New Picks Thread (all sports)

[GoldenTaint]

(all Sunday 12/5/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -57,346)

Pick: LIVE: GIANTS -550 (Washington), risking 1650 to win 300 (0-7 1q) :0074

Pick: SECOND HALF: GREEN BAY -310 (San Francisco), risking 3100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Atlanta-Tampa Bay 43 under -103, risking 2060 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: St. Louiz-Arizona 43' under -103, risking 2060 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Dallas-Indianapolis 55 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (17-7 2q 5:57) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: INDIANAPOLIS +175 (Dallas), risking 1000 to win 1750 (21-27 4q 14m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: INDIANAPOLIS -190 (Dallas), risking 1900 to win 1000 (28-27 4q 12m) :sadwave:

Pick: Pittsburgh-Baltimore 38 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: FIRST QUARTER: Pittsburgh-Baltimore 9' under -157, risking 1570 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: SECOND QUARTER: Pittsburgh-Baltimore 13 under -130, risking 2600 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Pittsburgh-Baltimore 35' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 10m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Pittsburgh +3 (Baltimore) -105, risking 1050 to win 1000 (0-0 1q 9m) :0074

(ledger: -52,106)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Monday 12/6/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -52,106)

Pick: NEW ENGLAND -200 (Jets), risking 3000 to win 1500 :0074

Pick: Jets-New England 44' under -106, risking 2120 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Jets-New England 53 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-17 2q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE: NEW ENGLAND -18' (Jets) -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (3-24 2q 8m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: NEW ENGLAND -41' (Jets) -110, risking 550 to win 500 (3-45 4q 9m) :0074

(ledger: -49,226)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Tuesday 12/7/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -49,226)

Pick: George +3' (Georgia Tech) -106, risking 530 to win 500 :0074

Pick: Memphis-Kansas 149' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Northern Iowa-Iowa 121 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Syracuse-Michigan State 141' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (19-12 1h 11:30) :0074

(ledger: -45,726)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Wednesday 12/8/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -45,726)

Pick: Seton Hall-Arkansas 138 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Denver-Boston 210 under -110, risking 550 to win 500 (4-16 1q 8:40) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Denver-Boston 205' under -110, risking 550 to win 500 (11-30 1q 2m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Denver-Boston 199' over -110, risking 550 to win 500 (69-80 4q start) :sadwave:

Pick: TULSA +1 (Oklahoma State) -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Notre Dame pk (Kentucky) -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (29-25 1h 7:14) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Notre Dame-Kentucky 157' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (29-25 1h 7:14) :0074

(ledger: -45,476)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Thursday 12/9/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -45,476)

Pick: Indianapolis -1' (Tennessee) -130, risking 2600 to win 2000 (pick made early in week) :0074

Pick: Indianapolis-Tennessee 46' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (pick made early in week) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Indianapolis -3 (Tennessee) -130, risking 1300 to win 1000 (0-0 1q 8m) :sadwave:

POST-analysis: Close to the single most irritating loss of the year, mainly because it was telegraphed from a mile away. Remember the Colts won by the point in the Phi game (which I won on) in which most were on Phi. Here that screwing was returned with interest. Should have seen it coming. Anytime there's a prime time game, the risk of being screwed goes up, and it's wiser to play the ML. I have no statistical data to back this up, by I know from experience it's true: the bigger the game, the fewer games going on at the same time, the more exposure and talk it generates in the media, the greater the chance of being screwed by a point or two, the greater the advantage to playing the money line or teasing.

Pick: LIVE: Indianapolis-Tennessee 39' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (14-0 2q 5:57) :sadwave:

NOTE: completely mistimed last bet, 39'. very poor decision. generally with live game-totals bets placed in 1h, the key is to nail down there will not be more than one more score in the 1h after you bet.

Pick: LIVE: Orlando-Portland 180 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (40-34 2q 3:55) PUSH

Pick: LIVE: Orlando-Portland 174' over -110, risking 330 to win 300 (64-72 4q 10:04) :0074

(ledger: -47,776)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Friday 12/10/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -47,776)

Pick: New Hampshire-Delaware 43' over -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: just took this to remind me why i only take overs as hedges. actually was tailing someone. had good luck on small college unders last couple years, will go back to that in coming games

Pick: LIVE: Lakers-Chicago 195 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (12-4 1q 7:23) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Lakers-Chicago 175 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (24-15 2q 8:56) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Lakers +5' (Chicago) -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (58-66 4q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Lakers-Chicago 166 over -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (67-74 4q 5:35) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami -550 (Golden State), risking 2200 to win 400 (20-17 1q 2:55) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami-Golden State 199' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (26-20 2q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami-Golden State 193 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (28-25 2q 8m) :0074

Pick: (college soccer) Akron-Michigan 4' under -175, risking 1750 to win 1000 :0074

(ledger: -41,576)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Saturday 12/11/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -41,576)

Pick: 2teaser (8' points)
Navy +1 (Army)
Navy-Army 61 under
risking 2000 to win 1212 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Navy-Army 50' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 13m) :0074

Pick: Notre Dame -400 (Gonzaga), risking 2800 to win 700 :0074

(ledger: -37,664)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Sunday 12/12/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -37,664)

Pick: SECOND HALF: Green Bay-Detroit 21 under -135, risking 1350 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: SECOND HALF: PITTSBURGH -240 (Cincinnati), risking 2400 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Cincinnati-Pittsburgh 34 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-13 3q 6:49) :0074

Pick: Seattle-San Francisco 43' under -125, risking 2500 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: New England -145 (Chicago), risking 2900 to win 2000 :0074

why: the emo edge is to chicago, but i think NE comes thru in the end. would not be at all surprised if ne wins this by 1 or 2 points. in betting nfl, one of the best questions to ask about any highlighted or prime-time game is what outcome would fuck the maximum number of people? very often the answer tells you which way to go.

Pick: Miami-Jets 37 under -103, risking 2060 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Kansas City +10 (San Diego) -108, risking 2160 to win 2000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: worst pick of the day. should have played under with cassel out.

Pick: SECOND HALF: New Orleans -165 (St. Louis), risking 1650 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: FOURTH QUARTER: New England-Chicago 10 under -150, risking 3000 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: New England-Chicago next score a TD -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (36-7 4q start) PUSH

Pick: LIVE: DALLAS +165 (Philadelphia), risking 1000 to win 1650 (7-7 1q 5:33) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Philadelphia-Dallas 58 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-7 1q 5:33) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Philadelphia-Dallas 53' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-7 2q start) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Philadelphia-Dallas 50' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-7 2q 12m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Philadelphia-Dallas 48' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-7 2q 10m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Philadelphia -9' (Dallas) -155, risking 1550 to win 1000 (30-20 4q 5:39) :sadwave:

POST-analysis: i still don't buy phi as a great or even very good team. i still don't think they're ultimately going to go very far this year. nearly every game i've seen of theirs they've benefited from 1-play touchdowns of the type you normally see in college. here tonight dal has 'em penned inside the ten, and one play and they're back up by ten. i just dont see that kind of shit not disappearing at some point.

(ledger: -38,474)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Monday 12/13/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -38,474)

Pick: Giants-Minnesota 46' under -155, risking 1550 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: 3teaser (9 points):
Giants-Minnesota 52' under WIN
MINNESOTA +14 (Giants) LOSS
HOUSTON +12 (Baltimore) WIN
risking 2000 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Giants-Minnesota 40 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-3 1q 5:25) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Giants-Minnesota 35' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-3 2q 11:56) :0074

Pick: 2teaser (+8 points)
HOUSTON +11 (Baltimore) WIN
Baltimore-Houston 54' under LOSS
risking 2000 to win 1333 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Baltimore-Houston 38 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (7-0 2q 8:38) :sadwave:

Pick: HOUSTON +140 (Baltimore), risking 2000 to win 2800 :sadwave:

(ledger: -42,574)

 

[Woodson]

(all Monday 12/13/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -38,474)

You've taken a 20k chunk out since November 17! Keep em coming,

:toast:

 

[GoldenTaint]

You've taken a 20k chunk out since November 17! Keep em coming,

:toast:

Thanks, Woodson! Looking forward to some nice pickings in these bowl games.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Tuesday 12/14/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -42,574)

Pick: Goerges -1000 (Kremer), risking 1000 to win 100 :0074

Pick: Sevastova -675 (Kalashnikova), risking 1350 to win 200 :0074

Pick: Wisconsin-Milwaukee-DePaul 142' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

(ledger: -41,274)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Wednesday 12/15/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -41,274)

Pick: LIVE: Boston-New York 210' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (15-19 1q 5m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Boston -1' (New York) -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (93-94 4q 8:35) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Dallas-Portland 172 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (14-14 1q 1:27) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Dallas-Portland 184' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (42-58 3q 9:58) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Dallas-Portland 186 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (52-63 3q 6:01) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Dallas-Portland 193 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (68-78 4q start) :sadwave:

(ledger: -49,074)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Thursday 12/16/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -49,074)

Pick: LIVE: Atlanta-Boston 184 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (10-11 1q 5:56) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Atlanta-Boston 182 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (14-17 1q 2m) :sadwave:

Pick: San Francisco +14' (San Diego) -200, risking 2000 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: San Francisco-San Diego 38 under -135, risking 2700 to win 2000 (0-24 3q 4m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: San Francisco-San Diego 37' under -120, risking 1200 to win 1000 (0-24 3q 3m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: San Antonio-Denver 213' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (4-8 1q 9:47) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: San Antonio-Denver 211' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (16-21 1q 3:27) :sadwave:

(ledger: -61,574)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Friday 12/17/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -61,574)

Pick: Villanova-Eastern Washington 54' under -103, risking 2060 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: SECOND HALF: Villanova-Eastern Washington 28' under -135, risking 2700 to win 2000 :sadwave:

(ledger: -66,334)

NOTE: cavalcade of suck lately, but i expect it to reverse tomorrow. to recap history here: very loose up til oct 20, down roughly 50k, put in new strategy, worked down to around -31k at high point, and then utter demolition last few days, losing about 15 straight, down to droppin'-fresh nadir of -66k.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Saturday 12/18/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -66,334)

Pick: BYU -370 (UTEP), risking 1120 to win 300 :0074

Pick: LIVE: BYU makes next score (UTEP) -145, risking 1450 to win 1000 (7-0 1q 10:29) :0074

Pick: LIVE: BYU -16' (UTEP) -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 10:29) :0074

Pick: LIVE: BYU -23' (UTEP) -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (14-3 1q 1m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: BYU -30' (UTEP) -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (24-3 2q 14:42) :sadwave:

why: not the slightest sign UTEP can move ball, looks like BYU will keep rolling up points

Pick: LIVE: BYU-UTEP 83' under -170, risking 1700 to win 1000 (52-24 4q 9m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Northern Illinois +4 (Fresno State) -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-7 1q 5m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Northern Illinois-Fresno State 55 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-7 1q 5m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Northern Illinois-Fresno State 65 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (16-7 2q 9m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Troy -6' (Ohio U.) -125, risking 2500 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 9:52) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Troy-Ohio U. 59' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 9:52) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Troy -3 (Ohio U.) +105, risking 2000 to win 2100 (7-7 1q 4:58) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Troy-Ohio U. 66 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (24-7 2q 6m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Troy-Ohio U. 77 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (48-14 3q 2:48m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Troy-Ohio U. 75' under +100, risking 1000 to win 1000 (48-14 4q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE Ohio U. +27' (Troy) -230, risking 2300 to win 1000 (21-48 4q 5m) :0074

(ledger: -56,734)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Sunday 12/19/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -56,734)

Pick: FIRST HALF: KC-Stl 21' under -115, risking 1150 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: FIRST HALF: Houston-Tennessee 24 -120, risking 1200 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: FIRST HALF: Jacksonville-Indianapolis 24 under -105, risking 1050 to win 1000 push

Pick: FIRST HALF: Arizona-Carolina 19 under -115, risking 1150 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: FIRST HALF: Cleveland-Cincinnati 21 under -130, risking 1300 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: FIRST HALF: Philadelphia-Giants 24 under -120, risking 2400 to win 2000 :sadwave:

POST-note: refs blow call in last 10 seconds of half turning under into over.

Pick: FIRST HALF: Washington-Dallas 22' under -115, risking 1150 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: GIANTS-Philadelphia 40' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 8:16) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: GIANTS-Philadelphia 45 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 3:30) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: GIANTS-Philadelphia 43' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 1:50) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: GIANTS -190 (Philadelphia), risking 1900 to win 1000 (31-24 4q 2m) :sadwave:

(ledger: -66,983)

Pick: Denver +7' (Oakland) -107, risking 2140 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Jet +105 (Pittsburgh), risking 3000 to win 3150 (7-0 1q 9m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Jet +1 (Pittsburgh), risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 7m) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Jet-Pittsburgh 33' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 0:41) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Jet-Pittsburgh 34' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 2q start) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Jet-Pittsburgh 37' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-7 2q 7m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Jet +135 (Pittsburgh), risking 2000 to win 2700 (10-7 2q 2:48) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Green Bay-New England 43' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 10:54) :sadwave:

(ledger: -70,073)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Monday 12/20/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -70,073)

Pick: MINNESOTA +10' (Chicago) -210, risking 3150 to win 1500 :sadwave:

(ledger: -73,223)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Tuesday 12/21/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -73,223)

Pick: LIVE: Southern Miss-Louisville 63' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (7-0 1q 12:06) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Southern Miss-Louisville 61' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (14-0 2q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Southern Miss-Louisville 65' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (21-21 3q 8:28) :0074

(ledger: -67,223)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Wednesday 12/22/10 picks in this post)

(ledger: -67,223)

Pick: LIVE: Utah-Boise State 55 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 12:11) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Utah-Boise State 47 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 4:17) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Utah-Boise State 42' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (3-0 2q 11:25) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Boise State -25' (Utah) under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (3-23 3q 8:18) :sadwave:

(ledger: -63,423)