CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

EVENING BEST BETS:

UGA at MIZZ 07:00 PM
UGA +6.5............70 - 73...........WINNER
O 153.5

ECU at UCF 07:00 PM
UCF -5.0..........62 - 72..............WINNER.
U 134.0

RICE at UAB 07:00 PM
UAB -8.5
U 142.5

NAU at EWU 07:00 PM
NAU +15.5
O 150.0

NIAG at MRST 07:30 PM
MRST +1.0........67 - 62.....LOSER
O 124.5...................WINNER

SEA at CALBA 07:30 PM
CALBA +2.0............83 - 66.....LOSER
U 152.0.........................WINNER

**********************

NCCU at NORF 08:00 PM
NORF -5.5
U 132.5

CP at UCI 08:00 PM
UCI -15.0..........51 - 58.......LOSER
U 127.5

UTAH at USC 08:30 PM
USC -7.5.....85 - 91.........LOSER
U 140.5........................LOSER

DEP at CONN 09:00 PM
CONN -12.5............60 - 94.....WINNER
U 133.5

PSU at WIS 09:00 PM
WIS -5.5..........74 - 75.....LOSER
U 134.5.......................LOSER

UNC at VT 09:00 PM
UNC -3.5...........81 - 73.....WINNER
U 141.0

SCAR at MISS 09:00 PM
MISS -7.5.........59 - 76....WINNER
U 140.5

UNLV at USU 09:00 PM
UNLV +11.0
U 137.0

LAM at SHSU 09:00 PM
LAM +8.5............70 -69........WINNER
O 138.0............................WINNER

TTU at TEX 09:30 PM
TEX +1.5.............66 - 67....WINNER
O 134.0....................LOSER

FAU at LT 09:30 PM
LT -7.5
U 137.0

SOU at GRAM 09:30 PM
SOU -2.0.......67 - 72.....LOSER
U 138.0

************************

UNT at ODU 10:00 PM
UNT -4.5...........61 - 55
O 127.0................LOSER

MONT at WEB 10:00 PM
WEB -7.0.......80 - 75.....LOSER
U 142.0

HAW at UCRV 11:00 PM
HAW +5.0..........52 - 62.....LOSER
O 134.0....................LOSER

UTRGV at NMSU 11:00 PM
UTRGV +11.5........67 - 80....LOSER
O 133.5.....................WINNER

CAL at COLO 11:30 PM
COLO -14.5......58 - 61......LOSER
U 133.5...............WINNER

FRES at CSU 11:30 PM
CSU -8.5.........62 - 72....WINNER
O 137.0................LOSER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 11,2021............32 - 27...........54.23%............ +11.50
Mar. 10, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............- 5.00
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................200- 199............50.12%............- 86.50

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Leading scorers in country in Division I:
24.2? Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
24.0? Antoine Davis, Detroit
23.8? Luke Garza, Iowa
23.1? Cameron Thomas, LSU
21.8? Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
21.8? Marcus Burk, IUPUI

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?He is our starting quarterback right now. He is our starting quarterback. Things happen between now and then. We?ll see what happens. He?s our starting quarterback. ? that?s right, right now. And hopefully in the future.?
Houston Texans? coach David Culley

Friday?s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, how many were/are being played in Las Vegas?

Thursday?s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.

Wednesday?s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

********************

Friday?s Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday

13) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
? Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
? Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
? Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don?t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin? rafters!!!

Seton Hall 77, St John?s 69 OT? This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA?s.

12) SEC tourney:
Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73? Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
? This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA?s.

11) ACC tourney:
? Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke?s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.

Virginia 72, Syracuse 69? Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman?s only basket of the game.

10) Big X tourney:
Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
? Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
? Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.

Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
? Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
? Oklahoma limps into the NCAA?s, on a 1-5 skid.

9) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT? Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
? With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
? UCLA lost its last four games.

USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
? Three Trojans played 42:00+.
? Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30

8) Big 14 tourney:
Maryland 68, Michigan State 57? Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they?re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.

Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
? Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
? Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
? Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
? Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
? Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
? Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
? Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
? Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56

6) Big West tourney:
Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56? 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.

Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51? Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.

5) Conference USA tourney? All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.

4) MAC tourney:
Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
? Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
? Rockets won five of their last six games.

3) Mountain West tourney:
San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
? Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
? San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.

Disappointing that UNLV hasn?t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they?re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.

2) Big Sky tourney:
Montana 80, Weber State 75
? Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
? Grizzlies can shoot though; they?re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)

1) AAC tourney:
South Florida 73, Temple 71? Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 12

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NCAAB

Friday, March 12

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 12

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Georgia Tech vs Virginia
Georgia Tech (16-8, 12-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Georgia Tech won its last seven games.
? Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.2% of time (#31)
? Tech is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#26)
? Tech played three starters 31:00+ yesterday- they were down 7 in 2nd half.
? Last 9+ years, Tech is 3-9 in ACC tourney; last time they won two games in one ACC tourney was 2010.

Virginia (18-6, 14-4)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #110
? Continuity: #162
? Virginia won its last three games, after an 0-3 skid.
? Cavaliers are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#19)
? Virginia is #14 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last 6+ years, Virginia is 12-4 in ACC tournament.

? Virginia beat Georgia Tech twice this year, 64-62/57-49
? Cavaliers wont last eight series games.

North Carolina vs Florida State
North Carolina (18-9, 12-6)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #42
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #157
? Tar Heels are 6-2 in their last eight games; they scored 91 ppg in last three.
? Carolina has #221 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#264)
? UNC is grabbing 41.3% of its missed shots (#1)
? Tar Heels are 11-4 in last 15 ACC tourney games; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.

Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #77
? Experience: #96
? Continuity: #103
? Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
? Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
? Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
? Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.
? UNC played last two days; FSU hasn?t played since Saturday.

? These teams split pair of games this season.
? These teams also split last six series games.

AAC tournament
Cincinnati vs SMU (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Cincinnati (10-10, 8-6)
? ranked #112 by KenPom
? Tempo: #74
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #209
? Cincinnati split their last six games.
? Bearcats are shooting 31.1% on arc (#289), 65.9% on line (#312)
? Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#251)
? Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

SMU (11-4, 7-4)
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Tempo: #166
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #52
? This is SMU?s first game in 32 days.
? Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#8)
? Mustangs are 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? SMU went W-L in last two AAC tourneys; they won it in ?15, ?17.

? Bearcats won 76-69 at SMU January 7.
? Cincinnati won last eight series games.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs Baylor
Oklahoma State (19-7, 12-7)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #290
? Cowboys won seven of their last eight games.
? Oklahoma State has #50 eFG% defense in country.
? Their last six wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
? Cowboys played two starters 37:00+ yesterday; no one else played more than 29:00
? Last six years, Oklahoma State is 3-5 in Big X tourney.

Baylor (22-1, 14-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #186
? Experience: #87
? Continuity: #32
? Baylor won last four games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
? Bears are shooting 42.8% on the arc (#1)
? Baylor is forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#3)
? Last 4+ years, Baylor is 1-3 in Big X tournament; last time they won twice in same tournament was 2014.

? Baylor beat Oklahoma State twice this year, 81-66/81-70
? Bears won 11 of last 12 series games.

Texas vs Kansas
Texas (18-7, 12-6)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #4
? Texas won its last four games, giving up 65.5 ppg.
? Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#24)
? 42.3% of Texas? shots come behind the arc (#52)
? Under Smart, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tournament.

Kansas (20-8, 13-6)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #264
? Continuity: #122
? Kansas won eight of its last nine games- the one loss was in OT at Texas.
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#43)
? Kansas was down two guys yesterday- they used only 7 players.
? You?re reading ***************.com.
? Kansas is 31-6 in their last 37 Big X tourney games.

? Texas beat Kansas twice this year, 84-59/75-72 OT.
? Before this year, Jayhawks had won 18 of last 20 series games.

Big East tournament (@ New York City)
UConn vs Creighton
UConn (15-6, 12-6)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #298
? Experience: #162
? Continuity: #165
? UConn won its last five games, scoring 98-94 in last two games.
? Huskies are grabbing 37-7% of their missed shots (#4)
? UConn has #31 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 3+ years, UConn is 2-2 in conference tourneys.

Creighton (19-7, 15-6)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #130
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #20
? Creighton won nine of its last 12 games.
? Bluejays are shooting 57.8% inside arc (#5)
? Creighton gets 37.8% of their points on arc (#32)
? Last 5+ years, Creighton is 3-5 in Big East tourney.

? Creighton beat UConn twice this year, 76-74 OT/74-66.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Ohio State vs Purdue
Ohio State (19-8, 13-8)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #89
? Continuity: #173
? Buckeyes snapped 4-game skid with yesterday?s 79-75 win over Minnesota.
? Ohio State is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#67), 36.1% on arc (#65)
? Buckeyes are getting 21.5% of their points on foul line.
? Last 6+ years, Ohio State is 4-5 in Big 14 tourneys.

Purdue (18-8, 13-6)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #273
? Experience: #328
? Continuity: #114
? Purdue won its last five games, giving up 60.4 ppg.
? Purdue is a top 30 rebounding team in country.
? Boilers are 8-6 vs top 50 teams this season.
? Last seven years, Purdue is 3-4 in its first Big 14 tourney game.

? Purdue beat Ohio State twice this year, 67-60/67-65
? Boilermakers won six of last eight series games.

Wisconsin vs Iowa
Wisconsin (17-11, 11-10)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #12
? Wisconsin lost five of its last seven games.
? Badgers are 6-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
? Badgers won 75-74 yesterday; they led by 18 with 7:48 left.
? Under Gard, Wisconsin is 5-4 in Big 14 tournament games.

Iowa (20-7, 14-6)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #204
? Continuity: #46
? Iowa won seven of its last eight games.
? Hawkeyes are shooting 39.6% on arc (#4)
? Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#34)
? Last 13 years, Iowa is 4-12 in Big 14 tourney.

? Iowa beat Wisconsin twice this year, 77-62/77-73
? Hawkeyes won five of last seven series games.

Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Nevada vs San Diego State
Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #107
? Experience: #334
? Continuity: #307
? Nevada won six of its last eight games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#70)
? Wolf Pack played three guys 33:00+ in yesterday?s 74-possession win.
? Last 5+ years, Nevada is 7-4 in Mountain West tournament.

San Diego State (21-4, 15-3)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #132
? Experience: #130
? Continuity: #80
? San Diego State won its last 12 games.
? Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#24)
? Aztecs are #30 team in country on defensive boards.
? Aztecs went WWL in this event 6 of last 7 years, WWW the other year.

? Aztecs beat Nevada twice this year, 65-60/69-67
? San Diego State won eight of last nine series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Oregon State vs Oregon
Oregon State (15-12, 11-10)
? ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #76
? Continuity: #155
? Beavers won four of their last five games.
? Oregon State gets 21.2% of its points on foul line (#46)
? Beavers rallied from down 16 to beat UCLA in OT yesterday.
? Under Tinkle, Beavers are 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney

Oregon (20-5, 15-4)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #242
? Experience: #35
? Continuity: #268
? Oregon won six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
? Ducks are shooting 38.5% on the arc (#12)
? Oregon forces turnovers 20.2% of time (#92)
? Last 6+ years, Ducks are 14-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice

? Ducks/Beavers split pair of road wins this year.
? Oregon State won four of last six series games.

Colorado vs USC
Colorado (21-7, 15-6)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #32
? Continuity: #85
? Colorado won its last five games, giving up 59.8 ppg.
? Colorado is shooting 36.3% on the arc (#59)
? Opponents are shooting 46.0% inside arc (#44)
? Colorado went WL in five of last seven Pac-12 tourneys.

USC (22-6, 16-5)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #317
? USC won its last three games, after a 1-3 skid.
? USC is grabbing 37.3% of its missed shots (#9)
? Four Trojans played 37:00+ in yesterday?s double OT win.
? Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
? USC went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.

? Colorado beat USC twice this year, 72-62/80-62
? Buffs won their last six games against USC.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Florida vs Tennessee
Florida (14-8, 10-7)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #173
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #163
? Gators split their last eight games.
? Florida has #52 eFG% defense in country.
? Florida blew 12-point lead yesterday, held Vandy off 69-63.
? Under White, Gators are 4-4 in SEC tourney games.

Tennessee (17-7, 10-7)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #253
? Experience: #251
? Continuity: #105
? Tennessee split its last six games.
? Opponents are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#29)
? Tennessee beat Florida 65-54 at home, five days ago.
? Tennessee went WWL in last two SEC tournaments.

? Teams split pair of home wins this season.
? Vols won five of last six series games.

Missouri @ Arkansas
Missouri (16-8, 9-8)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #170
? Experience: #11
? Continuity: #7
? Mizzou lost five of its last eight games.
? Mizzou is only #236 team in country on defensive boards.
? Tigers are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#62)
? Last 8+ years, Mizzou is 5-6 in SEC tourney- they?ve never won two games in the same SEC tournament (won two in 2012 Big X tourney).

Arkansas (21-5, 13-4)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #19
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won its last eight games, scoring 81+ points in 6 of last 7.
? Hogs have #61 eFG% defense in country.
? Arkansas is grabbing 31.7% of its missed shots (#62)
? Last six years, Arkansas is 6-5 in SEC tourneys.

? Teams split pair of road wins this season.
? Teams split last ten series games.


-----------------------------


811MARYLAND -812 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

813OHIO ST -814 PURDUE
OHIO ST is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

815RUTGERS -816 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the current season.

819S FLORIDA -820 WICHITA ST
S FLORIDA is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

821CINCINNATI -822 SMU
SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

823TULANE -824 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

825UCF -826 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts in the current season.

827MISSISSIPPI ST -828 ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI ST is 49-30 ATS (16 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1997.

829FLORIDA -830 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games in the last 3 seasons.


--------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 12

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, MARCH 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MD at MICH 11:30 AM
MICH -8.5...........66 - 79.....WINNER
O 132.0.....................WINNER

UAB at WKU 12:00 PM
UAB +2.5
U 134.5

USF at WICH 12:00 PM
WICH -11.0..............67 - 68....LOSER
U 139.5

MSST at ALA 12:00 PM
MSST +7.5.........48 - 85.......LOSER
O 141.0.......................LOSER

*********************

OSU at PUR 02:00 PM
PUR +1.0............87 - 78.....LOSER
U 140.0

FLA at TENN 02:30 PM
TENN -4.5
U 133.0

CIN at SMU 03:00 PM
SMU -5.5.............74 - 71
O 143.0...................WINNER

UNT at LT 03:00 PM
UNT +1.0............54 - 48.......WINNER
O 127.5..............LOSER

TXSO at JKST 03:00 PM
TXSO -2.0..........84 - 81....WINNER
U 134.0

**********************

OHIO at TOL 05:00 PM
OHIO +2.5.......87 - 80....WINNER
O 156.0......................WINNER

MORG at COPP 06:00 PM
MORG -3.5.............82 - 61
U 156.0......................WINNER

IONA at NIAG 06:00 PM
NIAG +5.0.............70 - 64......LOSER
O 133.5.........................WINNER

GTWN at HALL 06:00 PM
GTWN +3.5............66 - 58......WINNER
O 141.0..................LOSER

NWST at NICH 06:00 PM
NWST +9.0..........76 - 88
O 154.0...........................WINNER

OKST at BAY 06:30 PM
OKST +9.0.............83 - 74.........WINNER
O 147.5...........................WINNER

RUTG at ILL 06:30 PM
ILL -7.5..........68 - 90.........WINNER
O 137.5................................WINNER

GT at UVA 06:30 PM
UVA -4.0.........................PPD
U 128.0

**********************

MIZZ at ARK 07:00 PM
ARK -5.0........64 - 70........WINNER
U 150.0

MTST at SUU 07:00 PM
SUU -7.0............80 - 77.....LOSER
U 150.5.....................LOSER

TULN at HOU 07:00 PM
HOU -18.0.............52 - 74
U 133.0.....................WINNER

AKR at BUFF 07:30 PM
AKR +4.0..................74 - 81.......LOSER
U 152.5

SEA at GRC 08:00 PM
SEA +6.5................47 - 81......LOSER
U 133.5

FAIR at SPC 08:30 PM
FAIR +6.5............52 - 47.....WINNER
O 120.5............................WINNER

ORST at ORE 08:30 PM
ORST +8.5.............75 - 64............WINNER
O 137.0...........................WINNER

UCD at UCSB 09:00 PM
UCD +10.5
O 135.5

CONN at CREI 09:00 PM
CREI -1.0............56 - 59....WINNER
O 144.5................LOSER

WIS at IOWA 09:00 PM
IOWA -4.0........57 - 62...........WINNER
U 142.5..............WINNER

UNC at FSU 09:00 PM
FSU -2.5..............66 - 69...........WINNER
U 151.0

LAM at ACU 09:00 PM
LAM +13.5........71 - 93..........LOSER
O 133.0....................WINNER

TEX at KU 09:30 PM
TEX -1.5....................PPD
U 135.5

MISS at LSU 09:30 PM
LSU -1.0............73 - 78.....WINNER
U 144.0

GRAM at PV 09:30 PM
GRAM +6.0
O 135.0

NEV at SDSU 09:30 PM
NEV +8.0........70 -77.........WINNER
O 139.0.........................WINNER

UCF at MEM 10:00 PM
MEM -7.0
U 134.0

MONT at EWU 10:00 PM
MONT +7.5
O 145.5

NMSU at UVU 11:00 PM
NMSU -6.0
U 138.5

COLO at USC 11:30 PM
USC +1.5
U 134.0

UCRV at UCI 11:59 PM
UCI -1.5
U 124.5

CSU at USU 11:59 PM
CSU +4.5
O 138.0



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 12,2021............29 - 13...........69.04%.............+73.50
Mar. 11,2021............32 - 27...........54.23%............ +11.50
Mar. 10, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............- 5.00
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................229- 212............51.92%............- 13.00

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Top six scoring teams in Division I:
92.1? Gonzaga
86.4? Colgate
85.0? Iowa
84.8? Baylor
84.5? Southern Utah
83.9? Bryant

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Nobody ever changed the world by doing what everyone else was doing.?
Mark Cuban

Saturday?s quiz
When was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball?

Friday?s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

Thursday?s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.

--------------------------------

Saturday?s Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day

13) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
? Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they?re playing for the league title Saturday.
? Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.

Colorado 72, USC 70
? Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
? Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.

12) Big 14 tourney:
Michigan 79, Maryland 66
? 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.

Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
? Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
? Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.

11) ACC tourney:
? Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn?t play due to COVID issues.

Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
? Florida State has unusually good depth; they?ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
? North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.

10) Big X tourney:
Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
? Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
? OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
? Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.

Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn?t play due to COVID issues.

9) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
? #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
? Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.

Creighton 59, UConn 56
? Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they?ve never won the Big East tournament- they?re favored to do that tonight.
? Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
? Bluejays are #40 experience team; they?re an experienced group.

8) Big Sky tourney:
Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
? Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.

Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
? Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
? Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
? Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter?s 47
? Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
? Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58

6) SEC tourney:
? All four favorites won Friday; I?m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren?t going to help their cause any.

Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
? Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
? Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
? Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he?s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA? the guy is an X?s-and-O?s savant.

5) MAAC tourney:
Iona 70, Niagara 64
? Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
? Iona didn?t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn?t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they?re favored to win their league title tonight.

4) MAC tourney:
Ohio 87, Toledo 80
? Toledo hasn?t made the NCAA?s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.

Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
? Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
? Bulls have won seven games in a row; they?re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.

3) Conference USA tourney
Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
? Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.

North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
? Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They?re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA?s in 2010.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 13

------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 13

AAC tournament
Cincinnati vs Wichita State (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Cincinnati (11-10, 9-6)
? ranked #111 by KenPom
? Tempo: #59
? Experience: #258
? Continuity: #209
? Cincinnati is 7-3 in their last ten games.
? Bearcats are shooting 31.6% on arc (#272), 65.8% on line (#312)
? Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.6% of time (#258)
? Bearcats were up 20 with 6:05 left Friday, won by 3.
? Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

Wichita State (16-4, 12-2)
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Tempo: #222
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #224
? Wichita won last eight games, giving up 65.3 ppg in last seven.
? Shockers are shooting 45.0% inside arc (#319)
? Wichita has #49 eFG% defense in country.
? Shockers were down 9 with 6:38 left Friday, survived 68-67.
? Wichita is 14-5 in its last 19 AAC tournament games.

? Bearcats lost 82-76 in Wichita January 10.
? Cincinnati won six of last seven series games.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Ohio State vs Michigan
Ohio State (19-8, 13-8)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #173
? Buckeyes led by 18 at half Friday, needed OT to beat Purdue.
? Ohio State is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#65), 36.0% on arc (#68)
? Buckeyes are getting 21.4% of their points on foul line (#43)
? Last 7+ years, Ohio State is 7-6 in Big 14 tourneys.

Michigan (20-3, 15-3)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #55
? Continuity: #152
? Michigan split its last four games. After an 18-1 start.
? Wolverines have #6 eFG% defense in country.
? In its three losses, Michigan was held to 64 or fewer points.
? Michigan is 13-2 in last 15 Big 14 tourney games- they won two of last three tournaments.

? Wolverines won 92-87 in Columbus February 21.
? Ohio State is 6-4 in last ten series games.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Tennessee vs Alabama
Tennessee (18-7, 11-7)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #251
? Continuity: #105
? Tennessee won three of its last four games.
? Opponents are shooting only 44.7% inside arc (#14)
? Tennessee is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#15)
? Tennessee went WWL in last two SEC tournaments.

Alabama (22-6, 17-2)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #8
? Experience: #141
? Continuity: #151
? Alabama won seven of its last eight games.
? Crimson Tide has #11 eFG% defense in country.
? Alabama gets 40.4% of its points on arc (#13)
? Last 5+ years, Crimson Tide is 7-4 in SEC tournament games.

? Alabama won 71-63 in Knoxville January 2.
? Teams split last ten series games.

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Georgia Tech vs Florida State
Georgia Tech (16-8, 12-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #212
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Georgia Tech won its last seven games.
? Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.2% of time (#31)
? Tech is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#26)
? Tech didn?t have to play yesterday, because of Virginia?s COVID issues.
? Last 9+ years, Tech is 3-9 in ACC tourney; last time they won two games in one ACC tourney was 2010.

Florida State (16-5, 12-4)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #83
? Experience: #97
? Continuity: #103
? Seminoles split last four games, after a 9-1 run.
? Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9)
? Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#12)
? Last 8+ years, Florida State is 8-7 in ACC tournament.
? FSU beat Carolina 69-66 Friday; no Seminole played more than 28:00.

? Teams split pair of home wins this season.
? Seminoles won five of last six series games.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs Texas
Oklahoma State (20-7, 13-7)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #289
? Cowboys won eight of their last nine games.
? Oklahoma State has #42 eFG% defense in country.
? Last three games, OSU scored 80 ppg.
? Cowboys played star Cunningham 77:00 out of 80:00 last two days.
? Oklahoma State hasn?t won conference tournament since 2005.

Texas (18-7, 12-6)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #4
? Texas won its last four games, giving up 65.5 ppg.
? Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#24)
? 42.3% of Texas? shots come behind the arc (#52)
? Texas didn?t play yesterday, because of Kansas? COVID issues.
? Under Smart, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tournament- they went WL in six of last eight Big X tourneys.

? Teams split pair of home wins this season.
? Teams also split last ten series games.

Big East tournament (@ New York City)
Creighton vs Georgetown
Creighton (20-7, 16-6)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #39
? Continuity: #19
? Creighton won ten of its last 13 games.
? Bluejays are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#9)
? Creighton gets 37.4% of their points on arc (#36)
? Last 5+ years, Creighton is 4-5 in Big East tourney- they won MVC tourneys in 2013-14, but haven?t won a Big East tournament.

Georgetown (12-12, 10-9)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #107
? Experience: #68
? Continuity: #248
? Georgetown won the last three days, giving up 66.0 ppg.
? Hoyas are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#299) are turning ball over 21.8% of time (#311).
? Georgetown is 2-7 vs top 50 teams this season.
? Hoyas are in finals of Big East tourney for first time since 2010.

? These teams split pair of road wins this season.
? Creighton won seven of last nine series games.

Conference USA tournament (@ Frisco, TX)
North Texas vs Western Kentucky
North Texas (16-9, 12-5)
? ranked #73 by KenPom
? Tempo: #347
? Experience: #16
? Continuity: #94
? North Texas won last three days, giving up 53 ppg.
? Mean Green has #22 eFG% defense in country.
? UNT played all five starters 30:00+ yesterday- they?ve played last three days.
? Last time North Texas won a conference tournament: 2010.

Western Kentucky (20-6, 13-3)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #193
? Experience: #56
? Continuity: #83
? WKU won 11 of its last 13 games.
? Hilltoppers are a top 30 rebounding team in country.
? WKU is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#283)
? Hilltoppers lost in final of last two C-USA tourneys; they last won a conference tournament in 2013- that was the Sun Belt tournament.

? WKU won seven of last eight series games.

MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City)
Fairfield @ Iona
Fairfield (10-16, 10-11)
? ranked #308 by KenPom
? Tempo: #333
? Experience: #166
? Continuity: #220
? Fairfield won its last four games, after starting season 6-16.
? Stags are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#323)
? Fairfield was down 11 early Friday, won by 5; they played three starters 36:00+.
? Fairfield lost 83-71 to Iona in MAAC final three years ago.

Iona (11-5, 9-3)- coached by Rick Pitino
? ranked #185 by KenPom
? Tempo: #177
? Experience: #190
? Continuity: #274
? Iona won five in row, nine of last 11 games.
? Last three days, Gaels gave up 54.7 ppg.
? Iona is turning ball over 22.5% of time (#327)
? Iona is 23-3 in last 26 MAAC tourney games; they won this event four of last five years.

? These teams split pair of games back on December 11-12.
? Iona won 12 of last 17 series games.

MAC tournament (@ Cleveland)
Ohio vs Buffalo
Ohio (15-7, 11-5)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #121
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #85
? Bobcats won eight of their last nine games.
? Ohio U has #244 eFG% defense in country.
? Bobcats are shooting 56.8% inside arc (#11)
? Ohio upset #1-seed Toledo 87-80 Friday, despite Rockets shooting 69% inside arc.
? Last 9+ years, Ohio is 11-7 in MAC tourney; they last won this event in 2012.

Buffalo (16-7, 14-5)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #10
? Experience: #47
? Continuity: #47
? Buffalo won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Bulls have #18 eFG% defense in country.
? Four starters played 40:00+ in Friday?s OT win over Aron.
? Last 3+ years, Buffalo is 8-1 in MAC tourney games.

? These teams split pair of road wins this season.
? Buffalo won seven of last nine series games.

Big Sky tournament (@ Boise)
Montana State vs Eastern Washington
Montana State (13-9, 10-6)
? ranked #222 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #75
? Continuity: #215
? Bobcats won four of their last five games.
? Montana State is getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#8)
? Bobcats are 2-5 vs top 200 teams this season.
? MSU upset top-seeded Southern Utah Friday; they were down 10 at half.
? Before this week, over the previous 11 years, Bobcats were 1-8 in Big Sky tourney- they?re 2-0 this week.

Eastern Washington (15-7, 14-3)
? ranked #109 by KenPom
? Tempo: #25
? Experience: #217
? Continuity: #71
? Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games.
? Eastern Washington has #31 eFG% in country.
? Eagles had stress-free win over Montana last night.
? EWU is 11-4 in last fifteen Big Sky tourney games; they last won this tournament in 2015.

? EWU beat Montana State twice this year, 93-77/85-69

Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Utah State vs San Diego State
Utah State (20-7, 17-4)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #131
? Experience: #256
? Continuity: #138
? Utah State won its last six games.
? Utah State has #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Aggies are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Utah State won this tournament the last two years.

San Diego State (22-4, 16-3)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #145
? San Diego State won its last 13 games.
? Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#26)
? Aztecs are #32 team in country on defensive boards.
? Aztecs went WWL in this event 6 of last 7 years, WWW the other year.

? Aggies beat San Diego State in finals of last two Mountain West tourneys.
? Utah State swept Aztecs this year, 57-45/64-59, January 14-16.
? Aggies won five of last seven series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
Oregon State vs Colorado
Oregon State (16-12, 12-10)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #154
? Beavers won five of their last six games.
? Oregon State gets 21.2% of its points on foul line (#46)
? Beavers never trailed in its win over rival Oregon Friday.
? Under Tinkle, Beavers are 4-5 in Pac-12 tourney. Oregon State has made NCAA?s once (2016) in the last 24 years.

Colorado (22-7, 16-6)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #271
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #84
? Colorado won its last six games, giving up 61.5 ppg.
? Colorado is shooting 36.8% on the arc (#47)
? Opponents are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#50)
? Colorado hasn?t won the Pac-12 tourney since 2012.

? Colorado beat Oregon State twice this year, 78-49/61-57
? Buffs won eight of last 12 series games.

Big West tournament (@ Mandalay Bay, Las Vegas)
Cal-Irvine vs UCSB
Cal-Irvine (18-8, 12-4)
? ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #338
? Continuity: #182
? Irvine won its last six games, giving up 59.5 ppg.
? Anteaters get 60.2% of their points on 2-point shots (#7)
? Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#3)
?

Cal-Santa Barbara (21-4, 15-3)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #25
? Continuity: #55
? Gauchos won four in row, 17 of last 18 games.
? Gauchos have #65 eFG% defense in country.
? UCSB was 28-34 on foul line last night, Cal Poly 6-8.
? UCSB held three of last four opponents to 57 or fewer points.
? Gauchos are 6-6 in last dozen Big West tourney games; they last won this tournament in 2011.

? Gauchos lost 75-56/73-69 at Irvine, way back on December 27-28.
? Irvine won six of last seven series games.


-----------------------------------


NCAAB

Saturday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------



NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

UMASS at HART 11:00 AM
HART -2.0
U 136.5

MORG at NORF 01:00 PM
MORG +2.5..............63 - 71............LOSER
U 143.0

TENN at ALA 01:00 PM
ALA -3.5...........68 - 73.............WINNEER
O 140.0................................WINNER

OSU at MICH 01:00 PM
MICH -6.5..................68 - 67.........LOSER
U 142.0

*************************

CIN at WICH 03:00 PM
CIN +3.5
U 142.0

LSU at ARK 03:30 PM
ARK -3.5............78 - 71......LOSER
O 162.5..........................LOSER

IOWA at ILL 03:30 PM
ILL -3.5................71 - 82.........WINNER
U 153.0

IONA at FAIR 04:00 PM
IONA -8.5..............60 - 51...........WINNER
O 130.0..........................LOSER

************************

MEM at HOU 05:30 PM
HOU -7.5..............74 - 76.........LOSER
U 133.5

OKST at TEX 06:00 PM
OKST +3.0..............86 - 91.....LOSER
U 144.5

TXSO at PV 06:00 PM
TXSO +3.0............80 - 61...WINNER
O 141.5.....................WINNER

USU at SDSU 06:00 PM
SDSU -1.5..................57 - 68.....WINNER
U 128.5...............................WINNER

GTWN at CREI 06:30 PM
GTWN +9.0...................73 - 48.........WINNER
O 144.0..........................LOSER

*******************

OHIO at BUFF 07:30 PM
OHIO +2.5............84 - 69........WINNER
U 156.0

MTST at EWU 08:00 PM
EWU -70............55 - 65............WINNER
U 148.5

GT at FSU 08:30 PM
FSU -4.5.........80 - 75.....LOSER
U 146.5

UNT at WKU 09:00 PM
WKU -1.0..........61 - 57....LOSER
U 126.5.......................WINNER

ACU at NICH 09:30 PM
ACU -6.5............79 - 45........WINNER`
U 145.0

NMSU at GRC 10:00 PM
NMSU -2.0
U 126.5

UCI at UCSB 11:30 PM
UCSB -2.5
U 126.0



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 13,2021............13 - 10...........56.52%.............+10.00
Mar. 12,2021............29 - 13...........69.04%.............+73.50
Mar. 11,2021............32 - 27...........54.23%............ +11.50
Mar. 10, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............- 5.00
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................242- 222............52.25%............- 3.00

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
? Georgetown 73, Marquette 48? #8-seed Hoyas win the Big East.
? Texas 91, Oklahoma State 86? Longhorns had lost last six Big X title games.
? Grand Canyon 74, New Mexico State 56? Bryce Drew?s Antelopes win WAC.
? Iona 60, Fairfield 51? Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the NCAAs.
? North Texas 61, Western Kentucky 57 OT? Mean Green?s first title since 2010.
? Oregon State 70, Colorado 68? Beavers win Pac-12 tourney for first time.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 533,868
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Try not to do too many things at once. Know what you want, the number one thing today and tomorrow. Persevere and get it done.?
George Allen

Sunday?s quiz
We know Hawai?i is the 50th state; which state was the first state?

Saturday?s quiz
2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.

Friday?s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Last three days have been very excellent; sat around my house in hooded sweatshirts and sweats, watched ball for 14-16 hours a day, ate pizza, took a lot of notes. Life almost seemed normal again.

In most years, this is my favorite week of the year; last year it was a disaster, when everything shut down because of the pandemic. This week, college basketball was everywhere, the way it is supposed to be in March. Filled in the voids with spring training baseball. Good stuff.

Sunday night the brackets come out, something we all missed last year.

Meanwhile, there was other stuff going on besides college basketball:

12) Every summer, HBO does Hard Knocks, a behind-the-scenes look at NFL training camp, usually one team each summer. They do five one-hour shows during the summer; it is fun to learn some things that normally behind-the-scenes. It helps promote the league.

Baseball needs to do this!!! Give HBO access to a team every spring; Lord knows there is enough free time for managers/coaches/players to talk on camera. Let HBO spen six weeks with the Angels so America can learn about Trout, and Ohtani. Next year do the Padres.

Promote the game!!! Young people need to learn how great baseball is; there is so much stuff going on these days, so much competition for the entertainment dollar. Expose baseball to as many people as possible; that would seem like a good business move.

Speaking of which, why do they black out TV broadcasts of games on MLB Network? Let as many people watch games as want to do it? it is STUPID to black games out.

11) Major league baseball now controls the minor leagues; starting this season, they?re going to use the minors as a laboratory for new rules. Different levels will have different experiments:
? All four infielders will have to have both feet on the infield dirt.
? Teams will have to have two infielders on each side of th einfield.
? 0:15 pitch clock, which seems to be a bit much.
? Throws to first base vs baserunners will be limited.
? Robotic ball/strike umpires (I really dislike this one, maybe even hate it)

10) The motivation for all this is that MLB wants more baseballs put in play; less strikeouts and walks, more game action. If there are only two fielders on the right side of the infield, guys can go to the other way more? hard grounders that are pulled are more likely to be hits. Fewer batters will try to hit home runs all the time.

Batting average in the major leagues the last three years:
2018: .248
2019: .252
2020: .245? In 2000, it was .270. Shifts have badly hurt offense; offense makes the game more fun to watch.

9) Worlds colliding: a guy named Frank McCourt used to own the Dodgers- it didn?t go well. He had to sell the team, after he spent too much money in his personal life, and his toxic divorce proceedings pushed the Dodgers into bankruptcy. No bueno.

McCourt now owns a soccer team in France, a team previously owned by a guy who was the CEO of Adidas. When the guy passed away in 2009, his wife inherited the team? she is worth $5.9B, according to Forbes magazine, the richest Russian-born woman in the world. She later sold the soccer team to McCourt.

Anyway, it turns out that the Adidas guy was 2nd-cousins with Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who played Elaine on the Seinfeld TV show. Like I said, worlds colliding.

8) Chicago Cubs hired Jon Sciambi as their new TV play-by-play guy, a huge upgrade over the last guy, who moved to White Sox radio. Sciambi is awesome and will team with former big league pitcher Jim Deshaies. The reason I care about this a decent amount is that I have both Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant on my fantasy team, so I?m going to be watching the Cubs a lot this season.

7) Was watching the Milwaukee Brewers play in the middle of the night this week, the replay of an exhibition game, and got this sick feeling that I get every March when I watch the Brewers.

They?re analytically-driven, which means their front office guys all went to fancy colleges, and they do unusual things with the team, then use their college degrees to defend them when they don?t work. Translation: I will never have another Milwaukee pitcher on my fantasy team.

6) Random sports trivia; Arkansas hoop coach Eric Musselman is the son of the late coach Bill Musselman, who coached the Minnesota Gophers, also in the NBA and in the CBA, with the Albany Patroons, who played three miles from my house. Musselman?s Gophers won the 1972 Big Ten championship, back before there was a conference tournament.

When Bill Musselman was at Minnesota, one of the subs on his team was this guy who was pretty good in another sport, a 6-6 outfielder you may have heard of. Guy named Dave Winfield, a baseball Hall of Famer.

5) Tip of the cap to Nick Markakis, who retired this week after a 15-year career where he hit .288 for the Orioles/Braves, with a career on-base % of .357. Pretty freakin? good.

Markakis played in 147+ games in 12 of his 15 seasons; he wound up with 2,388 hits. He was on my fantasy team for several years, was a big help? one of the best ?abilities? is dependability.

4) NCAA Tournament schedule is a little different this year:
? Play-in games will all be on Thursday.
? First round games are Friday/Saturday
? Second round games are Sunday/Monday
? Second weekend of the tournament will be Saturday-Tuesday.

3) Georgia Tech 80, Florida State 75
? This was only second time EVER (Georgia Tech-Virginia in 1990) that the ACC title game didn?t have a team from North Carolina in it.
? Georgia Tech wins ACC title for first time since 1993.

2) 12-15 years ago, when I used to go to Florida every summer to watch the AAU national tournament at Disney World, I?d venture to different high schools in the Kissimmee area to watch games. When I went back to work the next week, I?d tell people how I spent my vacation, and more than one person gave me an odd look. Go figure.

One day I?m at Poinciana HS watching games, sitting on a cafeteria table, behind one of the baskets and this young coach sits on the other end of the table. I struck up a conversation with him and picked his brain for a couple hours, learned a lot. Probably asked too many questions, but learned a lot.

Maybe 4-5 years ago, I?m at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas watching games, and once again I?m sitting next to the same guy, and we had another good conversation. Now I?m a nobody, he had no reason to be nice to me, or answer my numerous questions, but he did.

Josh Pastner is a hell of a nice guy; was so happy to see him win this game and win the ACC title. He was a sub as a player on great Arizona teams under Lute Olson and now has been a head coach for 12 years, seven at Memphis, five at Georgia Tech. Congrats coach!!!

1) Since AFL-NFL merger, most starts for a QB-coach combo without making playoffs:
85? Jim Zorn/Jack Patera, (expansion Seahawks)
59? David Carr/Dom Capers (expansion Texans)
52? Ryan Tannehill/Joe Philbin (Dolphins)
48? Derek Carr/Jon Gruden (Raiders)

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 14






NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VA COMMONWEALTH (19 - 6) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (15 - 4) - 3/14/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (18 - 8) vs. ALABAMA (23 - 6) - 3/14/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 3-3 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 3-3 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (12 - 10) vs. HOUSTON (23 - 3) - 3/14/2021, 3:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 131-182 ATS (-69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (21 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (22 - 6) - 3/14/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
ILLINOIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
ILLINOIS is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOYOLA-MD (6 - 10) at COLGATE (13 - 1) - 3/14/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 103-63 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 101-70 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MD is 3-1 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 2-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 14

Patriot League tournament
Loyola MD @ Colgate
Loyola MD (6-10, 6-10)
? ranked #210 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #100
? Loyola is 5-3 in last eight games, after a 1-7 start.
? Greyhounds have two losses in triple OT this season.
? Loyola is shooting 31.2% on the arc (#289), 60.6% on foul line (#344)
? This is Loyola?s 8th year in row under .500; they last made NCAA?s in 2012.

Colgate (13-1, 13-1)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #20
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #46
? Raiders won their last 12 games; their loss was January 3 to Army.
? Nine of their 13 wins are over Boston U/Holy Cross.
? Colgate is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#13)
? Colgate made NCAAs two years ago, their only bid since at least 1997.

? Colgate won seven of last nine series games.
? Loyola lost last seven visits here, five of them by 6 or fewer points.

AAC tournament
Cincinnati vs Houston (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Cincinnati (12-10, 10-6)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #62
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #212
? Cincinnati is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
? Bearcats are shooting 31.6% on arc (#273), 65.6% on line (#316)
? Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#264)
? Bearcats won last two days, by total of four points.
? 7 of their last 9 wins were by three or fewer points.
? Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

Houston (23-3, 16-3)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #117
? Houston won last six games, scoring 81.5 ppg.
? Cougars are grabbing 39.5% of their missed shots (#2)
? Houston has #1 eFG% defense in country.
? Cougars played three starters 36:00+ in Saturday?s 76-74 win over Memphis.
? Houston went WWL in last two AAC tournaments; their last tourney title was in 2010.

? Bearcats lost 90-52 at Houston February 21.
? Houston is 5-3 in last eight series games, but they lost to Cincy in last two AAC tourneys.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Ohio State vs Illinois
Ohio State (21-8, 15-8)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #173
? Buckeyes won last three days, by 4 points, by 9 in OT, by 1 point.
? Ohio State is shooting 52.1% inside arc (#81), 36.7% on arc (#50)
? Buckeyes are getting 21.1% of their points on foul line (#45)
? Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
? Last 7+ years, Ohio State is 8-6 in Big 14 tourneys- last time they won Big 14 tournament was 2013.

Illinois (22-6, 18-4)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #79
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #48
? Illinois won five in row, 12 of last 13 games.
? Illini has #31 eFG% defense in country.
? Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
? Illinois won last two days by 22-11 points; not much stress.
? Illini is 7-9 in last 16 Big 14 tourney games; their last tourney title was 2005.

? Teams split pair of road wins this year.
? Ohio State won 10 of last 13 series games.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
LSU vs Alabama
LSU (18-8, 13-6)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #63
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #133
? LSU won its last four games, scoring 80.8 ppg.
? Tigers are grabbing 31.4% of their missed shots (#67)
? LSU is worse on defensive boards (#319).
? LSU played two guys 40:00, another 38:00 yesterday.
? This is first time since 2003 that LSU won two SEC tournament games.

Alabama (23-6, 18-2)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #7
? Experience: #136
? Continuity: #152
? Alabama won eight of its last nine games.
? Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
? Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on arc (#15)
? Last 5+ years, Crimson Tide is 8-4 in SEC tournament games.

? Alabama beat LSU twice this season, 105-75/78-60.
? Crimson Tide won eight of last ten series games.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Dayton)
VCU vs St Bonaventure
VCU (19-6, 12-4)
? ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #110
? Experience: #305
? Continuity: #282
? Rams are 3-2 in last five games, after a 14-2 run.
? VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
? Rams are 10-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
? VCU are 3-2 in last four A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

St Bonaventure (15-4, 13-4)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #115
? Continuity: #30
? Bonnies won five of their last six games.
? St Bonaventure has #14 eFG% defense in country.
? Bonnies are grabbing 33.6% of their missed shots (#31).
? Last 9+ years, Bonnies are 12-6 in A-14 tourney.

? These teams haven?t played in eight days.
? These teams split couple of games this season.
? Rams won six of last seven series games.




NCAAB

Sunday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Loyola-Maryland @ Colgate
Loyola-Maryland
No trends to report
Colgate
No trends to report

VCU @ St. Bonaventure
VCU
VCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Bonaventure
The total has gone OVER in 6 of VCU's last 9 games when playing St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Bonaventure's last 9 games when playing VCU
St. Bonaventure is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing VCU

LSU @ Alabama
LSU
LSU is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Alabama
LSU is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
Alabama is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LSU
Alabama is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing LSU

Cincinnati @ Houston
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati

Ohio State @ Illinois
Ohio State
Ohio State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Ohio State

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

L-MD at COLG 12:00 PM
L-MD +10.5.............72 - 85......LOSER
O 149.5........................WINNER

VCU at SBON 01:00 PM
SBON -3.0.............65 - 74
O 128.5.......................WINNER

LSU at ALA 01:00 PM
ALA -6.0...........79 - 80....LOSER
U 157.5...................LOSER

CIN at HOU 03:15 PM
CIN +13.5.............54 - 91.....LOSER
U 135.0...........LOSER

OSU at ILL 03:30 PM
OSU +6.0...............88 - 91.....LOSER
U 147.0..................LOSER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:
Mar. 14,2921.............2 - 7..............22.22%.............-28.50
Mar. 13,2021............13 - 10...........56.52%.............+10.00
Mar. 12,2021............29 - 13...........69.04%.............+73.50
Mar. 11,2021............32 - 27...........54.23%............ +11.50
Mar. 10, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............- 5.00
Mar. 09, 2021............6 - 12.............33.33%...........- 36.00
Mar. 08, 2021............9 - 9..............50.00%............- 4.50
Mar. 07, 2021............9 - 16.............36.00%...........- 43.00
Mar. 06, 2021...........42 - 30............58.33%..........+ 45.00
Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS..................244- 229............51.58%............- 31.50

*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
First round games in the NIT, which will begin in Texas:
? Colorado State-Buffalo
? Davidson-NC State
? Boise State-SMU
? Memphis-Dayton
? Saint Louis-Mississippi State
? Richmond-Toledo
? Saint Mary?s-Western Kentucky
? Ole Miss-Louisiana Tech

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 534,813
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I just have to identify qualities and people that I want to go to war with. I need to continue to recruit those guys. I need to find more people like Kimani Lawrence and Remy Martin, and guys that just lay it out on the line and play with their heart. Kimani is blue-collar. We have an opportunity to reshape our team this offseason and we?re going to work hard to do that.?
Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley

Monday?s quiz
Which two NBA teams has Rick Pitino coached?

Sunday?s quiz
We know Hawai?i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.

Saturday?s quiz
2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.

******************************

Monday?s Den: Random stuff on a Sunday night??..

Every year (except last year) when I see the field of 68 after watching wall-to-wall college basketball for four days, my brain gets scrambled for a few hours. There is a lot of info to go thru before I post knowledge on the first round games later this week.

For today, here are random, scrambled thoughts/information that crossed my mind at various times today:

13) Gonzaga is the fifth team since 1977 to enter the NCAA tournament unbeaten:
1979? Indiana State, lost in finals
1991? UNLV, lost in semi-finals
2014? Wichita State, lost in 2nd round
2015? Kentucky? lost in semi-finals

12) Over the last 16 years, the overall #1-seed in the country has won three national titles; they also failed to get out of the first weekend four times. 2013 was the last time the overall #1-seed won the national title, when Rick Pitino?s Louisville team won it all.

11) Speaking of which, Iona is the fifth program Rick Pitino has led to the NCAA Tournament; 31 of his assistant coaches have gone on to become head coaches. Iona plays Alabama in the first round, so they probably won?t be around very long, but they had a 51-day pause this season ? they didn?t play a single game in January. Just getting here is a big accomplishment.

10) Arkansas hasn?t been to a Sweet 16 since 1996; since then, 96 different schools have had teams get to the Sweet 16. Razorbacks need to get by Colgate, then either Texas Tech/Utah State to get to the Sweet 16 this year.

9) No team has ever won the national title, after losing their first conference tournament game. Purdue/West Virginia are in that boat this season.

8) This is the first time since 1976 that neither Duke/Kentucky is in the tournament; 1976 is also the last time there was an undefeated national champ (Indiana).

7) Unusual baseball situation Sunday nite: Dodgers P Julio Urias struck out three batters in the first inning against the Royals, but he only got two outs in the first inning, because of a passed ball after one of the strikeouts. Dodgers took him out after 29 pitches, but because it is spring training, he got to re-enter the game and pitched the second inning.

Dodgers made couple errors in the first inning that led to Urias? demise, plus the passed ball; not often a pitcher strikes out three guys but doesn?t finish the first inning.

6) I?m optimistic about a new baseball rule that would require teams to have two infielders on each side of the diamond; eliminating shifts will discourage guys from just trying to jack the ball over the fence all the time. Fewer strikeouts maes the game more fun to watch.

5) Add Tampa Bay to the list of teams (Milwaukee) that drive owners in fantasy baseball crazy; in a 9-inning game Sunday, Rays used nine different pitchers. You never have any idea how they are going handle pitchers on a given day? they took Blake Snell out of a World Series last year when he was dominating the other team- they just think differently than most people.

4) Last repeat champion in college basketball; the 2007 Florida Gators. Virginia is the current defending champ; over half their team was in quarantine Sunday for contact tracing. They hope to travel out to Indianapolis on Friday,

3) The great quarterback Drew Brees retired Sunday; when you retire on the day the brackets come out, that means you don?t want any attention. Brees will be in Canton in five years.

2) Sunday night, I?m flipping channels between the shows analyzing the brackets and some spring baseball, and I see that ESPN2 televises freakin? cornhole!!!! Do people watch this? Please God in heaven, tell me they don?t bet on it (DraftKings is a sponsor). Yikes.

On a personal note, RIP to former town of Colonie supervisor Fred Field, who passed away this weekend at age 88. Mr Field was an industrial engineer for 30 years, served as town supervisor of my hometown for 18 years? he was a good guy, RIP, sir.

1) As the week goes on, I?ll be posting information on all the basketball games; takes some time to organize the information I have, then get the TV schedule, but eventually it gets done.

This is one of my favorite weeks all year; lets hope everyone stays healthy and the tournament is a fun one. Lord knows we could all use some fun.

 

[heleanth]

OSU +6 was a winner, right?:toast:

 

[Cnotes53]

Yep your right.................thanks....but when the tournament starts a new record will start.....



NCAA tourney starts Thursday with play-in games.

NIT starts tomorrow.

If anything comes out today, I'll put it in here.

Man, I can't wait to get this joke of a season over with!

 

[Cnotes53]

 

[Cnotes53]

2021 March Madness Betting Trends

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
NCAA Tournament trends:
? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round.
? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, #4-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Last 20 national champs went 15-4-1 ATS in their 1st round game.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Everyone handles it differently. Some get emotional. Some get upset. Some thank you for the opportunity. You?ve got to be ready to react to everything. But you understand it?s what you?ve got to deal with. There?s a big difference between breaking with the club and going to Triple A.? Bruce Bochy, on players getting sent down during spring training

Tuesday?s quiz
UConn won the national title in 2014; who was their coach?

Monday?s quiz
Rick Pitino has coached both the Knicks and the Celtics.

Sunday?s quiz
We know Hawai?i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.

******************************

Tuesday?s Den: Conference trends for the NCAA?s first weekend
Conference trends for the first weekend of the NCAAs:

ACC
? Last three years (we?re not counting 2020 as a year, since there was no tournament), ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Since 2013, ACC teams are 35-13 SU in first round
? Last five years, 16 of 37 ACC teams (43.2%) made the Sweet 16.

American
? UConn was 2014 national title out of the AAC.
? Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in first round, 1-6 in 2nd round.
? During that time, 2019 Houston is only Sweet 16 team they?ve had.

A-14
? Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 in the first round.
? A-14?s last Sweet 16 team was Dayton, back in 2014.

Big East
? Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 in first round.
? Last three years, Big East teams are 5-13 in 2nd round.
? Thats 5 of 32 teams (15.6%) making the Sweet 16.

Big Sky
? Big Sky teams lost their last 13 first round games.
? Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Montana in 2006 was last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game.

Big West
? Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
? Since 2003, Big West teams are 0-6 ATS in their 2nd tournament game.

Big 14:
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-8 in 2nd round
? Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16.

Big X
? Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 in first round games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 8-4 on 2nd round games.
? Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16, same as the Big 14.

CAA
? Since VCU left the CAA in 2012, things haven?t gone well.
? Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 in NCAA games (5-2 ATS)
? Last eight years, six different teams have represented the CAA

Conference USA

? C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
? Those five C-USA teams that won went 0-5 ATS in second round.

Horizon League
? Butler made the Final Four in 2010/2011 out of the Horizon.
? Since then, Butler jumped ship to gr$$n$r pa$ture$.
? Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA?s (2-6 ATS)

MAAC
? Siena was last MAAC team to win an NCAA game, in 2009.
? Since then, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS.

MAC
? Buffalo won its first round game in 2018/2019, ending the MAC?s five-game losing skid in first round games.

? MAC teams covered their last four first round games.
? Since 2003, MAC teams are 1-4 ATS in second round.
? Since 2003, Ohio U in ?12 is MAC?s only Sweet 16 team.

Missouri Valley
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Those nine teams went 4-5 ATS in 2nd round games.

Wichita State-Drake is a first round game, old MVC rivals.

? Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in Valley games; they totally dominated.
? Last five years Wichita was in the Valley, Drake went 26-64 in MVC games.
? In four years since Wichita (and also Creighton) bolted, Drake is 45-27.

Mountain West
? Since 2014, Mountain West teams are 3-8 in play-in/first round games.
? Those teams went 2-4 ATS when favored, 2-3 as an underdog, 4-7 overall.

Ohio Valley
? Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games, but they?ve lost seven of last eight SU.
? When Murray State whacked Marquette two years ago, it snapped a 7-game losing skid for the OVC in NCAA tourney games.

Pac-12
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in first round games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 13-6 in second round games.
? Thats 13 of 32 Pac-12 teams (40.6%) that made the Sweet 16? that will surprise some people.

SEC
? Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
? Thats 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ?em.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 10-7 in 2nd round games
? Thats 10 of 23 SEC teams (43.5%) that made the Sweet 16

Southern
? Wofford?s win in 2019 snapped So-Con?s 0-10 skid in NCAA games.
? That said, SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.

Summit
? Summit teams lost 16 of last 17 first round games (6-9-2 ATS)
? Summit teams covered four of last six first round games.
? Summit teams are 2-0 SU in play-in games.

Sun Belt
? Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Since 2010, Sun Belt teams are 4-8 ATS in NCAA Tournament games.
? Over last 20 years, Sun Belt has changed a lot, as schools jumped conferences.

WAC
? WAC teams lost their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
? WAC teams are 3-6 ATS in last nine NCAA Tournament games.
? New Mexico State won this league seven of last eight years, so Grand Canyon winning WAC tournament is different? this is their first NCAA bid.

WCC
? Last time someone other than Gonzaga/BYU/Saint Mary?s repped the WCC? 2008, when the San Diego Toreros made the tournament.
? Gonzaga won its last 11 first round games (6-5 ATS)
? During that time, Gonzaga is only 3-7-1 ATS in 2nd round games.
? Gonzaga won its last five second round games SU- they?re expected to do a lot more than that this season.

 

[Cnotes53]

2021 March Madness Betting Trends

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the Honda Classic this week:
11-1? Daniel Berger
13-1? Sungjae Im
20-1? Joaquin Niemann
22-1? Lee Westwood
24-1? Adam Scott, Shane Lowry
29-1? Russell Henley

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I called Tucker Carlson a dick on national television. It?s high time I apologize?to dicks. Never should have lumped you in with that terrible terrible person?
Jon Stewart

Wednesday?s quiz
Where did Andy Dalton play his college football?

Tuesday?s quiz
UConn won the national title in 2014; Kevin Ollie was their coach.

Monday?s quiz
Rick Pitino has coached both the Knicks and the Celtics.

*************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) Pretty cool moment on the Mariners-Rockies? telecast the other night; the broadcast had announcers from both teams, a great idea because you learn more about both teams.

Anyway, early in the game they have a Colorado coach miked in the dugout for a half-inning, the Rockies? pitching coach at AA Hartford. Why, you ask? Seattle?s pitcher at the time was Marco Gonzales; the Rockies? pitching coach is Frank Gonzales, Marco?s father.

He can?t root for his son, he doesn?t want to root against him; it was good TV, and had to be a really proud moment for the dad.

12) Interweb says that LeBron James will become a part owner of the Boston Red Sox; he became a partner with Fenway Sports Group, a deal that also also increases James? ownership stake in an English soccer team. Apparently it is fun to be really, really rich.

11) There was a surprising moment in the Cardinals-Mets game Sunday which drew national attention; Cardinals? P Jordan Hicks came in relief to pitch, faced Luis Guillorme leading off an inning. The at-bat lasted 22 pitches, longest AB I can ever remember seeing, before Guillorme walked.

Sunday was the first day this spring where you couldn?t pull the plug on an inning, and there is that 3-batter rule now, so when St Louis wanted to change pitchers, apparently the umpires quietly told them that they had to bring the trainer out and pretend Hicks was hurt, if they wanted to remove him, and that?s what happened.

10) Grand Canyon made their first NCAA Tournament this year; I?m especially happy for coach Bryce Drew, who got hosed when Vanderbilt fired him two years ago.

Drew?s first two Vandy teams went 31-36, 16-18 in SEC games, but then he recruited a really good freshman point guard, Darius Garland. Vandy started out Year 3 with a 4-0 mark, but Garland got hurt 2:00 into Game 5, and the Commodores went in the ashcan when he never came back to play that year.

Vandy?s AD seemed anxious to fire Drew and hire Jerry Stackhouse; the Commodores are 20-37 in two years under Stackhouse, 6-28 in SEC games.

Garland has scored 13.5 ppg in his first 88 NBA games (for Cleveland); had he not gotten hurt, Vandy would?ve had a good season, Drew would probably still have his job and Grand Canyon would have a different coach. Maybe Vanderbilt did Drew a favor by firing him.

9) Padres? catcher Austin Nola broke the middle finger on his left hand, which makes his availability for Opening Day a ????

Nola hit .273 for Seattle/San Diego last year.

8) When the season starts, Oakland A?s better hit the ground running; they open with seven games against Houston, three against the Dodgers. Yikes.

7) College basketball stuff:
? Indiana fired Archie Miller. Hoosiers have been over .500 in the Big 14 once in the last eight years.
? Minnesota fired Richard Pitino, who was then hired by New Mexico.
? Penn State hired Micah Shrewsberry, who has been an assistant coach under Brad Stevens and Matt Painter.
? George Mason fired Dave Paulsen.
? For some reason, Utah fired Larry Krystkowiak. Maybe the Utes should?ve stayed in the Mountain West Conference.

6) I?m going to repeat this one last time; Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray?s son. Luke Murray is going to be a head coach soon.

Minnesota GOPHERS have a head coach opening; it would be tremendous if Bill Murray?s son became coach of the GOPHERS (Caddyshack reference).

Minnesota needs Luke Murray to be their next basketball coach. In Caddyshack, Bill Murray played a groundskeeper named Carl Spackler who was at war with the gophers who lived underneath Bushwood Country Club.

The TV commercials would be epic; imagine Carl Spackler rooting FOR the Gophers?

5) Word out of Anaheim is that Matt Vasgersian will be the Angels? new play-by-play guy on TV, with Darin Sutton filling in at times. Angels? analyst is Mark Gubicza, who is great- upbeat, smart so they?re going to be fun to listen to late at night on the baseball package.

4) Chicago Bears signed QB Andy Dalton to a $10M, one-year deal, with another $3M possible in incentives. Dalton started nine games for Dallas LY; Bears now have him, Nick Foles, Mitch Trubisky at QB? sounds like Trubisky will be moving on.

3) New England Patriots signed eight free agents Tuesday, as they prepare to bounce back from missing the playoffs last year- they also re-signed QB Cam Newton last week.

2) QB Ryan Fitzpatrick signed with Washington; they?ll be his 9th NFL team. He is already the only quarterback ever to start a game for eight different teams.

Houston Texans added QB Tyrod Taylor, who has a 24-21-1 record as an NFL starter, but has started only four games the last three years, with Bills/Chargers.

Taylor was the Buffalo QB before Josh Allen, the Chargers QB before Justin Herbert- he lost his starting job when a doctor punctured his lung with a needle while giving Taylor a pain-killing injection just before a game last fall.

1) Colgate is playing Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament; Red Raiders are 14-1 this season, but the schedule they?ve played has been, by modern standards??.unique?
? 13 of the 15 games were against Boston U (5), Army (4) or Holy Cross (4)
? Only other teams they played were Bucknell, Loyola MD, in Patriot League tourney.
? Their first game was January 2nd.
? Colgate has made 40% of their 3-pointers, #3 in country.
? #189 Army is only team they?ve played ranked higher than #210 in country.

 

[Cnotes53]

707W KENTUCKY -708 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after 4 straight games where they made 40% of their shots or worse since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 17

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (21 - 8) vs. RICHMOND (13 - 8) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TOLEDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
TOLEDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (20 - 7) vs. ST MARYS-CA (14 - 9) - 3/17/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 78-52 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 96-132 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 17

NIT
Toledo vs Richmond (@ Denton, TX)
Toledo (21-8)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #170
? Continuity: #205
? Toledo won MAC regular season, lost in tourney semis to Ohio U
? Rockets have #34 eFG% in country (#23 on arc, #69 inside arc)
? Toledo gets 39% of its points on 3-pointers (#21)
? Rockets haven?t been in NCAAs since 1980; they had to think they?d be making it this season. They?ve had five days to get over the disappointment.

Richmond (13-8)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #9
? Richmond lost its last three games, by 5-3-5 points.
? Spiders are 3-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
? Richmond is shooting 53.9% inside the arc (#41)
? Spiders are not a deep team (#343 in bench minutes)

Western Kentucky vs Saint Mary?s (@ Frisco, TX)
Western Kentucky (20-7)
? ranked #94 by KenPom
? Tempo: #209
? Experience: #56
? Continuity: #82
? WKU won 11 of last 14 games, losing finals of C-USA tourney in OT.
? Hilltoppers have a 6-11 center who is probably an NBA player.
? WKU turns ball over 21.2% of time (#288).
? Hilltoppers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30).

Saint Mary?s (14-9)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #347
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #233
? Gaels are 6-8 in last 14 games, after an 8-1 start.
? Saint Mary?s is shooting only 29.3% on arc (#328).
? Gaels beat UTEP of C-USA 73-61 at home on December 8.
? Saint Mary?s is #8 team in country on defensive boards.




NCAAB

Wednesday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toledo @ Richmond
Toledo
No trends to report
Richmond
No trends to report

Western Kentucky @ Saint Mary's-California
Western Kentucky
No trends to report
Saint Mary's-California
No trends to report


--------------------------------------


Thursday



711NORFOLK ST -712 APPALACHIAN ST
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

713DRAKE -714 WICHITA ST
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

717UCLA -718 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

719NC STATE -720 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

721SMU -722 BOISE ST
SMU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NORFOLK ST (16 - 7) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (17 - 11) - 3/18/2021, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DRAKE (25 - 4) vs. WICHITA ST (16 - 5) - 3/18/2021, 6:27 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DRAKE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (12 - 10) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (16 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 5:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (17 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (15 - 12) - 3/18/2021, 9:57 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UCLA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UCLA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (13 - 10) vs. DAVIDSON (13 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 225-172 ATS (+35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 110-70 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NC STATE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (11 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (17 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 96-136 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAA tournament
Texas Southern vs Mount St Mary (@ Indiana U)
Texas Southern (16-8)
? ranked #229 by KenPom
? Tempo: #41
? Experience: #5
? Continuity: #238
? Tigers won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 games.
? Texas Southern is 3-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
? Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
? Texas Southern is coached by former LSU coach Johnny Jones.
? Tigers are shooting 27.7% on arc (#342)
? Texas Southern is 1-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 0-3.

Mount St Mary (12-10)
? ranked #219 by KenPom
? Tempo: #356
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #142
? Mountaineers are 1-3 outside the NEC.
? Mountaineers finished T3rd in the NEC regular season.
? Mount St Mary won last four games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
? Mountaineers have #14 eFG% defense.
? Mount St Mary split two play-in games, in 2014, 2017

? Since 2006, NEC teams are 4-3 in these play-in games.
? Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-9 in play-in games.

Drake vs Wichita State (@ Purdue)
Drake (25-4)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #265
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #179
? Drake gets 6-6 Hemphill back; good player. He missed last nine games.
? Drake?s PG is out for the year.
? Drake is 9-0 outside MVC (non-conference schedule #310)
? Bulldogs have #30 eFG% in country.
? Drake is 7-4 in last 11 games, after an 18-0 start.
? Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008. .

Wichita State (16-5)
? ranked #74 by KenPom
? Tempo: #225
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #234
? Wichita won eight of its last nine games.
? Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
? Wichita shoots only 44.7% inside arc (#322)
? Shockers are 2-4 this season vs teams in top 100.
? Wichita is in NCAAs for 8th time in nine years but have rookie head coach now, who was an interim coach most of season.
? Since 2012, Shockers are 5-2 in first tourney game.
? Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in conference games.

? These teams were MVC rivals until 2017.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in their first tourney game.

Applachian State vs Norfolk State (@ Indiana U)
Applachian State (17-11)
? ranked #209 by KenPom
? Tempo: #310
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #237
? ASU has four wins vs non-D-I teams- before winning Sun Belt tourney, they were only 9-11 vs D-I teams.
? Two of their four wins in Sun Belt tourney were in OT.
? Mountaineers have #274 eFG% in country (46.7% inside arc, #283)
? 43.9% of shots they take are on the arc (#38)
? Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
? App State beat South Carolina State of MEAC 81-61 November 25.
? Mountaineers went 7-8 in Sun Belt this season.
? Last time App State made NCAAs was 2000.

Norfolk State (16-7)
? ranked #200 by KenPom
? Tempo: #221
? Experience: #21
? Continuity: #125
? Norfolk State won eight of its last nine games.
? Spartans have #54 eFG% defense in country.
? Norfolk beat James Madison/George Mason on the road.
? Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#33)
? Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed.

? Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
? Since 2004, MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.

UCLA vs Michigan State (@ Purdue)
UCLA (17-9)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #25
? UCLA lost its last four games, giving up 74.8 ppg.
? UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
? Bruins are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Since 2009, UCLA is 8-7 in NCAAs; they?re 8-2 in first game of last 10 tournaments they were in.
? Cronin is 6-11 in NCAAs, 5-6 in his first game of tournament.

Michigan State (15-12)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #166
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #75
? Spartans lost three of their last five games.
? Michigan State has #266 eFG% in country (##255 on arc, #252 inside arc).
? MSU is 6-0 outside the Big 14 this season (#220 non-conf schedule)
? Spartans are 17-8 in last 25 NCAA tournament games.

? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in play-in/first round games.
? Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
? This game is at Purdue, John Wooden?s alma mater.

NIT tournament
Davidson vs NC State (@ Denton, TX)
Davidson (13-8)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #353
? Experience: #181
? Continuity: #36
? Davidson lost three of its last five games.
? Wildcats are 5-3 outside the A-14.
? Davidson gets 40.4% of their points on arc (#12)
? Wildcats shoot 56.8% inside arc (#8).

NC State (13-10)
? ranked #73 by KenPom
? Tempo: #190
? Experience: #223
? Continuity: #128
? NC State won five of their last six games.
? Wolfpack force turnovers 22.0% of time (#37)
? NC State is 5-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Wolfpack lost 80-69 at Saint Louis of A-14 on December 17.

SMU vs Boise State (@ Frisco, TX)
SMU (11-5)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #49
? Continuity: #52
? SMU has played one game since February 8th.
? SMU was down 61-41 with 6:05 left Friday, lost 74-71.
? Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#8)
? Mustangs start four juniors and a senior- they?re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
? SMU lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.

Boise State (18-8)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #245
? Boise lost its last four games, all by 7 or fewer points, or in OT.
? Broncos split their last ten games, after a 6-0 start.
? Broncos are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#71)
? Boise State is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Boise State has #29 eFG% defense in country.


-----------------------------------------



Friday




725HARTFORD -726 BAYLOR
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

727WISCONSIN -728 N CAROLINA
WISCONSIN is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

729WINTHROP -730 VILLANOVA
WINTHROP is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

731N TEXAS -732 PURDUE
N TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

NCAA Tournament
Virginia Tech (10) vs Florida (7)
Virginia Tech (15-6)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #102
? Tech has played only three games (1-2) since February 6.
? Hokies lost three of their last five games.
? 41% of their shots are 3-pointers (#80)
? Tech is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
? Hokies are in 4th straight NCAA tourney; they?re 1-2 in last three first round games- they made Sweet 16 two years ago.

Florida (14-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #164
? Florida lost three of its last four games.
? Gators lost 83-71 to ACC?s Florida State December 12.
? Gators are #301 team in country on defensive boards.
? Florida won its last seven first round tournament games.

? Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
? Last three years, ACC teams were 7-17 ATS in the first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams were 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ?em.

Colgate (14) vs Arkansas (3)
Colgate (14-1)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #25
? Experience: #149
? Continuity: #46
? Colgate played 13 of 15 games vs three teams: Army Boston U, Holy Cross- they?re jumping way up in class here.
? Red Raiders have made 40% of their 3-pointers (#3)
? Colgate won its last 13 games- they lost 75-73 to Army January 3rd.
? Colgate lost 77-70 to Tennessee in 2019, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Arkansas (22-6)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #238
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won nine of its last ten games.
? Arkansas is 8-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #282)
? Razorbacks are 17-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Arkansas won three of last four first round games; Musselman was 1-2 in first round games while coaching Nevada.

? Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored in first round.
? Since 2005, Patriot League teams are 9-6 ATS in first round games, covering last three, in losses by 6-4-7 points.

Drexel (16) vs Illinois (1)
Drexel (12-7)
? ranked #146 by KenPom
? Tempo: #340
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #3
? Drexel lost 83-74 to #89 Pitt, their only top 100 game this year.
? Dragons have #35 eFG%; they?re shooting 37.2% on arc (#37)
? Drexel won CAA tournament; they were only 8-7 before that.
? Dragons are in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1996.

Illinois (23-6)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #218
? Continuity: #48
? Illinois won 14 of its last 15 games.
? Illini is shooting 37.6% on arc (#25)
? Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
? Illini opened season with two games vs teams outside top 100; they won by 62-59 points- those teams were also outside top 200. Drexel is #146.
? This is Illinois? first NCAA Tournament since 2013.
? Underwood is 2-2 in first round games (Oklahoma State/SF Austin)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 SU in NCAA games, 5-2 ATS.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Utah State (11) vs Texas Tech (6)
Utah State (20-8)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #154
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #137
? Aggies won six of their last seven games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#4)
? Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Aggies get 55.5% of their points inside arc (#44)
? Since 2003, Utah State is 0-7 SU in first round games; they lost 78-61 as an 8-seed to Washington in last tournament, two years ago.

Texas Tech (17-10)
? ranked #23 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #276
? Continuity: #241
? Tech lost four of their last seven games.
? Red Raiders force turnovers 23.8% of time (#8)
? Tech gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#32)
? Beard is 2-0 in first round games at Tech, winning by 10-15 points.

? Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
? Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Ohio State (2)
Oral Roberts (16-10)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last five games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.8% on arc (#11), 82.6% on line (#1)
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Ohio State (21-9)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #170
? Ohio State is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.
? Buckeyes are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Holtmann is 2-0 in first round at Ohio State, winning by 8-3 points.

? Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
? Summit teams are 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 first round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Hartford (16) vs Baylor (1)
Hartford (15-8)
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #269
? Experience: #106
? Continuity: #29
? Hartford lost by 12 to UConn, by 34 to Villanova, their only top 150 games.
? Hawks are a bad rebounding team (#211 on defensive boards)
? Hartford won its last five games, giving up 62.6 ppg.
? This is first time Hartford has played in NCAA Tournament.

Baylor (22-2)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #179
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #31
? Baylor is 5-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.8% on the arc (#8)
? Baylor is 12-0 vs teams outside top 100, with nine wins by 18+ points.
? Under Drew, Baylor is 5-3 in first round games (4-4 ATS)

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
? Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
? Last seven years, America East teams are 5-2 ATS in first round.

Georgia Tech (9) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Georgia Tech (17-8)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #10
? Tech won its last eight games, winning first ACC tourney since 1993.
? Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.8% of time (#15)
? Tech is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#24)
? Yellow Jackets are in NCAA?s for first time since 2010.
? Pastner was 2-2 in first round games when he coached Memphis.

Loyola Chi (24-4)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
? Loyola is shooting 58% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 4-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
? Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
? Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.

Oregon State (12) vs Tennessee (5)
Oregon State (17-12)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #155
? Oregon State won six of its last seven games.
? Oregon State is getting 21.0% of its points on foul line (#51)
? Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#276)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
? Beavers are in tournament for first time since 2016-they lost 75-67 to VCU

Tennessee (18-8)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #233
? Experience: #255
? Continuity: #108
? Tennessee split its last eight games.
? Vols are 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
? Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#14)
? Barnes is 11-4 SU in his last fifteen first round games.

? Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 16-12-2 ATS in first round.
? Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOL at RICH 07:00 PM
RICH +2.5..........66 - 76..........WINNER
U 152.0...........................WINNER

WKU at SMC 09:00 PM
WKU +2.0....................69 - 67.......WINNER
O 126.0...................................WINNER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+2000