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JEFFERSONSPORTS
4-1 last night (hit 8 of last 11)
updated records since october 6th
NHL 34-21
NCAA HOOPS 35-24
NBA 36-26
NFL 10-9
NCAA FOOTBALL 18-7

OVERALL RECORD 133-87 (61%) since oct 6th

NCAA HOOPS
GEORGETOWN+4.5
OHIO ST.-6
NCAA FOOTBALL
SOUTHERN MISS+11.5
 
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(4 Unit Play). #729 Take Miami +19 over Kansas (1:00 pm ESPN fullcourt) The Jayhawks are off to another fast stat this year and it will be interesting to see if Coach Self can actually get a team to the finally four and live up to expectations come March. The Redhawks are just 6-4 on the season, but already have some outstanding wins against Xavier, Illinois, and Mississippi State. Parley that with the fact that their four losses have come by a combined nine points, less then half of today?s posted number. The Hawks win the game but it will be much closer then what the experts think.



(4 Unit Play). #744 Take Northern Iowa -4 ? over Nevada (2:00 pm ESPN fullcourt) On paper this appears to be a solid mid-major match-up between two program that flirt with NCAA tournament bids each season. The Panthers are off to another outstanding start this season currently at 7-2 and already have road wins at Milwaukee, Kansas City, & Ames. The Wolf Pack lost much of their scoring punch from last season with the loss of Nick Fazekas and without him, the Panthers do not have to worry too much about an inside presence. They have just won victory on the road and have never fared that well when they cross the Rockies to play a regular season affair. The Panthers pull away late to win this game early and often.



(4 Unit Play). #747 Take Arkansas Little Rock +13 ? over Creighton (3:05 pm) Way too many points to be laying considering these teams are a combined 17-2 on the season. The Trojans are 2-0 on the road this season and will stay in this contest from start to finish.



(4 Unit Play). #758 Take Green Bay -13 over Northern Illinois (3:00 pm) All the stats point to an easy victory by the home team evident by the fact they have won 23 of the 28 lifetime meetings. Green Bay has played a tough schedule that included Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Chicago, whereas NIU is just 2-8 on the season.



(4 Unit Play). #760 Take Ohio State -6 over Florida (4:00 pm CBS) Revenge is best served on the field and that will be the case when the Buckeyes welcome in the 2-time defending champion Florida Gators. The Gators have played one true opponent this season and have yet to play a true road game. Florida State pounded them in Gainesville and this team starts five guys you probably have never heard of. The Buckeyes have won seven of their first ten games, but everybody is off of them since they lost an exhibition game to open the season. Their three losses have been to A & M, UNC, and Butler, all of which are currently ranked. The Buckeyes want to blow out Florida and they will get their revenge.



(4 Unit Play). #776 Take Fullerton -7 over Wright State (6:00 pm) A nice mid afternoon start time is what awaits this mid-major tilt in California. The Raiders have played a home heavy schedule and suffered a 15-point loss in their only true road game this season against Marist. Fullerton will make it three straight home victories, this one coming by double digits.



(4 Unit Play). #779 Take Texas +4 over Michigan State (6:30 pm ESPN 2) The Horns have been one of the most surprising teams this season and will head into Michigan looking for their 12th victory on the season. They already have the most impressive victory on the season of any team, winning at UCLA and this will be close throughout but the Horns will find a way to get the job done.



(5 Unit Play). #816 Take Alabama -1 ? over Missouri State (8:00 pm) This will be the third time we have gone against the Bears this season and this will be the third time we collect in a big way. Both teams have not beaten anybody this season but Alabama has already played Georgetown and Texas A & M that will prepare them for this neutral site match-up. Bama can shoot the ball well making over 53% of their shots in their last outings. Just a classic game with a mid-major program where the big boys have the edge in talent, depth, and experience.
 
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Yankee Capper

*paid and confirmed

Total Ticket 12/22/07
NFL
4 Units - Dallas Cowboys -10 ?

NCAA Football
3 Units - UCLA +6 ?
3 units - Southern Mississippi +11 ?
2 Units - Nevada +3 ?

NBA
2 Units - Chicago Bulls +1 ?

NHL
5 Units - Buffalo Sabres
5 Units - Nashville Predators
3 Units - Carolina Hurricanes
1 Units - Chicago Blackhawks

NCAA Basketball
5 Units - Georgetown +4
4 Units - Santa Clara +12 ?
4 units - Depaul -5 ?
3 Units - North Carolina -21 ?
3 Units - Creighton -13
3 Units - Florida +6
3 Units - Wright State +7
2 Units - Notre Dame -22 ?
2 Units - Southern Illinois -4 ?
2 Units - Michigan +14 ?
 
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Larry Ness' 20* NFL Saturday GOY (won 8 of L10 NFL weeks / over 62% with all games!)

My 20* play is on the Dal Cowboys at 8:15 ET. Did Romo and the Cowboys get exposed last week in their 10-6 loss to the Eagles or was it just a wake-up call? I vote for the latter. Romo was DREADFUL, completing 13-of-36 with three INTs and a QB rating of 22.2. However, let's consider that he had led the Cowboys to seven straight wins after the New England loss, completing over 70 percent of his throws with a 20-5 ratio. His QB rating was 100.0 or better in EACH of the seven wins and it's 101.0 for the entire year (64.9 percent / 35-17 ratio). Dallas owns a balanced running attack with Barber and Jones, while T.O (74 catches / 14 TDs) and TE Witten (88 catches) lead the receiving corps. Carolina is barely holding on to its playoff hopes at 6-8 (real long shot), averaging about HALF (15.9 PPG) of what Dallas scores (30.6) on the season. Incredibly, the Panthers are their FOURTH starting QB (rookie Matt Moore) and seem hardly likely to trade points with Dallas. Last week, the Panthers caught a 'flat' Seattle team, escaping with an 'ugly' 13-10 win. Here, the Cowboys have left themselves little margin of error if they want homefield advantage (and they SURELY do!), after last week's loss. Philly was able to bother Romo by pressuring him all game, something Carolina does NOT figure to be able to do, as the Panthers rank dead-last in the NFL with just 19 sacks (DE Peppers is likely out, to boot!). Road favorites have done very well since Week 10 and like Pittsburgh on Thursday, we have a road favorite in this one with something to PROVE and GAIN, playing a home dog not capable of matching up. Saturday NFL Game of the Year 20* Dal Cowboys.
 
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Scott Spreitzer's 25* CBB Value Crusher! *56-22, 72% CBB Run!
I'm laying the points with the Vikings on Saturday. I must admit, I was surprised that CSU fell by as many points as they did against Ohio State earlier this week. But CSU was too jacked-up at the start and the Buckeyes were unstoppable and red-hot, hitting four treys in the first six minutes of the game. But the nature of the loss is much easier to get over than if it were a close, heartbreaking defeat. They'll have no trouble getting ready for CMU. As you'll recall if you were with me the last time I had CSU, coach Gary Waters empasizes strong guard play. Waters has been on his team since the moment the OSU loss was over. He brought in serious backcourt additions in the off-season, led by 6'2 guard Cedric Jackson. The junior transfer leads the Vikings in scoring. Jackson is also averaging over 5 assists per contest to go along with 3 steals! But he had a horrible shooting night in the loss to the Buckeyes. I believe he'll make up for it with an outstanding bounce-back performance today. CSU has played a decent early slate. They beat a good Florida State team on November 17, in Daytona. Jackson finished with 27 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, and 4 steals in that one! And along with Breyhon Watson and freshman D'Aundray Brown, CSU can really force teams out of their offensive game. Central Michigan's 4-6 start has been a little disappointing. Their only wins have come against Detroit, Robert Morris, CSUF, and Michigan. The job will be much tougher in this road venture. Look for the Vikings to bounce right back into the win column with a 10 point win. Cleveland State is my 25* release on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
 
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Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner-CFB (7-0 FB run since Thanksgiving!)
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on BYU at 8:00 ET. BYU outplayed UCLA in the Rose Bowl back on 9/8 but lost 27-17, ending the Cougars' 11-game winning streak. BYU lost the following week at Tulsa (55-47) but then never lost again, winning its final nine games. UCLA took a 4-1 mark into October but lost seven turnovers and gained under 300 yards in an embarrassing 20-6 loss to Notre Dame. Key injuries to QBs Olson and Cowan plus the loss of RB Bell plagued the Bruins the rest of the season, as the team lost FIVE of its last seven games. Both Olson and Cowan are sidelined for this game, leaving the Bruins with former WR Rasshan to play QB. BYU's Max Hall averaged just over 300 YPG through the air TY with a 24-12 ratio, giving the Cougars a HUGE edge at QB. With Bell out for UCLA and FB Markey still being bothered by turf toe (had 1,107 YR last year but just 598 in '07), BYU also has an edge in the running game, as Unga became the first BYU freshman to gain 1,000 YR (1,211), topping 100 yards in SEVEN of his last 10 games. UCLA's defense didn't quite match LY's prowess, while BYU's D finished 10th in the nation allowing 307.2 YPG and T-13th in PPG (18.8). The rush D (92.1 YPG / 2.9 per) NEVER allowed a 100-yard runner, while the pass D will hardly be tested by Rasshan. Comparative scores are not always relevant but I'll point out that both teams played Arizona and Utah. BYU won both games, outgaining the two common opponents 816 to 499 yards, while holding the opposition to 17 points. UCLA lost both games, getting outgained 855 to 661 yards, while allowing 78 points!This is BYU's 3rd straight Las Vegas Bowl and its FIFTH game in the last three years in this stadium. LY in destroying Oregon (38-8), it seemed like a BYU home game. UCLA actually still had a chance at a Rose Bowl bid on Dec 1 but ends up in Las Vegas (with an interim HC as Dorrell was fired), playing a team with more talent and a revenge motive. Weekend Wipeout Winner on BYU.

Good Luck...Larry
 
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EddieMush

Basketball
10 units on Tennessee +4.5 over Xavier
6 units on Northeastern +12.5 over Boston College
6 units on UAB +3 over Wichita State
5 units on Phoenix -10 over Toronto
4 units on Memphis -4 over Georgetown

Football
3 units on Carolina +11.5 over Cowboys
 
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