NFL 2023-2024 Best Bets-OPINIONS-NEWS !

[Cnotes53]

NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/05/2023...........................12 - 5 - 0......................70.58%....................+ 32.50
11/02/2023.............................2 - 0 - 0....................100.00%....................+ 10.00

TOTALS.................................14 - 5 - 0.................... 73.58%.....................+ 42.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— USC fired defensive coordinator Alex Grinch after a 52-42 loss Saturday.
— Miami Marlins hired Rays GM Peter Bendix as their club president.
— Raptors 123, Spurs 116 OT- San Antonio led 54-35 at halftime.
— Mavericks 124, Hornets 118- Charlotte led 62-50 at halftime.
— Grizzlies 112, Blazers 100- Memphis wins its first game in six tries.
— Suns 120, Pistons 106- Kevin Durant scored 41 points for Phoenix.

Quote of the Day
“What he was able to do in really five days’ time was as impressive as I’ve seen a quarterback be able to do.”

Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell, talking about QB Joshua Dobbs
Monday’s quiz
Where did Nick Saban coach just before he became coach at Alabama?

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; Mitchell Trubisky was the only QB picked ahead of him that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Orlando Magic drafted Shaquille O’Neal with the 1st pick in the 1992 NBA Draft.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Texans 39, Buccaneers 37
— Texans drove 75 yards in 0:40, scored game-winning TD with 0:06 left.
— Rookie QB Stroud was 30-42/470 passing, with 5 TD passes.
— Houston in 2nd half: 32 plays, 365 yards, 31 points.
— Texans are 2-10 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Bucs scored a TD with 0:46 left to take a 37-33 lead.
— Texans outgained Tampa Bay, 496-332.
— Bucs lost four in row, five of last six games (3-3 ATS).
— Texans took a knee after game-winning TD, rather than kick PAT that would’ve covered the 2.5-point spread.

Vikings 31, Falcons 28
— Vikings drove 75 yards in 1:46, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
— QB Dobbs, acquired on Tuesday, was 20-30/158 passing off the bench.
— Vikings converted 7-16 on third down, Falcons 10-18.
— Minnesota won/covered last four games, scoring 19-22-24-31 points.

— Atlanta turned ball over on consecutive plays late in third quarter.
— Falcons drove 84 yards, scored TD to go ahead 28-24 with 2:08 left.
— Heinicke was 21-38/268 passing, in his first ’23 start.
— Falcons are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.

Chiefs 21, Dolphins 14
— Kansas City led 21-0 at half, scoring defensive TD 0:33 before the half.
— KC has outscored opponents 165-59 in first half.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Opponents’ team total: under 7-2.
— Dolphins in first half: 25 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Favorites are 8-0 ATS in Miami’s games this season.
— Miami scored 31+ points in five of six wins; 20-17-14 in losses.

Ravens 37, Seahawks 3
— Ravens ran 75 plays for 515 yards, Seattle 47 plays for 151 yards.
— Baltimore ran ball 41 times for 298 yards.
— Last six games, Ravens outscored opponents 108-19 in first half.
— Baltimore won five of last six games (4-2 ATS)
— Seattle’s first five drives: 20 plays, 50 yards, 4 punts and an INT.
— Seattle was outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses, 20-0 in this game.
— Seahawks are 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games after a win.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.

Browns 27, Cardinals 0
— Arizona is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games, losing by 19-14-17-10-7-27 points.
— Cardinals ran 48 plays for 58 yards, Browns ran 71 plays for 326 yards.
— Cardinals have been outscored 135-47 in 2nd half of games.
— Three NFC West teams Sunday: no TD’s, 2 FG’s/33 drives, outscored 84-6.
— Browns’ three TD’s were on drives of 49-11-56 yards.
— Opponents have converted only 27-104 third down plays (1-12 here).
— Cleveland won/covered four of its five home games.
— Cleveland is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.

Packers 20, Rams 3
— Rams lost four of their last five games.
— QB Stafford didn’t play: Rypien was 13-28/130 passing, no bueno.
— Last three games, Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 98 yards…….total.
— Rams are 8-18 since they won Super Bowl two years ago.
— Green Bay outgained the Rams, 391-187.
— Packers ran ball for 184 yards (4.8 yards/carry).
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 41-17 on 1st drive of a half.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3

Commanders 20, Patriots 17
— New England led 14-10 at halftime.
— Washington’s first two drives of 2nd half: 15 plays, 140 yards, 10 points.
— Commanders outgained New England, 432-327.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-5 as an NFL starter.
— Patriots lost five of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— In those games, Patriots were outgained by 102.2 yards/game.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-32 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is now 82-97 SU without Brady.

Saints 24, Bears 17
— Saints’ TD drives were 45-75-47 yards.
— Last five weeks, Saints outscored foes 61-27 in second half.
— Under is 7-2 in Saints’ games this season.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Chicago turned ball over five times on 11 drives (minus-5).
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears are 20-39 on third down.
— Chicago is 6-14-1 ATS in last 21 games as road underdogs (1-3 TY).

Colts 27, Panthers 13
— Kenny Moore had two pick-6’s for the 4-5 Colts.
— Indianapolis led 20-3 at halftime.
— Colts’ offense in 1st half: 38 plays, 184 yards, 13 points.
— Colts in second half: 18 plays, 50 yards, no points.
— Panthers averaged only 3.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers outgained the Colts, 275-198.
— In Young’s seven starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Carolina is 1-6-1 against spread this season.

Raiders 30, Giants 6
— QB Jones hurt his knee; they fear he tore his ACL.
— Giants in first half: 29 plays, 104 yards, 2 INT’s, no points.
— Giants lost six of last seven games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Giants’ team total: under 7-2.
— Raiders in first half: 31 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
— Rookie QB O’Connell was 16-25/209 passing, in his 2nd start.
— Under is 7-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders won three of their four home games TY.

Eagles 28, Cowboys 23
— Dallas led 17-14 at halftime.
— Eagles’ first two drives in 2nd half: 17 plays, 147 yards, 14 points.
— Under Sirianni, Philly is 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles won eight of their first nine games (5-2-2 ATS)
— Prescott was 29-44/374 passing, with three TD’s.
— Dallas outgained the Eagles, 406-292.
— Cowboys are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.

Bengals 24, Bills 18
— Buffalo is 2-3 SU in its last five games (0-5 ATS).
— Bills drove 85 yards for a TD on its first drive.
— next six drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 points.
— Bills allowed 10-3-20-9-18 points in wins, 22-25-29-24 in losses.
— Cincy’s first two drives: 20 plays, 145 yards, 14 points.
— Bengals won/covered last four games, giving up 20-13-17-18 points.
— Last two games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 9

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 6​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LAC at NYJ	08:15 PM	NYJ +3.5 O 41.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/06/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
11/05/2023	16-6-0	72.73%	+4700	Detail
11/02/2023	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%...........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%...........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%..........................+ 10.00

TOTALS..................................14 - 7 - 0............................. 66.66%...........................+ 31.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six of the top baseball free agents this winter:
— Shohei Ohtani, DH
— Yoshinobu Yamamoto, P
— Blake Snell, P
— Cody Bellinger, OF/1B
— Aaron Nola, P
— Josh Hader, RP

Quote of the Day
“I think my reaction is the same as everyone in the organization and the fan base. We’re just shocked initially.”
Milwaukee P Corbin Burnes, after manager Craig Counsell bolted to the rival Cubs

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; who was their QB in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Nick Saban went 15-17 in two years coaching the Miami Dolphins, just before he became coach at Alabama.

Sunday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes was the 10th pick in the 2017 NFL Draft; Mitchell Trubisky was the only QB picked ahead of him that year.


***********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Chargers 27, Jets 6:
Chargers ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD, 1:25 into the game.
Chargers’ second offensive TD came on a 2-yard drive, after a turnover.
Under is 5-0-1 in last six Charger games.
Bolts are 6-3-3 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Jets converted only 3-17 third down plays.
Jets are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Jets still haven’t averaged more than 5.8 yards/pass attempt in any game.
Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6 in losses.
Jets have now won three of last four games, which is good, but in those four games:
they scored only 3 touchdowns on 48 drives.
they went 3/out 15 times on those 48 drives- their offense is dismal.
College basketball started Monday night……..

— James Madison (+16) 79, Michigan State 76 OT
Dukes were a freakin’ 16-point underdog; a great win for them.
MSU shot 1-20 on the arc, 23-37 on foul line, and lost by 3.
JMU jumped out to a 25-12 lead, but trailed by 6 with 8:35 left in the game.

— Princeton (+5.5) 68, Rutgers 61— Not often an Ivy League team beats a Big 14 team.

— Wake Forest 101, Elon 78
Elon led 36-15 early on.
Deacons shot 74.4% inside the arc.

— Abilene Christian (+10.5) 64, Oklahoma State 59
Visiting Wildcats shot 54% inside the arc, led by 18 with 13:25 left in game.

— Bradley 73, UAB 71, OT
Visiting Braves led by 20 in first half.
UAB stormed back, led by 11 with 6:42 left in game.
Blazers were 3-19 on arc, 18-29 on foul line.

— Belmont 89, Georgia State 87— This was a really good game between two good mid-majors, kind of a like a play-in game to the tournament in March.
Belmont was 17-22 on foul line, Georgia State 8-14.

— Bad Beat of the Night; Tex-San Antonio 78, Western Illinois 68, OT— Very tough beat if you had the Leathernecks, +5.5.

— Word of the Day: Shill— someone who gets paid to talk about or describe someone or something in a favorable way.

— Managerial changes in baseball:
Cubs hired Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell, gave him $8M a year.
Mets hired Bronx bench coach Carlos Mendoza as their new manager.
Cleveland Guardians hired Stephen Vogt as their new manager.
Vogt played 10 years in the big leagues; he played 70 games in the majors as recently as 2022. He was a bullpen coach in Seattle last year.
Mendoza managed in the minor leagues for two years, has been a big league coach since 2018.
Counsell had a 9-year regular season record of 707-625 with Milwaukee; he was 7-12 in the five years he led Milwaukee in the playoffs.

— Nine weeks into the season, the entire AFC North is over .500.

— So far this season, under has been a profitable play in the NFL:
since Week 3, under is 67-35-1
since Week 5, under is 47-23-1
prime-time games, under is 21-7
overall for the whole season, under is 82-52-1

— Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is leading the NFL in completion %age; last year, he finished 25th in that category. New offensive coordinator Todd Monken has worked wonders with the Ravens’ offense so far this season.

— Over their last four games, Buffalo Bills have a minus-6 turnover ratio; hard to win that way.

— ESPN”s Doc Rivers said this last week about the Dallas Mavericks, who have two stars on their team, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving:
“They have to want to play together” which sounds simple, but it doesn’t happen all the time.

— Kudos to Arizona Wildcats football coach Jedd Fisch, who has his Wildcats at 6-3 and eligible to go bowling in December. From 2018-22, Arizona was 15-38, so this is a huge leap forward for the Wildcats.

— I’d like to thank the support staff at YouTubeTV; had a problem with the set-up on my TV last Friday, wound up on the phone for a half-hour with a support person in the Phillipines and he fixed the problem for me. Appreciate your help.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 10

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina @ Chicago
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

Indianapolis @ New England
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 15 games
New England
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

New Orleans @ Minnesota
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 15 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cleveland @ Baltimore
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 11 games at home
Baltimore is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Houston @ Cincinnati
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

San Francisco @ Jacksonville
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
San Francisco is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Green Bay @ Pittsburgh
Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

Tennessee @ Tampa Bay
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Arizona
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Detroit @ LA Chargers
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games

Washington @ Seattle
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Washington
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Jets @ Las Vegas
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Jets's last 13 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games

Denver @ Buffalo
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Baylor 88, Auburn 82— Very high-level early season game.
— North Texas 83, Northern Iowa 77 OT— Mean Green made 11-22 on the arc.
— Fort Wayne 82, DePaul 74— Summit team beats a Big East squad.
— St John’s 90, Stony Brook 74— Rick Pitino wins his Johnnies’ debut.
— Indiana 69, Florida Gulf Coast 63— Surprisingly tough win for the Hoosiers.
— Rams signed QB Carson Wentz; he has 11 days until Rams play again.

Quote of the Day
“There has never been a better time to be a part of our athletic department and this program. My family and I are so proud to be at this university, and I am looking forward to many more seasons representing the most passionate fan base in the country. There’s no place like Kansas.”
Kansas basketball coach Bill Self; that’s what you say when you sign a $53M contract

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

Monday’s quiz
Nick Saban went 15-17 in two years coaching the Miami Dolphins, just before he became coach at Alabama.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Early season NBA trends

NBA trends (thru Tuesday)
I’ll try to post this once a week like the NHL trends…….

Hawks (4-3):
— won four of their last five games.
— over 3-0 at home

Celtics (5-1):
— won five of first six games SU (3-2-1 ATS)
— over 5-1, 2-0 at home

Nets (3-4):
— covered six of seven games (5-1 ATS as an underdog).
— 3-1 SU at home, 0-3 SU on road.
— over 3-0 at home

Hornets (2-4):
— lost four of their last five games SU.
— 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— last four games went over the total.

Bulls (3-5)
— lost three of their last four games.
— 2-6 ATS, 1-4 as a favorite.

Cavaliers (3-4):
— 1-3 SU at home, 2-1 on road.
— 1-3 ATS as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Mavericks (6-1):
— won six of first seven games.
— 3-1 ATS on the road.
— over 5-2

Nuggets (7-1):
—won/covered last three games.
— 4-1 ATS as home favorites
— under 3-0 on road, over 3-2 at home

Pistons (2-6):
— lost five of their last six games.
— 3-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 5-1 last six games

Warriors (6-2):
— won six of last seven games SU
— 2-4 ATS as a favorite
— under 5-3

Rockets (3-3):
— won/covered last three games.
— 3-1 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.

Pacers (4-3):
— 3-2 ATS as a favorite.
— over 6-1

Clippers (3-3):
— 3-1 ATS in LA, 0-2 ATS on road.
— over 3-2-1

Lakers (3-4):
— 3-0 SU at home, 0-4 SU on road.
— 2-5 ATS, 1-3 as a favorite.
— under 5-2

Grizzlies (1-6):
— lost six of first seven games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games

Heat (3-4):
— 0-5 ATS in last five games.
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 3-1 at home

Bucks (4-2):
— 0-5-1 ATS this season, all as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Timberwolves (4-2)
— won/covered last three games
— 4-0 ATS at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 3-1 at home

Pelicans (4-3):
— all three losses were by 18+ points
— 2-2 SU/ATS at home, 2-1 on road.

Knicks (3-4):
— covered three of last four games
— 4-2-1 ATS this season
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-1-1 as an underdog
— under 5-0 last five games

Thunder (4-3):
— covered five of seven games.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— three of last four games went over total.

Magic (4-3):
— 2-1 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1-1

76ers (5-1):
— won last five games SU, covered all six.
— 5-0 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 as an underdog.
— over 4-2

Suns (3-4):
— lost three of last four games
— 1-2 ATS at home, 3-1 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Trailblazers (3-4):
— won/covered three of last four games
— under 3-1 last four games
— have been an underdog in every game

Kings (2-4):
— lost four of last five games
— under 3-2 last five games

Spurs (3-4):
— favorites are 3-0 ATS in their home games.
— 2-4 ATS as an underdog.
— over 6-1

Raptors (3-4):
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite, 2-2 as an underdog.
— under 5-2

Jazz (2-6):
— lost last three games, by 2-28-17 points.
— 1-3 ATS on the road
— over 4-0 at home

Wizards (1-5):
— lost last four games (2-2 ATS).
— over 5-1

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 10

Thursday's game
Panthers (1-7) @ Bears (2-7)
— Carolina is 0-4 SU/ATS) on road this year, losing by 14-10-18-21.
— Last four games, Panthers were outscored 76-33 in first half.
— In two post-bye games, Panthers scored 2 TD’s on 18 drives.
— Last week, Young threw two pick-6’s vs Colts.
— In Young’s six starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started.
— Carolina’s only win was 15-13; they allowed 20+ points in their losses.
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog (0-4 TY).
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers have been outscored 118-71 in second half of games.
— Carolina is 8-17-1 ATS in last 26 games following a loss.
— NFC South teams are 9-16-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3


— Chicago lost three of last four games, scoring 13-13-17 in losses.
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Chicago turned ball over 5 times last week (minus-5)
— Chicago scored 40-30 points in its wins; they’re 0-7 otherwise.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears were 20-39 on third down.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 132-83 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 11-32 SU/16-25-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites (0-1 TY).
— Chicago is 17-24-3 ATS in last 44 games coming off a loss.
— Three of their four games stayed under the total.
— NFC North favorites are 6-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3


— Bears won five of last six series games.
— Panthers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.


Sunday’s games
Colts (4-5) vs Patriots (2-7) (@ Frankfurt, Germany)
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Indianapolis lost three of its last four games.
— Backup QB Minshew is 10-19 as an NFL starter, 2-3 TY.
— Colts won/covered three of their four road games TY.
— Indy has scored 20+ points in all nine games.
— Colts are 10-6 ATS last 16 games as an underdog away from home.
— Colts are 16-17 ATS in last 33 games coming off win.
— Colts are 8-12 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-3 in Indy’s games this season.
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 7-1-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Patriots lost five of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— Patriots were outscored 92-40 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-5 in turnovers this year.
— NE is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-32 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-97 without Brady.
— Mac Jones is 18-23 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last six games, Patriots were outgained by 102.2 yards/game.
— Patriots are 14-16-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 6-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 9-12 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-3 over


— New England won seven of last eight series games.
— Favorites covered last three meetings.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.


Browns (5-3) @ Ravens (7-2)
— Browns are 3-1 since their bye week.
— Last four weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 144.5 yards/game.
— Browns are 1-9-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 1-3 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland is 1-2 SU/0-2-1 ATS in its road games.
— Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
— Cleveland is 5-7-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Opponents have converted only 27-104 third down plays.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Cleveland games.
— Watson is 36-31 as an NFL starter, 7-4 with Cleveland.
— NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 11-11 ATS this year.
— Team total: over 6-1-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Ravens won last four games, last three by a combined 106-33.
— Last six games, Ravens outscored foes 108-19 in first half.
— Baltimore is 6-11 ATS in last 17 games as home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in last six AFC North home games.
— Ravens are 10-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-5 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 53-21 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 6-3 in Baltimore games this season.
— Team total: over 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2-1


— Ravens (+3) won 28-3 in Cleveland in Week 4
— That was game #3 QB Thompson-Robinson was Browns’ QB.
— Ravens won five of last seven series games.
— Browns are 8-5 ATS in last 13 visits to Baltimore.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Texans (4-4) @ Bengals (5-3)
— Houston won four of its last six games (4-2 ATS)
— Houston led five of its last six games at halftime.
— Three of their last four games were decided by exactly two points.
— Texans are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS on road this year.
— Houston is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Texans QB Stroud threw for 470 yards, 5 TD’s last week.
— Houston is 19-16-1 in last 26 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last three games, minus-2
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2


— Bengals won/covered last four games, scoring 26.5 ppg.
— Last four games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers. (10-3)
— Burrow (calf) is moving around lot better than he was before their bye.
— Cincinnati is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Bengals are 11-2 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games. Cincy had seven TD’s on 18 drives.
— Bengals have a Thursday night game at Baltimore next week.
— Under is 5-3 in their games this season.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Teams haven’t met since 2020, once since 2017.
— Texans won seven of last nine series games.
— Houston won/covered last four visits to Cincinnati.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


49ers (5-3) @ Jaguars (6-2)
— 49ers lost last three games, scoring 17-17-17 points.
— SF scored 30-30-30-35-42 points in 5-0 start (4-0-1 ATS).
— 49ers have outscored opponents 95-56 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (108-65-113 last 3 games).
— 49ers are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Since 2012, SF is 3-7-1 SU/2-9 ATS in post-bye games.
— last two games, 49ers are minus-4 in turnovers (+8 10/first six games)
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 12-4 as NFL starter.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2


— Jaguars won/covered their last five games.
— Jacksonville outscored last four opponents 75-19 in first half.
— Jaguars scored 21-23-25-37-31-20 points in wins, 9-17 in losses.
— Jaguars are 10-16 ATS last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jaguars are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 9-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Pederson, Jags are +12 in turnovers (minus-20 in 2021)
— AFC South teams are 14-9 ATS outside the division.
— Pederson is 62-50-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 18-24 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— San Francisco won/covered last four series games.
— 49ers won 42-10/30-10 in last two visits to Jacksonville.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Saints (5-4) @ Vikings (5-4)
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have 10 offensive TD’s on their last 34 drives.
— Last five games, New Orleans is +8 in turnovers.
— Last two games, Saints were 13-26 on third down.
— Last five weeks, Saints outscored foes 61-27 in second half.
— Saints have been outscored 19-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— NO is 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY)
— Saints are 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Under is 7-2 in Saints’ games this season.
— NFC South teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4


— QB Dobbs came off bench and won game for Vikings LW.
— Dobbs is 1-9 as an NFL starter; he actually practiced this week.
— Minnesota won/covered last four games, scoring 19-22-24-31 points.
— Minnesota has nine takeaways in last four games (+4)
— Vikings are 4-1 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 8-8-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win (3-1 TY).
— Minnesota is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as a road home favorite.
— Vikings ran ball for 146 yards LW, their most this season.
— Under is 7-2 in Minnesota games this season.
— NFC North teams are 11-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1


— Vikings won four of last six series games.
— Saints are 2-3-1 ATS last six visits to Minnesota (last one, 2018)
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games played here.


Packers (3-5) @ Steelers (5-3)
— Green Bay is 1-4 SU/ATS in its last five games.
— Last five games, Packers were outscored 76-16 in first half.
— Green Bay has ten giveaways in last five games (minus-5).
— Packers are 14-13-2 ATS in last 29 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 48-20 on 1st drive of a half.
— Jordan Love is 3-6 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road underdog.
— Green Bay is 1-6 ATS this year in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Packers are 2-7 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Green Bay is 4-7 ATS in last eleven games coming off a win.
— Team total: under 6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Steelers won/covered three of their last four games.
— Steelers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home favorites (1-0 TY)
— Last five games, they were outscored 57-19 in first half.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24-20 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained by 111.1 yards/game this season.
— Last seven games, Steelers have a +9 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 5-2 ATS in last seven games vs NFC opponents.
— Seven of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Pitt is 30-16-1 ATS in last 46 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— QB Pickett is 12-8 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 3-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 4-4


— Steelers won four of last six series games.
— Packers lost 31-28/37-36 in last two visits to Pittsburgh.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.


Titans (3-5) @ Buccaneers (3-5)
— Titans lost three of their last four games.
— Tennessee is 0-4 SU in true road games, losing by 1-24-7-4 points (1-3 ATS)
— Titans scored 27-27-28 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16-16 in losses.
— Last two games, Tennessee converted 9-37 on third down.
— Titans are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss (2-1 TY)
— Tennessee is 7-5 ATS last 12 games against NFC opponents.
— Titans are minus-4 in turnovers (5-9) so far this season.
— Levis is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-6 ATS outside the division.
— Six of their eight games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-2


— Bucs lost four in row, five of last six games (3-3 ATS).
— Tampa Bay’s last three losses were by 3-6-2 points.
— Bucs have 15 takeaways in eight games (+9 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 102.3 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Bucs are 8-6-1 in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 6-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.
— Mayfield is 35-44 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South favorites are 3-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-1-1


— Tennessee are 5-1 SU/4-0-2 ATS in last six series games.
— Titans split their last two visits to Tampa.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Falcons (4-5) @ Cardinals (1-8)
— Falcons lost three of their last four games (underdogs 4-0 ATS)
— Falcons were 10-18 on third down LW, in Heinicke’s first ’23 start.
— Last six games, Atlanta is minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— since 2017, Atlanta is 5-9 ATS as a road favorite (0-1 TY)
— Falcons are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Atlanta is 16-22-3 in last 41 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons are 4-5 SU, have led (1-6-2) at halftime once.
— Atlanta has been outscored 107-60 in first half of games.
— Heinicke is 12-13-1 as an NFL starting QB.
— Under is 13-4 in their last 16 games overall, 6-3 TY.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-2


— QB Murray is expected to make ’23 debut (check status)
— Arizona is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games (5 losses by 10+ points).
— Cardinals have been outscored 135-47 in 2nd half of games.
— Last seven games, Arizona gave up 27.6 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 19 of last 22 games SU (8-11 ATS in last 19).
— Three of last four Cardinal games stayed under the total.
— QB Murray is 25-32-1 as an NFL starter; Tune is 0-1.
— Arizona is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Arizona is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Last five games, Cardinals allowed 24 TD’s on 77 drives.
— All four Arizona home games went over the total.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Atlanta won six of last eight series games.
— Falcons are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Arizona.
— Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Lions (6-2) @ Chargers (4-4)
— Lions won/covered five of its last six games.
— Lions gave up 37-38 points in their two losses.
— since 2020, Detroit is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite (2-0 TY)
— Lions won/covered three of its four road games TY.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 2-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 29-12-1 ATS overall.
— Detroit is 9-2 ATS in last eleven post-bye games.
— Lions are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— Opponents converted only seven of last 29 third down plays.
— Goff is 62-50-1 as an NFL starter, 18-19-1 with the Lions.
— NFC North teams are 11-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3


— Chargers won last two games, outscoring foes 41-10 in first half.
— Bolts scored 28-24-30-27 points in wins; they’re 0-2 scoring less than 24.
— under Staley, Chargers are 8-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 6-3-3 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-1) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-29 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 21-46 in losses.
— Under is 5-0-1 in last six Charger games.
— Chargers are 9-5-3 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— AFC West teams are 9-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3


— Home team won last four series games.
— Lions lost 33-28/51-14 in last two visits to San Diego (last one, 2015)
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Giants (2-7) @ Cowboys (5-3)
— QB’s Jones/Taylor are out; 3rd-stringer DeVito is 17-27/174 passing TY.
— This will be DeVito’s first NFL start (Matt Barkley is backup)
— Giants are 1-6 SU/2-4-1 ATS in last seven games, scoring 10 ppg.
— Giants are 2-1-1 ATS in last four games.
— Last seven games, Giants were outscored 57-22 in 2nd half.
— Giants are averaging only 268.8 yards/game this season.
— Last five games, Giants are +5 in turnovers.
— Giants are 11-4 ATS in last 15 NFC East road games.
— Last five games, Giants have 5 TD’s, 32 3/outs on 76 drives.
— Last time the Giants were this big an underdog was 2007.
— Under is 8-1 in Giant games this season.
— Team total: under 7-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-4


— Cowboys split their last six games SU.
— Five Dallas wins were by a combined score of 171-50 (34-10 average).
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 40-30-38-20-43 in wins.
— Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite (3-0 TY)
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 10-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
— since 2019, Dallas is 6-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
— Dallas allowed 400-421 total yards in its losses.
— QB Prescott is 69-42 as an NFL starter.
— NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 11-11 ATS.
— Team total: over 5-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3-1


— Cowboys (-3.5) beat the Giants 40-0 in Week 1 in New Jersey.
— Dallas blocked FG for TD, also had a defensive TD.
— Cowboys won six in row, 12 of last 13 series games.
— Giants are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-0 in Giants’ last four visits here.


Commanders (4-5) @ Seahawks (5-3)
— Washington lost five of last seven games SU (3-3-1 ATS)
— Commanders are 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington is 1-4 giving up 33+ points, 3-1 if they allow less.
— Last four weeks, Commanders are +3 in turnovers.
— Last two weeks, Commanders are 16-29 on third down.
— Washington is 15-9-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
— Last seven weeks, Commanders were outscored 101-64 in 1st half.
— three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-5 as NFL starter.
— NFC East teams are 12-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: 6-3 over. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3


— Seattle split last four games, after a 3-1 start.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20-24 points in wins, 13-13-3 in losses.
— Seahawks were outscored 60-6 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 5-24 third down plays.
— Seattle is 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 17-22-3 ATS in last 42 games as a home favorite (2-1-1 TY).
— Geno Smith is 27-32 as an NFL starter, 15-14 with Seattle.
— Seattle is 21-22 SU last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— NFC West teams are 10-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five games.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-1


— Washington won four of last five meetings (wins by 2-3-6-3 points)
— Commanders are 3-2-1 ATS in last six visits to Seattle.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.


Jets (4-4) @ Raiders (4-5)
— Short week, long travel for Gang Green after Monday’s home loss.
— Jets won three of last four games, are 3-1-1 ATS in last five
— Jets scored 22-31-20-13 points in wins, 10-10-20-6 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 108-55 in first half of games.
— Jets gained 4.7/5.0/3.4/5.6/5.8/4.1/4.8/3.6 yards/pass attempt- not good.
— Jets split their first two true road games this year (over 2-0)
— Under Saleh, Jets are 7-9 ATS as a road underdog
— Last five games, Jets converted 18-91 third down plays.
— Jets have scored eight TD’s, have 32 3/outs on 90 drives.
— Wilson is 11-18 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Team total: under 4-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-2


— Las Vegas won last three home games, giving up 13-17-6 points.
— Home team won Raiders’ last six games.
— Last two games, Raiders have five takeaways (+4).
— Last three games, Las Vegas is 9-32 on third down.
— Raiders won three of their four home games SU TY.
— Raiders are 7-3 in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Under is 7-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, WR Adams caught only five passes for 45 yards.
— AFC West teams are 9-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3


— Raiders won three of last four series games.
— Jets were 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Oakland (last one, 2017)
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Monday’s game
Broncos (3-5) @ Bills (5-3)
— Broncos won last two games, giving up 17-9 points.
— Last four games, Denver ran ball for 138 yards/game.
— Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last dozen road games (0-3 TY)
— Broncos led five of its eight games at halftime.
— Last six games, Denver was outscored 33-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last six weeks, Broncos were outgained by 140.5 yards/game.
— Denver is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games on artificial turf (0-0 TY)
— Broncos are 10-3 ATS in last 13 post-bye games.
— Last three Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 120-76-1 as an NFL starter, 7-16 with Denver.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-4


— Buffalo lost three of its last five games (0-5 ATS) SU.
— Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-4 giving up more than 20.
— Bills have converted 56-113 third down plays this year.
— Bills are 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.
— Buffalo outscored last eight foes 122-53 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 52-33 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Buffalo has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— AFC East favorites are 5-5 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-3-1


— Buffalo is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in last six series games.
— Broncos are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four trips to Western NY.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 108, Warriors 105- Jokic scored 35 points, grabbed 13 rebounds.
— 76ers 106, Celtics 103- Embiid scored 27 points, grabbed 10 rebounds.
— Nets 100, Clippers 93- LA was minus-15 with Harden, +8 without him.
— Suns 116, Bulls 115 OT- Phoenix was 19-48 on the arc, 19-42 inside it.
— Thunder 128, Cavaliers 120- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 43 points.
— Bucks 120, Pistons 118- Damian Lillard scored 34 for Milwaukee.

Quote of the Day
“I think you’ve got to watch that you don’t give off a tight, nervous vibe to your team. As I’ve looked back at the two road trips like this with elite teams, the two times we went to Alabama, the players could feel me get uptight and we played that way. I don’t feel like that this week.”
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin

Thursday’s quiz
Which NBA head coach is a graduate of the Air Force Academy?

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

Tuesday’s quiz
Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB in that game.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— Week 14, 1967 was a long time ago, but it pointed the NFL towards Wild Card teams making the playoffs.
Back then, before the NFL-AFL merger, the NFL had four divisions. Coastal Division had the Rams, 49ers, Baltimore Colts and the Falcons.
Going into Week 14, the last week of the season, Colts were 11-0-2, the Rams 10-1-2 (there was no overtime back then). The teams tied 24-24 in Week 5, so if the Rams could beat Baltimore, they would win the division, and since there were no Wild Card teams back then, Colts would miss the playoffs- the Rams would’ve been 1-0-1 head-to-head against them.

Game was played on December 17; my parents had to go out to a Christmas party, and they dragged their two kids along with them. Luckily for 7-year old me, the place had a bar, and for some reason, they let me sit at the bar and watch the game.
All the adults at the bar were rooting for Johnny Unitas and the Colts; 7-year old me was rooting for the team with the cool helmets.
Rams won 34-10; Jack Snow caught an 80-yard TD pass, and the Rams made the playoffs, while the Colts, who were unbeaten going into the last game of the season, did not. Three years later, in 1970, they started with Wild Card teams, so that would never happen again.

— Cincinnati Bengals’ first drive in their last four games:
Week 6- 11 plays, 64 yards, TD
Week 7- 13 plays, 69 yards, TD
Week 8- 10 plays, 85 yards, TD
Week 9- 9 plays, 76 yards, TD
In other words, Joe Burrow is healthy again.

— Teams are 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS the week after playing the Cowboys.

— Tommy DeVito will start at QB for the Giants Sunday, the 10th rookie QB to start a game this season, setting an NFL record.
Sunday, Giants/Vikings are both starting a different QB for the third week in a row, first time that has happened in the NFL since 2015.

— Last 11 times they were an underdog, New England is 1-10 against the spread.

— Texas Rangers’ SS Marcus Semien batted 835 times this year (regular season and playoffs), the most times a player has ever batted in one season.

— Los Angeles Angels named Ron Washington their new manager; Washington used to be the Texas Rangers’ manager- he went 664-611 in eight seasons with Texas, winning an AL pennant in both 2010, 2011.

— Word of the Day: Charlatan— a person falsely claiming to have a special knowledge or skill; a fraud.

— Presbyterian 68, Vanderbilt 62
Horrendous loss for SEC’s Vandy; they led by 10 late in first half.
Presbyterian was 5-27 last year, losing their last 18 games.
Vandy starts three seniors; they were 8-33 on the arc.

— Ball State 20, Northern Illinois 17
Cardinals scored 10 points in last 3:44 for the upset win.
Ball State kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun.
Cardinals were 10-18 on third down, NIU was 3-10

— Western Michigan 38, Central Michigan 28
WMU outscored the Chippewas 17-0 in 4th quarter.
Four of Broncos’ five TD’s were on plays of 22+ yards.
WMU averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.

— Ohio U 20, Buffalo 10
Buffalo led 3-0 at halftime.
Bobcats are 6-0 when they score 17+ points.
under Albin, Bobcats are 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Miami OH 19, Akron 0
Miami outrushed the Zips, 186-36.
Red Hawks improve to 8-2 this season.
Akron is 0-7 when they score less than 24 points.

— Bowling Green 49, Kent State 19
6-4 Falcons won their fourth game in a row.
First time since 2017 that BG covered as a road favorite.
Kent State is 0-9 this year against I-A teams.

— Toledo 49, Eastern Michigan 23
9-1 Rockets led 35-3 at halftime.
Only 7 of Toledo’s 60 plays came on third down.
Toledo averaged 15.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Denver Nuggets’ star Jamal Murray (hamstring) is out 3-4 weeks.

— Auburn-Baylor basketball game Tuesday night was high level, the kind of game you see in the Final Four. Two very good teams, who both got better by not playing a stiff to start their season.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 10

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CAR at CHI	08:15 PM	CAR +3.0 U 38.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
11/09/2023	1-0-1	75.00%	+500	Detail
11/06/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
11/05/2023	16-6-0	72.73%	+4700	Detail
11/02/2023	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

NFL NOVEMBER BEST BETS !

11/09/2023.............................1 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%.........................+ 5.00
11/06/2023.............................0 - 2 - 0..............................00.00%...........................- 11.00
11/05/2023............................12 - 5 - 0..............................70.58%...........................+ 32.50
11/02/2023..............................2 - 0 - 0.............................100.00%..........................+ 10.00

TOTALS..................................15 - 7 - 1............................. 68.18%...........................+ 36.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Last six rookies to win a Silver Slugger Award:
2023- Gunnar Henderson, UT
2022- Julio Rodriguez, OF
2017- Aaron Judge, OF
2016- Corey Seager, SS
2014- Jose Abreu, 1B
2012- Mike Trout, OF

Quote of the Day
“There was a lot of people who worked really hard alongside me. … I am really thankful for the four years I got, coming from zero coaching experience to getting the chance to manage such a great organization that has impacted my life in a great way. There’s great people there. I really don’t have a whole lot negative to say, to be honest. I get mad from time to time but I have a lot to be thankful for.”
Former Cubs manager David Ross

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, who is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

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Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..​

— Bears 16, Panthers 13
Former Bear Ihmir Smith-Marsette ran a punt back 79 yards for a TD.
Carolina led 10-9 at halftime- they didn’t score a TD on offense.
Carolina in 2nd half: 35 plays, 91 yards, 3 points.
Panthers ran ball 16 times for only 43 yards.
Chicago’s only TD drive was 38 yards; they took lead for good in third quarter.
Total yardage was 295-213, Chicago
Bears were 6-15 on third down, Carolina 3-15.
Four of last five Chicago games stayed under the total.

— Bears, by the way, have Carolina’s first round pick next spring, plus their own, so there is a decent chance they could get the first two picks in the 2024 Draft. Would they move on from Justin Fields and draft Caleb Williams, or trade one/both of the picks for a boatload of picks/players, to rebuild their roster around Fields?

— James Madison 113, Kent State 108, 2 OT’s
JMU scored five points in last 0:02 of regulation to force overtime.
Dukes made 17-35 on the arc, Kent State 11-28
Golden Flashes were 35-48 on foul line, JMU 24-36.
James Madison upset Michigan State in their opener; great start for the Dukes.

— Cal-Davis 79, Pepperdine 78
Ty Johnson scored 28 points, scoring the game-winning hoop with 0:00.8 left.
Pepperdine led this game 50-31 early in second half.
If you like college basketball, you need to get ESPN+; there are a ton of games on there, from all over the country. This was a fun game to watch, fast-paced action.

— While we’re on college hoop, it is really, really tough to wager on early season games; lot of teams have totally rebuilt their rosters. Their coaches don’t even know what they have; how are we supposed to know?
Plus, NCAA is still deciding on whether some transfers are eligible; Cal Bears just got one of their players declared eligible this week, which is a big help to them.
Was watching Western Kentucky-Wichita State game; two new head coaches, the game was like a rock fight, everyone getting used to each other. Very difficult game to handicap.

— Dayton Flyers lost a good player, Malachi Smith, for the season with a knee injury; Gonzaga also lost a good player for the season- Steele Venters, with a knee injury.

— Word of the Day: Pinnacle— the most successful point, the high point.
Pinnacle is not to be confused with Pinochle, a card game for two or more players using a 48-card deck consisting of two of each card from nine to ace, the object being to score points for various combinations and to win tricks.

— Bryce Harper is going to be the Phillies 1B going forward, which means Rhys Hoskins will be playing elsewhere next season. Hoskins missed 2023 with an injury but he’ll be starting for someone in 2024- he hit 57 homers in 2021-22.

— From 1985-2015, Kentucky’s football team went to only eight bowl games; this year, Mark Stoops’ Wildcats are headed to their 8th straight bowl, which is impressive.
Granted, there are more bowls now than there were in the 80’s, but winning consistently in a league as tough as the SEC is nothing to sneeze at.

— Texas Longhorns’ QB Quinn Ewers will return from injury this week and start against TCU.

— San Diego Padres are going to have assistant farm director Mike Daly manage their AAA farm team next year. Daly has never coached at the professional level; this is unusual.
San Diego still hasn’t chosen a replacement for manager Bob Melvin at the major league level.

— Relief pitcher Will Smith pitched for the Rangers, Astros, Braves the last three years; he is the first player in pro sports history (MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL) to play in at least one game for three different franchises in consecutive seasons who all won a championship.

— Atlanta 120, Orlando 119
Dejounte Murray hit the game-winning 3-pointer for Atlanta.
Trae Young scored 41 points for the Hawks.
Game was played in Mexico City.

— Indiana 126, Milwaukee 124— Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 50 points, had 12 rebounds, but Milwaukee was minus-8 in the 12:00 he was on the bench.
Indiana shot 20-48 on the arc, as they improve to 6-3.

— Louisville 31, Virginia 24
Louisville had TD plays of 52, 73 yards in last 6:20 of game.
Virginia had taken a 21-14 lead by virtue of two defensive TD’s.
Louisville is 9-1; 2-8 Virginia had 13 penalties for 100 yards.

— Southern Miss 34, Louisiana 31 OT
Southern Miss drove 75 yards, tied game on a TD with 1:26 left.
USM was 9-18 on third down, Louisiana was 4-15.
Golden Eagles were an 8.5-point underdog; they ran ball for 229 yards.

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six most valuable NHL franchises:
$2.65B— Toronto Maple Leafs
$2.45B— New York Rangers
$2.27B— Montreal Canadiens
$1.64B— Chicago Blackhawks
$1.78B— Boston Bruins
$1.72B— Los Angeles Kings

Quote of the Day
“I love playing this game, I love competing. I love being in the locker room with the guys. I’ll never get that again, so I want to make sure I get as many opportunities to do that as I can. I love this team, I love the city, it’s been a blast. Obviously, had a bunch of success in our first year and trying to duplicate that either this year, next year, whenever it is. But, I enjoy playing too much to hang it up.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NBA franchise used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals?

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

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Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh has been suspended for three games, as a result of the sign-stealing shenanigans involving the Wolverines. Michigan responded with a temporary restraining order request against the Big 14; by the time you read this, the lawyers will have billed a few more hours and the judge will have made a decision.
Michigan’s next three games are Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, big games.

— Arizona 78, Duke 73
All five Arizona starters scored scored between 11-14 points.
Wildcats out-rebounded Duke, 45-33.
High-level game; these teams play in Tucson next year.

— Memphis 70, Missouri 55
Mizzou led this game 33-26 at half, got outscored 44-22 in second half.
Mizzou shot 32.1% from floor, 6-28 on arc.
Memphis out-rebounded Mizzou, 47-33.

— Missouri has a guard named Caleb Grill, who has had an interesting career:
2020— Iowa State- Cyclones were 12-20 that year.
2021— UNLV— Rebels went 12-15, the coach quit and bolted to Iowa State, where he used to be an assistant.
2022— Iowa State— back to the Cyclones with the coach- they went 22-13, made Sweet 16.
2023— Iowa State— Cyclones went 19-14, after a 13-2 start.
2024— Missouri— he’s scored 21 points in the Tigers’ first two games.

— Texas A&M 73, Ohio State 66
SEC is supposed to be loaded this year; this game is a good example of this.

— Tennessee 80, Wisconsin 70
Another good game for the SEC, a solid road win.

— Uh-oh scores— games that could signal a long year for the losers:
Chattanooga 81, Louisville 71
Nicholls State 68, LSU 66
Monmouth 73, West Virginia 65

— Word of the Day: Litigation— the process of taking legal action.

— SMU 45, North Texas 21
Mustangs led 17-14 at halftime.
8-0 Mustangs ran ball 58 times for 318 yards, threw for 234 more.

— Princeton 74, Hofstra 67— Good start for Tigers, beating Rutgers/Hofstra this week, as they look to build on their Sweet 16 appearance last year.

— Oregon State 81, Troy 80, 2OT
Trojans had 23 turnovers, OSU had 21.
Beavers were 26-39 on foul line, Troy was 22-29.

— Surprising Item of the Day: Baseball announcer Jason Benetti, who grew up in Chicago as a big White Sox fan, is jumping from the White Sox to the Detroit Tigers. Very surprising, and disappointing for White Sox fans, because Benetti/Steve Stone were a great team.
There are rumors that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf isn’t a fan of Benetti’s, which fueled his departure, but Benetti is an awesome announcer. Born with cerebral palsy, he graduated from Syracuse, then he got a law degree from Wake Forest while broadcasting minor-league ball.
He also works on a national stage for football/basketball, hard to believe someone wouldn’t want him to be their announcer. Friday was a good day for Detroit Tiger fans.

— QB Kyler Murray is starting for the Cardinals, his first action since tearing up his knee last year. Arizona went 1-13 in the fourteen games since Murray got hurt.

— Oakland A’s claimed 3B/OF Miguel Andujar off waivers from Pittsburgh, a good move. Andujar had a .776 OPS in 30 games with the Pirates last year.

— If you like to bet NBA first half props, the Lakers are now 0-9 ATS in the first half of their games this season.

— 76era G Tyrese Maxey is the only NBA player this season who has two games with 10+ assists and no turnovers.

— Random trivia; on the great old TV show M*A*S*H, the actors wore dog tags, because their characters were in the Army. Some of the characters wore their own dog tags, from when they were in the service, but the star of the show, Alan Alda, wore two dog tags from real soldiers who served in wars.
Years later, those dog tags and the boots Alda wore on the show sold at an auction for $125,000, with the proceeds going to charity.