SERVICE PLAYS FOR 12/28

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GIANTS007

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Matty Baiungo

Champs Sports Bowl @Orlando, FL
December 28, 2007, 5:00PM EST

----Michigan St vs. Boston College----

Rookie head coaches square off here in this ACC ?
Big Ten challenge. Michigan St head coach Mark
Dantonio took over a program that was just mired in
mediocrity under John L. Smith over the last few
years despite having NFL talent to work with. But
Dantonio turned things around instantly as the
Spartans improved their offense by 9 points per
game and 69 yards per game from a season ago.
Their offense is tough to stop as they average over
200 yards on the ground and through the air while
scoring 34 points per game on yardage of 426. And
that offense did not fall off one bit vs. good
competition as the Spartans put up the same
numbers vs. the bowl teams they faced. Their
defense played well early allowing only 15.5 points
per game over the first 4 games, but tailed off by
allowing 32.5 points per game over the last 8
games.
Boston College changed their identity after Tom
O?Brien bolted for Raleigh. BC hired former Green
Bay offensive coordinator Jeff Jagodzinski, and
coach Jags hired Steve Logan to be his offensive
coordinator. No longer was BC that pounding
running team, but instead, they went to being an
?explosion team? that aimed for big plays on every
down. BC wanted runs of 12 yards or more and
passes of 16 yards or more. And they accomplished
that with senior QB Matt Ryan. He led the Eagles to
330 passing yards per game on his way to setting
numerous school passing records. The running
game wasn?t anything special though as they gained
just 3.5 yards per rush. Defensively, the Eagles
owned the best rush defense in the country allowing
a miniscule 68 yards per game on 2.2 yards per
rush. Their secondary is very weak ranking 103rd in
the country. They gave up over 330 passing yards
in 5 of their games with those opponents scoring 28,
17, 24, 27, and 42 points in those games.
You have to question the mental state of Boston
College as they could have been playing in a BCS
bowl had they beat Virginia Tech in the ACC
championship game. They were also the #2 team in
the country at one point, and a trip to see Mickey
was not in their plans. The BC fan base does not
travel all that well, so their support will be minimal.
On the other hand, Michigan St is excited to be
here. Their last bowl game was back in 2003.
Compare that to BC playing in their 9th consecutive
bowl game, and it?s easy to assume Michigan St
wants to be here. This looks like a good match-up
for a high scoring game, and we?ll look for this game
to go over the total as both passing attacks should
put up big numbers.

(OVER THE TOTAL)
 

GIANTS007

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Erik Scheponik

Texas Bowl @Houston, TX
December 28, 2007, 8:00PM EST
TCU vs. Houston


This year? Texas Bowl is aptly named, and should
draw a nice little turnout with two solid instate
programs doing battle here. Houston HC Art Briles
will not coach the Cougars here, as he leaves for
Baylor. Briles turned the UH program around,
leading the team to 4 bowl games in his 5 years,
after they made only 2 in the previous 15 years. His
exciting offense did not skip a beat despite losing
Kevin Kolb to the Philadelphia Eagles after last
season. This year?s offense. Led by redshirt
freshman QB Case Keenum, was the best of Briles?
tenure here, scoring 36 points per game, and
ranking 4th in the nation at 513 yards per game. It
will be interesting to see how this team, and mainly
this high-powered offense responds, as they will be
coached by cornerback coach and recruiting
coordinator Chris Thurmond for the bowl game.
TCU had some injuries to key players early on both
sides of the ball early on and that contributed
greatly to an unimpressive 4-4 start. However, they
got somewhat healthy and finished strong, going 3-1
SU/ATS down the stretch, including a respectable
27-22 loss at BYU, and a 37-0 massacre of New
Mexico. The college football coaching carousel has
somehow avoided Gary Patterson again thus far,
and although it wouldn?t shock me if he was
snatched up late in the game, he is, for now, staying
put. Patterson?s program is built on defense, and
this year is no different, as TCU ranked 16th
nationally in total defense (320 ypg) and scoring
defense (19ppg). The Horned Frogs held the bowl
teams on their schedule to only 4.3 yards per play, a
number surpassed by only USC and Ohio St. By
comparison, UH allows 6.0 ypplay to the bowlers on
their schedule.
This would be an interesting chess match if Art
Briles were on the Houston sideline. However, he?s
not, and therefore I have to side with TCU. The UH
spread offense uses tons of misdirection and
specializes in mismatches and getting their
playmakers in space. The quarterback looks to the
sideline on most plays, and then makes the call. I
cannot fathom Keenum getting the same input from
the sideline now that not only Briles, but BOTH OF
HIS OFFENSIVE COORDINATORS are now at Baylor.
Patterson and his DC Dick Bumpus will have their
rugged defense prepared here, and despite their
talent, I?m not sure the Cougars offense will be able
to adjust with their current coaching situation.
TCU should improve to 4-2 SU, 4-1-1 ATS in bowls
under Patterson.

(TCU by 11)
 
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bankman

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Pointwise Phones

4* Air Force, Fresno St., South Florida

3* Wake Forest, Oklahoma, Colorado

2* Hawaii, Kanas
 

GIANTS007

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THE SUNSHINE FORECAST

Friday, December 28, 2007

Michigan State(+3) vs. Boston College [Champs Sports Bowl]

Power Rating Projection:

Michigan State 28 Boston College 27
Statistical Projections

Michigan State 27

Rushing Yards: 131
Passing Yards: 228
Turnovers: 1 Boston College 33

Rushing Yards: 116
Passing Yards: 329
Turnovers: 1

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Michigan State 30 Boston College 29


Texas Christian(-3?) vs. Houston [Texas Bowl]

Power Rating Projection:

Texas Christian 32 Houston 24
Statistical Projections

Texas Christian 30

Rushing Yards: 157
Passing Yards: 241
Turnovers: 2 Houston 21

Rushing Yards: 149
Passing Yards: 206
Turnovers: 3

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Texas Christian 34 Houston 27


Maryland(+4) vs. Oregon State [Emerald Bowl]

Power Rating Projection:

Oregon State 26 Maryland 24
Statistical Projections

Maryland 22

Rushing Yards: 80
Passing Yards: 221
Turnovers: 2 Oregon State 23

Rushing Yards: 163
Passing Yards: 187
Turnovers: 2

SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Oregon State 26 Maryland 24
 
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goldengreek

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FAXMAN

A REGULAR PLAY ON OVER ST. JOHNS 133

A REGULAR PLAY OVER ST. PETERS 131

A DOUBLE PLAY ON MARYLAND -14.5

REGULAR PLAY ON MICHIGAN STATE +5

REGULAR PLAY ON HOUSTON +6.5

REGULAR PLAY ON MARYLAND +5


IS THIS FACTSMAN ?
 

GIANTS007

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Northcoast Infomercial

Totals POW

Arizona over

----Scott Spreitzer (button 4)-----------------------------

(3*) UConn -4

----Billy Coleman (button 9)--------------------------------

(4*) Pacers under 200
 
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GIANTS007

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INDIAN COWBOY

Siena +2 (PLAY OF THE DAY)

Marist +5

Mich St./BC over 56.5

Maryland +5

Maryland/Ore. St. over 47


Back to back plays of the days, let's make it 3 in a row, plus the addended plays. Total of 5 plays today including 3 bowl picks. Let's roll. Siena is undefetaed at home and frankly I think the wrong team is favored here. I have Siena as the 75th power ranking team in the nation and they are facing a St. Josephs team that is ranked 110th in the power rankings today. Thus, Siena is catching some points in a game that they should be favored. Frankly, I think Siena should be favored by 3 points in this game not as the underdog which is what this line opened as. Siena is 6-3 and they beat a very dominant Holy Cross team at home which is incredibly tough to do. Holy Cross is one of the best teams of the past few years defensively and they have made some solid upsets, and this Siena team defeated a top 50 Holy Cross team at home - so why not defeat a top 110 St. Josephs team at home as well? I also have Siena as a top 30 power ranking team at home and St. Josephs as they have defeated two top 50 teams at home in Stanford and Holy Cross. St. Josephs have gotten close to beating a couple of top ranked teams but their biggest road win is against a top 250th ranked Fairfield team on the road. I'll take the 30 power ranked team at home in Siena who have already defeated Stanford and Holy Cross to defeat a St. Josephs team tonight. The Saints are 5-1 ATS as small home underdogs as they should win this game outright tonight.
 
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GIANTS007

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MICHAEL CANNON

Lost 50 dime on ASU last night...

(30 Dime)
----TCU----

Take Tcu minus the points over Houston in the Texas Bowl.

Much has been made about West Virginia?s Rich Rodriguez leaving for Michigan, and Houston can certainly relate.

Coach Art Briles left the Cougars for the Baylor job and current assistant Chris Thurmond will assume the responsibilities.

But it won?t be an easy task, as Briles took his top two offensive assistants with him, and Thurmond will have to find a way to keep the players motivated as they wait for Kevin Sumlin to come onboard.

Houston was all about offense this year, but they?re going to face a Tcu defense that held seven opponents to season-low ? or second low ? yardage totals. The Horned Frogs are a much more physical group at the line of scrimmage than the Cougars have faced this year.

Tcu?s offense also picked up steam down the stretch, scoring 138 points in the last four games.

Tcu is 6-2 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in bowls since 1998.

Houston is 0-5 SUATS in bowls against an opponent off a SU win.

The fact the Cougars played the weakest schedule of all the bowl teams doesn?t help them now that head coach Briles has jumped ship.

Take Tcu minus the points as they grab the win and cover in the Texas Bowl.

(10 Dime)

----MICHIGAN STATE----

Take the points with Michigan State today over Boston College in the Champs Sports Bowl.

There should be a significant emotional advantage for the Spartans. First of all, they never expected to be here in the first place. They rallied down the stretch under first-year coach Mark Dantonio, winning convincingly at Purdue then coming back from a 17-point deficit to beat Penn State in the finale.

Those wins secured the Spartans spot in this bowl and they are motivated about it.

Michigan State is also well represented by its fans, while Boston College doesn?t receive much support on the road from its faithful.

The other aspect of this game is how disappointed Boston College must feel going from National Championship aspirations in early November, to playing in a pre-New Year?s Day bowl game. It?s no secret they had their sights set on a bigger goal and they could fall victim to the letdown factor here.

Big 10 bowl dogs are 20-9-1 ATS against an opponent off a SU loss.

Take the points with Michigan State as they keep it close against Boston College.

----MAGIC-----

Take the Magic as the small road chalk tonight over the Heat.

Stan Van Gundy knows Pat Riley more than anybody in the league, having been his former assistant and the ex-head coach of the Heat.

Van Gundy would like nothing more than to exact some revenge here on this floor, especially after the Magic buried the Heat, 120-99, at home last month.

The Magic have the motivation and matchup edges to cover this small number fairly easily.

It?s Miami?s third game in four nights and Shaquille O?Neal will have to deal with Dwight Howard all by himself, since Alonzo Mourning is out.

Take the Magic as the small road chalk as they grab the easy win and cover.
 
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the duke

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Cent Fla
St Joe
Fairfield

0-2 last night
0-1 bowl
0-1 NBA
 
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