Soccer 2017 January - May

[PittsburghKid]

With regards to tomorrow. Like I said a few weeks ago I don't name anything GOY or locks but when I feel strong I unload. There is in my opinion like I posted above and Bason has backed me up, there is no reason to bet Dortmund in the game , 3 way line or spread etc when you can get them (I got them at -150 bason -140) at better odds to advance and in this situation with it 1-0 that's a steal in my opinion....




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[BASON]

Value on Dortmund to advance just got even better as the ML is now -355 vs. -270 yesterday and the goal line is now -1.5 -135 vs Ev. Meanwhile the advance line sits at -150. There is always a chance Benfica could win in ET or penalties, and why I assume the advance line is only -150, but I continue to think there is a lot of value in the advance line and will take a little more at -150.

I like the ov3.5 -110 in Man City. I am not going to bet it given my exposure in the Dortmund game, but I thought I would just share my thoughts on the game. Stoke's efforts on the road lately have been poor, but I can see them getting a goal but giving up at least 3.

Looking at Rostov tomorrow. Man U is an obvious choice and the better team, but Rostov is a brutal place to play. The pitch is a piece of shit and Mourinho has been complaining about it all week. This track is worse than most HS stadiums in the US. He just wants to get his team out of there with no injuries and I would not be surprised if he sits players knowing they can beat them up at home. Would be shocked if we get an A or even B effort from them. Will likely wait on the lineup tomorrow before I make a play.

 

[PittsburghKid]

I will be for sure on Rostov tomorrow. Started looking into them last night. Been all Man U all Europa and has them big to win the Europa league but in this particular leg I see a tie and Man U will wait to lay the hammer down in 2nd leg. Agree with you bason on this whole premise. I'll my exact play on Rostov later.


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[BASON]

I am making a small play on Barca in the second half -150. Just have to based on the first half.

 

[Crazy Fingers]

Barca! What a comeback! PSG were on their heels from the start. Nice hit on the advance Kid :0008

 

[BASON]

Can't imagine a better day for the new thread!! Maybe we should retire it and start another. Nothing like a 10-1 shot coming in to top it off. What a day!!!!!

I am going to go out soon and drink some fantastic overpriced bourbon to celebrate.

 

[PittsburghKid]

Wednesday aka juicy juicy day

"In order to live you must be willing to die" "If you're not going to live dangerously why live at all"

I dont honestly think barca will advance but if anyone can make it interesting its them at the nou camp. Dortmund absolutely dominated the 1st leg and Benfica were lucky to win 1-0. leaves great value here for the German side to advance

Dortmund FH 5.5* to win 5*
Dortmund to advance 15* to win 10*
Barca FH 5.5* to win 5*
Barca 11* to win 5*
Barca to advance 1* to win 10* (i don't believe it but worth 1* for me
Barca FH -1 5* to win to win 10.5* (feel a push is worst case here)
Barca -1 15* to win 10*


Europa league has been good to me but I don't see much standing out in these first legs

Sweepvlle!!!!!! What a fantastic day! Hope everyone did well today and had a great day as well!

+392.7* on the year


Europa 3/9

Rostov +.5 4* to win 4.4*
Rostov 1* to win 4*

If this goes as expected i'll be hammered united in the return leg

 

[Dolphinsfan]

Sweepvlle!!!!!! What a fantastic day! Hope everyone did well today and had a great day as well!

+392.7* on the year


Europa 3/9

Rostov +.5 4* to win 4.4*
Rostov 1* to win 4*

If this goes as expected i'll be hammered united in the return leg

Thanks for another awesome day!:00hour

 

[Vig]

Kid and Bason, thanks for the plays! When I don't have time to cap, I ride you guys like ponies lol!! Played both CL first halves, and Dort to advance. My buddy is a Barca fan, and he told me to throw some pocket change on them to advance 10-1. Why didn't I listen???!!!! Can't believe PSG didn't press and played not to lose....wow what a disaster if you're affiliated....:00hour:00hour:00hour

 

[BASON]

Thanks Vig! Definitely on a very good run lately (I do apologize for even mentioning the Man City game yesterday even though I did not play it).

Wrote about Rostov yesterday and Kid posted it. After seeing overnight line movement, I will play them similar to how Kid posted with more on the GL+.5 (now-110 from +110) and smaller on the ML+380. Not a big play overall but worth a few bucks given the situation.

Little pressed for time today, but I may have a play in the Gladbach/Schalke game if I get back in time.

 

[Sportsaholic]

I'm here for the FREE MONEY.......When do the plays come out......opcorn2

 

[BASON]

Making two later plays, both small.

Lyon Ov 3 -120. No reason to believe that these two teams will not score goals. Both teams are in good form and scoring. Roma had small blip against Napoli but I expect a good effort today.

Schalke +140. Home teams have dominated this series recently in the Bundesliga. Schalke is a very poor road team so they need a result today if they have any chance to advance. I have made good money on Gladbach lately as they have been in good form, but I have a feeling Schalke pulls it out.

Lets hope Rostov can hold on.

 

[BASON]

Have to take a look at this video of Barca radio announcers yesterday. Goes through each goal, it's awesome.

http://www.bild.de/video/clip/sport/sport-15717150.bild.html

 

[PittsburghKid]

Sweepvlle!!!!!! What a fantastic day! Hope everyone did well today and had a great day as well!

+392.7* on the year


Europa 3/9

Rostov +.5 4* to win 4.4*
Rostov 1* to win 4*

If this goes as expected i'll be hammered united in the return leg

I'm here for the FREE MONEY.......When do the plays come out......opcorn2

Thanks Vig and others for kind words!

Sportsholic there is no such thing as free money, betting and such is difficult and can always go either way.

With regards to today, hope every got the +.5 with Rostov! +3 on day and +395.7* on year.


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[Penguinfan]

I'm here for the FREE MONEY.......When do the plays come out......opcorn2

It was Tuesday, sorry.

 

[BASON]

Today in Germany

Bundesliga - Leverkusen Ov 3 -125. Bremen playing well and have climbed out of the basement while Leverkusen is a mess. They finally fired their coach but I think it was a little too late. They also have to go to Atletico next week. Bremen has to think they can win this game and I expect an all out attack. The last 7 games between these 2 have seen at least 3 goals, so I see no reason to expect at least 3 today.

Bundesliga 2 - St. Pauli +135. We have made a lot on money on Union Berlin lately, so it is tough to bet against them, but that has been on home soil and this line is very telling. You have the hottest team in the league that has currently moved into second position in the table and they are +205 versus a team that has just moved out of the relegation playoff. St. Pauli is also in very good form which is why they have moved out of the basement. The kicker here is that Union Berlin has never won in St. Pauli, 5 wins and 4 draws. I will take the hot home team to win at plus money.

 

[BASON]

0-2 today as Leverkusen miss a pk to end the game. Think the major run has finally come to a halt so I will scale back a little bit to make sure I do not blow most of what was won the last few weeks.

Looking at one Bundesliga 2 game and one Premier League game for tomorrow morning.

 

[BASON]

Making a small play on Hannover -135 in Bundesliga 2 tomorrow morning. Don't like the line move from -155 but they need a home win to keep pace with Berlin plus they beat them 2-0 in Munich earlier in the season.

 

[BASON]

Nice win from Hannover.

Putting a few bucks on Hull +215 in the second half.

 

[Penguinfan]

Took Hannover based on your post.

Thanks for that!