12 tournament.

? Stanford beat its arch-rival twice this year, 70-55/76-70
? Cardinal won six of last nine series games.


----------------------------


601SACRAMENTO ST -602 N COLORADO
SACRAMENTO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

603N ARIZONA -604 PORTLAND ST
PORTLAND ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

605IDAHO -606 MONTANA
IDAHO is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

607NC STATE -608 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

619SAN JOSE ST -620 WYOMING
WYOMING is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

621AIR FORCE -622 UNLV
UNLV is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

623NEW MEXICO -624 FRESNO ST
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

625MARQUETTE -626 GEORGETOWN
MARQUETTE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

627BUTLER -628 XAVIER
XAVIER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

629DEPAUL -630 PROVIDENCE
DEPAUL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
29
48
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NCST at SYR 12:00 PM
NCST +3.5............68 - 89.......LOSER
O 146.5.............................WINNER


NAU at PRST 02:00 PM
PRST -6.0..................77 - 66....LOSER
U 131.5

SJSU at WYO 02:00 PM
SJSU +11.5
O 150.0

MIA at CLEM 02:30 PM
MIA +9.0..........67 - 64....WINNERE
O 126.5.....................WINNER


*********************

MARQ at GTWN 03:00 PM
MARQ -3.5
U 144.0

ARPB at JKST 03:00 PM
JKST -9.0............62 - 74........WINNER
U 126.0

WSU at ASU 04:00 PM
WSU +1.0........59 - 64......LOSER
O 144.0......................LOSER


AFA at UNLV 04:30 PM
AFA +12.0.............52 - 80....LOSER
O 128.0

IONA at SIE 05:00 PM
IONA +1.0.........55 - 52,.....WINNER
O 138.5........................LOSER


IDHO at MONT 05:00 PM
IDHO +13.5
O 131.5

L-MD at ARMY 05:30 PM
L-MD +3.0..............67 - 63
O 138.0..................LOSER


*************************

BUT at XAV 06:00 PM
XAV -6.5............70 -64.....LOSER
U 133.0

SELA at UNO 06:00 PM
SELA +5.5............63 - 80....LOSER
O 148.5.......................LOSER


KSU at TCU 06:30 PM
TCU -3.5
U 127.0

CHAR at UTSA 06:30 PM
CHAR +4.5
O 139.5

DUKE at LOU 06:30 PM
LOU +2.0.........70 - 56.....LOSER
O 140.0.................LOSER


MINN at NW 06:30 PM
NW +1.0
O 140.0

**********************

TAM at VAN 07:00 PM
VAN -1.5..........68 - 79
O 131.5.................WINNER

WASH at UTAH 07:00 PM
WASH +8.5.............95 - 98....WINNER
O 145.5

RICE at MRSH 07:00 PM
MRSH -9.5
U 157.0

UNM at FRES 07:00 PM
FRES -8.5............77 - 85.....LOSER
O 125.5................WINNER

FAIR at MONM 07:30 PM
MONM -8.0...........79 - 60.....LOSER
O 140.0

BUCK at COLG 07:30 PM
COLG -11.0........75 - 105.....WINNER
U 156.0

*************************

NEB at PSU 09:00 PM
NEB +6.5...........66 - 72....WINNER
O 145.5............LOSER

DEP at PROV 09:00 PM
PROV -7.0
U 135.0

ND at UNC 09:00 PM
UNC -6.5.........59 - 101...WINNER
U 151.0

HBU at LAM 09:00 PM
LAM -5.5.........52 - 62......WINNER
U 145.0...................WINNER


ISU at OKLA 09:30 PM
ISU +11.5.........73 - 79.....WINNER
O 140.5.............WINNER

UTEP at FAU 09:30 PM
FAU +4.0
O 137.5

MVSU at PV 09:30 PM
MVSU +26.5
O 141.0

CAL at STAN 10:00 PM
STAN -6.0..........76 - 68.....LOSER
O 131.5....................WINNER




MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 10, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............- 5.00
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................168 - 172..........49.41%............- 98.00

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:

12-1? Dustin Johnson
13-1? Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
15-1? Jon Rahm
16-1? Justin Thomas
20-1? Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
24-1? Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
???..fear and desperation are running neck and neck as the prevailing sentiment within the Bears? front office right now, as its criminal mismanagement of the quarterback position has come to a crest with few easy ways out.?
Jason LaCanfora, CBS Sports

Thursday?s quiz
Who was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title?

Wednesday?s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

Tuesday?s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

**********************

Thursday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.

FS1 announcer: ?This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.?

Hahaha. Can?t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you?re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.

Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT? Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games.

12) ACC tournament:
? Syracuse 89, NC State 68? Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
? Miami 67, Clemson 64? Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
? North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59? UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.

11) Big X tournament:
? Kansas State 71, TCU 50? Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
? Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73? Cyclones didn?t win a conference game this year.

10) Big 14 tournament:
? Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46? Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino?s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State?s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino?s place. Dutcher?s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80?s.

Here?s my proposal, and I?ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray?s son. If you?ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray?s character had with gophers on the golf course.

Having Bill Murray?s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.

9) MAAC tournament:
? Iona 55, Siena 52? Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
? Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60? Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.

8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels? home court Thursday.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
? California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
? Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
? Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
? Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
? Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66

6) Pac-12 tournament:
? Utah 98, Washington 95? Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
? Cal 76, Stanford 58? Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.

5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they?re going to trade him, and he?ll be away from the team until that happens.

Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he?s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.

4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn?t gone up.

Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.

3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren?t patient.

2) Dodgers? ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn?t superstitious.

1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 11


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NCAAB

Thursday, March 11


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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 11


ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Syracuse vs Virginia

Syracuse (16-8, 10-7)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #144
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #66
? Syracuse won six of its last eight games.
? In their last six losses, Syracuse allowed 78+ points- they?re 14-2 allowing less than 78 points.
? Syracuse is #338 in country on the defensive boards.
? Syracuse made 14-29 on arc yesterday; four starters played 31:00+.
? In seven years in the ACC, Syracuse is 4-5 in this event.

Virginia (17-6, 13-4)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #110
? Continuity: #160
? Virginia won its last two games, after an 0-3 skid.
? Cavaliers are shooting 38.6% on the arc (#13)
? Virginia is #11 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last six years, Virginia is 11-4 in ACC tournament.

? Syracuse lost 81-58 at Virginia January 25; UVa made 14-31 on arc.
? Virginia is 7-4 vs Syracuse in ACC meetings.

Duke vs Florida State
Duke (13-11, 11-9)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #251
? Duke won six of its last nine games, with two of three losses in OT.
? Blue Devils gets only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)
? Duke has #222 eFG% defense in country.
? Duke played last two days; FSU has been off since Saturday.
? Duke won two of last three ACC tourneys.

Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #77
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #103
? Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
? Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
? Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
? Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.

? Duke won its last five games with Florida State; teams haven?t met this year.

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech
North Carolina (17-9, 11-6)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #41
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #256
? Tar Heels are 5-2 in their last seven games.
? Carolina has #222 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#270)
? UNC is grabbing 41.1% of its missed shots (#1)
? Tar Heels went W-L in this event three of last four years; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.

Virginia Tech (15-5, 9-4)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #245
? Continuity: #102
? This is Hokies? first game in 12 days.
? Tech is 4-3 in its last seven games.
? 41.6% of shots they take are on the arc (#65).
? Tech went W-L in ACC tourney four of last five years.

? Teams split last four series games; they haven?t met this year.
? Carolina beat the Hokies 78-56 in LY?s ACC tourney.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs West Virginia

Oklahoma State (18-7, 11-7)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #290
? Cowboys won six of their last seven games.
? Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense in country.
? Their last five wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
? Freshman star Cunningham (ankle) sat out last game; check status.
? Last six years, Oklahoma State is 2-5 in Big X tourney.

West Virginia (18-8, 11-6)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #151
? Continuity: #38
? West Virginia is 7-3 in its last ten games.
? Mountaineers shoot only 46.3% inside arc (#291)
? West Virginia is grabbing 36.1% of their missed shots (#10)
? Last four Big X tournaments, West Virginia went WWL.

? Teams split this year; Oklahoma State just won 85-80 at West Virginia Saturday.
? Cowboys won four of last five series games.

Texas vs Texas Tech
Texas (17-7, 11-6)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #112
? Continuity: #4
? Texas won its last three games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
? Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#27)
? 42.2% of Texas? shots come behind the arc (#57)
? Under Smart, Longhorns are 3-5 in Big X tournament.

Texas Tech (17-9, 9-8)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #314
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #242
? Tech won three of its last four games.
? Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#11)
? Tech gets 22% of its points on foul line (#26)
? You?re reading ***************.com.
? Under Beard, Tech is 40-31 in Big X in regular season, 1-3 in Big X tourney.

? Tech beat Texas twice this season, 79-77/68-59
? Red Raiders won seven of last eight series games.

Big East tournament (@ New York City)
Seton Hall @ St John?s

Seton Hall (13-12, 10-9)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #252
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #131
? Seton Hall lost its last four games, scoring 60.3 ppg in last three.
? Opponents are shooting 36.9% on arc (#315)
? Seton Hall is #257 in country on defensive boards.
? Last seven years, Seton Hall is 8-5 in Big East tourney.

St John?s (16-10, 10-9)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #252
? Continuity: #151
? St John?s split their last six games.
? Johnnies force turnovers 22.0% of time (#40), but still have #288 eFG%.
? St John?s scored 81+ points in four of its last five games.
? Last 4 years, St John?s won its first Big East tourney game.

? Seton Hall led Johnnies 18-0 Saturday, lost 81-71.
? Pirates won earlier meeting 77-68 at home back in December.
? Seton Hall won nine of last 12 series games.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Michigan State vs Maryland

Michigan State (15-11, 9-11)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #76
? Spartans won five of their last seven games.
? Michigan State is shooting 47.8% inside arc (#253), 32.2% on arc (#247)
? MSU lost six of its last seven games away from home.
? Spartans won four of the last eight Big 14 tourneys.

Maryland (15-12, 9-11)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #93
? Maryland lost its last two games, to Northwestern/Penn State
? Maryland is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Terrapins get 35.4% of their points on arc (#60).
? Last four years, Maryland is 0-3 in Big 14 tourney, losing by 8-5-8 points.

? Michigan State lost 73-55 at Maryland February 28.
? Spartans are 9-3 vs Maryland in Big 14 meetings.

Indiana vs Rutgers
Indiana (12-14, 7-12)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #284
? Experience: #282
? Continuity: #80
? Indiana lost last five games, scoring 59 ppg in last four.
? Hoosiers are 4-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
? Indiana is shooting 48.6% inside the arc (#228)
? Last 10 years, Nebraska is 3-7 in its first Big 14 tournament game.

Rutgers (14-10, 10-10)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #5
? Rutgers is 3-4 SU in their last seven games.
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 31.6% on arc (#271), 62.4% on foul line (#337)
? Rutgers has #65 eFG% defense in country.
? Last eight years, Rutgers is 5-7 in Big 14 tourney.

? Rutgers beat Indiana twice this year, 74-70/74-63
? Scarlet Knights won five of last six series games.

Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Nevada vs Boise State

Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
? ranked #95 by KenPom
? Tempo: #115
? Experience: #334
? Continuity: #303
? Nevada won five of its last seven games overall.
? Wolf Pack lost its last five games away from home.
? Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
? Last five years, Nevada is 6-4 in Mountain West tournament.

Boise State (18-7, 14-6)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #70
? Continuity: #245
? Boise lost its last three games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
? Broncos are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#89)
? Broncos are #28 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last nine years, Boise State is 4-9 in Mountain West tourney.

? Nevada swept Boise State 74-72/73-62 in Reno, February 5-7.
? Wolf Pack won 10 of last 11 series games.

Utah State @ UNLV
Utah State (18-7, 15-4)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #137
? Utah State won its last four games, giving up 62 ppg.
? Aggies are a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Opponents are shooting only 43.4% inside arc (#8)
? Last two years, Utah State won Mountain West tournament.

UNLV (13-14, 9-10)
? ranked #164 by KenPom
? Tempo: #287
? Experience: #261
? Continuity: #294
? UNLV lost three of its last five games.
? Rebels are 1-11 vs teams in top 100; only win was over Utah State.
? UNLV gets only 13% of its points on foul line (#345)
? Last 10+ years, UNLV is 12-10 in Mountain West tournament- last time they won it was back in 2008.

? These teams split pair in this arena on January 25-27.
? Utah State won five of last seven series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Arizona State vs Oregon

Arizona State (11-13, 8-10)
? ranked #112 by KenPom
? Tempo: #24
? Experience: #83
? Continuity: #136
? ASU is 7-5 in its last 12 games, after an 0-6 skid.
? Last three games, Sun Devils scored 61.3 ppg.
? ASU is 4-8 when it scores less than 75 points.
? Under Hurley, Sun Devils are 3-4 in Pac-12 tourney

Oregon (19-5, 14-4)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #35
? Continuity: #269
? Oregon won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Ducks are shooting 38% on the arc (#24)
? Oregon forces turnovers 20.4% of time (#86)
? Last six years, Ducks are 13-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice

? Ducks won 75-64 in Tempe on February 11.
? Oregon won 12 of last 14 series games.

Oregon State vs UCLA
Oregon State (14-12, 10-10)
? ranked #103 by KenPom
? Tempo: #318
? Experience: #76
? Continuity: #155
? Beavers won three of their last four games.
? OSU is shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#281)
? Beavers get 20.9% of their points on foul line (#53)
? Under Tinkle, Oregon State is 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney.

UCLA (17-8, 13-6)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #336
? Experience: #278
? Continuity: #223
? UCLA lost its last three games, scoring 68 ppg.
? Bruins are shooting 37.3% on the arc (#36)
? UCLA is #41 team in country on defensive boards.
? UCLA went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.

? Oregon State lost 57-52 at UCLA January 30.
? Bruins won six of last eight series games.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Mississippi State vs Kentucky

Mississippi State (14-13, 8-10)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #311
? Continuity: #253
? Bulldogs split their last ten games.
? Miss State has #29 eFG% defense in country.
? Bulldogs turn ball over over 21.8% time (#312)
? Miss State went W-L in last three SEC tourneys.

Kentucky (9-15, 8-9)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #182
? Experience: #336
? Continuity: #342
? Kentucky won four of its last six games.
? Wildcats shoot only 45.6% inside arc (#306)
? Kentucky has #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Kentucky won four of last five SEC tournaments.

? Kentucky won 78-73 in double OT in Starkville January 2nd- they were down 9 with 9:04 left in game.
? Wildcats won last fifteen series games.


------------------------------------


663BALL ST -664 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

665OHIO U -666 KENT ST
OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

667MIAMI OHIO -668 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

669BOWLING GREEN -670 AKRON
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the current season.

671MICHIGAN ST -672 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

675INDIANA -676 RUTGERS
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

679SYRACUSE -680 VIRGINIA
SYRACUSE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

687TEMPLE -688 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

689TULANE -690 TULSA
TULSA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

691E CAROLINA -692 UCF
E CAROLINA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.


----------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 11


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Cnotes53

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Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TEM at USF 12:00 PM
TEM -3.0.............71 - 73......LOSER
U 133.5

GTWN at VILL 12:00 PM
GTWN +6.5............72 - 71
O 139.0.........................WINNER

SYR at UVA 12:00 PM
UVA -5.5..................69 - 72
O 129.5.....................WINNER

MSST at UK 12:00 PM
UK -4.0..........74 - 73
O 131.5....................WINNER

**********************

UNCO at SUU 01:00 PM
SUU -7.0...........83 - 91........WINNER
O 143.5

OHIO at KENT 01:30 PM
KENT +1.5..........85 - 63
O 149.5..............LOSER

LBSU at UCSB 02:00 PM
LBSU +13.5
O 139.0

MINN at OSU 02:00 PM
MINN +11.0
O 143.0

KSU at BAY 02:30 PM
KSU +19.5.........68 - 74.....LOSER
O 136.5...............WINNER


ASU at ORE 02:30 PM
ORE -8.5
U 147.5

MIA at GT 02:30 PM
MIA +9.5..........66 - 70...WINNER
U 138.5

VAN at FLA 02:30 PM
VAN +7.5.......63 - 59..........WINNER
O 145.0........................LOSER


*********************

HALL at SJU 03:00 PM
SJU +2.5
O 149.5

ALCN at TXSO 03:00 PM
ALCN +8.5...........55 - 78...........LOSER
O 145.0

TULN at TLSA 03:00 PM
TULN +3.0.........77 - 70....WINNER
O 127.5......................WINNER


WYO at SDSU 03:00 PM
SDSU -15.0...........66 - 69....LOSER
U 144.5

M-OH at BUFF 04:00 PM
M-OH +8.0..........63 - 74......LOSER
O 151.0......................LOSER


MTST at IDST 04:00 PM
MTST -2.5
U 131.0

******************

RID at SPC 05:00 PM
SPC -6.5..........60 -75..........WINNER
O 131.0....................WINNER


CSB at UCD 05:00 PM
CSB -3.5...........95 - 87............WINNER
O 132.5.....................WINNER


ORST at UCLA 05:30 PM
ORST +5.0...........83 - 79
O 132.0......................WINNER

NEV at BSU 05:30 PM
NEV +4.5..........89 - 92
O 146.5...................WINNER

MORG at FAMU 06:00 PM
MORG -4.5..............77 - 75....LOSER
U 140.5

UNO at NWST 06:00 PM
UNO -3.0...........79 - 82.....LOSER
U 155.0

BUT at CREI 06:00 PM
CREI -10.0.......56 - 87......WINNER
U 135.5...................LOSER


OKLA at KU 06:30 PM
KU -2.5............62 -69...........WINNER
U 135.0

BGSU at AKR 06:30 PM
BGSU +2.0...........67 - 74
U 155.5...................WINNER

UTSA at WKU 06:30 PM
UTSA +7.0...........67 - 80
O 148.5....................LOSER

IND at RUTG 06:30 PM
RUTG -3.0...........51 - 66
U 130.0...................WINNER
 
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