SERVICE PLAYS Sat. 12/22

[eddieh8823]

Later as in right now.

Maingate has a 15* play on BYU Under in tonights game.

Wildcat: 7* Nevada

10* Totals Club: 10* SOUTHERN MISS 'OVER'. 2* Nevada 'UNDER'

Spreitzer has a 25* top play on Cleveland St in hoops

 

[Bootlegbobby]

Ferringo Hoops

Ferringo Hoops

Has anyone seen the rest of Ferringo's NCAA Hoops for today. Got his early picks.

Thanks in advance!!

 

[Eagle8]

Lovell anyone?

 

[GIANTS007]

FERRINGO

6-Unit Play. Take #760 Ohio State (-5) over Florida (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Note: I like this play up to -6.0, meaning it is a play at 5.0, 5.5, or 6.0. Anything over that you have to bump it down one or two Units, at your discretion. At -6.5 or above I wouldn't play it for more than four Units.

Wow. I like this one a LOT. Do you know the two teams with the highest RPI?s that Florida has beaten this year? North Dakota State (121) and Georgia Southern (70). They won those games, at home, by 10 and 3 points, respectively. The only RPI Top-100 team they?ve faced this year is Florida State and the Seminoles beat the Gators by 14 points in Gainesville. This is also Florida?s first true road game and their first game outside of the state of Florida. Oh, and then there?s that little thing about revenge for the national championship game (in basketball and in football). The Gators are 2-5 ATS against the Big 10 and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. This one should be a bloodbath.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #729 Miami, OH (+19.5) over Kansas (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Note: This line is now at 18.5. I still like it for the same amount. If it drops any more you can think about dropping the half-Unit off the end.

Over their last four-plus years ? that?s a span of 131 games ? do you know how many times that Miami, OH has been beaten by 20 or more points? Twice. In fact, since 1997 ? that?s around 300 games ? the Redhawks have been beaten by 15 or more points just 25 times. That?s 8.3 percent. In those 300 games they?ve lost by 20 or more points just eight times. That?s just 2.7 percent. I will play a 97.3-percent trend over 300 trials. The Redhawks have already covered in Louisville and in Champagne. They?ve played just three of their 10 games against teams outside of the RPI top 85. They can hang.

2-Unit Play. Take #719 Georgetown (+5) over Memphis (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 22)
You want to give Georgetown five points? Let?s put it this way: would you be shocked if the Hoyas won this game? I wouldn?t. And as we saw with Pitt earlier in the week, this is simply too much of a cushion in a game that a dominant Big East team could win outright. I could talk matchups on this one all day, but trust me, this is the right side in a game that I do not see the Tigers running away with by double-digits. G-Town is 11-3-1 ATS on the road, 21-7-1 as a road dog of 1.0 to 6.5 points, and 10-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a favorite and 2-6 ATS in nonconference games.

2-Unit Play. Take #753 Oregon State (+14) over Louisiana State (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #810 Clemson (-2.5) over Mississippi (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

1-Unit Play. Take #843 Appalachian State (+17) over Arkansas (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
This is a special group of plays I like to call, The SEC Sucks. That?s right boys and girls, I?m going to apologize to you for not betting blindly against every SEC team this year ? especially SEC West teams. The SEC is just 30-46 ATS this season (39.4 percent) and the SEC West is just 12-25 ATS as a group (32.4 percent). These teams stink, and LSU and Arkansas are laying way, way too many points.

4-Unit Play. Take #816 Alabama (-130) over Missouri State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Oh, so why are we backing Alabama? Because as bad as they are they still have hung with teams like Georgetown and Texas A&M. They are at home and facing a Bears team that has been less than stellar on the road.

4-Unit Play. Take #779 Texas (+4.5) over Michigan State (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
I think this is too many points to give the better team here. If Texas can win at UCLA, they can certainly win at Michigan State in the Palace. I love Texas? guards and I don?t see them not either winning this game or at least taking it to the wire.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #755 San Diego State (+11.5) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Possible let down spot here for the Wildcats. That, and I just don?t see where Arizona has that extra offensive gear to blow a visitor out of the gym. SDSU has not played a challenging schedule to this point but you know they?re going to be up for this one.

2-Unit Play. Take #799 Valparaiso (+13) over Wisconsin (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
I think that Valpo has the size and experience to hang with the Buckeyes. Wisconsin-Green Bay only trailed by about 12 or 14 points for most the second half before letting it get to 18 late. I think Valpo is better equipped and I think they can hang within 10 here.

2-Unit Play. Take #786 East Carolina (Pk) over UNC-Wilmington (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
The Pirates have recently beaten N.C. State and George Mason. UNC-W has been poor on the road, most recently dropping a game at Coastal Carolina this week. I like the line movement and I like the home squad from the bigger conference.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #853 Eastern Kentucky (+9) over Austin Peay (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Only three of the last 10 meetings have been decided by 10 points or more. EKU has already won at Murray State and are 13-3 ATS in OVC play.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #721 UC-Santa Barbara (+21.5) over North Carolina (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Get used to seeing the words ?over North Carolina? on this page. Over the next two weeks I think we are going to have some solid games to play against them, and it starts right here. This line is about six or seven points heavy. UC-SB has an RPI of 76. That makes them the second-best team that UNC has played. I think that the Guacho?s are looking at this one like it?s the NCAA Title Game, and that they are able to hang around and lose by about 16 or 18.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #763 Northeastern (+12) over Boston College (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Northeastern just kind of hangs around teams. They?ve been doing it for years, and this season they?ve lost at Connecticut, Maryland and Illinois by an average of 6.7 points. B.C. hasn?t played in 10 days and are a young team. Not sure if they have the maturity to dominate a regional opponent that you know will be way, way up for this game.

1-Unit Play. Take #793 UAB (+3) over Wichita State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
UAB won at Kentucky. If they can win at Kentucky, they can win against a pretty bad Wichita State

 

[GIANTS007]

Teddy June?s 15* College Basketball Game of the Week (8-1 CBB RUN)

My 15* College Basketball Game of the Week is the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over the Tennessee Volunteers. The Musketeers enter today?s matchup 8-2 SU, 4-3 ATS while the Volunteers enter 10-1 SU, 3-4 ATS. Last Saturday, I cashed a ticket going against the Musketeers as they traveled to Arizona State in my College Basketball Upset of the Week. So I certainly was not surprised in the outcome as the Musketeers were in a terrible spot. I certainly was not surprised as I stated back in November I am very high on that Arizona State team. Today we have a similar situation with Tennessee traveling to play at Xavier in what will be their first true road test. One of the best situational plays you can find in college basketball early in the year are teams that are overvalued due to their terrific home success traveling to face a strong opponent in a true road test/environment. Keep in mind, Xavier has won 14 straight at home and they have won 50 of 55 non conference games at the Cintas Center overall. Also Tennessee is a different team away from their friendly confines as they are averaging over 14 points per game less on the road than at home. Also are only shooting 39.1 percent on the road compared to 50.8 percent at Thompson-Boiling Arena. With the Volunteers dropping 4 out of their last 5 games ATS and their only true road test being a 6 point win as 16 point chalk of Chattanooga they are in a bad spot this afternoon. Xavier has shown this year they are a very strong team with big wins and covers over Indiana, Kansas State and Creighton. They are led by a terrific ball handler in Drew Lavender who can get up and down the court quicker than maybe anyone in the nation. This team brings a very balanced attack with 6 players scoring in double figures. Tennessee is making a living on offense this year from pressure defense; they take advantage of inexperience guards with full court pressure and capitalize on the offensive end. In games in which they have faced a good back court they have struggled, i.e. Texas and Western Kentucky. Today they face a strong group of experienced guards who will be able to break the pressure all day long. This will be the best group of guards Volunteers have seen since the Longhorn game in which they got waxed on a neutral court by 19. It is also worth noting Xavier is 14-5-1 ATS their last 20 home games and I expect the home crowd to be electric for this big matchup. I currently have this line at -3.5 and expect it will move early in the day as this game is an early afternoon tip off. Get your play in as early as possible and I have this rated at 10* up to -5. My 15* College Basketball Game of the Week is the Xavier Musketeers minus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let?s make some money.



Teddy June?s College Football Papa John?s Bowl Winner

My 10*College Football Papa John?s Bowl Winner is the Southern Miss Golden Eagles plus the points over the Cincinnati Bearcats. Southern Miss comes into this game with a 7-5 record, and garnering little respect from the sport's gambling world. As 11 point underdogs the Golden Eagles will look to come out and establish the run early against a stout Cincinnati run defense. The Golden Eagles are averaging a solid 200.3 ypg on the ground this year good for 24th in the nation and will control the tempo of this game by demonstrating long drives while taking valuable time off of the clock. Jeremy Young will keep the Cincinnati defenders honest with his ability to scramble from the pocket and make big plays both through the air and with his feet. Damion Fletcher looks to continue his success on the ground as he racked up 133 yds on 27 carries in the Eagles final game of the regular season. Fletcher averages an impressive 5.5 yards per carry on the season. I expect for this team to be pumped for head coach Jeff Bower's final game after spending 17 successful years at Southern Miss. He will be leaving. Southern Miss keeps this game close throughout with a heavy dose of the run and a strong emotional backing. Year after year double digit underdogs in bowl games cash at a very high rate, I?ll side with the big dog here as I expect an inspired performance. My 10* College Football Papa John?s Bowl Winner is the Southern Miss Golden Eagles plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let?s make some money.



Teddy June?s College Football New Mexico Bowl Winner

My 10* College Football New Mexico Bowl Winner is the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over the Nevada Wolfpack. New Mexico comes into this game with an impressive 8-4 record, while the Wolfpack are sitting at 6-6. Junior Donovan Porterie leads the Lobos into this game with 2636 yards through the air and 13 touchdowns. He will look to expose a spotty Nevada defense which is giving up over 400 yards and 30 pts per game. The Wolfpack start freshman Colin Kaepernick for this one, he has had a solid season but does make a lot of mistakes and can have accuracy problems. The Lobos will be pumped up for their home crowd as they are playing in New Mexico. Meanwhile, The Wolfpack has had their fair share of struggles on the road this year, 2-4 SU and ATS. Their only road wins came against subpar opponents in Utah St and New Mexico St. The Lobo's have two All Mountain West First Team receivers on the field today. Marcus Smith is the Lobo's top receiver and he will attack the questionable Wolf Pack secondary all day. At 6'3, 214pds - Smith makes for an attractive target for Porterie down the field. Coupled with the 6'3 Travis Brown, this tandem looks to give the Wolf Pack secondary more than they are able to handle. The key in this game is going to come down to the ability of the Lobos defense in comparison with Nevada?s. They simply outclass Nevada in every defensive category as they rank nationally 24th in yards allowed, 23rd in passing yards allowed, 31st in rushing yards allowed and 25th in the country points allowed at 20.6. Nevada ranks as one of the worst defenses in the nation and I expect them to struggle today. My 10* College Football New Mexico Bowl Winner is the New Mexico Lobos minus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let?s make some money.



Teddy June?s College Basketball TV Game of the Day (8-1 CBB RUN)

My 10* College Basketball TV Game of the Day is the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over the Texas Longhorns. Michigan State is 10-1 SU, 4-1-2 ATS and Texas enters 11-0 SU, 5-1 ATS. Both teams have earned some strong wins early this season with the Spartans taking down Missouri, at Bradley and BYU. Texas owns wins against UCLA and Tennessee. Anyone that followed me last year during College hoops would know I am big backer of Michigan State at home as year after year this is a terrific home team. They are 7-0 SU this year at home and their success this year has started with their defense. They are only allowing 61.2ppg, 38.1% from the field and 30.5% from 3 point range. On Offense they are very efficient scoring 77.5ppg, shooting a stellar 49.5% from the field and is a strong free throw shooting team at 74.8% as a team. This team starts with stud sophomore forward Raymar Morgan, 16.9ppg, 7.4rpg he has been very impressive in his 2nd year at Michigan State. The floor general and arguably the most clutch player in college basketball returned for his senior year in Drew Neitzel. While his scoring is down about 4 points per game he is not needed to score as much as last year with a much stronger supporting cast. Also he has been very efficient from the field shooting 44.8% from the field and 45.2% from 3 point land. Texas has shown no signs of missing Kevin Durant with a fast early start to the year as the talented back court of A.J. Abrams and D.J. Augustin have picked up the scoring. I feel Spartans have the advantage on the inside and in the paint and will be able to exploit that allowing for some nice open looks from the perimeter. While the students are on break this is still a very big game in the area and I expect the crowd to be it?s usually selves as they provide a nice emotional backing for the Spartans. I currently have this line at -3.5 and expect it to waiver around this number possibly go up a half point to a point. Play this one early and I have it rated at 10* up to -5. My 10* College Basketball TV Game of the Day is the Michigan State Spartans minus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let?s make some money.



Teddy June?s College Football Las Vegas Bowl Winner

My 10* College Football Las Vegas Bowl Winner is the BYU Cougars minus the points over the UCLA Bruins. BYU comes into this game statistically dominating every offensive category against the UCLA Bruins. Max Hall has had an incredible year, throwing for 3617 yards and 24 touchdowns. Hall is completing over 60% of his passes and rarely makes mistakes. On the other hand, UCLA has been plagued with QB issues all season. They have been unable to find a consistent answer at this position. Their inconsistency and lack of a solid quarterback is a direct reflection of their poor offensive performance this year. BYU is averaging 304ypg through the air while UCLA is only putting up 185. UCLA is going to rely heavily on its rushing attack but BYU's stingy defense will force UCLA into long down and distance situations. The Cougars are only giving up 18ppg and their opponent?s average under 93ypg on the ground. Harvey Unga will lead the way for the Cougars rushing attack. He averages an impressive 5.3 yards a carry. Hall will also look several times to Unga out of the back field as he is a dangerous receiving threat, accumulating 629 yards through the air on 41 receptions this season. UCLA has played subpar away from home this season, with a 2-4 record on the road. UCLA's defense is injury riddled which will add to the problem they already have in trying to stop the strong arm of Max Hall. UCLA comes into this game dropping 4 out of its last 5 games and struggling to find answers. My 10* College Football Las Vegas Bowl Winner is the BYU Cougars minus the points over the UCLA Bruins.



Teddy June?s Private Players Club

15* Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points (CBB)



Recap:

College Basketball

15* Xavier Musketeers
15* Ohio State Buckeyes
10* BYU Cougars

College Football

10* Southern Miss Golden Eagles
10* New Mexico Lobos
10* Michigan State Spartans

 

[GIANTS007]

Brandon Lang

15 DIME - BYU and Ohio State



5 DIME - Nevada, Missouri, Xavier







15 Dime BYU - It's a rematch made in heaven ? Mormon heaven. BYU is making its third straight trip to the Las Vegas Bowl, and that's no mistake since it's like a home game with the crowd the Cougars bring, and revenge will be sweet for an early-season loss the Bruins handed BYU in L.A. Bottom line in this is the Cougars are hot and the Bruins certainly are not. I ripped former UCLA coach Karl Dorrell on television earlier this year ? turns out I was right once again about another wannabe, as he'll be watching this somewhere on TV with a bucket of fried chicken and some Kool-Aid.



While BYU has won nine straight games, UCLA has stumbled to a 2-5 record down the stretch and that once scary defense looks more like Swiss Cheese heading into this one. DeWayne Walker, the Bruins' defensive coordinator, will coach the team in the bowl game, and I know that means the team could get back to the defensive nature of things in this one, but this is a game BYU prepares extensively for. This is a game the Cougars will want to win by double digits, to earn revenge and to get that respect on national TV. Lay it here, as this is all BYU.



15 Dime OHIO STATE - The schools are the same, but that's about it in this one. But just as I was brilliant in describing the National Championship back in April, I am telling you that Ohio State will blow the Gators out of the water in this one. Just look at how the Gators warmed up for revenge-minded Ohio State: they've played the likes of North Dakota State, Tennessee Tech, NC Central, North Florida, Stetson, Vermont, Jacksonville, Florida AM, Georgia Southern and Charleston Southern ? that's 10 cupcakes in the first dozen.



No wonder Florida State beat the Gators by 14 on Nov. 23. I know the Buckeyes haven't had that big of a non-conference slate either, but games against Syracuse, Texas AM, Butler and North Carolina are certainly much better than what Florida has to offer. Take the Buckeyes in this one.



5 Dime NEVADA - New Mexico keeps showing up for these things, but coach Rocky Long never seems to win the door prize. Today will be no different, as the Lobos will face one of the ? if not THE ? most prolific freshman quarterback in the nation. Colin Kaepernick took charge of Nevada's offense eight games ago and has thrown 19 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Statistically this is a strong New Mexico run defense, but that's mostly because the Mountain West is merely average at pounding the ball.



When Nevada balances things out with Kaepernick and running back Luke Lippencott, the best back in the WAC this season with 1,380 yards, the Lobos will struggle to stay focused. Here's the trick: the more Nevada runs the ball, and the less Kaepernick is forced to throw on third down, the more New Mexico gets frustrated. Make sense? It's all about the balanced attack in this one, and Nevada has the edge with that factor.



5 Dime MISSOURI - It's a border war in St. Louis, and the winner will once again own recruiting and bragging rights in the surrounding areas. And even though Illinois has won seven straight over Mizzou, I am banking on the Tigers to utilize a current three-game win streak to pull this one off thanks to the one thing every college basketball team needs in games like this: depth!



Missouri's Stefhon Hannah leads the team in scoring and assists, but that's of a roster that can go 10 deep and one that has four players averaging double figures. The Tigers catch the Illni off a tough home loss to Miami Ohio ? largely considered to be the program's worst pre-conference home loss in 10 years. And while Missouri is sure to bring 40 minutes into the Braggin' Rights game, the biggest problem with Illinois is just that ? playing an entire game with intensity.



5 Dime XAVIER - I am not convinced Tennessee is coming close to being the contending team Bruce Pearl expected it to be prior to the season. Not when the last five wins came against UNC Asheville, Western Kentucky, Chattanooga, Lafayette and North Carolina A&T. And while we're going to see Tennessee try to press, trap and speed up the game, this is an entirely different animal it will be facing.



And with Xavier none too pleased after getting drilled by 22 points at Arizona State last week, we're going to see the Musketeers taking advantage of scoring opportunities with a faster-paced game. Xavier is 6-0 at home this season, and in facing a team that has played as easy a schedule as one can get, we're going to see the Musketeers avenge last week's setback in Tempe with a huge win and cover today.

 

[GIANTS007]

special k free play (these are excellent) .western kentucky..100-64

 

[to1]

Wolkosky Milan

334-269-13 last one hundred nineteen days
4-0 Yesterday

Today:

10* SO MISS +11?
10* NEW MEXICO -2?
10* UCLA +7
10* UCLA/BYU UNDER 47

10* CHA/MIL OVER 188
10* GSW/NJN UNDER 208?
10* WAS/IND UNDER 208?

 

[GIANTS007]

Lifetime Play; Dallas/Carolina..under 43..N.F.L...4-2 since posting

 

[GIANTS007]

Maingate --15* play on BYU Under in tonights game

 

[GIANTS007]

Dr Bob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
3 Star Selection
Golden State (-2) over NEW JERSEY
22-Dec-07 04:35 PM Pacific Time
Golden State is at their best when rested and the Warriors are now 26-6 straight up and 24-8 ATS in regular season games after a night off with both Baron Davis and Stephen Jackson in the lineup, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road favorite. New Jersey, meanwhile, is only 5-10 straight up and 3-12 ATS at home this season, they?re 0-7 ATS as home after an upset win since last season, and the Nets are just 3-10 ATS as a home underdog since last season (0-6 ATS against Western conference teams). Golden State should be favored by 6 ? points in this game using their games with Jackson playing and the Nets? games with both Vince Carter and Jason Kidd playing (they?re 3 points worse than average in those 20 games). I?ll take Golden State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less and for 2-Stars at -3 ? or -4 points.
3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4 points.

COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
Cal Santa Barbara (+21) over NORTH CAROLINA
22-Dec-07 10:00 AM Pacific Time
North Carolina is obviously one of the best teams in the nation, but Santa Barbara is a good team that is probably going to make the NCAA Tournament even if they don?t win the Big West Tournament this season. The Gauchos are a veteran team with good talent and won?t be easily dismissed by any team. North Carolina will certainly be aware of UCSB?s 10-1 record, but the Tarheels apply to a negative 1-22 ATS subset of a 47-95 ATS situation (the only spread loss was by just 1 point) and the Gauchos apply to a 24-6 ATS angle that plays on dogs of 15 points or more after winning 3 or more consecutive games by double-digits. North Carolina has been a great bet at home under coach Roy Williams (41-18 ATS), but they haven?t been a good bet when laying a lot of points to a quality team (unless they?re off a loss), as the Tarheels are just 2-4 ATS as a home favorite of more than 15 points when coming off a win and facing a team with a win percentage of greater than .667. A 2-4 trend is not meaningful, but it?s certainly enough for me not to worry about North Carolina?s great spread record at home. UCSB is 4-0 ATS as an underdog of 17 points or more under coach Bob Williams and the Gauchos are 60% ATS in 10 seasons under Williams as an underdog or pick (49-33-5 ATS), so they are likely to put up a fight. My ratings only favor North Carolina by 19 ? points and that number would be 21 points if I add 1 ? points extra to the home court value since the Tarheels have been 1.5 points better at home under Williams than they have been overall (after adjusting for the standard HCA, of course). UCSB is one of the best shooting teams in the nation, connecting on 45% of their 3 point attempts, and good shooting teams usually make for good bets as big underdogs since shooters can shoot regardless of differences in athletic talent. North Carolina doesn?t really defend the 3-point arc very well, allowing 35% on 3-point shots (about average), so the Gauchos should be able to hget some open looks from beyond the arc. I was concerned a bit about UCSB?s 19 point loss at Stanford, but the Gauchos were blown out because they simply had their one bad night shooting the ball, going just 4 for 17 from 3- point range in that game. That game would have been about a 10 point game had the Gauchos been close to their normal shooting. Even with the bad shooting, a 19 point loss at Stanford is not that horrible as Stanford is only about 5 points worse than North Carolina, so USCB would only lose this game by about 24 points if they played just as poorly as they did in that game, which isn?t likely. I?ll take Cal Santa Barbara in a 2-Star Best Bet at +20 points or more and for 3-Stars at +22 points or more.
2-Stars at +20 or more, 3-Stars at +22 or more.

2 Star Selection
UC Irvine (+21 1/2) over TEXAS A&M
22-Dec-07 11:00 AM Pacific Time
Texas A&M beat me the other night by playing their best game of the year, but the line on this game is fair (I also made it 21 points) and UC Irvine applies to a very good 128-54-2 ATS big underdog situation. The Anteaters are also coming off a loss at Sam Houston State on Thursday and coach coach Pat Douglass? team has always been good as a road dog off a loss, especially when getting a lot of points. In fact, UC Irvine is an incredible 20-2 ATS in 11 seasons under Douglass as a road underdog of more than 8 points following a loss, including 12 straight winners. I?ll take UC Irvine in a 2- Star Best Bet at +21 points or more.
2-Stars at +21 points or more,

3 Star Selection
OHIO STATE (-6) over Florida
22-Dec-07 01:00 PM Pacific Time
It?s finally payback time for Ohio State and their fans, as they get Florida at home after having lost to the Gators twice last season, once in Gainesville and once in the NCAA Championship game. Florida has beaten up on a bunch of truly pathetic teams this season, but they?ve shown that they are not very good by struggling in the 3 games they?ve played against decent teams. The Gators lost by 14 points at home to Florida State, who I rate the same as Ohio State. Florida?s other two games against decent teams resulted in a 10 point home win over an North Dakota State team that is 9 points worse than Ohio State and a 3 point win last week on a neutral floor against a Georgia Southern team that is about 7 ? points worse than the Buckeyes. If Florida plays this game at the same level they played in those 3 games against decent teams they?ll lose by 13 points. Ohio State isn?t as good as they were last season either, but at least the Buckeyes have played some good games against decent teams this season. My ratings actually favor Ohio State by 6 ? points, but I still expect them to win by double-digits given that Florida applies to a very negative 19-60-4 ATS subset of a 52-139-9 ATS situation. I?ll take Ohio State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 or less and for 2-Stars at -6 ? or -7 points.
3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars at -6 1/2 or -6.

2 Star Selection
San Francisco (+22 1/2) over NOTRE DAME
22-Dec-07 01:00 PM Pacific Time
San Francisco has been a disappointing team so far this season, but that could change with sophomore F Jay Watkins being activated from academic probation starting today. Watkins shot 49% from the field last season as a complimentary scorer to a couple of stars but he is one of the best players on USF?s team this year and the Dons have been one player shy of being a decent team. The Dons have 4 solid players each averaging over 30 minutes a game and shooting 44.5% or better from the field (they combine for 46.7% shooting) and the rest of the team combine to make just 35.7% of their shots. Those other players won?t be taking up as many minutes with Watkins in the rotation and I expect USF to start playing better once Watkins builds up his stamina. Watkins may not get a ton of minutes today but my ratings favor Notre Dame by only 20 ? points based on USF?s games so far this season without Watkins and the Dons apply to a 42- 9-1 ATS subset of a very good 128-54-2 ATS big road underdog situation as long as they are getting 21 points or more. USF is just 39-53-3 ATS in all games under coach Evans, but the Dons are 14-6 ATS as a road dog of more than 7 points while Notre Dame is just 12- 22-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12 points or more under coach Mike Brey. I?ll take USF in a 3-Star Best Bet at +22 points or more and for 2-Stars at +21 1/2 or +21.
3-Stars at +22 or more, 2-Stars at +21 1/2 or +21.

3 Star Selection
Stanford (-5) over Texas Tech
22-Dec-07 01:30 PM Pacific Time
Stanford?s start 7-footer Brook Lopez regained his academic good standing on Thursday against Santa Clara and dominated the Broncos for 20 points, 6 rebounds and a blocked shot in just 19 minutes. Stanford was among the best 15 teams in the nation before the more talented of the Lopez twins joined the rotation and they may be a top-10 team with him. Stanford has some good 3-point shooters (41.5% as a team) and having to worry about a post scorer of Lopez? stature will make it tougher to guard the perimeter. Texas Tech doesn?t defend the 3-point shot well to begin with (39% allowed), so Stanford should have there way offensively inside and outside in this game. Texas Tech is a pretty good offensive team, but the Cardinal only allow 38% shooting and have two many big quality big men for the Red Raiders to handle. Dallas is not anywhere close to Lubbock, so this site has little or no advantage for the Red Raider, who are just 15-29 ATS as regular season underdog away from Lubbock. My ratings favor Stanford by 7 points and the Cardinal apply to a solid 172-89-9 ATS momentum situation. I?ll take Stanford in a 3- Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 2-Stars at -6 ? or -7 points.
3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars at -6 1/2 or -7 points.

3 Star Selection
Columbia (+22 1/2) over VILLANOVA
22-Dec-07 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Columbia is a team that returned all 5 starters and all key reserves from last year?s team but have played a little worse than they did last season. The Lions are actually a better team than last season, but it hasn?t shown up yet because of their mysteriously bad 3-point shooting. The Lions knocked down 40% of their long range shots last season but have made just 32% from beyond the arc this year. That is not likely to continue and the Lions have already started to get their shooting touch back, shooting 42% from 3-point range in their last 3 games. That coincides with sharp shooting junior guard K.J. Matsui getting more minutes in place of injured starter Patrick Foley. Foley has made just 31% of his shots from the field prior to getting hurt and Matsui, a 42% lifetime 3-point shooter, has made 50% of his shots and 56.5% from 3-point range. Columbia is playing better defense and rebounding better than they did last season and their rating is only slightly worse than last year?s rating despite the bad shooting (38.6% overall and 32% from 3-point range). If each Columbia player made their current career percentage of 3-point shots then the Lions would be a bit more than 3 points better than they have been so far this year, and that would put them right at my pre-season rating on them. I get a fair line of 20 points using current year games only for Columbia and Villanova?s games since talented freshman Corey Fisher started getting major minutes (he played just 4 minutes total in the Wildcats? first 2 games, which were both sub-par efforts), and I expect Columbia?s 3-point shooting resurgence to continue in this game against a lazy Wildcats? defense that has allowed opponents to take and make open 3-point shots all season (40.3% 3-pointers allowed). The fair line would be 17 points if each Columbia player made their career percentage of 3-pointers. Aside from the line value, Columbia applies to a 128-54-2 ATS big road underdog situation while Villanova applies to a negative 10-37 ATS subset of a 47-95 ATS big non-conference home favorite letdown situation. Columbia will slow down the pace, hit their open 3- pointers and keep this game pretty competitive, which they?ve had a tendency to do as big dogs under coach Joseph Jones, whose team is 18-10 ATS as an underdog of 8 points or more and 5-1 ATS getting 20 points or more. I?ll take Columbia in a 3-Star Best Bet at +21 points or more and for 2-Stars at +20 ? or +20 points.
3-Stars at +21 or more, 2-Stars at +20 1/2 or +20 points.

 

[GIANTS007]

Alatex
20* Alabama

 

[ROQQIN RIQ]

ROQQIN RIQ LOVES NORTHERN ILLINOIS

 

[GIANTS007]

executive

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------------------------CONFIRMED---------

450 Cal -7
350 Was +6

250 ucla .foots

 

[NYMess]

executive

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------------------------CONFIRMED---------

450 Cal -7
350 Was +6

250 ucla .foots

Thanks Giants007!!!!

 

[GIANTS007]

GIANTS007-- PERSONAL FAVORITE!!!!!

SYRACUSE -17 VS CORNELL

WATCH THE ORANGE ROLL 2NITE AT 7:00PM

:00hour :00hour

 

[Larry_Legend]

Any Budin??

 

[GIANTS007]

The Killer Move's picks for Saturday:

20* James Madison/Seton Hall OVER (CBB) - #723
10* Stanford (CBB) - #769
10* LA Clippers/San Antonio UNDER (NBA) - #713
10* Toronto/Phoenix UNDER (NBA) - #717
10* Washington/Indiana UNDER (NBA) - #701
10* Minnesota/New Orleans UNDER (NBA) - #707


After going 2-2 yesterday

28-17 PAST 13 DAYS

 

[GIANTS007]

---------VIP Lock Club-------------

250% New Mexico

 

[GIANTS007]

Malinski----- (two 6 star)

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Malinski

Football
4* S Ms
4* BYU

((6* Bengals))

Basketball
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4* Northeastern (comp)
4* Minn
((6* Bradley))

4* GState