CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six guys who were student managers for their college hoop teams:
? Auburn coach Bruce Pearl (Boston College)
? LSU coach Will Wade (Clemson)
? Clippers? executive Lawrence Frank (Indiana)
? Thunder coach Mar Daigneault (UConn)
? Texas Tech coach Chris Beard (Texas)
? Iowa State coach Steve Prohm (Alabama)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday??

13) Will any of this season?s scheduling oddities become normal in the future? Will playing two games at one site over 2-3 days, which reduces travel, become the new normal, or will things go back to the way they were last year?

Friday nights have always been a slow night for college hoop, but this year, Fridays have been busier than Wednesday/Thursdays. I?m guessing the TV people would prefer leaving Fridays to the NBA and getting college games back to mid-week dates, but that remains to be seen.

12) Alabama basketball coach Nate Oats recently signed a contract extension that will pay him $3.225M/year, not bad for a guy who, eight years ago, was a high school Math teacher and the basketball coach at a Michigan HS. He taught at the school for 11 years; now he?s rich.

Alabama is 19-6 this year, 14-2 in the SEC; they?ll be a high seed in the NCAA?s.

11) Oklahoma State 94, Oklahoma 90, OT? Cade Cunningham scored 40 points for OSU, in an impressive one-man show. Cunningham?s brother was hired as an assistant coach by the Cowboys last year, as an inducement for his brother to come to Stillwater.

Whatever they?re paying the brother, it ain?t enough. Oklahoma State will play in the NCAA?s before they get their probation from the NCAAs. Cunningham will be a walking advertisement for the Oklahoma State program when he plays in the NBA.

10) Louisville 80, Duke 73 OT
? Cardinals blew a 12-point lead, but pulled away for the OT win.
? ESPN?s Jay Bilas (a Duke alum) calls most Duke games, but he was at Kansas-Baylor, so ESPN showed they give Duke no special treatment? Chris Spatola was the analyst. He is Coach K?s son-in-law.

Oy.

9) Kansas 71, Baylor 58? Bears lose for first time in 18 games; this was their second game back after a 21-day COVID pause. Selection Sunday is two weeks from today, so their first game in the NCAA Tournament is 18-19 days away. Will they have their legs back by then?

8) North Carolina 78, Florida State 70
? This was Roy Williams? 900th career win; 482 at Carolina, 418 at Kansas.
? Florida State led this game by 16 in the first half.
? Peaks/valleys: Carolina got hammered at home by Marquette during the week.

7) Upsets of the Day:
? Tennessee Tech (+10.5) 71, Murray State 61
? Northridge (+10) 90, Bakersfield 87
? Rider (+9.5) 78, Saint Peter?s 65
? Vanderbilt (+9.5) 75, Ole Miss 70
? Auburn (+8) 77, Tennessee 72
? Bradley (+8) 67, Drake 61
? Oregon State (+7) 73, Stanford 62
? Boston College (+7) 94, Notre Dame 90

6) Texas Tech 68, Texas 59:
? Longhorns are 4-6 in their last ten games, after a 10-1 start.
? Tech?s win snaps a 3-game losing skid.

5) Morehead State 89, Belmont 82, OT
? Belmont lost twice this week, after starting the season 24-1.
? Morehead was 31-39 on foul line, Belmont 14-19.

4) Auburn 77, Tennessee 72? Tigers pull the upset without star G Sherife Cooper, who is out for the year. Excellent coaching job by Bruce Pearl, but also a disturbing loss for Tennessee, which looked lackluster in defeat. When network TV guys say it on the air, it had to be obvious.

3) Arkansas 83, LSU 75? Razorbacks have won six in row, nine of last ten games. LSU takes lot of quick shots and doesn?t pass the ball so much- they?re 4-6 in their last ten games, after they started the season 10-2.

2) Gonzaga 86, LMU 69? Gonzaga is the last unbeaten team in the country which puts the target right on their backs. Zags have one single-digit win the entire season (December 2nd vs West Virginia); when they have to play a close game in the NCAA?s, will that hurt them?

1) There are a lot of teams who are capable of beating anyone on a given day, but it seems like there are very few teams who are consistently good. Winning a national title takes six wins a row, the last four (or five) over strong teams.

The eventual national champ this year may be a team that gets help from upsets elsewhere in their bracket, not unlike Kansas in 1988.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 28

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NCAAB

Sunday, February 28

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 28

Memphis @ Cincinnati
Memphis (13-6, 9-3)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #36
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #67
? Memphis won four in row, seven of last eight games.
? This is their 2nd game after an 18-day layoff.
? Memphis has #2 eFG% defense in country.

Cincinnati (9-8, 7-5)
? ranked #97 by KenPom
? Tempo: #62
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #214
? Bearcats won six of last seven games (5 of 6 wins were by 3 or less pts)
? Cincinnati is 2-6 vs top 100 teams this season.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Cincy is shooting 29.7% on arc (#316), 65.7% on line (#313)

? Cincinnati won seven of last eight series games.
? Memphis lost their last seven games in Cincinnati.

South Florida @ Houston
South Florida (8-9, 4-7)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #268
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #76
? Bulls lost four of their last five games.
? USF is shooting 43.3% inside arc (#336), has #322 eFG%.
? Bulls are grabbing 35.2% of their missed shots (#17)

Houston (19-3, 12-3)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #163
? Continuity: #122
? Houston is 3-2 in last five D-I games, after a 15-1 start.
? They won last two games by 38-24 points, giving up 52-57 points.
? Cougars have #1 eFG% defense in country.

? Houston won 82-65 at USF February 10.
? Cougars won last eight series games.
? Bulls lost last three visits here, by 23-12-19 points.

Pittsburgh @ NC State
Pittsburgh (9-9, 5-8)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #299
? Continuity: #110
? Pitt lost four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Panthers lost last three road games, by 1-7-6 points.
? This is Pitt?s first game in eight days.

NC State (11-9, 7-8)
? ranked #71 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #212
? Continuity: #121
? NC State won last three games, all on road, giving up 65 ppg.
? Wolfpack lost their last three home games.
? State is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#26)

? Wolfpack won 74-73 at Pitt February 17.
? State won last 11 series games.
? Panthers lost last four visits to Raleigh, by 18-5-6-4 points.

Villanova @ Butler
Villanova (15-3, 10-2)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #123
? Continuity: #6
? Villanova won 13 of its last 15 games overall.
? Wildcats lost last two road games, at St John?s/Creighton.
? Villanova has #37 eFG% in country (#28 on arc, #65 inside arc).

Butler (8-13, 7-11)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #328
? Experience: #187
? Continuity: #237
? Butler lost six of its last nine games overall.
? Bulldogs won three of their last four home tilts.
? Butler is shooting 46% inside the arc (#301)

? Butler lost 85-66 at Villanova December 16.
? Wildcats won six of last seven series games.
? Villanova lost three of last four games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Montana State @ Idaho
Montana State (9-8, 6-5)
? ranked #225 by KenPom
? Tempo: #182
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #226
? Bobcats lost their last five games, giving up 86 ppg.
? MSU is getting 21.7% of its points on foul line (#36)
? Montana State is shooting 32.8% on arc (#229)

Idaho (1-19, 1-16)
? ranked #354 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #157
? Continuity: #187
? Idaho?s win Friday was their first after an 0-19 start.
? Six of their seven home losses were by 13+ points.
? Vandals are turning ball over 23.9% of time (#340)

? Bengals upset Montana State 74-69 here Friday night.
? Bobcats won five of last six series games.
? Montana State won 77-67/71-68 in last two visits here.

Michigan State @ Maryland
Michigan State (13-9, 7-9)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #147
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #78
? Spartans won last three games overall, by 7-9-4 points.
? Michigan State lost four of last five on road (won at Indiana)
? Spartans force turnovers only 15.5% of time (#330)

Maryland (14-10, 8-9)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #315
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #56
? Maryland won last four games, giving up 59.8 ppg.
? Terrapins are 6-10 vs top 100 teams.
? Maryland is shooting 53% inside arc (#57).

? Spartans won seven of last nine series games.
? Michigan State won last three visits here, by 6-14-12 points.

Iowa @ Ohio State
Iowa (17-7, 11-6)
? ranked #5 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #48
? Hawkeyes won four of their last five games.
? Iowa is shooting 40.1% on the arc (#4)
? Hawkeyes are 2-6 when they give up 79+ points, 15-1 otherwise.

Ohio State (18-6, 12-6)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #91
? Continuity: #174
? Buckeyes lost last two games, after a 10-1 run.
? OSU is 3-5 in conference games decided by 7 or less points.
? Ohio State has #47 eFG%, shooting 36.6% on arc (#56)

? Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa February 4.
? Buckeyes are 5-3 in last eight series games.
? Hawkeyes lost last three visits here, by 4-18-20 points.

Charlotte @ Texas-El Paso
Charlotte (9-12, 5-8)
? ranked #229 by KenPom
? Tempo: #355
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #196
? Charlotte lost last five games, scoring 45-47 points in last two.
? 49ers lost last four road tilts, last three by 13-19-23 points.
? Charlotte is turning ball over 21.2% of the time (#281)

Texas-El Paso (11-10, 7-8)
? ranked #145 by KenPom
? Tempo: #214
? Experience: #136
? Continuity: #232
? UTEP won its last three games, giving up 58 ppg.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Miners have #283 eFG%, shooting 46.3% inside arc (#288)
? UTEP is 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

? Charlotte lost 70-47 here yesterday.
? Miners won five of last eight series games.
? 49ers lost last three games here, by 7-4-23 points.

Florida International @ Western Kentucky
FIU (9-15, 2-13)
? ranked #289 by KenPom
? Tempo: #71
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #215
? FIU lost five in row, 12 of last 13 games.
? Panthers are shooting 40.5% on the arc (#10)
? FIU has #309 eFG% defense in country (52.8% inside arc, #275)

Western Kentucky (15-5, 8-2)
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #90
? WKU won six of its last seven games.
? They won their last three home games, by 8-6-23 points.
? Hilltoppers lost at Houston Thursday, its first game in 12 days.

? WKU won five of eight series games.
? Teams split four series games played here.

Quinnipiac @ Marist
Quinnipiac (8-9, 6-7)
? ranked #264 by KenPom
? Tempo: #41
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #162
? Quinnipiac won last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
? Bobcats lost three of four true road games (last one was February 8)
? Quinnipiac has #3 eFG% defense in country.

Marist (10-8, 8-8)
? ranked #268 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #280
? Continuity: #203
? This is Marist?s first game in eight days.
? Red Foxes split their last eight games.
? Marist is turning ball over 22% of time (#312).

? Quinnipiac won five of last six series games.
? Bobcats won their last three games in the McCann Center.

Nevada @ Utah State
Nevada (14-8, 9-6)
? ranked #94 by KenPom
? Tempo: #116
? Experience: #332
? Continuity: #303
? Nevada won four of its last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#42).
? Friday?s loss here was Nevada?s first game in 19 days.

Utah State (15-7, 12-4)
? ranked #56 by KenPom
? Tempo: #117
? Experience: #257
? Continuity: #142
? Aggies are 3-4 in their last seven games, after a 12-3 start.
? Utah State won six of seven Mountain West home games.
? Aggies are a top 10 rebounding team in country.

? Nevada lost 75-72 here Friday night; both teams shot 50%+ on arc.
? Aggies won three of last four series games.
? Wolf Pack lost last three games here, by 5-10-3 points.

North Dakota State @ South Dakota
North Dakota State (12-11, 10-5)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #339
? Experience: #263
? Continuity: #247
? North Dakota State lost four of its last six games.
? Bison are best team in country on defensive boards.
? North Dakota State is in bottom 15 in country at forcing turnovers.

South Dakota (13-9, 11-3)
? ranked #171 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #311
? Coyotes lost three of last five games, after a 9-0 Summit start.
? Average total in their last five games: 163.
? South Dakota is shooting 37.8% on arc (#25).

? Bison lost 80-71 here yesterday, outscored 25-7 on foul line.
? Bison beat South Dakota 74-67 on a neutral floor, back in December.
? North Dakota State is 14-6 in last 20 series games.
? Teams split last six series games played here.

Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts
Western Illinois (7-13, 5-8)
? ranked #293 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #343
? WIU won five of its last six games.
? Opponents are shooting 39.2% on arc (#339).
? Leathernecks are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#317)

Oral Roberts (12-10, 9-5)
? ranked #182 by KenPom
? Tempo: #60
? Experience: #232
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts lost four of its last seven games.
? Golden Eagles have #254 eFG% defense in country.
? ORU can shoot; 39% on arc (#11), 81.6% on foul line (#2)

? Leathernecks lost 85-81 here yesterday.
? Home side won eight of last ten series games.
? WIU lost last four visits to Tulsa, by 15-9-17-4 points.


*************************


791VILLANOVA -792 BUTLER
BUTLER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

793MEMPHIS -794 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

795MICHIGAN ST -796 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

797FLA INTERNATIONAL -798 W KENTUCKY
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

799CHARLOTTE -800 UTEP
UTEP is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

801MONTANA ST -802 IDAHO
IDAHO is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

803IOWA -804 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.

803IOWA -804 OHIO ST
IOWA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

805QUINNIPIAC -806 MARIST
MARIST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog in the current season.

807PITTSBURGH -808 NC STATE
NC STATE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.


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NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, February 28

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VILL at BUT 12:00 PM
BUT +11.5...........61 - 73....WINNER
O 130.5...............WINNER

MEM at CIN 01:00 PM
MEM -3.0.................80- 74.....,WINNER
U 139.5................LOSER

UMASS at UNH 01:00 PM
UNH -3.0
U 139.0

FAMU at SCST 02:00 PM
SCST +8.0.............63 - 58.....WINNER
O 137.5............LOSER

MSU at MD 02:00 PM
MSU +2.5.............55 - 73......LOSER
U 134.0........................WINNER

****************************

CHAR at UTEP 03:00 PM
UTEP -6.5.............62 - 77
U 123.5

BU at ARMY 03:00 PM
ARMY -4.0..............55 - 57....LOSER
O 137.5

FIU at WKU 03:00 PM
FIU +16.5........58 - 91......LOSER
O 147.5..............WINNER

MTST at IDHO 03:00 PM
IDHO +10.5...........71 - 61
O 134.5..............LOSER

ALBY at HART 03:00 PM
ALBY -1.0..........77 - 83....LOSER
U 135.5..............LOSER

********************

QUIN at MRST 04:00 PM
QUIN +2.5...........67 - 76...LOSER
U 132.0.............LOSER

L-MD at NAVY 04:00 PM
NAVY -3.5.......58 - 66.......WINNER
U 134.0

BUCK at AMER 04:00 PM
AMER -3.5..........68 - 81.....WINNER
U 140.0

PITT at NCST 04:00 PM
NCST -7.0............62 - 65....LOSER
U 138.5.....................WINNER

USF at HOU 04:00 PM
HOU -18.5...............52 - 98,,,WINNER
U 132.0

IOWA at OSU 04:00 PM
OSU -2.5.........73 - 57....LOSER
U 156.0..............WINNER

NDSU at SDAK 04:30 PM
SDAK +1.5..........89 - 77.....LOSER
O 137.0

************************

COPP at DSU 05:00 PM
DSU +8.0......94 - 74
O 161.5...............WINNER

WIU at ORU 05:00 PM
ORU -8.5..........59 - 95...WINNER
O 162.0...............WINNER

LAF at LEH 06:00 PM
LEH +3.0..........70 - 71....WINNER
U 146.0

NEV at USU 07:00 PM
NEV +7.5.........66 - 87..............LOSER
O 141.0....................WINNER



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 28,2021.........16 - 14......+3.00
Feb. 27,2021.........43 - 38......+6.00
Feb. 26,2021.........24 - 17......+26.50
Feb. 25,2021.........27 - 15......+52.50
Feb. 24,2021.........12 - 21.......-55.50
Feb. 23,2021.........13 - 15......- 17.50
Feb. 22,2021.........15 - 7........+36.50
Feb. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50

TOTALS...............439- 371........-+154.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
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December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
Over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
102.5? Dodgers
95.5? Bronx Bombers
94.5? Padres
91.5? Braves, White Sox
90.5? Mets
88.5? Twins

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Never miss a good chance to shut up.?
Will Rogers

Monday?s quiz
Which NBA team used to play its home games in St Louis?

Sunday?s quiz
Virginia won the last NCAA Tournament, two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the final.

Saturday?s quiz
Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies, in their one World Series appearance.

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Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Quick piece of advice: don?t bet on spring training games this year.

They have some unusual rules this year; one of the weird ones is if a pitcher throws 20+ pitches in an inning, his manager can simply end the inning, just by saying so.

Up 5-2 in top of 6th Sunday, Angels had bases loaded, but the SF pitcher had reached 20 pitches that inning, so Gabe Kapler just told the umpire the half-inning was over. MLB is trying to prevent pitchers from overworking themselves this spring.

Some games are 5 innings, some 7, others 9, at least until March 13, when they?re expected to go back to all nine-inning games.

12) If you were born on February 29, when do you celebrate your birthday? The 28th? March 1? Must be odd having a birthday once every four years.

11) There is a basketball player at South Alabama named Kayo Goncalves: here are his shooting stats for this year, his senior season:

? 2-point shots: 7-19, 36.8%
? foul shots: 9-14, 64.3%
? 3-point shots: 65-168, 36.7%

He mustn?t dribble very much, just catch/shoot. Jaguars are 16-10 overall this season, 23-14 in Sun Belt play the last two seasons. Sun Belt basketball is fun to watch.

10) Knicks 109, Pistons 90? Knicks are 18-17, first time since 2013 that they?ve been over .500 after 35 games. Tom Thibodeau is a very good coach.

9) QB Allen Bowman is transferring from Texas Tech to Michigan; Jim Harbaugh had a young QB play for him last year and it didn?t go well, so he grabs another transfer. Bowman threw for 2,600+ yards the last two seasons.

8) It was great to watch actual baseball games Sunday, even meaningless exhibition games. Regular season starts April 1st, four weeks from Thursday.

7) Marcus Semien got $18M to play for Toronto this season, but he is also moving from SS to second base, and he?ll play most of his home games on artificial turf.

Blue Jays will stay in Florida for their first two homestands, and they?ll play it by ear from there, as far as COVID protocols go. Blue Jays played their home games in Buffalo last year, but you don?t want to play outdoors in Buffalo in April.

6) Butler 73, Villanova 61? Villanova shot 2-27 from the arc; they?re shooting 36.1% for the season behind the arc. This is the kind of game teams will have to avoid in the tournament; you lay an egg there and your season ends quickly.

5) Iowa 73, Ohio State 57? In reality, NCAA Tournament will have three #1-seeds (Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan) and five #2-seeds, just that one of the five will be named as a #1-seed, but who will it be? Buckeyes had a shot, but they?ve lost three in a row now, so that won?t happen.

4) Victor Oladipo rejected a 2-year, $45.2M contract extension from the Houston Rockets; you know your life is going well when $45.2M isn?t a good deal. He wants a contract that is longer than two years, and if he stays healthy, he?ll probably get it.

3) Charlotte 127, Sacramento 126:
? Sacramento led by 8 with 0:55 left.
? Kings missed five foul shots in the last 1:09.
? Charlotte?s best player, Gordon Hayward, didn?t play.
? Sacramento has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

2) RIP to Irv Cross, 81, who passed away Sunday. Cross was a DB in the NFL for nine years (Eagles, Rams) but was better known as a popular person on the NFL Today pregame show for many years, with Brent Musburger, Phyllis George and Jimmy the Greek. RIP, sir.

1) Sunday was the 38th anniversary of the last episode of M*A*S*H, one of the all-time great TV shows. Spent many an hour watching M*A*S*H re-runs on weekday afternoons; the episodes with MacLean Stevenson were my favorites.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 1

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NCAAB

Monday, March 1

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 1

Washington State @ Arizona State
Washington State (14-12, 7-12)
? ranked #105 by KenPom
? Tempo: #210
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #210
? Wazzu lost last three road games, by 2-16-3 points.
? Two of their last three games overall went to overtime.
? Coogs have #269 eFG% in country (#308 inside arc).

Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
? ranked #98 by KenPom
? Tempo: #23
? Experience: #94
? Continuity: #137
? ASU won its last three games overall, scoring 84.7 ppg.
? Sun Devils won six of their last seven home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? ASU forces turnovers 21.1% of time (#56)

? ASU beat Wazzu 77-74 in OT here Saturday.
? Teams split last ten series games.
? Coogs lost seven of last nine visits to Tempe.

Dayton @ St Bonaventure
Dayton (12-8, 8-7)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #112
? Continuity: #226
? Dayton lost four of their last six games.
? Flyers are shooting 56.4% inside arc (#16), has #20 eFG%.
? Dayton is 6-4 vs top 100 teams.

St Bonaventure (13-3, 11-3)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #30
? Bonnies are 11-0 if they score 65+ points.
? Bonnies won last three games, giving up 50.3 ppg.
? St Bonaventure is 4-3 vs top 100 teams.

? Dayton won last five series games.
? Flyers won 90-74/89-86OT in last two visits here.

St Joe?s @ Richmond
St Joe?s (3-14, 2-9)
? ranked #192 by KenPom
? Tempo: #25
? Experience: #314
? Continuity: #245
? Hawks won last two games, after a 1-14 start.
? St Joe?s has #294 eFG% defense in country.
? Hawks get 39.8% of their points on arc (#16); they?re shooting 31.4% on arc (#277)

Richmond (13-6, 6-4)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #11
? Continuity: #10
? Spiders split their last six D-I games.
? Richmond is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#32)
? Spiders have #287 eFG% defense (#324 inside arc)

? Richmond won 79-56 at St Joe?s January 26.
? Spiders won five of last eight series games.
? Hawks won two of last three visits to Richmond.

UMass @ Saint Louis
UMass (7-5, 6-3)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #27
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #219
? UMass won five of its last seven games overall.
? This is their second game after a 17-day COVID pause.
? UMass has #246 eFG% in country (#259 on arc, #206 inside arc).

Saint Louis (12-5, 5-4)
? ranked #51 by KenPom
? Tempo: #185
? Experience: #126
? Continuity: #19
? Billikens are 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Saint Louis is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
? Billikens won last four home tilts, giving up 60.3 ppg.

? Saint Louis won five of last six series games.
? UMass lost last three visits here, by 4-3-3 points.

Miami @ Virginia
Miami (7-15, 3-14)
? ranked #225 by KenPom
? Tempo: #182
? Experience: #86
? Continuity: #226
? Miami lost five in row, nine of last ten games.
? MSU is getting 21.7% of its points on foul line (#36)
? In their last four games, Miami scored 62.5 ppg.

Virginia (15-6, 11-4)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #105
? Continuity: #160
? Virginia lost its last three games, after a 15-3 start.
? Cavaliers are shooting 39.3% on arc, have #9 eFG% in country.
? Only two of their last six wins were by more than 8 points.

? Virginia won last three series games, by 9-10-2 points.
? Miami lost five of last six visits to Charlottesville.

North Carolina @ Syracuse
North Carolina (15-8, 9-5)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #45
? Experience: #326
? Continuity: #154
? Carolina lost three of its last five road games.
? Tar Heels have #258 eFG%, are turning ball over 20.6% of time (#260)
? UNC is grabbing 40.1% of their missed shots (#1)

Syracuse (13-8, 7-7)
? ranked #61 by KenPom
? Tempo: #118
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #73
? Syracuse won its last six home games.
? Orangemen are 1-6 vs top 50 teams.
? In last 13 games, Syracuse is 7-0 if it allows 73 or fewer points, 0-6 if they allow 73+.

? Syracuse lost 81-75 at Chapel Hill January 12.
? Tar Heels won nine of last ten series games.
? Carolina won its last three games in Carrier Dome.

Rutgers @ Nebraska
Rutgers (13-9, 9-9)
? ranked #27 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #81
? Continuity: #5
? Rutgers lost three of their last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#63)
? This is Rutgers? first game since November against a team outside top 100.

Nebraska (6-17, 2-14)
? ranked #109 by KenPom
? Tempo: #33
? Experience: #104
? Continuity: #328
? Nebraska lost 14 of last 16 games; they upset Minnesota Saturday.
? Last five games, Cornhuskers allowed 80 ppg.
? Nebraska has #278 eFG%, shooting 46.6% inside arc (#286)

? Rutgers won three of last four series games.
? Scarlet Knights lost three of last four visits to Lincoln.

Arizona @ Oregon
Arizona (17-8, 11-8)
? ranked #43 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #310
? Continuity: #332
? Arizona won its last three games, after a 2-5 skid.
? Wildcats are getting 23.3% of their points on foul line (#8).
? Arizona is 2-5 this season vs top 50 teams.

Oregon (16-5, 11-4)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #280
? Oregon won seven of its last eight games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Ducks won last three home games, by 12-3-4 points.
? Oregon is 6-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

? Ducks won 63-61 in Tucson February 13.
? Oregon won last six series games (3 wins in OT)

Florida International @ Western Kentucky
FIU (9-16, 2-14)
? ranked #301 by KenPom
? Tempo: #70
? Experience: #131
? Continuity: #214
? FIU lost six in row, 13 of last 14 games.
? Panthers are turning ball over 21.1% of time (#279)
? FIU has #310 eFG% defense in country (52.9% inside arc, #276)

Western Kentucky (16-5, 9-2)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #52
? Continuity: #90
? WKU won seven of its last eight games.
? They won their last four home games, by 8-6-23-33 points.
? Hilltoppers are 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

? FIU got thrashed 91-58 here yesterday; they got outrebounded 51-30.
? WKU won six of nine series games.
? Panthers lost three of five series games played here.

Quinnipiac @ Marist
Quinnipiac (8-10, 6-8)
? ranked #266 by KenPom
? Tempo: #40
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #158
? Quinnipiac won three of last four games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
? Bobcats lost three of their five true road games.
? Quinnipiac has #4 eFG% defense in country.

Marist (11-8, 9-8)
? ranked #262 by KenPom
? Tempo: #296
? Experience: #281
? Continuity: #197
? Red Foxes are 5-4 SU in their last nine games.
? Marist is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#296).
? Quinnipiac was 14-41 on arc, 7-23 inside arc yesterday.

? Marist beat Quinnipiac 76-67 here yesterday.
? Quinnipiac won five of last seven series games.
? Bobcats won three of last four games in McCann Center.

Air Force @ Colorado State
Air Force (5-18, 3-16)
? ranked #326 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #122
? Continuity: #218
? Air Force lost 11 of its last 12 games.
? Opponents are shooting 58.7% inside arc (#344).
? Four of their last five losses were by 8 or fewer points.

Colorado State (15-4, 12-3)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #97
? Experience: #311
? Continuity: #39
? Rams won three in row, nine of last 11 games.
? State is shooting 56.8% inside arc (#11).
? Rams are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

? Air Force lost 72-49 here Saturday; Colorado State shot 84% inside arc.
? Rams won last five series games.
? Falcons lost last three visits here, by 23-13-23 points.

Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (14-7, 9-6)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #54
? Sooners lost last two games, after an 8-1 run.
? Six of their last eight games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
? Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#19).

Oklahoma State (16-6, 9-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #49
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #285
? Cunningham had 40 points in Saturday?s 94-90 OT win.
? Cowboys won last four games; 3 of their last 5 wins came in OT.
? State has #29 eFG% defense in country.
? Cowboys are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#280)

? Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
? Cowboys lost last three visits to Norman, by 20-10-13 points.


--------------------------------------


825FLA INTERNATIONAL -826 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 129-90 ATS (30 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

827WASHINGTON ST -828 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

829DAYTON -830 ST BONAVENTURE
DAYTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

831ST JOSEPHS -832 RICHMOND
ST JOSEPHS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

833MASSACHUSETTS -834 SAINT LOUIS
SAINT LOUIS are 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

835QUINNIPIAC -836 MARIST
QUINNIPIAC is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) vs. winning teams since 1997.

837MIAMI -838 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

839N CAROLINA -840 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

841RUTGERS -842 NEBRASKA
NEBRASKA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

843ARIZONA -844 OREGON
OREGON is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.


------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 1

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SFA at CARK 04:00 PM
SFA -12.0.....79 -66
O 155.0...........LOSER

DAY at SBON 05:00 PM
DAY +7.5......55 - 52....WINNER
O 131.5............LOSER

QUIN at MRST 06:00 PM
QUIN +3.5..........52 - 65....LOSER
U 134.5

HAMP at RAD 06:00 PM
HAMP +7.0....52 - 67......LOSER
O 137.5...........LOSER

MASS at SLU 06:00 PM
MASS +10.5.....57 - 78...LOSER
U 143.0

STJOE at RICH 06:00 PM
RICH -14.0....76 - 73....LOSER
U 155.5........WINNER

HP at WIN 06:00 PM
WIN -12.5.......54 - 83.....WINNER
U 143.5

MIA at UVA 06:00 PM
MIA +14.5.....51 - 62
U 123.0.............WINNER

*******************

RUTG at NEB 07:00 PM
NEB +8.0..........51 - 72...WINNER
O 141.0.........LOSER

LONG at UNCA 07:00 PM
UNCA -3.0......77 - 51.....LOSER
U 137.5

UNC at SYR 07:00 PM
SYR +1.5........70 - 72
O 151.0...........LOSER

WEBB at CAMP 07:00 PM
WEBB +1.0.........57 - 63.....LOSER
O 133.5

NWST at NICH 07:00 PM
NICH -9.0............71 - 87....WINNER
U 151.5

******************

AMCC at LAM 08:00 PM
LAM -5.5
U 134.5

SHSU at HBU 08:00 PM
SHSU -10.5
U 156.0

UNO at IW 08:15 PM
O 141.5.........88 - 72....WINNER

ARPB at JKST 08:30 PM
JKST -11.5
U 129.0

TXSO at AAMU 08:30 PM
TXSO -7.5.......68 - 58.....WINNER
O 141.5.......LOSER

GRAM at MVSU 08:30 PM
GRAM -18.0
O 140.0

*******************

OKLA at OKST 09:00 PM
OKST +1.5........75 - 79....WINNER
O 142.5.............WINNER

ARIZ at ORE 09:00 PM
ORE -5.0...........69 - 80...WINNER
U 139.5...........LOSER

PV at ALST 09:00 PM
PV -12.5
U 138.5

AFA at CSU 10:00 PM
CSU -18.5......44 - 74....WINNER
U 134.0............WINNER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50



*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50[/SIZE]

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
87.5? Oakland A?s!!!!
86.5? Astros, Cardinals, Blue Jays
85.5? Rays
84.5? Nationals
83.5? Angels
82.5? Reds, Brewers

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 513,112
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Small, locally owned businesses are the heart and soul of a community. In the applications and the videos, it was heart-wrenching to hear about all the obstacles facing restaurants and retail establishments. So many of them are struggling just to stay in business but remain hopeful that there?s an end to this.?
Aaron Rodgers, who has contributed over $1M to small businesses around his hometown

Tuesday?s quiz
When was the last time a Division I hoop team had an undefeated national champ?

Monday?s quiz
Atlanta Hawks used to play their home games in St Louis; they moved to Atlanta in 1968.

Sunday?s quiz
Virginia won the last NCAA Tournament, two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the final.

*********************

Tuesday?s Den: 13 of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games:

13) Georgetown 50, Princeton 49? 1989 first round. It would be another 29 years before a #1-seed lost to a 16-seed, but Pete Carril?s Tigers came damn close in this game.

Dick Vitale was in the ESPN studio with Bob Ley that night; he says on the air if Princeton wins the game, he?ll stand on his head on the set, on the air. He damn near had to do it. Georgetown had Alonzo Mourning that year; they wound up losing in the regional final.

12) Villanova 77, North Carolina 74? 2016 national title game. I?m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook watching this game, guy sitting next to me has Villanova and the under. From the sound of his voice and his tension level, he had a lot of money on both.

Guard on North Carolina (Marcus Paige?) hits a tough shot to tie the game and put the game over the total; the guy next to me slumped in his chair, but when Kris Jenkins drained a long shot to win the national title, the guy cheered up, a lot. That night, splitting his bets was a very good thing.

11) Kansas 83, Oklahoma 79? 1988 national title game. Over the last 35 years, this was only time the underdog won all three games at the Final Four. Kansas was a #6-seed; it would be another 26 years before a lower seed (#7-seed UConn in 2014) would win a national title.

Billy Tubbs coached Oklahoma back then; I loved watching his teams, they played and with great confidence. This game was 50-50 at halftime, two conference rivals going at it, but the Jayhawks had Danny Manning, and he led them to a surprising national championship.

10) Vermont 60, Syracuse 57 OT? 2005 first round. Back then, group of us would gather at an Off Track Betting sports bar, hunker down for four days and watch games for 12 hours a day. Lot of fun, lot of bantering back/forth. Wish the casino in Schenectady was around back then.

This was the year Tom Brennan coached Vermont to a big upset in the first round; they were a 9-point underdog in this game. Brennan later became a talk radio star, after he retired from coaching- his Catamounts lost their next game by 11 to Michigan State.

9) Northern Iowa 69, Kansas 67 OT? 2010 2nd round. I was at the MGM Grand watching this game; lot of Kansas fans were around, very cocky that their team was headed to the Sweet 16- they were the #1-seed in that region.

Problem is, no one told Northern Iowa; they hit a 3-pointer late in the game, pulled the big upset and made a lot of Jayhawk fans very sad.

That was the week I?m watching a game, kid scores a basket very early in the game and the three guys next to me start hugging each other and yelling. I ask them if that was their brother who scored that basket? they said no, they had Wake Forest in their ?first to 15? bet.

I had no idea that MGM offered a bet where you picked which team got to 15 points first.

8) North Carolina 77, Oregon 76? 2017 national semifinal. Watched this game in Las Vegas with a friend of mine who had a very, very large bet on Oregon. He had both underdogs that day, and over the last 35 years, that day was the only time in national semifinals where both underdogs lost, but both covered, so he had a really good day.

South Carolina was a #7-seed that surprisingly made the Final Four that year; since then, Gamecocks are 32-36 in SEC games, and haven?t been back in NCAAs. Tough place to win.

7) North Carolina 71, Gonzaga 65? 2017 national final. This was two nights after the two dogs had covered the semi-final games. I?m at the SouthPoint sportsbook, and I sit next to three younger guys, all from San Diego. It was also opening night of baseball season.

For the next 3-4 hours, we shot the breeze about everything, mostly sports, but some other stuff too. They told me that Steve Fisher needed to retire at San Diego State (he did, right after that). First time I ever had a quesadilla (they?re good!!). Living proof that all Americans have more in common than what separates us.

6) Georgia Tech 93, Minnesota 91? 1990 regional final. I had the Gophers +3.5. Minnesota has the ball at the end, no chance to win, kid drains a 3 from the right corner at the buzzer, to send me home happy.

Long, long time ago, went to the NIT Final Four in New York City. This is 1984 or so, when I had just started working. All I remember about that night:
? Fresno State had really pretty cheerleaders who threw small boxes of raisins into the stands. Apparently, they grow a lot of raisins in Fresno.
? Someone scored a basket late in the game to cover the spread; these three guys in front of us starting yelling and hugging each other. Winning money makes you happy.
? Long busride back to Albany, then I went right to work? I was on the midnight-8am shift back then, looking at fingerprints. That was a long freakin? night.

5) Murray State 83, Marquette 64? 2019 first round. Not a pleasant memory; I picked this game over the total, should have had Murray and the over. Marquette had no answer for Ja Morant and the Racers were going to hang 100 on a Big East team, the game was going to go way over the total, but the Marquette coach retreated his team into a zone defense and refused to try and win, to avoid embarrassment. No bueno.

Gamer stayed under the total; lets just say??.I wasn?t happy 🙁

4) UNLV 103, Duke 73? 1990 national title game. Wish I was in Las Vegas for this game, the night Jerry Tarkanian won his first national title. What a team that was; Larry Johnson, Greg Anthony, Stacey Augmon. Lot of midnight games on ESPN for that crew.

Back then, Big Monday was a tripleheader: Big East at 7, Big 10 at 9, Big West at midnight, after SportsCenter. UNLV was in the Big West back then; they were like Gonzaga is now, a very big fish in a fairly small pond. Lot of fun to watch.

3) Northwestern State 64, Iowa 63? 2006 first round. This was a 3-14 game; Demons were a 7-point underdog. I had gone on a local radio show when the brackets came out and predicted an outright win for Northwestern State, so I was pretty excited when it happened.

Couple years later down in Orlando, I?m watching an AAU game down in Florida and the Northwestern State coach sits next to me. I told him the story, thanked him; he told me how one of his former players was going to graduate school at Iowa that year, had given him a great scouting report on the Hawkeyes. Luckily for me.

2) Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 92? 1990 first round. LMU?s first game since the tragic death of Hank Gathers during the WCC tournament, 12 days earlier.

Game was tied at halftime; Bo Kimble, LMU?s best player, had four fouls at halftime but the Lions exploded in the second half and won going away. Kimble shot his first foul shot lefty to honor his fallen teammate. LMU won two more games before losing in the regional final.

1) NC State 80, UCLA 77, 2OT? 1974 national semi-final. I was in 9th grade back then, a big NC State fan (friend of our family lived in Raleigh), used to listen to their regular season games on WBT, a radio station out of Charlotte.

David Thompson/Tom Burleson/Monte Towe were the guys for NC State- they had lost to UCLA the previous December, were expected to lose here too, seeing how UCLA had won the previous seven national titles, but after getting down 7 in overtime, they rallied back and handed Bill Walton his only loss in an NCAA Tournament game.

Years later, I?m at an AAU tournament in Orlando, sitting by myself, when Monte Towe comes in the gym near where I was. Talked to him for 5-10 minutes, good guy. Hell of a passer for a guy who was 5-foot-6 at the most.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 2

--------------------------------


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------


NCAAB

Tuesday, March 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 2

Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor (18-1, 10-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #176
? Experience: #99
? Continuity: #35
? Baylor split two games, after its 21-day pause.
? Bears are forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#3)
? Baylor is grabbing 36.9% of its missed shots (#5).

West Virginia (17-6, 10-4)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #126
? Experience: #152
? Continuity: #34
? WVU won three in row, six of last seven games.
? Mountaineers? last four losses were all by 5 or fewer points.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? WVU is grabbing 35.4% of its missed shots (#16).

? Baylor won three of last four series games.
? Bears lost four of last five visits to Morgantown.

Xavier @ Georgetown
Xavier (13-5, 6-5)
? ranked #55 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #145
? Continuity: #188
? Xavier lost three of their last five games overall.
? Musketeers are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#24), has #54 eFG%.
? Xavier is 11-2 vs teams outside the top 50.

Georgetown (8-11, 6-8)
? ranked #89 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #59
? Continuity: #249
? Georgetown won three of its last four games.
? Hoyas are turning ball over 22.6% of time (#323)
? Georgetown is getting 36% of its points on arc (#55) (36.3%, #63)

? Xavier won eight of last nine series games.
? Musketeers won five of last six visits here.

Illinois @ Michigan
Illinois (18-6, 14-4)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #172
? Experience: #219
? Continuity: #47
? Illinois won nine of its last ten games.
? Illini star Dosunmu (nose) isn?t expected to play here.
? Illinois is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#19)

Michigan (18-1, 13-1)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #226
? Experience: #58
? Continuity: #151
? Michigan won its last seven games, giving up 57-57 in last two.
? Michigan is shooting 39% on the arc (#11)
? Wolverines have #2 eFG% defense (#2 inside arc)

? Michigan won six of last nine series games.
? Illini lost five of last six visits to Ann Arbor.

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State (10-10, 8-10)
? ranked #200 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #302
? Continuity: #301
? Fresno lost three of its last four games overall.
? Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#295)
? Fresno has #250 eFG% in country (#285 on arc, #185 inside arc).

Boise State (18-6, 14-5)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #70
? Continuity: #246
? Broncos split their last ten games.
? Boise is 11-0 SU at home this season.
? Broncos are #25 in country on defensive boards.

? Bulldogs lost 73-51 in Boise January 20.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Fresno lost 13 of last 15 visits to Boise (2-2 in last four)

Duke @ Georgia Tech
Duke (11-9, 9-7)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #162
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #252
? Duke won four of its last five games.
? Blue Devils are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#38)
? Duke is getting only 13% of its points on foul line (#344)

Georgia Tech (13-8, 9-6)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #122
? Experience: #4
? Continuity: #9
? Tech won its last four games, giving up 63.8 ppg.
? Yellow Jackets are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#38)
? Tech is shooting 54.5% inside arc (#35)

? Tech lost 75-68 in Durham January 26.
? Duke won last 14 series games.
? Blue Devils won last five visits here, all by 7+ points.

Indiana @ Michigan State
Indiana (12-12, 7-10)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #283
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #81
? Indiana lost its last three games, by 7-11-16 points.
? Hoosiers are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#222).
? Indiana is getting 22% of its points on foul line (#27)

Michigan State (13-10, 7-10)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #77
? Spartans won three of their last four games.
? Michigan State has #234 eFG% in country.
? Spartans are 6-1 last seven times they scored 66+ points.

? Spartans won 78-71 at Indiana February 20.
? Indiana is 4-3 in last seven series games.
? Hoosiers lost four of last five games in Breslin Center.

Memphis @ South Florida
Memphis (14-6, 10-3)
? ranked #47 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #322
? Continuity: #67
? Memphis won five in row, eight of last nine games.
? Tigers have #3 eFG% defense in country.
? Memphis is turning ball over 22.5% of time (#321).

South Florida (8-10, 4-8)
? ranked #149 by KenPom
? Tempo: #270
? Experience: #139
? Continuity: #76
? USF lost five of its last six games.
? Last four home games, Bulls scored only 54.4 ppg.
? USF has #321 eFG%, shooting 42.9% inside arc (#340)

? Bulls lost 58-57 at Memphis December 29.
? Teams split last six meetings.
? Tigers won three of last four visits to Tampa.

Wisconsin @ Purdue
Wisconsin (16-9, 10-8)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #13
? Wisconsin is 4-6 in its last ten games overall.
? Badgers have won four of last six road games.
? Badgers are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#292)

Purdue (16-8, 11-6)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #274
? Experience: #328
? Continuity: #113
? Purdue won its last three games, by 10-17-21 points.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? In their last three games, Boilers scored 74.3 ppg.
? Purdue is a top 40 rebounding team in country.

? Purdue won six of last eight series games.
? Badgers lost last four games in Mackey Arena, by 11-11-28-19 points.

Kentucky @ Ole Miss
Kentucky (8-14, 7-8)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #339
? Continuity: #342
? Kentucky won three of its last four games.
? Wildcats are grabbing 33.5% of their own missed shots (#31)
? Kentucky has #301 eFG% in country (45.5% inside arc, #311)

Ole Miss (13-10, 8-8)
? ranked #58 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #93
? Continuity: #213
? Rebels were on 5-1 roll before losing last game, at Vandy.
? Ole Miss is shooting 28.5% inside arc (#339)
? Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 24% of time (#7)

? Kentucky won last 11 series games.
? Wildcats won last four visits to Oxford, by 13-14-23-4 points.

Horizon tournament (@ campus sites)
Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State
Fort Wayne (8-14, 7-14)
? ranked #277 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #167
? Mastodons upset Green Bay in double OT Thursday.
? Fort Wayne lost nine of its last eleven games.
? Fort Wayne are turning ball over 24.2% of time (#342)
? Last four years, Mastodons went 2-4 in Summit tourney.

Cleveland State (16-7, 16-4)
? ranked #153 by KenPom
? Tempo: #286
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #121
? Cleveland State hasn?t played in ten days.
? Vikings won six of their last eight games.
? Cleveland State is #305 team on defensive boards.
? Last nine years, Vikings are 4-8 in Horizon tourney, 2-5 in first game.

? These teams split pair in Fort Wayne, February 19-20

Detroit @ Northern Kentucky
Detroit (12-9, 11-6)
? ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #206
? Detroit won 11 of its last 13 games.
? Titans are shooting 39% on the arc (#12).
? Detroit has #318 eFG% defense in country.
? Detroit is 3-7 in Horizon tourney, since they won it in 2012.

Northern Kentucky (13-10, 11-7)
? ranked #187 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #301
? Continuity: #171
? NKU won eight of its last ten games.
? Norse is 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
? Opponents are shooting 35% on arc (#244).
? NKU hasn?t played in ten days; they?ve won this tournament three of last four years.

? NKU is 8-1 vs Detroit in Horizon meetings.
? Titans are 0-4 at NKU, with all four losses by 14+ points.

Milwaukee @ Wright State
Milwaukee (9-11, 8-10)
? ranked #216 by KenPom
? Tempo: #106
? Experience: #179
? Continuity: #143
? Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
? Opponents are shooting 37.8% on the arc (#321).
? Panthers lost five of their last seven road games.

Wright State (18-5, 16-4)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #65
? Experience: #288
? Continuity: #94
? Raiders haven?t played in ten days.
? Wright State has #8 eFG% defense in country.
? Raiders won 10 of their last 11 games.
? Last five years, Wright State is 8-4 in this event, winning it in 2018.

? Wright St beat Milwaukee 92-81/92-82 in Dayton, February 12-13.
? Raiders won six of last seven series games.
? Panthers lost last four visits here, by 2-12-11-10 points.

Youngstown State @ Oakland
Youngstown State (15-11, 10-11)
? ranked #226 by KenPom
? Tempo: #207
? Experience: #198
? Continuity: #101
? Youngstown won six of its last seven D-I games.
? Penguins have #320 eFG% defense in country.
? YSU is grabbing 33.1% of its missed shots (#39)
? Youngstown is 4-7 in this event, winning twice in 2017.

Oakland (10-17, 10-10)
? ranked #207 by KenPom
? Tempo: #108
? Experience: #271
? Continuity: #271
? Oakland lost four of last six games; their last two losses were both in 2OT?s.
? Grizzlies have #338 eFG% defense in country.
? Oakland is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
? Oakland went W-L in this event the last three years.

? Penguins lost 82-65/81-74 at Oakland, on January 15-16.
? Oakland won four of last five series games.
? Youngstown lost last four visits here, by 4-8-17-7 points.


----------------------------------


601UTRGV -602 NEW MEXICO ST
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

603AKRON -604 BUFFALO
AKRON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

605TOLEDO -606 C MICHIGAN
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

607BAYLOR -608 W VIRGINIA
BAYLOR is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609WAKE FOREST -610 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

611ARKANSAS -612 S CAROLINA
S CAROLINA is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

613TEXAS -614 IOWA ST
TEXAS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

615TCU -616 TEXAS TECH
TCU is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

617XAVIER -618 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) since 1997.

619TULSA -620 UCF
UCF is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1997.

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

UTRGV at NMSU 01:00 PM
NMSU -9.5...........51 - 69......WINNER
U 135.5

AKR at BUFF 02:00 PM
BUFF -6.0..............78 - 80......LOSER
U 158.5

BAY at WVU 05:00 PM
WVU +4.5...........94 - 89......LOSER
O 148.5...............LOSER

TOL at CMU 05:00 PM
CMU +16.0...........79 - 81
O 159.0..................WINNER

OHIO at KENT 06:00 PM
KENT -2.0..............PPD
U 149.0

WAKE at PITT 06:00 PM
PITT -5.0
U 135.5

ARK at SCAR 06:30 PM
ARK -6.5...........101 -73....WINNER
U 157.0............LOSER

*************************

TCU at TTU 07:00 PM
TTU -13.0............49 - 69......WINNER
U 132.0

TEX at ISU 07:00 PM
ISU +11.5........81 - 67......LOSER
O 143.5...................WINNER

XAV at GTWN 07:00 PM
XAV -2.5
U 147.5

MW at WAG 07:00 PM
WAG -4.5
U 127.5

WMU at NIU 07:00 PM
NIU -2.0..........73 - 63
U 132.5.............LOSER

BALL at EMU 07:00 PM
BALL -7.5..........101 - 65.....WINNER
U 145.5

M-OH at BGSU 07:00 PM
BGSU -5.5.....84 - 79..........LOSER
U 148.0............LOSER

ILL at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -6.5............76 - 53....LOSER
U 145.0

AUB at ALA 07:00 PM
AUB +10.5.........58 - 70....LOSER
O 156.5........LOSER

MILW at WRST 07:00 PM
WRST -13.0.........94 - 92
U 152.0.............LOSER

PFW at CLEVST 07:00 PM
CLEVST -7.5........104 - 108 ..LOSER
U 140.0...........LOSER

DETU at NKU 07:00 PM
NKU +1.5..........69 - 70...WINNER
O 145.5

TLSA at UCF 07:00 PM
UCF -3.5.........69 - 73...WINNER
U 130.5...........LOSER

FRES at BSU 07:00 PM
BSU -13.5....67 - 64
U 136.0...........WINNER

YSU at OAK 07:30 PM
YSU +3.0....83 - 87.......WINNER
O 151.5........WINNER


-------------------------

IND at MSU 08:00 PM
MSU -2.5.......58 - 64....WINNER
U 135.0............WINNER

DUKE at GT 08:00 PM
GT -1.5
U 145.5

VAN at LSU 08:30 PM
VAN +12.5.........68 -83.........LOSER
O 156.5............LOSER

MARQ at DEP 09:00 PM
DEP +5.5
O 137.0

MEM at USF 09:00 PM
MEM -9.0........73 - 52........WINNER
U 135.5

WIS at PUR 09:00 PM
PUR -2.0.........69 - 73....WINNER
U 128.5..........LOSER

UK at MISS 09:00 PM
MISS -3.0.............62 - 70....WINNER
U 131.0............LOSER




MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS........................29 - 31.............48.33%............-25.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
81.5? Cleveland
80.5? Boston, Philadelphia
79.5? Cubs
75.5? San Francisco
74.5? Arizona
72.5? Kansas City, Seattle

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 515,640
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Baylor 94, West Virginia 89, OT? If any of the games in the NCAA Tournament are as good as this one was, it?ll be surprising. This was a tremendous game between two really good teams, as Baylor clinches the Big X regular season title, their first league title since 1950.

Baylor was 13-31 on the arc; they were outscored 28-9 on the foul line.

12) Georgia Tech 81, Duke 77, OT? Tech choked away a 64-56 lead with 3:23 left; seriously, been a while since I?ve seen a team that won an overtime game play worse than they did, but they did win, snapping an 0-14 skid against Duke.

Tech started three seniors, two juniors; Duke started three frosh, two sophs.

Duke is now 11-10; will they even be one of the first four teams outside the field of 68?

11) Underrated fact: since 1976, Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches. Two!!!

10) Football is a game, but it is also a business, and businesses can be cold:
? Washington is going to release QB Alex Smith, who made a great comeback this year.
? Dolphins cut LB Kyle Van Noy, who was a team captain, one of their defense?s leaders.
? Vikings cut TE Kyle Rudolph, after he played 10 years in Minnesota.

These are salary cap-related moves, for the most part. I?m very curious to see who the QB will be in Washington next fall. I?m told quarterback is an important position.

9) JJ Watt gets $23M guaranteed from the Arizona Cardinals, where he re-unites with former Houston teammate DeAndre Hopkins. NFC West just got a little more difficult.

8) AAA baseball is going to start a month later than expected; now it will start the first week in May, when all the other minor league teams start. Spring training is weird this year, with very few 9-inning games so far? the rosters are so much thinner, with no minor leaguers to plug holes in the lineup late in games.

7) NIT is going to be a 16-team tournament this year, held totally in Dallas/Fort Worth area. Guess their first big question is whether or not Duke will trek to Texas and play there, since they do not figure to make the NCAA?s.

6) Good news for major league hitters; in-game video will be allowed in dugouts again this season. They said last summer that some hitters suffered because they were so used to seeing their at-bats right after they happened, so they could make adjustments the next time up.

Once the videos were banned, there were guys who were lost without it, so seems like a good common sense move to reverse that decision.

5) My quick plan to improve the NBA All-Star Game this year:
They?re going to have the dunk contest at HALFTIME of the game, which should make halftime very, very long (90 minutes?) You think older players are going to want to sit out for 90 minutes, then gear up to play again? I think not.

Here is my plan: have four All-Star teams, 8 or 9 guys on a team. Play two shorter All-Star Games, one before the dunk contest, one after, then no one has to play after a 90-minute break.

4) Happy 90th birthday to Gavin MacLeod, who played Murray on The Mary Tyler Moore Show and was Captain Stubing on The Love Boat. He was also in Kelly?s Heroes, a 1970 war movie with Clint Eastwood, Donald Sutherland and many other stars.

3) It is March 3rd and there are already 14 head coaching jobs open in Division I

2) March is the month when we obsess over the NCAA Tournament, but on the other side of the street, the teams who don?t win a lot often change coaches- those coaches have friends, families- losing your job can be a traumatic thing. Sometimes we forget coaches are people too.

Was reminded of that when my alma mater, the Albany Great Danes, fired their coach this week, a guy who had been the Albany coach for 20 years.

Will Brown made the NCAA?s five times in his 20 seasons, not too shabby, especially since he inherited a dumpster fire 20 years ago, a program that had just joined Division I, a program that was going nowhere, and fast.

Last few years, Albany got caught up in the transfer epidemic; they were supposed to have two senior guards three years ago, but both of them bolted to big $$$ programs for their senior year, and Albany never recovered- they went 33-47 the last three years, 20-24 in America East.

The AD seems intent on pushing the ?mutual parting of ways? angle, but when the coach?s son is on the team, there is no freakin? way the coach wanted to leave. He is a good coach, a better person; he made me proud to be an Albany alum. Will Brown will be missed.

1) Also saw that Northern Illinois fired their coach; several years ago out in Las Vegas, I?m sitting outside a gym, waiting for the doors to open to an AAU tournament, and I talked to Mark Montgomery for maybe 15-20 minutes. I picked his brain and he couldn?t have been nicer; he is smart, had worked for Tom Izzo at Michigan State. Learned a lot in our conversation.

For him to be as nice as he was to a total stranger, some older guy just hanging out and watching games, it made me sad when I saw he got fired. Hopefully he?ll bounce back and get another chance. When one door closes, another one often opens.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 3

-------------------------


NCAAB

Wednesday, March 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 3

Clemson @ Syracuse
Clemson (15-5, 9-5)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #327
? Experience: #168
? Continuity: #97
? Clemson won its last five games, giving up 56 ppg.
? Tigers lost three of their last four road games.
? Clemson forces turnovers 22.1% of time (#40)

Syracuse (14-8, 8-7)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #119
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #71
? Syracuse won its last seven home games.
? In its last six losses, Orangemen allowed 78+ points.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Syracuse forces turnovers 21.3% of time (#56).

? Syracuse lost 78-61 at Clemson February 6.
? Clemson won last three series games, by 9-1-17 points.
? Tigers lost three of last four games in the Carrier Dome.

UConn @ Seton Hall
UConn (12-6, 9-6)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #310
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #162
? UConn won four of their last five games overall.
? Huskies are grabbing 36.6% of their missed shots (#8)
? UConn has #34 eFG% defense in country.

Seton Hall (13-10, 10-7)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #247
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #133
? Pirates lost last two games, to Georgetown/Butler.
? Seton Hall is 2-6 vs top 50 teams.
? Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#82).

? Pirates won 80-73 at UConn February 6.

Providence @ St John?s
Providence (12-11, 8-9)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #278
? Experience: #140
? Continuity: #222
? Providence won three of its last four games overall.
? Friars lost five of their last seven road games.
? This is Friars? first game in a week.

St John?s (14-10, 8-9)
? ranked #72 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #257
? Continuity: #157
? St John?s lost three of its last four games
? This is Red Storm?s first game in eight days.
? St John?s forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#32); if they don?t force a TO, they?re a bad defensive team (#299 eFG%)

? Red Storm won 92-81 at Providence February 6.
? Friars won nine of last 12 series games.
? Providence won three of last four road series games.

Wichita State @ Tulane
Wichita State (13-4, 9-2)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #135
? Continuity: #234
? Wichita won five in row, 10 of last 12 games.
? Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
? Wichita has #302 eFG% in country (#325 inside arc).

Tulane (9-11, 4-11)
? ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #224
? Experience: #327
? Continuity: #308
? Tulane lost last three games, giving up 78.7 ppg.
? Green Wave has #338 eFG% (43.3% inside arc, #334)
? Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#17)

? Green Wave lost 75-67 at Wichita February 5.
? Wichita won all five AAC meetings, three by 8 or fewer points.
? Shockers (-9.5) won 82-79 in their one AAC visit here.

Oregon State @ Utah
Oregon State (13-11, 9-9)
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Tempo: #312
? Experience: #78
? Continuity: #156
? Beavers won three of their last four games.
? In those four games, Oregon State allowed 58.7 ppg.
? Beavers are shooting only 45.5% inside arc (#310)

Utah (10-11, 7-10)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #285
? Continuity: #21
? Utah lost four of its last five games.
? In their last four losses, Utes averaged 61.8 ppg.
? Utah is a poor rebounding team (#256 on offensive boards, #258 defensive)

? Utes lost 74-56 in Corvallis on February 18
? Beavers won four of last five series games.
? OSU lost three of last four visits to Utah.

Creighton @ Villanova
Creighton (17-6, 13-5)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #145
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #19
? Bluejays split two games since an 11-day pause; they?re 7-2 in last nine games.
? Creighton is shooting 57.8% inside the arc (#7)
? Tumultuous couple days for Creighton off the court; the coach said something he shouldn?t have said, and apologized. How will the players react?

Villanova (15-4, 10-3)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #319
? Experience: #122
? Continuity: #6
? Villanova is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats are 7-0 SU at home in Big East (six wins by 8+ points)
? Villanova has #48 eFG% (53% inside arc, #57)

? Villanova got waxed 86-70 at Creighton February 13.
? Teams split last six meetings.
? Bluejays lost five of last visits to Philly.

UCLA @ Oregon
UCLA (17-6, 13-4)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #335
? Experience: #270
? Continuity: #22
? UCLA won four of its last five games.
? Bruins lost four of their last six road games.
? UCLA is shooting 37% on the arc (#43).

Oregon (17-5, 12-4)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #37
? Continuity: #273
? Oregon won three in row, eight of its last nine games.
? Ducks played four starters 31:00+ in Monday?s home win over Arizona.
? Oregon has #60 eFG%, shooting 36.4% on the arc (#59)

? UCLA won three of last four series games.
? Bruins lost five of last six games in Eugene.

San Diego State @ UNLV
San Diego State (19-4, 13-3)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #287
? Experience: #15
? Continuity: #146
? Aztecs won their last ten games overall.
? San Diego State forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)
? Aztecs are shooting 38% on the arc (#21)

UNLV (11-12, 8-8)
? ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #292
? UNLV is 1-10 vs top 100 teams this season.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Opponents are shooting 38.6% on arc (#331)
? Rebels are 6-2 in Mountain West home games.

? San Diego State won 16 of last 18 series games.
? Aztecs won last three visits here, by 1-8-4 points.

Stanford @ USC
Stanford (14-11, 10-9)
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #284
? Continuity: #71
? Stanford lost its last three games, by 9-3-11 points.
? Star big guy DeSilva missed last two games, which obviously hurts.
? Cardinal is shooting 32.6% on the arc (#232).

USC (19-6, 13-5)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #220
? Experience: #198
? Continuity: #320
? USC lost three of last four games, after an 18-3 start.
? Opponents are shooting 42.3% inside arc (#3)
? USC is grabbing 36.9% of its own missed shots (#6)

? USC won 72-66 at Maples Pavilion February 2.
? Trojans won four of last five series games.
? Cardinal lost last four games in Galen Center, by 16-5-11-4 points.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond)
St Joe?s vs LaSalle
St Joe?s (4-14, 3-9)
? ranked #277 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #167
? St Joe?s won last three games, scoring 88 ppg, with Daly back.
? Hawks are 1-3 in overtime games this season.
? St Joe?s has #294 eFG% defense in country.
? Last four years, Hawks went 2-4 in A-14 tourney.

LaSalle (9-15, 6-11)
? ranked #190 by KenPom
? Tempo: #149
? Experience: #291
? Continuity: #150
? LaSalle lost five of its last six games.
? Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#305)
? Explorers are turning ball over 20.8% of time (#261).
? Last four years, LaSalle is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 9-2-19 points.

? Crosstown rivals split pair of games this season.
? LaSalle won six of last nine series games.

Fordham vs George Washington
Fordham (2-11, 2-11)
? ranked #141 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #206
? Rams lost nine of their last ten games.
? Fordham already fired its coach; they last played February 13.
? Fordham has #347 eFG% in country (#344 on arc, #344 inside arc).
? Last five years, Fordham is 1-4 in A-14 tourney.

George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #178
? Experience: #296
? Continuity: #269
? Colonials lost four of their last five games.
? Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
? GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
? GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

? GW won 71-47 at Fordham on December 30, Rams? season opener.
? Rams won four of last five series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
SIU-Edwardsville vs Belmont
SIU-Edwardsville (9-11, 8-10)
? ranked #320 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #202
? Continuity: #283
? Cougars lost six of their last seven games.
? Last three games, SIU-E scored 48-66-63 points.
? Cougars are turning ball over 23% of time (#330)
? SIU-E is 0-4 in OVC tourney, losing by 4-9-12-7 points; they?ve been in D-I for 12 years and have never won a game in this event.

Belmont (24-3, 18-2)
? ranked #88 by KenPom
? Tempo: #63
? Experience: #282
? Continuity: #207
? Belmont lost twice last week, after a 21-game winning streak.
? Bruins are shooting 60.3% inside arc (#3)
? Five of their last six wins were by 15+ points.
? Last four years, Belmont is only 2-4 in this event, after going 58-10 in regular season

? Belmont pounded SIU-E twice this year, 114-62/94-62
? Belmont is 10-1 vs SIU-E, but did lose to them last year.

SE Missouri State vs Morehead State
SE Missouri State (11-15, 9-11)
? ranked #271 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #175
? Continuity: #291
? Redhawks won four of their last five games.
? SEMO is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#304)
? Redhawks are 1-10 vs teams in top 200.
? Last five years, SEMO is 1-2 in OVC tourney.

Morehead State (20-7, 17-3)
? ranked #136 by KenPom
? Tempo: #300
? Experience: #205
? Continuity: #265
? Morehead won four in row, 16 of last 17 games.
? Morehead has #46 eFG% defense in country.
? Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#332)
? Last four years, Morehead is 2-3 in OVC tourney.


? Morehead beat SEMO twice this year, 64-50/76-65
? Eagles won last four series games, by 4-16-14-11 points.


-----------------------------------


665CLEMSON -666 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

667WICHITA ST -668 TULANE
WICHITA ST is 74-36 ATS (34.4 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better since 1997.

669CONNECTICUT -670 SETON HALL
SETON HALL is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

671MISSOURI -672 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 208-167 ATS (24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots since 1997.

673MINNESOTA -674 PENN ST
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

675PROVIDENCE -676 ST JOHNS
PROVIDENCE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

677LOUISVILLE -678 VIRGINIA TECH
LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

679NC STATE -680 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

681OREGON ST -682 UTAH
OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

683NEW MEXICO -684 COLORADO ST
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STJOE at LAS 11:00 AM
STJOE -3.0..........72 - 66..........WINNER
U 152.0

FOR at GW 02:00 PM
GW -7.0
U 128.5

MW at WAG 04:00 PM
MW +4.5
O 129.5

CLEM at SYR 05:00 PM
CLEM +2.0.........54 - 64
O 135.5...................LOSER

SCST at NCAT 06:00 PM
SCST +12.5............PPD
O 144.5

WICH at TULN 06:00 PM
WICH -4.0..........78 - 70....WINNER
U 136.0.............LOSER

MIZZ at FLA 06:30 PM
MIZZ +4.0.............72 - 70.....WINNER
O 141.0................WINNER

CONN at HALL 06:30 PM
HALL +1.5
O 136.5

 

[Cnotes53]

EVENING SESSION BEST BETS:

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -4.0
U 127.5

LEH at BU 07:00 PM
LEH +7.0......58 - 69.....LOSER
O 143.0...........LOSER

PROV at SJU 07:00 PM
PROV +1.5..........67 - 81......LOSER
U 152.5

NCST at ND 07:00 PM
ND -2.0.......80 - 69.....LOSER
U 143.5

MINN at PSU 07:00 PM
PSU -4.5
U 148.0

ORST at UTAH 07:00 PM
ORST +4.0..........75 - 70....WINNER
O 134.5..............WINNER

AMCC at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -15.0
U 143.5

---------------------------------

NWST at UNO 08:00 PM
UNO -5.5.......83 - 92.....WINNER
O 154.0.............WINNER

SIUE at BEL 08:00 PM
BEL -20.0......71 - 87....LOSER
O 147.0..................WINNER

UNM at CSU 08:00 PM
CSU -17.5............73 - 87......LOSER
U 135.5

SELA at CARK 08:00 PM
CARK -1.5
U 149.5

IW at HBU 08:00 PM
IW +3.5.........67 - 72
O 142.0...........LOSER

MSST at TAM 08:30 PM
MSST -6.0.........63 - 57.....PUSH
O 124.0

CREI at VILL 08:30 PM
VILL -5.0.........60 - 72....WINNER
U 146.0...............WINNER

-------------------------------

MD at NW 09:00 PM
MD -4.0
U 131.5

UCLA at ORE 09:00 PM
ORE -4.0.........74 - 82....WINNER
U 133.0

BC at FSU 09:00 PM
BC +18.5............64 - 93.....LOSER
O 152.0...........WINNER

SDSU at UNLV 09:00 PM
SDSU -9.5
U 132.5

ACU at SFA 09:00 PM
SFA -1.0...........63 - 61......LOSER
U 146.5

IDST at EWU 09:05 PM
EWU -13.0..........68 - 63.....LOSER
O 145.0...............LOSER

SEMO at MORE 10:30 PM
MORE -7.5........54 - 61.....LOSER
U 131.0...........WINNER

STAN at USC 10:30 PM
USC -7.5............42 - 79....WINNER
O 137.0.............LOSER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................44 - 47............48.35%............-38.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week?s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2? Rory McIlroy
12-1? Viktor Hovland
13-1? Bryson DeChambeau
17-1? Tyrrell Hatton
21-1? Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1? Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here?s a summation of Tuesday?s quarterfinals:

? Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT? #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
? Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT? Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
? Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69? Norse scored last six points of the game.
? Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT? Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60? Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered ?a serious knee injury? and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to ?stay on the plantation? in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word ?plantation?

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70? For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74? Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
? The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
? Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
? His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John?s 81, Providence 67:
? Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
? St John?s hasn?t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they?ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won?t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55? This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They?re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57? Aggies didn?t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team?s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros? starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

?Now, I?m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official ? I can say I could have done more ? but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we?ve won; there have been games like this that we?ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. ? We?re nice, we don?t complain, like, we don?t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get ? screwed, in a way, by this. You know??

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn?t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4

-------------------------


NCAAB

Thursday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 4

Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State (17-6, 10-6)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #43
? Experience: #324
? Continuity: #287
? Oklahoma State won its last five games, two of them in OT.
? Cowboys have #35 eFG% defense in country.
? OSU turns ball over 21.1% of time (#278)

Baylor (19-1, 11-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #182
? Experience: #95
? Continuity: #34
? Baylor is 2-1 since its three-week COVID pause.
? Bears won tough OT game in West Virginia Tuesday, playing four guys 33:00+.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Baylor forces turnovers 25.5% of time (#3).

? Baylor won 81-66 in Stillwater January 23.
? Baylor won 10 of last 11 series games.
? Cowboys lost four of last five visits to Waco.

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State (14-10, 8-10)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #165
? Experience: #195
? Continuity: #76
? Spartans won four of their last five games overall.
? Michigan State lost five of last six road games.
? Spartans have #247 eFG% in country.

Michigan (18-2, 13-2)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #232
? Experience: #257
? Continuity: #151
? Michigan had 7-game win streak snapped by Illinois Tuesday.
? Wolverines have #4 eFG% defense in country.
? Michigan is shooting 38.8% on the arc (#13).

? State won four of last five series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.

Arizona State @ Colorado
Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
? ranked #98 by KenPom
? Tempo: #24
? Experience: #93
? Continuity: #137
? ASU lost last four road games; their last road win was December 13 at Grand Canyon, which is in Phoenix.
? Sun Devils are 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? ASU did win last three games overall, against the two Washington teams.

Colorado (19-7, 13-6)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #87
? Colorado won three in row, six of last eight games
? Buffaloes won 10 of their 11 home games, losing by 3 to Utah.
? Last three games, Colorado allowed only 60 ppg.

? Colorado won six of last nine series games.
? Sun Devils lost their last five visits to Boulder.

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas (15-7, 9-6)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #135
? Experience: #119
? Continuity: #4
? Texas is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 10-1 start.
? Longhorns have #25 eFG% defense in country.
? Texas won four of six Big X road games.

Oklahoma (14-8, 9-7)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #203
? Experience: #65
? Continuity: #54
? Oklahoma lost its last three games, by 5-4-4 points.
? Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#33)
? Seven of their last eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.

? Sooners won 80-79 in Austin January 26.
? Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played in Norman.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ VCU, Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs Richmond
Duquesne (8-8, 7-7)
? ranked #122 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #209
? Continuity: #114
? Duquesne won four of its last six games.
? Dukes are shooting only 30% on arc (#311), 65.5% on line (#316)
? Last three games, Duquesne allowed 79.7 ppg.
? Last 11 years, Duquesne is 1-10 in this event, 0-4 last five years.

Richmond (13-7, 6-5)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #13
? Continuity: #10
? Spiders are 3-4 in their last seven D-I games, after a 9-3 start.
? Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#321)
? Richmond has #45 eFG% (54.6% inside arc, #30)
? Last four years, Richmond went W-L in A-14 tourney.

? Duquesne lost 79-72 at Richmond February 20.
? Spiders won 10 of last 11 series games.

St Joe?s vs UMass
St Joe?s (5-14, 4-9)
? ranked #277 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #72
? Continuity: #167
? St Joe?s won last four games, scoring 84 ppg, with Daly back.
? Hawks played four starters 33:00+ in yesterday?s win over LaSalle.
? St Joe?s has #287 eFG% defense in country.
? Last 4+ years, Hawks are 3-4 in A-14 tourney.

UMass (7-6, 6-4)
? ranked #123 by KenPom
? Tempo: #35
? Experience: #330
? Continuity: #223
? UMass lost last two games, giving up 79-78 points, since a 17-day pause.
? Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#238)
? Minutemen are shooting 32.1% on arc (#254)- they take lot of 3?s.
? Last six years, UMass is 3-6 in A-14 tourney.

? UMass won six of last eight series games.

George Washington vs George Mason
George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #178
? Experience: #296
? Continuity: #269
? Colonials lost four of their last five games.
? Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
? GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
? GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

George Mason (12-8, 8-6)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #23
? Patriots won their last four games, including a win here over VCU.
? Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
? Patriots won four of five games vs teams outside top 200.
? Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

? George Washington won 11 of last 15 series games.

Rhode Island @ Dayton
Rhode Island (10-14, 7-10)
? ranked #93 by KenPom
? Tempo: #128
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #306
? Rams lost six of their last seven games.
? Rhode Island is 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
? Rams have #230 eFG% in country (30.9% on arc, #290)
? Last four years, URI is 7-2 in this event (DNP LY)

Dayton (13-8, 9-7)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #115
? Continuity: #225
? Dayton lost four of its last seven games.
? Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#288)
? Dayton has #22 eFG% in country (55.8% inside arc, #18)
? Last four years, Dayton is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

? These teams split couple games TY; URI?s win was in double OT.
? Dayton won four of last six series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Bradley
Southern Illinois (11-13, 5-13)
? ranked #198 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #286
? Salukis lost six of their last eight games.
? Last six games, SIU scored only 59 ppg.
? Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#309).
? Last eight years, Salukis are 4-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Bradley (12-15, 6-12)
? ranked #135 by KenPom
? Tempo: #290
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #216
? Bradley lost four of its last five games overall.
? Braves lost six of last seven games away from home.
? Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#41)
? Bradley won Arch Madness the last two years.

? Teams split pair of games in Peoria, February 6-7.
? Bradley won four of last five series games.
? Braves beat SIU 64-59 in Arch Madness last year.

Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State (7-17, 4-14)
? ranked #195 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #331
? Continuity: #262
? Redbirds lost nine of last 11 games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#313)
? ISU is shooting 65.3% on the foul line (#322)
? Last five years, Redbirds are 7-5 in Arch Madness.

Northern Iowa (9-15, 7-11)
? ranked #159 by KenPom
? Tempo: #149
? Experience: #286
? Continuity: #192
? Panthers won three of their last four games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#303)
? UNI is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
? Last five years, Panthers are 9-3 in Arch Madness.

? UNI swept Illinois State last weekend, 70-56/94-87 2OT
? Panthers won four of last five series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Murray State (13-12, 10-10)
? ranked #157 by KenPom
? Tempo: #272
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #83
? Racers lost three of their last four games.
? Murray is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#286).
? Racers are 2-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
? Last 11 years, Racers are 15-7 in OVC tourney, winning it 4 times.

Jacksonville State (17-8, 13-6)
? ranked #158 by KenPom
? Tempo: #293
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #326
? Jax State won three in row, seven of last eight games.
? Last three games, Gamecocks scored 79.7 ppg.
? Jax State is grabbing 32.4% of its missed shots (#49)
? Last four years, Gamecocks are 5-3 in this event.

? Jax State swept Murray this year, 85-82/87-84
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Murray beat Jax State is two of last three OVC tourneys.

Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay (14-12, 10-10)
? ranked #211 by KenPom
? Tempo: #240
? Experience: #241
? Continuity: #136
? Governors lost last three games, by 7-5-8 points.
? Austin Peay has #330 eFG% defense in country.
? Governors are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
? Last three years, Austin Peay went W-L in OVC tourney.

Eastern Kentucky (21-6, 15-5)
? ranked #172 by KenPom
? Tempo: #3
? Experience: #301
? Continuity: #208
? EKU won three in row, six of last seven games.
? In their last six wins, Eastern Kentucky scored 81+ points.
? Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
? Last six years, EKU is 1-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
? These teams split couple games this year; road team won both.
? Austin Peay won five of last seven series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego (3-10, 2-7)
? ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #63
? Continuity: #184
? Toreros lost their last three games, giving up 91 ppg.
? San Diego is 1-10 vs teams ranked in top 300 (beat Santa Clara)
? Opponents are shooting 39.0% on the arc (#337).
? Last seven years, San Diego is 2-7 in WCC tourney.

San Francisco (10-13, 4-9)
? ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #180
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #163
? USF lost its last six games, scoring 66.2 ppg.
? Over half their shots (50.2%) come from behind the arc.
? Dons are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
? Last seven years, Dons are 5-7 in WCC tourney.

? Toreros lost 70-62 in San Francisco New Year?s Eve.
? Teams split last 12 series games.


-----------------------------


717MONMOUTH -718 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

719ST PETERS -720 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

721ST PETERS -722 IONA
IONA is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots since 1997.

723FAIRFIELD -724 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

725MIDDLE TENN ST -726 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

727OKLAHOMA ST -728 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.

729MICHIGAN ST -730 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

731TCU -732 W VIRGINIA
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

733CANISIUS -734 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

735VANDERBILT -736 CINCINNATI
VANDERBILT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


----------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENN at LIB 02:00 PM
KENN +17.0............59 - 69
O 127.5....................WINNER

NORAL at UNF 02:00 PM
UNF -3.0
U 146.0

MORG at DSU 03:00 PM
DSU +12.0
O 156.5

URI at DAY 03:30 PM
URI +3.0........72 - 84
O 138.0................WINNER

SPC at QUIN 04:00 PM
QUIN +4.0..........60 - 65......WINNER
O 132.0

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -5.0 77 - 74......LOSER
U 157.5.............WINNER

GW at GMU 05:30 PM
GW +7.5..............59 - 73
O 135.5............LOSER

FAIR at MAN 06:00 PM
MAN -4.5...........59 - 69....WINNER
U 124.0...........LOSER

CAMP at RAD 06:00 PM
CAMP +2.5............78 - 60........WINNER
U 124.0............LOSER

MTU at FAU 06:00 PM
MTU +9.0...........50 - 80
O 139.5.............LOSER

SIU at BRAD 06:00 PM
BRAD +3.0............73 - 63
U 127.0..................LOSER


*********************


CAN at SIE 07:00 PM
CAN +6.0.........66 - 73
O 139.5.............WINNER

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -3.5
U 131.0

OKST at BAY 07:00 PM
OKST +12.0.........70 - 81.......WINNER
O 147.0.................WINNER

ISU at TTU 07:00 PM
ISU +17.0 54 - 81
O 138.0..............LOSER

TCU at WVU 07:00 PM
WVU -13.0........67 - 76.....LOSER
U 141.5............LOSER

VAN at CIN 07:00 PM
VAN +7.5............78 - 64....WINNER
O 145.5

FGCU at LIP 07:00 PM
FGCU +5.0
O 140.5

STET at BELL 07:00 PM
STET +6.0..........73 - 70
O 141.0..............WINNER

MSU at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -12.0............50 - 69....WINNER
O 139.5............LOSER

LONG at WIN 07:30 PM
WIN -13.0............61 - 80........WINNER
U 141.5

NICH at MCNS 07:30 PM
NICH -5.5...........80 - 67.........WINNER
U 152.5


*************************

UTEP at KU 08:00 PM
KU -17.0...........62 - 67.....LOSER
U 136.0

MURR at JVST 08:00 PM
JVST +3.0..........65 - 68.....WINNER
O 139.5.................LOSER

ALCN at TXSO 08:30 PM
TXSO -12.0
U 146.0

AAMU at JKST 08:30 PM
JKST -8.0...........35 - 50....WINNER
U 126.0

ALST at GRAM 08:30 PM
GRAM -7.0
U 136.5

SOU at PV 08:30 PM
SOU +6.5
O 139.0

*****************

USD at SF 09:00 PM
SF -7.0.........51 - 67....WINNER
U 142.5

ASU at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -10.0..........61 - 75......WINNER
U 147.0

NEB at IOWA 09:00 PM
NEB +17.0..........64 - 102.....LOSER
O 154.0....................WINNER

TEX at OKLA 09:00 PM
OKLA -1.5..........69 - 65....LOSER
O 143.5............LOSER

UCF at ECU 09:00 PM
UCF -2.5...........64 - 60...WINNER
U 134.0

UNCO at WEB 09:00 PM
WEB -10.0...........59 - 60
U 146.5.....................WINNER

ILST at UNI 09:00 PM
ILST +6.0........60 - 65........WINNER
O 139.5..............LOSER

WYO at USU 09:30 PM
WYO +16.5...........59 - 72
O 146.0...........LOSER


*********************

SUU at PRST 10:05 PM
PRST +2.0..........68 - 58....LOSER
O 147.5................LOSER


PEAY at EKY 10:30 PM
EKY -2.0
U 157.0

PORT at SCU 11:59 PM
SCU -13.5
U 143.5


MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................66 - 64............50.76%............- 22.00


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
6) UMBC (14-5)
5) Texas Southern (12-8)
4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
2) Nicholls State (17-6)
1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?He?s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He?s a point guard.?
Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

Wednesday?s quiz
Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson?s rookie year.

************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here??.

13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday?s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ?Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can?t have anybody leave the plantation.? Ummmm??not an outstanding choice of words.

When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won?t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation?s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that?s assuming they graduated high school.

Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite?s board of directors.

11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers? QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team? it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70? Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham?s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
? This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
? UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they?re ranked #135.

8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65? Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64? This score doesn?t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70? Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

2) Since 2015, Astros? C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117? Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They?re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 5

--------------------------------


NCAAB

Friday, March 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

---------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 5

Hawai?i @ Cal-Davis
Hawai?i (10-8, 8-8)
? ranked #201 by KenPom
? Tempo: #228
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #319
? Rainbows won three of their last four games.
? Hawai?i split its six games on the mainland.
? Rainbows are shooting 36.0% on the arc (#73)

Cal-Davis (8-6, 5-3)
? ranked #221 by KenPom
? Tempo: #97
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #71
? Aggies won last five games, two of them in OT.
? Davis split its four D-I home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Davis forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#10).

? Hawai?i won last four series games.
? Teams split last eight meetings played here.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs St Bonaventure
Duquesne (9-8, 8-7)
? ranked #117 by KenPom
? Tempo: #142
? Experience: #209
? Continuity: #119
? Duquesne won five of its last seven games.
? Dukes are shooting only 30.1% on arc (#310), 64.5% on line (#327)
? Duquesne trailed 52-44 with 7:14 left in yesterday?s upset of Richmond.
? Dukes? three seniors all played 33:00+ yesterday.
? Last 11 years, Duquesne is 2-10 in this event, 1-4 last 5+ years.

St Bonaventure (13-4, 11-4)
? ranked #34 by KenPom
? Tempo: #322
? Experience: #113
? Continuity: #29
? Bonnies won three of their last four games.
? St Bonaventure has #25 eFG% defense in country.
? Bonnies are grabbing 33.0% of their missed shots (#38).
? Last nine years, Bonnies are 10-6 in A-14 tourney, 6-1 in their first game.

? Bonnies beat Duquesne twice this year, 62-48/65-61.
? Bonnies won 10 of last 11 series games.

UMass vs Saint Louis
UMass (8-6, 7-4)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #39
? Experience: #332
? Continuity: #225
? UMass split its last six games overall.
? Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#219)
? Minutemen are shooting 32.8% on arc (#218)- they take lot of 3?s.
? UMass had a stress-free win yesterday; no one played 30:00.
? Last 6+ years, UMass is 4-6 in A-14 tourney.

Saint Louis (13-5, 6-4)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #200
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #17
? Billikens won six of their last eight games.
? Saint Louis is grabbing 36.5% of their missed shots (#9)
? Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#32)
? Last eight years, Billikens are 10-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.

? UMass lost 78-57 in Saint Louis, four nights ago.
? Saint Louis won six of last seven series games.

George Mason vs Davidson
George Mason (13-8, 9-6)
? ranked #124 by KenPom
? Tempo: #192
? Experience: #233
? Continuity: #24
? Patriots won their last five games overall.
? Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
? Patriots were down 8 with 17:11 left yesterday; three guys played 32:00+.
? Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

Davidson (12-7, 7-4)
? ranked #70 by KenPom
? Tempo: #351
? Experience: #184
? Continuity: #38
? Davidson is 5-2 in last seven D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
? Wildcats are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#5).
? Davidson is 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
? Davidson is 9-4 in five A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.

? Davidson won last three series games, by 22-5-15 points.

Dayton vs VCU
Dayton (14-8, 10-7)
? ranked #80 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #119
? Continuity: #220
? Dayton split its last eight games overall.
? Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#274)
? Dayton has #19 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #20)
? Last 4+ years, Dayton is 1-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

VCU (17-6, 10-4)
? ranked #50 by KenPom
? Tempo: #117
? Experience: #304
? Continuity: #282
? Rams lost two of last three games, after a 14-2 run.
? VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
? Rams are 8-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
? VCU went 1-2 in last three A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

? Rams swept Dayton this year, 66-43/76-67
? VCU won six of last eight series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Loyola
Southern Illinois (12-13, 6-13)
? ranked #191 by KenPom
? Tempo: #286
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #286
? Salukis lost six of their last nine games.
? Southern Illinois played three guys 34:00+ yesterday.
? Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#310).
? Last 8+ years, Salukis are 5-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Loyola (21-4, 16-2)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #38
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won 14 of its last 15 games overall.
? Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#36)
? Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#37)
? Last six years, Loyola is 7-5 in Arch Madness.

? SIU got swept at Loyola last weekend, 60-52/65-58OT.
? Ramblers won six of last eight series games.

Evansville vs Indiana State
Evansville (9-15, 7-11)
? ranked #198 by KenPom
? Tempo: #355
? Experience: #39
? Continuity: #233
? Evansville lost seven of their last eight games.
? Purple Aces have #343 eFG% defense (bottom 15 in country)
? Evansville gets 44.9% of its points on arc (#4).
? Last 13 years, Evansville is 5-13 in Arch Madness, losing by 5-10 points last two years.

Indiana State (14-9, 11-7)
? ranked #120 by KenPom
? Tempo: #216
? Experience: #179
? Continuity: #65
? Indiana State won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
? Sycamores for turnovers 21.9% of time (#40).
? ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
? Sycamores lost in first round of this event last three years, by 11-7-22 points.

? Indiana State swept Evansville this year, 76-70/87-73.
? Sycamores won last eight series games.

Northern Iowa vs Drake
Northern Iowa (10-15, 8-11)
? ranked #158 by KenPom
? Tempo: #148
? Experience: #284
? Continuity: #193
? Panthers won four of their last five games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#304)
? UNI played six guys 29:00 yesterday vs Illinois State.
? Last 5+ years, Panthers are 10-3 in Arch Madness.

Drake (24-3, 15-3)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #257
? Experience: #83
? Continuity: #170
? Drake is down two starters to injury.
? Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
? Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
? Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.

? Drake swept UNI this season, 80-59/77-69
? Teams split last ten series games, including pair of games in last two MVC tourneys.

Valparaiso vs Missouri State
Valparaiso (10-17, 7-11)
? ranked #190 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #266
? Continuity: #110
? Valpo lost eight of their last 12 games.
? Valpo is 1-8 vs top 100 teams this season (split with Drake)
? Crusaders are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#310).
? Valpo went 3-1 in Arch Madness LY, losing final to Bradley.

Missouri State (16-6, 12-6)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #123
? Experience: #212
? Continuity: #288
? Bears won seven of their last eight games overall.
? Bears are #10 team in country on defensive boards.
? Missouri State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
? Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years, lost in first round other 2 years.

? Missouri State won twice at Valpo in early January, 81-68/78-68
? Bears are 7-3 vs Valpo in MVC meetings.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Jacksonville State vs Belmont
Jacksonville State (18-8, 14-6)
? ranked #155 by KenPom
? Tempo: #300
? Experience: #51
? Continuity: #326
? Jax State won four in row, eight of last nine games.
? Gamecocks played three guys 36:00+ in last night?s OT win.
? Jax State is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#58)
? Last 4+ years, Gamecocks are 6-3 in this event.

Belmont (25-3, 19-2)
? ranked #86 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #281
? Continuity: #207
? Belmont lost two of three games, after a 21-game winning streak.
? Bruins are shooting 60.0% inside arc (#3)
? Six of their last seven wins were by 15+ points.
? Last 4+ years, Belmont is 3-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season

? Belmont beat Gamecocks twice this year, 98-91/63-59
? Bruins won last four series games, after losing five in row before that.

Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky (22-6, 16-5)
? ranked #172 by KenPom
? Tempo: #2
? Experience: #300
? Continuity: #211
? EKU won four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Eastern Kentucky blew an 11-point lead, held off Austin Peay 70-67 last nite.
? Three of their starters played 32:00+ vs Austin Peay.
? Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
? Last 6+ years, EKU is 2-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.

Morehead State (21-7, 18-3)
? ranked #136 by KenPom
? Tempo: #302
? Experience: #203
? Continuity: #265
? Morehead won five in row, 17 of last 18 games.
? Morehead has #43 eFG% defense in country.
? Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#333)
? Last 4+ years, Morehead is 3-3 in OVC tourney.

? Morehead split pair of games with EKU back in December.
? Teams split last eight series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Francisco vs LMU
San Francisco (11-13, 5-9)
? ranked #101 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #163
? USF lost six of its last seven games.
? 49.9% of their shots, 42.9% of their points come from behind the arc.
? Dons are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
? Last 7+ years, Dons are 6-7 in WCC tourney.

LMU (12-8, 7-5)
? ranked #106 by KenPom
? Tempo: #254
? Experience: #145
? Continuity: #203
? LMU won five of its last seven games.
? Lions are turning ball over 23.0% of time (#334)
? LMU is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
? Last six years, Lions are 3-6 in WCC tourney.

? LMU swept San Francisco this year, 68-60/68-63
? Teams split last 16 series games; USF beat the Lions 82-53 in LY?s WCC tourney.

Santa Clara vs Pacific
Santa Clara (11-7, 5-5)
? ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #85
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #51
? Broncos are 5-7 in last 12 games, after a 6-0 start.
? Santa Clara has #19 eFG% defense in country.
? Santa Clara is shooting 28.9% on the arc (#333); they?ve got #312 eFG%.
? Since 2005, Broncos are 0-9 in their second WCC tourney game, with five losses by 5 or fewer points.

Pacific (9-8, 6-7)
? ranked #122 by KenPom
? Tempo: #255
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #152
? Pacific won three of its last four games.
? Tigers don?t shoot ball well (#283 eFG%)
? Pacific gets 61.6% of its points inside arc (#2)
? Last six years, Pacific is 1-5 in WCC tourney.

? Santa Clara lost 79-58 at Pacific January 14.
? Broncos won seven of last ten series games.


------------------------------------

805IDAHO ST -806 E WASHINGTON
IDAHO ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

807ST PETERS -808 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

809MONMOUTH -810 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

811N ILLINOIS -812 C MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

815FAIRFIELD -816 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

817BOSTON COLLEGE -818 MIAMI
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

819MIDDLE TENN ST -820 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

823HAWAII -824 CAL DAVIS
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

825CANISIUS -826 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

827BALL ST -828 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.


------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 5

 

[Cnotes53]

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAMES:

FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DUQ at SBON 11:00 AM
SBON -7.5........59 - 75......WINNER
U 131.0.......................LOSER

SIU at L-IL 12:00 PM
SIU +15.5............49 - 73.......LOSER
U 121.5..........................LOSER

MASS at SLU 01:00 PM
MASS +8.0..............72 - 86....LOSER
O 144.5

***************************

EVAN at INST 03:00 PM
INST -5.0.........29 - 31
O 131.5..............LOSER

DAY at VCU 03:30 PM
VCU -3.5...........68 - 73....WINNER
U 133.5...................LOSER

GMU at DAV 05:30 PM
DAV -5.5...............67 - 99.....LOSER
U 131.0

UNI at DRKE 06:00 PM
UNI +6.5.............PPD
O 141.0

******************************

JVST at BEL 08:00 PM
JVST +7.5........69 - 72....
O 147.0................LOSER

SF at LMU 09:00 PM
LMU +1.0...........66 - 70
O 139.0..............LOSER

VALP at MOSU 09:00 PM
MOSU -7.5
O 133.0

************************

EKY at MORE 10:30 PM
MORE -2.0...........64 - 67.....WINNER
O 141.0.............LOSER

SCU at PAC 11:59 PM
PAC -3.0
U 135.0


********************************


FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MORG at DSU 01:00 PM
MORG -11.5
O 157.0

STET at LIB 02:00 PM
LIB -10.0.......64 - 77......WINNER
O 135.0.................WINNER

CSUS at MTST 02:00 PM
O 136.5

IDST at EWU 03:05 PM
IDST +12.0.........62 - 75......LOSER
U 143.0

******************************

SPC at QUIN 04:00 PM
QUIN +3.0........66 - 64....WINNER
O 129.5

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -5.0.........65 - 62.....LOSER
U 152.5

NIU at CMU 05:00 PM
CMU -5.5
O 147.5

WCU at CIT 05:30 PM
WCU -3.0.............86 - 100....LOSER
U 156.5............LOSER

FAIR at MAN 06:00 PM
MAN -5.0
U 124.0

KENT at BUFF 06:00 PM
BUFF -6.0.........67 - 81....WINNER
O 155.0...............LOSER

MTU at FAU 06:00 PM
FAU -10.0
U 138.0

GASO at ARST 06:00 PM
GASO +1.5.........58 - 62
O 135.5...........LOSER

BC at MIA 06:00 PM
BC +3.5
O 143.0

ULM at USA 06:30 PM
ULM +5.0.........72 - 80....LOSER
O 134.0............WINNER

*****************************

CAN at SIE 07:00 PM
SIE -6.0........76 - 75....LOSER
U 139.5

CHAR at MRSH 07:00 PM
CHAR +13.0...........67 - 75
O 140.0...............WINNER

EMU at WMU 07:00 PM
EMU +2.0
O 135.0

BALL at TOL 07:00 PM
BALL +9.5..........70 - 89....LOSER
O 156.5...........WINNER

UCRV at CSN 07:00 PM
CSN +10.5.......72 - 68
O 146.0..................WINNER

UCI at LBSU 07:00 PM
UCI -8.5...........71 - 68....LOSER
U 142.0...............WINNER

FGCU at NORAL 07:00 PM
FGCU -2.5
U 134.5

***********************

ODU at WKU 08:00 PM
ODU +7.5............71 - 69
O 137.5.................WINNER

SAM at MER 08:00 PM
MER -7.5..........59 - 87....WINNER
O 148.0..................WINNER

CSF at UCSD 08:00 PM
UCSD -3.0............85 - 89
U 151.5............LOSER

CP at UCSB 08:00 PM
CP +19.5............57 - 71.........WINNER
O 129.0..................LOSER

UAB at UNT 08:00 PM
UNT -5.5 65 - 51
O 127.0..............LOSER

GT at WAKE 08:00 PM
GT -9.0
U 135.5

ARPB at MVSU 08:00 PM
ARPB -10.0............82 - 59.....WINNER
O 139.5........................WINNER

TST at UTRGV 08:00 PM
UTRGV -4.5.............65 - 47.....LOSER
U 132.0

UALR at APP 08:30 PM
UALR +2.0
U 133.5

***********************

TROY at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -6.5.........91 - 87.......LOSER
U 132.5............LOSER

CSU at NEV 09:00 PM
NEV +1.5...........82 - 85
O 144.5..............WINNER

NMSU at DSTATE 09:00 PM
DSTATE +12.0............76 - 66....WINNER
O 140.0...................WINNER

UVU at GRC 09:00 PM
UVU +9.0
O 138.0

SEA at CALBA 09:00 PM
CALBA -3.0............80 - 79.....LOSER
U 149.0.............LOSER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 05, 2021...........21 - 25............45.65%...........- 32.50
Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................87 - 89............49.43%............- 54.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
343) Presbyterian (7-15)
344) Duke (11-10)
345) Stetson (11-14)
346) Auburn (12-14)
347) Alabama A&M (6-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s about the money. And when they say it?s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.?
Former Giants? GM George Young

Saturday?s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins? season?

Friday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

Thursday?s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A?s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

*********************

Saturday?s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point??.

Atlanta:
? Won both their games since changing coaches.
? 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
? 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
? Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Boston:
? Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
? 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
? 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Five of last six home games went over.

Brooklyn:
? Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
? Won/covered last seven home games.
? 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.

Charlotte:
? 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
? 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
? 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.

Chicago:
? Won six of their last nine games.
? 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.

Cleveland:
? Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
? 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
? 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
? Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Dallas:
? Won nine of their last 11 games.
? 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
? 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Denver:
? Won/covered their last four games.
? 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
? 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
? Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Detroit:
? Lost seven of their last nine games.
? 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
? 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
? Last three road games went over the total.

Golden State:
? Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
? 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
? 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last six road games stayed under the total.

Houston:
? Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
? 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
? 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
? Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.

Indiana:
? Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
? 6-12 ATS at home.
? 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
? Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

LA Clippers:
? Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
? 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
? 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

LA Lakers:
? Lost six of their last eight games.
? 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
? 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
? Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Memphis:
? 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
? 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
? 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
? Last eight games stayed under the total.