New Picks Thread (all sports)

[GoldenTaint]

rarely play totals, just don't have a feel for it. I took Goerges as well, looks like a real up and comer.

Yep. She is arc-ing up. Had lots of wins on her last year. Perhaps more on her than any other player.

Leaning Stepanek over Fish, played really well at the end of last year but kept running into Federer. I was impressed with Radek's service game, really difficult to break.

He never really got it going much that I saw. I probably threw away more money on him than any other, except Davydenko and Berdych. Hard match to call, not a big fan of Fish.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Wednesday 1/5/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: -1,981)

Pick: 2parlay:
Goerges -365 (Cornet) WIN
Anderson -155 (F. Lopez) WIN
risking 2500 to win 2740 :0074

Pick: 2parlay:
Baghdatis -330 (Kubot) WIN
Berdych -895 (Dodig) WIN
risking 2000 to win 897 :0074

Pick: 2parlay:
Stepanek +147 (Fish) WIN
Berdych -900 (Dodig) WIN
risking 2000 to win 3489 :0074

Pick: Berdych -900 (Dodig), risking 1800 to win 200 :0074

Pick: Kendrick-Kavcic 23 under -130, risking 2600 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Gasquet -655 (Phau), risking 1965 to win 300 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: worst. fold. ever. not really, because it was a throwaway match in third-rate tournmament, but this was truly pathetic by both parties, gasquet most of all. neither of these players is worth a damn under pressure.

Pick: Robert +280 (Malisse), risking 1000 to win 2800 :sadwave:

Pick: Robert-Malisse 22 under -140, risking 1400 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Davydenko-Nieminen 22 under -128, risking 2560 to win 2000 PUSH

Pick: LIVE: Lakers-Phoenix 205' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (84-78 4q 10m) :0074

(ledger: +6,380)

 

[GoldenTaint]

Leaning Stepanek over Fish, played really well at the end of last year but kept running into Federer. I was impressed with Radek's service game, really difficult to break.

Didn't see it, but Step whipped the Fish. I hope you profited. Cross my fingers Berdych shows up.

 

[CapMan]

Lopez got killed..that's the danger with him and Anderson..if one servers poorly its a 40 minute whipping. Nailed Stepanek and have Berdych up a set. Looking at Kohlschreiber over Karlovic. Ivo is a one trick pony with that serve and Kohl really emerged last year.

Also baffled by the Istomin line. I never heard of this Ebden guy and its only -250 for Istomin. Ebden is a local product I think but now he's moving up in competition a bit..

Upset alert is Phau over Gasquet...he can be a real pest and if Gasquet isn't pegging that backhand Phau can frustrate him I think

 

[GoldenTaint]

Looking at Kohlschreiber over Karlovic. Ivo is a one trick pony with that serve and Kohl really emerged last year.

Kohl is a real rough one. The minute you think you can rely on him, he's gone. But on his day, he can take all but the top few. I like him in spots. Don't know about here.

Also baffled by the Istomin line. I never heard of this Ebden guy and its only -250 for Istomin. Ebden is a local product I think but now he's moving up in competition a bit..

yeah, had good w isto last year, but haven't seen him yet this year, never seen ebden.

Upset alert is Phau over Gasquet...he can be a real pest and if Gasquet isn't pegging that backhand Phau can frustrate him I think

Don't like Phau, he's his own enemy, i hate and avoid weakmindedness more than anything. Gasquet can be that way sometimes, but i don't think he'll lose it here.

 

[GoldenTaint]

Upset alert is Phau over Gasquet...he can be a real pest and if Gasquet isn't pegging that backhand Phau can frustrate him I think

Phau's getting waxed at this point. I think Robert's a shot at +280. I like to go against Malisse now and then, can't hurt. He's ok, but he can lose.

 

[GoldenTaint]

Upset alert is Phau over Gasquet...he can be a real pest and if Gasquet isn't pegging that backhand Phau can frustrate him I think

Well, I hope you cashed on that at a great price, utterly ridiculous match.

 

[CapMan]

I did cash on Phau..Gasquet is a phony..I swear he'd rather just rip backhands all day instead of trying to win a match. Taking a shot on Berrer over Soderling now..a sure loser, but Berrer is another pest and I question the top players focus this early in the season. Look at Nadal today, he got bageled in the 2nd set by Lacko..Unreal

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Thursday 1/6/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: +6,380)

Pick: Pavlyuchenkova -170 (Safarova), risking 1700 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Pavlyuchenkova-Safarova 21 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Goerges -170 (K. Bondarenko), risking 3400 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Baghdatis +195 (Roddick), risking 1000 to win 1950 :sadwave:

Pick: Baghdatis-Roddick 23 under -130, risking 2600 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Baghdatis +3' (Roddick) -115, risking 1150 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: Groth-Petkovic 21' under -115, risking 2300 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: 2parlay:
Tipsarevic-Kudryavtsev 21' under -115 WIN
Haase -380 (Sugita)
risking 1500 to win 2042 :0074

Pick: Haase -380 (Sugita), risking 1520 to win 400 :0074

Pick: Tsonga-Garcia-Lopez 22' under -129, risking 2560 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Troicki-Federer 20' under -105, risking 2100 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Nadal-Gulbis 22 under -120, risking 2400 to win 2000 PUSH

Pick: Davydenko -300 (Karlovic), risking 2100 to win 700 :0074

Pick: Goffin +5 (Wawrinka) -116, risking 1160 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Goffin +575 (Wawrinka), risking 300 to win 1725 :sadwave:

Pick: Stepanek-Mayer 23 under -120, risking 2400 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Stepanek -2 (Mayer) -125, risking 1250 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Goerges wins 2-0 in sets (Arn) -131, risking 2620 to win 2000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: Goerges has three set points, on Arn's serve, can't convert from 40-0 to win 1s, probably would have rolled from there, tough loss. fully expect goerges to come back and win in three.

Pick: Goerges -249 (Arn), risking 2490 to win 1000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: tough loss. credit to arn. not sure how to interpret it. goerges missed a lot of makeable shots. i suspect this match was a little too close to her last. playing 2x within 24 hours is a bit much.

Pick: Middle Tennessee State-Miami Ohio 51 under -145, risking 1450 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: Miami Ohio +110 (Middle Tennessee State), risking 3000 to win 3300 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami Ohio +120 (Middle Tennessee State), risking 2000 to win 2400 (7-7 1q 2:29) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami Ohio +170 (Middle Tennessee State), risking 1000 to win 1700 (14-7 2q start) :0074

Pick: LIVE: Miami Ohio +130 (Middle Tennessee State), risking 2000 to win 2600 (14-14 2q 5m) :0074

Pick: Ebden +5' (Soderling) +125, risking 300 to win 375 :sadwave:

Pick: Ebden +1100 (Soderling), risking 200 to win 2200 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Denver-Sacramento 227' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (79-84 3q 2:44) :0074

(ledger: +19,252)

 

[CapMan]

great line on Goerges..I got 185

 

[kickserv]

Nice comeback on the "ledger"....well done:SIB


And Goerges had a brain fart in the first set but she came back and won for ya....nice big bet winner there for ya....well done:toast:

 

[GoldenTaint]

great line on Goerges..I got 185

You like baghdatis? probably put something on him.

 

[GoldenTaint]

great line on Goerges..I got 185

it was 170 within hour of match. after i got it, went to 175.

 

[GoldenTaint]

Nice comeback on the "ledger"....well done:SIB


And Goerges had a brain fart in the first set but she came back and won for ya....nice big bet winner there for ya....well done:toast:

she's gonna be great, already close to it. killer hard shots in the corner. strong mind.

 

[CapMan]

You like baghdatis? probably put something on him.

I did..and lost..taking Gulbis and Troiki and Karlovic today..one of them will win..maybe 2..all 3 in form

 

[GoldenTaint]

I did..and lost..taking Gulbis and Troiki and Karlovic today..one of them will win..maybe 2..all 3 in form

Can't disagree, just hate going against fed or nadal especially. i do like davydenko to win -300. like gulbis, but can't buck nadal, even if he's sick. going to stay off that one, or try an under

 

[CapMan]

lost all 3...its Goerges time..

 

[CapMan]

playing Bartoli and A PAVLYUCHENKOVA

 

[GoldenTaint]

playing Bartoli and A PAVLYUCHENKOVA

going to be interesting. leaning both unders and pavy. bartoli is a weird player. i kind of favor petvic in that one. interesting both matches are straight-up pick 'ems. just haven't seen kvit play, not sure why pavy had such a rough time yesterday

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Friday 1/7/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: +19,252)

NOTE: one of the most fascinating things in sports (i am not kidding) is that women's tennis lets fans see/hear the break discussions between players and coaches. fascinating is the word. of course, many are in foreign tongues, but last night, the one between groth and her fauhawked coach was almost funny. it must be scary to have your income tied to the emotions of a teenaged girl. groth was losing to petkovic, in large part due to poor tactics, which her coach ought to be able to help with. her coach says everyone in the stands (brisbane) is behind you, just waiting for you to show something. she is pure high-pitched whine the whole interview and says something that i think was "i look like a fucking tourist out there!" funny as hell. and then when the german petrovic beats her (groth is an australian, by move and marriage, i think), pet says "i hope you won't hate me even though ive beaten two australians." total silence. it really does give insight into these players to see unscripted emotions and thinking, very good call by the wta to let people in on it. you see them on the court, they seem like mature women when you're watching them play, but when you see them interviewed, it is clear they are like every other girl their age in that they have to constantly be reminded to focus and not let their emotions get the better of them. tennis is the perfect sport for women and for betting. pro tennis is a like a lathe that turns out perfect legs time after time. strength, tone, and shape in perfect proportion.

Pick: Petkovic-Bartoli 21' under -125, risking 2500 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Petkovic -110 (Bartoli), risking 2200 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Pavlyuchenkova-Kvitova 21 under -120, risking 2400 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Pavlyuchenkova -107 (Kvitova), risking 2140 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: 2parlay:
Berdych -950 (Kavcic)
Malisse -300 (Phau) WIN
risking 2000 to win 947 :0074

Pick: Federer-Tsonga 21 under -105, risking 1050 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: 2parlay:
Tipsarevic -200 (Nishkori)
Nadal -270 (Davydenko) LOSS
risking 2000 to win 2111 :sadwave:

Pick: Nadal -270 (Davydenko), risking 2700 to win 1000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: nadal was weak from sickness, said it himself in a break. incredibly stupid to put money on him after yesterday's bizarre set-drop. should have stayed off this or been on davydenko, who is playing great.

Pick: Tipsarevic-Nishikori 23 under -120, risking 2400 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Arn-Wickmayer 20' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: LSU-Texas A&M 46' under +122, risking 2000 to win 2440 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: LSU-Texas A&M 52 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-7 1q 7m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: LSU-Texas A&M 52 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-7 1q 5m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: FOURTH QUARTER: LSU-Texas A&M 14 under -105, risking 1100 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Stepanek +4 (Soderling) -140, risking 1400 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: Anderson +4' (Roddick) -115, risking 2300 to win 2000 :sadwave:

(ledger: +9,989)