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Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Teams that have gone the longest since their last Super Bowl win:
1969- Jets
1974- Dolphins
1984- Raiders
1986- Bears
1992- Commanders
1995- 49ers
12 of the 32 teams have never won a Super Bowl

Quote of the Day
“My biggest takeaway from this is that we need to protect the rule of law.”
MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow, talking about next week’s election

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; how many times was there a Game 7?

Tuesday’s quiz
Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Monday’s quiz
Rex Ryan was the Jets’ coach the last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— World Series, Game 4:

New York 11, Dodgers 4

Volpe’s grand slam in third inning put New York ahead for good.
Freddie Freeman has now homered in six consecutive World Series games.
New York broke the game open with five runs in the 8th inning.
Game 5 is Wednesday night.

— It is a little strange that Juan Soto has a career on-base %age of .421, but has batted leadoff only twice in his career. You’d think a .421 on-base %age would scream out “leadoff hitter!!!”

— Louisiana 23, Texas State 17
Ragin’ Cajuns led 14-6 at half, kicked three FG’s in second half.
Cajuns QB Wooldridge was 18-28/252 passing, with a TD.
ULL outgained Texas State 423-378; they were +2 in turnovers.

— Florida International 34, New Mexico State 13
FIU outscored New Mexico State 27-7 in second half.
WR Rivers caught 11 passes for 295 yards, 3 TDs.
FIU outgained the Aggies, 438-246.

— Sam Houston 9, Louisiana Tech 3
Ducker’s 40-yard TD run was the game’s only touchdown
Tech outgained Sam Houston 312-268, but turned ball over four times.
Bearkats improve to 7-2; Tech drops to 3-5.

— Indianapolis Colts are switching back to 39-year old Joe Flacco to play this QB this week against Minnesota.
Flacco completed 65.7% of his passes in his two starts (1-1), with 7 TD’s, one INT. Anthony Richardson completed 44.4% of his passes in his six starts (3-3), with 4 TD’s, 7 INT’s.

— Minnesota Vikings acquired LT Cam Robinson from Jacksonville, in exchange for a 5th-round draft pick. Minnesota left tackle Christian Darrisaw got hurt last week, is out for the year.

— Houston Texans’ WR Stefon Diggs had a non-contact knee injury last week, isn’t expected to play Thursday when the Texans visit the Jets. Diggs has caught 47 passes for 496 and 3 TD’s for Houston this season.

— New Jersey Jets tried out six kickers Tuesday, with K Greg Zuerlein having struggled recently; they play on Thursday, so a decision will be made soon.

Famous birthdays, October 30:
Jim Perry, 89
Henry Winkler, 79
Phil Chenier, 74
Harry Hamlin, 72
Kevin Pollak, 67
Danny Tartabull, 62
Ty Detmer, 57
Marco Scutaro, 49
Trent Edwards, 41
Marcus Mariota, 31
Devin Booker, 28
Wenceel Perez, 25

NFL divisional trends, in non-divisional games:

NFC East teams are 12-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 0-4 ATS as home underdogs.
They’re 8-4 ATS as road underdogs.

NFC North teams are 18-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 10-3 ATS as home favorites.
They’re 5-3 ATS as underdogs.

NFC South teams are 6-13 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-9 ATS at home.
They’re 5-9 ATS as underdogs.

NFC West teams are 9-11-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 5-8 ATS as underdogs.

AFC East teams are 6-15-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-5 ATS as home favorites.
They’re 2-8 ATS as road underdogs.

AFC North teams are 15-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 10-4 ATS on the road.
They’re 6-3 ATS as underdogs.

AFC South teams are 9-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 2-5 ATS as road underdogs.

AFC West teams are 13-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
They’re 9-2 ATS on the road.
They’re 7-3 ATS as a favorite.

— Nuggets 144, Nets 139 OT
Brooklyn led 72-63 at halftime.
Nikola Jokic scored 29 points, had 18 rebounds, 16 assists.

— Mavericks 120, Timberwolves 114
Kyrie Irving scored 35 points, was 6-8 on the arc.
Luka Doncic scored 24, had 8 rebounds and 8 assists.

— Kings 113, Jazz 96
Domantas Sabonis scored 28 points, had 11 rebounds.
Sacramento was minus-6 in the 14:00 he was on the bench.
Utah drops to 0-4 with the loss.

— Monday in South Dakota, the Sanford Pentagon will host a pretty good tripleheader of college basketball:
Charleston-Southern Illinois, noon
Saint Louis-Santa Clara, 3:00
McNeese State-South Dakota State, 6:00
 

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Wednesday, October 30


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Wednesday’s games
Jacksonville State
@ Liberty (-2)
Jacksonville State (4-3, 3-0)
Gamecocks won their last four games, scoring 44-63-54-42 points.
Jax State ran for 273-384-334-438 yards in winning those games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.


Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 1-2 ATS as a road underdogs.
In his career, Rodriguez is 19-30 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +10 in turnovers the last four games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 12-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.


Liberty (5-1, 3-1)
Liberty lost to Kennesaw State LW, as a 27-point favorite.
Liberty’s three C-USA wins are by 6-18-7 points.
Liberty is scoring 29.4 ppg vs I-A teams (1-4 ATS).
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.


Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-7 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Chadwell is 14-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Flames are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Liberty gave up 24+ points in five of its six games.


Liberty (-6.5) ran for 243 yards, won 31-13 at Jax State last year.


Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky (-24)
Kennesaw State (1-6, 1-2)
Kennesaw got its first I-A win LW, 27-24 over Liberty.
Owls’ C-USA losses were 63-24 (Jax State), 14-5 (@ MTSU)
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 73-131/805 passing, with 3 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Owls gained 323 yards LW, 270 or fewer in their losses.
Kennesaw is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 140 yards/game in their C-USA tilts.
Kennesaw was 11-7 ATS in last 18 I-AA games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.


Western Kentucky (5-2, 3-0)
WKU won its three C-USA tilts, scoring 49-44-31 points.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 114-164/1,428 passing (14 TD’s, 5 INTs).


Hilltoppers are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in their last five games.
WKU is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
WKU is 18-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 18-8-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 yards.


Thursday’s game
Tulane
(-16.5) @ Charlotte
Tulane (6-2, 4-0)
Green Wave won its last five games, scoring 45.2 ppg.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 1,583 yards, 14 TD’s.


Tulane is 8-2 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 29-15 ATS in last 44 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 28-17-1 ATS in last 46 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 9-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Tulane is 17-12 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


Charlotte (3-5, 2-2)
Charlotte gave up 30+ points in losses, 26-20-24 in wins.
Four of their five losses are by 18+ points.
Charlotte has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
49ers have 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Purdie is 53-93/869 passing (5 TD’s, 2 INTs).


Last 3+ years, Charlotte is 4-10 ATS as home underdogs.
Under Poggi, 49ers are 10-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Poggi, 49ers are 2-6 ATS at home.
Charlotte is 3-1 ATS in its AAC games this year
Over is 5-1 in their last six I-A games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JVST at LIB07:00 PMJVST +2.0
U 63.5
+500 +500
KENN at WKU07:30 PMKENN +24.0
O 49.0
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/30/2024...........................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/29/2024...........................1 - 4 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 17.00
10/26/2024.......................12 - 12 - 2..............................50.00%..........................- 6.00
10/25/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................60 - 63 - 3............................48.78%............................ - 41.50


AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams playing the fastest tempo:
— Chicago Bulls
— Oklahoma City Thunder
— Memphis Grizzlies
— Washington Wizards
— Philadelphia 76ers
— Atlanta Hawks

Quote of the Day
“I am no savior. I am here to be a great leader and to be a great teammate and to do my job the best of my ability. And do I feel confident in what I can do? Absolutely. I feel confident in what I can do. I feel confident in what I can bring to our team. And that’s exciting, right? But to save us or anything like that, that’s not me.”
Saints’ QB Derek Carr

Thursday’s quiz
Who was football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban?

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; there has never been a Game 6 or 7, there have been only five Game 5’s.

Tuesday’s quiz
Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Dodgers 7, New York 6
Dodgers win their 8th World Series title.
Dodgers trailed 5-0 after four innings.
Dodgers scored five (all unearned) runs in the 5th inning.
Freddie Freeman is the World Series MVP.
In the history of the World Series, teams trailing by 5+ runs were 6-227.
Now they’re 7-227.
113 days until the first exhibition game in 2025.

— Jacksonville State 31, Liberty 21
RB Stewart ran for 232 yards and four TD’s.
Gamecocks ran ball for 363 yards (7.4 yards/carry).
Game was 14-14 at halftime.
Liberty lost its second game in a row after a 5-0 start.

— Western Kentucky 31, Kennesaw State 14
WKU QB Veltkamp threw for 276 yards, three TD’s.
Hilltoppers are bowl eligible for the sixth year in a row.
WKU outgained Kennesaw, 462-272.

— USC’s basketball team practiced outdoors Wednesday, at Venice Beach; I’ve been there a couple times, great place with lot of shops, restaurants, vendors, not the kind of place you’d expect to see a college basketball practice.
Living is Los Angeles must be tremendous, there is legit fun to have every day.

— White Sox named 42-year old Will Venable their new manager; he played nine years in the major leagues, has been a big league coach since 2017.
White Sox lost 121 games this season, three years after they won the AL Central, but they have some solid prospects on the way, maybe getting there next year and 2026.

— There aren’t any NBA games this coming Tuesday because it is Election Day and it is important that everyone votes.
My polling place is the building where I went to grade school, over 50 years ago; I enjoy going in and taking a look around. It is also important to vote, but looking around is fun.
From 1933-49, there were no elections in Germany, because they weren’t a democracy; it is important that our country remain a democracy, another reason why I’ll vote Tuesday.

— RIP to the popular actress Teri Garr, who passed away this week at age 79.
She was in Tootsie, Mr Mom, Let It Ride, Young Frankenstein; she was nominated for an Oscar for her role in Tootsie. Garr’s quick wit got her a lot of gigs on late-night talk shows with Johnny Carson, David Letterman. Funny lady.
RIP, ma’am.

Famous birthdays, October 31
Jane Pauley, 74
John Lucas, 71
Mike Gallego, 64
Bill Fralic, 62
Fred McGriff, 61
Antonio Davis, 56
Steve Trachsel, 54
Mike Napoli, 43
Tony Kemp, 33

College football trends, in conference games:

— AAC home favorites are 11-5 ATS
— ACC home underdogs are 5-8 ATS

— Big X home favorites are 10-15 ATS
Big X home underdogs are 1-4 ATS
Big X home teams are 11-19 ATS

— Big 18 home favorites are 17-13 ATS
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9

— MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS
MAC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS

— Mountain West home favorites are 6-4 ATS
Mountain West home underdogs are 3-7 ATS

— SEC home favorites are 3-16 ATS
SEC home underdogs are 9-5 ATS

— Sun Belt home favorites are 9-7 ATS
Sun Belt home underdogs are 6-4 ATS.

— This week is Week 9 in the NFL; Detroit Lions are playing in Green Bay, their first outdoor game this season.

— Steph Curry sprained his ankle the other night; he’ll be re-evaluated Friday. Warriors beat New Orleans on consecutive nights without him; Pelicans led Tuesday’s game by 20 early on.

— Saw a commercial for a gameshow that Travis Kelce hosts on Amazon; he also has a cereal with him and his brother on the box. Dating Taylor Swift has its benefits.
 

Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 31

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TULN at CHARTULN -14.5
O 54.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAFB BEST BETS OCTOBER !

10/31/2024...........................1 - 1 - 0...............................50.00%........................- 0.50
10/30/2024...........................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/29/2024...........................1 - 4 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 17.00
10/26/2024.......................12 - 12 - 2..............................50.00%..........................- 6.00
10/25/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
10/24/2024............................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%.........................- 11.50
10/23/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/22/2024............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%..........................- 1.00
10/15/2024............................3 - 1 - 0...............................75.00%..........................+ 9.50
10/12/2024............................4 - 10 - 0.............................28.57%..........................- 35.00
10/11/2024..............................3 - 2 - 0.............................60.00%...........................+ 4.00
10/10/2024..............................2 - 2 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 1.00
10/09/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/08/2024..............................1 - 1 - 0.............................50.00%...........................- 0.50
10/05/2024...........................14 - 18 - 1...........................43.75%............................- 29.00
10/04/2024................................5 - 2 - 0...........................71.42%............................+ 19.50
10/03/2024.,..............................3 - 1 - 0...........................75.00%............................+ 9.50

TOTALS..................................61 - 64 - 3............................48.80%............................ - 42.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
NBA teams playing the slowest tempo:
— San Antonio Spurs
— New York Knicks
— Houston Rockets
— Miami Heat
— Minnesota Timberwolves
— Detroit Pistons

Quote of the Day
“Today you are YOU, that is TRUER than true.
There is NO ONE alive who is YOUER than YOU!!”
Dr Seuss

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, what number did Beatty’s character wear?

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban.

Wednesday’s quiz
There have been 24 World Series where a team led 3-0; there has never been a Game 6 or 7, there have been only five Game 5’s.

********************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Kind of an unusual Halloween at Armadillo World HQ; I had plenty of candy to hand out, since the weather here has been great, but my doorbell only rang once all night.
What makes it weird is when the doorbell rang, there were 15-16 kids outside, all with the same couple of adults. Nice kids; the older ones all said thank you. I was just glad the candy went to good use; they wound up with almost half the candy I had here.
Thought more kids would be around; I live in a suburban neighborhood, and it was warm out.

Jets 21, Texans 13
Jets’ win snaps their five-game losing skid.
Jets in first half: 23 plays, 79 yards, no points
Jets in second half: 31 plays, 220 yards, 21 points
WR Wilson caught nine passes for 90 yards, two TD’s.
Houston led 7-0 at halftime.
Last three weeks, Texans were outscored 41-15 in second half.
Houston QB Stroud completed only 11-31 passes, was sacked 8 times.
Jets would’ve scored TD in first half, but the genius carrying the ball had to show off and dropped the ball before he crossed the goal line- it was his first NFL carry.

Early season NBA trends (thru Wednesday’s games):
Home favorites are 17-20 ATS
Home underdogs are 16-13 ATS
Teams playing 2nd night in row: 14-9 ATS
Over is 5-0 in Atlanta games.
Over is 4-1 in Toronto games.
Over is 4-1 in Orlando games.
Under is 4-1 in Detroit games.

— Tulane 34, Charlotte 3
Green Wave led 10-3 at halftime.
Tulane has now won six games in a row.
Green Wave was 11-16 on third down, Charlotte 1-9.
Tulane ran 78 plays, Charlotte 44.

Baseball trade: Braves traded OF Jorge Soler to the Angels for P Griffin Canning.
Soler had an .849 OPS in 49 games with the Braves LY, after he came over from the Giants.
Canning was 6-13, 5.19 in 31 starts for the Angels last year.

— This is first time since 1988 that Oklahoma’s football team has lost three consecutive games by 10+ points.

— Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has it in his contract that he can’t play golf, among other sports; when Philly owner Jeff Lurie played golf with Barack Obama recently, Hurts apparently just rode along in a golf cart all day.

— Orlando Magic star Paolo Banchero scored 50 points Monday, but he tore an oblique muscle in Wednesday’s game and is now out at least 4-6 weeks.

Famous birthdays, November 1st
Joe Caldwell, 83
Tom Mack, 81
Ted Hendricks, 77
Kent Graham, 56
Toni Collette, 52
Jake Voskuhl, 47
Coco Crisp, 45
Stephen Vogt, 40
Brent Rooker, 30

— Random NHL trend:
When an NHL team is playing a second consecutive night on the road, over is 10-4 in those games.

— Five NHL franchises that are worth the most:
$3.66B- Toronto Maple Leafs
$3.25B- New York Rangers
$2.93B- Montreal Canadiens
$2.67B- Boston Bruins
$2.5B- Los Angeles Kings

— Random trivia: Billy Joel, the great musician, had a 22-2 record as a Golden Gloves boxer when he was a kid; he broke his nose in the 24th fight, and that was it for his boxing career.

— Chris Davis is the new athletic director at Georgia Southern; when he was in college at Miami (FL), he spent some time as Ibis, the Hurricanes’ mascot.

— A’s will play home games in Sacramento the next three years; last year, from June 23-July 12, the average high temperature in Sacramento was 103.8.
Groundskeepers are going to have their hands full, keeping that field in good shape, since the A’s are sharing the stadium with the Giants’ AAA farm team.

— DePaul/Georgetown’s basketball teams were a combined 2-38 in conference games last year; to try and improve their teams’ confidence, both teams have seven games in November, with all 14 games on their home floors.

— NFL teams who have gone over total a lot:
Ravens, over 7-1
Bucs/Panthers, over 6-2
Cowboys, over 5-2

NFL teams who have stayed under total a lot:
Chargers, under 6-1
Texans/Giants, 6-2
Dolphins, under 5-2
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Friday’s games
Georgia State
@ UConn (-8.5)
Georgia State (2-5, 0-4)
Panthers lost their last four games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
Georgia State ran ball for 219-194 yards in last two games.
Georgia State has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
Georgia State has 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Veilleux started five games at Pitt last year
Sun Belt road underdogs are 10-6 ATS in non-league games.


Panthers allowed 32+ points in five of six I-A games.
Georgia State is 13-8 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Panthers are 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Georgia State’s only I-A win: 36-32 (+8.5) over Vanderbilt.


UConn (5-3)
UConn won four of its last five games.
Huskies are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points (gave up 50-26-23 in losses)
UConn has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
UConn has 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Evers completed 9-24 passes in 17-10 win vs Rice last week


Under Mora, Huskies are 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his college career, Mora is 20-17 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Mora, Huskies are 7-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
UConn held 4 of last 5 opponents to 270 or fewer total yards.
UConn’s last three games stayed under the total.


Georgia State (-3) beat UConn 35-14 at home LY.
Panthers ran ball for 250 yards in that game.


South Florida (-2.5) @ Florida Atlantic
South Florida (3-4, 1-2)
USF lost three of its last four games.
Bulls scored 49-35 in I-A wins (0-4 score less than 35)
Bulls have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Brown has started 15 games.


Since 2019, USF is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 4-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Golesh, USF is 5-3 ATS coming off a win.
In 4 of last 5 games, Bulls gave up 485+ total yards.
Last four games, USF is minus-5 in turnovers.


Florida Atlantic (2-5, 0-3)
FAU lost last three I-A games, giving up 48-41-38 points.
Owls’ only I-A win: 38-20 over Florida International.
FAU has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Owls have only 22 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Fancher started 17 games at Marshall.


Last three I-A games, FAU gave up 503.7 yards/game.
Under Herman, FAU is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Herman is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Herman, Owls are 4-6-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Herman is 26-36-2 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-0 in their last four I-A games.


FAU (+2.5) won 56-14 at South Florida last year.
Owls outgained USF 587-388 in that game.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2013.


San Diego State @ Boise Sate (-23.5)
San Diego State (3-4, 2-0)
Aztecs’ last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points.
Aztecs are 3-0 if they score 27+ points, 0-4 if they don’t.
San Diego State has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB O’Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards (6 TDs, 2 INTs)


Aztecs have losses this year by 21-21-1-3 points.
San Diego State is 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Lewis is 12-15 ATS as a road underdog.
San Diego State is 9-4 ATS last 13 conference games.
In his career, Lewis is 18-13 ATS in games coming off a loss.


Boise State (6-1, 3-0)
Broncos won last four I-A games, scoring 45-62-28-29 points.
Boise has run for 263.7 yards/game in its I-A games.
Boise has 6 starters back on offense, all 11 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Madsen (132 pass attempts LY) is the ‘QB.


Boise won its two I-A home games, 45-24 Wazzu/62-30 Utah State
Broncos are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.
Broncos are 13-6-2 ATS in last 21 conference games.
Boise is 13-22-2 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.


Underdogs are 8-1 ATS in last nine series games.
Boise State won last two meetings, 34-31/35-13.
Teams split their last four meetings on the blue carpet.
Mountain West home favorites are 6-4 ATS in conference games.




NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NC CENTRAL AT SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 59.894; South Carolina State 60.787
Dunkel Line & Total: South Carolina State by 1; 49
Vegas Line & Total: NC Central by 5 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (+5 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR YALE AT COLUMBIA
Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 58.121; Columbia 59.694
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbia by 1 1/2; 41
Vegas Line & Total: Yale by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+2 1/2); Under
 

Cnotes53

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NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0....................16.67%....................- 22.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Early season scoring leaders in the NBA:
31.5— Nikola Jokic, Den/Tyrese Maxey, Phil
30.6— Anthony Davis, LAL
30.4— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
30.2— Jayson Tatum, Bos
30.0— Anthony Edwards, Minn
29.0— Paolo Banchero, Orl

Quote of the Day
“I’m at a loss for words. I didn’t have anything to do with this championship, but it feels like I have the best feeling in the world……..I think there’s just a lot more happiness, honestly. Just so happy to be able to celebrate finally. That parade was for this season, and I feel that this season was unique in its own, and we’re going to celebrate accordingly. But 2020, too — it’s a long time coming. We had a long time coming for this parade.”
Clayton Kershaw

Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. What well-known actor took over as president in those two episodes?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, Beatty’s character wears number 16. Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB in real life when the movie was made.

Thursday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— $3,458,211,026
Almost $3,5 BILLION dollars; seems like a lot of money.
Since 2010, thats how much money the Bronx Bombers have spent on players’ salaries; 15 seasons, a total of $3,458,211,026, works out to a little more than $230,547,400 a year.
For their $3,458,211,026, Bronx has been in the World Series once, lost 4-1, so they’ve won one World Series game in 15 years. Overall, since 2010, they’re 39-43 in playoff games. They won the AL East six times in those 15 years, made playoffs 11 times.

— World Series titles the last 15 years:
3- Giants
2- Red Sox, Astros, Dodgers
1- Braves, Cubs, Royals, Cardinals, Rangers, Nationals
10 teams have won a championship since 2010.

— I root for the Oakland/Sacramento/Las Vegas A’s, a team that is famous because the cheap bastards who’ve owned the team for the last 25 years don’t try to win.
They made a movie with Brad Pitt because the A’s made the playoffs every year from 2000-03, despite their small payroll, but the A’s haven’t won a World Series since 1989, and it is doubtful they ever will again.
That said, I’m pretty sure if they gave Billy Beane $230,547,400 a year for 15 years, he’d win a World Series. Maybe two.

— UConn 34, Georgia State 27
Huskies ran ball 43 times for 271 yards (6.3/carry)
UConn led 13-10 at half.
Jim Mora Jr’s Huskies are 6-3, bowl eligible.

— South Florida 44, Florida Atlantic 21
FAU led 14-7 at halftime.
South Florida scored the last 30 points of the game.
USF was only 4-14 on third down, 3-3 on 4th down.

— Boise State 56, San Diego State 24
Broncos led 35-10 at halftime.
Boise State outgained the Aztecs, 541-256
Broncos have won six in a row since a 37-34 loss at Oregon.

— Minnesota 119, Denver 116
Minnesota scored the last ten points of the game.
Edwards scored 29 points for the Timberwolves.
Jokic had 26 points, 13 assists, 9 assists for Denver.

Famous birthdays, November 2nd
Ron Reed, 82
Stefanie Powers, 82
Tom Paciorek, 78
Mark May, 65
Willie McGee, 65
David Schwimmer, 58
Danny Amendola, 39
Jimmy Garoppolo, 33
Jordan Love, 26
Parker Meadows, 25

— Jacoby Brissett has had an interesting NFL career, playing QB for five teams in nine years. Someday he can write a very interesting book.
His last five seasons:
2020- Threw 8 passes as a backup for the Colts.
2021- was 2-3 as a starter for Miami; he threw 225 passes.
2022- 4-7 as a starter for Cleveland; he threw 369 passes.
2023- threw 23 passes in three games as a backup for Washington
2024- 1-4 as a starter for New England; he’s thrown 159 passes.

— Teams playing the Chicago Bears this season have gone under their team total in all seven games.

— Grand Canyon Antelopes are moving from the WAC to the Mountain West; they don’t have football, so this move strengthens the Mountain West’s basketball profile. Grand Canyon is 94-32 in four years under Bryce Drew, making the NCAA’s in three of those four years.

— Baseball stuff
Free agency starts officially next week, but couple things happened Friday:
P Blake Snell opted out of his contract with the Giants, walking away from the $47M he would have banked had he opted in. Snell was 5-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts LY, throwing a no-hitter, but 20 starts isn’t enough when you’re making $31M/year.
1B Rhys Hoskins exercised his $18M option for 2025 in Milwaukee; he could’ve taken $4M to take a hike, but he’s smart. Hoskins hit .214 last year, but had 26 HRs, 82 RBI.

— Miami Heat-Washington Wizards are playing a game in Mexico Saturday.

— Florida 6, Dallas 4- Teams are playing in Finland this weekend, long way from home.

— I’m looking forward to next week; lot of stuff going on. College basketball starts, the NFL has its trade deadline and we’ll find out if our country is still a democracy. Not sure I got those three things in the proper order of importance, but next week will be interesting.
I like going to vote, seriously, I do. Mentioned the other day that Germany didn’t have any elections from 1933-49, because they became a dictatorship. I’m hoping that this year isn’t the last time I vote.
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Saturday’s best 13 games
Ohio State
(-3) @ Penn State
Ohio State (6-1, 3-1)
Ohio State scored 31+ points in six of seven games.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.


Under Day, OSU is 11-9-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Buckeyes are 1-1 on road (38-7 @ Michigan State/31-32 @ Oregon).
Buckeyes are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 conference games.
OSU is 9-5-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.


Penn State (7-0, 4-0)
Penn State QB Allar is banged up; check status.
PSU is 4-0 in Big 18, with three wins by 15+ points.
Nittany Lions are 1-3 ATS at home this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.


Under Franklin, Penn State is 54-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 33-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/1-3 ATS in conference games TY.
PSU held five of seven opponents under 300 total yards.
Five of their seven games stayed under the total.


Ohio State is 7-0 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven meetings.
Buckeyes are 7-1 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Happy Valley
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9 ATS


Ole Miss (-8) @ Arkansas
Ole Miss (6-2, 2-2)
Ole Miss split its four SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are 0-2 when they give up more than 14 points.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.


All six Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 9-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 19-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 21-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 15-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 7-0 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.


Arkansas (5-3, 3-2)
Arkansas scored 19 or fewer points in three of last four games.
Razorbacks were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.


Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-8 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-14-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 12-11-2 ATS coming off a win.
Four of Arkansas’ last five games stayed under the total.


Home team won last five series games.
Underdogs are 12-1 ATS in last thirteen meetings.
Under is 11-7 in last eight meetings.
Ole Miss lost four of last five visits to Arkansas.
SEC home underdogs are 9-5 ATS in league games.


Minnesota (-3) @ Illinois
Minnesota (5-3, 3-2)
Minnesota won its last three games, scoring 31 ppg.
Gophers allowed 11.8 ppg in I-A wins, 19-31-27 points in losses.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.


Minnesota is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Fleck is 14-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 33-31-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers were held under 100 YR in all three losses.


Illinois (6-2, 3-2)
Illinois is 3-2 in Big 18 games, losing 21-7 (Penn St), 38-9 (Oregon).
Illini has a +6 turnover ratio, minus-2 in league games.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 15-14 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-14 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-8 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.


Illinois won last three meetings, by 1-12-8 points.
Gophers are 6-3 SU/ATS in last nine visits to Illinois.
Over is 5-3-1 in last nine meetings.


Virginia Tech (-4) @ Syracuse
Virginia Tech (5-3, 3-1)
Tech won its last three games, by 24-21-15 points.
Hokies are 5-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.


Under Pry, Tech is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Pry, Hokies are 13-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 6-6 ATS coming off a win.
Tech is 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 4-2 in last six Tech games.


Syracuse (5-2, 2-2)
Syracuse is 4-0 when it scores 31+ points (24-13 in losses).
Orange threw for 321+ yards in all six of its I-A games.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.


Syracuse is 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Average total in their I-A games is 58.2.
Syracuse is 7-13 ATS in last 20 conference games.
Orange is 2-9 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their last five I-A games.


Syracuse won four of last six series games.
Hokies are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to the Carrier Dome.
Over is 2-1 in last three meetings.


Oregon (-14.5) @ Michigan
Oregon (8-0, 5-0)
Oregon won its last two games by a combined 73-9.
Last six games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496-421-527 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).


Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 20-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 16-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 19-8 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.


Michigan (5-3, 3-2)
Michigan scored 24+ points in its wins, 12-17-7 in losses.
Wolverines were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).


Junior QB Warren has thrown for 567 yards (3 TDs, 6 INTs).
Last five games, Michigan threw ball for 115 yards/game.
Wolverines are 20-12-3 ATS in its last 35 conference games.
Michigan is 1-3 ATS this season, in games coming off a win.
Four of their last five games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2007.
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9 ATS


Florida vs Georgia (-14.5) (@ Jacksonville)
Florida (4-3, 2-2)
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17 in losses.
Gators are 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in their last four games.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz is OFY; frosh QB Lagway has 5 TD passes, 5 INT’s.


Under Napier, Florida is 9-6 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 20-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida’s losses this year are by 24-13-6 points.
Under Napier, Florida is 11-9 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 4-2 in Florida’s I-A games.


Georgia (6-1, 4-1)
Georgia won its last three games, by 18-10-15 points.
Dawgs scored 31+ points in six of their seven games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.


Georgia is 1-3 ATS as a double digit favorite this year.
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last five I-A games.
Georgia is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 SEC games.
Georgia is 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their last I-A games.


Georgia won three in row, six of last seven meetings.
Favorites are 7-2 ATS in last nine series games.
Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.


Indiana (-8) @ Michigan State
Indiana (8-0, 5-0)
Senior QB Rourke (thumb) is expected to be back for this game.
Hoosiers are 5-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41-56-31 points.
Indiana’s wins this year are all by 14+ points.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.


Since 2020, Indiana is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 16-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 16-9 ATS in its last 25 games coming off a win.
Five of Indiana’s last six I-A games went over the total.


Michigan State (4-4, 2-3)
Spartans lost four of their last five games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.

MSU is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-12-2 ATS in league games.
Spartans held last two opponents to 283-265 yards.
Michigan State is 11-9-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers this season.


Road team won last four series games.
Indiana won 39-31/24-0 in last two visits to East Lansing.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Texas A&M (-3) @ South Carolina
Texas A&M (7-1, 5-0)
A&M won last seven I-A games, after a 23-13 loss to Notre Dame.
Aggies scored 33+ points in four of five SEC games.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Weigman has 8 career starts.


A&M ran ball for 211.6 yards/game in its SEC tilts.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
A&M is 8-10-3 ATS in its last 20 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 2-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Aggies are 6-9-3 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
A&M’s last three games went over the total.


South Carolina (4-3, 2-3)
Gamecocks allowed 19-6-7-9 points in wins, 36-27-27 in losses.
Carolina is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 16-13 ATS in SEC games.
Gamecocks are 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
South Carolina is 0-3 when it allows 20+ points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Texas A&M won nine of last ten meetings.
Aggies are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to Columbia.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.


Wisconsin @ Iowa (-3)
Wisconsin (5-3, 3-2)
Wisconsin won/covered three of its last four games.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28 points in its losses (Alabama, USC, Penn St).
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.


Since 2017, Badgers are 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-7 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-20 ATS in conference games.
Wisconsin was held under 300 TY in all three losses.


Iowa (5-3, 3-2)
Iowa is 1-3 if it allows 20+ points, 4-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s five wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.


Hawkeyes are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 70-61-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 31-18-1 ATS in last 50 games coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 23-18-1 ATS in their last 42 conference games.
Over is 6-1 in their I-A games.


Iowa won three of last four meetings.
Badgers lost last two visits to Iowa City, 24-10/28-7
Last four series games stayed under the total.


USC (-2.5) @ Washington
USC (4-4, 2-4)
Trojans lost four of their first six Big 18 games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).


USC is 0-7 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite (0-3 TY).
In his career, Riley is 8-20-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 12-22 ATS in last 34 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-38-1 ATS in conference games.
USC is is 10-15 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.


Washington (4-4, 2-3)
Washington was held to 19-18-16-17 in losses, scored 30-24-27 in wins.
Huskies are 0-4 when they allow more than 17 points.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.


Since 2014, Washington is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2018, Huskies are 20-36 ATS in conference games (2-3 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 8-4 ATS as an underdog.
Washington is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in their I-A games this season.


Washington won three of last four meetings.
Teams split their last four meetings in Seattle.
Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 series games.
Under is 9-2 in last eleven series games.


Kentucky @ Tennessee (-17.5)
Kentucky (3-5, 1-5)
Kentucky scored 31-41-20 points in wins, 6-12-13-20-10 in losses.
Kentucky is 0-4 when it gives up more than 17 points.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Wildcats have 156 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vandagriff was a backup at Georgia.


Kentucky is 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three games.
Kentucky is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Kentucky is 15-15 ATS in last 30 SEC games.
Wildcats are 8-6 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Kentucky games this season.


Tennessee (6-1, 3-1)
Tennessee is 3-1 in SEC games (average total, 38.5).
Tennessee is giving up 13 ppg in I-A games this season.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.


Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 22-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-15 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 4-0 in their SEC games this year.
Vols were held to 14 points in only loss, scored 25-23-24 in SEC wins.


Tennessee won five of last seven meetings.
Kentucky is 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Knoxville.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Underdogs are 25-8 ATS in SEC games this year.


Pitt @ SMU (-7.5)
Pittsburgh (7-0, 3-0)
Pitt is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in its first six I-A games.
Panthers QB Holstein is banged up, but expected to play.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 1,808 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 5 INTs.


Pitt is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
Panthers were held to 277/217 TY last two games (Cal, Syracuse)
Pitt is 1-5 ATS in its last six ACC road games.
Panthers are 2-0 on road TY (28-27 Cincy, 34-24 UNC)
Panthers are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five I-A games.


SMU (7-1, 4-0)
SMU won last five games; last three were on road.
SMU’s only loss: 18-15 at home to BYU.
Mustangs have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Mustangs have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started twice LY.


SMU is 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Mustangs are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 13-8 ATS in conference games.
Mustangs are 22-26 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2011.
Home favorites are 12-12 ATS in ACC conference games.


TCU @ Baylor (-3)
TCU (5-3, 3-2)
TCU is 3-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
TCU gave up 289-238-207 rushing yards in their losses.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.


Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, TCU is 12-11-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last five games (3-2), Frogs are minus-13 in turnovers.
Over is 5-2 in their I-A games this season.


Baylor (4-4, 2-4)
Baylor won its last two games, scoring 59-38 points.
Last five games, Bears gave up 37.6 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.


Under Aranda, Baylor is 10-7 ATS as home favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 14-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 21-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last five games went over the total.


TCU won four in row, 7 of last 8 meetings.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Waco.
Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen series games.
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 2

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
AFA at ARMY12:00 PMARMY -18.5
O 38.5
+500 +500
STAN at NCST12:00 PMSTAN +9.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
OSU at PSU12:00 PMOSU -3.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
BUFF at AKR12:00 PMBUFF -1.0
U 49.0
+500 +500
MEM at UTSA12:00 PMUTSA +7.5
O 61.0
+500 +500
ME at OKLA12:00 PMOKLA -34.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
MINN at ILL12:00 PMMINN -2.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
NW at PUR12:00 PMNW +2.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
VT at SYR12:00 PMSYR +4.0
O 54.0
+500 +500
MISS at ARK12:00 PMARK +7.5
U 54.0
+500 +500
DUKE at MIA12:00 PMMIA -21.0
O 55.0
+500 +500
TOL at EMU12:00 PMTOL -9.5
O 54.5
+500 +500
VAN at AUB12:45 PMVAN +7.5
U 48.5
+500 +500
TLSA at UAB02:30 PMUAB -2.5
U 57.5
+500 +500
ODU at APP02:30 PMODU -3.0
U 58.0
+500 +500
KSU at HOU03:30 PMKSU -11.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
ORE at MICH03:30 PMORE -14.5
U 45.0
+500 +500
ASU at OKST03:30 PMOKST +4.5
O 57.0
+500 +500
MTU at UTEP03:30 PMMTU +3.0
O 51.0
+500 +500
UCLA at NEB03:30 PMNEB -7.0
U 38.5
+500 +500
UNC at FSU03:30 PMUNC -2.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
TTU at ISU03:30 PMTTU +13.5
O 56.5
+500 +500
ULM at MRSH03:30 PMMRSH -10.5
U 48.0
+500 +500
IU at MSU03:30 PMIU -7.5
U 53.5
+500 +500
ARIZ at UCF03:30 PMUCF -6.5
O 55.5
+500 +500
FLA at UGA03:30 PMUGA -14.5
O 52.5
+500 +500
WYO at UNM04:00 PMWYO +7.5
O 60.5
+500 +500
CCU at TROY04:00 PMCCU -4.0
U 52.5
+500 +500
NAVY at RICE04:00 PMNAVY -11.0
U 48.0
+500 +500
MASS at MSST04:15 PMMSST -19.0
O 60.0
+500 +500
HAW at FRES07:00 PMFRES -12.0
U 45.5
+500 +500
USC at WASH07:30 PMWASH +2.5
U 55.5
+500 +500
GASO at USA07:30 PMUSA -6.0
U 60.0
+500 +500
LOU at CLEM07:30 PMCLEM -10.5
U 62.0
+500 +500
TAM at SOCAR07:30 PMTAM -3.0
U 44.0
+500 +500
WIS at IOWA07:30 PMIOWA -3.0
U 41.0
+500 +500
UK at TENN07:45 PMTENN -17.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
PITT at SMU08:00 PMPITT +7.0
O 56.0
+500 +500
CSU at NEV08:00 PMCSU -2.5
U 45.5
+500 +500
TCU at BAY08:00 PMTCU +3.0
O 62.5
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0...................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................10 - 15 - 0....................40.00%..................- 32.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Warriors 127, Rockets 121 OT- Warriors led by 31 points in first half.
— Raptors 131, Kings 128 OT- Toronto retired Vince Carter’s #15 jersey.
— Cavaliers 114, Bucks 113- Donovan Mitchell hit a jumper with 0:00.3 left.
— Nuggets 129, Jazz 103- Utah is 0-6, NBA’s only winless team.
— Grizzlies 124, 76ers 107- Philly lost for fourth time in five games.
— Thunder 105, Clippers 92- Thunder outscored LA 24-14 in 4th quarter.

Quote of the Day
“They both played their behinds off. They always do. They have a unique chemistry……those two guys, as much as they’re gaining all those accolades, they don’t talk about it. It’s not the end-all, be-all for them.”
Miami coach Mario Cristobal, talking about his offense after a 53-31 win over Duke

Sunday’s quiz
Which team did Gerrit Cole break into the major leagues with?

Saturday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, when President Bartlet’s daughter is kidnapped, the president steps aside until she is found. John Goodman’s character took over as president in those two episodes.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, where Warren Beatty plays a QB who wins the Super Bowl for the Rams, Beatty’s character wears number 16. Ron Jaworski was the Rams’ QB in real life when the movie was made.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday………

Don’t forget to turn your clocks back!!!!!
(spring ahead, fall back)
— Georgia 34, Florida 20
Gators led 13-6 at halftime.
Game was 20-20 with 5:00 left; Dawgs then scored 2 TD’s in a 0:58 span.
Georgia outgained Florida, 455-228.

— Vanderbilt 17, Auburn 7
Commodores are 6-3, bowl eligible for first time since 2018.
Auburn is 3-6; they outgained the Commodores, 327-227.
Last time Vandy beat Alabama/Auburn in same season: 1955.

— Ohio State 20, Penn State 13
Buckeyes ran for 176 yards, outgained Penn State, 358-270.
Penn State’s only TD was a pick-6 in first quarter- they led 10-0.
James Franklin is 4-17 vs Michigan/Ohio State, 1-10 against Buckeyes.

— Ole Miss 63, Arkansas 31
QB Dart threw for 515 yards, six TD’s.
WR Watkins caught 8 passes for 254 yards, 5 TD’s.
Ole Miss gained 694 yards, averaged 16.5 yards/pass attempt.

— Miami 53, Duke 31
Duke led 28-17 with 8:00 left in third quarter.
Miami QB Ward was 25-41/400 passing, with 5 TD’s.
Hurricanes are 9-0, with Ga Tech, Wake Forest, Syracuse left

Upsets of the Week:
Hawai’i (+14) 21, Fresno State 20
Texas Tech (+13.5) 23, Iowa State 22
Houston (+13.5) 24, Kansas State 19
Rice (+10.5) 24, Navy 10
Louisville (+10.5) 33, Clemson 21
Wyoming (+7.5) 49, New Mexico 45
Tex-San Antonio (+7) 44, Memphis 36
Vanderbilt (+7) 17, Auburn 7

— Washington 26, USC 21
USC is 4-5 this year, 6-10 in last 16 games overall.
Washington led 20-7 at halftime, trailed 21-20 after 3rd quarter.
Trojans outgained Huskies, 459-375, but were minus-3 in turnovers.

— Texas Tech 23, Iowa State 22
Tech drove 71 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:20 left.
Cyclones had taken a 22-17 on a 44-yard TD pass with 2:11 left.
Iowa State would’ve been 8-0 for the first time ever.

— Northwestern 26, Purdue 20 OT
With game 20-20 in OT, Purdue declined to try a FG, went for it on 4th-and-6 but failed, then Northwestern scored on a walk-off 22-yard TD pass.
1-7 Purdue lost in overtime for second time in last three games.
Purdue has lost seven games in a row, their longest skid since 2016.

— Syracuse 38, Virginia Tech 31 OT
Hokies led 14-0 in 1st quarter, 21-3 midway thru third quarter.
Syracuse tied game on a TD with 0:29 left in regulation.
Tech has lost 11 games in a row that were decided by 8 or fewer points.

Famous birthdays, November 2nd
Dwight Evans, 73
Dennis Miller, 71
Phil Simms, 69
Steve Johnson, 67
Paul Quantrill, 56
Kyle Seager, 37
Damien Woody, 37
Colin Kaepernick, 37
Ty Lawson, 37

— Wyoming 49, New Mexico 45
Lobos led 45-35 after three quarters; it was 35-35 at halftime.
Wyoming QB Anderson threw for 342 yards, 3 TDs in his first college start.
Total yardage was 604-576, Wyoming.

— Texas-San Antonio 44, Memphis 36
Game was 24-24 at halftime.
UTSA QB McCown has thrown for 714 yards, 8 TD’s in his last two games.
Memphis was minus-2 in turnovers, had 12 penalties for 86 yards.

— Rice 24, Navy 10
Navy lost for second game in a row, after their 6-0 start.
EJ Warner threw for 239 yards and a touchdown.
Owls were a 13.5-point underdog; this was first game since they fired their coach.

— Toledo 29, Eastern Michigan 28
Down 29-22, EMU threw 36-yard TD pass on last play of the game.
Eagles went for 2 points and the win, but they didn’t get it.
Eagles lost after leading 19-7 after third quarter.

— SMU 48, Pittsburgh 25
Mustangs led previously-unbeaten Pitt 31-3 at halftime.
RB Smith ran for 161 yards and two TD’s.
SMU is 8-1, 5-0 in their first season in the ACC.
 

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WEEK 11

Tuesday, November 5

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Wednesday, November 6

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Thursday, November 7

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Friday, November 8

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Saturday, November 9

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NCAAF

Week 11


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