Dave Malinsky comp 4* play
this guy sux as of late!!!!! 1-13-1 last 15!!!!!!!!!!
GAME: Atlanta Hawks @ Denver Nuggets Jan 23, 2008 9:00PM
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: under
Offered at: 201.5
REASON FOR PICK: 4* ATLANTA/DENVER Under
The oddsmakers faced the equivalent of having to take a tough shot with the clock winding down in this one, and it turned out to be an air ball. As they try to interpret the Carmelo Anthony Out/Kenyon Martin In impact on the Denver floor game, they have badly missed with this Total.
Here is the key ? the Nuggets have been playing outstanding defense. Yes, outstanding. It does not show up in the points allowed but it absolutely does in terms of stopping people ? they are 7th in the NBA in fewest points per possession allowed. That includes some easy conversions for the opposition that their uptempo style allows, and also a lot of games in which Martin was missing, so the reality is that they may be even better than that. The most under-rated aspect is how well Marcus Camby has been patrolling the paint, with his current blocked shot rate the best in the league since Dikembe Mutombo in 1995-96. Now with Anthony out, and Martin back in, the pace not only slows, but the defensive efficiency gets even better.
Atlanta is also an under-rated defensive side, as a solid young chemistry comes together. The Hawks are #8 in the NBA in fewest points per possession allowed, and as the season goes on they are getting even better, having allowed an average of just 88.7 points per game in regulation over their last seven outings. A team that essentially starts three power forwards in Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Al Horford is not allowing much breathing room around the basket.
Here is the real key from a value standpoint. With no Martin; with Anthony scoring 36 points; and with the Hawks shooting 52 percent from the field, these teams still went Under the Total by 12 points when they met at Atlanta last Tuesday. Tonight the pieces connect in a way that again leads to an easy Under.
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this guy sux as of late!!!!! 1-13-1 last 15!!!!!!!!!!
GAME: Atlanta Hawks @ Denver Nuggets Jan 23, 2008 9:00PM
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: under
Offered at: 201.5
REASON FOR PICK: 4* ATLANTA/DENVER Under
The oddsmakers faced the equivalent of having to take a tough shot with the clock winding down in this one, and it turned out to be an air ball. As they try to interpret the Carmelo Anthony Out/Kenyon Martin In impact on the Denver floor game, they have badly missed with this Total.
Here is the key ? the Nuggets have been playing outstanding defense. Yes, outstanding. It does not show up in the points allowed but it absolutely does in terms of stopping people ? they are 7th in the NBA in fewest points per possession allowed. That includes some easy conversions for the opposition that their uptempo style allows, and also a lot of games in which Martin was missing, so the reality is that they may be even better than that. The most under-rated aspect is how well Marcus Camby has been patrolling the paint, with his current blocked shot rate the best in the league since Dikembe Mutombo in 1995-96. Now with Anthony out, and Martin back in, the pace not only slows, but the defensive efficiency gets even better.
Atlanta is also an under-rated defensive side, as a solid young chemistry comes together. The Hawks are #8 in the NBA in fewest points per possession allowed, and as the season goes on they are getting even better, having allowed an average of just 88.7 points per game in regulation over their last seven outings. A team that essentially starts three power forwards in Josh Smith, Marvin Williams and Al Horford is not allowing much breathing room around the basket.
Here is the real key from a value standpoint. With no Martin; with Anthony scoring 36 points; and with the Hawks shooting 52 percent from the field, these teams still went Under the Total by 12 points when they met at Atlanta last Tuesday. Tonight the pieces connect in a way that again leads to an easy Under.
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