CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 22

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OKLAHOMA (16 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (27 - 0) - 3/22/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 168-131 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO U (17 - 7) vs. CREIGHTON (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (23 - 7) vs. KANSAS (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 66-34 ATS (+28.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (20 - 6) vs. IOWA (22 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (19 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (21 - 4) - 3/22/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MICHIGAN is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA ST (17 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 120-158 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ABILENE CHRISTIAN (24 - 4) vs. UCLA (19 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARYLAND (17 - 13) vs. ALABAMA (25 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STETSON (11 - 14) vs. BOWLING GREEN (14 - 11) - 3/22/2021, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 7) vs. BRYANT (15 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONGWOOD (12 - 16) vs. PEPPERDINE (12 - 12) - 3/22/2021, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BELLARMINE (13 - 7) vs. ARMY (12 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Cnotes53]

817OKLAHOMA -818 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
Jeff Boals is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games (Coach of OHIO U)

821USC -822 KANSAS
USC is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

823OREGON -824 IOWA
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

825LSU -826 MICHIGAN
LSU is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

827COLORADO -828 FLORIDA ST
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more in the current season.

829ABILENE CHRISTIAN -830 UCLA
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

831MARYLAND -832 ALABAMA
MARYLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

833STETSON -834 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 9-20 ATS (-13 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.


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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 22

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OKLAHOMA (16 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (27 - 0) - 3/22/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 168-131 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO U (17 - 7) vs. CREIGHTON (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (23 - 7) vs. KANSAS (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 66-34 ATS (+28.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (20 - 6) vs. IOWA (22 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (19 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (21 - 4) - 3/22/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MICHIGAN is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA ST (17 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 120-158 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ABILENE CHRISTIAN (24 - 4) vs. UCLA (19 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARYLAND (17 - 13) vs. ALABAMA (25 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STETSON (11 - 14) vs. BOWLING GREEN (14 - 11) - 3/22/2021, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 7) vs. BRYANT (15 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONGWOOD (12 - 16) vs. PEPPERDINE (12 - 12) - 3/22/2021, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BELLARMINE (13 - 7) vs. ARMY (12 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 22

Oregon (7) vs Iowa (2)
Oregon (21-6)
? ranked #28 by KenPom
? Tempo: #242
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #267
? Oregon had bye Saturday, because of VCU?s COVID issues.
? Oregon won 11 of their last 13 games.
? Ducks are shooting 37.9% on arc (#19)
? Oregon is 4-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Under Altman, Ducks are 4-2 SU in 2nd round games.

Iowa (22-8)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #109
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #43
? Iowa won nine of its last 11 games.
? Iowa is shooting 38.8% on arc (#9)
? Hawkeyes never trailed Saturday, scoring 1.37 ppp.
? Iowa is 5-5 vs top 30 teams.
? Under McCaffery, Iowa is 0-3 in second round games.

? Last five tournaments, #2-seeds are 6-6 SU vs #7-seeds.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.

Oklahoma (8) vs Gonzaga (1)
Oklahoma (16-10)
? ranked #41 by KenPom
? Tempo: #223
? Experience: #60
? Continuity: #48
? Oklahoma lost five of their last seven games.
? Oklahoma?s #2 scorer Harmon missed last game (check status).
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#39)
? Their last seven games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Sooners played three starters 33:00+ in Saturday?s win.
? Under Kruger, Oklahoma is 2-1 SU in 2nd round games.

Gonzaga (27-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #179
? Gonzaga was up 20 at half Saturday, had a stress-free day.
? Zags are shooting 63.8% inside arc (#1)
? Gonzaga gets 57.6% of its points on 2-point shots (#28)
? Gonzaga won four of last five 2nd round games, after losing five in a row, from 2010-14.

? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.
? Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.

Abilene Christian (14) vs UCLA (11)
Abilene Christian (23-4)
? ranked #85 by KenPom
? Tempo: #102
? Experience: #34
? Continuity: #20
? Wildcats won 12 of their last 13 games.
? ACU lost 51-44 at Texas Tech, 85-72 at Arkansas.
? ACU is forcing turnovers 26.7% of time (#1)
? Abilene Christian is shooting 37.7% on arc (#21)
? ACU lost 79-44 to UCLA in first round two years ago.

UCLA (18-9)
? ranked #44 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #25
? UCLA lost four of its last four games.
? UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
? Bruins are 8-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Since 2009, UCLA is 9-7 in NCAAs.
? Cronin is 7-11 in NCAAs, 1-4 after the first round.

? Since 1988, #14-seeds are 1-9 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.

Ohio (13) vs Creighton (5)
Ohio (17-7)
? ranked #79 by KenPom
? Tempo: #128
? Experience: #270
? Continuity: #84
? Ohio won nine of its last ten games.
? Bobcats are shooting 56.2% inside the arc (#11)
? Opponents are shooting 51.2% inside arc (#239)
? Ohio played two starters 40:00 Saturday; another played 36:00.
? Ohio is in NCAA?s for first time since 2012.

Creighton (21-8)
? ranked #24 by KenPom
? Tempo: #146
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #18
? Creighton won four of its last five games.
? Bluejays are shooting 56.3% inside the arc (#10)
? Creighton has #38 eFG% defense in country.
? Under McDermott, Bluejays are 0-3 in second round.

? Last six years, #13-seeds are 0-4 ATS in second round games.
? Since league reconfigured, Big East teams are 4-6 ATS in second round games.

LSU (8) vs Michigan (1)
LSU (19-9)
? ranked #21 by KenPom
? Tempo: #78
? Experience: #329
? Continuity: #135
? LSU won five of their last six games.
? Tigers don?t pass much (#338 in assist/basket ratio)
? LSU is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#60)
? Tigers are poor on defensive boards (#325)
? LSU had an unexpectedly easy win Saturday.
? Since 1997, LSU is 3-1 in second round games.

Michigan (21-4)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #256
? Experience: #56
? Continuity: #147
? Michigan split its last six games, after an 18-1 start.
? Key player Livers missed last two games (check status)
? Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
? Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
? Since 1998, Michigan is 3-5 SU in second round games.

? Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

Colorado (5) vs Florida State (4)
Colorado (22-8)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #280
? Experience: #30
? Continuity: #85
? Colorado won six of its last seven games.
? Colorado is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#48)
? Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
? Buffs lost Pac-12 title game by hoop to Oregon State.
? Colorado is in NCAA?s for first time since 2016.
? Tad Boyle is 1-3 SU in first round games.

Florida State (16-6)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #84
? Experience: #100
? Continuity: #103
? FSU lost three of its last five games, after a 14-3 start.
? Seminoles have #33 eFG% defense in country.
? Florida State is shooting 39% on the arc (#9)
? Deep team; they?re #23 in bench minutes.
? Seminoles won their last five first round games.

? Last 13 times #4-seed played #5-seed in 2nd round, favorites went 10-3 ATS.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
? Last two tournaments, ACC teams were 8-1 SU in 2nd round games.

Maryland (10) vs Alabama (2)
Maryland (17-13)
? ranked #31 by KenPom
? Tempo: #320
? Experience: #125
? Continuity: #93
? Maryland lost three of their last five games.
? Terrapins are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#61)
? Maryland gets 35.4% of its points on 3-pointers (#57)
? Maryland had fairly easy win Saturday, holding UConn to 32.3% from floor.
? As a head coach, Turgeon is 2-5 SU in second round games.

Alabama (25-6)
? ranked #7 by KenPom
? Tempo: #9
? Experience: #133
? Continuity: #152
? Alabama won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
? Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
? Alabama gets 39.7% of its points on 3-pointers (#16)
? Alabama was up 33-32 at half vs Iona; only Jones played more than 31:00.
? Since 1997, Alabama is 1-3 in second round games; the win was in 2004.

? Last 11 times #2-seed played #10-seed in 2nd round, underdogs went 8-3 ATS.
? Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

USC (6) vs Kansas (3)
USC (23-7)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #239
? Experience: #202
? Continuity: #317
? USC won four of its last five games.
? USC has #8 eFG% defense in country.
? Opponents are shooting 41.7% inside arc (#2)
? Trojans are shooting only 64.5% on foul line (#328)
? This is USC?s first NCAA since 2017.
? Since 1997, USC is 2-2 in second round games.

Kansas (21-8)
? ranked #18 by KenPom
? Tempo: #184
? Experience: #263
? Continuity: #123
? Jalen Wilson is expected to be un uniform here; he didn?t play Saturday.
? Jayhawks won nine of their last ten games.
? Kansas has #53 eFG% defense in country.
? Jayhawks are 5-5 SU in last ten 2nd round games.

? Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
? Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.


--------------------------------


NCAAB

Monday, March 22

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Trend Report
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USC @ Kansas
USC
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
Kansas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing USC


-------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STET at BGSU 11:30 AM
BGSU -8.5
U 151.5

ORE at IOWA 12:10 PM
IOWA -5.0
U 148.0

CCU at BRY 02:30 PM
BRY +2.5
O 157.0

OKLA at GONZ 02:40 PM
GONZ -14.0
O 154.0

ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5
O 133.0

LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0
O 144.5

OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5
O 149.0

 

[Cnotes53]

PLAYED BUT NEVER POSTED:

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STET at BGSU
BGSU -8.5
U 151.5

ORE at IOWA
IOWA -5.0
U 148.0

CCU at BRY
BRY +2.5
O 157.0

OKLA at GONZ
GONZ -14.0
O 154.0

ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5
O 133.0

LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0
O 144.5

OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5
O 149.0

LSU at MICH 07:10 PM
LSU +4.5
O 148.0

COLO at FSU 07:45 PM
COLO +1.5
O 140.5

BELL at ARMY 08:30 PM
BELL -1.5
U 137.5

MD at ALA 08:45 PM
MD +6.0
O 138.5

USC at KU 09:40 PM
USC +1.0
O 135.0




2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............36-37-1.................49.31%...........-23..50

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STET at BGSU 11:30 AM
BGSU -8.5..........53 - 52.........LOSER
U 151.5.......................WINNER

ORE at IOWA 12:10 PM
IOWA -5.0...........95 - 80...........LOSER
U 148.0

CCU at BRY 02:30 PM
BRY +2.5........93 - 82.....LOSER
O 157.0...................WINNER

OKLA at GONZ 02:40 PM
GONZ -14.0.........71 - 87
O 154.0..................WINNER

ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5..........47 - 67.......LOSER
O 133.0...............LOSER

LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0...........66 - 80
O 144.5................WINNER

OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5........58 - 72....LOSER
O 149.0.................LOSER

LSU at MICH 07:10 PM
LSU +4.5..........78 - 86
O 148.0.............WINNER

COLO at FSU 07:45 PM
COLO +1.5........53 - 71.....LOSER
O 140.5..............LOSER

BELL at ARMY 08:30 PM
BELL -1.5.......77 - 67...WINNER
U 137.5............LOSER

MD at ALA 08:45 PM
MD +6.0...77 - 96
O 138.5...........WINNER

USC at KU 09:40 PM
USC +1.0.........85 - 51.........WINNER
O 135.0...........WINNER




2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............45-47-1.................48.91%...........-33..50[/SIZE]

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%? Tony Snell, All
49.0%? Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%? Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%? Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%? Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%? Luke Kennard, LAC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I enjoyed last season, when we had the worst record in the league, more than I enjoyed that last season when we went to the Finals. Last year we had young guys who were trying every day, working hard and we had a great energy, great spirit and great camaraderie.?
Steve Kerr

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was USC?s coach in 2007, last time they made the Sweet 16?
(Hint: He used to coach the Chicago Bulls)

Monday?s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat the Cleveland Indians.

Sunday?s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade?s college coach at Marquette.

************************

Tuesday?s Den: Nobody asked me, but??..

13) Oregon 95, Iowa 80:
? Ducks ended first half on an 18-4 run, never looked back.
? Oregon?s shot chart had an awful lot of dunks/layups.
? Luka Garza ended a great college career, scoring 36 points.

12) Michigan 86, LSU 78:
? Wolverines are only Big 14 team left in tournament; 9 teams started.
? Michigan shot 66.7% inside arc, are in Sweet 16 for 3rd time in last four tourneys.
? LSU?s two best players both played 40:00, and it showed near the end.

11) Gonzaga 87, Oklahoma 71
? Gonzaga is 28-0, with one win by less than 10 points.
? Zags shot 57.1% inside arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
? Oklahoma finished season losing six of its last eight games.

10) USC 85, Kansas 51:
? Trojans made nine of their first 13 3-pointers, are in first Sweet 16 since ?07
? Pac-12 teams are 9-1 SU in this tournament.
? Kansas had won 9 of 10 games coming in; not a strong effort here.

9) Creighton 72, Ohio U 58:
? Ohio U emptied its bag when they upset Virginia Saturday.
? Bishop was 6-7 from floor, had 15 rebounds for Creighton.
? Bluejays held four of last five opponents to 62 or fewer points.

8) Alabama 96, Maryland 77:
? Alabama made 16-33 shots on arc; tough to beat that.
? Bet you its been long time since Maryland gave up 1.43 ppp.
? Terps finished 17-14, losing four of last six games.

7) Florida State 71, Colorado 53:
? Seminoles are shooting 38.2% on arc (#16), are #19 on offensive boards.
? Florida State is deep; they scored 41 points in first 30:00, 30 points in last 10:00.
? 23-9 Colorado started three seniors; really good year for them.

6) UCLA 67, Abilene Christian 47:
? UCLA had last four games in a row before this tournament started.
? You get feeling Abilene Christian beating Texas was their Super Bowl.
? UCLA-Alabama in Sweet 16 is a stark contrast of styles.

Cruddy set of set games Monday; one game decided by less than 14 points.

5) College basketball coaching stuff:
? Marquette fired Steve Wojciechowski, who made two NCAA tourneys (0-2) in 7 years.
? Hofstra coach Joe Mihalich stepped down, took another job in the athletic department.
? UNLV hired Kevin Kruger as its coach; his dad Lon Kruger was UNLV?s coach as recently was 2011, is coaching Oklahoma now.

4) Mountain West used to be a fun league, but it has gone downhill lately; last five tournaments, Mountain West teams are 1-7 in first round games. Going to be a one-bid league soon.

3) This was first time since 2003 that North Carolina went consecutive seasons without winning an NCAA Tournament game. In 2002/2003, Tar Heels went a combined 10-22 in ACC games and then they fired the coach, which is why Roy Williams came back to Chapel Hill.

I understand that there was no NCAA Tournament last year, but UNC went 14-19 and wasn?t getting in the tournament anyway.

2) Last three NCAA tournaments, ACC teams were combined 5-16 ATS in the first round.

1) Memo to myself: The first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is great fun, always. Next year, if I have half a brain, this column will be written in Las Vegas.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 23

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STET at CCU 05:30 PM
CCU -7.0..........72 - 77......LOSER
U 146.0.................LOSER

PEPP at BELL 08:00 PM
PEPP -4.5...........82 - 71.....WINNER
U 150.0...........LOSER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/23/2021...........1-3.0.................25.00%..........-11.50
03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

TOTALS..............46-50-1.................47.91%...........-45.00

 

[Cnotes53]

609COASTAL CAROLINA -610 PEPPERDINE
PEPPERDINE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CCU at PEPP 08:00 PM
CCU +4.5
O 150.5


2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/24/2021...........0-2-0.................00.00%..........-11.00
03/23/2021...........1-3.0.................25.00%..........-11.50
03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 5-pack
A person named Web Smith posted this on Twitter:
A few books that I credit to helping me when my mental health falters:
1: Atomic Habits (James Clear)
2: Can?t Hurt Me (Goggins)
3: The Daily Stoic (Holiday)
4: Driven (Douglas Brackmann)
5: GRIT (Angela Duckworth)
If your mental health is struggling, reach out to a friend, read a book, listen to music.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?It?s no longer about me trying to move up any ladders, make more money. I?m at a great place in my life. I can coach six, seven more years, God willing, just try to make young men better, try to make the program reach heights it?s never reached. That?s all I have planned. It?s a great place to be. There?s some things that suck about being 68 (years old). The great thing about it is being at Iona, being able to teach with nobody bothering you, just make the players better.?
Rick Pitino

Thursday?s quiz
Jimmy Chitwood was the big star for Hickory High in Hoosiers; what number did he wear?

Wednesday?s quiz
Joe Girardi has managed the Marlins, Bronx and Philadelphia.

Tuesday?s quiz
Tim Floyd was USC?s coach in 2007, last time they made the Sweet 16; he coached the Chicago Bulls from 1998-2002.

*******************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Baseball had the universal DH last year and everyone seemed happy with it; no pitchers got hurt while batting and it was assumed that it would become a permanent thing.

But sometimes it seems like baseball is run by imbeciles; the owners used the universal DH as a bargaining chip to retain the expanded playoffs, and the players said no, so this season, the National League pitchers will bat, with it widely assumed that once there is a new labor deal this winter, the universal DH will become a permanent thing.

Arizona pitcher Zac Gallen has a hairline fracture in his right arm, something that only pains him when he swings a bat- go figure. The main reason this ticks me off is that Gallen is one of the better pitchers on my fantasy team, and good pitchers are hard to find. Oy.

But it is also annoying because in a business where teams are with a billion dollars, there seems to be no common sense. They want more offense in the game, but they won?t put the DH in for both leagues. They want more balls in play, but they let pitchers bat and most pitchers suck at hitting. It makes no sense.

12) Toronto Blue Jays have injury issues already:
? OF George Springer has an oblique issue.
? Closer Kirby Yates might need Tommy John surgery.
? P Nate Pearson has a pulled leg muscle.
? Injuries to 3B Cavan Biggio?s injured finger came back negative.
? P Robbie Ray is day-to-day with an elbow injury.

11) This will be catcher Kurt Suzuki?s 15th year in the major leagues; he?s bounced around a lot:
2007-12: Oakland
2012-13: Washington
2013: back to Oakland for 35 games.
2014-16: Minnesota
2017-18: Atlanta
2019-20: Washington
2021: LA Angels

Bet you he could write a hell of a book.

10) Houston Astros signed P Lance McCullers to a 5-year, $85M contract extension.

9) Last year, the average on-base % in the major leagues was .321; the average slugging percentage was .402, making the average OPS .723.

8) They were talking on the Spurs game last night, saying that Kawhi Leonard owns:
? a $17M home in Pacific Palisades
? a $7M condo in downtown Los Angeles
? a $13M home in Rancho Sante Fe

Must be fun to be really rich.

Leonard scored 25 last night; Clippers pounded San Antonio, 134-101.

7) There is a rule in college sports that was put into effect in 2006: Division I athletes can transfer without having to sit out a year if they graduated in four years and have a season of eligibility remaining.

One of the first ballplayers to take use this rule was Kevin Kruger, who transferred from Arizona State to UNLV, so he could he could play for his dad Lon Kruger. UNLV made the Sweet 16 that year; they?ve only won one NCAA Tournament game since then.

Which is why, 15 years later, Kevin Kruger is the new head coach at UNLV; he will be looking to poach transfers from other schools to strengthen his roster. Who wouldn?t to go to school in a town that loves basketball and has great weather?

Problem is, Kruger will be UNLV?s 5th head coach in eight years; they need better players, and they need some stability, with both their roster and coaching staff.

6) Two years ago, when Eric Musselman was coaching at Nevada, he started five 5th-year seniors, all of whom had transferred to Reno; his starting lineup that season was older than the Phoenix Suns had in the NBA. Having a talented, mature lineup helps you win.

5) Felt bad for Houston Rockets? coach Stephen Silas the other night; his team was 11-10 at one point, but then lost 20 games in a row. Losing sucks; at his post-game press conference, Silas was obviously upset, he is sitting at the table, head in hand, trying to keep it together. This is his first year as an NBA head coach, and he knows damn well it also could be his last. Not good.

4) Odds to win each region of the NCAA Tournament:
East:
+175- Alabama
+195- Michigan
+315- Florida State
+750- UCLA

South:
-125- Baylor
+220- Arkansas
+500- Villanova
+4000- Oral Roberts

3) Midwest:
+115- Houston
+190- Loyola Chi
+550- Syracuse
+975- Oregon State

West:
-375- Gonzaga
+640- USC
+1000- Oregon
+2000- Creighton

2) USC-Oregon meet this weekend in the Sweet 16; since 2002, when conference rivals meet in the NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, the underdog has been 7-4 ATS in those games.

1) Watching a San Francisco Giants game on TV the other night, with a few hundred fans there to watch, and a pitcher kept falling behind hitters. A wise guy in the stands yells out:

?Stop nibbling!!! Babe Ruth is dead!!!?

Everyone?s a freakin? expert. LOL

 

[Cnotes53]

611MISSISSIPPI ST -612 RICHMOND
MISSISSIPPI ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons.

613NC STATE -614 COLORADO ST
NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

615BOISE ST -616 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

617LOUISIANA TECH -618 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25






NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 25

NIT tournament- Thursday

Mississippi State vs Richmond (@ Denton, TX))
Mississippi State (16-14)
? ranked #75 by KenPom
? Tempo: #297
? Experience: #312
? Continuity: #253
? Bulldogs are 5-4 in their last nine games.
? Miss State is grabbing 36.1% of their missed shots (#8)
? Bulldogs have #41 eFG% defense in country.
? Miss State starts three sophs and a freshman; they?re using these games to help build for next season.

Richmond (14-8)
? ranked #63 by KenPom
? Tempo: #159
? Experience: #16
? Continuity: #8
? Richmond lost three of its last four games.
? Spiders are 3-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
? Richmond is shooting 53.9% inside the arc (#39)
? Spiders are not a deep team (#338 in bench minutes)
? 5-9 senior G Gilyard played whole 40:00 vs Saint Louis in first round.
? Richmond is 2-0 vs SEC teams this year (Kentucky, Vanderbilt)

NC State vs Colorado State (@ Frisco, TX)
NC State (14-10)
? ranked #66 by KenPom
? Tempo: #195
? Experience: #225
? Continuity: #127
? NC State won six of their last seven games.
? Wolfpack force turnovers 21.9% of time (#47)
? NC State is 6-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Wolfpack shot 67.6% inside arc in their win over Davidson.

Colorado State (19-6)
? ranked #68 by KenPom
? Tempo: #134
? Experience: #308
? Continuity: #36
? Rams won seven of their last nine games.
? Colorado State is shooting 55.2% inside arc (#21).
? 43.5% of shots they take are 3?s (#40)
? Rams didn?t play any seniors in their win over Buffalo.

Memphis vs Boise State (@ Denton, TX)
Memphis (17-8)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #47
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #78
? Memphis won 11 of its last 14 games.
? Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
? Memphis is turning ball over 22.1% of time (#318)
? Dayton shot 62.1% inside arc vs Memphis last game.

Boise State (19-8)
? ranked #59 by KenPom
? Tempo: #127
? Experience: #71
? Continuity: #245
? Boise lost four of its last five games.
? Broncos led last game 30-9, blew lead, won 85-84.
? Broncos are shooting 52.5% inside arc (#70)
? Boise State is 5-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
? Broncos start four juniors and a senior.

Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky (@ Frisco, TX)
Louisiana Tech (22-7)
? ranked #78 by KenPom
? Tempo: #113
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #116
? Bulldogs won six of last seven D-I games.
? Louisiana Tech has three senior starters.
? Bulldogs have the #13 eFG% defense- they?re #28 on defensive boards.
? Tech was held to 55-48 points in last two losses.

Western Kentucky (21-7)
? ranked #90 by KenPom
? Tempo: #210
? Experience: #56
? Continuity: #81
? WKU won 12 of last 15 games, lost finals of C-USA tourney in OT.
? Hilltoppers have a 6-11 center who is probably an NBA player.
? WKU turns ball over 20.7% of time (#268).
? Hilltoppers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30).

? These conference rivals split pair at WKU January 8-9th.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 25

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Trend Report
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Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Louisiana Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech


------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MARCH 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MSST at RICH 06:00 PM
MSST -3.5..........68 - 67......LOSER
U 136.5.....................WINNER

NCST at CSU 07:00 PM
NCST +1.0................61 - 65......LOSER
U 147.0

BSU at MEM 09:00 PM
BSU +4.0..........56 - 59....WINNER
O 143.0...............LOSER

LT at WKU 10:00 PM
LT -1.0...........72 - 65
U 137.5................WINNER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/25/2021...........3-3-0.................50.00%..........-1.50
03/24/2021...........0-2-0.................00.00%..........-11.00
03/23/2021...........1-3.0.................25.00%..........-11.50
03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

Totals...................49 - 55...............47.11..............-57.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
Top NHL teams at going over the total:
? Philadelphia Flyers 22-9 over
? Winnipeg Jets 17-13
? Minnesota Wild 16-13
? Phoenix Coyotes 18-14
? St Louis Blues 17-14
? Las Vegas Golden Knights 16-13
? Washington Capitals 16-13

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 545,357
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?I choose a lazy person to do a hard job. Because a lazy person will find an easy way to do it.?
Bill Gates

Friday?s quiz
Which major league manager has been in his current job the longest?

Thursday?s quiz
Jimmy Chitwood was the big star for Hickory High in Hoosiers; he wore number 15.

Wednesday?s quiz
Joe Girardi has managed the Marlins, Bronx and Philadelphia.

********************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with weekend here??.

13) We know that spring training stats don?t mean anything, but when you?re 1-33 this spring at the plate, when do you get upset/concerned, even if you?re a 10-year major league veteran?

St Louis IF Matt Carpenter is struggling mightily in exhibition games; the season starts in less than a week. Are the Cardinals worried? Should they be? Should he be?

Watched the Cardinals? game Wednesday; Carpenter had a fly ball caught at the fence in CF, so he might not be far off. If he goes 2-4 on Opening Day, all will be forgotten.

12) Bad news for the White Sox; LF Eloy Jimenez tore a pectoral muscle Wednesday, when he tried to reach over the fence to rob an opponent of a home run. He is expected to be out for 5-6 months, meaning he will miss just about all of this season.

11) 68-year old Lon Kruger retired from coaching, ending a really good 44-year career; his son Kevin just became head coach at UNLV? there are rumblings that Lon Kruger is moving back to his old Las Vegas home? he coached the Rebels as recently as 2011, still has a house there.

Kruger is one of only three coaches to lead five schools to the NCAA Tournament; he also coached the Atlanta Hawks in the NBA for a while.

10) Apparently Washington owner Dan Snyder is going to spend $840M to buy out the other owners in the Washington NFL team. What a character this guy must be.

At some point, someone has to write a book/make a movie about Snyder and how he runs his team; he?s had some interesting head coaches- Mike Shanahan, Steve Spurrier, Joe Gibbs, Marty Schottenheimer, Ron Rivera. You?d think they?d win more.

Snyder bought the team in 1999; since then, Washington is 2-4 in playoff games.

9) Back when I was a kid, in the mid-70?s before ESPN, before the Interweb, before lot of stuff, we had this channel on our cable system, channel 3 on the box. It was tremendous.

All it was was this: a light blue background with messages typed on it.

On weekdays, it was a stock market ticker, but at 7pm, that shut down and it became a sports ticker, with scores updated as they happened. On NFL Sundays, they?d post scores as they happened, as in:

TD LAR
Ferragamo 23 TD pass to Waddy
LAR 24-17, 10:43 left in 3rd

The amount of time I spent with that channel on was probably excessive, but after the 4:00 NFL TV game ended, with no Sunday night games back then, the quickest way you?d find out the other late scores was to have channel 3 on. We always had channel 3 on.

8) When MTV started in 1981, channel 3 used MTV as its background music, back when Rosie O?Donnell was actually funny. So you got entertained while you followed the day?s action.

Of course, it wasn?t always good news; New Year?s Eve 1974, I went bowling with friends, came home, put channel 3 on and found out that my hero, Catfish Hunter, had left the A?s as a free agent to sign for more money with another team. 15-year old me wasn?t happy.

No bueno.

7) NIT games Thursday:
? Mississippi State 68, Richmond 67? Bulldogs hit a 3-pointer with 0:01.3 left.
? Colorado State 65, NC State 61? Teams combined to make 8-45 on arc. Yikes.
? Memphis 59, Boise State 56? Tigers won 12 of their last 15 games.
? Louisiana Tech 72, Western Kentucky 65? Tech made 11-19 on arc, WKU 9-30.

6) This has to be a strange year for baseball front offices; not only are they playing a 162-game season, after last year?s shortened 60-game season, but the minor leagues are re-booting, after not doing anything last year. Thats over 100 teams, spread out all over the country. Lot of work to do getting everything re-organized.

5) They were talking on TV about sending players to the minor leagues and do players get upset when they sent down?

Can?t be as bad as when NFL players get cut; in the NFL, you?re cutting the guy loose, out on the street, where he has to find a new job. In baseball, they?re getting sent to the minors, but they could be back to the major leagues very quickly- they?re not losing their job, just getting sent down to the next level.

4) Joe Flacco signed on to be the Philadelphia Eagles? backup QB this season.

3) As I type this, Charlotte Hornets are #4 seed in Eastern Conference, even though they?ve given up more points than they scored this season. If the playoffs started right now, Hornets would host a first round playoff series.

Last time a team scored fewer points than they gave up, and still hosted a first round playoff series that year was 2008, when Cleveland did it.

2) As of 2pm Thursday there were 840 kids in the college basketball transfer portal; there are 357 Division I basketball teams, so you do the math. Lot of players jumping ship.

1) Congrats to the great sportscaster Dick Stockton, who retired this week after a 55-year broadcasting career. 55 years!!!

He was doing Red Sox games on channel 38 in Boston when I was in high school, back in 1975. He called the game well, but it was never about him. Enjoy your retirement!!!

 

[Cnotes53]

621VILLANOVA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.

625OREGON ST -626 LOYOLA-IL
OREGON ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.

641CREIGHTON -642 GONZAGA
CREIGHTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.

643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

647SYRACUSE -648 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.


----------------------------------

----------------------------------


Saturday?s games

Villanova (5) vs Baylor (1)
Villanova (18-6)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #7
? Villanova PG Gillespie is out for year; they beat Winthrop/North Texas to get here.
? Villanova is 7-5 in last dozen games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats get 37.3% of their points on arc (#39)
? Wildcats? bench plays #300 minutes; injuries are costly.
? Since 2005, Villanova is 4-2 in Sweet 16 games.

Baylor (24-2)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #157
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #32
? Baylor is 7-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.5% on the arc (#1)
? Baylor forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#3)
? Bears are grabbing 36.7% of their missed shots (#6)
? Under Drew, Baylor is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

? Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Arkansas (3)
Oral Roberts (18-10)
? ranked #128 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last seven games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.2% on arc (#14), 82.4% on line (#1)
? ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; their bench played total of only 53:00 in their two wins last week, which were both by 3 points.
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Arkansas (24-6)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #239
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won 11 of its last 12 games.
? Arkansas is 10-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #274)
? Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
? Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate in 1st round, still won by 17.
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#38)
? Musselman is 4-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

? Oral Roberts lost 87-76 at Arkansas December 20; ORU was up 41-31 at the half.
? ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; Florida Gulf Coast (+13) lost 62-50 to Florida in this round, eight years ago.

Oregon State (12) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Oregon State (19-12)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #154
? Oregon State won five in row, eight of its last nine games.
? Oregon State is getting 21.3% of its points on foul line (#44)
? Beavers are shooting 47.0% inside arc (#275)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
? Beavers? wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982.

Loyola Chi (26-4)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #36
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won eight in row, 19 of last 20 games.
? Loyola is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 6-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech/Illinois.
? Ramblers are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

? This is only 2nd #8-12 seed game ever in Sweet 16; 12-seed Missouri (+1) beat UCLA in 2002.
? Rhode Island (-8.5) beat 13-seed Valparaiso 74-68 in only 8-13 game, in 1998.

Syracuse (11) vs Houston (2)
Syracuse (18-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #67
? Syracuse won eight of their last 11 games.
? Orangemen are 5-7 vs teams in the top 50.
? Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
? Orangemen made 29-58 on arc in their two wins last week.
? Since 2003, Syracuse is 4-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.

Houston (25-3)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #107
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Opponents are shooting 29.3% on arc (#12)
? Cougars won their last nine games, six of them by 24+ points.
? Houston finished last game on 13-2 run to nip Rutgers 63-60.
? Since 1997, Sampson is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

? Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

Sunday?s games

Florida State (4) vs Michigan (1)
Florida State (18-6)
? ranked #13 by KenPom
? Tempo: #89
? Experience: #100
? Continuity: #103
? FSU is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.
? Seminoles have #21 eFG% defense in country.
? Florida State is shooting 38.2% on the arc (#16)
? Deep team; they?re #25 in bench minutes.
? Florida State is the tallest team in the country.
? Since 1997, Hamilton is 1-3 in Sweet 16 games.

Michigan (22-4)
? ranked #3 by KenPom
? Tempo: #246
? Experience: #58
? Continuity: #146
? Michigan is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 18-1 start.
? Key player Livers missed last three games (check status)
? Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
? Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
? Since 1998, Michigan is 1-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

? Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
? Three years ago, Michigan beat Florida State 58-54 in a regional final.

Creighton (5) @ Gonzaga (1)
Creighton (22-8)
? ranked #20 by KenPom
? Tempo: #143
? Experience: #40
? Continuity: #18
? Creighton won five of its last six games.
? Bluejays are shooting 55.9% inside the arc (#10)
? Creighton has #28 eFG% defense in country.
? Bluejays beat Cal-Santa Barbara/Ohio to get here.
? This is as far as Creighton has ever gotten in this event.

Gonzaga (28-0)
? ranked #1 by KenPom
? Tempo: #4
? Experience: #248
? Continuity: #179
? Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
? Gonzaga?s first two tournament wins were by 43-16 points.
? Zags are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
? Gonzaga gets 57.2% of its points on 2-point shots (#30)
? Under Few, Gonzaga is 2-6 in Sweet 16 games, winning in 2015, 2019.

? Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

Oregon (7) vs USC (6)
Oregon (21-6)
? ranked #17 by KenPom
? Tempo: #227
? Experience: #29
? Continuity: #266
? Oregon is 7-1 since their loss at USC February 22.
? Oregon won 12 of their last 14 games.
? Ducks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#15)
? Oregon is 5-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
? Under Altman, Ducks are 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

USC (24-7)
? ranked #6 by KenPom
? Tempo: #236
? Experience: #201
? Continuity: #317
? USC won five of its last six games.
? USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
? Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#1)
? Trojans are shooting only 64.3% on foul line (#328)
? USC gave up 56-51 points in its wins last week.
? USC last made the Elite 8 in 2001, when Henry Bibby was coach.

? Since 2002, when conference rivals meet in NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, underdog was 7-4 ATS in those games.
? Oregon lost 72-58 at USC February 22; game was 43-22 at the half.
? Since 1987, favorites are 3-3 ATS when #6-7 seeds meet in this round.

UCLA (11) vs Alabama (2)
UCLA (20-9)
? ranked #22 by KenPom
? Tempo: #337
? Experience: #279
? Continuity: #29
? UCLA has lost four in row before winning three games last week.
? UCLA is shooting 37.4% on the arc (#28)
? Bruins are 7-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
? Since 2009, UCLA is 11-7 in NCAAs.
? Cronin is 9-11 in NCAAs, 3-5 after the first round.

Alabama (26-6)
? ranked #8 by KenPom
? Tempo: #12
? Experience: #136
? Continuity: #152
? Alabama won eight in row, 11 of last 12 games.
? Crimson Tide has #17 eFG% defense in country.
? Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on 3-pointers (#15)
? Alabama is grabbing 32.1% of its missed shots (#53)
? Crimson Tide hasn?t been this far in the last 24 years.

? Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.


----------------------------------------


Oral Roberts @ Arkansas
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oral Roberts

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Active leaders in career home runs:
662? Albert Pujols
487? Miguel Cabrera
424? Edwin Encarnaci?n
417? Nelson Cruz
352? Ryan Braun
334? Robinson Cano

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 545,357
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?You never get over it, but you get to where it doesn?t bother you so much.?
Jeffrey Eugenides

Saturday?s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Friday?s quiz
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has been in his current job the longest; this is his 11th season with the A?s.

Thursday?s quiz
Jimmy Chitwood was the big star for Hickory High in Hoosiers; he wore number 15.

**************************

Saturday?s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind??..

13) You know your life is good when someone offers you $120 million for six years, and you turn them down. Thats what Astros? SS Carlos Correa did this week. No thanks to $120M.

Correa is represented by the William Morris Agency; they must be pretty sure Correa will get more than $20M a year down the road, or maybe they wanted opt-outs in the middle, or who knows? Correa will make $11,700,000 this year, is a free agent next winter.

12) As recently as 2010, starting pitchers in the major leagues threw 100+ pitches in 50% of their games, so half the time the starter threw 100+ pitches.

Last year? Starters threw 100+ pitches 10% of the time, as analytics people hammer home the idea that facing hitters a third time in a game is a bad thing.

11) An ?immaculate inning? is when a pitcher strikes out the side on nine pitches; doesn?t happen much. 94 major league pitchers have done it.

Nolan Ryan is the only pitcher ever to throw an immaculate inning in both leagues.

10) Pitchers Max Fried (Braves), Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) and Lucas Giolito (White Sox) all went to the same high school, Harvard-Westlake in Los Angeles. They were all on the baseball team at the same time; they all have the same agent and they?ll all start on Opening Day this season.

Apparently it cost $42,000 a year to go Harvard-Westlake; 42 grand a year for freakin? high school. Yikes.

9) Heard this stat again on TV the other night, it is staggering; Minnesota Twins have lost their last 18 playoff games. They?ve had good teams; losing 18 playoff games in a row is staggering.

8) NBA is going to have a play-in tournament in mid-May, just before their playoffs start:
? #7 and #8-seeds will play one game, winner gets #7-seed in playoffs.
? #9 and #10-seeds will play one game, loser gets eliminated.
? Winner of the second game plays the loser of the first game, winner gets the #8-seed.

7) There were 40 players traded at the NBA trading deadline Wednesday, the most of any deadline in the last 30 years.

6) Saw this note several times Wednesday and thought it was a joke; about the 4th time I saw it posted, I realized it was true- over the next seven NBA drafts, Oklahoma City Thunder has 34 draft choices, 17 in the first round, 17 in the second.

NBA rosters are only 15 players; what are they going to do with all that draft capital? They could field two teams. Will be interesting to see what they do from here on in.

5) Seattle Seahawks have only 3 picks in this year?s draft; Philadelphia has 11.

4) Miami Dolphins were busy Friday, they traded the #3 pick in this draft to the 49ers for the #12 pick and other stuff, then traded the #12 pick and other stuff to the Eagles for the #6 pick.

Miami has five picks in the first three rounds of next month?s draft; the main question though, isn?t draft picks, it is whether Tua Tagovailoa is good enough to be their franchise quarterback.

3) AL East rivals New York-Boston will play six series this season, five of them weekend series. Of the five Sunday games, four of them are on ESPN?s Sunday Night Baseball.

Not much original thinking there. How about promoting some other teams, or showing more west coast teams. Show the Angels/Padres more, or Houston- they have good players. People would like to see Trout, Tatis or Altuve more.

2) College basketball stuff:
Shaka Smart bolts Texas for Marquette. Smart was 109-86 at Texas, 51-56 in regular season conference games, 0-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

His Longhorns won the Big X tournament this year, but the first round loss to Abilene Christian ended the season on a dark note. Since making the Final Four at VCU in 2014, Smart is 2-7 in NCAA Tournament games. Right or wrong, that is what people remember.

Is Marquette a better job than Texas? Texas hasn?t made the Sweet 16 since 2008, Marquette made it in three of last four years under Buzz Williams (2011-13) but that was a while ago. Hiring Steve Wojciechowski was a blunder; Smart is an upgrade over him.

Big X is a tough league; been ranked 1st or 2nd the last eight seasons. Big East has usually been 3rd during that time. We?ll see how things turn out, but Smart?s seat was getting hot in Austin, and now he gets a fresh start at Marquette.

1) Random movie/TV trivia: Actress Mariska Hargitay, the star of Law and Order SVU, is the daughter of the famous actress Jayne Mansfield. Didn?t know that.

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack
Active leaders in career home runs:
662? Albert Pujols
487? Miguel Cabrera
424? Edwin Encarnaci?n
417? Nelson Cruz
352? Ryan Braun
334? Robinson Cano

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 545,357
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?You never get over it, but you get to where it doesn?t bother you so much.?
Jeffrey Eugenides

Saturday?s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Friday?s quiz
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has been in his current job the longest; this is his 11th season with the A?s.

Thursday?s quiz
Jimmy Chitwood was the big star for Hickory High in Hoosiers; he wore number 15.

**************************

Saturday?s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind??..

13) You know your life is good when someone offers you $120 million for six years, and you turn them down. Thats what Astros? SS Carlos Correa did this week. No thanks to $120M.

Correa is represented by the William Morris Agency; they must be pretty sure Correa will get more than $20M a year down the road, or maybe they wanted opt-outs in the middle, or who knows? Correa will make $11,700,000 this year, is a free agent next winter.

12) As recently as 2010, starting pitchers in the major leagues threw 100+ pitches in 50% of their games, so half the time the starter threw 100+ pitches.

Last year? Starters threw 100+ pitches 10% of the time, as analytics people hammer home the idea that facing hitters a third time in a game is a bad thing.

11) An ?immaculate inning? is when a pitcher strikes out the side on nine pitches; doesn?t happen much. 94 major league pitchers have done it.

Nolan Ryan is the only pitcher ever to throw an immaculate inning in both leagues.

10) Pitchers Max Fried (Braves), Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) and Lucas Giolito (White Sox) all went to the same high school, Harvard-Westlake in Los Angeles. They were all on the baseball team at the same time; they all have the same agent and they?ll all start on Opening Day this season.

Apparently it cost $42,000 a year to go Harvard-Westlake; 42 grand a year for freakin? high school. Yikes.

9) Heard this stat again on TV the other night, it is staggering; Minnesota Twins have lost their last 18 playoff games. They?ve had good teams; losing 18 playoff games in a row is staggering.

8) NBA is going to have a play-in tournament in mid-May, just before their playoffs start:
? #7 and #8-seeds will play one game, winner gets #7-seed in playoffs.
? #9 and #10-seeds will play one game, loser gets eliminated.
? Winner of the second game plays the loser of the first game, winner gets the #8-seed.

7) There were 40 players traded at the NBA trading deadline Wednesday, the most of any deadline in the last 30 years.

6) Saw this note several times Wednesday and thought it was a joke; about the 4th time I saw it posted, I realized it was true- over the next seven NBA drafts, Oklahoma City Thunder has 34 draft choices, 17 in the first round, 17 in the second.

NBA rosters are only 15 players; what are they going to do with all that draft capital? They could field two teams. Will be interesting to see what they do from here on in.

5) Seattle Seahawks have only 3 picks in this year?s draft; Philadelphia has 11.

4) Miami Dolphins were busy Friday, they traded the #3 pick in this draft to the 49ers for the #12 pick and other stuff, then traded the #12 pick and other stuff to the Eagles for the #6 pick.

Miami has five picks in the first three rounds of next month?s draft; the main question though, isn?t draft picks, it is whether Tua Tagovailoa is good enough to be their franchise quarterback.

3) AL East rivals New York-Boston will play six series this season, five of them weekend series. Of the five Sunday games, four of them are on ESPN?s Sunday Night Baseball.

Not much original thinking there. How about promoting some other teams, or showing more west coast teams. Show the Angels/Padres more, or Houston- they have good players. People would like to see Trout, Tatis or Altuve more.

2) College basketball stuff:
Shaka Smart bolts Texas for Marquette. Smart was 109-86 at Texas, 51-56 in regular season conference games, 0-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

His Longhorns won the Big X tournament this year, but the first round loss to Abilene Christian ended the season on a dark note. Since making the Final Four at VCU in 2014, Smart is 2-7 in NCAA Tournament games. Right or wrong, that is what people remember.

Is Marquette a better job than Texas? Texas hasn?t made the Sweet 16 since 2008, Marquette made it in three of last four years under Buzz Williams (2011-13) but that was a while ago. Hiring Steve Wojciechowski was a blunder; Smart is an upgrade over him.

Big X is a tough league; been ranked 1st or 2nd the last eight seasons. Big East has usually been 3rd during that time. We?ll see how things turn out, but Smart?s seat was getting hot in Austin, and now he gets a fresh start at Marquette.

1) Random movie/TV trivia: Actress Mariska Hargitay, the star of Law and Order SVU, is the daughter of the famous actress Jayne Mansfield. Didn?t know that.

 

[Cnotes53]

621VILLANOVA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

623ORAL ROBERTS -624 ARKANSAS
ORAL ROBERTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games in the current season.

625OREGON ST -626 LOYOLA-IL
OREGON ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.

629MEMPHIS -630 COLORADO ST
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

631MISSISSIPPI ST -632 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games in the current season.

647SYRACUSE -648 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.


--------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 27

------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 27

NCAA Tournament

Saturday?s games

Villanova (5) vs Baylor (1)
Villanova (18-6)
? ranked #11 by KenPom
? Tempo: #332
? Experience: #146
? Continuity: #7
? Villanova PG Gillespie is out for year; they beat Winthrop/North Texas to get here.
? Villanova is 7-5 in last dozen games, after an 11-1 start.
? Wildcats get 37.3% of their points on arc (#39)
? Wildcats? bench plays #300 minutes; injuries are costly.
? Since 2005, Villanova is 4-2 in Sweet 16 games.

Baylor (24-2)
? ranked #2 by KenPom
? Tempo: #157
? Experience: #85
? Continuity: #32
? Baylor is 7-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
? Bears are shooting 41.5% on the arc (#1)
? Baylor forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#3)
? Bears are grabbing 36.7% of their missed shots (#6)
? Under Drew, Baylor is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

? Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Arkansas (3)
Oral Roberts (18-10)
? ranked #128 by KenPom
? Tempo: #46
? Experience: #250
? Continuity: #272
? Oral Roberts won its last seven games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
? ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
? Oral Roberts is shooting 38.2% on arc (#14), 82.4% on line (#1)
? ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; their bench played total of only 53:00 in their two wins last week, which were both by 3 points.
? This is Oral Roberts? first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Arkansas (24-6)
? ranked #15 by KenPom
? Tempo: #17
? Experience: #239
? Continuity: #339
? Arkansas won 11 of its last 12 games.
? Arkansas is 10-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #274)
? Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
? Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate in 1st round, still won by 17.
? Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#38)
? Musselman is 4-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

? Oral Roberts lost 87-76 at Arkansas December 20; ORU was up 41-31 at the half.
? ORU is 2nd #15-seed to get this far; Florida Gulf Coast (+13) lost 62-50 to Florida in this round, eight years ago.

Oregon State (12) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Oregon State (19-12)
? ranked #49 by KenPom
? Tempo: #303
? Experience: #67
? Continuity: #154
? Oregon State won five in row, eight of its last nine games.
? Oregon State is getting 21.3% of its points on foul line (#44)
? Beavers are shooting 47.0% inside arc (#275)
? OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
? Beavers? wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982.

Loyola Chi (26-4)
? ranked #9 by KenPom
? Tempo: #342
? Experience: #36
? Continuity: #11
? Loyola won eight in row, 19 of last 20 games.
? Loyola is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#4).
? Ramblers are 6-3 vs top 100 teams.
? Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech/Illinois.
? Ramblers are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
? Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

? This is only 2nd #8-12 seed game ever in Sweet 16; 12-seed Missouri (+1) beat UCLA in 2002.
? Rhode Island (-8.5) beat 13-seed Valparaiso 74-68 in only 8-13 game, in 1998.

Syracuse (11) vs Houston (2)
Syracuse (18-9)
? ranked #37 by KenPom
? Tempo: #150
? Experience: #234
? Continuity: #67
? Syracuse won eight of their last 11 games.
? Orangemen are 5-7 vs teams in the top 50.
? Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
? Orangemen made 29-58 on arc in their two wins last week.
? Since 2003, Syracuse is 4-4 SU in Sweet 16 games.

Houston (25-3)
? ranked #4 by KenPom
? Tempo: #325
? Experience: #144
? Continuity: #107
? Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
? Opponents are shooting 29.3% on arc (#12)
? Cougars won their last nine games, six of them by 24+ points.
? Houston finished last game on 13-2 run to nip Rutgers 63-60.
? Since 1997, Sampson is 2-2 in Sweet 16 games.

? Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

NIT tournament

Memphis vs Colorado State
Memphis (18-8)
? ranked #39 by KenPom
? Tempo: #48
? Experience: #323
? Continuity: #78
? Memphis won 12 of its last 15 games.
? Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
? Memphis is turning ball over 22.0% of time (#316)
? Tigers are shooting only 60.9% on foul line (#341)
? Memphis is 8-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #197)

Colorado State (20-6)
? ranked #60 by KenPom
? Tempo: #133
? Experience: #308
? Continuity: #36
? Rams won eight of their last ten games.
? Colorado State is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#12).
? Colorado State is shooting 79.5% on foul line (#7)
? 43.3% of shots they take are 3?s (#43)
? Rams are 5-1 outside Mountain West, losing at Saint Mary?s.

Louisiana Tech vs Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech (23-7)
? ranked #76 by KenPom
? Tempo: #119
? Experience: #61
? Continuity: #116
? Bulldogs won seven of their last eight D-I games.
? Louisiana Tech has three senior starters.
? Bulldogs have the #11 eFG% defense- they?re #34 on defensive boards.
? Tech lost at LSU, beat Ole Miss, their two SEC games this year.
? Tech was held to 55-48 points in last two losses.

Mississippi State (17-14)
? ranked #77 by KenPom
? Tempo: #301
? Experience: #313
? Continuity: #253
? Bulldogs are 6-4 in their last ten games.
? Miss State is grabbing 36.2% of their missed shots (#8)
? Bulldogs have #43 eFG% defense in country.

? Tech made 10-16 on arc, won 74-67 at Miss State last season.
? Miss State beat North Texas by 6, in their one C-USA game.
? Miss State starts three sophs and a freshman; they?re using these games to help build for next season.


-------------------------------


NCAAB

Saturday, March 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oral Roberts @ Arkansas
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oral Roberts


-------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, MARCH 27
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MEM at CSU 12:00 PM
CSU +4.5...........90 - 67...........LOSER
U 137.5

ORST at L-IL 02:40 PM
ORST +7.0................65 - 58....WINNER
O 125.0......................LOSER

MSST at LT 03:00 PM
LT -1.0..............84 - 62....LOSER
U 135.0

VILL at BAY 05:15 PM
VILL +7.5..........51 - 62
U 142.0.................WINNER

ORU at ARK 07:25 PM
ORU +11.5...........70 - 72....WINNER
O 157.0...............LOSER

SYR at HOU 09:55 PM
SYR +6.5...........46 - 52.......LOSER
U 141.0..................WINNER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS

DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/27/2021...........4-5-0.................44.44%..........-7.50
03/25/2021...........3-3-0.................50.00%..........-1.50
03/24/2021...........0-2-0.................00.00%..........-11.00
03/23/2021...........1-3.0.................25.00%..........-11.50
03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00

Totals...................53 - 60...............46.90..............- 65.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Active leaders in career strikeouts:
3,013? Justin Verlander
2,784? Max Scherzer
2,689? Zack Greinke
2,526? Clayton Kershaw
2,524? Felix Hernandez
2,397? Jon Lester

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 548,130
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?We really haven?t made a big deal about the 12th seed in the tournament. We were thrilled to be here. But we had a mission. I don?t want to throw too much at them. They?ll see it. And it?s cool. But we just gotta really keep our feet on the ground, stay humble and stay hungry, keep grinding away.?
Oregon State coach Wayne Tinkle

Sunday?s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since last time they made the playoffs?

Saturday?s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

Friday?s quiz
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has been in his current job the longest; this is his 11th season with the A?s.

***********************

Sunday?s Den: Trends for National League teams

Arizona
? Last made playoffs in 2017.
? Finished over .500 three of last four years.
? 5-11 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
? 9-21 on the road LY.

Atlanta
? Made playoffs the last three years.
? 19-11 at home LY.
? 8-4 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
? 11-9 vs AL teams, 24-16 vs NL teams.

Chicago
? Made playoffs four of last five years.
? 19-14 at home, 15-12 on road LY
? 7-4 vs lefty starters, 12-8 vs AL Central teams.
? Joe Maddon made playoffs four of five years with the Cubs; why did they dump him?

Cincinnati
? Braves shut them out 1-0/5-0 in two playoff games LY.
? Reds? previous playoff appearance was in 2013.
? Reds are moving Eugenio Suarez to SS this year.
? Losing P?s Bauer, Iglesias will be hard to overcome.

Colorado
? Went combined 97-125 the last two years.
? Finished over .500 twice in last ten years.
? Were only 12-18 at Coors Field last year.
? 16-24 vs right-handed starting pitchers.

Los Angeles
? won World Series LY for first time since 1988.
? Last losing season? They were 80-82 in 2010.
? Made playoffs the last eight years.
? were 7-5 in one-run games, 36-12 in the others.

Miami
? made playoffs LY for first time since 2003.
? went 31-29, despite giving up 41 more runs than they scored.
? 24-17 vs righty starters, 7-12 vs southpaws.
? Before LY, their last winning season was in 2009.

Milwaukee
? made playoffs the last three years.
? went 29-31, despite going 11-5 in one-run games.
? 11-7 vs lefty starters, 18-24 vs righties.
? 10-10 vs AL Central, 19-21 vs NL Central rivals.

NY Mets
? Finished over .500 in 3 of last 12 seasons.
? Last made playoffs in 2016.
? Were 6-11 in one-run games LY.
? Have new owner with lot of $$$; will they re-sign Lindor?

Philadelphia
? Had great run from 2007-11, making playoffs every year.
? Haven?t made playoffs since 2011.
? 21-19 vs NL East, 7-13 vs AL East LY.
? 13-9 vs lefty starters, 15-23 vs right starters.

Pittsburgh
? Last made playoffs in 2015.
? 6-22 on road, 2-10 vs lefty starters LY.
? 16-24 vs NL Central, only 3-17 vs AL Central LY.
? were over .500 four times in 9 years under Clint Hurdle.

St Louis
? made playoffs 11 of last 17 years.
? 22-18 vs NL Central, 8-10 vs AL Central.
? 26-21 vs righty starters, 4-7 vs southpaws.
? Acquiring 3B Arenado is big upgrade to defense.

San Diego
? made playoffs LY for first time since 2006.
? 27-13 vs righty starters, 10-10 vs lefties LY.
? won all four of their extra inning games.
? 24-16 vs NL West, 13-7 vs AL West.

San Francisco
? finished under .500 the last four years.
? 19-14 at home, 10-17 on road LY.
? won three World Series from 2010-14.
? 18-22 vs NL West, 11-9 vs AL West LY.

Washington
? made playoffs 5 of last 9 years
? despite that, have had 7 managers the last 16 years
? were over .500 eight of last nine years, won 2019 WS.
? 11-7 vs lefty starters, 15-27 vs lefty starters.