CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NIU at AKR 02:00 PM
AKR -16.0
U 135.5........76 - 81.........LOSER

ISU at OKST 04:00 PM
OKST -11.0........58 - 74........WINNER
U 148.0...........WINNER

PROV at CONN 06:30 PM
CONN -6.5.............61 - 73.......WINNER

********************

BGSU at BALL 07:00 PM
BGSU -2.0......75 - 62
O 150.0...........LOSER

DAY at URI 07:00 PM
DAY +3.0 ....89 - 91......WINNER
U 134.5......LOSER

M-OH at TOL 07:00 PM
TOL -11.0.....75 - 87....WINNER
U 150.0

NEB at MD 07:00 PM
MD -10.0

MIZZ at UGA 07:00 PM
MIZZ -3.5.........70 - 80....LOSER
O 152.0........LOSER

KENT at WMU 07:00 PM
KENT -9.5...76 - 69......LOSER
U 139.5

PEAY at SEMO 07:00 PM
PEAY -6.0....81 - 84.......LOSER
O 137.5...........WINNER

MSU at PUR 07:00 PM
PUR -5.5......65 - 75.........WINNER
U 136.5.........LOSER

TEM at TLSA 07:00 PM
TLSA -4.0
U 129.0

FLA at ARK 07:00 PM
ARK -4.5......64 - 75........WINNER
U 151.5.........WINNER

*******************

XAV at SJU 08:30 PM
XAV +1.5........ 84 - 93
O 155.0.............WINNER

LAS at SLU 09:00 PM
SLU -16.0.......57 - 78..........WINNER
O 140.5......LOSER

LMU at SCU 09:00 PM
LMU -3.0.........76 - 72....PUSH
O 132.5...........WINNER

NW at ILL 09:00 PM
ILL -13.0......66 - 73........LOSER
O 144.0.......LOSER



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........-0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............171 - 151........-+29.50


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NBA players who play the most minutes/game:
37.7? James Harden, Bkn
36.7? Julius Randle, NY
36.3? Fred Van Vleet, Tor
36.3? Jerami Grant, Det
36.1? Domantas Sabonis, Ind
35.9? Malcolm Brogdon, Ind

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 487,495
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) Nets 128, Suns 124:
? Brooklyn was down 24 at one point, trailed 75-54 at the half.
? Durant, Irving didn?t play; Harden scored 38 points.
? Loss snaps the Suns? 6-game winning streak.

12) There has been lot of debate on social media about ballplayers quitting on their college teams, to get ready for the NBA Draft. Here is a quick summation of my thoughts on this:

? I firmly believe kids should be able to go straight to the NBA, from high school.
? The rule is the NBA?s, has little to do with the NCAA.
? Once you start a season with a team, you should finish the season with that team.

? The transfer epidemic is damaging college basketball; loyalty is obsolete.
? I?m not sure how Jalen Johnson quitting Duke now helps him; the season only has 3-4 weeks left. What will he do now, in those 3-4 weeks, that will be more productive than practicing and playing for Duke? (I?m not a Duke fan, not at all, but still?..)

? He could get hurt playing for Duke, he could get hurt working out or playing pickup.

Everyone wants to get rich quick; it ain?t that easy.

11) Trevor Lawrence had surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder, will be on the shelf for 4-6 weeks, which doesn?t really matter, seeing how training camp starts in July. Jacksonville is going to take him, then sell a lot of tickets, then we?ll see who Urban Meyer hires to coach the offense.

10) I rarely look at NFL Mock Drafts anymore; they?re busywork, once you get past the first one, plus I?m a Rams fan- they haven?t had a first round pick since 2016 and don?t have another one until 2024.

Every writer should only be allowed to do one mock draft, not just constantly change them to attract more clicks.

9) Miami Dolphins gave kicker Jason Sanders a 5-year contract extension, apparently for $22M, with $10M of that guaranteed.

8) St John?s 93, Xavier 84:
? Red Storm won seven of its last eight games.
? St John?s coach Anderson wins his 400th career game.

7) Arkansas 75, Florida 64:
? Razorbacks won four in row, seven of last eight games.
? Eric Musselman has coached two NBA teams (Warriors/Kings)

6) I enjoy watching Florida State play; Leonard Hamilton plays a lot of guys (they?re #24 in bench minutes) and he doesn?t have lot of hotshot recruits, so they pass the ball willingly and root for each other and look like they?re having fun playing. That isn?t always the case.

5) Purdue 75, Michigan State 65? Spartans lost their last four road games, six of last eight games overall; they?re #329 in country at forcing turnovers. Unusual season for them.

4) Rhode Island 91, Dayton 89, 2OT:
? Dayton led 58-40 with 9:44 left in the game.
? Teams combined to take 75 foul shots.
? Flyers lost despite shooting 61% inside the arc.
? Win snaps URI?s 4-game losing streak.

3) Toronto 124, Milwaukee 113:
? Bucks lost their 4th straight game, have slipped to 16-12, #3-seed in East.
? Toronto won six of its last nine games, has improved to 13-15, #7-seed.

2) A US District Court judge ruled that Citibank won?t be allowed to recover $500M or so it accidentally wired. Citibank filed a lawsuit in August seeking the return of its money, but so far, no luck.

How would you like to be the person responsible for that screw-up? They were supposed to send Revlon $8M, but sent them around $500M instead. Whoops.

Apparently, the law usually punishes people who spend money accidentally deposited in their accounts, but not so in this case, thanks to the judge?s ruling.

1) Spring training starts today, which seems odd, given all the ice in my driveway, but pitchers and catchers report today. Exhibition games start in 10 days; they?re oddly entertaining. Our fantasy draft has started, always a good thing, a sign that warmer weather is on the way.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 17

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NCAAB

Wednesday, February 17

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Trend Report
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---------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 17

Marquette @ Butler
Marquette (9-12, 5-10)
? ranked #87 by KenPom
? Tempo: #250
? Experience: #178
? Continuity: #175
? Marquette lost six of its last seven games.
? Golden Eagles lost last three road games, scoring 59.3 ppg.
? Marquette is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#261)

Butler (7-11, 6-9)
? ranked #113 by KenPom
? Tempo: #330
? Experience: #173
? Continuity: #235
? Butler lost four of its last six games.
? Bulldogs won three of their last four home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Butler has #297 eFG% defense in country.

? Butler lost 70-67 at Marquette February 2.
? Marquette won four of last five series games.
? Golden Eagles lost six of last seven visits to Hinkle.

Syracuse @ Louisville
Syracuse (12-6, 6-5)
? ranked #57 by KenPom
? Tempo: #111
? Experience: #238
? Continuity: #73
? Syracuse won five of its last seven games.
? Orangemen causes turnovers 21.4% of time (#57)
? Syracuse is thin; they?re #344 in country in bench minutes.

Louisville (11-4, 6-3)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #3399
? Continuity: #326
? Louisville hasn?t played in 16 days.
? Cardinals are 3-1 in ACC home games, winning by 2-5-16 points.
? Louisville has #46 eFG% defense in country.

? Cardinals won four of last six series games.
? Syracuse lost three of last four games in Yum! Center.

South Florida @ Central Florida
South Florida (7-7, 3-5)
? ranked #125 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #71
? South Florida lost five of their last seven games.
? USF is 2-1 in true road games, losing 58-57 in Memphis.
? Bulls are turning ball over 22.4% of time (#318)

Central Florida (6-11, 4-10)
? ranked #101 by KenPom
? Tempo: #275
? Experience: #244
? Continuity: #277
? UCF lost five of its last seven games.
? Knights split their six AAC home games.
? UCF is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#315)

? UCF lost 68-61 at South Florida January 2.
? USF won last two series games, after losing previous nine.
? Bulls lost their last six visits to Orlando.

Richmond @ VCU
Richmond (11-4, 4-2)
? ranked #54 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #10
? Continuity: #12
? Richmond hasn?t played a D-I game in 22 days.
? Spiders won three of last four D-I games.
? Richmond has #31 eFG% in country.

VCU (15-4, 8-2)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #98
? Experience: #305
? Continuity: #280
? Rams won their last five games, giving up 59.6 ppg.
? VCU is 7-1 at home this season; only loss was to Rhode Island.
? Rams are forcing turnovers 25.1% (#5) of time.

? These schools are 8.5 miles apart.
? Local rivals split their last six meetings.
? Spiders lost four of last five visits here, losing 91-60/87-68 in last two.

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
Kentucky (6-13, 5-7)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #213
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #343
? Kentucky lost seven of their last nine games.
? Wildcats lost last four road games, scoring 62.5 ppg.
? Kentucky has #297 eFG% in country.

Vanderbilt (6-10, 2-8)
? ranked #114 by KenPom
? Tempo: #167
? Experience: #274
? Continuity: #79
? Vandy lost eight of its last ten games overall.
? Commodores lost four of their five SEC home tilts.
? Vandy has #298 eFG% defense in country.

? Vandy lost 77-74 in Lexington January 5.
? Wildcats won last nine series games, and 17 of last 19.
? Kentucky won its last four visits to Nashville.

Arizona State @ USC
Arizona State (7-9, 4-6)
? ranked #89 by KenPom
? Tempo: #14
? Experience: #161
? Continuity: #146
? Sun Devils won three of their last four games.
? ASU lost two of its three Pac-12 road games.
? ASU is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#43)

USC (17-3, 11-2)
? ranked #12 by KenPom
? Tempo: #211
? Experience: #191
? Continuity: #322
? USC won six in row, 12 of last 13 games.
? Trojans won last five home games, four of them by 13+ points.
? USC is rebounding 36.5% of its missed shots (#7)

? USC won 73-64 in Tempe January 9.
? Trojans are 6-4 in last ten series games.
? Sun Devils lost last four games at USC, by 10-3-2-10 points.

Kansas @ Kansas State
Kansas (15-7, 9-5)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #263
? Continuity: #110
? Kansas won its last three games, by 12-33-14 points.
? Jayhawks lost five of their last six road games.
? Big X opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#1 of 10)

Kansas State (5-17, 1-12)
? ranked #190 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #287
? Wildcats lost their last 12 games; their last win was December 29.
? K-State has #331 eFG% defense in country.
? Wildcats lost last six home games; they turn ball over 22.6% of time (#321)

? K-State lost 74-51 in Lawrence February 2.
? Kansas won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Jayhawks won four of last five visits to Manhattan.

DePaul @ Seton Hall
DePaul (3-9, 1-9)
? ranked #130 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #225
? DePaul lost its last four games, scoring 58.8 ppg.
? DePaul is 1-3 on road this season, losing by 5-21-10 points.
? Blue Demons have #310 eFG% in country (#270 on arc, #309 inside arc))

Seton Hall (12-8, 9-5)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #231
? Experience: #20
? Continuity: #132
? Seton Hall won its last three games, giving up 55.7 ppg.
? Pirates split their last six home games.
? Seton Hall is getting 22.1% of its points on foul line (#32).

? Seton Hall won 76-68 at DePaul January 9.
? Pirates won nine of last 11 series games.
? DePaul won four of last five visits to the Garden State.

Nebraska @ Maryland
Nebraska (5-13, 1-10)
? ranked #119 by KenPom
? Tempo: #42
? Experience: #98
? Continuity: #324
? Nebraska lost 10 of its last 11 games.
? Cornhuskers lost six of their seven road games.
? Nebraska has #294 eFG%; they?re shooting 45.5% inside arc (#307)

Maryland (12-10, 6-9)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #308
? Experience: #151
? Continuity: #91
? Maryland is 5-4 in its last nine D-I games.
? Terps lost five of their eight Big 14 home games.
? Maryland outscored Nebraska 20-6 over final 7:48 of last nite?s 64-50 win.

? Maryland is 8-3 vs Nebraska in Big 14 games.
? Cornhuskers lost their last three visits here, 74-72/72-70/64-50.

Duke @ Wake Forest
Duke (8-8, 6-6)
? ranked #36 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #250
? Duke lost six of its last nine games.
? Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
? Duke has #281 eFG% in country; opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#322)

Wake Forest (6-9, 3-9)
? ranked #109 by KenPom
? Tempo: #203
? Experience: #197
? Continuity: #279
? Deacons split their last six games, after starting 0-6 in ACC.
? Wake won its last two home tilts; their last home game was January 30.
? Deacons have #250 eFG% defense in country.

? Wake lost 79-68 at Duke January 9.
? Duke won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Blue Devils won five of last six visits to Winston Salem.

Utah State @ Boise State
Utah State (14-5, 11-2)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #120
? Experience: #259
? Continuity: #145
? Aggies won 12 of their last 14 games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.2% inside arc (#4)
? Utah State is grabbing 35.2% of their missed shots (#16)

Boise State (16-4, 12-3)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #152
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #243
? Boise split its last six games, after a 13-1 start.
? Broncos are 7-0 in MW home games, with six wins by 11+ points.
? Winner of this game will be in first place in Mountain West.

? Utah State won four of last five series games.
? Aggies lost four of their last five visits to Boise.

Minnesota @ Indiana
Minnesota (13-8, 6-8)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #185
? Gophers are 6-1 at home, 0-7 on road in conference games.
? Minnesota is shooting 29.4% on arc (#318), has #303 eFG%.
? Gophers get 23.3% of their points on foul line (#12).

Indiana (13-8, 6-8)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #134
? Continuity: #185
? Indiana lost six of its last nine games.
? Hoosiers are 6-1 at home in Big 14, losing to Michigan.
? Indiana is shooting 29.4% on arc (#318), has #303 eFG%.

? Indiana won seven of last nine series games.
? Gophers lost their last five visits to Bloomington.

South Carolina @ Tennessee
South Carolina (5-9, 3-7)
? ranked #83 by KenPom
? Tempo: #10
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #25
? Gamecocks lost last three games, giving up 79 ppg.
? Carolina has #257 eFG% in country.
? Gamecocks are 1-3 on SEC road, losing by 5-11-12 points.

Tennessee (14-5, 7-5)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #244
? Experience: #249
? Continuity: #101
? Tennessee won four of its last six games.
? Vols are 4-2 in SEC home games, losing to Alabama/Mizzou.
? Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#18)

? Tennessee won five of last six series games.
? Gamecocks lost last three visits to Knoxville, by 3-1-15 points.



-------------------------------


661IONA -662 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games vs. winning teams since 1997.

663NC STATE -664 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

665EVANSVILLE -666 INDIANA ST
EVANSVILLE is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

667ST JOSEPHS -668 GEORGE WASHINGTON
ST JOSEPHS are 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

671MARQUETTE -672 BUTLER
BUTLER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

673SYRACUSE -674 LOUISVILLE
SYRACUSE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

675SAMFORD -676 FURMAN
SAMFORD is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

677S FLORIDA -678 UCF
S FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

679RICHMOND -680 VA COMMONWEALTH
RICHMOND is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

681W CAROLINA -682 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IONA at QUIN 04:00 PM
IONA -6.5.........70 - 74..........LOSER
O 144.5

NCST at PITT 04:30 PM
PITT -4.0.......74 - 73
O 142.0..............WINNER

EVAN at INST 05:00 PM
INST -6.5..........73 - 87......WINNER
O 127.5................WINNER

SYR at LOU 06:30 PM
SYR +4.5
O 141.0

MARQ at BUT 06:30 PM
MARQ +2.0...........73 - 57...........WINNER
O 129.5............WINNER

***************************

MER at ETSU 07:00 PM
ETSU -4.5..........71 - 64.....LOSER
U 136.0

NEB at MD 07:00 PM
MD -10.5..........71 - 79.....LOSER
U 134.5

NE at UNC 07:00 PM
NE +17.0........62 - 82
O 138.5............WINNER

UNCG at VMI 07:00 PM
UNCG -5.0.....77 - 88......LOSER
O 148.0..........WINNER

RICH at VCU 07:00 PM
VCU -2.0
U 142.0

UK at VAN 07:00 PM
UK -3.5........82 - 78........WINNER
O 143.5

USF at UCF 07:00 PM
UCF -3.0
O 129.5

WCU at CHAT 07:00 PM
CHAT -7.0...........81 - 89....WINNER
U 143.0...........LOSER

SAM at FUR 07:00 PM
SAM +15.5.....,,64 - 78.......WINNER
U 149.5

CIT at WOF 07:00 PM
CIT +9.5.......67 - 81.....LOSER
U 155.0...........WINNER

******************

KU at KSU 08:00 PM
KU -13.0
U 134.0

ASU at USC 08:00 PM
ASU +10.0.....71 89......LOSER
O 148.5..........WINNER

VALP at L-IL 08:00 PM
VALP +19.5
U 129.5

WYO at UNM 08:00 PM
WYO -6.0...........83 - 74.....WINNER
O 138.0....WINNER

DRKE at UNI 08:00 PM
DRKE -5.0...........77 - 69....WINnER
U 140.5

DUKE at WAKE 08:30 PM
WAKE +6.5
U 144.5

DEP at HALL 08:30 PM
DEP +13.5
U 140.5

MINN at IND 09:00 PM
IND -6.5..........72 - 82..........WINNER
U 138.5.........LOSER

SCAR at TENN 09:00 PM
SCAR +11.5........73 - 93......LOSER
O 144.0..........WINNER

USU at BSU 09:00 PM
BSU -1.5......70 -79......WINNER
U 139.0.......LOSER

MOSU at SIU 09:15 PM
MOSU -5.0.......68 - 53......WINNER
U 135.5



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............190 - 161........-+69.50


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds for this week?s Genesis Invitational golf event:
6-1? Dustin Johnson
12-1? Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
14-1? Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele
16-1? Bryson DeChambeau
18-1? Patrick Cantlay
22-1? Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 488,352
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?ve never wished a man dead, but I have read some obituaries with great pleasure.?
Clarence Darrow

Thursday?s quiz
Where did Carson Wentz play his college football?

Wednesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a college QB; he played at UCLA.

Tuesday?s quiz
Clippers? Steve Ballmer is wealthiest owner in NBA; he is worth $51B, that?s billion, with a B

***************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) San Diego Padres gave 22-year old SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a 14-year, $340M contract last night, a lot of $$$$ to give to a young man who has played in 143 big league games, over two years. Tatis has .301 with 39 homers, 98 RBI over those two seasons- big production.

I have to remind myself that San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, so even though they?ve never won much, they are a big market team.

12) Do casinos post fake bets for publicity? The other day, BetMGM posted that a $10,000 bet was made on the Washington Wizards to win the NBA title this season. There are people who are rich/stupid enough to just throw away serious money?

Right now, Washington is 9-17, three games out of a playoff spot; I have a better shot at dating Gina Gershon than the Wizards have at winning the NBA title this year (stop laughing).

11) While I wait for Ms Gershon to contact me, the Baseball America Prospects Handbook came in the mail Tuesday, so I have a lot of reading to do. Each team?s top 30 prospects are profiled, it helps me a lot during fantasy baseball season.

Had to be tougher boo to put together this year, since there was no minor league season last year. Prospects who played at the teams? site last summer did so under a cloud of secrecy.

10) The way it stands now, Ben Roethlisberger is a $41.2M salary cap hit for the Steelers next fall; they?re expected to re-do his contract somehow. Seems like March is going to be a wild time for the league and a lot of its quarterbacks, even some famous ones.

If they release Big Ben, he would still be a $21M+ cap hit; who could they get that is better?

9) Nebraska-Illinois football game was supposed to be played in Ireland August 28; they?ll play in Champaign instead.

8) Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder is going to coach the West All-Stars in the March 7 All-Star Game; he?ll be the first Jazz coach since Frank Layden in 1984 to coach an All-Star team.

7) Bulls 105, Pistons 102:
? In his last six games, Chicago?s Zach LaVine is 52-94 inside the arc, 29-50 outside the arc.
? LaVine is scoring 28+ ppg; he had 37 in this game. This is a young man who scored 9 ppg in his only year of college, at UCLA. He has worked really hard to become a skilled scorer.

6) VCU 68, Richmond 56? Spiders hadn?t played a D-I game in 22 days, and it showed. These two local rivals meet again on March 6.

5) USC 89, Arizona State 71? Trojans have won 7 in row, 13 of last 14 games; the Mobley brothers work great together inside. Plus, the Trojans made 11-20 3-pointers.

4) NC State 74, Pitt 73
? To borrow a hockey term, this was a chippy game, several technical fouls.
? Both teams shot 60%+ inside the arc.
? Pitt star Champagne was 3-11 from floor, 11-16 on foul line.
? Wolfpack has won 11 games in a row over Pitt.

3) Kentucky 82, Vanderbilt 78
? Wildcats? last three games were decided by 1-2-4 points.
? Calipari is milking every drop he can out of a sub-par roster; they led this game 25-8 and were still life-and-death to win.
? Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew after he went 16-38 in three SEC seasons; Jerry Stackhouse is now 5-24 in SEC play in his 2nd season at Vandy. Winning at Vandy is a tough job.

2) Apparently, some of the NBA?s best players are queasy about participating in NBA-sponsored public service announcements to people accepting the coronavirus vaccine.

This is above my salary grade, but for the love of Pete, listen to the scientists; they?re really smart people who are a very diverse group of people. They won very hard to find medicines that will help us stay healthy.

Lot of people might go get a vaccine because an NBA player endorses it, and those people would then have a better chance of staying healthy, and so would the rest of us.

1) First day of spring training was a rough day for my Oakland A?s; P Frankie Montas tested positive for COVID, C Sean Murphy has a collapsed lung. Other than that, things were great.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 18

**********************


NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

*************************


NCAAB

Thursday, February 18

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 18

Houston @ Wichita State
Houston (17-2, 11-2)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #170
? Continuity: #127
? Houston is playing its first game in eight days.
? Cougars are grabbing 40.1% of their missed shots (#1)
? Houston has #1 eFG% defense in country.

Wichita State (12-4, 8-2)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #189
? Experience: #150
? Continuity: #235
? Wichita won four in row, 8 of last 10 games.
? Shockers won all five of their AAC home games.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Wichita has #307 eFG% in country (#246 on arc, #314 inside arc).

? Shockers lost 70-63 in Houston January 6.
? Houston won last six series games.
? Teams split two AAC meetings played here.

Iowa @ Wisconsin
Iowa (15-6, 9-5)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #103
? Experience: #214
? Continuity: #52
? Iowa lost four of its last seven games, but won last two.
? Hawkeyes? last three losses were by 5-4-2 points.
? Iowa is shooting 39.6% on arc (#11)

Wisconsin (15-7, 9-6)
? ranked #14 by KenPom
? Tempo: #321
? Experience: #18
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers? last 8 games: WLWLWLWL
? Wisconsin split its last four home games.
? Badgers are shooting 47.9% inside arc (#243)

? Teams split last six series games.
? Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Madison.

Illinois State @ Bradley
Illinois State (6-15, 3-12)
? ranked #205 by KenPom
? Tempo: #136
? Experience: #333
? Continuity: #261
? Redbirds lost seven of their last eight games.
? Two of their three MVC wins have come on road.
? Illinois State is shooting 47.6% inside the arc (#257)

Bradley (11-13, 5-10)
? ranked #135 by KenPom
? Tempo: #289
? Experience: #242
? Continuity: #216
? Bradley lost nine of its last 11 games.
? Braves are 1-5 in MVC games decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Bradley lost three of its last four home games.

? Bradley lost 71-56 at Illinois State January 20.
? Braves won five of last six series games.
? State lost last three visits here, by 12-17-12 points.

Ohio State @ Penn State
Ohio State (11-4, 4-2)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #249
? Experience: #92
? Continuity: #176
? Buckeyes won six in row, nine of last ten games.
? Ohio State won its last five road games.
? In their last five games, Buckeyes scored 80.4 ppg.

Penn State (7-10, 4-9)
? ranked #38 by KenPom
? Tempo: #157
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #49
? Penn State lost their last two games, by total of 3 points.
? Nittany Lions won four of their last five home games.
? Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#313)

? Penn State lost 83-79 in Columbus January 27.
? Nittany Lions won four of last seven series games.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Penn State lost 74-70/106-74 in last two visits here.

Utah @ Oregon State
Utah (9-8, 6-7)
? ranked #67 by KenPom
? Tempo: #243
? Experience: #283
? Continuity: #16
? Utah won three of its last four games.
? Utes are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Utah is forcing turnovers 20.7% of the time (#80)

Oregon State (10-10, 6-8)
? ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #84
? Continuity: #162
? OSU lost its last three games, by 29-9-2 points.
? Beavers won their last four home tilts.
? Oregon State is shooting 44.1% inside arc (#325)

? Oregon State won five of last eight series games.
? Utah lost three of last four visits to Corvallis.

Rutgers @ Michigan
Rutgers (12-7, 8-7)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #225
? Experience: #83
? Continuity: #9
? Rutgers won five of their last six games.
? Knights are shooting 32.5% on arc (#233), 61.6% on line (#339)
? Rutgers is getting 59% of its points inside arc (#16)

Michigan (14-1, 9-1)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #215
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #154
? Michigan won at Wisconsin Sunday, its first game in 23 days.
? Michigan?s only loss: 75-57 at Minnesota January 16.
? Opponents are shooting 40.3% inside arc (#1)

? Michigan is 8-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
? Scarlet Knights are 0-4 in Ann Arbor, losing by 10-11-15-6 points.

Arizona @ UCLA
Arizona (14-7, 8-7)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #208
? Experience: #301
? Continuity: #327
? Arizona lost four of its last six games.
? Wildcats are 1-6 this season vs top 90 teams.
? Arizona is a top 30 rebounding team in country.

UCLA (14-5, 10-3)
? ranked #46 by KenPom
? Tempo: #338
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #15
? Bruins lost three of their last five games.
? UCLA is shooting 36.2% inside arc (#64)
? UCLA is 6-0 in Pac-12 home games, with four wins by 5 or fewer points.

? UCLA won first meeting 81-76 in Tucson January 9.
? Bruins won last four series games.
? Arizona lost 90-69/69-64 in last two visits to Westwood.

LMU @ San Francisco
LMU (10-6, 5-3)
? ranked #115 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #221
? LMU won its last three games, by 25-4-3 points.
? Lions are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#325).
? LMU had two starters play 40/38 minutes in Tuesday?s 76-73 win at Santa Clara.

San Francisco (10-10, 4-6)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #177
? Experience: #82
? Continuity: #165
? USF lost its last three games, scoring 64.0 ppg.
? Dons lost their last four home games.
? Half the shots USF has taken were 3-pointers (35%, #112).

? USF lost 68-60 at LMU January 10.
? Dons won four of last six series games.
? Lions lost three of last four visits to USF.

Saint Mary?s @ Gonzaga
Saint Mary?s (11-6, 2-4)
? ranked #76 by KenPom
? Tempo: #350
? Experience: #246
? Continuity: #220
? Saint Mary?s lost five of its last eight games.
? Gaels won two of their three road games, losing at Pepperdine.
? Gaels? last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points.

Gonzaga (20-0, 11-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #7
? Experience: #253
? Continuity: #180
? Five of Gonzaga?s last six wins were by 18+ points.
? Zags are shooting 64.5% inside arc.
? This is Gonzaga?s first home game since January 23.

? Gonzaga won 73-59 in Moraga January 16.
? Zags won 11 of last 13 series games.
? Saint Mary?s lost last two visits here, 94-46/86-76.

San Diego State @ Fresno State
San Diego State (15-4, 9-3)
? ranked #25 by KenPom
? Tempo: #294
? Experience: #14
? Continuity: #155
? Aztecs won their last six games, all by 22+ points.
? This is San Diego State?s first game in eight days.
? Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#19)

Fresno State (9-7, 7-7)
? ranked #196 by KenPom
? Tempo: #277
? Experience: #303
? Continuity: #300
? Fresno won four of its last five games.
? Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.0% of time (#310)
? Bulldogs are 0-6 vs top 100 teams (all six losses by 14+).

? Fresno won five of last eight series games.
? Aztecs lost four of last six visits to Fresno.

California @ Washington State
California (8-15, 3-13)
? ranked #136 by KenPom
? Tempo: #313
? Experience: #93
? Continuity: #95
? California lost seven of their last eight games.
? Opponents are shooting 38.9% on the arc (#332)
? Bears are 6-4 vs teams outside the top 100 this season.

Washington State (12-10, 5-10)
? ranked #110 by KenPom
? Tempo: #156
? Experience: #325
? Continuity: #204
? Coogs lost three of their last four games.
? Wazzu is turning ball over 21.6% of the time (#295)
? Coogs lost five of their last six home games.

? Coogs won 71-60 in Berkeley January 7.
? Cal won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last six meetings in Pullman.

Colorado @ Oregon
Colorado (16-6, 10-5)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #267
? Experience: #33
? Continuity: #92
? Colorado won nine of its last 12 games.
? Buffs split their last six road games.
? Colorado is shooting 37.5% on arc (#36)

Oregon (12-4, 7-3)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #188
? Experience: #27
? Continuity: #294
? Oregon won its last three games, scoring 74.7 ppg.
? Ducks lost two of their last three home games.
? Colorado shot 61.1% inside arc in teams? first meeting.

? Ducks lost 79-72 in Boulder January 7.
? Colorado won three of last four series games.
? Buffs lost their last five visits to Eugene.

Stanford @ Washington
Stanford (13-8, 9-6)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #291
? Continuity: #76
? Stanford won three of its last four games overall.
? Stanford lost three of its last four road games.
? Cardinal is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#277)

Washington (4-16, 3-12)
? ranked #162 by KenPom
? Tempo: #80
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #193
? Washington lost five of its last six games.
? Huskies lost last three home games, by 15-15-3 points.
? Washington is in bottom 15 in country on the defensive boards (#345)

? Huskies lost first meeting 91-75 in Santa Cruz January 7.
? Stanford won six of last eight series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.


****************************


737HOUSTON -738 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 74-41 ATS (28.9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

739IOWA -740 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

741WM & MARY -742 ELON
WM & MARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

743ILLINOIS ST -744 BRADLEY
ILLINOIS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

747OHIO ST -748 PENN ST
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
Mark Pope is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 (Coach of BYU)

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
BYU is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

751JACKSONVILLE ST -752 BELMONT
JACKSONVILLE ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

753E ILLINOIS -754 MURRAY ST
E ILLINOIS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

755SIU EDWARDSVL -756 AUSTIN PEAY
AUSTIN PEAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SCUS at PRE 05:00 PM
SCUS +2.5...........65 - 51.........WINNER
O 133.0

WEBB at RAD 06:00 PM
RAD -3.5
U 131.5

CAMP at HAMP 06:00 PM
CAMP -3.0
U 141.5

*********************

IOWA at WIS 07:00 PM
IOWA +2.0.....77 - 62
U 144.5.................WINNER

LONG at CHSO 07:00 PM
LONG -3.0
U 132.0

HOU at WICH 07:00 PM
WICH +7.5..........63 - 68.........WINNER
U 139.0............WINNER

UVM at UMBC 07:00 PM
UVM -4.0............80 - 71..........WINNER
O 135.0

ILST at BRAD 07:00 PM
BRAD -2.5
U 133.0

********************

JVST at BEL 08:00 PM
JVST +12.0...........69 - 53..........WINNER
U 150.0.......WINNER

BYU at PAC 08:00 PM
BYU -5.5...........80- 52.........WINNER
O 136.5

OSU at PSU 08:00 PM
OSU -4.5..........92 - 82...........WINNER
O 146.0

SIUE at PEAY 08:30 PM
SIUE +13.0........57 - 79....LOSER
U 142.5

EIU at MURR 08:30 PM
MURR -16.0........59 - 68......LOSER
U 139.0..........WINNER

UTAH at ORST 08:30 PM
ORST +2.5.....56 - 74........WINNER
O 138.0

USD at SCU 09:00 PM
SCU -6.5
U 137.5

RUTG at MICH 09:00 PM
MICH -9.0...........64 - 71.........LOSER
U 137.0........WINNER

SMC at GONZ 09:00 PM
SMC +20.0..........65 - 87........LOSER
U 141.5........LOSER

LMU at SF 09:00 PM
LMU +5.0........68 - 53.....WINNER
O 134.5.........LOSER

EKY at UTM 09:00 PM
EKY -11.5............89 - 72............WINNER
O 151.5

CSUS at SUU 09:00 PM
SUU -6.5
O 143.0

WIN at HP 09:00 PM
HP +10.0.........76 - 70........WINNER
U 146.0...........PUSH

TNTC at TNST 09:00 PM
TNST -3.0
U 139.5

NAU at WEB 09:00 PM
WEB -13.5........59 -92
O 144.5............WINNER

ARIZ at UCLA 09:00 PM
UCLA -2.0.......60 - 74.....WINNER
O 136.5..........LOSER

MONT at EWU 09:05 PM
MONT +8.0
O 145.5

SDSU at FRES 10:00 PM
FRES +13.5....67 - 53..........LOSER
U 130.5......LOSER

IDHO at PRST 10:05 PM
PRST -12.0......64 - 84.........WINNER
U 136.5

CAL at WSU 10:30 PM
CAL +2.5.......51 - 82.....LOSER
U 132.0......LOSER

COLO at ORE 11:00 PM
COLO +3.0..........56 - 60........LOSER
O 140.5..........LOSER

STAN at WASH 11:00 PM
WASH +9.5........79 -61
O 142.5............LOSER



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............207 - 176........-+72.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

9 WINNERS TO START THE DAY WOWWWWWWWW

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the NBA title:
+220? LA Lakers
+400? Brooklyn
+550? LA Clippers
+750? Milwaukee
+1200? Utah
+1400? Philadelphia

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 493,113
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Tweet of the Day
?Before today: The Colts are just a QB away from being a Super Bowl contender.

After today: The Colts are still just a QB away from being a Super Bowl contender.?
Jordan Moore

Friday?s quiz
Which college basketball conference has the most teams in it?

Thursday?s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State.

Wednesday?s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a college QB; he played at UCLA.

***********************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff on a snowy night??.

13) Eagles traded QB Carson Wentz to Indianapolis, for a 3rd round pick in April?s draft and a 2nd round pick in 2022, which could become a 1st round pick if Wentz plays well.

Eagles won a Super Bowl since drafting Wentz, but he got hurt late in the Super Bowl season and Nick Foles led the team to their playoff wins. Wentz went 14-26 ATS the last three years; he will be reunited with Frank Reich, one of his OC?s in Philadelphia.

12) Colts? starting QB?s over the last three years, and next year:
2018: Andrew Luck
2019: Jacoby Brissett
2020: Philip Rivers
2021: Carson Wentz

11) From 2009-2016, there were 22 quarterbacks taken in the first round of the draft; of those 22 QB?s, none of them are still on the team that drafted them. Zero.

10) This list will grow: NFL teams that will have a new starting QB in September:
? Rams (Stafford)
? Lions (Goff)
? Colts (Wentz)
? Eagles (Hurts)
? Saints (????)

9) Phillies catcher JT Realmuto signed a five-year, $115M contract this winter, then broke his right thumb on the first day of spring training. Not good. He is expected to miss a month, could be ready for Opening Day.

8) They?re really going to have the dunk contest at halftime of the All-Star Game? How long does the freakin? dunk contest take? Has to be close to an hour, yes?

You?re going to tell the highest-paid players in the NBA that they have to sit around for an hour, then play ball for another half? What if one of them gets hurt? How is this a good idea? Have the dunk contest after the game- people who care about it will still watch.

7) When I?m watching basketball this season and coaches are wearing masks, if the guy has a suit and tie on, it looks weird. Like it better when coaches wear casual clothes.

6) Caesars Sportsbook posted the Dodgers? win total this season at 104.5, the highest total for any team over the last 32 seasons.

Pittsburgh?s total is 58, the lowest total since the 1993 Marlins.

5) Minor league baseball teams will play 6-game series this season, to reduce travel and save money. Season will also last 2-3 weeks longer, ending in late September, which will reduce the amount of late season call-ups.

4) Weird moment in the Kentucky-Vanderbilt game Wednesday night; Kentucky had the ball out of bounds under, but just before the ref hands the kid the ball to start play, they realize Kentucky has six guys on the court. Technical foul, not good. Doesn?t happen very often.

The benches in Vanderbilt?s arena are on the baseline, which is weird and probably added to the confusion, but it still wasn?t good. Kentucky led by 17 early, hung on and won by 3.

3) Klay Thompson finished 9th in All-Star voting among Western Conference guards; he?s played as much as I have this year. How do you vote for a guy to make the All-Star team who hasn?t played a second this season?

2) I had forgotten that Tony LaRussa is managing the White Sox this season; they?ve improved their roster and big things are expected. LaRussa is 76 years old; he hasn?t managed in 10 years.

1) Second day of spring training was a better one for my Oakland A?s; they signed 1B/DH Mitch Moreland, P Trevor Rosenthal. After trading DH Khris Davis, they needed another bat.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 19

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 19

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NCAAB

Friday, February 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*************************


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 19

Wright State @ Northern Kentucky
Wright State (17-4, 15-3)
? ranked #53 by KenPom
? Tempo: #66
? Experience: #289
? Continuity: #91
? Wright State won its last nine games, scoring 86.4 ppg.
? Raiders won last four road games, all by 20+ points.
? Wright State has #7 eFG% defense in country.

Northern Kentucky (12-9, 10-6)
? ranked #205 by KenPom
? Tempo: #326
? Experience: #303
? Continuity: #171
? NKU won seven of their last eight games.
? Norse is #21 in country on offensive boards, but #330 on defensive end.
? You?re reading ***************.com
? NKU has played schedule #268; they?re 0-2 vs top 100 teams.

? Wright State won five of last seven series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Monmouth @ Iona
Monmouth (10-5, 10-4)
? ranked #179 by KenPom
? Tempo: #5
? Experience: #75
? Continuity: #39
? Hawks won seven of their last eight games.
? Monmouth is shooting 38.5% on arc (#21).
? This is Monmouth?s first game in 13 days.

Iona (6-5, 4-3)
? ranked #222 by KenPom
? Tempo: #220
? Experience: #189
? Continuity: #283
? Iona is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#298)
? Gaels split their four home games this season.
? Iona?s opponents score 26% of their points on foul line (#5)

? Monmouth won six of last nine series games.
? Hawks won four of last five visits to New Rochelle.

Hawaii @ Cal-Northridge
Hawaii (7-7, 5-7)
? ranked #193 by KenPom
? Tempo: #226
? Experience: #198
? Continuity: #319
? Rainbows won two of three games on the mainland.
? Hawaii is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Hawaii is shooting 35.7% on the arc (#83)

Cal-Northridge (7-8, 3-5)
? ranked #296 by KenPom
? Tempo: #93
? Experience: #296
? Continuity: #224
? First game in 13 days for the Matadors.
? Northridge has #322 eFG% defense in country.
? Matadors lost five of last seven games overall.

? Teams split last six series games.
? Rainbows won five of last six visits to Northridge.

Saint Louis @ Dayton
Saint Louis (11-3, 4-2)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #171
? Experience: #152
? Continuity: #23
? Billikens won last four games, giving up 54 ppg.
? Saint Louis lost two of its three road games (won @ Fordham).
? Billikens are forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#59).

Dayton (11-7, 7-6)
? ranked #84 by KenPom
? Tempo: #316
? Experience: #105
? Continuity: #237
? Dayton lost three of its last four games.
? Flyers are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#278)
? Dayton lost in 2OT Tuesday, after being up 18 with 9:44 left.

? Dayton won 76-71 at Saint Louis January 26.
? Flyers won last four series games.
? Billikens lost five of last six visits to Dayton.

Akron @ Ball State
Akron (13-4, 11-3)
? ranked #100 by KenPom
? Tempo: #158
? Experience: #109
? Continuity: #238
? Zips won three in row, nine of their last ten games.
? Utes are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Utah is forcing turnovers 20.7% of the time (#80)

Ball State (10-10, 6-8)
? ranked #165 by KenPom
? Tempo: #87
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #119
? Ball State lost five of its last six games.
? Cardinals lost three of their five MAC home games.
? Ball State is turning ball over 20.1% of time (#232)

? Ball State won three of last four series games.
? Zips lost 111-106/57-56 in last two visits to Muncie.

Old Dominion @ UAB
Old Dominion (11-5, 7-3)
? ranked #150 by KenPom
? Tempo: #217
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #33
? Monarchs won seven of their last nine games overall.
? Monarchs are shooting 27.9% on arc (#339), have #262 eFG%.
? Old Dominion split its eight road games.

UAB (16-4, 9-3)
? ranked #92 by KenPom
? Tempo: #248
? Experience: #32
? Continuity: #161
? Blazers lost last two games, after 16-2 start.
? UAB is 7-0 in C-USA home games, with 6 wins by 10+ points.
? Blazers are forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#13)

? UAB won five of last seven series games.
? Monarchs lost 64-50/72-63 in last two visits to Birmingham.

Cal-Irvine @ Cal-Fullerton
Cal-Irvine (11-7, 7-3)
? ranked #116 by KenPom
? Tempo: #260
? Experience: #338
? Continuity: #180
? Anteaters lost three of their last five games.
? Irvine split its four Big West road games.
? Anteaters are shooting only 45.6% inside arc (#302)

Cal-Fullerton (5-6, 4-6)
? ranked #277 by KenPom
? Tempo: #39
? Experience: #275
? Continuity: #315
? This is Fullerton?s first game in 20 days.
? Titans are 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
? Fullerton split its six Big West home games.

? Irvine won last five series games.
? Anteaters won last three visits here, by 5-17-13 points.

Cal-Riverside @ UC San Diego
Cal-Riverside (9-5, 5-3)
? ranked #121 by KenPom
? Tempo: #251
? Experience: #88
? Continuity: #178
? Riverside won five of its last seven games.
? Highlanders won four of their six road games.
? Riverside has #3 eFG% defense in country.

UC San Diego (4-7, 1-7)
? ranked #230 by KenPom
? Tempo: #86
? Experience: #110
? Continuity: #???
? Tritons are 1-7 vs D-I teams.
? UCSD is turning ball over 23.7% of time (#333)
? Tritons get 41.2% of their points on 3-pointers (#9).

South Dakota State @ North Dakota State
South Dakota State (12-5, 6-2)
? ranked #122 by KenPom
? Tempo: #38
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #8
? Jackrabbits won six of their last eight games.
? South Dakota State is shooting 40.7% on arc (#4)
? Jackrabbits won three of their four true road games.

North Dakota State (11-9, 9-3)
? ranked #154 by KenPom
? Tempo: #343
? Experience: #265
? Continuity: #244
? This is North Dakota State?s first game in 13 days.
? Bison won five of their six home games.
? ND State is 11-4 in last 15 games, since starting season 0-5.

? Jackrabbits beat ND State 77-75 on neutral floor December 10.
? South Dakota State won seven of last eight series games.
? Teams split last four series games played here.

Toledo @ Buffalo
Toledo (17-6, 12-3)
? ranked #65 by KenPom
? Tempo: #163
? Experience: #170
? Continuity: #205
? Toledo won six of its last eight games.
? Rockets are 10-0 in MAC if they allow fewer than 81 points.
? Toledo has #41 eFG% (37.9% on arc, #30) in country.

Buffalo (9-6, 7-4)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #11
? Experience: #38
? Continuity: #53
? Buffalo won its last three games, giving up 58.7 ppg.
? Bulls have #22 eFG% defense in country.
? Buffalo is grabbing 35% of its missed shots (#17)

? Buffalo won last five series games.
? Toledo lost 104-94/110-80 in last two visits here.

Utah State @ Boise State
Utah State (14-6, 11-3)
? ranked #52 by KenPom
? Tempo: #114
? Experience: #257
? Continuity: #146
? Aggies lost three of their last five games.
? Opponents are shooting 42.7% inside arc (#5)
? Utah State is grabbing 34.9% of their missed shots (#20)

Boise State (17-4, 13-3)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #138
? Experience: #69
? Continuity: #243
? Boise is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
? Broncos are 8-0 in MW home games, with six wins by 11+ points.
? Boise beat Utah State 79-70 here Wednesday night.

? Utah State won four of last six series games.
? Aggies lost five of their last six visits to Boise.

Cal-Bakersfield @ UCSB
Cal-Bakersfield (14-7, 8-4)
? ranked #138 by KenPom
? Tempo: #330
? Experience: #1
? Continuity: #17
? Roadrunners won last three games, giving up 59.3 ppg.
? Bakersfield has #299 eFG% in country.
? Luckily for them, they?re grabbing 39% of their missed shots (#3)

UCSB (14-3, 8-2)
? ranked #82 by KenPom
? Tempo: #279
? Experience: #26
? Continuity: #58
? UCSB won its last ten games; two of last three were in OT.
? Gauchos are forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#50)
? UCSB won all five of its home games this season; last one was January 16.

UNLV @ San Jose State
UNLV (13-8, 9-6)
? ranked #147 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #264
? Continuity: #288
? UNLV lost six of its seven true road games.
? Rebels have #281 eFG% in country.
? UNLV is 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

San Jose State (5-13, 3-11)
? ranked #320 by KenPom
? Tempo: #28
? Experience: #221
? Continuity: #249
? San Jose is 3-2 in last five games, after an 0-11 start vs D-I foes.
? This is Spartans? first game in San Jose this season- they had been using neutral sites.
? San Jose has #332 eFG% in country (#288 on arc, #329 inside arc)

? UNLV won last six series games.
? Rebels won last three visits here, by 6-7-23 points.


****************************


823CANISIUS -824 FAIRFIELD
CANISIUS are 78-41 ATS (32.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

825IUPUI -826 YOUNGSTOWN ST
IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when the total is 150 to 159.5 in the last 3 seasons.

829OAKLAND -830 WI-MILWAUKEE
WI-MILWAUKEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

835TROY -836 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.

837WRIGHT ST -838 N KENTUCKY
WRIGHT ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

837WRIGHT ST -838 N KENTUCKY
WRIGHT ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

843CAL POLY-SLO -844 LONG BEACH ST
CAL POLY-SLO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

845MONMOUTH -846 IONA
IONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

847SOUTHERN MISS -848 FLA INTERNATIONAL
SOUTHERN MISS are 41-19 ATS (20.1 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games since 1997.

849HAWAII -850 CS-NORTHRIDGE
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CAN at FAIR 05:00 PM
CAN -5.0
U 137.0

INDPU at YSU 05:00 PM
U 151.5...........72 - 70....WINNER

UVM at UMBC 05:00 PM
UMBC +3.5.......55 - 66.....WINNER
O 136.0

TROY at GSU 06:00 PM
GSU -9.5............66 - 80.....WINNER
U 143.5

CAMP at HAMP 06:00 PM
CAMP -4.0..........73 - 68......WINNER

RMU at DETU 06:00 PM
DETU -9.5

USA at APP 06:00 PM
USA +2.0.....65 - 63...........WINNER
O 136.0...................LOSER

LONG at CHSO 06:00 PM
LONG -4.0

OAK at MILW 06:00 PM
OAK +2.0.........85 - 81.....WINNER
O 151.0.................WINNER

WRST at NKU 06:00 PM
WRST -9.0........75 - 81.......LOSER
O 144.0...........................WINNER

***********************

SLU at DAY 07:00 PM
SLU -5.0

AKR at BALL 07:00 PM
AKR -4.5.........88 - 79....WINNER
U 145.5.............LOSER

CP at LBSU 07:00 PM
LBSU -7.5
O 144.0

MONM at IONA 07:00 PM
O 153.5 ...........86 - 91.....WINNER

WIN at HP 07:00 PM
HP +9.0.............71 - 63..........WINNER

USM at FIU 07:00 PM
USM +3.5

HAW at CSN 07:00 PM
CSN +3.5.......75 - 74........WINNER
U 145.0............LOSER

JAC at STET 07:00 PM
JAC +5.5
O 133.0

CLEVST at PFW 07:00 PM
CLEVST -4.0..........68 - 75......LOSER
O 142.0........................WINNER

ODU at UAB 07:30 PM
UAB -6.5

****************

MRST at SPC 08:00 PM
SPC -8.0
O 120.5

KENN at LIP 08:00 PM
KENN +13.0
O 136.0

UCRV at UCSD 08:00 PM
UCRV -9.0...........81 - 75.....LOSER
U 134.5

UCI at CSF 08:00 PM
UCI -10.0.......89 - 78............WINNER
O 138.5.........WINNER

DEN at KC 08:00 PM
KC -10.0........57 - 68...........WINNER
U 127.0

WIGB at UIC 08:00 PM
WIGB +1.0...........58 - 61.........LOSER
U 142.5....................WINNER

UND at NEOM 08:00 PM
NEOM -2.0........62 - 72
O 143.5............LOSER

SDST at NDSU 08:30 PM
SDST +1.0..........68 - 67......WINNER
O 144.5..........LOSER

*****************

TOL at BUFF 09:00 PM
BUFF -2.0
U 163.5

WYO at UNM 09:00 PM
WYO -5.5.............79 - 67....WINNER
U 139.5............LOSER

CALBA at GRC 09:00 PM
GRC -9.0...........61 - 71...........WINNER
O 145.0

TST at DSTATE 09:00 PM
TST +1.0...........77 - 69...........WINNER
O 143.0.............................WINNER

UVU at NMSU 09:00 PM
NMSU -9.0..........69 - 66............LOSER
O 139.0............LOSER

UNLV at SJSU 09:30 PM
SJSU +15.0.........76 - 60
O 144.5..............LOSER

USU at BSU 10:00 PM
O 142.0.........77 - 81...........WINNER

CSB at UCSB 11:00 PM
UCSB -8.0......66 - 71.....LOSER
U 130.5..........LOSER


FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............230 - 191........-+104.50


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the home run title this season:
12-1? Mike Trout, Ronald Acuna
14-1? Juan Soto
16-1? Joey Gallo
18-1? Eloy Jimenez
20-1? Pete Alonso, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge
25-1? Vladimir Guerrero, Giancarlo Stanton

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 495,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?ll tell my kids one day I played with Joel Embiid. When they?ll ask me who is the best player I ever played with, I?ll say Joel Embiid. It?s an honor to be out there with him on the floor.?
Tobias Harris, Embiid?s teammate

Saturday?s quiz
Which colleges sports teams are known as the Anteaters?

Friday?s quiz
ACC (15) is the college basketball conference that has the most teams in it.

Thursday?s quiz
Carson Wentz played his college football at North Dakota State.

*********************

Saturday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here

13) This is what politicians/public servants are SUPPOSED TO DO:

In Texas this week, Beto O?Rourke organized volunteers to make more than 784,000 wellness calls to senior citizens around the state, to make sure they?re OK.

Common decency shouldn?t be a partisan issue; O?Rourke is a private citizen now, but he still has influence and he used it to try to help people this week. Good for him.

12) Long time ago, 40 or so years ago, I was student manager of the basketball team at UAlbany, when the Great Danes were a Division III team. A great learning experience, made lot of friends because of it; I was thinking of this story tonight and it made me smile:

Albany had a JV team; this is February 1980. The JV team had several injuries, one of whom was Jody MacDonald, who is now a sports talk host in Philadelphia; our team was down to six guys, so for two interesting nights, I suited up as the JV?s 7th player.

Because part of my job as student manager was dealing with the officials before games, I knew most of them; this was my junior year. I?m in the layup line, knowing I wasn?t going to play but trying to look like an actual player during warmups. I hear a voice behind me.

?Remember, no dunking in warmups? one of the refs says to me, then smiles and walks away. Just what we need, a smart-ass official. 🙂

Never got into either game I suited up for, but I did play in one scrimmage on our Sweden trip the following summer. I shot too much and was quickly yanked; go figure.

11) Seems strange to me that NBA teams haven?t seen the second half of their schedules yet, but in the COVID era, the league wanted flexibility in how they?re scheduling.

10) Bill Walton was telling a story Thursday night about how Michael Jordan?s first college choice was UCLA, but Larry Brown, then UCLA?s coach, wasn?t interested. I?ve never heard that one before; the whole course of college basketball would?ve changed.

Ironic that Larry Brown is a North Carolina alum.

9) I listen to podcasts a lot; can learn a lot from diverse sources, which is a good thing.

Rams? GM Les Snead does a podcast with his wife, Kara Henderson; I?m listening to them as I type this, talking to poker pro Annie Duke about decision-making, and how decisions are made, and all the things that go into making good decisions.

Snead?s job has a lot of decision making; you wouldn?t think an NFL GM would take knowledge from a poker pro, but smart people listen to other smart people.

8) Boise State 81, Utah State 77:
? Broncos sweep Utah State, improve to 18-4, 14-3 in conference
? Mountain West is looking like a 2-bid league, with San Diego State looking solid.

7) Dayton 76, Saint Louis 53? Flyers sweep Saint Louis; they were up 20 at the half in this game. Not sure what to make of the Billikens; they had a 34-day COVID pause in January, are now only 4-3 in the A-14. They?re looking more and more like an NIT team.

6) UAB 76, Old Dominion 69:
? Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 7-32 on the arc.
? Andy Kennedy?s Blazers are 17-4, 10-3 in Conference USA, in Kennedy?s first season.
? UAB was +11 (20-9) in turnovers.

5) Iona 91, Monmouth 86:
? Rick Pitino?s Gaels are 7-5, 5-3 in the MAAC.
? Monmouth coach King Rice got tossed for carping to refs; in an empty gym, the yelling just sounds louder than it probably is.

Pitino has said that he believes in the Gonzaga/Saint Mary?s model of recruiting for mid-majors; 40-50% (6 or 7 players) being from foreign countries. Interesting strategy.

4) Baseball stuff:
? Mets gave P Taijuan Walker $20M for two years.
? Pirates gave 1B/3B Todd Frazier a minor league deal.

3) Lakers? star Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out for at least four weeks.

2) Get well soon to Indianas? manager Terry Francona, who had offseason surgery to address a staph infection in his big toe- he is still wearing a walking boot.

Everyone you listen to says that Francona is a good dude; he?s also been a successful manager, ending the Curse of the Bambino with the 2004 Red Sox. Baseball is better if he is involved.

Random trivia you probably already knew: Francona was manager of the Birmingham Barons in the AA Southern League, the year Michael Jordan played for the Barons.

1) A 111-year old woman in South Carolina got the COVID vaccine this week, the oldest person to do so.

Maria Aulenbacher attributes living such a long life to a few things: staying active and reading every day (she particularly favors historical books and non-fiction), a glass of red wine with lunch, and a beer with dinner. Good for her.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 20

***********************


NCAAB

Saturday, February 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 20

Michigan State @ Indiana
Michigan State (10-9, 4-9)
? ranked #69 by KenPom
? Tempo: #151
? Experience: #196
? Continuity: #85
? Spartans lost six of their last eight games.
? Michigan State lost last six road games, five by 10+ points.
? Spartans have #254 eFG% in country (#261 inside arc).

Indiana (12-9, 7-7)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #287
? Continuity: #81
? Indiana won three of their last four games.
? Hoosiers are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#31)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? Indiana has played five overtime games (2-3) this season.

? Indiana won last three series games.
? Spartans lost three of last four visits to Bloomington.

UConn @ Villanova
UConn (10-5, 7-5)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #132
? Continuity: #163
? Huskies split four games since their 11-day COVID pause.
? UConn won four of its six Big East road games.
? Huskies are grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#6).

Villanova (13-3, 8-2)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #124
? Continuity: #6
? Villanova split its last four games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats are 5-0 at home in Big East (four wins by 10+)
? Villanova has #31 eFG% in country.

Kentucky @ Tennessee
Kentucky (7-13, 6-7)
? ranked #62 by KenPom
? Tempo: #196
? Experience: #341
? Continuity: #343
? Kentucky won its last two games, after a 1-7 skid.
? Wildcats lost four of their last five road games.
? Kentucky?s last three games were decided by total of 7 points.

Tennessee (15-5, 8-5)
? ranked #16 by KenPom
? Tempo: #245
? Experience: #247
? Continuity: #100
? Tennessee won five of its last seven games.
? Vols won their last four home games.
? Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#17)

? Vols won 82-71 at Kentucky February 6, after trailing by 10 with 12:00 left.
? Tennessee won four of last five series games.
? Wildcats lost four of last five visits to Knoxville.

Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech (14-6, 6-5)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #281
? Experience: #275
? Continuity: #244
? Texas Tech hasn?t played in 11 days.
? Red Raiders won three of their last four games.
? Tech is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#5).

Kansas (11-7, 7-6)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #164
? Experience: #262
? Continuity: #113
? Kansas won its last four games, after a 2-5 skid.
? Jayhawks won their last five home games.
? Opponents are shooting only 46.0% inside arc (#51)

? Kansas won 58-57 in Lubbock December 17.
? Jayhawks won 21 of last 23 series games.
? Tech lost last two visits to Lawrence, 79-63/78-75.

West Virginia @ Texas
West Virginia (14-6, 7-4)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #157
? Continuity: #34
? Mountaineers won five of their last seven games.
? WVU won its last four road games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
? West Virginia is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#10)

Texas (13-5, 7-4)
? ranked #19 by KenPom
? Tempo: #160
? Experience: #121
? Continuity: #3
? Texas is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 10-1 start.
? Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#25)
? Lot of disruptions in Austin this week, with the terrible weather; not sure how it affects the Texas team.

? Texas won 72-70 in Morgantown January 9.
? Longhorns won five of last six series games.
? West Virginia lost last three visits here, by 8-7-10 points.

Illinois @ Minnesota
Illinois (15-5, 11-3)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #94
? Experience: #220
? Continuity: #46
? Illinois won its last six games, two of them in OT.
? Illini has #10 eFG%; #14 on arc, #19 inside arc.
? Illinois won its last four road games.

Minnesota (13-9, 6-9)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #188
? Minnesota is 6-1 at home, 0-8 on road in league games.
? Minnesota is getting 23.5% of their points on foul line (#11)
? Gophers are shooting 29.1% on arc (#321)

? Gophers lost 92-65 at Illinois December 15.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Illini lost last two visits here, 77-67/86-75.

Auburn @ LSU
Auburn (11-11, 5-8)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #315
? Auburn lost four of its last five games, giving up 82 ppg.
? Auburn split its last road games.
? Auburn has #76 eFG%, despite turning ball over 22% of time (#305)

LSU (13-6, 8-4)
? ranked #29 by KenPom
? Tempo: #82
? Experience: #328
? Continuity: #134
? LSU won its last two games, scoring 94-78 points.
? LSU lost two of its last three home games.
? LSU is shooting 55.0% inside arc (#30).

? Auburn won four of last five series games.
? Teams split last six series games played here.

Louisville @ North Carolina
Louisville (11-4, 6-3)
? ranked #32 by KenPom
? Tempo: #295
? Experience: #338
? Continuity: #326
? Louisville hasn?t played in 19 days.
? Cardinals lost three of last five games, after a 9-1 start.
? Louisville has #42 eFG% defense in country.

North Carolina (13-7, 7-5)
? ranked #42 by KenPom
? Tempo: #64
? Experience: #324
? Continuity: #149
? Carolina is 7-0 at home this season.
? Tar Heels have #271 eFG%, turn ball over 20.3% of time (#241)
? Carolina is grabbing 39.5% of its missed shots (#2).

? North Carolina is 6-4 vs Louisville in ACC meetings.
? Cardinals lost two of last three visits to Chapel Hill.

Arizona @ USC
Arizona (14-8, 8-8)
? ranked #45 by KenPom
? Tempo: #201
? Experience: #307
? Continuity: #329
? Arizona lost five of their last seven games.
? Wildcats lost last three road games, by 15-3-14 points.
? Arizona is shooting 37.5% on the arc (#34)

USC (18-3, 12-2)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #193
? Experience: #193
? Continuity: #322
? USC won seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
? Trojans won their six Pac-12 home games, five by 13+ points.
? USC has #5 eFG% defense in country.

? USC won 87-73 in Tucson January 7
? Trojans won four of last five series games.
? Arizona lost last two visits here, 80-57/57-48.

Colorado @ Oregon State
Colorado (16-7, 10-6)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #265
? Experience: #31
? Continuity: #90
? Colorado lost last two games, scoring 62-56 points.
? Buffaloes lost three of their last five road games.
? Colorado is #1 in country on foul line (82.5%).

Oregon State (11-10, 7-8)
? ranked #107 by KenPom
? Tempo: #305
? Experience: #81
? Continuity: #61
? Home side won Beavers? last nine games.
? Oregon State is shooting 44.7% inside arc (#316)
? Beavers are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#32)

? Beavers got whacked 78-49 in Boulder February 8.
? Teams split last six series games.
? Teams also split last six meetings played here.

Virginia @ Duke
Virginia (15-4, 11-2)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
— Experience: #123
? Continuity: #162
? Cavaliers won four of their last five games.
? Virginia split its last four road games.
? Virginia is shooting 39.8% on the arc (#9)

Duke (9-8, 7-6)
? ranked #30 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #344
? Continuity: #250
? Duke won its last two games, giving up 53-60 points.
? Blue Devils lost last two home games, at UNC/Notre Dame.
? Duke has #54 eFG% in country (35.7% on arc, #83)

? Teams split last four series games.
? Virginia lost nine of its last ten visits to Durham.

Arizona State @ UCLA
Arizona State (7-10, 4-7)
? ranked #99 by KenPom
? Tempo: #19
? Experience: #147
? Continuity: #141
? ASU lost last three road games, 1-13-18 points.
? Sun Devils? last four wins were all by 4 or fewer points.
? ASU is forcing turnovers 21.6% of the time (#52)

UCLA (15-5, 11-3)
? ranked #40 by KenPom
? Tempo: #335
? Experience: #266
? Continuity: #17
? UCLA won all ten of its home games this season.
? Bruins split their last six games overall.
? Four of their last five wins were by 5 or fewer points.

? UCLA beat Arizona State 81-75 in OT in Tempe January 7.
? ASU won four of last six series games.
? Sun Devils lost eight of last nine visits to Westwood.

Monmouth @ Iona
Monmouth (10-6, 10-5)
? ranked #183 by KenPom
? Tempo: #3
? Experience: #66
? Continuity: #41
? Hawks won seven of their last nine games.
? Monmouth is shooting 37.9% on arc (#30).
? Monmouth lost four of its last six road games.

Iona (7-5, 5-3)
? ranked #217 by KenPom
? Tempo: #156
? Experience: #198
? Continuity: #282
? Iona is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#321)
? Gaels won three of their five home games this season.
? Iona is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#57)

? Iona was up 20 at half, hung on for 91-86 win here last night.
? Monmouth won six of last ten series games.
? Hawks won four of last six visits to New Rochelle.


----------------------------------


603MICHIGAN ST -604 INDIANA
INDIANA is 55-28 ATS (24.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game since 1997.

605GEORGIA TECH -606 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

605GEORGIA TECH -606 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
Greg Paulus is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread (Coach of NIAGARA)

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609UCF -610 TULANE
TULANE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game after 15+ games since 1997.

611LASALLE -612 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

613CONNECTICUT -614 VILLANOVA
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

615WOFFORD -616 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.


---------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, February 20

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SIE at NIAG 12:00 PM
NIAG +4.0........62 - 64........WINNER
U 130.5

MSU at IND 12:00 PM
IND -6.0.......78 71.........LOSER
U 135.0...........LOSER

GT at MIA 12:00 PM
MIA +3.5

UCF at TULN 12:00 PM
UCF -1.5......84 - 81......WINNER
U 129.5

LAS at STJOE 12:30 PM
LAS -2.5......82 - 91..........LOSER
O 145.5.........WINNER

**********************

RID at QUIN 01:00 PM
QUIN -3.5

CONN at VILL 01:00 PM
CONN +6.5........60 - 68.....LOSER

UK at TENN 01:00 PM
TENN -7.5.........70 - 55......LOSER
O 137.0......LOSER

VAN at ALA 01:00 PM
ALA -14.0........78 - 82........LOSER
U 154.0

WOF at WCU 01:00 PM
WOF -4.5........80 - 56.......WINNER
O 144.0.........LOSER

UNH at UMASS 01:00 PM
UMASS -2.5............69 - 67....LOSER

VMI at CIT 01:00 PM
VMI -3.5.......74 - 75.....LOSER
U 167.5........WINNER

*********************

MIZZ at SCAR 02:00 PM
MIZZ -3.0.....93 - 78.....WINNER
O 148.5.......WINNER

TTU at KU 02:00 PM
TTU +1.5
O 133.5

ELON at CWM 02:00 PM
ELON +2.5.......75 - 64....WINNER

EMU at KENT 02:00 PM
KENT -13.0...........51 - 64
U 146.5........WINNER

NAU at WEB 02:00 PM
NAU +14.5....52 - 74
O 144.5............LOSER

NCST at WAKE 02:00 PM
NCST -1.5
U 138.5

ND at SYR 02:00 PM
SYR -3.0 67 - 75.....WINNER
O 150.5........LOSER

CSUS at SUU 02:00 PM
SUU -7.5......57 - 77......WINNER
O 142.5

GMU at VCU 02:30 PM
U 135.0

 

[Cnotes53]

FUR at MER 02:00 PM
FUR -3.5........70 - 60.........WINNER
O 147.0........LOSER

BYU at LMU 03:00 PM
LMU +8.0......88 - 71.....LOSER
O 136.0........WINNER

WVU at TEX 03:00 PM
TEX -3.0
U 146.5

PRST at IDHO 03:00 PM
PRST -8.0......71 - 40......WINNER
U 139.5............WINNER

ILL at MINN 03:30 PM
ILL -4.5.....94 - 63
O 145.0............WINNER

UGA at FLA 03:30 PM
UGA +8.0...........63 - 70
U 154.0...........WINNER

ODU at UAB 04:00 PM
UAB -6.0
U 132.0

TROY at GSU 04:00 PM
TROY +10.0
U 143.5

STAN at WSU 04:00 PM
STAN -5.5........76 - 85.....LOSER
U 135.5

PAC at PORT 04:00 PM
PAC -12.5.........80 - 58....WINNER
U 138.5........WINNER

AUB at LSU 04:00 PM
LSU -4.0...........80 - 104.....WINNER
U 164.5

USA at APP 04:00 PM
APP -3.0
U 135.5

FSU at PITT 04:00 PM
FSU -5.5..........79 - 72.........WINNER
U 146.0..........LOSER

DUQ at RICH 04:30 PM
RICH -9.0.........72 - 79......LOSER
U 139.0

ORU at SDAK 04:30 PM
ORU +3.5.......84 - 86.......WINNER
O 159.0..............WINNER

***********************

CAN at FAIR 05:00 PM
FAIR +5.0
O 137.5

KSU at TCU 05:00 PM
TCU -6.5.........62 - 54.......LOSER
U 132.5

TNTC at BEL 05:00 PM
TNTC +21.0.......66 - 90
O 151.0.............WINNER

RMU at DETU 05:00 PM
RMU +9.0........61 - 80
O 144.0...........WINNER

JVST at TNST 05:00 PM
JVST -7.0............77 - 76...LSOER
U 137.5........LOSER

EIU at PEAY 05:00 PM
EIU +7.0...........76 - 69
O 143.5.............WINNER

INDPU at YSU 05:00 PM
YSU -7.0.......77 - 70....PUSH
U 150.0................WINNER

CHAT at UNCG 05:00 PM
CHAT +7.0...........55 - 60....WINNER
O 136.0...........LOSER

MORE at UTM 05:00 PM
MORE -13.0..........79 - 69....LOSER
O 133.5...............WINNER

WRST at NKU 05:00 PM
WRST -8.5.............77 - 71...........LOSER
O 146.5............WINNER

JAC at STET 05:00 PM
STET -5.0

OAK at MILW 05:00 PM
MILW +1.0.......87 - 89.....WINNER
O 152.0..........WINNER

CLEVST at PFW 05:00 PM
CLEVST -3.5............67 - 55....WINNER
O 142.0...........LOSER

PUR at NEB 05:30 PM
NEB +7.5
U 138.0

HALL at GTWN 05:30 PM
HALL -4.0.........75 - 81.......LOSER
O 144.5...........WINNER

PEPP at SCU 06:00 PM
SCU +3.0............82 - 86..........WINNER
U 147.0

EKY at SEMO 06:00 PM
EKY -5.5........72 - 94.........LOSER
O 150.0

OKLA at ISU 06:00 PM
OKLA -12.0.......66 - 56
U 144.5............WINNER

M-OH at NIU 06:00 PM
M-OH -5.0
U 135.5

LOU at UNC 06:00 PM
LOU +5.5.....54 - 99
O 141.5............WINNER

MSST at MISS 06:00 PM
O 129.5...........66 - 56.........LOSER


ARIZ at USC 06:00 PM
O 140.5...........81 - 72.....WINNER

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SIE at NIAG 12:00 PM
NIAG +4.0........62 - 64........WINNER
U 130.5

MSU at IND 12:00 PM
IND -6.0.......78 71.........LOSER
U 135.0...........LOSER

GT at MIA 12:00 PM
MIA +3.5

UCF at TULN 12:00 PM
UCF -1.5......84 - 81......WINNER
U 129.5

LAS at STJOE 12:30 PM
LAS -2.5......82 - 91..........LOSER
O 145.5.........WINNER

**********************

RID at QUIN 01:00 PM
QUIN -3.5

CONN at VILL 01:00 PM
CONN +6.5........60 - 68.....LOSER

UK at TENN 01:00 PM
TENN -7.5.........70 - 55......LOSER
O 137.0......LOSER

VAN at ALA 01:00 PM
ALA -14.0........78 - 82........LOSER
U 154.0

WOF at WCU 01:00 PM
WOF -4.5........80 - 56.......WINNER
O 144.0.........LOSER

UNH at UMASS 01:00 PM
UMASS -2.5............69 - 67....LOSER

VMI at CIT 01:00 PM
VMI -3.5.......74 - 75.....LOSER
U 167.5........WINNER

*********************

MIZZ at SCAR 02:00 PM
MIZZ -3.0.....93 - 78.....WINNER
O 148.5.......WINNER

TTU at KU 02:00 PM
TTU +1.5
O 133.5

ELON at CWM 02:00 PM
ELON +2.5.......75 - 64....WINNER

EMU at KENT 02:00 PM
KENT -13.0...........51 - 64
U 146.5........WINNER

NAU at WEB 02:00 PM
NAU +14.5....52 - 74
O 144.5............LOSER

NCST at WAKE 02:00 PM
NCST -1.5
U 138.5

ND at SYR 02:00 PM
SYR -3.0 67 - 75.....WINNER
O 150.5........LOSER

CSUS at SUU 02:00 PM
SUU -7.5......57 - 77......WINNER
O 142.5

GMU at VCU 02:30 PM
U 135.0


FUR at MER 02:00 PM
FUR -3.5........70 - 60.........WINNER
O 147.0........LOSER

BYU at LMU 03:00 PM
LMU +8.0......88 - 71.....LOSER
O 136.0........WINNER

WVU at TEX 03:00 PM
TEX -3.0
U 146.5

PRST at IDHO 03:00 PM
PRST -8.0......71 - 40......WINNER
U 139.5............WINNER

ILL at MINN 03:30 PM
ILL -4.5.....94 - 63
O 145.0............WINNER

UGA at FLA 03:30 PM
UGA +8.0...........63 - 70
U 154.0...........WINNER

ODU at UAB 04:00 PM
UAB -6.0
U 132.0

TROY at GSU 04:00 PM
TROY +10.0
U 143.5

STAN at WSU 04:00 PM
STAN -5.5........76 - 85.....LOSER
U 135.5

PAC at PORT 04:00 PM
PAC -12.5.........80 - 58....WINNER
U 138.5........WINNER

AUB at LSU 04:00 PM
LSU -4.0...........80 - 104.....WINNER
U 164.5

USA at APP 04:00 PM
APP -3.0
U 135.5

FSU at PITT 04:00 PM
FSU -5.5..........79 - 72.........WINNER
U 146.0..........LOSER

DUQ at RICH 04:30 PM
RICH -9.0.........72 - 79......LOSER
U 139.0

ORU at SDAK 04:30 PM
ORU +3.5.......84 - 86.......WINNER
O 159.0..............WINNER

***********************

CAN at FAIR 05:00 PM
FAIR +5.0
O 137.5

KSU at TCU 05:00 PM
TCU -6.5.........62 - 54.......LOSER
U 132.5

TNTC at BEL 05:00 PM
TNTC +21.0.......66 - 90
O 151.0.............WINNER

RMU at DETU 05:00 PM
RMU +9.0........61 - 80
O 144.0...........WINNER

JVST at TNST 05:00 PM
JVST -7.0............77 - 76...LSOER
U 137.5........LOSER

EIU at PEAY 05:00 PM
EIU +7.0...........76 - 69
O 143.5.............WINNER

INDPU at YSU 05:00 PM
YSU -7.0.......77 - 70....PUSH
U 150.0................WINNER

CHAT at UNCG 05:00 PM
CHAT +7.0...........55 - 60....WINNER
O 136.0...........LOSER

MORE at UTM 05:00 PM
MORE -13.0..........79 - 69....LOSER
O 133.5...............WINNER

WRST at NKU 05:00 PM
WRST -8.5.............77 - 71...........LOSER
O 146.5............WINNER

JAC at STET 05:00 PM
STET -5.0

OAK at MILW 05:00 PM
MILW +1.0.......87 - 89.....WINNER
O 152.0..........WINNER

CLEVST at PFW 05:00 PM
CLEVST -3.5............67 - 55....WINNER
O 142.0...........LOSER

PUR at NEB 05:30 PM
NEB +7.5
U 138.0

HALL at GTWN 05:30 PM
HALL -4.0.........75 - 81.......LOSER
O 144.5...........WINNER

PEPP at SCU 06:00 PM
SCU +3.0............82 - 86..........WINNER
U 147.0

EKY at SEMO 06:00 PM
EKY -5.5........72 - 94.........LOSER
O 150.0

OKLA at ISU 06:00 PM
OKLA -12.0.......66 - 56
U 144.5............WINNER

M-OH at NIU 06:00 PM
M-OH -5.0
U 135.5

LOU at UNC 06:00 PM
LOU +5.5.....54 - 99
O 141.5............WINNER

MSST at MISS 06:00 PM
O 129.5...........66 - 56.........LOSER


ARIZ at USC 06:00 PM
O 140.5...........81 - 72.....WINNER


EVENING ACTION:

MONM at IONA 07:00 PM
MONM +1.5..........65 - 88.....LOSER
O 156.5............LOSER

CP at LBSU 07:00 PM
CP +7.5
O 143.0

HAW at CSN 07:00 PM
HAW -4.0.........80 - 88....LOSER
O 145.0........WINNER

SDSU at FRES 07:30 PM
SDSU -13.5.........75 - 57....WINNER
U 130.0.........LOSER

USD at GONZ 08:00 PM
USD +32.0
O 153.0

MRST at SPC 08:00 PM
SPC -7.5.............51 -50......LOSER

COLO at ORST 08:00 PM
COLO -6.5 61 - 57
U 136.0.......WINNER

DEN at KC 08:00 PM
KC -10.0........69 - 80....WINNER

UCI at CSF 08:00 PM
UCI -9.0......64 - 67.......LOSER

WIGB at UIC 08:00 PM
UIC -1.5...........69 - 59........LOSER

UVA at DUKE 08:00 PM
UVA -1.5.........65 - 66.....LOSER
O 129.5.............WINNER

UND at NEOM 08:00 PM
NEOM -1.5........81 - 69.......LOSER
O 143.5...........WINNER

UCRV at UCSD 08:00 PM
UCRV -7.5........82 - 83.....LOSER
U 139.0.........LOSER

SIUE at MURR 08:30 PM
U 137.0

SDST at NDSU 08:30 PM
NDSU -1.0

---------------------------

UTAH at ORE 09:00 PM
ORE -9.0.............64 - 67.....LOSER

TST at DSTATE 09:00 PM
TST -2.5...........48 - 64........LOSER

CALBA at GRC 09:00 PM
GRC -10.0........65 - 62........LOSER

UVU at NMSU 09:00 PM
NMSU -8.0...........60 - 67.....LOSER

CAL at WASH 10:00 PM
WASH +1.5

CSB at UCSB 10:00 PM
CSB +8.0......44 - 63........LOSER

ASU at UCLA 10:00 PM
UCLA -7.5



FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............274 - 232........-+94.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Six of Arizona Diamondbacks? top prospects:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Daulton Varsho, C/OF
3) Geraldo Perdomo, SS
6) Slade Cecconi, P
9) Pavin Smith, 1B/OF
10) Corbin Martin, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 497,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Dreams really do come true. I?m completely depleted, I left everything out there. I thought maybe I was going to run in the top seven, eight? I completely surprised myself. In coming up to a bigger series like this, these are some of the guys I dreamed of racing. I?m a train wreck right now.?
18-year old Ty Gibbs, who won his Xfinity Series (car racing) debut Saturday. Ty Gibbs is the grandson of the great football coach Joe Gibbs

Sunday?s quiz
Who was coach of the Knicks when they won their only two NBA titles?

Saturday?s quiz
Cal-Irvine?s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

Friday?s quiz
ACC (15) is the college basketball conference that has the most teams in it.

*************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Something to consider when filling out your brackets next month:

There have been only six national champions who didn?t win either:
a) the regular season title in their league, or
b) the conference tournament in their league. One or the other.

Last two teams to do it: UConn in 2014, Duke 2015.

12) North Carolina 99, Louisville 54:
? Louisville has had two COVID pauses; they lost by 37-45 points in their return games.
? Apparently Louisville requested this game be moved to Sunday, so they could have a couple more players eligible to play. North Carolina declined; will there be hard feelings?

11) West Virginia 84, Texas 82:
? Texas led 62-43 with 18:18 left in the game.
? Two Longhorn players had to be separated from each other during a timeout with 15:52 left to play. West Virginia outscored Texas 34-18 the rest of the game.
? Texas is 3-5 in its last eight games.
? West Virginia was 26-37 on the foul line, Longhorns 4-10.

10) Arizona 81, USC 72:
? Loss snaps Trojans? 7-game win streak.
? Arizona has five starters, from five different countries.

9) South Alabama 56, Appalachian State 54:
? Jaguars have won 8 in a row, the last seven by 6 or fewer points.
? South Alabama played 6 guys in this game; that almost never happens.
? Kayo Goncalves was 6-16 from floor; all 3-pointers. No foul shots.

8) Michigan State 78, Indiana 71:
? Spartans are 11-9 overall, 5-9 in the Big 14.
? Michigan State hasn?t missed the NCAA?s since 1997.

7) Upsets of the Day (it was an upsetting day):
? George Mason (+11.5) 79, VCU 76 OT
? DePaul (+11.5) 88, St John?s 83
? Cal-Fullerton (+9.5) 67, Cal-Irvine 64
? Eastern Illinois (+8.5) 76, Austin Peay 69
? Cal-San Diego (+7.5) 83, Cal-Riverside 82
? Marist (+7.5) 51, Saint Peter?s 50
? Arizona (+7.5) 81, USC 72
? Kentucky (+7.5) 70, Tennessee 55

6) Washington State 85, Stanford 76, 3OT:
? Stanford didn?t score in the third OT.
? Wazzu trailed by 8 in 2nd half; they were 13-40 on the arc, 14-35 inside arc.
? Costly loss for Stanford, which is squarely on the bubble.

5) Syracuse 75, Notre Dame 67:
? Notre Dame was up 59-39 with 16:49 left in the game.
? Buddy Boeheim (yes, his son) scored 29 points.

4) Hornets 102, Warriors 100? Draymond Green got two technicals with 0:09 left, and Golden State up two; this is not ideal. Charlotte made the two foul shots, tied the game, then won it on a jumper from the corner as time expired.

Golden State isn?t a great team anymore; they?re 16-15, a marginal playoff team. Giving away games like this one is damaging.

3) LSU 104, Auburn 80? Auburn is #346 in experience, #34 in tempo. They?re fun to watch, but they?ve been getting pounded, giving up 80+ points in seven of their last eight games.

This game had a total of 166, the biggest total in a college game this season, and it went over, by 18 points. ESPN?s Dalen Cuff was openly talking about the total on air during the game, which is unusual. Seems like ESPN is trying very hard to promote their show Daily Wager.

2) Baylor is 17-0 and is heavily favored to make the Final Four, but they haven?t played in three weeks; how many games will Baylor need to play before the tournament, to get their legs back, if they?re going to make the Final Four?

NCAA Tournament starts March 18-19, that?s 25 days from now.

1) Selection Sunday is three weeks away; I have no idea what?s going to happen between now and then, and neither do you. This is unchartered territory; games will be added to schedules on the fly, some teams won?t want to add games, because they?re secure in the Field of 68.

One thing to remember going forward; every player can come back and play next season; no one loses any eligibility. If you think this regular season has been weird, wait until the transfer season begins this spring.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 21

**************************


NCAAB

Sunday, February 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 21

Rhode Island @ George Washington
Rhode Island (10-12, 7-8)
? ranked #81 by KenPom
? Tempo: #132
? Experience: #117
? Continuity: #306
? URI lost four of their last five games.
? Rams lost four of their last five road tilts.
? URI won last game in double OT, after trailing by 18 with 9:44 left.

George Washington (3-9, 2-3)
? ranked #208 by KenPom
? Tempo: #120
? Experience: #280
? Continuity: #258
? This is GW?s first game in five weeks.
? Colonials are turning ball over 20.8% of time (#265)
? You?re reading ***************.com
? GW is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 7-13 points.

? Rhode Island won last four series games.
? URI lost three of last four visits to GW.

Michigan @ Ohio State
Michigan (15-1, 10-1)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #154
? Michigan is 2-0 since its pause, winning by 8-7 points.
? Wolverines? only loss: 75-57 at Minnesota January 16
? Michigan has #2 eFG% defense in country.

Ohio State (18-4, 12-4)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #243
? Experience: #89
? Continuity: #176
? Ohio State won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Buckeyes won last three home tilts, by 4-17-19 points.
? In their last six games, Ohio State scored 82.7 ppg.

? Buckeyes won five of last seven series games.
? Michigan lost its last 13 visits to Columbus.

Cincinnati @ Houston
Cincinnati (7-7, 5-4)
? ranked #96 by KenPom
? Tempo: #85
? Experience: #229
? Continuity: #215
? Bearcats won last four games, all by 3 or fewer points.
? Cincinnati is shooting 28.6% on arc (#329)
? Bearcats have #246 eFG% in country (turn ball over 20.9% of time, #268)

Houston (17-3, 11-3)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #311
? Experience: #165
? Continuity: #127
? Houston lost two of last three AAC games, after a 10-1 start.
? Cougars are 5-1 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
? Houston has the #1 eFG% defense in the country.

? Teams split last eight series games.
? Bearcats lost last three visits here, by 5-7-13 points.

South Florida @ Temple
South Florida (7-8, 3-6)
? ranked #131 by KenPom
? Tempo: #259
? Experience: #129
? Continuity: #70
? Bulls lost three in row, six of last eight games.
? USF haas #310 eFG% in country (#322 inside arc)
? Bulls split their four AAC road games SU.

Temple (4-9, 3-9)
? ranked #139 by KenPom
? Tempo: #160
? Experience: #237
? Continuity: #296
? Temple lost its last five games, scoring 65.2 ppg.
? Owls lost three of their last four home games.
? Temple is shooting only 44.4% inside arc (#324)

? Temple won last dozen series games (2 of last 3 in OT)
? Bulls lost last five visits to Temple, last two by 2-6 points.

Maryland @ Rutgers
Maryland (13-10, 7-9)
? ranked #33 by KenPom
? Tempo: #317
? Experience: #139
? Continuity: #91
? Maryland won its last three games, by 13-14-8 points.
? Terrapins split their last six road games.
? Maryland is getting 35.3% of its points on arc (#67)

Rutgers (12-8, 8-8)
? ranked #26 by KenPom
? Tempo: #231
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #8
? Rutgers won its last three home games, giving up 53 ppg.
? Rutgers is getting 59.5% of its points inside arc (#14)
? Knights are shooting 32.3% on arc (#244), 61.6% on foul line (#344)

? Rutgers won 74-60 at Maryland December 14.
? Scarlet Knights won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
? Terps won three of last four visits to Rutgers.

Davidson @ St Bonaventure
Davidson (11-5, 6-2)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #347
? Experience: #181
? Continuity: #41
? This is Davidson?s first D-I game in four weeks.
? Wildcats are 4-0 in true road games, giving up 54.8 ppg.
? Davidson is shooting 57.8% inside arc (#7)

St Bonaventure (10-3, 8-3)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #299
? Experience: #111
? Continuity: #27
? This is the Bonnies? first game in nine days.
? Bonnies have #21 eFG% defense in country.
? St Bonaventure won all five of its A-14 home games.

? Davidson won last seven series games.
? Teams split last two series games played here.

UNLV @ San Jose State
UNLV (9-11, 6-7)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #34
? Experience: #346
? Continuity: #315
? UNLV lost five of its last eight games.
? Opponents are shooting 38.5% on arc this year (#329)
? UNLV is getting 39.4% of its points on arc (#18)

San Jose State (5-14, 3-12)
? ranked #323 by KenPom
? Tempo: #32
? Experience: #221
? Continuity: #48
? San Jose lost its last three games, by 31-22-16 points.
? San Jose has #336 eFG% in country (#338 inside arc)
? Friday was Spartans? first game this season in San Jose.

? Rebels won 76-60 here Friday night.
? UNLV won last seven series games.
? Rebels won last four visits here, by 6-7-23-16 points.

Western Michigan @ Ball State
Western Michigan (4-13, 3-9)
? ranked #267 by KenPom
? Tempo: #308
? Experience: #208
? Continuity: #126
? Broncos lost nine of their last 11 games.
? WMU actually won two of its last three road games.
? Broncos are 1-12 vs teams ranked in top 200.

Ball State (7-11, 5-8)
? ranked #170 by KenPom
? Tempo: #73
? Experience: #119
? Continuity: #112
? Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
? Ball State is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
? Cardinals blew a 13-point lead in Friday?s 88-79 loss to Akron.

? Ball State beat WMU 76-68 in Kalamazoo December 22.
? Cardinals won four of last five series games.
? Broncos lost last two visits here, 79-59/71-61.

Penn State @ Iowa
Penn State (7-11, 4-10)
? ranked #35 by KenPom
? Tempo: #149
? Experience: #45
? Continuity: #48
? Penn State lost its last three games, by 2-1-10 points.
? Nittany Lions lost last seven road games (four by 4 or less points)
? Opponents are shooting 55.0% on the arc (#318)

Iowa (16-6, 10-5)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #112
? Experience: #200
? Continuity: #152
? Iowa won its last three games, by 13-30-15 points.
? Hawkeyes are shooting 40.4% on arc (#4)
? Iowa split last four home games, losing to Indiana/Ohio State.

? Teams split last ten series games.
? Penn State lost six of last seven visits to Iowa City.

Wisconsin @ Northwestern
Wisconsin (15-8, 9-7)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #324
? Experience: #19
? Continuity: #12
? Badgers lost five of their last eight games.
? Wisconsin is shooting 46.7% inside arc (#274)
? Last two games, Badgers scored 59-62 points.

Northwestern (6-13, 3-12)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #131
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #38
? Northwestern lost its last dozen games.
? Wildcats lost last four home tilts, giving up 80 ppg.
? Five of their last six losses were by 7 or fewer points.

? Wildcats lost 68-52 in Madison January 20.
? Wisconsin last five series games.
? Badgers won last two visits to Evanston, 70-64/69-64.

Butler @ Xavier
Butler (7-12, 6-10)
? ranked #10 by KenPom
? Tempo: #357
? Experience: #177
? Continuity: #231
? Butler lost five of their last seven games overall.
? Bulldogs lost last three road games, by 12-3-15 points.
? Butler has #272 eFG%, #289 eFG% defense.

Xavier (11-4, 4-4)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #140
? Experience: #120
? Continuity: #184
? Xavier is 0-2 since its 2-week pause, giving up 80-93 points.
? Musketeers split their last four home games.
? Opponents are shooting 45% inside arc (#27).

? Xavier won 68-54 at Butler January 30, their last win.
? Bulldogs won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last four meetings played here.

Siena @ Niagara
Siena (8-3, 8-3)
? ranked #152 by KenPom
? Tempo: #291
? Experience: #156
? Continuity: #213
? Siena lost three of last five games, after a 6-0 start.
? Yesterday was Siena?s first game in 20 days- they played 4 starters 33:00+.
? Last five games, Siena scored 57.6 ppg.

Niagara (8-9, 7-8)
? ranked #239 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #7
? Continuity: #31
? Niagara won three of its last four home games.
? Yesterday was Niagara?s first game in 20 days.
? Purple Eagles have #301 eFG% in country (#276 on arc, #288 inside arc)

? Siena was 1-14 on arc in yesterday?s 64-62 loss here.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Saints lost three of last four games at Niagara.

Rider @ Quinnipiac
Rider (4-12, 4-9)
? ranked #309 by KenPom
? Tempo: #171
? Experience: #211
? Continuity: #321
? Rider lost five of their last six games.
? Broncs have #317 eFG% defense in country.
? Yesterday was Rider?s first game in four weeks.

Quinnipiac (7-9, 5-7)
? ranked #282 by KenPom
? Tempo: #44
? Experience: #316
? Continuity: #159
? Bobcats have #3 eFG% defense in country.
? Quinnipiac split their four MAAC home games.
? Bobcats are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#234)

? Quinnipiac shot 65.4% inside arc, beat Rider 80-64 yesterday.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Rider lost last three games at Quinnipiac, by 10-19-16 points.


-----------------------------------------

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, February 21

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BU at COLG 01:00 PM
COLG -11.0
O 150.5

GASO at CCU 01:00 PM
GASO +6.5.........55 - 65.........LOSER
U 142.5...........WINNER

RID at QUIN 01:00 PM
QUIN -2.5.........68 - 93.............WINNER

CIN at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU -13.0..........52 - 90.........WINNER
U 136.5

MICH at OSU 01:00 PM
OSU +1.5........,,92 - 87........LOSER
U 144.5.............LOSER

MSM at FDU 02:00 PM
FDU -2.0...........74 - 61.........LOSER
O 135.5.............LOSER

SH at SFBK 02:00 PM
SH +3.0
U 151.5

USF at TEM 02:00 PM
USF -1.5........83 - 76
O 133.0...........WINNER

STON at ALBY 02:00 PM
ALBY -6.0............56 - 69 ...........WINNER
U 132.5

******************

ARMY at HC 03:00 PM
ARMY -6.0.......51 - 67.........LOSER
U 143.5

MD at RUTG 03:00 PM
RUTG -4.5........68 - 59...........LOSER
O 130.5...........LOSER

BING at NJIT 03:00 PM
NJIT -9.0
U 138.5

DAV at SBON 03:30 PM
DAV +4.5......58 - 69............LOSER
O 133.0...........LOSER

SFPA at WAG 04:00 PM
SFPA +6.0......68 - 70...........WINNER
O 135.0...............WINNER

NCAT at FAMU 04:00 PM
NCAT +2.0
U 140.0

CCSU at LIU 04:00 PM
O 150.5

EVAN at DRKE 04:00 PM
DRKE -12.0........71 - 85..........WINNER
O 132.5............WINNER

BRY at MW 04:00 PM
MW -1.5
O 143.5

UNLV at SJSU 04:00 PM
SJSU +13.5.........67 - 64...........WINNER
O 142.5............LOSER

ORU at SDAK 04:30 PM
ORU +2.0...............PPD
O 159.5

**************

UALR at ULM 05:00 PM
UALR -3.5
U 131.0

VALP at SIU 05:00 PM
VALP +1.0
U 133.0

PV at TXSO 05:00 PM
PV -1.5
O 141.0

PSU at IOWA 05:00 PM
IOWA -10.0............68 - 74......LOSER
O 156.5

NAVY at AMER 06:00 PM
NAVY -5.5...........69 - 60.....WINNER
O 132.0

LEH at L-MD 06:00 PM
LEH +12.0
O 140.0

***********************

BUT at XAV 07:00 PM
XAV -8.0........51 - 63............WINNER
U 133.0.............WINNER

WMU at BALL 07:00 PM
BALL -7.5.............PPD
U 137.5

WIS at NW 07:00 PM
WIS -6.0............68 - 51.......WINNER
U 131.5..........WINNER




FEBRUARY BEST BETS RECORD:

Fev. 21,2021.........15 - 12......+9.00
Feb. 20,2021.........44 - 41.......- 5.50
Feb. 19,2021.........23 - 15......+32.50
Feb. 18,2021.........17 - 15.......+2.50
Feb. 17, 2021........19 - 10.......+40.00
Feb. 16, 2021........12 - 11........- 0.50
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 6..........+ 2.00
Feb. 14, 2021........15 - 10.......+ 20.00
Feb. 13, 2021........32 - 26........+17.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........7 - 6...........+ 2.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........9 - 10.........- 10.00
Feb. 10, 2021........16 - 11.......+ 19.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........6 - 6............- 3.00
Feb. 08, 2021.........3 - 10.........- 40.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........6 - 5............+ 2.50
Feb. 06, 2021........18 - 17...........- 3.50
Feb. 05, 2021........15 - 9...........+25.50
Feb. 04, 2021..........7 - 7............- 3.50
Feb. 03, 2021..........6 - 8...........- 14.00
Feb. 02, 2021..........8 - 2...........+29.00
Feb. 01, 2021..........5 - 7...........- 13.50


TOTALS...............289 - 244........-+103.00


*************************************
January's Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses.....3 Push....44.92%... -216.00
--------------------------------------------------------
December's BEST BETS TOTALS.....21 WINS....9 LOSES......3 CANCELLED...70.00%...+55.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
Six of Atlanta Braves? top prospects:
1) Cristian Pache, OF
2) Ian Anderson, P? He?s from a suburb of Albany
3) Drew Waters, OF
5) Bryce Wilson, P
9) Braden Shewmake, SS
11) Michael Harris, OF

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 499,911
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I?m not happy unless I?m miserable.?
Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau

Monday?s quiz
Which actor on Law and Order was also a US Senator, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President?

Sunday?s quiz
Red Holzman was Knicks? coach when they won their only two NBA titles, in 1970, 1973

Saturday?s quiz
Cal-Irvine?s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

***************************

Monday?s Den: Happy birthday, Dad??.

13) I?ve become a fan of listening to podcasts on my phone; if there aren?t any good movies on TV late at night, after the games are over, then I?ll put music on or listen to a podcast.

I?m a little concerned that podcasts have replaced writing in a lot of places, because our society is lazy, and running your mouth is easier than typing out your thoughts, but still, I?ve enjoyed learning stuff from listening to people who are smarter than I am.

Word of caution: There A LOT OF PODCASTS out there, so pick/choose things that interest you. My main interests are sports and movies; here are a few podcasts I listen to:

? The Moment, with Brian Koppelman (one of writers of Billions)
? Eye on College Basketball, a CBS production which is self-explanatory.
? The Mind of Miles, with former Nebraska hoop coach Tim Miles, who will have himself a nice career on TV if he chooses that option. He is upbeat and can really talk.
? Truth and Basketball, with George Karl and another guy- they get some good guests. Listened to an episode with Julius Erving the other night.
? 6 Ways to Sunday? Rams? GM Les Snead and his wife, Kara Henderson talk about interesting aspects of being an NFL GM that we might not usually think about.

Sports, politics, movies, music; its all out there. Its like eavesdropping on conversations, so if you choose smart, interesting people, you?ll get smarter while you?re being entertained.

12) Book recommendation: If you love pro basketball and you remember the ABA, then you have to read Loose Balls, which is basically an oral history of the ABA. The author interviewed a ton of people, then cut/pasted their answers and created this book, long before cut/paste was an actual thing.

Lot of great stories; some of it is obviously dated, seeing how the ABA ended 45 years ago, but the ABA is also highly underrated in basketball history. This book is worth reading.

11) Kid on Florida Atlantic?s baseball team hit two grand slams in one inning the other day, and they were his first two college at-bats. Not a bad way to start your career.

10) I?m in a 14-team fantasy baseball league; it is a dynasty league, so we have a 2-round draft every February, but otherwise keep our teams from year-to-year. This league has been going on since 2005; we?ve finished our draft already and now wait for spring training games to start this coming weekend. Every team gets four drop/adds per month.

I used to offer trades during the spring, but trading can be frustrating; only a couple guys will make deals that are fair exchanges. Few years ago, thought I had a trade wrapped up, but then the guy says, ?One more thing??throw in deGrom and we?ve got a deal? Ummm, no bueno.

9) Colorado Rockies are taking grief over dealing Nolan Arenado, and the prospect of Trevor Story also getting traded sometime this year, before he hits free agency. Last time Colorado signed a major league free agent?

December 21, 2018, they signed Daniel Murphy. Are they trying to win?

8) More bad news for the Rockies Sunday; 35-year old 1B/OF Ian Desmond is opting out for the second year in a row, to spend more time with his family. Desmond must?ve taken good care of his money; he has passed on $13.5M by sitting out last year/this year. He is a free agent after this season; why would a hitter willingly leave Denver?

7) One of the pitfalls of wagering on college basketball is that lot of teams have very little depth, and a turned ankle or foul trouble to one guy can cripple a team.

? Notre Dame-Syracuse game Saturday, both teams played 7 guys (Syracuse played an 8th kid, but only for 3:00)
? South Alabama is on a roll, winning 8 in a row; they played six guys Saturday. Six!!!

Lot of work keeping up with who is healthy/who isn?t. It is way worse this year because of teams pausing for COVID and games getting re-scheduled. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

6) When you hear a basketball announcer on TV say ?Eurostep? that?s his polite way of saying, ?the guy just walked but the ref didn?t call it.?

5) Atlantic 14 tournament has been jockeyed around some:
? Tournament was moved up to March 3-6 in Richmond, all except the final.
? A-14 final will be March 14 in Dayton, which is close to Indiana, where the whole NCAA Tournament will be played. Trying to minimize any possible COVID issues.

4) St Bonaventure 69, Davidson 58:
? Bonnies are 11-3, 9-3 in conference.
? Get a map, and find Olean, NY; it is in middle of nowhere, on Southern Tier of NY.
? How does Bonnies? coach Mark Schmidt not have a better job? He is a great coach.

Bonnies have 12 players, 2 freshmen, one sophomore, and NINE JUNIORS. They could be a really good team the next couple of years.

3) When I wrote tomorrow NBA?s page just before I started this page, was watching the Minnesota-Knicks game on TV. Knicks won a close game; just heard that after the game, the Timberwolves fired coach Ryan Saunders.

2) As if the last year hasn?t been weird enough, Saturday an NHL game was delayed for eight hours because the sun was out and the ice at the outdoor rink was melting. This was at the same time as the PGA event in Los Angeles being delayed because it was too windy out. Oy.

1) Today would?ve been my dad?s 95th birthday; he passed away six years ago, and I miss him every day. He was a quiet, patient person; somehow the patience didn?t get passed down to his son. 🙂

Back in the day, I wasn?t allowed to watch The Three Stooges on TV: my mother apparently thought I would start drilling people in the head with a wrench if I did, but when she went out, I would put The Three Stooges on (WSBK in Boston) and my dad would come in the room, shake his head at me, but five minutes later, he?d be laughing harder than I was. Every time.

My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodgers fan; he loved golf, the Mets/Knicks/Giants, going to the racetrack at Saratoga and being around his family, and we loved being around him. Happy birthday dad; wish you were here.