BASON's EURO 2021

BASON

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I do not know what the fuck the Ukraine was doing in this game. Just a disgraceful display in my opinion. I really hope they do not get in, because they do not deserve it after that performance. One shot on goal!! Like I said before, sometimes you just can not get a grip on how these European teams think, but that coach should be fired.
 

Crookity

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I do not know what the fuck the Ukraine was doing in this game. Just a disgraceful display in my opinion. I really hope they do not get in, because they do not deserve it after that performance. One shot on goal!! Like I said before, sometimes you just can not get a grip on how these European teams think, but that coach should be fired.

unbelievable , it almost looked like they were throwing this game , absolutely putrid performance. I just don't get how you can come out so flat in a game like this??? That was by far , easily, the worst performance I have seen from any squad in this tournament , including Turkey which has looked like absolute dog shit. With all that said I almost still got 2 goals in that garbage game to take something home. Ughhhh so frustrated lol
 

BASON

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No draw today, but the only future play on Belgium cashed, which ended up to be easy money and great odds at -120.

I got nothing else for tomorrow besides riding the posted parlay.

Just do not have enough faith in Croatia to play them as they just have not looked very good. Someone needs to win (and I hope someone wins so we can keep the Ukraine out) to move on so it should be an interesting game. No way I am playing England. They will probably look great tomorrow. I hope they win.

I would love, I mean really love to see Germany finish second in the group and play England in the round of 16. Nothing would please me more. England could be looking at Germany or even Spain (if they draw and Spain and Sweden win) in the round of 16. If they win, they are getting France, Germany or Portugal.
 

BASON

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I put these two in for tomorrow:

France/Portugal BTTS Y -110

Germany/Hungary BTTS Y +103


Portugal will want to play this as close to the vest as they can and would be happy with a 0-0 draw, but it is hard to ignore how bad they played on defense in the Germany game so I do not see them keeping France off the board. I think they will be forced to play at a higher pace than they want because I think France wants to win the group and go into the knockout phase with some momentum after the Hungary performance. While I do not think much of England, no one really wants to play them in London which is where the second place team will play. As such, I think we see a 2-1 type game and see Portugal get lucky once again to advance.

I know Germany will score and their back line is slow and vulnerable so I expect Hungary to get one. Hungary Ov .5 is -111 so you get the better value in the BTTS bet. Everyone is expecting a blowout here which is certainly reflected in the lines, but I expect this game to be closer than most think. Like I said from the start, Hungary can play and is no pushover. Would be very interesting if this game were in Budapest, but Germany gets a huge advantage playing in Munich.
 

BASON

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Thanks Johnny! Was a strong group stage as these last two helped pad the bankroll for the knockout phase.

Very excited about the England/Germany match up. That side of the bracket is a cake walk compared to the other. We could see Belgium/Italy and France/Spain in the quarters on one side!! Really like the winner of the Germany game to make it to the final. Germany got a huge advantage by finishing second in the group.

I put this in last night:

Italy -189

Not messing around with this one. Italy has been the best team so far in the tournament. Things will definitely get tougher as their side of the draw is just brutal, but I see no issues with them putting away Austria. Italy is on a 30 match unbeaten streak and has not given up a goal in their last 11 matches and are now facing a team that has a hard time scoring. I only see this game going one way, so I will simply lay the lumber for my primary bet.

Going thru the lines I see that BTTS No is -174, Italy TT Ov .5 is -765 and Italy Win to Nil is +117? Not sure I understand this, but I will take some of the Italy Win to Nil action at + money. I definitely see that line moving to minus money once is starts getting bet.

Will be using them in a couple parlays and likely use the TT Ov 1.5 also.

I really like Spain over Croatia so I will definitely be on them also. More to come.
 

BASON

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Been pouring over all the lines for the Denmark/Wales game and I keep coming back to the same bet:

BTTS Yes +123

I like the value we get in this play versus the Ov 2 or the TT Ov .5. Wales is constantly underrated as they have a good counter team that can score. I feel like they can get one in this game and I feel good about Denmark scoring. Denmark has the momentum and beat them twice in the Nations League, but I would not be surprised at all to see this end in a 1-1 draw.
 

Crookity

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Been pouring over all the lines for the Denmark/Wales game and I keep coming back to the same bet:

BTTS Yes +123

I like the value we get in this play versus the Ov 2 or the TT Ov .5. Wales is constantly underrated as they have a good counter team that can score. I feel like they can get one in this game and I feel good about Denmark scoring. Denmark has the momentum and beat them twice in the Nations League, but I would not be surprised at all to see this end in a 1-1 draw.

Love it man :0074 My thoughts are like yours on this match. I don't play BTTS but agree that the 2 seems fairly safe, and I agree that 1-1 is a quite possible score line as noted in my post .
 

BASON

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In this round and going forward you can pretty much assume that anything I include in a posted parlay I also play straight.
 

BASON

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Both Teams To Score.

If you are using a smaller book, they may not offer it, but all the larger soccer books offer it. It is offered at Yes and No.
 

flapjack

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Strange the Italy line is dropping. Italy -171 now and -1 +105. I would?ve thought it would keep rising with everyone pounding Italy. Not sure if I should put more on Italy at better odds or be concerned.
 

BASON

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Not surprised by the overnight drop but I am surprised it has not gone up the closer we get to the game today.

Still a big number for this stage of the tournament. I just added some more given this hideous Wales performance.
 

Crookity

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Strange the Italy line is dropping. Italy -171 now and -1 +105. I would?ve thought it would keep rising with everyone pounding Italy. Not sure if I should put more on Italy at better odds or be concerned.


If you believe in Italy hold your bet and don't get caught up in making sense in the line dump imo . Too much is made on these line moves I feel. Anyone who followed line moves would of gotten shaken out of the Denmark/Wales over. In the end it all evens out going for or against the big swings. With that said , I won't lie, when you play a line early and it swings against you , it's definitely kick in the balls lol
 

flapjack

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If you believe in Italy hold your bet and don't get caught up in making sense in the line dump imo . Too much is made on these line moves I feel. Anyone who followed line moves would of gotten shaken out of the Denmark/Wales over. In the end it all evens out going for or against the big swings. With that said , I won't lie, when you play a line early and it swings against you , it's definitely kick in the balls lol

Good points. I?ve get plenty on Italy already for the game and tourney. No point adding more at slightly better lines. Just expected the public to pound them and the odds went the other way.
 

BASON

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That was fucking pathetic. I expected to see this Italian team in the next round but not against a team they are much better than. This one hurt, but lets hope Italy wins, so we load up against them in the next round no matter who they play. Just piss poor play in the entire second half (and coaching by starting Veratti, no way he should have changed the lineup) and showing they are not for real.

Moving on.

Dutch TT Ov 1.5

Belgium to Advance


These are the two plays I have for tomorrow.
 

BASON

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Lets see if any team wants to show up and play to win, so far these games suck.

Belgium +153

Hopefully they show against a Portugal team that always gets the breaks. Hoping the veteran team comes out strong.

I also already have a lot on Spain tomorrow, will add if the line comes down overnight, but they are my favorite play of this round.
 
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