CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

Cnotes53

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Thursday?s 6-pack
Top six scorers in the NBA:

32.3? Bradley Beal, Wash
30.5? Damian Lillard, Port
29.9? Joel Embiid, Phil
29.3? Stephen Curry, GSt
29.0? Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
28.4? Zach LaVine, Chi

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 539,421
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?My goal is to own an NBA franchise. It?ll be sooner than later.?
Lebron James

Thursday?s quiz
Since 2010, which major league team has the most regular season wins?

Wednesday?s quiz
Andy Dalton played his college football at TCU.

Tuesday?s quiz
UConn won the national title in 2014; Kevin Ollie was their coach.

***************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) NCAA updates:
? Oklahoma?s #2 scorer De?Vion Harmon is out for this week, after testing positive for COVID. Sooners play Missouri in their first round game. Harmon is averaging 12.9 ppg.
? Georgia Tech star Moses Wright, the ACC player of the year, will miss the Yellow Jackets? first-round game against Loyola-Chicago.

12) Watching lot of exhibition baseball this month, was wondering who has hit the most home runs ever in exhibition games? I?m guessing this information isn?t available and I know it isn?t important, but it would be fun to see.

Searched the Interweb but couldn?t find anything; I did see that in 2000, five Boston pitchers combined to throw a perfect game against Toronto in an exhibition game, but that?s just more useless knowledge.

11) This spring, San Diego Padres? pitchers are going to the plate with a bat in their hands, but they?re not hitting; they just take three strikes and go back to the dugout, to avoid injury. This is something Oakland?s pitchers did a few years ago, eliminates the risk of a costly injury.

Spring training games have become like basketball scrimmages, where coaches control some scenarios. Pitchers can re-enter, innings were stopped early for the first 10 days of games. It is all about getting pitchers some work, on the mound, not at the plate.

10) Francisco Lindor says he is opening to signing a contract extension with the Mets, but if it isn?t done before the season starts, then he will not discuss a contract extension during the season. This is probably a negotiating ploy, but Lindor does have leverage to get a deal done.

9) Miami Heat traded Meyers Leonard and a 2nd-round pick to Oklahoma City for Trevor Ariza. Miami will be the 35-year old Ariza?s 10th NBA team.

Weird trade; Ariza hasn?t played yet this season, but Miami announced on Twitter that it is hopeful he?ll be available to play this weekend.

As for Leonard, the Thunder said Leonard ?will not be reporting to Oklahoma City and will not be an active member of the organization.? When you?re marginal player and you yell out anti-Semitic stuff on the Interweb, your career spirals downward. Quickly.

In other words, he?ll have a lot more time to play video games, now that he is retired.

8) Chicago Bears tried really hard to trade for Russell Wilson; they offered Seattle three 1st-round picks, one 3rd-round pick and two starting players, one of whom was Khalil Mack. Seattle apparently turned them down.

ESPN?s Adam Schefter says the trade isn?t dead until the NFL Draft happens, but the Bears trading for Andy Dalton says otherwise.

7) With Drew Brees retiring, New Orleans paid its two QB?s this week; they gave Taysom Hill a four-year, $140M deal where the last three years are voidable, and they paid backup Jameis Winston $12M for 2021. Very unusual quarterback room.

Hill has played in 53 NFL games, is 3-1 as a starting quarterback; he?s thrown 134 career NFL passes, run ball 151 times, caught 30 passes. Am curious to see how this plays out.

6) NFL has a great skill of staying in the news 365 days a year, 366 in leap years. Today is March 18 and NFL is in the news as much as March Madness and more than spring training games. Part of it is because the people who run baseball are arrogant imbeciles who won?t market their sport the right way, but that?s another discussion for another day.

5) Thoughts/prayers to former NBA center Shawn Bradley, who suffered a severe spinal cord injury which left him paralyzed, after a car crashed into his bicycle. Bradley is 7-foot-6; he played 12 years in the NBA, scoring 8.1 ppg.

Since retiring from NBA in 2005, Bradley has been a counselor at a private school in Utah.

4) Couple weeks ago, Rams DT Michael Brockers declared that Matthew Stafford was an upgrade at quarterback for Los Angeles, over the departed Jared Goff. His actual quote:

?Is it a level up? In my heart, deeply, just understanding what he brings, it?s a level up. It?s a level up.?

Since then, the Rams wanted Brockers to re-do his contract, to help get the Rams under the salary cap. The two sides couldn?t come to an agreement, so Brockers is now a Detroit Lion, where one of his new teammates is?..Jared Goff.

Awkward.

3) Iowa State paid former basketball coach Steve Prohm $5.5M to take a hike, after a hideous 2-22 season. Prohm?s Cyclones had made three of previous four NCAA tournaments, but were also a combined 18-54 in conference games the last four years. 18-54 gets you fired.

Less than 24 hours later, word is out that TJ Otzelberger is bolting UNLV to take the Iowa State job; Otzelberger worked as an assistant at Iowa State from 2006-2013, and again three years later. Unnamed sources claim this deal has been done for a month or so.

Here?s the thing; Otzelberger was 28-29 in two years at UNLV and was showing zero signs of any progress. Rebels had very little depth this year; when you play in a league where lot of teams play in higher altitude, you need some depth and UNLV didn?t have much.

Rebel fans can?t be that sad to see Otzelberger go, but the program is now mired in mediocrity? next year they?ll have their fifth head coach in eight years. Richard Pitino just got hired by New Mexico, so UNLV can forget about hiring Rick Pitino as a bombshell replacement, since UNLV and New Mexico are in the same league.

Iowa State will also have to pay $4M or so to UNLV, as part of Otzelberger?s buyout.

2) Richmond 76, Toledo 66? Spiders win their NIT opener, despite being down couple of starters. Richmond had lost their last three games coming in, were down 8 with 15:43 left in this game, but they stormed back for the win and will play in the next round March 25.

1) Western Kentucky 69, Saint Mary?s 67? Big man Bassey had 19 points, 11 rebounds; Hilltoppers blew an 11-point lead, but pulled it out on free throws with 0:03.3 left and move on to the second round.

Saint Mary?s finishes 14-10 after starting out 8-1; first time in 14 years they didn?t win 20 games.
 

Cnotes53

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Betting notes for March Madness 2021

No. 1 seeds

Illinois (23-6 SU, 19-10 ATS, 16-12-1 O/U):
The Illini are primed for a deep March Madness run ? but if any games come down to performance from the line, they could be in trouble. Illinois ranks 228th nationally in free-throw success rate (69.1 percent), the lowest of any team with a Top-4 seed.

Baylor (22-2 SU, 15-9 ATS, 15-9 O/U):
Sure, the Bears lost just twice all season, but those two defeats provided good insight into how to beat Baylor: Make them miss from deep. The Bears led Division I with a 41.9-percent success rate from 3-point range, but shot just 27.2 percent in their two losses.

Michigan (20-4 SU, 17-7 ATS, 9-15 O/U):
Don't be scared off by large spreads if you're thinking about banking on the Wolverines. They went 6-1 ATS when favored by double digits this season, and are an incredible 10-1 over their last 11 when giving 10 or more points since November 2019.

Gonzaga (26-0 SU, 12-12-2 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
The Bulldogs are still looking for that elusive first NCAA Tournament title ? but bettors would just love to see them hit some covers. Gonzaga is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 tournament games, including three losses as a favorite of four or more points.


No. 2 seeds

Ohio State (21-9 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 17-12-1 O/U):
Some teams will have to worry about losing close games at the free-throw line ? but the Buckeyes likely won't be on that list. They rank 32nd in success rate from the strip (76.3 percent) while finishing fourth in Division I in total attempts (646).

Houston (24-3 SU, 19-8 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Cougars have made life positively miserable for opposing offenses, heading into the NCAA Tournament having allowed a Division I-low 37 percent field goal success rate. They also rank second overall in average scoring margin (plus-19.5).

Alabama (24-6 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U):
Plenty of tournament participants will live and die from beyond the arc ? but few are as reliant as the Crimson Tide, who have taken a whopping 912 shots from deep this season ? nearly 100 more than the next-closest team. Their 312 makes also lead the country.

Iowa (21-8 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
Superstar big man Luka Garza gets most of the attention for the Hawkeyes, but don't sleep on this team's guard play. The Hawkeyes average an NCAA-best 19.1 assists for the season, while boasting the nation's best assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.01.


No. 3 seeds

Arkansas (22-6 SU, 18-9 ATS, 14-12-1 O/U):
There could be plenty of scoring in Arkansas' NCAA Tournament games thanks largely to the Razorbacks' break-neck pace. Arkansas averages 77.1 possessions per game, 11th-most in the NCAA, while allowing more than 61 opposition shots per game.

West Virginia (18-9 SU, 13-14 ATS, 18-9 O/U):
How do you overcome an effective field-goal percentage ranked outside the Top 200? By giving yourself plenty of second chances ? and that's how the Mountaineers roll, entering the NCAA Tournament with the fifth-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6).

Kansas (20-8 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U):
Something about March Madness brings out the best in the Jayhawks' offense ? and the worst in their defense. They're 8-3 O/U in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games dating back to 2017, despite seeing totals north of 150 in five of those contests.

Texas (19-7 SU, 12-13-1 ATS, 16-10 O/U):
Discipline could be a major issue for the Longhorns entering the NCAA Tournament. They're allowing opponents to shoot an average of 21.3 free throws per game (300th in the country) and are fortunate that those foes have only made good at a 68.1-percent clip so far.


No. 4 seeds

Oklahoma State (20-8 SU, 17-10-1 ATS, 17-9-2 O/U):
This Big 12 team secured a No. 4 seed despite being the underdog in 16 of its first 28 games. And the Cowboys made good on those opportunities, going 12-4 as a 'dog this season (compared with a 5-6-1 ATS mark as a favorite).

Purdue (18-9 SU, 14-11-2 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Boilermakers have traditionally ratcheted up the offense come NCAA Tournament time ? and their opponents have followed suit. Purdue is 10-2 O/U in its last 12 tournament games, with seven of those Overs surpassing the total by 10-plus points.

Florida State (16-6 SU, 11-9-2 ATS, 14-7-1 O/U):
Searching for a team riding a current O/U heater? Look no further than the Seminoles, who are 11-2-1 O/U in their past 14 games. That trend runs counter to their recent NCAA Tournament history, with just two Overs in their past seven March Madness games.

Virginia (18-6 SU, 11-12-1 ATS, 14-10 O/U):
It isn't just that shocking loss to UMBC in 2018 that should have you wary of backing the Cavaliers. They're a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games when favored by five or more points, with two outright losses (including...you know).


No. 5 seeds

Tennessee (18-8 SU, 14-12 ATS, 11-15 O/U):
The Vols have excelled at creating additional scoring opportunities for themselves ? and limiting their opponents' chances in the process. Tennessee has forced a turnover on 20 percent of opponent possessions this season, good for 19th in the country.

Villanova (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Speaking of teams winning the TO battle, the Wildcats made a living out of that practice during the 2020-21 season. Villanova lost the turnover battle just twice in 22 games (with one tie), averaging just 9.0 turnovers per game (second fewest in Division I).

Colorado (22-8 SU, 17-13 ATS, 12-18 O/U):
If the Buffaloes can get to the foul line with any regularity, watch out. Colorado might be a one-trick pony, but it's a really impressive trick, as it ranks second in the country in free-throw shooting (82.2 percent). The Buffaloes are also 66th in attempts (510).

Creighton (20-8 SU, 13-15 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
Unlike Colorado, the Bluejays would probably prefer to stay off the line thanks to one of the strangest trends in the country. Creighton ranks inside the Top 50 in overall shooting percentage (47.6) and 3-point success rate (36.7) but is 329th in free-throw shooting (64.2 percent).


No. 6 seeds

Texas Tech (17-10 SU, 10-17 ATS, 12-15 O/U):
The Red Raiders give themselves plenty of opportunities for extra possessions, which should serve them well in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech ranks fourth in average turnover margin (plus-5.1), and 27th in offensive rebound rate (32.2 percent).

San Diego State (23-4 SU, 14-12 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
This one will play well with you first-half bettors: The Aztecs were one of the top teams in the country prior to the break, ranking just outside the Top 60 in first-half scoring (36.0 points per game) while placing fourth in the country in 1H scoring defense (27.2).

USC (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS, 15-14 O/U):
If season trends hold, the Trojans will almost certainly dare opponents to beat them from beyond the arc at the NCAA Tournament. USC has held foes to a 42.2-percent shooting rate on two-point attempts, the second-lowest mark in the country.

BYU (20-6 SU, 14-8-3 ATS, 12-12-1 O/U):
Being a consistently good road cover is not easy ? but the West Coast Conference produced three teams this year that had cover rates of 67 percent or better on the road. The Cougars led the way with an incredible 7-1-1 ATS mark away from the Marriott Center.


No. 7 seeds

Florida (14-9 SU, 10-13 ATS, 10-12-1 O/U):
The Gators have been terrific betting options in their NCAA Tournament openers over the previous decade, having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Their lone non-cover in that span? A 67-55 win over Albany as a 21.5-point favorite in 2014.

Clemson (16-7 SU, 11-11-1 ATS, 11-11-1 O/U):
The Tigers won't be mistaken for Baylor or Gonzaga from an offensive standpoint, but it wouldn't kill them to get to the free-throw line. Clemson attempted just 298 foul shots in 23 games this season, good for an average of 13.0 (which ranks 342nd overall).

UConn (15-7 SU, 16-6 ATS, 11-11 O/U):
The Huskies were a bettor's dream in 2020-21 ? except for when they were matched up against elite competition. UConn went 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS in four games against ranked teams this season, and were 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS against everyone else.

Oregon (20-6 SU, 14-12 ATS, 17-9 O/U):
Win or lose, you'll have a hard finding a better historic cover option than the Ducks. Oregon has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament games and has one of the best cover records of any team over the past eight years at a sizzling 15-4.


No. 8 seeds

Loyola-Chicago (24-4 SU, 16-9-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
The 3-pointer might be the hottest thing going, but there's still plenty of value in layups and mid-range jumpers. And few teams are better in that area than the Ramblers, who enter the NCAA tournament ranked fourth in the nation in 2-point shooting (58.0 percent).

North Carolina (18-10 SU, 13-13-2 ATS, 13-15 O/U):
Playing on neutral ground could be just the thing to invigorate the inconsistent Tar Heels entering March Madness. While they were a dismal 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games, they posted an impressive 4-1-2 mark in seven neutral-site games this season.

LSU (18-9 SU, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
Looking for some live bet guidance? Consider the Over on the second-half total of any LSU game. The Tigers not only average 42.4 second-half points per game (12th in the country), they're allowing a whopping 39.9 themselves (good for 305th overall).

Oklahoma (15-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Sooners are the answer to the question: "Which team has the longest ATS losing streak entering the NCAA Tournament?" Oklahoma has failed to cover in seven straight and is also just 5-10-1 ATS as a fave compared with 7-2 ATS as a dog.


No. 9 seeds

Georgia Tech (17-8 SU, 15-10 ATS, 14-10-1 O/U):
When you have a deficiency as large as the Yellow Jackets' board work ? they rank 284th in the country in rebounding margin ? you'd better have an ace up your sleeve. And Georgia Tech certainly does, ranking sixth in steals (9.2) and eighth in turnover margin (4.8).

Wisconsin (17-12 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
While most people were happy to bid farewell to 2020, the new year hasn't exactly been kind to the Badgers. They've struggled mightily against elite competition since the calendar flipped to 2021, going 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in nine games vs. ranked opponents.

St. Bonaventure (16-4 SU, 13-5-2 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Are the Bonnies this year's best "Under/Cover" option? They certainly fit that bill during the season. In addition to converting five straight cover/Under combos earlier in the year, they come into March Madness having gone 6-1-1 ATS and 2-6 O/U in their last eight.

Missouri (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-10-2 O/U):
The Tigers' cover-less streak at the NCAA Tournament has lasted more than a decade. Missouri is a dismal 0-5 SU and ATS in its previous five tournament appearances dating back to the 2010 event, including an 86-84 loss to Norfolk State as a 21-point favorite in 2012.


No. 10 seeds

Virginia Tech (15-6 SU, 11-10 ATS, 11-9-1 O/U):
Every NCAA Tournament team has had to deal with a schedule disruption of some sort ? but the Hokies are in a zone all their own. Their tournament opener will mark just their fourth game in 41 days, the fewest of any March Madness entrants over that span.

Rutgers (15-11 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
Don't expect to see the Scarlet Knights win an NCAA Tournament game at the free-throw line. Not only does Rutgers rank 329th in the nation in success rate at 63.2 percent, it has attempted just over 16 foul shots per game (ranking just inside the Top 300).

Maryland (16-13 SU, 12-16 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U):
A lack of extra possessions could make the Terrapins' stay in Indianapolis a short one. Maryland comes in ranked near the bottom of the nation in offensive rebounds per game (5.8, 327th) and OReb% (19.6, 320th), and forces just 11.1 turnovers per outing (312th).

VCU (19-7 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 10-16 O/U):
Sometimes, it's the little things that make a big difference come tournament time ? and the Rams do them better than just about anyone, ranked fifth in Division I in steals per game (9.2) and fifth in blocked shots (5.4). Their 14.6 "stocks" per game lead the country.


No. 11 seeds

Utah State (20-8 SU, 16-11 ATS, 11-16 O/U):
The Aggies are a force on the boards, and that could help them pull off an upset or two at the NCAA Tournament. Utah State boasts the No. 2 rebound margin in the nation at plus-10.3, ranking 11th in OReb% at 34.6 and sixth in DReb% at 80.7.

Syracuse (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-12 O/U):
The Orange might be a lower seed, but they come into the NCAA Tournament with plenty of momentum. Syracuse has gone an incredible 8-2 ATS in its last 10 March Madness games, including five victories as outright underdogs over that span.

Drake (25-4 SU, 21-6 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
The top ATS team in the nation might generate plenty of interest come tournament time ? but there are reasons to be wary. The Bulldogs are just 8-6 ATS in their past 12 games since starting out 13-0, and they're a mediocre 2-2 ATS as an underdog.

Wichita State (16-5 SU, 9-9-1 ATS, 9-10 O/U):
Getting to the NCAA Tournament is difficult enough ? but reaching the pinnacle of men's basketball while shooting just 40.8 percent is an even more challenging task. Wichita State's dismal shooting percentage is the lowest of any participant in this year's event.

UCLA (17-9 SU, 12-14 ATS, 15-11 O/U):
Take the Bruins out of Pauley Pavilion, and they've been a major disappointment from a covering perspective so far this season. UCLA has struggled to a 4-10 ATS mark in 14 games away from L.A.: 3-8 in 11 true road games, and 1-2 in three neutral-site outings.

Michigan State (15-12 SU, 9-18 ATS, 10-17 O/U):
Only 14 teams finished with a worse regular-season ATS mark than the Spartans, who were a particularly terrible 3-11 ATS as a favorite. That includes four outright defeats as a favorite, en route to their worst regular-season showing since 1996.


No. 12 seeds

Oregon State (17-12 SU, 18-9-1 ATS, 17-11 O/U):
We know how people love those 12-seed upsets when making their first-round bracket predictions or bets ? and the Beavers certainly fit the bill. Oregon State went an incredible 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season and was also 3-0 ATS in neutral-site games.

Winthrop (23-1 SU, 13-11 ATS, 11-12-1 O/U):
The Eagles know how to wring out as many extra possessions as possible ? and that could serve them well in Indianapolis. Winthrop ranks 18th in forced turnovers per game (16.3), 14th in offensive rebounds (13.0), and fifth in "extra scoring chances" (7.3).

Georgetown (13-12 SU, 16-9 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Hoyas are a dangerous team from the free-throw line ? but they'll need to be better from the floor. G Jahvon Blair and F Qudus Wahab are the only players in the Top 20 in the Big East in scoring that shoot below 40 percent from the field and better than 80 percent from the foul line.

UC Santa Barbara (21-4 SU, 14-10 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
There's a great first-half wagering opportunity with the Gauchos, if you believe in their season trend. UC Santa Barbara limited opponents to just 27.5 first-half points per game, sixth-lowest in the country - that figure jumps to 35.4 in the second half.


No. 13 seeds

Liberty (23-5 SU, 16-8 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U):
If you're looking for a 13-seed upset candidate. the Flames are here for you. Their 57.4-percent effective field goal rate ranks fourth in the nation, and third among NCAA Tournament entrants. The two teams ahead of them? Gonzaga and Baylor.

North Texas (17-9 SU, 16-9 ATS, 10-15 O/U):
The Mean Green are no strangers to life on the road ? and they've thrived heading into the NCAA Tournament. North Texas is on an incredible 8-2 ATS run over its previous 10 games, with seven of those games coming away from Denton.

UNC Greensboro (21-7 SU, 17-11 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
If the Spartans manage to pull off an upset at the NCAA Tournament, it likely won't be from a 3-point barrage. UNC Greensboro enters as the second-worst 3-point shooting team in the competition, ranked 311th overall at 30.0 percent.

Ohio (16-7 SU, 14-8 ATS, 13-9 O/U):
The Bobcats might be up against it in Round 1, but they come into the NCAA Tournament as one of the hottest ATS teams in the country. Ohio is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall, a stretch that includes four victories as outright underdogs.


No. 14 seeds

Colgate (14-1 SU, 10-5 ATS, 8-7 O/U):
Much has been made about the Raiders' sensational offense (86.3 ppg, second in the country) ? but bettors should also note their 3-point dominance. Colgate ranks third in long-range shooting (40 percent) while boasting the No. 1 3-point defense (26.1 percent).

Morehead State (23-7 SU, 19-9 ATS, 10-18 O/U):
The Eagles would love for their first-round game to be decided at the charity stripe. They allow just 13.5 free-throw attempts per game (third fewest in the country) and enter the NCAA Tournament with a plus-6.0 average FT attempt margin.

Eastern Washington (16-7 SU, 15-7 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Look for the Eagles to get off to a fast start. Eastern Washington owns a plus-6.9 first-half scoring margin for the season, good for 15th in the country. That rate jumps to plus-16.7 over its previous three games, tops in the nation.

Abilene Christian (23-4 SU, 16-6 ATS, 14-8 O/U):
The Wildcats could make some noise in the NCAA Tournament if they continue to rock those sticky fingers. Abilene Christian leads the nation in forced turnovers per game (20.3) while sitting second overall in steals per outing (9.9).


No. 15 seeds

Oral Roberts (16-10 SU, 14-9 ATS, 16-7 O/U):
The Golden Eagles as a dual-threat 15-seed? Believe it. Not only does Oral Roberts boast the No. 1 free-throw success rate in college basketball (82.4 percent), it also makes a whopping 11.3 3-pointers per game, the most in the country.

Cleveland State (19-7 SU, 18-8 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
Discipline will be critical if the Vikings hope to be competitive in Round 1. Cleveland State ranked just inside the Top 300 in personal fouls per game (19.2) while allowing 21 free-throw attempts (and 15.3 makes) per outing.

Iona (12-5 SU, 11-5-1 ATS, 9-8 O/U):
The Gaels are back in the NCAA Tournament, which probably means another non-cover and an offensive explosion on behalf of the competition. Iona is just 1-6 ATS in its previous seven appearances, with its opponents averaging 88.1 points in that span.

Grand Canyon (17-6 SU, 15-5 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Here are your "Under/Cover" champions for 2020-21. The Antelopes rode the country's No. 9 scoring defense (61.1 ppg against) and plus-9.6 average scoring margin to 13 ATS/Under combos on the season, the most of any team in the country.


No. 16 seeds

Drexel (10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS, 9-7 O/U):
The catalyst behind the Dragons' first NCAA Tournament appearance in 25 years? Superior shooting across the board. Drexel shot 47.7 percent this season (up from 44.1 percent in 2019-20), 77.7 percent from the line (up from 70.0), and 37.2 percent from deep (up from 34.9).

Hartford (15-8 SU, 15-8 ATS, 9-14 O/U):
The Hawks' best chance at an unlikely first-round NCAA Tournament upset: Continuing the sensational perimeter defense it displayed during the season. Hartford boasts the nation's 10th-best 3-point field goal percentage against at 27.9 percent.

Texas Southern (16-8 SU, 11-10-2 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U):
If March Madness success comes down to 3-point shooting, the Tigers are in a world of hurt. Not only do they have the worst long-range shooting of any team in the NCAA Tournament, their 27.6-percent success rate from deep ranks sixth-worst in all of Division I.

Mount St. Mary's (12-10 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-14 O/U):
If you're looking for a nice Under play this week, the Mountaineers are ready to abide. They saw an average of just 126 points scored in their 22 games this season, the lowest average score of any team in the NCAA Tournament.

Appalachian State (17-11 SU, 14-9-1 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
The Mountaineers have had no problem being the underdog this season. They went 8-6 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in 14 games in that situation, including three straight outright victories as an underdog to win the Sun Belt Conference title.

Norfolk State (16-7 SU, 12-9 ATS, 12-9 O/U):
We've saved the best for last ? if you like chippy encounters, that is. The Spartans rank 307th in personal fouls per game (19.7) while drawing nearly 20 per game of their own ? and that means a combined 46.8 foul shots per game, the most in the country.
 

Cnotes53

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711NORFOLK ST -712 APPALACHIAN ST
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

713DRAKE -714 WICHITA ST
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

717UCLA -718 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

719NC STATE -720 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

721SMU -722 BOISE ST
SMU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.



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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 18


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NORFOLK ST (16 - 7) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (17 - 11) - 3/18/2021, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DRAKE (25 - 4) vs. WICHITA ST (16 - 5) - 3/18/2021, 6:27 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DRAKE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (12 - 10) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (16 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 5:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (17 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (15 - 12) - 3/18/2021, 9:57 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UCLA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UCLA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (13 - 10) vs. DAVIDSON (13 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 225-172 ATS (+35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 110-70 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NC STATE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (11 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (17 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 96-136 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 18


NCAA tournament
Texas Southern vs Mount St Mary (@ Indiana U)

Texas Southern (16-8)
? ranked #229 by KenPom
? Tempo: #41
? Experience: #5
? Continuity: #238
? Tigers won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 games.
? Texas Southern is 3-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
? Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Texas Southern is coached by former LSU coach Johnny Jones.
? Tigers are shooting 27.7% on arc (#342)
? Texas Southern is 1-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 0-3.

Mount St Mary (12-10)
? ranked #219 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #142
? Mountaineers are 1-3 outside the NEC.
? Mountaineers finished T3rd in the NEC regular season.
? Mount St Mary won last four games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
? Mountaineers have #14 eFG% defense.
? Mount St Mary split two play-in games, in 2014, 2017

? Since 2006, NEC teams are 4-3 in these play-in games.
? Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-9 in play-in games.

Drake vs Wichita State (@ Purdue)
Drake (25-4)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #265
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #179
? Drake gets 6-6 Hemphill back; good player. He missed last nine games.
? Drake?s PG is out for the year.
? Drake is 9-0 outside MVC (non-conference schedule #310)
? Bulldogs have #30 eFG% in country.
? Drake is 7-4 in last 11 games, after an 18-0 start.
? Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008. .

Wichita State (16-5)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #225
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #234
? Wichita won eight of its last nine games.
? Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
? Wichita shoots only 44.7% inside arc (#322)
? Shockers are 2-4 this season vs teams in top 100.
? Wichita is in NCAAs for 8th time in nine years but have rookie head coach now, who was an interim coach most of season.
? Since 2012, Shockers are 5-2 in first tourney game.
? Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in conference games.

? These teams were MVC rivals until 2017.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in their first tourney game.

Applachian State vs Norfolk State (@ Indiana U)
Applachian State (17-11)
? ranked #209 by KenPom
? Tempo: #310
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #237
? ASU has four wins vs non-D-I teams- before winning Sun Belt tourney, they were only 9-11 vs D-I teams.
? Two of their four wins in Sun Belt tourney were in OT.
? Mountaineers have #274 eFG% in country (46.7% inside arc, #283)
? 43.9% of shots they take are on the arc (#38)
? Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
? App State beat South Carolina State of MEAC 81-61 November 25.
? Mountaineers went 7-8 in Sun Belt this season.
? Last time App State made NCAAs was 2000.

Norfolk State (16-7)
? ranked #200 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #125
? Norfolk State won eight of its last nine games.
? Spartans have #54 eFG% defense in country.
? Norfolk beat James Madison/George Mason on the road.
? Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#33)
? Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed.

? Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
? Since 2004, MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.

UCLA vs Michigan State (@ Purdue)
UCLA (17-9)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #25
? UCLA lost its last four games, giving up 74.8 ppg.
? UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
? Bruins are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Since 2009, UCLA is 8-7 in NCAAs; they?re 8-2 in first game of last 10 tournaments they were in.
? Cronin is 6-11 in NCAAs, 5-6 in his first game of tournament.

Michigan State (15-12)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #166
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #75
? Spartans lost three of their last five games.
? Michigan State has #266 eFG% in country (##255 on arc, #252 inside arc).
? MSU is 6-0 outside the Big 14 this season (#220 non-conf schedule)
? Spartans are 17-8 in last 25 NCAA tournament games.

? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in play-in/first round games.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
? This game is at Purdue, John Wooden?s alma mater.

NIT tournament
Davidson vs NC State (@ Denton, TX)

Davidson (13-8)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #181
? Continuity: #36
? Davidson lost three of its last five games.
? Wildcats are 5-3 outside the A-14.
? Davidson gets 40.4% of their points on arc (#12)
? Wildcats shoot 56.8% inside arc (#8).

NC State (13-10)
? ranked #73 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #223
? Continuity: #128
? NC State won five of their last six games.
? Wolfpack force turnovers 22.0% of time (#37)
? NC State is 5-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Wolfpack lost 80-69 at Saint Louis of A-14 on December 17.

SMU vs Boise State (@ Frisco, TX)
SMU (11-5)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #52
? SMU has played one game since February 8th.
? SMU was down 61-41 with 6:05 left Friday, lost 74-71.
? Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#8)
? Mustangs start four juniors and a senior- they?re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
? SMU lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.

Boise State (18-8)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #245
? Boise lost its last four games, all by 7 or fewer points, or in OT.
? Broncos split their last ten games, after a 6-0 start.
? Broncos are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#71)
? Boise State is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Boise State has #29 eFG% defense in country.


-------------------------------

NCAAB

Thursday, March 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Southern @ Mount St. Mary's
Texas Southern
No trends to report
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report

Drake @ Wichita State
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 5 games when playing Wichita State
Drake is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Wichita State
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wichita State's last 5 games when playing Drake

North Carolina State @ Davidson
North Carolina State
No trends to report
Davidson
No trends to report

Appalachian State @ Norfolk State
Appalachian State
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report

Southern Methodist @ Boise State
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Southern Methodist

UCLA @ Michigan State
UCLA
UCLA is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA


-------------------------------------------


FRIDAY


Friday


725HARTFORD -726 BAYLOR
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

727WISCONSIN -728 N CAROLINA
WISCONSIN is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

729WINTHROP -730 VILLANOVA
WINTHROP is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

731N TEXAS -732 PURDUE
N TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

733UTAH ST -734 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a favorite since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 19


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 19


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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 19


NCAA Tournament
Virginia Tech (10) vs Florida (7)

Virginia Tech (15-6)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #102
? Tech has played only three games (1-2) since February 6.
? Hokies lost three of their last five games.
? 41% of their shots are 3-pointers (#80)
? Tech is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
? Hokies are in 4th straight NCAA tourney; they?re 1-2 in last three first round games- they made Sweet 16 two years ago.

Florida (14-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #164
? Florida lost three of its last four games.
? Gators lost 83-71 to ACC?s Florida State December 12.
? Gators are #301 team in country on defensive boards.
? Florida won its last seven first round tournament games.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, ACC teams were 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams were 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ?em.

Colgate (14) vs Arkansas (3)
Colgate (14-1)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #25
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #46
? Colgate played 13 of 15 games vs three teams: Army Boston U, Holy Cross- they?re jumping way up in class here.
? Red Raiders have made 40% of their 3-pointers (#3)
? Colgate won its last 13 games- they lost 75-73 to Army January 3rd.
? Colgate lost 77-70 to Tennessee in 2019, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Arkansas (22-6)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #238
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won nine of its last ten games.
? Arkansas is 8-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #282)
? Razorbacks are 17-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Arkansas won three of last four first round games; Musselman was 1-2 in first round games while coaching Nevada.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored in first round.
? Since 2005, Patriot League teams are 9-6 ATS in first round games, covering last three, in losses by 6-4-7 points.

Drexel (16) vs Illinois (1)
Drexel (12-7)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #3
? Drexel lost 83-74 to #89 Pitt, their only top 100 game this year.
? Dragons have #35 eFG%; they?re shooting 37.2% on arc (#37)
? Drexel won CAA tournament; they were only 8-7 before that.
? Dragons are in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1996.

Illinois (23-6)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #48
? Illinois won 14 of its last 15 games.
? Illini is shooting 37.6% on arc (#25)
? Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
? Illini opened season with two games vs teams outside top 100; they won by 62-59 points- those teams were also outside top 200. Drexel is #146.
? This is Illinois? first NCAA Tournament since 2013.
? Underwood is 2-2 in first round games (Oklahoma State/SF Austin)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 SU in NCAA games, 5-2 ATS.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Utah State (11) vs Texas Tech (6)
Utah State (20-8)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #137
? Aggies won six of their last seven games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#4)
? Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Aggies get 55.5% of their points inside arc (#44)
? Since 2003, Utah State is 0-7 SU in first round games; they lost 78-61 as an 8-seed to Washington in last tournament, two years ago.

Texas Tech (17-10)
? ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #241
? Tech lost four of their last seven games.
? Red Raiders force turnovers 23.8% of time (#8)
? Tech gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#32)
? Beard is 2-0 in first round games at Tech, winning by 10-15 points.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Ohio State (2)
Oral Roberts (16-10)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last five games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.8% on arc (#11), 82.6% on line (#1)
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Ohio State (21-9)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #170
? Ohio State is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.
? Buckeyes are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Holtmann is 2-0 in first round at Ohio State, winning by 8-3 points.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Summit teams are 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 first round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Hartford (16) vs Baylor (1)
Hartford (15-8)
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #269
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #29
? Hartford lost by 12 to UConn, by 34 to Villanova, their only top 150 games.
? Hawks are a bad rebounding team (#211 on defensive boards)
? Hartford won its last five games, giving up 62.6 ppg.
? This is first time Hartford has played in NCAA Tournament.

Baylor (22-2)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #31
? Baylor is 5-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.8% on the arc (#8)
? Baylor is 12-0 vs teams outside top 100, with nine wins by 18+ points.
? Under Drew, Baylor is 5-3 in first round games (4-4 ATS)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
? Last seven years, America East teams are 5-2 ATS in first round.

Georgia Tech (9) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Georgia Tech (17-8)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Tech won its last eight games, winning first ACC tourney since 1993.
? Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.8% of time (#15)
? Tech is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#24)
? Yellow Jackets are in NCAA?s for first time since 2010.
? Pastner was 2-2 in first round games when he coached Memphis.

Loyola Chi (24-4)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
? Loyola is shooting 58% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 4-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.

Oregon State (12) vs Tennessee (5)
Oregon State (17-12)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #155
? Oregon State won six of its last seven games.
? Oregon State is getting 21.0% of its points on foul line (#51)
? Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#276)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
? Beavers are in tournament for first time since 2016-they lost 75-67 to VCU

Tennessee (18-8)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #108
? Tennessee split its last eight games.
? Vols are 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#14)
? Barnes is 11-4 SU in his last fifteen first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 16-12-2 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored.

Liberty (13) vs Oklahoma State (4)
Liberty (23-5)
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #348
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #167
? Liberty won its last 12 games.
? Flames beat Miss State, South Carolina; lost by 4 to TCU.
? Liberty is shooting 56.7% inside arc, has #4 eFG% in country.
? Liberty upset Miss State in first round game two years ago.

Oklahoma State (20-8)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #43
? Experience: #324
? Continuity: #289
? Oklahoma State won eight of its last ten games.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#298)
? Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense.
? Cowboys are 7-0 outside the Big X.
? OSU lost last five first round games; their last first round win was 2009.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
? Last seven years, Atlantic Sun teams are 6-2 ATS in play-in/first round games.

Wisconsin (9) vs North Carolina (8)
Wisconsin (17-12)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers lost six of their last eight games.
? Wisconsin went 9-11 in last 20 games, after an 8-1 start.
? Badgers are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#292)
? Wisconsin is #69 on defensive boards, important stat vs Tar Heels.
? Gard is 2-1 in first round games; wins were in 2016, 2017.

North Carolina (18-10)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #45
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #158
? Carolina won three of last four games, losing in ACC semis.
? Tar Heels are grabbing 41.4% of their missed shots (#1 in country)
? Thats important because their eFG% is #246 in country.
? UNC is 6-8 this season vs teams in top 50.
? North Carolina won its last 17 first round games; they?re usually a much higher seed than this, but they were an 8-seed in 2013, a 6-seed in 2004. Last time they lost in first round? 1999.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 SU in first round (11-8 ATS)

Cleveland State (15) vs Houston (2)
Cleveland State (19-7)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #282
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #113
? Cleveland State won 19 of its last 23 games, after an 0-3 start.
? Vikings lost 67-61 at Ohio State in December, a positive sign.
? Cleveland State is only #302 in country on defensive boards.
? Vikings are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with Wright State.
? Cleveland State had lost 20+ games the previous five years; their last NCAA bid was 12 years ago, when they upset Wake Forest in first round.

Houston (24-3)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #25
? Continuity: #55
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Cougars won their last seven games, five of them by 24+ points.
? Under Kelvin Sampson, Houston is 2-0 in first round, winning by 2-29 points.
? This game is in Indiana U?s gym; Sampson used to be Indiana?s coach, and it didn?t go well for him there.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 SU in first round.
? Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA?s (2-6 ATS)

North Texas (13) vs Purdue (4)
North Texas (17-9)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #95
? Mean Green is 4-8 this season vs top 100 teams.
? North Texas allowed 54 ppg in its four C-USA tournament wins.
? Mean Green has #20 eFG% defense in country.
? North Texas is shooting 37.3% on arc (#33)
? This is first NCAA for North Texas since 2010.

Purdue (18-9)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #274
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #115
? Purdue won five of their last six games.
? Boilermakers are a top 25 rebounding team.
? Purdue is 10-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Under Painter, Purdue is 9-2 SU in first round games.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Rutgers (10) vs Clemson (7)
Rutgers (15-11)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #5
? Rutgers is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Rutgers is 4-0 outside Big 14, with a win over ACC?s Syracuse.
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 59.3% inside arc (#12).
? Rutgers is 7-10 vs teams in top 50.
? Rutgers is in NCAA?s for first time since 1991.

Clemson (22-4, 16-3)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? This is Clemson?s first game in nine days.
? Tigers won six of their last eight games.
? Clemson is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#49)
? Clemson is 6-0 outside the ACC, beating Alabama, Purdue.
? Tigers are in NCAA?s for first time they made Sweet 16 in 2018.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Syracuse (11) vs San Diego State (6)
Syracuse (16-9)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? Syracuse won six of their last nine games.
? Orangemen are 3-7 vs teams in the top 50.
? Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
? Since 2009, Syracuse is 8-1 SU in first round games.

San Diego State (23-4)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? Aztecs won their last fourteen games.
? Opponents are shooting 44.5% of time (#13)
? San Diego State is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25)
? Aztecs are shooting 37.5% on the arc (#27)
? San Diego State won four of last six first round tournament games.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Morehead State (14) vs West Virginia (3)
Morehead State (23-7)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #205
? Continuity: #266
? Morehead won 7 in a row, 19 of last 20 games.
? Eagles are 3-4 outside OVC, losing by 36-18-33-15 points- the four losses are their only top 100 games this season.
? Morehead is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#332)
? This is Morehead?s first NCAA Tournament in ten years.

West Virginia (18-9)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #114
? Experience: #153
? Continuity: #43
? West Virginia lost three of its last four games.
? West Virginia is grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#13)
? Mountaineers are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? West Virginia gets 22.5% of its points on foul line (#16)
? WVU is 5-2 SU in its last seven first round games.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Winthrop (12) vs Villanova (5)
Winthrop (23-1)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #17
? This is Winthrop?s first game in 12 days.
? Winthrop?s only loss was 57-55 to NC-Asheville on February 29.
? Winthrop beat Furman/NC-Greensboro, their only top 100 games.
? Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#23)
? Last time Winthrop was in NCAAs was 2017.

Villanova (16-6)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #131
? Continuity: #6
? Villanova lost last two games, with PG Gillespie out for year.
? Villanova is 5-5 in last ten games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats? bench plays #322 minutes; injuries are costly.
? Villanova won its last six first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Big East teams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as first round favorites.
? Last five years, Big South teams are 1-4 ATS in this round.

NIT tournament
Buffalo vs Colorado State (@ Denton, TX)

Buffalo (16-8)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #48
? Continuity: #47
? Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, but lost in MAC final.
? Bulls have #27 eFG% defense in country.
? Buffalo is grabbing 37.4% of its missed shots (#5)

Colorado State (18-6)
? ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #122
? Experience: #308
? Continuity: #37
? Rams won six of their last eight games.
? Colorado State is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#14).
? 44.4% of shots they take are 3?s (#32)

Louisiana Tech vs Ole Miss (@ Frisco, TX)
Louisiana Tech (21-7)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #125
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #117
? Bulldogs won five of last six D-I games.
? La Tech lost 86-55 at LSU, their only game against an SEC team.
? Bulldogs have the #16 eFG% defense- they?re #25 on defensive boards.

Ole Miss (16-11)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #107
? Continuity: #219
? Ole Miss is 4-3 in its last seven games.
? Rebels are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#18)
? Ole Miss is shooting 29.9% on arc (#315)


------------------------------------------


Saturday


NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 20


attachment.php





NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 20


attachment.php
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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THURSDAY, MARCH 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TXSO at MSM 05:10 PM
TXSO +1.5.............60 - 52......WINNER
U 133.5

DRKE at WICH 06:27 PM
DRKE -2.0............53 - 52
U 140.5.................WINNER

NCST at DAV 07:00 PM
DAV -1.5............75 - 61......LOSER
O 138.0...................LOSER

APP at NORF 08:40 PM
NORF +3.5............53 - 54.......WINNER
O 133.5.......................LOSER


SMU at BSU 09:00 PM
BSU -1.0...............84 - 85.....PUSH
U 144.5

UCLA at MSU 09:57 PM
MSU -2.0...............86 -80...........LOSER
U 134.5



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%..........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+2000


TOTALS..................7-4-1.................63.63%.........+13.00
 
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Cnotes53

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Friday?s 6-pack
Players who played most games in NBA history:

1,611? Robert Parish
1,560? Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
1,541? Vince Carter
1,522? Dirk Nowitzi
1,504? John Stockton
1,476? Karl Malone

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 539,629
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Video is so important, to have that immediate feedback. It helps pitchers, catchers, hitters, and lets you know if what you?re seeing is right or wrong.?
JT Realmuto

Friday?s quiz
What is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament?

Thursday?s quiz
Since 2010, Dodgers (962) have the most regular season wins.

Wednesday?s quiz
Andy Dalton played his college football at TCU.

***********************

Friday?s Den: Welcome to the best weekend of the year

13) UCLA 86, Michigan State 80 OT
? Spartans led by 11 at halftime- they scored 3 points in last 6:20.
? Michigan State lost four of its last six games.
? UCLA breaks a 4-game skid, plays BYU Saturday.

12) Drake 53, Wichita State 52
? Drake scored 25 points in first 28:36, 28 points in last 11:24.
? When they were MVC rivals, Wichita beat Drake the last 14 times they played.
? Bulldogs move on to play USC Saturday.

11) Texas Southern 60, Mount St Mary?s 52
? Mount St Mary?s led by 10 at half, scored only 22 points in 2nd half.
? Texas Southern has won 15 of its last 16 games.
? Tigers move on to play #1-seed Michigan Saturday.

10) Norfolk State 54, Appalachian State 53:
? Norfolk led by 19 in second half, blew the lead, rallied from down 6 with 5:22 left.
? App State missed their first 19 3-pointers, finished 6-36.
? Norfolk State moves on to play #1 Gonzaga Saturday.

9) Jalen Wilson, leading rebounder for Kansas, is out for the Jayhawks? first round game with Eastern Washington.

8) Gonzaga is the 20th team to be unbeaten heading into the NCAA Tournament; of the previous 19, seven of them won the NCAA title, with Indiana in 1976 the last one. Lot more teams in the tournament since the mid-80?s; have to win six games to win a title now.

7) 12 of the last 32 national champs won their conference tournament.

6) In the NFL, Buffalo Bills signed former Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky to be their backup QB. Wonder how the Bears? GM explains away trading 3rd and 4th-round picks to move up to draft Trubisky, when Patrick Mahomes was sitting there in the same draft. Oy.

5) Las Vegas Raiders want backup QB Marcus Mariota to take a pay cut, from $10.725M to $3M a year. If Mariota declines, Raiders are expected to release him. Dallas needs a backup QB, so Mariota could land there if the Raiders release him.

4) According to the Boston Globe and Andy, who reads this website, New England Patriots were ?uncharacteristically extravagant in NFL free agency Monday, essentially buying a new team? for ?21, awarding contracts to seven free agents with a ?maximum value? close to $200M and nearly $100M in guarantees.

Of the previous five NFL teams who spent that much dinero on free agents, none of them made the playoffs the following season.

3) In baseball, hitters seem happy that in-game video is back in dugouts this season; there are lot of hitters who became dependent on seeing their at-bats when they got back to the dugout, so they could make adjustments for their next turn at the dish.

2) When I was in high school, a long time ago, the mid-70?s, ESPN didn?t exist yet and I didn?t have control of our family?s remote control anyway, so I spent lot of nights in my room, listening to ballgames on the radio. Lot of nights.

My parents had this battery-powered radio that was the size of a shoe box; at night, it could get any station between Albany and Detroit and as far south as Baltimore, St Louis on a good night.

For 2-3 years, I spent a ton of time listening to Cleveland Indians games on WWWE in the summer and Cavaliers? games in the winter. Joe Tait was the play-by-play guy for both teams; he was enthusiastic but fair, smart as hell and he taught me a lot about sports, he helped fuel the passion for sports that I still carry today.

Mr Tait passed away last week at age 83; I was watching the replay of an Indians? spring training game the other night and they paid tribute to him. He was so much fun to listen to, yelling ?Bingo!!!!? when Bobby Smith would nail a jumper; his banter with baseball partner Herb Score taught me a lot about baseball.

RIP sir, you were freakin? great at your job.

1) Somewhere upstairs in this house of mine, there is a cassette tape with the last inning of a 1977 Indians-Angels game, Dennis Eckersley?s no-hitter. I had this genius idea that I could be a broadcaster, so I would tape broadcasters and try to learn how they did it. That plan never got too far off the ground.

This afternoon, I looked up the boxscore of that 1977 game, 44 years ago and it downed on me; of the 10 guys who started for the Indians that night, four of them are still baseball broadcasters:
? Dennis Eckersley (Red Sox)
? Ray Fosse (A?s)
? Duane Kuiper (Giants)
? Rick Manning (Indians)

Enjoy the basketball games this weekend; if you see a pizza delivery guy wandering around lost, send him to my house.
 

Cnotes53

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Betting notes for March Madness 2021

No. 1 seeds

Illinois (23-6 SU, 19-10 ATS, 16-12-1 O/U):
The Illini are primed for a deep March Madness run ? but if any games come down to performance from the line, they could be in trouble. Illinois ranks 228th nationally in free-throw success rate (69.1 percent), the lowest of any team with a Top-4 seed.

Baylor (22-2 SU, 15-9 ATS, 15-9 O/U):
Sure, the Bears lost just twice all season, but those two defeats provided good insight into how to beat Baylor: Make them miss from deep. The Bears led Division I with a 41.9-percent success rate from 3-point range, but shot just 27.2 percent in their two losses.

Michigan (20-4 SU, 17-7 ATS, 9-15 O/U):
Don't be scared off by large spreads if you're thinking about banking on the Wolverines. They went 6-1 ATS when favored by double digits this season, and are an incredible 10-1 over their last 11 when giving 10 or more points since November 2019.

Gonzaga (26-0 SU, 12-12-2 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
The Bulldogs are still looking for that elusive first NCAA Tournament title ? but bettors would just love to see them hit some covers. Gonzaga is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 tournament games, including three losses as a favorite of four or more points.


No. 2 seeds

Ohio State (21-9 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 17-12-1 O/U):
Some teams will have to worry about losing close games at the free-throw line ? but the Buckeyes likely won't be on that list. They rank 32nd in success rate from the strip (76.3 percent) while finishing fourth in Division I in total attempts (646).

Houston (24-3 SU, 19-8 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Cougars have made life positively miserable for opposing offenses, heading into the NCAA Tournament having allowed a Division I-low 37 percent field goal success rate. They also rank second overall in average scoring margin (plus-19.5).

Alabama (24-6 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U):
Plenty of tournament participants will live and die from beyond the arc ? but few are as reliant as the Crimson Tide, who have taken a whopping 912 shots from deep this season ? nearly 100 more than the next-closest team. Their 312 makes also lead the country.

Iowa (21-8 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
Superstar big man Luka Garza gets most of the attention for the Hawkeyes, but don't sleep on this team's guard play. The Hawkeyes average an NCAA-best 19.1 assists for the season, while boasting the nation's best assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.01.


No. 3 seeds

Arkansas (22-6 SU, 18-9 ATS, 14-12-1 O/U):
There could be plenty of scoring in Arkansas' NCAA Tournament games thanks largely to the Razorbacks' break-neck pace. Arkansas averages 77.1 possessions per game, 11th-most in the NCAA, while allowing more than 61 opposition shots per game.

West Virginia (18-9 SU, 13-14 ATS, 18-9 O/U):
How do you overcome an effective field-goal percentage ranked outside the Top 200? By giving yourself plenty of second chances ? and that's how the Mountaineers roll, entering the NCAA Tournament with the fifth-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6).

Kansas (20-8 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U):
Something about March Madness brings out the best in the Jayhawks' offense ? and the worst in their defense. They're 8-3 O/U in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games dating back to 2017, despite seeing totals north of 150 in five of those contests.

Texas (19-7 SU, 12-13-1 ATS, 16-10 O/U):
Discipline could be a major issue for the Longhorns entering the NCAA Tournament. They're allowing opponents to shoot an average of 21.3 free throws per game (300th in the country) and are fortunate that those foes have only made good at a 68.1-percent clip so far.


No. 4 seeds

Oklahoma State (20-8 SU, 17-10-1 ATS, 17-9-2 O/U):
This Big 12 team secured a No. 4 seed despite being the underdog in 16 of its first 28 games. And the Cowboys made good on those opportunities, going 12-4 as a 'dog this season (compared with a 5-6-1 ATS mark as a favorite).

Purdue (18-9 SU, 14-11-2 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Boilermakers have traditionally ratcheted up the offense come NCAA Tournament time ? and their opponents have followed suit. Purdue is 10-2 O/U in its last 12 tournament games, with seven of those Overs surpassing the total by 10-plus points.

Florida State (16-6 SU, 11-9-2 ATS, 14-7-1 O/U):
Searching for a team riding a current O/U heater? Look no further than the Seminoles, who are 11-2-1 O/U in their past 14 games. That trend runs counter to their recent NCAA Tournament history, with just two Overs in their past seven March Madness games.

Virginia (18-6 SU, 11-12-1 ATS, 14-10 O/U):
It isn't just that shocking loss to UMBC in 2018 that should have you wary of backing the Cavaliers. They're a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games when favored by five or more points, with two outright losses (including...you know).


No. 5 seeds

Tennessee (18-8 SU, 14-12 ATS, 11-15 O/U):
The Vols have excelled at creating additional scoring opportunities for themselves ? and limiting their opponents' chances in the process. Tennessee has forced a turnover on 20 percent of opponent possessions this season, good for 19th in the country.

Villanova (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Speaking of teams winning the TO battle, the Wildcats made a living out of that practice during the 2020-21 season. Villanova lost the turnover battle just twice in 22 games (with one tie), averaging just 9.0 turnovers per game (second fewest in Division I).

Colorado (22-8 SU, 17-13 ATS, 12-18 O/U):
If the Buffaloes can get to the foul line with any regularity, watch out. Colorado might be a one-trick pony, but it's a really impressive trick, as it ranks second in the country in free-throw shooting (82.2 percent). The Buffaloes are also 66th in attempts (510).

Creighton (20-8 SU, 13-15 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
Unlike Colorado, the Bluejays would probably prefer to stay off the line thanks to one of the strangest trends in the country. Creighton ranks inside the Top 50 in overall shooting percentage (47.6) and 3-point success rate (36.7) but is 329th in free-throw shooting (64.2 percent).


No. 6 seeds

Texas Tech (17-10 SU, 10-17 ATS, 12-15 O/U):
The Red Raiders give themselves plenty of opportunities for extra possessions, which should serve them well in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech ranks fourth in average turnover margin (plus-5.1), and 27th in offensive rebound rate (32.2 percent).

San Diego State (23-4 SU, 14-12 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
This one will play well with you first-half bettors: The Aztecs were one of the top teams in the country prior to the break, ranking just outside the Top 60 in first-half scoring (36.0 points per game) while placing fourth in the country in 1H scoring defense (27.2).

USC (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS, 15-14 O/U):
If season trends hold, the Trojans will almost certainly dare opponents to beat them from beyond the arc at the NCAA Tournament. USC has held foes to a 42.2-percent shooting rate on two-point attempts, the second-lowest mark in the country.

BYU (20-6 SU, 14-8-3 ATS, 12-12-1 O/U):
Being a consistently good road cover is not easy ? but the West Coast Conference produced three teams this year that had cover rates of 67 percent or better on the road. The Cougars led the way with an incredible 7-1-1 ATS mark away from the Marriott Center.


No. 7 seeds

Florida (14-9 SU, 10-13 ATS, 10-12-1 O/U):
The Gators have been terrific betting options in their NCAA Tournament openers over the previous decade, having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Their lone non-cover in that span? A 67-55 win over Albany as a 21.5-point favorite in 2014.

Clemson (16-7 SU, 11-11-1 ATS, 11-11-1 O/U):
The Tigers won't be mistaken for Baylor or Gonzaga from an offensive standpoint, but it wouldn't kill them to get to the free-throw line. Clemson attempted just 298 foul shots in 23 games this season, good for an average of 13.0 (which ranks 342nd overall).

UConn (15-7 SU, 16-6 ATS, 11-11 O/U):
The Huskies were a bettor's dream in 2020-21 ? except for when they were matched up against elite competition. UConn went 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS in four games against ranked teams this season, and were 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS against everyone else.

Oregon (20-6 SU, 14-12 ATS, 17-9 O/U):
Win or lose, you'll have a hard finding a better historic cover option than the Ducks. Oregon has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament games and has one of the best cover records of any team over the past eight years at a sizzling 15-4.


No. 8 seeds

Loyola-Chicago (24-4 SU, 16-9-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
The 3-pointer might be the hottest thing going, but there's still plenty of value in layups and mid-range jumpers. And few teams are better in that area than the Ramblers, who enter the NCAA tournament ranked fourth in the nation in 2-point shooting (58.0 percent).

North Carolina (18-10 SU, 13-13-2 ATS, 13-15 O/U):
Playing on neutral ground could be just the thing to invigorate the inconsistent Tar Heels entering March Madness. While they were a dismal 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games, they posted an impressive 4-1-2 mark in seven neutral-site games this season.

LSU (18-9 SU, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
Looking for some live bet guidance? Consider the Over on the second-half total of any LSU game. The Tigers not only average 42.4 second-half points per game (12th in the country), they're allowing a whopping 39.9 themselves (good for 305th overall).

Oklahoma (15-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Sooners are the answer to the question: "Which team has the longest ATS losing streak entering the NCAA Tournament?" Oklahoma has failed to cover in seven straight and is also just 5-10-1 ATS as a fave compared with 7-2 ATS as a dog.


No. 9 seeds

Georgia Tech (17-8 SU, 15-10 ATS, 14-10-1 O/U):
When you have a deficiency as large as the Yellow Jackets' board work ? they rank 284th in the country in rebounding margin ? you'd better have an ace up your sleeve. And Georgia Tech certainly does, ranking sixth in steals (9.2) and eighth in turnover margin (4.8).

Wisconsin (17-12 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
While most people were happy to bid farewell to 2020, the new year hasn't exactly been kind to the Badgers. They've struggled mightily against elite competition since the calendar flipped to 2021, going 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in nine games vs. ranked opponents.

St. Bonaventure (16-4 SU, 13-5-2 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Are the Bonnies this year's best "Under/Cover" option? They certainly fit that bill during the season. In addition to converting five straight cover/Under combos earlier in the year, they come into March Madness having gone 6-1-1 ATS and 2-6 O/U in their last eight.

Missouri (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-10-2 O/U):
The Tigers' cover-less streak at the NCAA Tournament has lasted more than a decade. Missouri is a dismal 0-5 SU and ATS in its previous five tournament appearances dating back to the 2010 event, including an 86-84 loss to Norfolk State as a 21-point favorite in 2012.


No. 10 seeds

Virginia Tech (15-6 SU, 11-10 ATS, 11-9-1 O/U):
Every NCAA Tournament team has had to deal with a schedule disruption of some sort ? but the Hokies are in a zone all their own. Their tournament opener will mark just their fourth game in 41 days, the fewest of any March Madness entrants over that span.

Rutgers (15-11 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
Don't expect to see the Scarlet Knights win an NCAA Tournament game at the free-throw line. Not only does Rutgers rank 329th in the nation in success rate at 63.2 percent, it has attempted just over 16 foul shots per game (ranking just inside the Top 300).

Maryland (16-13 SU, 12-16 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U):
A lack of extra possessions could make the Terrapins' stay in Indianapolis a short one. Maryland comes in ranked near the bottom of the nation in offensive rebounds per game (5.8, 327th) and OReb% (19.6, 320th), and forces just 11.1 turnovers per outing (312th).

VCU (19-7 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 10-16 O/U):
Sometimes, it's the little things that make a big difference come tournament time ? and the Rams do them better than just about anyone, ranked fifth in Division I in steals per game (9.2) and fifth in blocked shots (5.4). Their 14.6 "stocks" per game lead the country.


No. 11 seeds

Utah State (20-8 SU, 16-11 ATS, 11-16 O/U):
The Aggies are a force on the boards, and that could help them pull off an upset or two at the NCAA Tournament. Utah State boasts the No. 2 rebound margin in the nation at plus-10.3, ranking 11th in OReb% at 34.6 and sixth in DReb% at 80.7.

Syracuse (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-12 O/U):
The Orange might be a lower seed, but they come into the NCAA Tournament with plenty of momentum. Syracuse has gone an incredible 8-2 ATS in its last 10 March Madness games, including five victories as outright underdogs over that span.

Drake (25-4 SU, 21-6 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
The top ATS team in the nation might generate plenty of interest come tournament time ? but there are reasons to be wary. The Bulldogs are just 8-6 ATS in their past 12 games since starting out 13-0, and they're a mediocre 2-2 ATS as an underdog.

Wichita State (16-5 SU, 9-9-1 ATS, 9-10 O/U):
Getting to the NCAA Tournament is difficult enough ? but reaching the pinnacle of men's basketball while shooting just 40.8 percent is an even more challenging task. Wichita State's dismal shooting percentage is the lowest of any participant in this year's event.

UCLA (17-9 SU, 12-14 ATS, 15-11 O/U):
Take the Bruins out of Pauley Pavilion, and they've been a major disappointment from a covering perspective so far this season. UCLA has struggled to a 4-10 ATS mark in 14 games away from L.A.: 3-8 in 11 true road games, and 1-2 in three neutral-site outings.

Michigan State (15-12 SU, 9-18 ATS, 10-17 O/U):
Only 14 teams finished with a worse regular-season ATS mark than the Spartans, who were a particularly terrible 3-11 ATS as a favorite. That includes four outright defeats as a favorite, en route to their worst regular-season showing since 1996.


No. 12 seeds

Oregon State (17-12 SU, 18-9-1 ATS, 17-11 O/U):
We know how people love those 12-seed upsets when making their first-round bracket predictions or bets ? and the Beavers certainly fit the bill. Oregon State went an incredible 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season and was also 3-0 ATS in neutral-site games.

Winthrop (23-1 SU, 13-11 ATS, 11-12-1 O/U):
The Eagles know how to wring out as many extra possessions as possible ? and that could serve them well in Indianapolis. Winthrop ranks 18th in forced turnovers per game (16.3), 14th in offensive rebounds (13.0), and fifth in "extra scoring chances" (7.3).

Georgetown (13-12 SU, 16-9 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Hoyas are a dangerous team from the free-throw line ? but they'll need to be better from the floor. G Jahvon Blair and F Qudus Wahab are the only players in the Top 20 in the Big East in scoring that shoot below 40 percent from the field and better than 80 percent from the foul line.

UC Santa Barbara (21-4 SU, 14-10 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
There's a great first-half wagering opportunity with the Gauchos, if you believe in their season trend. UC Santa Barbara limited opponents to just 27.5 first-half points per game, sixth-lowest in the country - that figure jumps to 35.4 in the second half.


No. 13 seeds

Liberty (23-5 SU, 16-8 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U):
If you're looking for a 13-seed upset candidate. the Flames are here for you. Their 57.4-percent effective field goal rate ranks fourth in the nation, and third among NCAA Tournament entrants. The two teams ahead of them? Gonzaga and Baylor.

North Texas (17-9 SU, 16-9 ATS, 10-15 O/U):
The Mean Green are no strangers to life on the road ? and they've thrived heading into the NCAA Tournament. North Texas is on an incredible 8-2 ATS run over its previous 10 games, with seven of those games coming away from Denton.

UNC Greensboro (21-7 SU, 17-11 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
If the Spartans manage to pull off an upset at the NCAA Tournament, it likely won't be from a 3-point barrage. UNC Greensboro enters as the second-worst 3-point shooting team in the competition, ranked 311th overall at 30.0 percent.

Ohio (16-7 SU, 14-8 ATS, 13-9 O/U):
The Bobcats might be up against it in Round 1, but they come into the NCAA Tournament as one of the hottest ATS teams in the country. Ohio is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall, a stretch that includes four victories as outright underdogs.


No. 14 seeds

Colgate (14-1 SU, 10-5 ATS, 8-7 O/U):
Much has been made about the Raiders' sensational offense (86.3 ppg, second in the country) ? but bettors should also note their 3-point dominance. Colgate ranks third in long-range shooting (40 percent) while boasting the No. 1 3-point defense (26.1 percent).

Morehead State (23-7 SU, 19-9 ATS, 10-18 O/U):
The Eagles would love for their first-round game to be decided at the charity stripe. They allow just 13.5 free-throw attempts per game (third fewest in the country) and enter the NCAA Tournament with a plus-6.0 average FT attempt margin.

Eastern Washington (16-7 SU, 15-7 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Look for the Eagles to get off to a fast start. Eastern Washington owns a plus-6.9 first-half scoring margin for the season, good for 15th in the country. That rate jumps to plus-16.7 over its previous three games, tops in the nation.

Abilene Christian (23-4 SU, 16-6 ATS, 14-8 O/U):
The Wildcats could make some noise in the NCAA Tournament if they continue to rock those sticky fingers. Abilene Christian leads the nation in forced turnovers per game (20.3) while sitting second overall in steals per outing (9.9).


No. 15 seeds

Oral Roberts (16-10 SU, 14-9 ATS, 16-7 O/U):
The Golden Eagles as a dual-threat 15-seed? Believe it. Not only does Oral Roberts boast the No. 1 free-throw success rate in college basketball (82.4 percent), it also makes a whopping 11.3 3-pointers per game, the most in the country.

Cleveland State (19-7 SU, 18-8 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
Discipline will be critical if the Vikings hope to be competitive in Round 1. Cleveland State ranked just inside the Top 300 in personal fouls per game (19.2) while allowing 21 free-throw attempts (and 15.3 makes) per outing.

Iona (12-5 SU, 11-5-1 ATS, 9-8 O/U):
The Gaels are back in the NCAA Tournament, which probably means another non-cover and an offensive explosion on behalf of the competition. Iona is just 1-6 ATS in its previous seven appearances, with its opponents averaging 88.1 points in that span.

Grand Canyon (17-6 SU, 15-5 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Here are your "Under/Cover" champions for 2020-21. The Antelopes rode the country's No. 9 scoring defense (61.1 ppg against) and plus-9.6 average scoring margin to 13 ATS/Under combos on the season, the most of any team in the country.


No. 16 seeds

Drexel (10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS, 9-7 O/U):
The catalyst behind the Dragons' first NCAA Tournament appearance in 25 years? Superior shooting across the board. Drexel shot 47.7 percent this season (up from 44.1 percent in 2019-20), 77.7 percent from the line (up from 70.0), and 37.2 percent from deep (up from 34.9).

Hartford (15-8 SU, 15-8 ATS, 9-14 O/U):
The Hawks' best chance at an unlikely first-round NCAA Tournament upset: Continuing the sensational perimeter defense it displayed during the season. Hartford boasts the nation's 10th-best 3-point field goal percentage against at 27.9 percent.

Texas Southern (16-8 SU, 11-10-2 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U):
If March Madness success comes down to 3-point shooting, the Tigers are in a world of hurt. Not only do they have the worst long-range shooting of any team in the NCAA Tournament, their 27.6-percent success rate from deep ranks sixth-worst in all of Division I.

Mount St. Mary's (12-10 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-14 O/U):
If you're looking for a nice Under play this week, the Mountaineers are ready to abide. They saw an average of just 126 points scored in their 22 games this season, the lowest average score of any team in the NCAA Tournament.

Appalachian State (17-11 SU, 14-9-1 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
The Mountaineers have had no problem being the underdog this season. They went 8-6 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in 14 games in that situation, including three straight outright victories as an underdog to win the Sun Belt Conference title.

Norfolk State (16-7 SU, 12-9 ATS, 12-9 O/U):
We've saved the best for last ? if you like chippy encounters, that is. The Spartans rank 307th in personal fouls per game (19.7) while drawing nearly 20 per game of their own ? and that means a combined 46.8 foul shots per game, the most in the country.
 

Cnotes53

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Friday


725HARTFORD -726 BAYLOR
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

727WISCONSIN -728 N CAROLINA
WISCONSIN is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

729WINTHROP -730 VILLANOVA
WINTHROP is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

731N TEXAS -732 PURDUE
N TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

733UTAH ST -734 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a favorite since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 19


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 19


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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 19


NCAA Tournament
Virginia Tech (10) vs Florida (7)

Virginia Tech (15-6)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #102
? Tech has played only three games (1-2) since February 6.
? Hokies lost three of their last five games.
? 41% of their shots are 3-pointers (#80)
? Tech is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
? Hokies are in 4th straight NCAA tourney; they?re 1-2 in last three first round games- they made Sweet 16 two years ago.

Florida (14-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #164
? Florida lost three of its last four games.
? Gators lost 83-71 to ACC?s Florida State December 12.
? Gators are #301 team in country on defensive boards.
? Florida won its last seven first round tournament games.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, ACC teams were 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams were 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ?em.

Colgate (14) vs Arkansas (3)
Colgate (14-1)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #25
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #46
? Colgate played 13 of 15 games vs three teams: Army Boston U, Holy Cross- they?re jumping way up in class here.
? Red Raiders have made 40% of their 3-pointers (#3)
? Colgate won its last 13 games- they lost 75-73 to Army January 3rd.
? Colgate lost 77-70 to Tennessee in 2019, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Arkansas (22-6)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #238
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won nine of its last ten games.
? Arkansas is 8-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #282)
? Razorbacks are 17-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Arkansas won three of last four first round games; Musselman was 1-2 in first round games while coaching Nevada.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored in first round.
? Since 2005, Patriot League teams are 9-6 ATS in first round games, covering last three, in losses by 6-4-7 points.

Drexel (16) vs Illinois (1)
Drexel (12-7)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #3
? Drexel lost 83-74 to #89 Pitt, their only top 100 game this year.
? Dragons have #35 eFG%; they?re shooting 37.2% on arc (#37)
? Drexel won CAA tournament; they were only 8-7 before that.
? Dragons are in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1996.

Illinois (23-6)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #48
? Illinois won 14 of its last 15 games.
? Illini is shooting 37.6% on arc (#25)
? Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
? Illini opened season with two games vs teams outside top 100; they won by 62-59 points- those teams were also outside top 200. Drexel is #146.
? This is Illinois? first NCAA Tournament since 2013.
? Underwood is 2-2 in first round games (Oklahoma State/SF Austin)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 SU in NCAA games, 5-2 ATS.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Utah State (11) vs Texas Tech (6)
Utah State (20-8)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #137
? Aggies won six of their last seven games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#4)
? Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Aggies get 55.5% of their points inside arc (#44)
? Since 2003, Utah State is 0-7 SU in first round games; they lost 78-61 as an 8-seed to Washington in last tournament, two years ago.

Texas Tech (17-10)
? ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #241
? Tech lost four of their last seven games.
? Red Raiders force turnovers 23.8% of time (#8)
? Tech gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#32)
? Beard is 2-0 in first round games at Tech, winning by 10-15 points.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Ohio State (2)
Oral Roberts (16-10)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last five games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.8% on arc (#11), 82.6% on line (#1)
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Ohio State (21-9)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #170
? Ohio State is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.
? Buckeyes are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Holtmann is 2-0 in first round at Ohio State, winning by 8-3 points.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Summit teams are 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 first round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Hartford (16) vs Baylor (1)
Hartford (15-8)
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #269
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #29
? Hartford lost by 12 to UConn, by 34 to Villanova, their only top 150 games.
? Hawks are a bad rebounding team (#211 on defensive boards)
? Hartford won its last five games, giving up 62.6 ppg.
? This is first time Hartford has played in NCAA Tournament.

Baylor (22-2)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #31
? Baylor is 5-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.8% on the arc (#8)
? Baylor is 12-0 vs teams outside top 100, with nine wins by 18+ points.
? Under Drew, Baylor is 5-3 in first round games (4-4 ATS)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
? Last seven years, America East teams are 5-2 ATS in first round.

Georgia Tech (9) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Georgia Tech (17-8)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Tech won its last eight games, winning first ACC tourney since 1993.
? Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.8% of time (#15)
? Tech is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#24)
? Yellow Jackets are in NCAA?s for first time since 2010.
? Pastner was 2-2 in first round games when he coached Memphis.

Loyola Chi (24-4)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
? Loyola is shooting 58% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 4-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.

Oregon State (12) vs Tennessee (5)
Oregon State (17-12)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #155
? Oregon State won six of its last seven games.
? Oregon State is getting 21.0% of its points on foul line (#51)
? Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#276)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
? Beavers are in tournament for first time since 2016-they lost 75-67 to VCU

Tennessee (18-8)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #108
? Tennessee split its last eight games.
? Vols are 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#14)
? Barnes is 11-4 SU in his last fifteen first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 16-12-2 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored.

Liberty (13) vs Oklahoma State (4)
Liberty (23-5)
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #348
? Experience: #171
? Continuity: #167
? Liberty won its last 12 games.
? Flames beat Miss State, South Carolina; lost by 4 to TCU.
? Liberty is shooting 56.7% inside arc, has #4 eFG% in country.
? Liberty upset Miss State in first round game two years ago.

Oklahoma State (20-8)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #43
? Experience: #324
? Continuity: #289
? Oklahoma State won eight of its last ten games.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#298)
? Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense.
? Cowboys are 7-0 outside the Big X.
? OSU lost last five first round games; their last first round win was 2009.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
? Last seven years, Atlantic Sun teams are 6-2 ATS in play-in/first round games.

Wisconsin (9) vs North Carolina (8)
Wisconsin (17-12)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #22
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers lost six of their last eight games.
? Wisconsin went 9-11 in last 20 games, after an 8-1 start.
? Badgers are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#292)
? Wisconsin is #69 on defensive boards, important stat vs Tar Heels.
? Gard is 2-1 in first round games; wins were in 2016, 2017.

North Carolina (18-10)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #45
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #158
? Carolina won three of last four games, losing in ACC semis.
? Tar Heels are grabbing 41.4% of their missed shots (#1 in country)
? Thats important because their eFG% is #246 in country.
? UNC is 6-8 this season vs teams in top 50.
? North Carolina won its last 17 first round games; they?re usually a much higher seed than this, but they were an 8-seed in 2013, a 6-seed in 2004. Last time they lost in first round? 1999.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 SU in first round (11-8 ATS)

Cleveland State (15) vs Houston (2)
Cleveland State (19-7)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #282
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #113
? Cleveland State won 19 of its last 23 games, after an 0-3 start.
? Vikings lost 67-61 at Ohio State in December, a positive sign.
? Cleveland State is only #302 in country on defensive boards.
? Vikings are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with Wright State.
? Cleveland State had lost 20+ games the previous five years; their last NCAA bid was 12 years ago, when they upset Wake Forest in first round.

Houston (24-3)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #25
? Continuity: #55
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Cougars won their last seven games, five of them by 24+ points.
? Under Kelvin Sampson, Houston is 2-0 in first round, winning by 2-29 points.
? This game is in Indiana U?s gym; Sampson used to be Indiana?s coach, and it didn?t go well for him there.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 SU in first round.
? Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA?s (2-6 ATS)

North Texas (13) vs Purdue (4)
North Texas (17-9)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #95
? Mean Green is 4-8 this season vs top 100 teams.
? North Texas allowed 54 ppg in its four C-USA tournament wins.
? Mean Green has #20 eFG% defense in country.
? North Texas is shooting 37.3% on arc (#33)
? This is first NCAA for North Texas since 2010.

Purdue (18-9)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #274
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #115
? Purdue won five of their last six games.
? Boilermakers are a top 25 rebounding team.
? Purdue is 10-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Under Painter, Purdue is 9-2 SU in first round games.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Rutgers (10) vs Clemson (7)
Rutgers (15-11)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #5
? Rutgers is 4-5 in its last nine games.
? Rutgers is 4-0 outside Big 14, with a win over ACC?s Syracuse.
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 59.3% inside arc (#12).
? Rutgers is 7-10 vs teams in top 50.
? Rutgers is in NCAA?s for first time since 1991.

Clemson (22-4, 16-3)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? This is Clemson?s first game in nine days.
? Tigers won six of their last eight games.
? Clemson is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#49)
? Clemson is 6-0 outside the ACC, beating Alabama, Purdue.
? Tigers are in NCAA?s for first time they made Sweet 16 in 2018.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Syracuse (11) vs San Diego State (6)
Syracuse (16-9)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? Syracuse won six of their last nine games.
? Orangemen are 3-7 vs teams in the top 50.
? Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
? Since 2009, Syracuse is 8-1 SU in first round games.

San Diego State (23-4)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? Aztecs won their last fourteen games.
? Opponents are shooting 44.5% of time (#13)
? San Diego State is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25)
? Aztecs are shooting 37.5% on the arc (#27)
? San Diego State won four of last six first round tournament games.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round

Morehead State (14) vs West Virginia (3)
Morehead State (23-7)
? ranked #127 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #205
? Continuity: #266
? Morehead won 7 in a row, 19 of last 20 games.
? Eagles are 3-4 outside OVC, losing by 36-18-33-15 points- the four losses are their only top 100 games this season.
? Morehead is turning ball over 22.9% of time (#332)
? This is Morehead?s first NCAA Tournament in ten years.

West Virginia (18-9)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #114
? Experience: #153
? Continuity: #43
? West Virginia lost three of its last four games.
? West Virginia is grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#13)
? Mountaineers are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? West Virginia gets 22.5% of its points on foul line (#16)
? WVU is 5-2 SU in its last seven first round games.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Winthrop (12) vs Villanova (5)
Winthrop (23-1)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #108
? Continuity: #17
? This is Winthrop?s first game in 12 days.
? Winthrop?s only loss was 57-55 to NC-Asheville on February 29.
? Winthrop beat Furman/NC-Greensboro, their only top 100 games.
? Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#23)
? Last time Winthrop was in NCAAs was 2017.

Villanova (16-6)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #131
? Continuity: #6
? Villanova lost last two games, with PG Gillespie out for year.
? Villanova is 5-5 in last ten games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats? bench plays #322 minutes; injuries are costly.
? Villanova won its last six first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Big East teams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as first round favorites.
? Last five years, Big South teams are 1-4 ATS in this round.

NIT tournament
Buffalo vs Colorado State (@ Denton, TX)

Buffalo (16-8)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #13
? Experience: #48
? Continuity: #47
? Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, but lost in MAC final.
? Bulls have #27 eFG% defense in country.
? Buffalo is grabbing 37.4% of its missed shots (#5)

Colorado State (18-6)
? ranked #64 by KenPom
? Tempo: #122
? Experience: #308
? Continuity: #37
? Rams won six of their last eight games.
? Colorado State is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#14).
? 44.4% of shots they take are 3?s (#32)

Louisiana Tech vs Ole Miss (@ Frisco, TX)
Louisiana Tech (21-7)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #125
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #117
? Bulldogs won five of last six D-I games.
? La Tech lost 86-55 at LSU, their only game against an SEC team.
? Bulldogs have the #16 eFG% defense- they?re #25 on defensive boards.

Ole Miss (16-11)
? ranked #48 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #107
? Continuity: #219
? Ole Miss is 4-3 in its last seven games.
? Rebels are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#18)
? Ole Miss is shooting 29.9% on arc (#315)
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
30,469
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FRIDAY, MARCH 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


VT at FLA 12:15 PM
FLA +1.0...............70 -75.......WINNER

COLG at ARK 12:45 PM
COLG +8.5............68 - 85
O 161.5..................LOSER

DREX at ILL 01:15 PM
ILL -22.5............49 - 78.....WINNER
U 143.0.......................WINNER


USU at TTU 01:45 PM
USU +4.0...........53 - 65......LOSER
U 130.0

ORU at OSU 03:00 PM
ORU +15.5............75 - 72
O 158.0 ...........LOSER

HART at BAY 03:30 PM
BAY -25.5..........55 - 79.........LOSER
O 140.0.........................LOSER


GT at L-IL 04:00 PM
L-IL -5.5..........60 - 71....WINNER
U 124.0

ORST at TENN 04:30 PM
ORST +8.5...........70 - 56....WINNER
O 131.5....................LOSER

LIB at OKST 06:25 PM
LIB +7.0..............60 - 69....LOSER
O 139.0

**********************

EVENING BEST BETS:



BUFF at CSU 07:00 PM
BUFF +2.0..........73 - 75....PUSH
O 154.0.......................LOSER


WIS at UNC 07:10 PM
UNC -1.5........85 - 62.....LOSER
U 136.5...................LOSER


CLEVST at HOU 07:15 PM
HOU -20.0........56 - 87
O 134.5................WINNER

UNT at PUR 07:25 PM
UNT +7.0.............78 - 69...WINNER
O 124.5...................WINNER


LT at MISS 09:00 PM
LT +3.5................70 - 61.....WINNER
O 129.5

RUTG at CLEM 09:20 PM
RUTG -2.0..........60 - 56
U 125.0..........................WINNER

SYR at SDSU 09:40 PM
SDSU -3.0..........78 - 62...........LOSER
U 138.5...................LOSER


MORE at WVU 09:50 PM
MORE +13.0.......67 - 84........LOSER
O 136.0...............................WINNER


WIN at VILL 09:57 PM
WIN +6.5.........63 - 73
U 143.0....................WINNER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%.........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%..........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+2000

TOTALS..............19-17-1.................52.77%.........+1.50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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Saturday?s 6-pack
Since 2000, biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:

+21.5? Norfolk State over Missouri, 2012
+20.5? Md-Baltimore County over Virginia, 2018
+17.5? Hampton over Iowa State, 2001
+16.5? Middle Tennessee State over Michigan State
+15? Oral Roberts over Ohio State, 2021
+14? Bucknell over Kansas, 2005

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn?t end.?
Coughlin?s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Saturday?s quiz
Indiana?s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team. Who was it?
(Hint: That school is also in this NCAA Tournament)

Friday?s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament- they beat Virginia in 2018.

Thursday?s quiz
Since 2010, Dodgers (962) have the most regular season wins.

*************************

Saturday?s Den: Wrapping up the first full day of March Madness

West Virginia 84, Morehead State 67:
? Bob Huggins wins his 900th game as a head coach.
? Morehead State made 10-19 on the arc, still didn?t cover as 12-point dogs.
? Sunday will be like a 2012 Big East reunion- West Virginia-Syracuse.

North Texas 78, Purdue 69, OT:
? Mean Green won its last five games, giving up 57 ppg.
? This was Mean Green?s first NCAA Tournament win in school history.
? Purdue is now 3-3 in their last six first round games.

Oral Roberts 75, Ohio State 72, OT:
? Four Oral Roberts starters played 42:00+
? Buckeyes shot 5-23 on arc, 9-18 on foul line. No bueno.
? If you care about such things, #15-seeds are 1-7 SU in next round, 2-5-1 ATS

Oregon State 70, Tennessee 56:
? Tennessee?s center Fulkerson (eye injury) didn?t play; Beavers? 7-1 Silva was 8-8 from floor.
? Oregon State wins NCAA Tournament game for first time since 1982.
? Since 1987, #12-seeds are 31-18 ATS in 2nd round, 3-6 since 2014.

Florida 75, Virginia Tech 70, OT:
? Tech led by 10 early, by 8 with 15:03 left, let it slip away.
? Hokies sent game to OT with 3-pointer with 0:01 left.
? Florida G Appleby needed stitches for cut to forehead, played only 22:00.

Oklahoma State 69, Liberty 60:
? Liberty led by 3 at half; OSU outscored them 42-30 in second half.
? Cunningham was 3-14 from floor; he tends to coast in first half of games.
? Cunningham is obviously going to the NBA next year; how long does his brother keep his six-figure job as an assistant coach?

Arkansas 85, Colgate 68:
? Colgate played their butts off, led 31-17 early.
? Colgate made 12-27 on arc, but turned ball over 22 times (-12)
? Razorbacks won 12 of their last 14 games.

Loyola Chi 71, Georgia Tech 60:
? Tech got up 13-3 quickly, but missed Moses Wright, ACC player of year.
? Loyola was 11-27 on arc, outscored Tech 10-3 on foul line.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 11-1 SU, 10-2 ATS in NCAA games.

Rutgers 60, Clemson 56:
? Clemson led by 5 early in 2nd half;
? Rutgers held Tigers to 35.6% from floor, outrebounded them 41-32.
? Favorites went 10-6 ATS in Friday?s games.

Villanova 73, Winthrop 63
? Villanova shot 57.7% inside arc, win for only 2nd time in last five games.
? Winthrop finishes season 23-2; they were in NCAA for only 2nd time in last decade.
? Villanova plays #13-seed North Texas Sunday.

Syracuse 78, San Diego State 62
? Syracuse made 15-27 on the arc; its easier shooting outside the dome.
? Buddy Boeheim had 30 points; he?ll be in the NBA in two years.
? San Diego State started four seniors; will their coach bolt for Minnesota?

Wisconsin 85, North Carolina 62:
? Only time Badgers scored more points this year? November 27, vs Ark-Pine Bluff.
? Wisconsin made 13-27 on arc, scored 1.29 points/possession.
? North Carolina was 2-5 this year when they rebounded 33.3% or less of their own missed shots; they grabbed 30% of their misses in this game.

Texas Tech 65, Utah State 53:
? Aggies shot 58% inside arc, but turned ball over 22 times (-14)
? Texas Tech forces turnovers 24.1% of time (#6).
? Arkansas-Texas Tech is a matchup from the old Southwest Conference.

Illinois 78, Drexel 49:
? This looked a 1-16 game; not competitive.
? Dragons have to be proud of making NCAAs for first time since 1996.
? Illinois took only eight foul shots, seven 3-pointers; they steamrolled Drexel.

Baylor 79, Hartford 55:
? This was a stress-free win for Baylor; they play Wisconsin-UNC winner Sunday.
? Baylor is shooting 41.4% on arc this season, best in country.
? America East teams are now 6-2 ATS in last eight tournament games; Hartford was +26.

Houston 87, Cleveland State 56:
? Cougars led by 8 at half, then coasted home; one of the day?s worst games.
? Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-9 in NCAA?s (2-7 ATS)
? Houston has won 8 in a row, has #1 eFG% defense in country.
 

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Betting notes for March Madness 2021

No. 1 seeds

Illinois (23-6 SU, 19-10 ATS, 16-12-1 O/U):
The Illini are primed for a deep March Madness run ? but if any games come down to performance from the line, they could be in trouble. Illinois ranks 228th nationally in free-throw success rate (69.1 percent), the lowest of any team with a Top-4 seed.

Baylor (22-2 SU, 15-9 ATS, 15-9 O/U):
Sure, the Bears lost just twice all season, but those two defeats provided good insight into how to beat Baylor: Make them miss from deep. The Bears led Division I with a 41.9-percent success rate from 3-point range, but shot just 27.2 percent in their two losses.

Michigan (20-4 SU, 17-7 ATS, 9-15 O/U):
Don't be scared off by large spreads if you're thinking about banking on the Wolverines. They went 6-1 ATS when favored by double digits this season, and are an incredible 10-1 over their last 11 when giving 10 or more points since November 2019.

Gonzaga (26-0 SU, 12-12-2 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
The Bulldogs are still looking for that elusive first NCAA Tournament title ? but bettors would just love to see them hit some covers. Gonzaga is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 tournament games, including three losses as a favorite of four or more points.


No. 2 seeds

Ohio State (21-9 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 17-12-1 O/U):
Some teams will have to worry about losing close games at the free-throw line ? but the Buckeyes likely won't be on that list. They rank 32nd in success rate from the strip (76.3 percent) while finishing fourth in Division I in total attempts (646).

Houston (24-3 SU, 19-8 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Cougars have made life positively miserable for opposing offenses, heading into the NCAA Tournament having allowed a Division I-low 37 percent field goal success rate. They also rank second overall in average scoring margin (plus-19.5).

Alabama (24-6 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U):
Plenty of tournament participants will live and die from beyond the arc ? but few are as reliant as the Crimson Tide, who have taken a whopping 912 shots from deep this season ? nearly 100 more than the next-closest team. Their 312 makes also lead the country.

Iowa (21-8 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
Superstar big man Luka Garza gets most of the attention for the Hawkeyes, but don't sleep on this team's guard play. The Hawkeyes average an NCAA-best 19.1 assists for the season, while boasting the nation's best assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.01.


No. 3 seeds

Arkansas (22-6 SU, 18-9 ATS, 14-12-1 O/U):
There could be plenty of scoring in Arkansas' NCAA Tournament games thanks largely to the Razorbacks' break-neck pace. Arkansas averages 77.1 possessions per game, 11th-most in the NCAA, while allowing more than 61 opposition shots per game.

West Virginia (18-9 SU, 13-14 ATS, 18-9 O/U):
How do you overcome an effective field-goal percentage ranked outside the Top 200? By giving yourself plenty of second chances ? and that's how the Mountaineers roll, entering the NCAA Tournament with the fifth-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6).

Kansas (20-8 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U):
Something about March Madness brings out the best in the Jayhawks' offense ? and the worst in their defense. They're 8-3 O/U in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games dating back to 2017, despite seeing totals north of 150 in five of those contests.

Texas (19-7 SU, 12-13-1 ATS, 16-10 O/U):
Discipline could be a major issue for the Longhorns entering the NCAA Tournament. They're allowing opponents to shoot an average of 21.3 free throws per game (300th in the country) and are fortunate that those foes have only made good at a 68.1-percent clip so far.


No. 4 seeds

Oklahoma State (20-8 SU, 17-10-1 ATS, 17-9-2 O/U):
This Big 12 team secured a No. 4 seed despite being the underdog in 16 of its first 28 games. And the Cowboys made good on those opportunities, going 12-4 as a 'dog this season (compared with a 5-6-1 ATS mark as a favorite).

Purdue (18-9 SU, 14-11-2 ATS, 14-13 O/U):
The Boilermakers have traditionally ratcheted up the offense come NCAA Tournament time ? and their opponents have followed suit. Purdue is 10-2 O/U in its last 12 tournament games, with seven of those Overs surpassing the total by 10-plus points.

Florida State (16-6 SU, 11-9-2 ATS, 14-7-1 O/U):
Searching for a team riding a current O/U heater? Look no further than the Seminoles, who are 11-2-1 O/U in their past 14 games. That trend runs counter to their recent NCAA Tournament history, with just two Overs in their past seven March Madness games.

Virginia (18-6 SU, 11-12-1 ATS, 14-10 O/U):
It isn't just that shocking loss to UMBC in 2018 that should have you wary of backing the Cavaliers. They're a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games when favored by five or more points, with two outright losses (including...you know).


No. 5 seeds

Tennessee (18-8 SU, 14-12 ATS, 11-15 O/U):
The Vols have excelled at creating additional scoring opportunities for themselves ? and limiting their opponents' chances in the process. Tennessee has forced a turnover on 20 percent of opponent possessions this season, good for 19th in the country.

Villanova (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Speaking of teams winning the TO battle, the Wildcats made a living out of that practice during the 2020-21 season. Villanova lost the turnover battle just twice in 22 games (with one tie), averaging just 9.0 turnovers per game (second fewest in Division I).

Colorado (22-8 SU, 17-13 ATS, 12-18 O/U):
If the Buffaloes can get to the foul line with any regularity, watch out. Colorado might be a one-trick pony, but it's a really impressive trick, as it ranks second in the country in free-throw shooting (82.2 percent). The Buffaloes are also 66th in attempts (510).

Creighton (20-8 SU, 13-15 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
Unlike Colorado, the Bluejays would probably prefer to stay off the line thanks to one of the strangest trends in the country. Creighton ranks inside the Top 50 in overall shooting percentage (47.6) and 3-point success rate (36.7) but is 329th in free-throw shooting (64.2 percent).


No. 6 seeds

Texas Tech (17-10 SU, 10-17 ATS, 12-15 O/U):
The Red Raiders give themselves plenty of opportunities for extra possessions, which should serve them well in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech ranks fourth in average turnover margin (plus-5.1), and 27th in offensive rebound rate (32.2 percent).

San Diego State (23-4 SU, 14-12 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
This one will play well with you first-half bettors: The Aztecs were one of the top teams in the country prior to the break, ranking just outside the Top 60 in first-half scoring (36.0 points per game) while placing fourth in the country in 1H scoring defense (27.2).

USC (22-7 SU, 16-13 ATS, 15-14 O/U):
If season trends hold, the Trojans will almost certainly dare opponents to beat them from beyond the arc at the NCAA Tournament. USC has held foes to a 42.2-percent shooting rate on two-point attempts, the second-lowest mark in the country.

BYU (20-6 SU, 14-8-3 ATS, 12-12-1 O/U):
Being a consistently good road cover is not easy ? but the West Coast Conference produced three teams this year that had cover rates of 67 percent or better on the road. The Cougars led the way with an incredible 7-1-1 ATS mark away from the Marriott Center.


No. 7 seeds

Florida (14-9 SU, 10-13 ATS, 10-12-1 O/U):
The Gators have been terrific betting options in their NCAA Tournament openers over the previous decade, having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Their lone non-cover in that span? A 67-55 win over Albany as a 21.5-point favorite in 2014.

Clemson (16-7 SU, 11-11-1 ATS, 11-11-1 O/U):
The Tigers won't be mistaken for Baylor or Gonzaga from an offensive standpoint, but it wouldn't kill them to get to the free-throw line. Clemson attempted just 298 foul shots in 23 games this season, good for an average of 13.0 (which ranks 342nd overall).

UConn (15-7 SU, 16-6 ATS, 11-11 O/U):
The Huskies were a bettor's dream in 2020-21 ? except for when they were matched up against elite competition. UConn went 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS in four games against ranked teams this season, and were 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS against everyone else.

Oregon (20-6 SU, 14-12 ATS, 17-9 O/U):
Win or lose, you'll have a hard finding a better historic cover option than the Ducks. Oregon has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament games and has one of the best cover records of any team over the past eight years at a sizzling 15-4.


No. 8 seeds

Loyola-Chicago (24-4 SU, 16-9-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
The 3-pointer might be the hottest thing going, but there's still plenty of value in layups and mid-range jumpers. And few teams are better in that area than the Ramblers, who enter the NCAA tournament ranked fourth in the nation in 2-point shooting (58.0 percent).

North Carolina (18-10 SU, 13-13-2 ATS, 13-15 O/U):
Playing on neutral ground could be just the thing to invigorate the inconsistent Tar Heels entering March Madness. While they were a dismal 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games, they posted an impressive 4-1-2 mark in seven neutral-site games this season.

LSU (18-9 SU, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
Looking for some live bet guidance? Consider the Over on the second-half total of any LSU game. The Tigers not only average 42.4 second-half points per game (12th in the country), they're allowing a whopping 39.9 themselves (good for 305th overall).

Oklahoma (15-10 SU, 12-12-1 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Sooners are the answer to the question: "Which team has the longest ATS losing streak entering the NCAA Tournament?" Oklahoma has failed to cover in seven straight and is also just 5-10-1 ATS as a fave compared with 7-2 ATS as a dog.


No. 9 seeds

Georgia Tech (17-8 SU, 15-10 ATS, 14-10-1 O/U):
When you have a deficiency as large as the Yellow Jackets' board work ? they rank 284th in the country in rebounding margin ? you'd better have an ace up your sleeve. And Georgia Tech certainly does, ranking sixth in steals (9.2) and eighth in turnover margin (4.8).

Wisconsin (17-12 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 14-15 O/U):
While most people were happy to bid farewell to 2020, the new year hasn't exactly been kind to the Badgers. They've struggled mightily against elite competition since the calendar flipped to 2021, going 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in nine games vs. ranked opponents.

St. Bonaventure (16-4 SU, 13-5-2 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Are the Bonnies this year's best "Under/Cover" option? They certainly fit that bill during the season. In addition to converting five straight cover/Under combos earlier in the year, they come into March Madness having gone 6-1-1 ATS and 2-6 O/U in their last eight.

Missouri (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-10-2 O/U):
The Tigers' cover-less streak at the NCAA Tournament has lasted more than a decade. Missouri is a dismal 0-5 SU and ATS in its previous five tournament appearances dating back to the 2010 event, including an 86-84 loss to Norfolk State as a 21-point favorite in 2012.


No. 10 seeds

Virginia Tech (15-6 SU, 11-10 ATS, 11-9-1 O/U):
Every NCAA Tournament team has had to deal with a schedule disruption of some sort ? but the Hokies are in a zone all their own. Their tournament opener will mark just their fourth game in 41 days, the fewest of any March Madness entrants over that span.

Rutgers (15-11 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 12-14 O/U):
Don't expect to see the Scarlet Knights win an NCAA Tournament game at the free-throw line. Not only does Rutgers rank 329th in the nation in success rate at 63.2 percent, it has attempted just over 16 foul shots per game (ranking just inside the Top 300).

Maryland (16-13 SU, 12-16 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U):
A lack of extra possessions could make the Terrapins' stay in Indianapolis a short one. Maryland comes in ranked near the bottom of the nation in offensive rebounds per game (5.8, 327th) and OReb% (19.6, 320th), and forces just 11.1 turnovers per outing (312th).

VCU (19-7 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 10-16 O/U):
Sometimes, it's the little things that make a big difference come tournament time ? and the Rams do them better than just about anyone, ranked fifth in Division I in steals per game (9.2) and fifth in blocked shots (5.4). Their 14.6 "stocks" per game lead the country.


No. 11 seeds

Utah State (20-8 SU, 16-11 ATS, 11-16 O/U):
The Aggies are a force on the boards, and that could help them pull off an upset or two at the NCAA Tournament. Utah State boasts the No. 2 rebound margin in the nation at plus-10.3, ranking 11th in OReb% at 34.6 and sixth in DReb% at 80.7.

Syracuse (16-9 SU, 12-13 ATS, 13-12 O/U):
The Orange might be a lower seed, but they come into the NCAA Tournament with plenty of momentum. Syracuse has gone an incredible 8-2 ATS in its last 10 March Madness games, including five victories as outright underdogs over that span.

Drake (25-4 SU, 21-6 ATS, 17-10 O/U):
The top ATS team in the nation might generate plenty of interest come tournament time ? but there are reasons to be wary. The Bulldogs are just 8-6 ATS in their past 12 games since starting out 13-0, and they're a mediocre 2-2 ATS as an underdog.

Wichita State (16-5 SU, 9-9-1 ATS, 9-10 O/U):
Getting to the NCAA Tournament is difficult enough ? but reaching the pinnacle of men's basketball while shooting just 40.8 percent is an even more challenging task. Wichita State's dismal shooting percentage is the lowest of any participant in this year's event.

UCLA (17-9 SU, 12-14 ATS, 15-11 O/U):
Take the Bruins out of Pauley Pavilion, and they've been a major disappointment from a covering perspective so far this season. UCLA has struggled to a 4-10 ATS mark in 14 games away from L.A.: 3-8 in 11 true road games, and 1-2 in three neutral-site outings.

Michigan State (15-12 SU, 9-18 ATS, 10-17 O/U):
Only 14 teams finished with a worse regular-season ATS mark than the Spartans, who were a particularly terrible 3-11 ATS as a favorite. That includes four outright defeats as a favorite, en route to their worst regular-season showing since 1996.


No. 12 seeds

Oregon State (17-12 SU, 18-9-1 ATS, 17-11 O/U):
We know how people love those 12-seed upsets when making their first-round bracket predictions or bets ? and the Beavers certainly fit the bill. Oregon State went an incredible 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season and was also 3-0 ATS in neutral-site games.

Winthrop (23-1 SU, 13-11 ATS, 11-12-1 O/U):
The Eagles know how to wring out as many extra possessions as possible ? and that could serve them well in Indianapolis. Winthrop ranks 18th in forced turnovers per game (16.3), 14th in offensive rebounds (13.0), and fifth in "extra scoring chances" (7.3).

Georgetown (13-12 SU, 16-9 ATS, 11-14 O/U):
The Hoyas are a dangerous team from the free-throw line ? but they'll need to be better from the floor. G Jahvon Blair and F Qudus Wahab are the only players in the Top 20 in the Big East in scoring that shoot below 40 percent from the field and better than 80 percent from the foul line.

UC Santa Barbara (21-4 SU, 14-10 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
There's a great first-half wagering opportunity with the Gauchos, if you believe in their season trend. UC Santa Barbara limited opponents to just 27.5 first-half points per game, sixth-lowest in the country - that figure jumps to 35.4 in the second half.


No. 13 seeds

Liberty (23-5 SU, 16-8 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U):
If you're looking for a 13-seed upset candidate. the Flames are here for you. Their 57.4-percent effective field goal rate ranks fourth in the nation, and third among NCAA Tournament entrants. The two teams ahead of them? Gonzaga and Baylor.

North Texas (17-9 SU, 16-9 ATS, 10-15 O/U):
The Mean Green are no strangers to life on the road ? and they've thrived heading into the NCAA Tournament. North Texas is on an incredible 8-2 ATS run over its previous 10 games, with seven of those games coming away from Denton.

UNC Greensboro (21-7 SU, 17-11 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U):
If the Spartans manage to pull off an upset at the NCAA Tournament, it likely won't be from a 3-point barrage. UNC Greensboro enters as the second-worst 3-point shooting team in the competition, ranked 311th overall at 30.0 percent.

Ohio (16-7 SU, 14-8 ATS, 13-9 O/U):
The Bobcats might be up against it in Round 1, but they come into the NCAA Tournament as one of the hottest ATS teams in the country. Ohio is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall, a stretch that includes four victories as outright underdogs.


No. 14 seeds

Colgate (14-1 SU, 10-5 ATS, 8-7 O/U):
Much has been made about the Raiders' sensational offense (86.3 ppg, second in the country) ? but bettors should also note their 3-point dominance. Colgate ranks third in long-range shooting (40 percent) while boasting the No. 1 3-point defense (26.1 percent).

Morehead State (23-7 SU, 19-9 ATS, 10-18 O/U):
The Eagles would love for their first-round game to be decided at the charity stripe. They allow just 13.5 free-throw attempts per game (third fewest in the country) and enter the NCAA Tournament with a plus-6.0 average FT attempt margin.

Eastern Washington (16-7 SU, 15-7 ATS, 12-10 O/U):
Look for the Eagles to get off to a fast start. Eastern Washington owns a plus-6.9 first-half scoring margin for the season, good for 15th in the country. That rate jumps to plus-16.7 over its previous three games, tops in the nation.

Abilene Christian (23-4 SU, 16-6 ATS, 14-8 O/U):
The Wildcats could make some noise in the NCAA Tournament if they continue to rock those sticky fingers. Abilene Christian leads the nation in forced turnovers per game (20.3) while sitting second overall in steals per outing (9.9).


No. 15 seeds

Oral Roberts (16-10 SU, 14-9 ATS, 16-7 O/U):
The Golden Eagles as a dual-threat 15-seed? Believe it. Not only does Oral Roberts boast the No. 1 free-throw success rate in college basketball (82.4 percent), it also makes a whopping 11.3 3-pointers per game, the most in the country.

Cleveland State (19-7 SU, 18-8 ATS, 14-12 O/U):
Discipline will be critical if the Vikings hope to be competitive in Round 1. Cleveland State ranked just inside the Top 300 in personal fouls per game (19.2) while allowing 21 free-throw attempts (and 15.3 makes) per outing.

Iona (12-5 SU, 11-5-1 ATS, 9-8 O/U):
The Gaels are back in the NCAA Tournament, which probably means another non-cover and an offensive explosion on behalf of the competition. Iona is just 1-6 ATS in its previous seven appearances, with its opponents averaging 88.1 points in that span.

Grand Canyon (17-6 SU, 15-5 ATS, 6-14 O/U):
Here are your "Under/Cover" champions for 2020-21. The Antelopes rode the country's No. 9 scoring defense (61.1 ppg against) and plus-9.6 average scoring margin to 13 ATS/Under combos on the season, the most of any team in the country.


No. 16 seeds

Drexel (10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS, 9-7 O/U):
The catalyst behind the Dragons' first NCAA Tournament appearance in 25 years? Superior shooting across the board. Drexel shot 47.7 percent this season (up from 44.1 percent in 2019-20), 77.7 percent from the line (up from 70.0), and 37.2 percent from deep (up from 34.9).

Hartford (15-8 SU, 15-8 ATS, 9-14 O/U):
The Hawks' best chance at an unlikely first-round NCAA Tournament upset: Continuing the sensational perimeter defense it displayed during the season. Hartford boasts the nation's 10th-best 3-point field goal percentage against at 27.9 percent.

Texas Southern (16-8 SU, 11-10-2 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U):
If March Madness success comes down to 3-point shooting, the Tigers are in a world of hurt. Not only do they have the worst long-range shooting of any team in the NCAA Tournament, their 27.6-percent success rate from deep ranks sixth-worst in all of Division I.

Mount St. Mary's (12-10 SU, 13-9 ATS, 8-14 O/U):
If you're looking for a nice Under play this week, the Mountaineers are ready to abide. They saw an average of just 126 points scored in their 22 games this season, the lowest average score of any team in the NCAA Tournament.

Appalachian State (17-11 SU, 14-9-1 ATS, 11-13 O/U):
The Mountaineers have had no problem being the underdog this season. They went 8-6 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in 14 games in that situation, including three straight outright victories as an underdog to win the Sun Belt Conference title.

Norfolk State (16-7 SU, 12-9 ATS, 12-9 O/U):
We've saved the best for last ? if you like chippy encounters, that is. The Spartans rank 307th in personal fouls per game (19.7) while drawing nearly 20 per game of their own ? and that means a combined 46.8 foul shots per game, the most in the country.
 

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Saturday


NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 20


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 20


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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 20


Georgetown (12) vs Colorado (5)
Georgetown (13-12, 17-4)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #113
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #248
? Hoyas are 2-3 outside the Big East
? Hoyas were 9-12 before winning Big East tourney.
? Georgetown is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#309)
? This is Georgetown?s first NCAA tourney since 2015.
? This is Patrick Ewing?s first NCAA game as a head coach.

Colorado (22-8)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #85
? Colorado won six of its last seven games.
? Colorado is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#48)
? Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
? Buffs lost Pac-12 title game by hoop to Oregon State.
? Colorado is in NCAA?s for first time since 2016.
? Tad Boyle is 1-3 SU in first round games.
? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 SU in first round.

? Since Big East re-configured, their teams are 3-7 ATS as first round underdogs.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 SU in first round games.

NC-Greensboro (13) vs Florida State (4)
NC-Greensboro (21-8)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #90
? Spartans are 5-3 outside SoCon, vs non-conf schedule #189
? UNCG won 15 of its last 18 games.
? Spartans force turnovers 21% of time (#58), grab 32.4% of their missed shots (#45).
? UNCG lost 68-64 to Gonzaga in first round three years ago, their last NCAA.

Florida State (16-6)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #100
? Continuity: #103
? FSU lost three of its last five games, after a 14-3 start.
? Seminoles have #33 eFG% defense in country.
? Florida State is shooting 39% on the arc (#9)
? Deep team; they?re #23 in bench minutes.
? Seminoles won their last five first round games.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round
? SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.

Eastern Washington (14) vs Kansas (3)
Eastern Washington (16-7)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #217
? Continuity: #72
? Eagles won 13 of their last 14 games.
? EWU is shooting 54.2% inside arc (#32)
? Eagles are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-17-5 points.
? EWU lost 84-74 to Georgetown in 2015, their last NCAA tourney.

Kansas (20-8)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #186
? Experience: #263
? Continuity: #122
? Jalen Wilson is out for Kansas, a big blow. McCormack may play, but his minutes would appear to be limited.
? Kansas played 7 guys in last game and that was with Wilson playing.
? Jayhawks won eight of their last nine games.
? Kansas has #46 eFG% defense in country.
? Jayhawks won their last 13 first round games; they were #1 or #2 seed 11 of those 13 years.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

St Bonaventure (9) vs LSU (8)
St Bonaventure (16-4)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #115
? Continuity: #30
? Bonnies won six of their last seven games.
? Bonnies have #13 eFG% defense in country.
? Bonnies are grabbing 33.6% of their missed shots (#31)
? St Bonaventure is 4-3 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? St Bonaventure won play-in game three years ago, then lost 77-62 to Florida in this round.

LSU (18-9)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #135
? LSU won four of their last five games.
? Tigers don?t pass much (#338 in assist/basket ratio)
? LSU is shooting 53% inside arc (#54)
? Tigers are poor on defensive boards (#325)
? Will Wade is 2-1 in first round games; LSU made Sweet 16 two years ago.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 SU in the first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 7-10 when favored.

Texas Southern (16) vs Michigan (1)
Texas Southern (17-8)
? ranked #220 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #5
? Continuity: #238
? Tigers won 10 in row, 15 of last 16 games.
? Texas Southern is 4-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
? Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Texas Southern won yesterday after trailing by 10 at the half.
? Tigers are shooting 28.2% on arc (#341)
? Texas Southern is 2-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 1-3.

Michigan (20-4)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? Michigan lost three of last five games, after an 18-1 start.
? Key player Livers missed last game (check status)
? Michigan has #8 eFG% defense in country.
? Wolverines are shooting 38.7% on arc (#12)
? Michigan won five of last six first round games; this is Juwan Howard?s first NCAA tourney game as a head coach.

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2003, SWAC teams are 3-6 ATS in this round.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Cal-Santa Barbara (12) vs Creighton (5)
UCSB (22-4)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #55
? Gauchos won 18 of their last 19 games.
? UCSB has #56 eFG% in country.
? UCSB hasn?t played top 100 team this year; they?re 3-4 vs teams ranked #101-111
? This is Santa Barbara?s first NCAA Tournament in ten years.

Creighton (20-8)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #19
? Creighton split its last six games; coach/players have issues between them, after the coach made inappropriate comments after a February 27 game.
? Bluejays are shooting 56.3% inside the arc (#12)
? Creighton has #42 eFG% defense in country.
? Under McDermott, Bluejays are 3-2 in first round; last win was 2014.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
? Big East teams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as first round favorites.

Iona (15) vs Alabama (2)
Iona (12-5)
? ranked #182 by KenPom
? Tempo: #185
? Experience: #185
? Continuity: #273
? Iona is fifth school Pitino has led to the NCAA?s.
? Gaels won six in row, 10 of last 12 games.
? Iona lost its only top 100 game, 86-64 to Seton Hall in their opener.
? Iona had a 52-day COVID pause; they didn?t play in January.
? Gaels have #18 eFG% defense in country.
? Iona is in 5th straight NCAA Tournament; over last 24 years, they?re 0-10 SU this round.

Alabama (24-6)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #9
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #152
? Alabama won six in row, nine of last ten games.
? Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
? Alabama gets 40.2% of its points on 3-pointers (#13)
? Alabama is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, losing by 24-12-16-3 points.
? Alabama is in 3rd NCAA since 2008; they beat Va Tech in 1st round in ?18.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2010, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS in NCAA first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS as a first round favorite.

Drake (11) vs USC (6)
Drake (26-4)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #181
? Hemphill played 10:00 yesterday; he missed previous nine games.
? Drake?s PG is out for the year.
? Drake is 10-0 outside MVC
? Bulldogs played three starters 37:00+ Thursday.
? Drake is 8-4 in last 12 games, after an 18-0 start.
? Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008; yesterday was the 50th anniversary of their last win in NCAA?s.

USC (22-7)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #202
? Continuity: #317
? USC spilt its last eight games, after an 18-3 start.
? USC has #11 eFG% defense in country.
? Opponents are shooting 42.2% inside arc (#2)
? Trojans are shooting only 64.7% on foul line (#326)
? This is USC?s first NCAA since 2017.
? Enfield is 2-1 in first round games, winning one at Florida Gulf Coast.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 SU in first round games.

Grand Canyon (2) vs Iowa (15)
Grand Canyon (17-6)
? ranked #108 by KenPom
? Tempo: #314
? Experience: #52
? Continuity: #218
? Antelopes lost by 1 to Arizona State, by 10 Colorado- they beat Nevada.
? Grand Canyon has #6 eFG% defense in country.
? Antelopes went 4-3 in last seven games, after a 13-3 start.
? This is Grand Canyon?s first-ever NCAA Tournament.
? Bryce Drew is 0-3 in first round games, at Vandy/Valparaiso, losing by 11-2-3 points.

Iowa (21-8)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #100
? Experience: #200
? Continuity: #44
? Iowa won eight of its last 10 games.
? Iowa is shooting 38.6% on arc (#13)
? Hawkeyes are 5-0 vs teams outside top 100; all wins were by 27+ points.
? Under McCaffery, Iowa is 3-1 in its first tournament game.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Last six years, WAC teams are 3-3 ATS in this round.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Maryland (10) vs UConn (7)
Maryland (16-13)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #93
? Maryland lost three of their last four games.
? Terrapins are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#46)
? Maryland gets 35.1% of its points on 3-pointers (#64)
? Since 1998, Maryland won 13 of 14 first round games.

UConn (15-7)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #165
? UConn won five of its last six games.
? UConn is grabbing 36.8% of their missed shots (#8)
? Huskies have #28 eFG% defense in country.
? UConn is in NCAA?s for first time since 2016.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 SU in first round
? Big East teams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as first round favorites.

Ohio (13) vs Virginia (4)
Ohio (16-7)
? ranked #79 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #84
? Ohio won eight of its last nine games.
? Bobcats are shooting 56.4% inside the arc (#11)
? Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#245)
? Ohio is in NCAA?s for first time since 2012.

Virginia (18-6)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #110
? Continuity: #162
? Virginia has had COVID issues; unsure how much they?ve practiced.
? Virginia needed OT to beat MAC?s Kent State 71-64 December 4.
? Cavaliers are shooting 38.1% on arc (#16)
? Virginia is 12-2 vs teams outside top 50.
? Virginia won five of last seven first round games, losing in 2012, 2018.

? Last four years, #13-seeds are 10-6 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round
? MAC teams covered their last four first round games.

Missouri (9) vs Oklahoma (8)
Missouri (16-9)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #11
? Continuity: #7
? Mizzou lost six of their last nine games.
? Mizzou shoots only 32% on the arc (#252)
? Tigers are 7-6 vs top 50 teams this season.
? Missouri lost its last four first round games; their last NCAA win was 2010.
? Martin lost two of his three first round games.

Oklahoma (15-10)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #50
? Oklahoma lost five of their last six games.
? Oklahoma?s #2 scorer Harmon is out for this game.
? Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#51)
? Their last six games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Under Kruger, Oklahoma is 3-3 SU in first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
? Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 SU in first round games.

Norfolk State (16) vs Gonzaga (1)
Norfolk State (17-7)
? ranked #200 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #126
? Norfolk State won nine of its last ten games.
? Spartans have #33 eFG% defense in country.
? Norfolk played only one guy 30:00+ Thursday.
? Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#30)
? Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed, then losing 84-50 to Florida in second round.

Gonzaga (26-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #179
? This is Gonzaga?s first game in 11 days.
? Zags are shooting 63.9% inside arc (#1)
? Gonzaga gets 58.3% of its points on 2-point shots (#21)
? Gonzaga hasn?t lost a first round game since 2008 (Davidson/Steph Curry)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2003, MEAC teams are 5-8 ATS in this round.
? Last ten years, Gonzaga is 6-4 ATS in this round.

UCLA (11) vs BYU (6)
UCLA (18-9)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #25
? UCLA lost four of its last four games.
? UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
? Bruins are 8-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Since 2009, UCLA is 9-7 in NCAAs.
? Cronin is 7-11 in NCAAs, 1-4 after the first round.

BYU (20-6)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #200
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #284
? First game in 11 days for BYU.
? Cougars won five of their last six games.
? BYU is shooting 37.3% on arc (#34), has #21 eFG%.
? This is BYU?s first NCAA Tournament since 2015.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Since 2003, WCC teams other than Gonzaga are 3-8 ATS in this round.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 SU in first round games.

Abilene Christian (14) vs Texas (3)
Abilene Christian (23-4)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #20
? Wildcats won 12 of their last 13 games.
? ACU lost 51-44 at Texas Tech, 85-72 at Arkansas.
? ACU is forcing turnovers 26.7% of time (#1)
? Abilene Christian is shooting 37.7% on arc (#21)
? ACU lost 79-44 to UCLA in first round two years ago.

Texas (19-7)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #104
? Continuity: #4
? Texas won its last five games, after a 4-6 skid.
? Longhorns have #38 eFG% defense in country.
? 41.9% of their shots are 3-pointers (#57)
? Texas is 2-5 in its last seven first round games.
? Shaka Smart brought VCU to Final Four in 2011; since then, his teams are 2-6 in NCAA Tournament games.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Since 2014, Southland teams are 7-6-1 ATS in this round.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

VCU (10) vs Oregon (7)
VCU (19-7)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #305
? Continuity: #283
? VCU split its last six games, after a 16-4 start.
? Rams are forcing turnovers 23.7% of the time (#9)
? VCU is 4-4 vs top 50 teams this season.
? Rams lost four of last five first round games; their last win was 2016.

Oregon (20-6)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #242
? Experience: #33
? Continuity: #267
? Oregon won 11 of their last 13 games.
? Ducks are shooting 37.9% on arc (#19)
? Oregon is 4-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Under Altman, Ducks are 6-0 SU in first round games.

NIT tournament (@ Denton, TX)
Dayton @ Memphis

Dayton (14-9)
? ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #217
? Dayton is 4-5 in its last nine games, after a 10-4 start.
? Flyers are shooting 55.0% inside arc (#23)
? This is Dayton?s first game in fifteen days.

Memphis (16-8)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #321
? Continuity: #74
? Memphis won seven of last nine games.
? Tigers have #3 eFG% defense in country.
? Memphis is turning ball over 22.4% of time (#324)

Mississippi State vs Saint Louis (@ Frisco, TX))
Mississippi State (15-14)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #121
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #85
? Bulldogs are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
? Miss State is grabbing 36.4% of their missed shots (#8)
? Bulldogs have #45 eFG% defense in country.
? This is Miss State?s first game in eight days.

Saint Louis (14-6)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #16
? This is Billikens? first game in two weeks.
? Saint Louis is a top 5 rebounding team in country.
? Billikens split last six games, after an 11-3 start.
 

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763NORFOLK ST -764 GONZAGA
NORFOLK ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

765MISSOURI -766 OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

767UC-SANTA BARBARA -768 CREIGHTON
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

769OHIO U -770 VIRGINIA
OHIO U is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

771DRAKE -772 USC
DRAKE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

773E WASHINGTON -774 KANSAS
KANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

777GRAND CANYON -778 IOWA
IOWA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

779TEXAS SOUTHERN -780 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the current season.

781ST BONAVENTURE -782 LSU
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.

783GEORGETOWN -784 COLORADO
COLORADO is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.


----------------------------------------


NCAAB

Saturday, March 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Missouri @ Oklahoma
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
Missouri is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 8 games when playing Missouri
Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Missouri


----------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, MARCH 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


DAY at MEM 12:00 PM
MEM -5.5...............60 - 71.......WINNER
U 137.5

GTWN at COLO 12:15 PM
GTWN +6.0............73 - 93.......LOSER
O 137.0.......................WINNER


UNCG at FSU 12:45 PM
FSU -10.5...................54 - 64......LOSER
U 144.0..........................WINNER


EWU at KU 01:15 PM
KU -10.5
O 146.0

SBON at LSU 01:45 PM
SBON +2.0...........61 - 76....LOSER
O 143.5...................LOSER


TXSO at MICH 03:00 PM
TXSO +25.5............66 - 82....WINNER
O 142.5

UCSB at CREI 03:30 PM
UCSB +7.5 62 - 63
O 138.0..............LOSER

IONA at ALA 04:00 PM
IONA +16.5...........55 - 68........WINNER
O 148.5

DRKE at USC 04:30 PM
USC -6.0...........56 - 72...WINNER
U 135.5..............WINNNER


MSST at SLU 05:00 PM
MSST +5.0...........74 - 68....WINNER
O 134.5.................WINNER


GRC at IOWA 06:25 PM
IOWA -14.0...............74 - 86....LOSER
U 145.0



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............19-17-1.................52.77%...........+1.50
 
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EVENING BEST BETS:


MD at CONN 07:10 PM
CONN -3.5
U 130.0

OHIO at UVA 07:15 PM
OHIO +7.0.......62 - 58.......WINNER
O 130.0..................LOSER


MIZZ at OKLA 07:25 PM
OKLA +1.0...........68 - 72....WINNER
O 139.0...............WINNER


NORF at GONZ 09:20 PM
NORF +33.0........55 - 98...LOSER
O 154.0

UCLA at BYU 09:40 PM
BYU -3.5............73 - 62.....LOSER
U 139.0

ACU at TEX 09:50 PM
ACU +8.5...........53 - 52
O 139.5.....................LOSER

VCU at ORE 09:57 PM
VCU +6.0........0 - 2.....WINNER
O 138.5.............LOSER




2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............32-28-1.................53.33%...........+6.00
 
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Sunday?s 6-pack
NBA leaders in minutes/game:

37.9? James Harden, BK
36.8? Julius Randle, NY
36.7? Fred Van Vleet, Tor
36.3?Domantas Sabonis, Ind
36.2? Damian Lillard, Port
36.0? Collin Sexton, Clev

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Fact of the Day
This is first time since 1979 the Sweet 16 won?t have North Carolina, Duke or Kentucky in it.

Sunday?s quiz
Which current SEC basketball coach was Dwyane Wade?s college coach at Marquette?

Saturday?s quiz
Indiana?s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.

Friday?s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament- they beat Virginia in 2018.

**********************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping a sports Saturday

Abilene Christian 53, Texas 52:
? 23 turnovers for Texas, in a low-possession game.
? Abilene Christian leads country in forcing turnovers.
? Under Smart, Texas is 0-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

Ohio 62, Virginia 58:
Virginia?s last three NCAA tournaments:
? 2021- Lose in first round as a 4-seed (7.5-point favorite)
? 2019- Won national title
? 2018- Lost in first round as a 1-seed (22.5-point favorite)

? Two guys on Ohio U played the whole game.
? Virginia team got to Indiana Friday; they were 8-31 on the arc.
? Ohio-Creighton is an odd 2nd round game on Monday.

Colorado 96, Georgetown 78:
? Colorado made 16-25 on arc, scored 1.32 ppp.
? Four years at Georgetown, Patrick Ewing is 62-59, 26-44 in league games.
? Colorado plays Florida State in second round Monday.

Florida State 64, NC-Greensboro 54:
? Not often a team goes 0-9 on arc and wins, but Florida State did that here.
? This game was 51-50 with 4:52 left; UNCG played well.
? Seminoles played nine guys 10:00+; not many teams do that.

Kansas 93, Eastern Washington 84:
? EWU Eagles led by 10 with 17:58 left in game.
? Jayhawks made 12-30 on arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
? Jayhawks won nine of last ten games, after a 12-7 start.

LSU 76, St Bonaventure 61:
? LSU won five of its last six games, after a 4-6 midseason slump.
? Bonnies shot only 33.3% from floor.
? LSU gave up 78+ points in all their losses; Bonnies didn?t have enough firepower.

Michigan 82, Texas Southern 66:
? Game was 42-24 at halftime, stress-free day for the Wolverines.
? Livers missed another game for Michigan; they didn?t need him here.
? Monday?s game with LSU should be interesting.

Creighton 63, Cal-Santa Barbara 62:
? Kid on UCSB missed a putback at rim with 0:01 left.
? Gauchos led by 6 with 5:24 left; they outscored Creighton 13-4 on foul line.
? Creighton?s subs played total of 27:00, scored two points.

Alabama 68, Iona 55:
? Game was 33-32 at halftime; Alabama wore them down in 2nd half.
? Iona goes 12-6 in Pitino?s first year, with a 52-day pause; the man can coach.
? Alabama-Maryland will be an interesting game Monday.

Oklahoma 72, Missouri 68:
? Sooners won for only second time in last seven games.
? Mizzou shot only 35.5% inside arc in this game.
? Cuonzo Martin made Sweet 16 at Tennessee in 2014; since then, he is 0-3 in tourney games.

USC 72, Drake 56
? Game was 40-37 at halftime; Drake was 2 for its first 23 in 2nd half.
? Bulldogs had a great year, going 26-5 with a win in First Four Thursday.
? USC plays Kansas Monday, which should be a prime time game.

Maryland 63, UConn 54
? Maryland?s starters all played 33:00+; they held UConn to 32.3% from floor.
? Huskies lost their last two games, scoring 56-54 points.
? Since 1998, Maryland won 14 of 15 first round games.

Iowa 86, Grand Canyon 74:
? Iowa made 10-22 on arc, scored a whopping 1.37 ppp.
? Antelopes started four seniors, made NCAAs for first time, a terrific season.
? Iowa plays Oregon Monday; Ducks got a bye Saturday because of COVID.

Oregon advanced after VCU couldn?t play because of COVID issues.

Gonzaga 98, Norfolk State 55:
? When better team makes 14-27 on the arc, it?ll be an ugly game.
? Game was 43-23 at halftime, then it got worse.
? #1-seeds were 2-2 ATS, #2-seeds 1-3 this weekend.

UCLA 73, BYU 62:
? Surprisingly easy win for the Bruins, who play Abilene Christian Monday.
? Since 2003, WCC teams other than Gonzaga are 3-9 ATS in first round.
? Pac-12 teams are 5-0 SU so far this week.
 

Cnotes53

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801WISCONSIN -802 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

803N TEXAS -804 VILLANOVA
N TEXAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

805TEXAS TECH -806 ARKANSAS
TEXAS TECH is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.

807ORAL ROBERTS -808 FLORIDA
ORAL ROBERTS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the current season.

809LOYOLA-IL -810 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the current season.

809LOYOLA-IL -810 ILLINOIS
LOYOLA-IL is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls in the current season.

811OREGON ST -812 OKLAHOMA ST
OREGON ST is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

813SYRACUSE -814 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in road games after a win by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

815RUTGERS -816 HOUSTON
RUTGERS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.


--------------------------------------


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 21


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (18 - 12) vs. BAYLOR (23 - 2) - 3/21/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 170-129 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N TEXAS (18 - 9) vs. VILLANOVA (17 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 402-336 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 402-336 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 286-238 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 169-118 ATS (+39.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 167-118 ATS (+37.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 320-248 ATS (+47.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N TEXAS is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
N TEXAS is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
N TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
N TEXAS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (18 - 10) vs. ARKANSAS (23 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
ARKANSAS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARKANSAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ARKANSAS is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORAL ROBERTS (17 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (15 - 9) - 3/21/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOYOLA-IL (25 - 4) vs. ILLINOIS (24 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (18 - 12) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (21 - 8) - 3/21/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (17 - 9) vs. W VIRGINIA (19 - 9) - 3/21/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (16 - 11) vs. HOUSTON (25 - 3) - 3/21/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 21


Loyola Chi (8) vs Illinois (1)
Loyola Chi (25-4)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #343
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won seven in row, 18 of last 19 games.
? Loyola is shooting 57.9% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 5-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech.
? Ramblers played two starters 36:00+ Friday night.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Illinois (24-6)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #48
? Illinois won 15 of its last 16 games.
? Illini is shooting 37.5% on arc (#25)
? Opponents are shooting 44.8% inside arc (#20)
? Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
? Illini had stress-free game Friday; they led 39-21 at halftime.
? This is Illinois? first NCAA Tournament since 2013.

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
? These teams are both in Illinois, but haven?t met since 2012.

Wisconsin (9) vs Baylor (1)
Wisconsin (18-12)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers lost six of their last nine games.
? Wisconsin is 10-11 in last 20 games, after an 8-1 start.
? Badgers are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#286)
? Wisconsin were up 16 at the half Friday, made 13-27 on arc.
? Badgers won five of last six second round games.

Baylor (23-2)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #155
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #33
? Baylor is 6-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.4% on the arc (#1)
? Baylor beat Illinois of Big 14 by 13 December 2nd. .
? Under Drew, Baylor is 4-1 in second round games

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.

Syracuse (11) vs West Virginia (3)
Syracuse (17-9)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #147
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #67
? Syracuse won seven of their last ten games.
? Orangemen are 4-7 vs teams in the top 50.
? Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
? Orangemen made 15-27 on arc, cruised past San Diego State Friday.
? Since 2003, Syracuse is 8-2 SU in second round games.

West Virginia (19-9)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #157
? Continuity: #46
? West Virginia lost three of its last five games.
? West Virginia is grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#13)
? Mountaineers are 6-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
? West Virginia gets 22.1% of its points on foul line (#25)
? West Virginia shoots 36.2% on the arc (#64)
? Under Huggins, WVU is 5-1 SU in second round games.

? These teams were Big East rivals for a while, ending in 2012; Syracuse won last five meetings.
? Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
? Last two tournaments, ACC teams were 8-1 SU in 2nd round games.
? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.

Texas Tech (6) vs Arkansas (3)
Texas Tech (18-10)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #241
? Tech split their last eight games.
? Red Raiders force turnovers 24.1% of time (#6)
? Tech gets 21.5% of its points on foul line (#39)
? Tech played three starters 32:00+ Friday; they were down 6 early in 2nd half.
? Beard is 4-2 in NCAA Tournament games at Tech.

Arkansas (23-6)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won 10 of its last 11 games.
? Arkansas is 9-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #273)
? Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
? Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate Friday, still won by 17.
? Musselman is 3-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

? Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.
? Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

Rutgers (10) vs Houston (2)
Rutgers (16-11)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #81
? Continuity: #5
? Rutgers won three of last four, split its last ten games.
? Rutgers is 5-0 outside Big 14 (non-conf sed #288)
? Scarlet Knights are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#84).
? Rutgers is 8-10 vs teams in top 50.
? Rutgers is in NCAA?s for first time since 1991.

Houston (24-3)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #112
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Cougars won their last eight games, six of them by 24+ points.
? Houston cruised Friday, a stress-free win over Cleveland State.
? Since 1997, Sampson is 4-4 in second round games.

? Since 2015, #2-seeds are 6-9 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2014, AAC teams are 6-4 ATS in second round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Florida (7)
Oral Roberts (17-10)
? ranked #136 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last six games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.4% on arc (#13), 82.4% on line (#1)
? ORU is 9th #15-seed to win a first-round game; their bench played total of only 23:00 in their overtime win Friday. Four starters played 42:00+.
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Florida (15-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #174
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #164
? Florida lost three of its last five games.
? Gators beat a #10-seed Friday, play a #15-seed here.
? Gators are #282 team in country on defensive boards.
? Florida also won in OT Friday; they played three starters 37:00+
? Florida lost in second round in their last two tournaments.

? #15-seeds are 1-7 SU, 2-5-1 ATS in second round games.
? #7-seeds are 6-6 SU in last five tournaments, all vs #2-seeds.
? Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

North Texas (13) vs Villanova (5)
North Texas (18-9)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #97
? Mean Green is 5-8 this season vs top 100 teams.
? North Texas won its last five games, last two in OT.
? Mean Green has #15 eFG% defense in country.
? North Texas is shooting 37.5% on arc (#25)
? North Texas scored first 11 points of overtime Friday- they played four starters 37:00+
? This is first NCAA for North Texas since 2010.

Villanova (17-6)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #331
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #7
— Villanova lost three of last five games; PG Gillespie out for year.
? Villanova is 6-5 in last ten games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats? bench plays #322 minutes; injuries are costly.
? Wildcats played three starters 35:00+ in Friday?s win.
? In last six NCAA tourneys, Villanova won two national titles, lost in second round four times.

? Last six years, #13-seeds are 0-4 ATS in second round games.
? Since league reconfigured, Big East teams are 4-6 ATS in second round games.

Oregon State (12) vs Oklahoma State (4)
Oregon State (18-12)
? ranked #73 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #68
? Continuity: #154
? Oregon State won seven of its last eight games.
? Oregon State is getting 20.5% of its points on foul line (#67)
? Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#275)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
? Oregon State won easily Friday, holding Tennessee to 0.84 ppp.
? Beavers? win Friday was their first tournament win since 1982.

Oklahoma State (21-8)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #32
? Experience: #324
? Continuity: #287
? Oklahoma State won nine of its last 11 games.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#292)
? Oklahoma State has #46 eFG% defense.
? Cowboys are 8-0 outside the Big X.
? OSU last made the Sweet 16 in 2005.

? Since 1987, #12-seeds are 31-18 ATS in 2nd round games, 20-18 vs #4-seeds.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.


-------------------------------------


NCAAB

Sunday, March 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Syracuse @ West Virginia
Syracuse
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Syracuse's last 8 games when playing West Virginia
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games when playing Syracuse
West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Syracuse


----------------------------------------
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
30,469
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SUNDAY, MARCH 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


L-IL at ILL 12:10 PM
ILL -7.5.............71 - 58......LOSER
O 133.5

WIS at BAY 02:40 PM
BAY -6.5...........63 - 76......WINNER
U 136.5.............LOSER


SYR at WVU 05:15 PM
WVU -4.0..........75 - 72
O 147.5....................LOSER

TTU at ARK 06:10 PM
ARK +2.0...........66 - 68
O 141.0...............LOSER

RUTG at HOU 07:10 PM
HOU -8.0..........60 - 63......LOSER
O 132.0..................LOSER


ORU at FLA 07:45 PM
ORU +8.5..........81 - 78....WINNER
U 148.5....................LOSER


UNT at VILL 08:45 PM
UNT +5.0......61 - 84......LOSER
U 127.0..............LOSER


ORST at OKST 09:40 PM
ORST +6.5...............80 - 70.....WINNER
O 141.0...................................WINNER




2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............36-37-1.................49.31%...........-23..50
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Monday?s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:

56.6%? Tony Snell, All
49.0%? Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%? Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%? Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%? Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%? Luke Kennard, LAC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?It?s no longer about me trying to move up any ladders, make more money. I?m at a great place in my life. I can coach six, seven more years, God willing, just try to make young men better, try to make the program reach heights it?s never reached. That?s all I have planned. It?s a great place to be. There?s some things that suck about being 68 (years old). The great thing about it is being at Iona, being able to teach with nobody bothering you, just make the players better.?
Rick Pitino

Monday?s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, who did they beat?

Sunday?s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade?s college coach at Marquette.

Saturday?s quiz
Indiana?s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.

*******************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Oral Roberts 81, Florida 78:
Long time ago, on Oral Roberts? home court, this was stamped on each baseline:

?Expect a miracle?
Not sure if it?s there anymore; they?re not on TV much.

Well, a 15-seed making the Sweet 16 is pretty darn close.

? Florida Gulf Coast (2013) was only previous #15-seed to make Sweet 16.
? ORU shot 59.3% inside arc; their two stars never came out of the game.
? Golden Eagles prepped for this; they played 3rd-hardest non-league schedule in country.

Ironically, when Florida Gulf Coast finally lost in 2013, they lost to Florida in the regional semifinals. Today, the Gators were the victims.

12) Loyola, Chi 71, Illinois 58:
? Loyola?s big man Krutwig had 19 points, 12 boards, 5 assists.
? Loyola was +6 in turnovers (17-11); they got most of the loose balls.
? Not only did the #1-seed lose, they never led in this game.

11) Loyola is a #8-seed in the Sweet 16. Since 1990, here is how 8-9 seeds have done in the Sweet 16:

? 10-8 SU in regional semifinal
? 10-7-1 ATS in those games; 1-2 ATS when favored, 9-5-1 otherwise.
? Loyola plays in O State in the regional semi-final this coming weekend.

10) This is the first NCAA Tournament ever to have at least four teams seeded #13 or lower make it into the second round.

9) Arkansas 68, Texas Tech 66:
? Hogs held Tech to 29.3% inside arc; they denied MacClung the ball a lot- he only took six shots.
? Arkansas basically played six guys; a 7th guy played only 3:00.
? Arkansas plays #15-seed Oral Roberts in their next game.

8) Baylor 76, Wisconsin 63:
? Baylor got seven games in after a 21-day COVID pause, before NCAA tourney.
? Bears turned ball over only four times, scored 1.19 ppp.
? Wisconsin started four seniors; if all those guys came back next year, and they can if they want, Badgers would have older starters than some NBA teams.

7) Houston 63, Rutgers 60:
? Cougars outscored Rutgers 13-2 over the final 4:33.
? Houston had 43-29 rebounding edge, with 16 offensive boards.
? This was first NCAA Tournament for Rutgers since 1991, so an excellent season for them.

6) Syracuse 75, West Virginia 72:
? Syracuse made 14-31 on the arc, shot 61.9% inside arc.
? Orangemen led 30-16 early; West Virginia led 53-52 with 9:15 left.
? Mountaineers ended season losing four of their last six games.

5) Villanova 84, North Texas 61:
? North Texas pulled big upset Friday, didn?t have much left here.
? Wildcats shot 15-30 on the arc, scored 1.42 ppp.
? Villanova had lost in this round four of last six years, so had to be a relief to get to the Sweet 16, especially with their point guard out for the year.

4) Shaka Smart?s NCAA Tournament resume:
at VCU:
2011? Won five tournament games, lost national semi-final (11-seed).
2012? Won one, lost one (12-seed).
2013? Won one, lost one (5-seed).
2014? Lost in 1st round (5-seed)
2015? Lost in 1st round (7-seed)
at Texas:
2016? Lost in 1st round (6-seed)
2018? Lost in 1st round (10-seed)
2020?Lost in 1st round (3-seed)

3) Oregon State 80, Oklahoma State 70:
? Oregon State only got in because they won Pac-12 tourney; they?re red-hot now.
? Lot of whistles: Beavers were 32-35 on foul line, Oklahoma State 26-38.
? Loyola-Oregon State is the rare 8-12 seed game next weekend.

2) Since 1997, Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is 14-9 SU in NCAA tournament games.; underdog was 18-5 ATS in those games.

He was 3-10 ATS when favored, 8-2 when the underdog.

1) Think the Houston Texans regret not trading Deshaun Watson already? They could?ve gotten a huge haul for him last month, but now Watson seems to be facing an off-field legal battle, which at least will be a big distraction. Do other teams still want to trade for him?
 
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