Cnotes college football 2022-2023 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

[Udog]

NORTH TEXAS (7 - 5) at UTSA (10 - 2) - 12/2/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UTAH (9 - 3) vs. USC (11 - 1) - 12/2/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 201-162 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTAH is 201-162 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTAH is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 139-107 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UTAH is 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UTAH is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
USC is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
USC is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


AKRON (2 - 9) at BUFFALO (5 - 6) - 12/2/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 82-111 ATS (-40.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


KANSAS ST (9 - 3) vs. TCU (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS ST is 199-154 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 199-154 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 149-104 ATS (+34.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 186-137 ATS (+35.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 153-109 ATS (+33.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 146-101 ATS (+34.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 154-119 ATS (+23.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TOLEDO (7 - 5) vs. OHIO U (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO U is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


COASTAL CAROLINA (9 - 2) at TROY (10 - 2) - 12/3/2022, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UCF (9 - 3) at TULANE (10 - 2) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
TULANE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TULANE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
TULANE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TULANE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FRESNO ST (8 - 4) at BOISE ST (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 170-127 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 170-127 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 106-77 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LSU (9 - 3) vs. GEORGIA (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 81-51 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
LSU is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


CLEMSON (10 - 2) vs. N CAROLINA (9 - 3) - 12/3/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
N CAROLINA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PURDUE (8 - 4) vs. MICHIGAN (12 - 0) - 12/3/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Akron @ Buffalo
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Akron is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron

North Texas @ Texas-San Antonio
North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Texas's last 8 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Toledo @ Ohio
Toledo
Toledo is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ohio
Toledo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Coastal Carolina @ Troy
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games when playing Troy
Coastal Carolina is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana State @ Georgia
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 6 games
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia's last 9 games when playing Louisiana State

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games at home
Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Fresno State

Clemson @ North Carolina
Clemson
Clemson is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Clemson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing Clemson

Purdue @ Michigan
Purdue
Purdue is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Purdue


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Utah @ Southern California
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Southern California
Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games


Kansas State @ Texas Christian
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas State's last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Christian's last 7 games when playing Kansas State


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

 

[Udog]

College Football Betting Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 14

North Texas Mean Green Betting Analysis

The Mean Green reached their first CUSA Championship Game in five years as a result of an upset win over Western Kentucky in late October. North Texas was a 10-point underdog by the CFB betting odds in that game, yet the Mean Green were able to shut out the Hilltoppers in the second half on their way to a 40-13 upset of WKU.

Quarterback Austin Aune has been instrumental to North Texas' success all season. Aune is completing 57.4% of his passes for 3,115 yards while averaging 8.9 YPA. He has thrown 31 touchdown passes compared to just 11 interceptions, and the offensive line has done an excellent job keeping him upright although he isn't a real mobile threat. Aune has only been sacked 10 times all year, and he has 350 pass attempts. That has helped Aune improve considerably after a marginal 2021 campaign.

The two leading rushers on North Texas haven't suited up for a month due to injuries. Ayo Adeyi and Oscar Adaway III combined to run for over 1,270 yards during the regular season, but the Mean Green have had to rely on Ikaika Ragsdale and Isaiah Johnson to run the ball in the month of November. Ragsdale has been the more efficient runner and is coming off his best performance of the season last week against Rice. Meanwhile, Roderic Burns, Jyaire Shorter, and tight end Var'Keyes Gumms are the three players to watch in the passing game for UNT. All three players had at least a 45-yard reception against UTSA in the first meeting between these teams, and the Mean Green will look for more big plays.

North Texas is ranked 99th in Defensive SP+. The Mean Green rank 94th in scoring defense (30.4 PPG) and 117th in total defense (451.0 YPG). They have struggled to get off the field on third downs, ranking 120th nationally in third down defense, so they need their stars to step up in a big way on Friday night. Linebacker Mazin Richards leads the team with 7.5 sacks, and Ridge Texada has recorded 15 pass breakups and leads UNT with three interceptions.

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Analysis

Frank Harris has been one of the best quarterbacks at the Group of Five level over the last three seasons. Harris was superb in leading UTSA to the Conference USA Championship last year, and the Roadrunners have not lost a conference game under his watch this season. Their only two defeats this season came in Week 1 against Houston in triple overtime and in Week 3 against Texas. Harris is completing 69.6% of his passes for 3,524 yards (9.0 YPA) with 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions this season, and he surpassed 500 rushing yards for the third straight season.

Harris' play is why UTSA is ranked 16th in Offensive SP+. It's extremely hard to stop the Roadrunners' offense as Harris is an accurate passer and an elusive runner. UTSA has three main targets in the passing game in Zakhari Franklin, Joshua Cephus, and De'Corian Clark. Franklin and Cephus are both on pace to finish with over 1,000 receiving yards this season if they play in the postseason, while Clark is a deep threat averaging 14.5 YPR. The ground game hasn't been as explosive with Sincere McCormick in the NFL, but freshman Kevorian Barnes has run for 538 yards and five touchdowns while averaging 6.3 YPC. Barnes will be the workhorse in the backfield on Friday night as Arkansas transfer Trelon Smith has been injured and is averaging just 3.5 YPC, while leading rusher Brenden Brady has been declared out after suffering an injury last week against UTEP.

UTSA does not have a good defense, ranking 93rd in Defensive SP+. The Roadrunners have done a decent job stopping the run, allowing 4.2 YPC and 141.9 YPG on the ground, but the secondary has had some issues. They rank outside the top 100 in pass defense, and they have trouble getting to the quarterback outside of Trey Moore. He has six of the team's 19 sacks and will be asked to provide pressure against Aune.




USC Trojans Betting Analysis

Caleb Williams has absolutely transformed this South California offense, putting them in charge of their destiny with the team currently holding the #4 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. He's pretty much a lock to win the Heisman Trophy, completing nearly 66% of his passes for 3,712 yards and throwing for 34 touchdowns compared to only 3 interceptions, a very gaudy number that will no doubt excite the Heisman voters.

Apart from Williams, who is sure to have to another good game against Utah (he had 381 passing yards and 5 touchdowns in the first matchup), the Trojans also have future NFL WRs Jordan Addison and Mario Williams as well in their pocket, and their vast skillsets allow Williams to throw the ball downfield plenty of times. Addison figures to be a top 3 receiver in next year's draft class, and leads the team with 54 catches for 810 yards and 8 touchdowns this season.

Travis Dye going down a few weeks ago has hurt the true ceiling of this offense, but backups Austin Jones and Raleek Brown have picked up the slack in his absence, making defenses pay attention to them as well as the elite receiving options. All together, this Trojans offense is a scary beast to face, but they have playmakers on the defense as well despite not putting up the greatest defensive numbers.

The defense is led by star edge rusher Tuli Tuipulotu, who leads the country with 12.5 sacks. The defense as a whole is plus-23 in turnover margin as well, which makes them just as dangerous on that side of the football.

Utah Utes Betting Analysis

On the other side of this matchup, the Utes' statistics don't look nearly as gaudy as the top-heavy Trojans' do. They are led by QB Cameron Rising, who has focused mostly on finding his top tight end in Dalton Kincaid to move the chains. Rising has 2,627 passing yards to go along with 22 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, but also likes to contribute on the ground, rushing for nearly 400 yards and 6 touchdowns as well.

On the ground, the Utes are led by RB Tavion Thomas, who has rushed for 687 yards and 7 touchdowns this season. They also have had healthy contributions from Rising as well (his rushing stats are above). Micah Bernard is their third-down pass-catching back and he has 38 targets, which ranks third-highest on the team.

The passing attack is more of a committee-style approach, with the aforementioned Kincaid leading the way with 90 targets, 850 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Devaughn Vele comes next with 81 targets and has nearly 600 yards as well, though Kincaid is nearly always the primary read and should see a ton of looks, as he had a career game in the first matchup earlier this season.

On the defensive side, Utah profiles as much stronger than USC, ranking 28th in the country in points per drive allowed. However, the Utes did allow stronger games to the better offenses they played, and obviously allowed over 500 yards to the Trojans the first time around. I'm just not sure that Utah can have the miracle performance that they had in the first matchup and I believe that the Trojans will get the better of them this time.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 14

Conference title games

Friday’s games

Conference USA
North Texas @ Texas-San Antonio
North Texas (7-5)
— Mean Green won five of their last seven games.
— UNT is 7-0 giving up 28 or less points, 0-5 allowing 31+.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 106 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 12 starts
— UNT is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
— Mean Green is 7-5 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— under Littrell, they’re 25-31 ATS in C-USA games (6-2 TY)
— Mean Green will go bowling for 6th time in seven years,
— North Texas lost this game 41-17 in 2017, their only appearance.

Tex-San Antonio (10-2)
— UTSA won its last nine games, scoring 38.8 ppg.
— Last four games, UTSA is +8 in turnovers.
— Roadrunners ran ball for 209+ yards in four of last five games.
— UTSA has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Roadrunners have 121 returning starts on offensive line.
— UTSA has senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Roadrunners are 29-9 SU under Traylor (26-46 from 2014-19).
— Under Traylor, UTSA is 6-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— UTSA won C-USA title game 49-41 LY, their only appearance.

— UTSA (-10) beat North Texas 31-27 here October 22.
— Roadrunners ran ball for 257 yards, outgained UNT 495-347.
— North Texas has still won four of last six series games.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.

Pac-12
Utah vs USC (@ Las Vegas)
Utah (9-3)
— Utes won five of its last six games.
— Utah ran ball for 279+ yards in three of last four games.
— Utes are 20-11 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
— Utah scored 32+ points in nine of their last eleven games.
— Utah is +7 in turnovers this season.
— Utes have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 12 games
— Since 2015, Utah is 11-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.
— Since 2016, Utah is 40-22 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Utah is 1-2 in Pac-12 title games; they beat Oregon 38-10 LY.
— This is 4th time in five years Utes are in this game.

USC (11-1)
— USC’s only loss was 43-42 at Utah; Utes threw for 424 yards.
— USC is 5-0 since then, scoring 45.4 ppg.
— Trojans scored 38+ points in 10 of their 12 games.
— USC has a +22 turnover margin this season.
— Last six games, USC gave up 34 ppg.
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 7 games at Oklahoma
— Trojans are 7-4 ATS this year as a favorite.
— In his career, Riley is 31-28 ATS as a favorite.
— Riley was 4-0 SU in Big X title games while at Oklahoma.
— Since 2017, USC is 18-24 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Over is 6-0 in Trojans’ last six games.
— USC is 1-2 in Pac-12 title games, beating Stanford in 2017.

— Utah (-3.5) threw for 424 yards, beat USC 43-42 at home October 15.
— Teams split last six meetings; Utes won last two, scoring 43-42 points.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.


Saturday’s games

Big X (@ Arlington, TX)
Kansas State vs TCU
Kansas State (9-3)
— K-State is 8-0 scoring 31+ points, 1-3 when they score less.
— K-State won its last three games, scoring 31-48-47 points.
— Under Klieman, Wildcats are 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 38 starts at Nebraska
— Under Klieman, K-State is 18-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Klieman, K-State is 24-12 ATS in conference games.
— K-State is +13 in turnovers this season.
— Over is 3-1 in Wildcats’ last four games.
— K-State is 1-2 in Big X title games, winning last appearance in 2003.

TCU (12-0)
— TCU scored 34+ points in 10 of 12 games this season.
— TCU is 6-2-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— in his career, Dykes is 36-34-1 ATS as a favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 29 starts
— Horned Frogs gained 400+ TY in 10 of their 11 games.
— TCU is +10 in turnovers this season.
— In his career, Dykes is 83-63 SU; this is his 4th HC job.
— Three of last four TCU games stayed under the total.
— TCU lost 41-17 to Oklahoma in their only Big X title game, in 2017.

— TCU (-3.5) beat K-State 38-28 at home October 22.
— TCU outgained Wildcats 495-390, were +2 in turnovers.
— K-State had won the previous three series games.
— Six of last seven meetings stayed under the total.

MAC (@ Detroit)
Toledo vs Ohio U
Toledo (7-5)
— Toledo got here despite losing last two games (-5 turnover ratio).
— Rockets are minus-15 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
— Rockets are 6-0 when they score 28+ points, 1-5 when they don’t.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 79 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 7 starts
— Toledo gained 437+ TY in four of last six games.
— Toledo is 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Toledo is 3-3 in MAC title games; their last one was 2017.

Ohio U (9-3)
— Ohio won its last seven games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
— First five games, Bobcats gave up 48.8 pts/game; last seven, 18.0.
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— have 69 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 11 starts.
— Last six games, Bobcats are +11 in turnovers.
— 11-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Ohio is 8-0 this year when it scores more than 24 points.
— Bobcats were held to 10-10-24 points in their losses.
— Over is 6-5 in their I-A games this season.
— Ohio U is 0-4 in MAC title games; their last one was in 2016.

— Toledo won six of last eight games vs Ohio U
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Sun Belt
Coastal Carolina @ Troy State
Coastal Carolina (9-2)
— Coastal Carolina gave up 49-47 points in its two losses.
— Chanticleers were outgained in four of their last five games.
— Coastal was held to 322.8 yards/game the last four games.
— Chanticleers have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— Coastal has 54 returning starts on offensive line.
— Coastal’s soph QB has 22 career starts.
— Last three years, Chanticleers are 31-6 SU.
— Coastal is 9-1 ATS last ten games as an underdog.
— Last three years, Chanticleers are 12-12 ATS in conference games.
— Three of their last five games went over the total.
— This is Coastal Carolina’s first Sun Belt title game.

Troy (10-2)
— Trojans won last nine games, giving up 13.9 ppg.
— Troy gave up 28-32 points in losses at Ole Miss, App State.
— Troy scored 34-48 points in its last two games.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Troy has 94 returning starts on offensive line.
— Troy’s QB has 8 career starts- he used to play at Missouri.
— Trojans are 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— This is Troy’s first Sun Belt title game.

— Coastal Carolina won last three series games, scoring 42-36-35 points.
— Last five meetings went over the total.
— Chanticleers won last meeting 35-28 at home LY.

SEC (@ Atlanta)
LSU vs Georgia
LSU (9-3)
— Tigers won five of last six games, scoring 33.2 ppg.
— LSU is 7-0 when it scores more than 23 points.
— Tigers are 2-3 SU when they score less than 31 points.
— LSU gave up 274 RY in LW’s 38-23 loss at Texas A&M
— LSU is 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games as an underdog.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line; QB started 29 games at Arizona State
— In his career, Kelly is 35-17-2 ATS as an underdog.
— LSU is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Four of last five LSU games went over the total.
— LSU is 5-1 in SEC title games; 2019 was last time they were in it.

Georgia (12-0)
— Dawgs have 11 wins by 10+ points (beat Missouri 26-22).
— Nine of their 12 wins are by 17+ points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— 62 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— Smart is 20-8 ATS as a favorite away from home.
— Since 2017, Dawgs are 33-22 ATS in SEC games.
— Since 2017, Georgia 42-24 ATS coming off a win.
— Dawgs are 18-10 ATS in last 28 games as a favorite.
— Under is 7-4 in Georgia’s I-A games this season.
— Georgia is 3-6 in SEC title games (0-3 SU last four years).

— LSU won four of last five series games.
— LSU won last meeting 37-10 in 2019 SEC title game.

AAC
Central Florida @ Tulane
Central Florida (9-3)
— UCF won four of its last five games.
— Knights were held to 14-13-14 points in their losses.
— 9 starters back on offense; 8 on defense
— 132 starts back on OL
— junior QB started nine games at Ole Miss
— Since 2018, Knights are 1-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Malzahn is 9-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— UCF is 9-13 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
— Last six games, Knights are minus-5 in turnovers.
— UCF has gained 426+ TY in seven of last eight games.
— Three of last four UCF games went over the total.
— UCF is 2-0 in AAC title games, in 2017-18.

Tulane (10-2)
— Green Wave won seven of its last eight games.
— Tulane scored 34.8 ppg in those eight games.
— Tulane is 14-4 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Green Wave’s losses (27-24 So Miss/38-31 UCF) were both at home.
— 9 starters back on offense; 9 on defense
— 108 starts back on OL; soph QB has 18 starts
— Green Wave is 7-2 ATS TY coming off a win.
— In his career, Fritz is 25-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Tulane allowed 237.3 rushing yards/game.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Tulane is is the AAC title game for the first time.

— UCF ran for 338 yards, won 38-31 at Tulane November 12.
— Knights won five in row, 10 of last 12 series games.
— UCF is 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to New Orleans.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Mountain West
Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State (8-4)
— Fresno won its last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
— Last six games, Fresno scored 39.3 ppg.
— Bulldogs are 7-1 if they score more than 20 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 19 starts
— Fresno is 9-4 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 12-10 ATS in last 22 conference games.
— Bulldogs threw for 313+ yards in four of last five games.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.
— Fresno is 2-2 in Mountain West title games; last one was 2018.

Boise State (9-3)
— Boise is 7-1 since changing OC’s, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— New OC Dirk Koetter was once head coach of the NFL’s Bucs.
— Boise is 8-1 when it scores 20+ points.
— Broncos ran ball for 248 ypg the last three games.
— Boise has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 25 starts
— Boise is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Last four games, Broncos allowed 389.5 yards/game.
— Boise is 7-11 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Boise is 3-2 in Mountain West title games; last one was 2020.

— Fresno (+10.5) lost 40-20 at Boise State October 8th.
— Boise won six of last eight series games.
— Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Boise.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Big 14 (@ Indianapolis)
Purdue vs Michigan
Purdue (8-4)
— Purdue won its last three games, scoring 26 ppg.
— Purdue is 17-9 ATS last 26 games as an underdog.
— Boilers’ losses this year are by 4-3-11-21 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 15 starts
— Under Brohm, Boilers are 20-11 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Boilers are 10-14 ATS in conference games.
— In its losses, Purdue was held to 82.3 rushing yards/game.
— Under Brohm, Boilers are 18-14 ATS coming off a win.
— Under is 3-1 in Purdue’s last four games.
— Purdue is playing in its first Big 14 championship game.

Michigan (12-0)
— Letdown spot after Michigan hammered Ohio State last week.
— Michigan ran ball for 252+ yards in five of last six games.
— Wolverines held 9 of 12 opponents under 300 TY.
— Ohio State threw for 349 yards, had 492 TY vs Michigan LW.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 40-34-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Michigan is 14-7-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Under is 8-3-1 in their games this season.
— Michigan won Big 14 title game 42-3 LY, their first appearance.

— Michigan won four in row, nine of last 11 series games.
— Their last meeting was in 2017.

ACC (@ Charlotte)
Clemson vs North Carolina
Clemson (10-2)
— Clemson split its last four games, after an 8-0 start.
— Tigers gave up 35-31 points in their two losses.
— Clemson completed 8-29 passes LW; they’re not changing QB’s.
— Last three games, Tigers ran football for 230.7 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last 10+ years, they’re 131-19 SU
— Tigers are 15-16 ATS last 31 games as a favorite.
— Since 2018, Tigers are 29-15-1 ATS in ACC games.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten Clemson games.
— Clemson is 7-1 in ACC Championship games; last one was 2020.

North Carolina (9-3)
— UNC lost its last two games, by total of seven points.
— Tar Heels are 8-1 when they score 31+ points, 1-2 when they don’t
— Tar Heels’ last four games were all decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Carolina is 13-8 ATS last 21 games as an underdog.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; they have a redshirt freshman QB.
— UNC is 2-12 SU last 14 times they scored less than 34 points (2-3 TY).
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Carolina is 7-4 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Tar Heels lost 2015 ACC Championship game, their only appearance.

— Clemson won four in row, seven of last eight meetings.
— Last meeting was three years ago.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2

AKR at BUFF	01:00 PM	BUFF -11.0 U 55.0	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

MY BEST BETS !

UNT at UTSA	07:30 PM	UNT +9.0	+500
UTAH at USC	08:00 PM	UTAH +2.5 U 67.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

FCS

DECEMBER 3

New Hampshire at Holy Cross
Time: 1
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 59.068; Holy Cross 72.826
Dunkel Line & Total: Holy Cross by 14; 70
Vegas Line & Total: Holy Cross by 8; 58 ?
Dunkel Pick: Holy Cross (-8); Over

Gardner Webb at William & Mary
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner Webb 71.175; William & Mary 70.336
Dunkel Line & Total: Gardner Webb by 1; 65
Vegas Line & Total: William & Mary by 10; 61 ?
Dunkel Pick: Gardner Webb (+10); Over

Furman at Incarnate Word
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 73.001; Incarnate Word 93.049
Dunkel Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 20; 52
Vegas Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 9 ?; 63 ?
Dunkel Pick: Incarnate Word (-9 ?); Under

Delaware at South Dakota State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 70.992; South Dakota State 79.763
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 9; 55
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota State by 19 ?; 45
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+19); Over

SE Louisiana at Samford
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 65.725; Samford 78.456
Dunkel Line & Total: Samford by 12 ?; 68
Vegas Line & Total: Samford by 6 ?; 63 ?
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-6 ?); Over

Weber State at Montana State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 82.277; Montana State 84.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 2; 58
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 5; 65 ?
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+5); Under

Valparaiso at New Mexico State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 30.134; New Mexico State 67.970
Dunkel Line & Total: New Mexico State by 38; 46
Vegas Line & Total: New Mexico State by 28 ?; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-28 ?); Under

Montana at North Dakota State
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 74.794; North Dakota State 88.704
Dunkel Line & Total: North Dakota State by 14; 58
Vegas Line & Total: North Dakota State by 8; 50 ?
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-8); Over

Southern at Jackson State
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 46.669; Jackson State 73.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Jackson State by 27; 43
Vegas Line & Total: Jackson State by 19 ?; 50 ?
Dunkel Pick: Jackson State (-19 ?); Under

Richmond at Sacramento State
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 73.275; Sacramento State 82.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento State by 9; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento State by 17; 53
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+17); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP THRU THE BOWL GAMES !

12/02/2022.......................2 - 3 - 0.......................40.00%....................- 6.50

TOTALS...........................2 - 3 - 0........................40.00%...................- 6.50

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 14

 

[Udog]

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Analysis

Will Howard has brought a new dynamic to Kansas State's offense. The Wildcats did a lot of RPO with Adrian Martinez under center through the first half of the season in order to take advantage of Martinez's speed and mobility. However, Martinez wasn't that good of a passer, and that led to Howard eventually taking over at quarterback. Howard is averaging 9.3 YPA with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions on the year, and he has only been sacked three times. That has led to Kansas State scoring at least 27 points in each of its last six games to close out the season.

Deuce Vaughn didn't see enough action the last time Kansas State played TCU, and you can be sure that he will have more touches in the rematch. Vaughn has been one of the top running backs in the Big 12 for two straight seasons, and he has run for 1,295 yards (5.3 YPC) and seven touchdowns this season. He is averaging 8.7 YPR as the player with the second-more receptions on the team too. Malik Knowles is the top overall receiver for the Wildcats with 46 receptions for 679 yards and two touchdowns, but there are five players on this offense that have at least 340 receiving yards.

Kansas State's defense is ranked 15th in SP+. The Wildcats are led by Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year Felix Anudike-Uzomah who recorded 7.5 sacks and two forced fumbles, and they rank 11th nationally in interception rate. Three different players have at least three interceptions, so they can punish TCU's passing attack if the Horned Frogs get too greedy looking for big plays.

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Analysis

Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year Max Duggan has had a sensational senior season for TCU. Duggan wasn't the No. 1 quarterback at the start of the season after three largely mediocre years with the Horned Frogs, but he ended up thriving in Sonny Dykes' offense. He has completed 66.6% of his passes for 3,070 yards (9.2 YPA) with 29 touchdowns and three interceptions so far this campaign. However, Duggan has had some struggles over the last month, so the book might be out to a degree on this offense.

Quentin Johnston has missed two of the last four games with an ankle injury, so he won't be at his best this week. That will put a lot of pressure on TCU's No. 2 receiver Taye Barber who has 31 receptions for 567 yards and three touchdowns on the year. Leading rusher Kendre Miller is a little banged up too, and he wasn't as effective the last two weeks as he was earlier in the season. Miller has run for 1,260 yards (6.3 YPC) and 16 touchdowns this season, but he isn't much of a receiver out of the backfield.

TCU's defense is ranked 31st in SP+. The Horned Frogs have had a little trouble stopping the run at times, allowing 4.1 YPC and 149.7 YPG on the ground. Linebacker Dee Winters was a First Team All-Big 12 selection and leads the Horned Frogs with 6.5 sacks, while defensive backs Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson and Josh Newton were also First Team All-Conference picks after combining for six interceptions. This defensive line can be gashed up front though by a team that can keep it close and stick to the ground game.




Georgia Bulldogs Betting Analysis

Kirby Smart is fully aware of Stetson Bennett's limitations as a quarterback, but Smart continues to roll with Bennett as he protects the ball and doesn't try to play outside the system. Bennett is completing 67.2% of his passes for 3,151 yards (8.6 YPA) with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He hasn't thrown for more than 300 yards in a game since October, and he isn't much of a mobile threat, so don't expect Georgia to score a lot of points considering the circumstances this weekend.

The Bulldogs are ranked just outside the Top 25 in Offensive SP+. They have two running backs that have proven to be equally effective carrying the load in Kenny McIntosh and Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton is averaging 6.6 YPC as an occasional big play threat. McIntosh is also the third leading receiver on Georgia, ranking behind star tight end Brock Bowers and Ladd McConkey. Bowers is the biggest weapon in this offense, but we haven't seen much production out of him over the last month. Since a monster outing against Florida, Bowers has caught just 15 passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns over Georgia's last four games.

Georgia has the best defense in the country with an exclamation point. The Bulldogs lost a ton of talent to the NFL after last year's national championship, but they are still ranked No. 1 in Defensive SP+. They are allowing just 12.4 PPG and 283.6 YPG this season, and they rank first nationally in red zone defense. Georgia is doing this without a lot of havoc plays, forcing just 13 turnovers and registering a grand total of 22 sacks. No one on the Bulldogs recorded more than three sacks this season as Smart's defense simply kept everything in front of it.

LSU Tigers Betting Analysis

Brian Kelly has to receive a ton of credit for the job he did at LSU in his first season. Although LSU is one of the best 10-12 head coaching gigs in the nation, the situation he came into this offseason was not ideal. A substantial percentage of players left the program either through graduation or the transfer portal, leaving Kelly with little depth and a lot of fresh faces. That was apparent in the team's clunky performance in a season opening loss to Florida State, but Kelly was eventually able to turn the team around and make the Bayou Bengals into SEC West Champions.

Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels was mainly a mobile threat early on this season. Daniels became more of a passer the more comfortable he became in Kelly's system and finished with solid numbers, completing 68.6% of his passes for 2,566 yards (7.4 YPA) with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions. Daniels was sacked a whopping 40 times, but his stats as a runner are superb if you take out the sack yardage. In just 134 carries, Daniels amassed 1,008 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns.

Malik Nabers is the top receiver for the Tigers with 58 receptions for 726 yards and a touchdown. Kayshon Boutte is an effective underneath target with 42 receptions for 431 yards and a touchdown, but no one else has more than 30 receptions in this offense. Josh Williams is the top running back on the Tigers, and he is expected to be the starter on Saturday after missing the last two weeks with a knee injury. Noah Cain and John Emery Jr. should also see some work in the backfield for LSU.

LSU's defense is ranked 23rd in SP+. The Tigers have done a solid job against the run, allowing just 3.9 YPC, and they are giving up 21.9 PPG this season. Tennessee was the only offense that really torched this unit, and Georgia does not have the same big play capability. Standout freshman Harold Perkins Jr. leads the Tigers with 7.5 sacks, and defensive end B.J. Ojulari can get to the quarterback too.




Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis

Purdue had the same exact record last year as they head into Saturday’s showdown trying to win their first conference title since 2000. In 2021 that finish was only good enough for fourth place in the West. This year their offense is averaging over 28 points a game and they’re 21st in passing years with Aidan O’Connell throwing for over 3,100 yards so far including 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

In their last four games, the Boilermakers put up 30 against IU and 31 versus Illinois but totaled only 20 points in the other two. Those were against Northwestern and Iowa, two defenses that will never be confused with Michigan’s. On that side of the ball, Purdue has been outrushed in four of its last five including allowing 215 yards to Indiana.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Analysis

If you told your sports betting buddies that Michigan was going to beat Ohio State, in the Horseshoe, by 22, as nine-point underdogs, they may have asked you to take a drug test. Piling up over 500 yards of offense isn’t as hard as it sounds when you have two scoring plays of 45 and 69 yards each, another couple that both covered 75 yards, and none of those were even your longest touchdown of the game. That offense is ranked seventh in the nation averaging over 39 points a game, but it may have been their defense that made the loudest statement.

Ohio State had scored 43 points or more in seven of their last eight heading into that contest with TTUN and the Wolverines held them to three points in the second half. Michigan is number two in yards allowed, third in both rushing yards, at less than 85 a game, and points allowed at under 13 each week. The fact that they’re sitting in the second playoff spot for a chance to win their first National Championship since 1997 should help them show up in a game where they’re listed at -905 on the money line.

 

[Udog]

Clemson Tigers Betting Analysis

The Tigers have been centered around DJ Uiagalelei for a couple years now, but it's been rocky sailing over time, as Uiagalelei has not shown near his ceiling that flashed in limited action backing up Trevor Lawrence a few years back. The team has struggled to win games in which it needed its quarterback to step up in the clutch, and there have been questions as to whether DJU would leave for the NFL or not after this season.

Will Shipley has been the heart and soul of this offense, and has run for almost 1,100 yards this season with 14 rushing touchdowns while catching 30 balls for 195 yards, proving that he has the three-down skillset that NFL scouts salivate over. 6 teams have run the ball 40+ times against the Tar Heels this season, and it seems like Clemson will employ that same game plan in this matchup.

On the defensive side, Clemson has a few stud prospects like DT Bryan Bresee and EDGE Myles Murphy to disrupt opposing offenses and will no doubt employ them a bunch to try and rattle Drake Maye.

UNC Tar Heels Betting Analysis

ACC Player of the Year Drake Maye is obviously the leader of this UNC offense, and this team has rallied around him as they try to make some late-season noise. He is in the late stages of a Heisman-worthy campaign (and would be more closely considered if Caleb Williams didn't exist) with 3,847 passing yards, 35 touchdowns, only 5 interceptions, and adding over 600 yards and 6 touchdowns rushing as well.

Josh Downs is Maye's best friend, racking up 21 touchdowns over his past 24 games and adding 929 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns this season. He has 4 straight games of at least 100 receiving yards and projects as one of the top wide receivers in the upcoming NFL Draft.

The Tar Heels will need to win this game on the strength of their offense, not the defense, as too many times this season they have been prone to getting into shootouts where they just run out of steam. The key to their win here will be limiting Shipley on the ground and forcing Uiagalelei into some mistakes.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 3

KSU at TCU	12:00 PM	KSU +1.0	+500
TOL at OHIO	12:00 PM	OHIO +3.5 U 55.0	+500 +500
CCU at TROY	03:30 PM	TROY -7.0	+500
FRES at BSU	04:00 PM	FRES +3.0 U 54.5	+500 +500
UCF at TULN	04:00 PM	TULN -3.5 O 57.0	+500 +500
LSU at UGA	04:00 PM	UGA -17.5	+500
PUR at MICH	08:00 PM	MICH -16.5 O 52.0	+500 +500
CLEM at UNC	08:00 PM	UNC +7.5	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP THRU THE BOWL GAMES !

12/03/2022.....................10 - 2 - 0.......................83.33%...................+ 39.00
12/02/2022.......................2 - 3 - 0.......................40.00%....................- 6.50

TOTALS.........................12 - 5 - 0......................70.58%................... + 32.50

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

— Kansas State 31, TCU 28 OT
K-State led 28-17 with 8:00 left in regulation.
TCU outgained the Wildcats, 469-404
Horned Frogs were 2-15 on 3rd down, K-State 5-16
First loss of season for TCU

— Georgia 50, LSU 30
Game was 35-10 at halftime.
LSU’s backup QB Nussmeier threw for 294 yards in 2nd half.
Georgia ran for 255 yards (5.8 yards/carry)
Georgia ran.a blocked field goal back 96 yards for a TD.

— Michigan 43, Purdue 22
Michigan led 14-13 at halftime.
Purdue outgained Michigan 456-386
Wolverines ran ball for 225 yards (5.8 yards/carry)

— Clemson 39, North Carolina 10
Backup QB Klubnik was 20-24/279 passing, with a TD.
Tar Heels lost their last three games, after a 9-1 start.

— Fresno State 28, Boise State 16
Fresno ran a punt back 70 yards for a TD for their first score.
Boise State outgained the Bulldogs, 321-245
Jeff Tedford is Fresno’s coach; he was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach at Cal.

— Tulane 45, Central Florida 28
Tulane had TD plays of 43-60-60-73 yards.
Green Wave is 11-2; great year for them.
Tulane ran ball for 254 yards, threw for 394.

— Troy 45, Coastal Carolina 26
Trojans led 31-0 at halftime.
Troy had TD plays of 65-67-36 yards.
Troy averaged 18.7 yards per pass attempt.

— Deion Sanders accepted the head coaching job at Colorado.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 15

NAVY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15

NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Navy @ Army
Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
Navy is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Army
Army
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NAVY (4 - 7) vs. ARMY (5 - 6) - 12/10/2022, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 202-148 ATS (+39.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 202-148 ATS (+39.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 118-73 ATS (+37.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 81-43 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 86-49 ATS (+32.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ARMY is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15

FCS

DECEMBER 9

Samford at North Dakota State
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 76.001; North Dakota State 84.885
Dunkel Line & Total: North Dakota State by 9; 69
Vegas Line & Total: North Dakota State by 15 ?; 61 ?
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+15 ?); Over

William & Mary at Montana State
Time: 10:15 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 79.685; Montana State 82.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 3; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 7 ?; 65 ?
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+7 ?); Under

Incarnate Word at Sacramento State
Time: 10:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Incarnate Word 79.840; Sacramento State 90.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento State by 10 ?; 68
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento State by 7; 73 ?
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-7); Under

DECEMBER 10

Holy Cross at South Dakota State
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 67.678; South Dakota State 88.514
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 21; 57
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota State by 15 ?; 53 ?
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-15 ?); Over

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Week 15

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Army vs Navy (@ Philadelphia)
Army (5-6)
— Army scored 34+ points in wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 34.
— Last six games, Cadets are a combined 12-36/257 passing.
— Last six games, Army is +8 in turnovers.
— Army has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Army has only 47 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cadets use multiple QB’s; they’re all inexperienced.
— Army is 18-15-2 ATS in last 35 games as an underdog.
— Army ran ball for 200+ yards in 9 of 11 games (UTSA/Air Force)
— Army has allowed 220+ rushing yards in 5 of 12 games TY.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Navy (4-7)
— Middies lost four of last six games, giving up 26.7 ppg.
— Last four games, Middies are a combined 10-22/192 passing.
— Navy gained 260 or less yards in three of last four games.
— 5 starters back on offense; 6 on defense
— 31 starts back on OL; junior QB has 10 starts.
— Navy is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a favorite.
— Last five games, Middies are +5 in turnovers (minus-2 in first 6 games).
— Navy is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Navy is 3-2 scoring 23+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 23.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Last sixteen meetings in this rivalry stayed under the total.
— Army won four of last six games vs Navy.
— Since 1998, Army is 2-4 ATS as a favorite vs Navy.