Brandon Lang
Here is the full analysis:
100 DIME
NEW YORK GIANTS
Free Pick - OVER
Final Score: 30-27 Patriots
7 FUN PROP BETS - prices and odds will of course vary
These are not rated selections and do not count toward my profit/loss statement. But so many guys like props I always release a few that I personally enjoy.
1) Coint Toss - Tails
2) National anthem : OVER 1:42
3) Burress MVP - 8/1
4) Jacobs MVP - 10/1
5) Burress First TD +800
6) Giants score first +155
7) Team to score first won't win game +180
Let me first start out by saying once again that this one single game has defined my career. It has made me who I am in this business.
You don?t go 15-0-2 with the 17 Super Bowl selections you have been asked to pick unless you understand the difference between this game and any other that these two teams have played all year.
I have been asked time and time again what my system is, my formula, my magic with picking this winner every time I have been asked to do it my entire life. My answer is always the same:
I just have a feel for this one game. I can't explain it nor will I ever try to. It is just something you would have to feel for yourself. 15-0-2 speaks for itself.
I clearly feel the Giants and double digits is great value and if things fall their way, they can shock the world Sunday. I truly believe that.
Now, I understand the easy play here would be to lay the number with the Patriots and leave it at that, but I just can't do that.
I didn't get to 15-0-2 for my career in this game without knowing when the underdog is the play and I am 100% confident the dog in this game is the play.
To have a streak of 15 in a row, to have never lost this game, you have got to know when the dog is the play and on Sunday, this is not only a dog but a live one at that.
So without further delay, enjoy my analysis of my 16th straight Super Bowl winner. I had fun writing it, that is for sure.
100 DIME
NEW YORK GIANTS
Free Pick - OVER
Final Score: 30-27 Patriots
It wouldn't surprise me if the Giants shocked the world today.
Let me first take you back in time to a game that really made the Giants the play here for me and it wasn't the first meeting between these two.
The Patriots had just come out of their bye week after beating the Colts the week before and went to Buffalo.
They destroyed the Bills 56-10 in as big domination as I have ever seen and I truly believe that was the highlight of their perfection as a team.
In other words, that was the time they were playing their absolute best. I mean, best.
Here came the Eagles off their bye week, 2 solid weeks to prepare with a back up QB in A.J. Feeley and they flat out punched the bully in the mouth.
Feeley threw a pick six on the 3rd play of the game and everyone thought the route was on.
Not so fast. Eagles came right back on a 14 play drive covering 77 yards taking 7 minutes off the clock to tie it up at 7 and the game was on.
They attacked the Patriots on both sides of the ball, all night long and didn?t sit back like everyone else and put themselves in a position to win.
They got the ball on their own 8 yard line, just over 7 minutes to go down 31-28 and went right through New England like a knife through melted butter.
It took 7 plays to get to the Patriots 29 yard line and they faced a 2nd and 4 when Feely got impatient and showed why he is a backup.
He forced a throw into the end zone and the interception ended it.
What I took from that game is the Patriots were vulnerable to a team that wasn't afraid to come after them.
Seriously, A.J Feeley was 27 of 42 for 336 yards and even with the 3 interceptions they received the Patriots struggled to beat them at home.
I fully expect the Giants to again borrow from the Eagles gameplan and Ravens for that matter and come after the Patriots even harder than the first meeting.
Coughlin knows Belichick having coached with him at New York on Parcells staff and that knowledge is invaluable at this level.
Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo not only had 8 years under his belt with Jimmy Johnson of the Eagles but has 2 weeks to prepare for round 2.
People, I sat at home last week and watched the first meeting between these 2 over 6 times. Every play and I kept asking myself the same question over and over.
"Can New England blow this team out."
I just don't see it. The Giants came away from that first game with hope and confidence and in a game as big as this, not being afraid of the big bad wolf is a good thing.
New England is limping to the finish line. I mean limping and anybody out there who thinks they aren't is in denial.
They should have lost to the Eagles and the Ravens. No doubt about it. I know they didn't, but they are a blink of an eye from being 16-2.
Do we forget they struggled against the Jets 20-10 at home and the Dolphins went into Gillette and held them scoreless the last 35 minutes of the game?
Patriots had 2 weeks to prepare for the Jaguars and couldn't stop them. The Chargers, yes, the Chargers, with a one legged QB, a one footed all pro tight end and no LT had them on the ropes.
Eli Manning and offensive coordinator Kevin Gillbride are as in sync as any two guys I have seen. It was magic what they did in Green Bay.
Eli has finally got it and if you don't think he is like a kid in a candy store ready to attack this New England defense again, the one he threw 4 touchdowns against, you are crazy.
In my opinion, 3 things have to happen for the Giants to shock the world and win this game.
First, they must get to Brady with their front four. They have to win that battle. Secondly, they must win the turnover battle. Thirdly, they have to out rush New England.
I am as confident as I have ever been in handicapping this Super Bowl that if they accomplish those 3 things, they are your champions on Sunday.
However, those are 3 very tough things to do against an 18-0 New England team that has found ways to win every game this year.
Bottom line is this folks. I didn't get to 15-0-2 in this game by taking the easy way out and playing the favorite. Nope, my streak has been kept alive by finding the underdog.
The Giants, much like the Panthers and Eagles before them, is the play today.
I really believe the Giants will have a shot down the stretch to win this game outright. I really do. Whether they actually pull it off we will have to wait and see.
Their offense went up and down the field in the first meeting and scored more points on the Patriots than anybody this entire year.
I will gladly take the points and call for the Giants to at least get 27 points in the game and like I said, it wouldn't surprise me if they pulled off the miracle.
But at the end of the day, I look for the Patriots to do what they did in their two previous Super Bowls as the favorite, win but don't cover.
FINAL SCORE
Patriots 30-27
