SERVICE PLAYS FOR WED. 1/23

Bootlegbobby

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7-Unit Play. Take #734 Central Florida (-3) over UTEP (7 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 23)
Note: This is our CUSA Game of the Year.

Did you know that the last time the Miners left the state of Texas to play was back on December 8th? Yeah, true story. They are coming off a tough loss in a rivalry game with in-state conference foe Houston, and now have to face one of the scrappiest defensive teams in the country, as well as the clear-cut No. 2 in CUSA this year. The Knights are a better shooting team and have played a much more competitive schedule than UTEP, which has beaten just two teams ? New Mexico State and SE Louisiana ? inside the RPI Top 215. Yes, the Miners have played some very good teams tough on the road, but they haven?t won any of those games and all of them were played in the state of Texas. UTEP is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 conference games and 2-8 ATS on the road in conference play. Further, UCF is 4-1-1 ATS at home and 11-5-1 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. Central Florida has won and covered both of its meetings against UTEP and I think their three-guard attack on the perimeter will trump UTEP?s rather one-dimensional offense of Stefon Johnson. I think the final will be 68-57 and that we?re getting a premium price on the better team.

3-Unit Play. Take #756 UNC-Wilmington (-3) over Northeastern (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
The Huskies have dropped six straight road games and the home team has won all three meetings in this series. The Seahawks have shot over 50 percent in each of their last two home games, including a 63-percent clip in their last outing in Wilmington, and I think they should have some success against the No. 212 FG defense in the nation. Northeastern has a very hard time putting the ball in the hole and are one of the worst 3-point shooting clubs in the country. If UNC-W can come out of the gate hot they could bury a team with a short bench, playing off a draining overtime win.

4-Unit Play. Take #726 St. Joseph?s (-5.5) over Massachusetts (6 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
The Hawks have played seven of their last eight games on the road so I?m looking for the home court to give the Hawks a boost. St. Joseph?s has been one of the best bets in the nation, posting an 8-1 ATS mark over its last nine lined games.

2-Unit Play. Take #732 Buffalo (+4.5) over Ohio (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
We?re catching the Bobcats in a perfect letdown spot ? they just wholloped one of the best teams in the conference on Saturday and are now on the road against the last-place team in the MAC East. Well, Buffalo just happens to be a completely different team at home. The home team has covered six straight in this series, and nine of 10 overall.

2-Unit Play. Take #805 Cal-Riverside (+18) over Cal State-Fullerton (10 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
This is how it goes in the Big West ? hyper-inflated favorites let scrubby teams hang around and not cover fat spreads. Fullerton already beat Riverside by 30 this season, so now Riverside has all of the motivation. I think Fullerton will sleepwalk through at least one of these halves and will allow the Highlanders to hang around. Riverside is 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Fullerton and the road team is 9-3 ATS in this series.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #794 Tulsa (+13.5) over Memphis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
Over the past two years the Golden Hurricane has played the Tigers as tough as anyone, going 2-1 ATS in the L3 and losing by just 14 points per. They play a deliberate style and if they can turn this one into a grinder they may be able to hang around. In fact, they remind me a bit of Cincinnati, one of the last teams to cover against the Tigers. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their L5 on the road and Tulsa is 5-1 ATS in its L6 home games. Memphis has taken over 90 percent of the action in this game but the line hasn?t budged. I think this one is closer than the squares think.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #730 Rutgers (+9) over Villanova (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
This line jumped out at me when they were released Tuesday evening. I don?t think Villanova is any good, at all, and I think they are the most overrated team in the Top 25. They followed up a big win over in-state rival LaSalle with a loss at Depaul as a favorite. They followed up a big win over Pittsburgh with a loss at Cincinnati as a favorite. And now they are coming off a big road win at Syracuse and are DD faves headed into the RAC. I?ll take the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #742 Indiana State (-7.5) over Evansville (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
The Sycamore?s are 8-0 at home and the Purple Aces are 1-7 on the road. Let?s not overthink this one. ISU won the first meeting by 14 points in Evansville and should lay a big number on the Aces here. ISU is coming off two blowout losses but is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games, winning by an average of 8.8 points and covering the spread by an average of six points. Missouri Valley home favorites of 7.0 or more are 10-4 ATS in league play this year.

1-Unit Play. Take #779 Southern Illinois (+3) over Missouri State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
I think the Salukis are due for a road win. Missouri State is without its top big man, so Randal Falker should have a day and open things up on the outside for Matt Shaw and Bryan Mullins. The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games.

1-Unit Play. Take #789 Missouri (+1) over Texas Tech (8 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 23)
 

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4 Unit Play. #731 Take Ohio -4 ? over Buffalo (7:00 pm) This is more a fade play against Buffalo, as the Bulls are off to a stellar 0-4 start in the MAC. The Bobcats have already won three road games this season and has dominated the lifetime meetings, winning 18 of 22 match-ups.



4 Unit Play. #742 Take Indiana State -8 over Evansville (7:00 pm) The Purple Aces sit at the bottom of the standing in the MVC have yet to record a conference victory. The have already lost to a mediocre Sycamore team at home by 14 points and this number is way too low considering this game is played in Terre Haute. State is coming off a brutal road trip and will be ready for some home cooking tonight @ Hulman Center.



5 Unit Play. #757 Take Purdue -2 over Penn State (7:00 pm Big 10 Network) Penn State is without their all everything player in Geary Claxton, who went down with a leg injury last week. With him out, this team will have trouble competing in the Big 10. Purdue is coming off a big cash for us over the weekend, downing Illinois after a remarkable second half. They will use that momentum to start this game on fire and coast to a victory. Claxton was averaging 17.5 points per game and without him they have lost two straight and three straight conference games overall. Tonight they Superfecta is completed as we collect big in the process.



4 Unit Play. #767 Take Connecticut -2 over Cincinnati (7:30 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Huskies showed what type of team they can be on Sunday pounding an NCAA Tournament team in Marquette. The Bearcats will have trouble keeping up in scoring, as only one player on the roster is averaging in double figures. UCONN has won the only two meetings between the schools and had five players reach double figures in scoring on Sunday. Jeff Adrien will go for a double-double tonight allowing the visitors to pick up a road win.



4 Unit Play. #787 Take Baylor +9 over Texas A & M (8:00 pm) A key game in the Big XII actually takes place between two perennial bottom feeder in Baylor and A & M. This year both team are ranked and Baylor has yet to lose a game in conference play. They have taken the monkey off their back by winning their first road game of the season in the Big XII and thus ended their long conference road losing streak. A & M is coming off back-2-back losses against bad teams in Texas Tech and Kansas State getting blown out by KSU in Manhattan over the weekend. Baylor does not lack talent and will keep this game close throughout as these two squads are evenly matched and home court alone does not warrant this big of a number.



5 Unit Play. #797 Take Northern Iowa +2 over Wichita State (8:00 pm) The Shockers are still living on the past success as this squad does not warrant to be favored on Wednesday. The Shockers have lost four straight games and are just 1-6 in the Missouri Valley Conference. Three of those four losses have been bad beats and they have yet to record a conference home victory on Koch Arena this year. The Panthers have been very competitive in their losses and will use their easy win over Missouri State to propel them to a victory on Wednesday.
 

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Strike Point Sports

7-Unit Big East Game of the Year. #767 Take Connecticut -130 over Cincinnati (7:30 pm)

A while back we cashed the Huskies as our Game of the Week over Seton Hall, and here too UConn will turn in another winner for us. Mainly because of their size advantage, Connecticut will be too much for the Bearcats. Thabeet, Adrien and Robinson, this trio will control the glass, the points in the paint and create a big plus at the free throw line. Also, UConn has a strong starting backcourt in A.J. Price and Andre Dyson, and overall the Huskies will make good on the road in this Big East clash.

2-Unit Play. #754 Take N.C. State -2.5 over Georgia Tech (7 pm)

The Yellow Jackets are not a very good road team, just 2-4 this season. The Wolfpack came through at home over Miami this past Saturday to give them a much needed win, and I think they have found its way again. A team that is much more talented than their record suggests, but N.C. State will again cash as a small home favorite.

3-Unit Play. #757 Tae Purdue -2.5 over Penn State (7 pm)

This young Boilermakers squad has come on strong of late, and against a Nittany Lions team without its best player Geary Claxton, Purdue is the play here. Penn State has struggled to score after losing their top player for the season, while Purdue has a very balanced offense that gets production from a variety of players. Lay the small number with Purdue in this one.
 

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California Sports

4* Miami OH

4* Houston Cougars

3* Rhode Island

3* U Conn

3* Cleveland (NBA)
 

MMST

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ATS LOCK
5 Indiana St. -8
4 Florida -1
4 Ohio -3 1/2
3 Texas Tech -1

ATS FINANCIAL
4 Rhode Island -14
3 Akron +4
3 Louisville -7 1/2
 

GIANTS007

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Gator Report (free)



Wednesday: Play Against CBB favorites in a game involving two teams who are outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games
31-5 ATS the last 5 seasons (86.1%) PLAY: Miami-Florida +8
 

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Johnny Guild


NBA Selection
Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008 7:30 PM EST.

Toronto Raptors (22-19) at Boston Celtics (33-6)

Toronto has won five of their last seven games, but dropped six of its last 9 on the road and has lost nine of their last 10 at Boston. Take the Celtics to contain the Raptors from scoring with their strong defensive play at TD Banknorth Garden. The Celtics are allowing an average of 87 points per game. Boston has won and covered the spread in the last four clashes versus Toronto.

Boston Celtics - 9




CBB

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Time Games Picks

7:00 p.m. Delaware (8-9) at James Madison (10-7) James Madison Dukes -4

8:00 p.m. Marshall (10-6) at West Virginia (14-4) West Virginia Mountaineers -13
 

GIANTS007

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Gina from Sports Rumble

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008 8:00 p.m. est.
Portland Trail Blazers (25-16) at New Orleans Hornets (28-12)

New Orleans has won five in a row and 13 of their last 15. Go with the hot Hornets at home against the Trail

Blazers. The home team has dominated this series. Portland is just 1-6 both straight-up and against the spread in its

last 7 games at New Orleans.


New Orleans Hornets



CBB

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Time Game Today's Pick

8:00 p.m. Phoenix (30-12) at Minnesota (6-34) Phoenix Suns - 8

9:00 p.m. Portland (25-16) at New Orleans (28-12) New Orleans Hornets - 6?
 

peppermillrick

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Today's Games...

1. 300,000♦ Hornets
2. 50,000♦ Florida
3. 50,000♦ Miami-Florida

1. Hornets- This is a classic case of perception versus reality. At first glance, the number on this game might seem high, because the Blazers have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA over the last month and half or so. But the fact the public is all over the Blazers in this game is based on the perception that they're still hot... The reality is Portland is slowing down, while New Orleans is heating up and I'll prove it.
It should come as no surprise that the Blazers ridiculous run would come to halt over an extened road trip like the one their on right now, which has seen them lose at Toronto, at Boston, and at Orlando. This is the final game of their road trip, and I expect the Blazers to come out both tired and flat in this match up. Clearly, oddsmakers are expecting the same tonight, but that's only one part of the equation.
The second part of the equation (the one that seals the deal on the Hornets covering in this spot) is New Orleans red-hot play at home of late, winning and covering 4 straight there. Its not only the fact their winning, but how well they're playing in the wins, averaging 113 ppg! Not only that, but their defense has been outstanding, surrendering just 89 ppg over that span!
The catalyst of this Hornets offense is of course Chris Paul, who's arguablly the best point guard on the planet right now. With all 5 starters scoring 14 points or more in their most recent domination of the Bucks two days ago, its clear this Hornets offense is firing on all cylinders. You tell me how a tired Blazers team matches the energy of this surging Hornets squad in this one? The answer: They won't, plain and simple.
Bottom line, NBA odds are some of the most accurate in all of sports, so don't get caught living in the past with the perception that this Blazers team is still ripping through the competition, because they're not. The reality is they've slowed down a bit, are coming into this game vulerable at the tail end of a tough road trip, and will be facing a New Orleans team that's rolling right now. End result: Solid Hornets home win and cover!
Take the Hornets comfortably over the Trailblazers as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Florida- Although at first glance it might look a bit dangerous to side with this young and seemingly road-weary Gators team at South Carolina tonight, but dig a little deeper and you'll see Florida is clearly the play here.
First of all, the Gamecocks have proven little on their home court, going 6-4 SU AND just 1-5 ATS there this season! Sure, they're coming off a nice win at Arkansas, but does that erase their ridiculous outright home loss to N.C. Asheville? Or pathetic efforts against UC Irvine or Charleston, in which they lost both games ATS, and almost lost them outright! Say what you will, but South Carolina is vulnerable on their home court, and their resume this season proves it!
Second, despite a setback at Ole Miss (although they covered), this Florida team is playing rock-solid basketball, winning 5 of their last 6 games SU and covering all 5 lined contests! The injury to Jai Lucas will hurt, but the fact of the matter is this team has found its rythmn behind G Calathes and F Speights, averaging 83 ppg on almost 50% shooting over their last 5 games! Gamecocks defense just isn't good enough to stop this Gators attack.
Finally, while the Gamecocks have a lot of bodies in their frontcourt, only F Dominique Archie is decent. He'll be well overmatched against Speights, and you can expect the other Florida forwards, Parsons and Werner, to find success in thier match ups tonight also. There's no doubt South Carolina G Downey can score, but overall they leave a lot to be desired down-low.
Bottom line, look for Florida to use its edge in the paint to control this match up. Once they establish themselves down-low, the perimter game opens up for Calathes and Hodge, who are both excellent shooters. In the end, this game will be close, but the Gamecocks inability to finish games at home costs them once again tonight, because you know damn well the Gators won't stop coming.
Take Florida over South Carolina in this SEC match up.

3. Miami-Florida- I understand why coming off a home loss to Maryland, many would expect the Tarheels to bounce back here and demolish the Hurricanes tonight, but that's simply not the case and here's why:
First of all, this is one of the best Miami teams in recent memory, sitting at 14-3 overall and 9-0 SU (3-0 ATS) at home this season. They win games with defense, allowing just 62 ppg on 39% shooting there... Just ask Georgia Tech how good this 'Canes defense is, limiting them to 68 points on 41% shooting with 18 turnovers in their last game at the Bank United Center.
Scond, in case you haven't noticed, the Tarheels haven't exactly been playing their best basketball of the season lately. They barely beat Clemson in OT, they eeked out a win at Georgia Tech, and are coming off the home loss to Maryland Saturday... You don't need to be a brain surgeon to figure out they're vulnerable right now, especially defensively, allowing a whopping 79 ppg over their last 5 games!
Also, as badly as North Carolina wants to bounce back, remember the 'Canes are coming off consecutive road losses, and will be looking to rebound tonight at home. Not only that, but after getting demolished by the Tarheels last season in Chapel Hill, don't think Miami hasn't circled this game as a measuring stick and possible "signature win" oppurtunity of the season.
Finally, if you're going to run with the 'Heels, then you're going to need some size down-low to contend with Hansbrough and company. Miami has just that, with C King, Collins, Graham, and Hicks down-low. All big bodies capable of contributing against a stacked North Carolina frontcourt. In the end, this game will be a lot closer than Vegas wants you to believe... Don't be shocked if this one comes down to the waning minutes.
Take Miami-Florida plus the points over North Carolina in this ACC match up.
 

GIANTS007

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jwhip

Wed, 01/23/08 - 8:00 PMJWhip | CBB Sides
double-dime bet775 San Diego St. 9.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 776 Brigham Young
Analysis:
San Diego State +9 (2 Unit)



The San Diego Aztecs have won three consecutive games, and have also opened conference play at 4-0 for the first time since 1985.



The Aztecs are off to a solid 14-4 start despite the graduation of all-time leading scorer Brandon Heath.



San Diego is outscoring their conference rivals by 12 points per game: defeating Wyoming, Utah, TCU, and the solid New Mexico Lobos on the road at 9.5 point underdogs.



BYU is once again protecting its home court, going 9-0 to start the season and currently holding the nation's second-longest homecourt winning streak with 40 consecutive at the Marriott Center.



No doubt the oddmakers are well aware of Brigham Young's dominance at home, as they are the prohibitive favorite in this matchup. Problem is BYU hasn't faced much competition on home this year.



BYU has been favored by an average of 21 ppg, and have failed to cover in three out of their last four at home.



This is by far the toughest the home opponent BYU has faced, and San Diego State has more then held its own against the likes of Arizona, Cal, and New Mexico.



Take the points with the Aztecs - as they are the Mountain West play of the day.
 

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THE SPORTS NETWORK

DATE & TIME: Wednesday, January 23rd, 7:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: USF Sun Dome (10,411) -- Tampa, Florida. Television: ESPN+. Home Record: Louisville 9-2, USF 6-3. Away Record: Louisville 3-1, USF 2-5. Neutral Record: Louisville 1-2, USF 2-1. Conference Record: Louisville 3-2, USF 1-5. Series Record: Louisville leads, 20-3.

GAME NOTES: The South Florida Bulls will try to put an end to a season-long five-game slide tonight, as they welcome the Louisville Cardinals to Tampa for a Big East showdown. The Bulls opened Big East play with a win over Rutgers (68-45) on January 2nd, but it has been all downhill since then, as they have dropped their last five contests. All five setbacks have come in league play, including a 69-52 beating at West Virginia on Sunday. With the loss, USF dropped to 10-9 overall and 6-3 at home. As for Louisville, it also comes into the tilt on a down note, losing out at Seton Hall, 92-82, on Saturday. The defeat put an end to the team's four-game win streak, as it fell to 13-5 overall and 3-2 in conference play. It was also the Cardinals' first loss in four true road games. Louisville though, has dominated the all-time series with USF, 20-3, and it has posted victories in each of the past six meetings.

The Cardinals simply couldn't slow down Seton Hall on Saturday, allowing the Pirates to hit on 50.0 percent of their attempts from the floor and 13-of-28 from long range in a 10-point loss. Louisville dominated the boards, 42-32, and it also outscored Seton Hall in the paint, 42-20, but it wasn't enough to overcome the hot shooting of the Pirates. Jerry Smith paced the team in defeat with 25 points and three steals, while David Padgett and Juan Palacios chipped in with 12 and 11 points, respectively. Terrence Williams also got involved, notching his second triple-double of the season with 10 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. It was quite an effort by Williams, who leads the team in scoring (12.0 ppg) and assists (4.4 apg), while ranking second in rebounding (7.9 rpg) for the season. Smith is next in line with 11.4 ppg and Padgett follows him with 11.0 ppg. Earl Clark nearly averages a double-double with 10.9 ppg and a team-high 9.3 rpg, while Derrick Caracter adds 10.4 ppg and 6.5 rpg to the rotation. As a team, the Cardinals have thrived on defense despite last game's performance, as they are holding their foes to just 60.3 ppg and a sub par 37.7 percent shooting from the field.

The Bulls were outscored at the foul line, 22-4, and that was the difference in their 69-52 loss to WVU over the weekend. The team struggled from long range (4-of-19) in the game and it also committed 14 costly turnovers. Kentrell Gransberry guided USF in the setback with 22 points and seven boards, while Dominique Jones logged 11 points and six rebounds. For the season, Gransberry is one of the few players around averaging a double-double with team highs of 16.8 ppg and 10.9 rpg. Jones ranks second to him with 15.3 ppg and 4.7 rpg, while Chris Howard contributes 11.3 ppg and a team-best 5.4 apg. Jesus Verdejo turns in 10.3 ppg for the Bulls, who are averaging 72.9 ppg on 45.3 percent shooting from the floor this season.

The Cardinals are the more talented and physical team here and they should be able to control the paint and the game with solid defense, en route to the triumph tonight.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Louisville 74, South Florida 64
 

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matty o' shea


Wed, 01/23/08 - 7:30 PMMatty O'Shea | CBB Sides Single-Dime Bet
768 Cincinnati 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 767 UConn
Analysis: The Cincinnati Bearcats have been money at home in Big East play, going 3-0 both SU & ATS despite being an underdog all 3 times. Their latest win came against Pitt on Saturday, as they have managed to play great defense to hold the Panthers, Villanova and Syracuse in check - all going UNDER the total as well. The UConn Huskies are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, losing at both Georgetown and Notre Dame in Big East play. They have been very inconsistent this season and are coming off a monster home win over Marquette on Sunday. However, that followed a 12-point home loss to Providence as a 9-point favorite. I can't help but side with Cincy in this spot as a home dog against a conference foe and am betting them as my Single Dime Big East Underdog Play O' the Day.



Wed, 01/23/08 - 9:05 PMMatty O'Shea | NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
719 ATL 5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 720 DEN
Analysis: The Nuggets were just 7-8 SU without Carmelo Anthony last season when he was suspended 15 games for a brawl at Madison Square Garden, and they are already depleted in the frontcourt with Nene and Eduardo Najera already out. That's bad news against the Hawks, who match up very well with Denver and won the last meeting 104-93 just last Tuesday. In fact, Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and won at Denver as a 12-point underdog last season. With Anthony likely out with an ankle injury, look for Joe Johnson to go off for the Hawks, who are 11-4 SU when he scores at least 24 points. The Nuggets also barely beat Minnesota in their last home game and are coming off a 17-point road loss to the Lakers. Take Atlanta as my Double Dime NBA Underdog Play O' the Week
 

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**Tom Stryker 5* Conference Game of the Year**

#788 TEXAS A&M (-9) over Baylor at 8 PM EST

Off a 15-point loss at Texas Tech and another 21-point drilling at Kansas State, you can bet your last dollar that Texas A&M will come to play tonight.

Quietly, the Aggies have been a force at home posting a sensational 64-6 SU record in their last 70 games. Provided "Tammy" owns four or more days of rest in their own backyard, this team trend explodes to a sensational 38-2 SU and 15-7 ATS. Texas A&M has been at its best coming off a straight up loss too. Off a blemish, the Aggies stand 18-8 SU and 16-9 ATS including 11-4 ATS in this set provided their foe checks in off a straight up win. In the event that "Tammy" is off back-to-back straight up losses (and they are), the Aggies are a superb 6-1 ATS in their last 7 tries.

Baylor enters this Big 12 battle off a road upset win at Nebraska. Now, for an encore, the Bears must travel to College Station and take on an Aggies bunch that is in a nasty mood. As a guest matched up against an opponent that arrives off back-to-back straight up losses, Baylor is a wallet-breaking 9-24 ATS!

"Tammy" plays with a bundle of confidence at home and it's catching Baylor at the perfect time.

Take Texas A&M.

Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
 
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