WORLD CUP 2018

BASON

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Thanks Bobby. I think we see 3 overs today after the Unders yesterday, but of course this hinges on France and Argentina showing up. The Argentina/Croatia game could be great or boring as hell. I think the Argentina draw in the first game means they have to be a little more aggressive in this one.
 

BASON

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Sorry, forgot to hit send and that last post was just before the half started.

I just got the France total at Ov 2 -140. I am not going nuts as I do not like or understand this line movement, but I am sticking to the play.
 

ET4646

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Sorry, forgot to hit send and that last post was just before the half started.

I just got the France total at Ov 2 -140. I am not going nuts as I do not like or understand this line movement, but I am sticking to the play.

Maybe its because half these fuking teams cant score unless they are handed a penalty kick?:shrug:
 

BASON

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Certainly been a lot of penalties. I have been a very vocal critic against VAR, but I do have to admit they have done a better job than I expected. They are calling obvious missed calls and not going nuts with offsides and red card reviews. We have certainly had some poor officiating but all of them have been by refs that really should not be there. There is a long way to go and I am sure something will happen that will drive me nuts, but so far they have done a decent job. You have to call these obvious penalties, especially hand balls that they miss.
 

Crookity

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This line on the over continues to plummet wow what a move from over 2.5 -125 all the way down to over 2.5 +150 right now. Scary stuff watching this thing sink :scared .
 

BASON

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I know it is 2 at my place and just moved to Ov 2 -120. Biggest move of the tournament. Hate being on the other side of this kind of move. May be a sucker bet, but I am sticking to it. I like the changes France made to the lineup. Hopefully it is at worst a push. A will likely add a FH draw bet like before with the totals of 2.
 

BASON

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See no real halftime play here. The Ov 1 is -160, so hopefully we get at least 2-0 for a push. Have to hope they get a counter or two, but I see France just sitting back. Peru had a couple of good chances but can not finish. Not willing to put anymore at risk on this one.
 

BASON

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Nothing amuses me more than these showboating refs constantly pulling players over to talk to on free kicks and corners. Do you really think any of these world class players are listening to a ref from the UAE? Very comical to me.
 

BASON

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Well the line movement was right. Should have listened. At least I did not load up. France continues to underperform but they win. Peru is simply not that good. Plenty of chances but no one could finish. Another frustrating loss. Horrible game.

I simply have no faith in Argentina and not one big team has stepped up yet so I am just sticking with my Over 2 bet. See it 2.5 now just about everywhere. If I would have hit the France bet I would have taken Croatia +.5.
 

DZ

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Nothing amuses me more than these showboating refs constantly pulling players over to talk to on free kicks and corners. Do you really think any of these world class players are listening to a ref from the UAE? Very comical to me.

Completely agree. This one in particular is really on my nerves. Enough already.
What is it with the Peru goalkeeper kicking goal kicks towards nobody in particular and sailing them out of bounds on the right side? What a waste of talent on this Peru side. This team is obviously much better than they showed, just couldn't put it together.
 

BASON

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It is a problem with most South American teams. Will be interesting to see how they react. I am leaning towards them quitting after talking so much shit and starting to like Australia +240, who I know will not quit.
 

DZ

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It is a problem with most South American teams. Will be interesting to see how they react. I am leaning towards them quitting after talking so much shit and starting to like Australia +240, who I know will not quit.

I'm wondering if I'll be an a position to hedge my Australia to finish last in the group bet at -130 for this reason. I haven't seen the goal line yet. Do you see one? I'll need Australia +1/2 goal at plus money.
 

DZ

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I'm wondering if I'll be an a position to hedge my Australia to finish last in the group bet at -130 for this reason. I haven't seen the goal line yet. Do you see one? I'll need Australia +1/2 goal at plus money.

F me. I see then at PK'em minus 10 both ways. I just better hope Peru steps up and plays with some pride. No doubt they are the more talented side, but like you said, will they give up in this one?
 

BASON

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I have the same, just giving up on that one. Australia dropped from +240 to +170 very quickly. Likely will bet on them to win and in a PK.

Thank God Argentina sucks. One thing I have been right about. They are simply not a very good team and now they are in some serious trouble. This makes the Iceland/Nigeria very, very interesting tomorrow. Both teams will think they have a chance to advance now, but Iceland in particular. They win, they have 4 points and a big lead in goal differential over Argentina. I expect a great effort from them tomorrow and will definitely play them in a Pk and likely +175.

While I hate the way all South American teams are playing right now, I also think CR is not a good team. I will lay -1.5 with Brazil. The big teams have certainly let me down, but hopefully Brazil comes to play.

Serbia/Switzerland looks like a snoozer to me. See very conservative play from both. Still working on this one but looks like a FH draw play for sure.

Will post final plays later this evening.
 

BASON

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The South American swoon continues. Costa Rica is terrible and Brazil has done nothing.

I don't really want to do this but I am betting Brazil in the second half. Have to bet them at -225. I hate laying this juice but if they lose this they should just go home.
 

BASON

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WOW, needed that. Huge swing. Never saw that coming but I will take it.

I am not adding to Iceland on the ML, just some more on the Pk. This game will be tight as both teams think they can now advance. I just do not trust Nigeria. Draw is a real possibility.

I continue to make FH draw bets on every game as it has been money the whole tournament.
 
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