LETS GO OVER - NEVER UNDER - 2022/2023
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
- Jan 12, 2010
- 2,371
- 142
- 63
I played this one too early, the line came down and I snagged some more at -110. As I have noted in this thread, I expected to Chelsea to eventually get it going with Potter at the helm. They are playing some really solid ball lately. Chelsea has scored 2 goals or more in the last 5 games, they have looked solid. The risk with this play is the super good form of Chelsea, having posted 4 clean sheets in a row. That is a red flag for an over bettor. I do take the clean sheets with a grain of salt. Clearly, Chelsea is lining up more organized, but 2 of those EPL clean sheets were against Villa, and the Wolves who are dead last, and second last in goals scored averaging just over .05 gpg. Brentford is still ranking high in overall EPL scoring (5th), and they average the 5th most goals at home finding the net on average over 2+ times per game in their own park. The Bees have the worst Expected Goals Against at Home of any time in the EPL posting a 1.94 so I would expect Chelsea to get some high quality chances in this one. I am going Over on this one, the price is right for me.
- Jan 12, 2010
- 2,371
- 142
- 63
Always a crapshoot with Chelsea. Seems like England is not the place to go for goals. Also took over man. U/Tottenham so I am not having a great day :facepalm:
Broooooo wtf is going on this year. Clearly this condensed schedule is messing with things. Assuming everything stands as is 16 of the last 18 EPL games went under 2.5, that is nuts!!
thanks buds its been a grind this year. There is no doubt the packed schedule effects the play. I heard numerous coaches talk about this, most recently Conte. He was acknowledging that with so many games packed together, it is impossible for teams to play all out every game. They have to pick their spots at times, and conserve energy and bodies. For someone betting on offensive production this can be concerning. Nonetheless, there are always opportunities, just have to hope to get those bounces. Good luck with whatever you play my guy.:0003
