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Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, January 31
Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Northwestern @ Purdue (-13.5)
Northwestern (15-5, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 47
Tempo: 339
Experience: 36
Continuity: 58
Northwestern won five of its last seven games.
Wildcats are 4-2 ATS as a Big 14 underdog, 1-2 on road.
Wildcats are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#24)
Northwestern is 6-4 vs top 100 teams.
Purdue (19-2, 8-2)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 174
Experience: 78
Continuity: 9
Purdue won last five games, scoring 86.6 ppg.
Boilers are 5-4 as Big 14 favorites, 2-2 at home.
Boilers are #18 team on offensive boards.
Purdue is 9-2 vs teams in the top 50.
Northwestern (+5) upset Purdue 92-88 in OT December 1st.
Wildcats also upset Purdue LY (both games at home)
Wildcats lost their last six visits to Mackey Arena.
Big 14 double digit home favorites are 7-5 ATS.
St John’s @ Xavier (-1.5)
St John’s (13-7, 5-4)
KenPom rating: 32
Tempo: 96
Experience: 9
Continuity: 332
St John’s lost three of its last four games.
Red Storm is 1-3 SU on Big East road (dogs 4-0 ATS)
Red Storm is #4 team in country on offensive boards.
St John’s is 7-7 against teams ranked in top 100.
Xavier (10-10, 4-5)
KenPom rating: 41
Tempo: 54
Experience: 120
Continuity: 344
Xavier won three of four Big East home games.
Xavier is 2-7 games decided by 7 or less points.
Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#43)
Musketeers are 5-8 vs top 100 teams.
St John’s (-5.5) beat Xavier 81-66 at home December 20.
St John’s won four of last six series games.
Red Storm lost 7 of last 8 visits to the Cintas Center.
Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-6 ATS.
Florida @ Kentucky (-5.5)
Florida (14-6, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 18
Experience: 86
Continuity: 281
Florida won four of its last five games.
Gators allowed 87-103-85 points in SEC losses.
Florida is #2 team in country on offensive boards.
Gators are 6-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Kentucky (15-5, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 12
Experience: 161
Continuity: 321
Kentucky won nine of its last 11 games.
Wildcats are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Wildcats have #8 eFG% in country.
Kentucky is 6-3 against teams in top 100.
Kentucky (+3.5) won 87-85 at Florida January 6th.
Kentucky won five in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
Gators lost 4 of last 5 visits to Lexington.
SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-7 ATS.
Boise State @ New Mexico (-11.5)
Boise State (14-6, 5-2)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 198
Experience: 132
Continuity: 72
Boise State won six of its last eight games.
Broncos’ two MW losses were by 4-6 points.
Broncos are 7-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Opponents are shooting 52.1% inside arc (#249).
New Mexico (18-3, 6-2)
KenPom rating: 19
Tempo: 8
Experience: 57
Continuity: 245
New Mexico won its last five games, scoring 91.2 ppg.
Lobos are 4-0 SU/ATS as a MW home favorite.
Lobos are forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#19)
New Mexico is 5-3 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Boise State won five of last six series games.
Broncos lost three of last four visits to Albuquerque.
MW double digit home favorites are 4-3 ATS.
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary’s (-13.5)
Santa Clara (15-7, 6-1)
KenPom rating: 114
Tempo: 94
Experience: 176
Continuity: 323
Broncos won six of their last seven games.
Santa Clara’s two WCC losses were by 19-24 points.
Santa Clara is 4-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Broncos have #49 eFG% in country.
Saint Mary’s (16-6, 7-0)
KenPom rating: 30
Tempo: 357
Experience: 187
Continuity: 40
Saint Mary’s is 13-1 in last 14 games, after a 3-5 start.
Gaels are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
Saint Mary’s has #9 eFG% defense in country.
Gaels are #5 team in country on offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s (-6) won 73-49 at Santa Clara January 13.
Gaels won last four series games, by 3-3-19-24 points.
Broncos lost last two visits to Moraga, by 8-15 points.
WCC double digit home favorites are 12-1 ATS.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, January 31
Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Northwestern @ Purdue (-13.5)
Northwestern (15-5, 6-3)
KenPom rating: 47
Tempo: 339
Experience: 36
Continuity: 58
Northwestern won five of its last seven games.
Wildcats are 4-2 ATS as a Big 14 underdog, 1-2 on road.
Wildcats are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#24)
Northwestern is 6-4 vs top 100 teams.
Purdue (19-2, 8-2)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 174
Experience: 78
Continuity: 9
Purdue won last five games, scoring 86.6 ppg.
Boilers are 5-4 as Big 14 favorites, 2-2 at home.
Boilers are #18 team on offensive boards.
Purdue is 9-2 vs teams in the top 50.
Northwestern (+5) upset Purdue 92-88 in OT December 1st.
Wildcats also upset Purdue LY (both games at home)
Wildcats lost their last six visits to Mackey Arena.
Big 14 double digit home favorites are 7-5 ATS.
St John’s @ Xavier (-1.5)
St John’s (13-7, 5-4)
KenPom rating: 32
Tempo: 96
Experience: 9
Continuity: 332
St John’s lost three of its last four games.
Red Storm is 1-3 SU on Big East road (dogs 4-0 ATS)
Red Storm is #4 team in country on offensive boards.
St John’s is 7-7 against teams ranked in top 100.
Xavier (10-10, 4-5)
KenPom rating: 41
Tempo: 54
Experience: 120
Continuity: 344
Xavier won three of four Big East home games.
Xavier is 2-7 games decided by 7 or less points.
Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#43)
Musketeers are 5-8 vs top 100 teams.
St John’s (-5.5) beat Xavier 81-66 at home December 20.
St John’s won four of last six series games.
Red Storm lost 7 of last 8 visits to the Cintas Center.
Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-6 ATS.
Florida @ Kentucky (-5.5)
Florida (14-6, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 36
Tempo: 18
Experience: 86
Continuity: 281
Florida won four of its last five games.
Gators allowed 87-103-85 points in SEC losses.
Florida is #2 team in country on offensive boards.
Gators are 6-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Kentucky (15-5, 4-3)
KenPom rating: 21
Tempo: 12
Experience: 161
Continuity: 321
Kentucky won nine of its last 11 games.
Wildcats are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
Wildcats have #8 eFG% in country.
Kentucky is 6-3 against teams in top 100.
Kentucky (+3.5) won 87-85 at Florida January 6th.
Kentucky won five in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
Gators lost 4 of last 5 visits to Lexington.
SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-7 ATS.
Boise State @ New Mexico (-11.5)
Boise State (14-6, 5-2)
KenPom rating: 61
Tempo: 198
Experience: 132
Continuity: 72
Boise State won six of its last eight games.
Broncos’ two MW losses were by 4-6 points.
Broncos are 7-6 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Opponents are shooting 52.1% inside arc (#249).
New Mexico (18-3, 6-2)
KenPom rating: 19
Tempo: 8
Experience: 57
Continuity: 245
New Mexico won its last five games, scoring 91.2 ppg.
Lobos are 4-0 SU/ATS as a MW home favorite.
Lobos are forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#19)
New Mexico is 5-3 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Boise State won five of last six series games.
Broncos lost three of last four visits to Albuquerque.
MW double digit home favorites are 4-3 ATS.
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary’s (-13.5)
Santa Clara (15-7, 6-1)
KenPom rating: 114
Tempo: 94
Experience: 176
Continuity: 323
Broncos won six of their last seven games.
Santa Clara’s two WCC losses were by 19-24 points.
Santa Clara is 4-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Broncos have #49 eFG% in country.
Saint Mary’s (16-6, 7-0)
KenPom rating: 30
Tempo: 357
Experience: 187
Continuity: 40
Saint Mary’s is 13-1 in last 14 games, after a 3-5 start.
Gaels are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
Saint Mary’s has #9 eFG% defense in country.
Gaels are #5 team in country on offensive boards.
Saint Mary’s (-6) won 73-49 at Santa Clara January 13.
Gaels won last four series games, by 3-3-19-24 points.
Broncos lost last two visits to Moraga, by 8-15 points.
WCC double digit home favorites are 12-1 ATS.