Master's

[rrc]

DTB.....

DTB.....

I believe Calc recently had some minor surgery to remove a bone spur on his foot. I'll try to get back to you with details. Good luck.

 

[Ian]

One player forgotten from last year is top Japanese player Toshi Izawa - he finished 4th last year and top of the ROW market - not bad for a debutant, looking at his stats - he led the par 5's last year at 12 under (his stats for eagles in Japan are exceptionally good), he also hits it on average 293 - easily enough to get him in the top 10 for DD in US - so the longer course will hold no fears, he has had a couple of run outs in Japan - finishing top 15 both times - there's plenty of 125 about for the outright but the 33/1 Bluesquare go ROW (esp 1/4 4) I think he could be one of the best bets in the speciality markets.

 

[coldbeer4soul]

What's up with Furyk? Is the vertigo still with him?

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding a few props
@oly
Foreign player to win +225
Westwood to miss cut -115
@Wsex
Love to miss cut +170

A little on the latter:Several of people I hold great respect for have made Love an outright which I agree 100% with @ quoted odds and have some unofficial cheese that route also.I look to be feast or famine
and think both are good props. Love came into masters last year with a 1st,2nd,6th,10th and 11th and missed cut.This year has no top 10's and has missed 6 cuts in 11 opps.Hard to gauge but don't think damp weather will help reocurring ailments either. I hope hehits top 5 but if not will take these odds for what I deem a coinflip.

 

[ormond80]

13-6 Year to Date. let's go 72 holes this week at Augusta w/ the following:

Daly -150 over Sabattinni
Couples -115 over J. Leonard

Happy Gaming as I will be down there of Saturday's round

 

[rrc]

More Calc...

More Calc...

He had some electric shock treatments on his heel
there was no actual surgery done. He'll be wearing special shoes or insoles this week.

 

[bettingmad]

Ian,
If you like Izawa and could stretch the Japanese influence a bit further...

Surrey go 12/1 to all make the cut:

Izawa (4th last year),
Katayama (40th last year),
Maruyama (2 m/c & 2 made cuts in Masters but 4th last week)
Taniguchi (debutant but decent form this year inc. Japanese win & Nissan 5th)

Talked myself into a few quid on the edit.... better price anywhere else?

 

[Myron]

I added 3 more small plays to my current ones of Garcia, McCarron and Mediate.

1) Mickelson to win at 12-1 for 5 units (Bet365). Just a gut feeling. He may not win but he'll be there at the end as he is every year. I'll probably buy some shares on him at $9 at WSEX as well and sell hopefully for about $30 or so. If he wins at that point I still have my 5 unit bet at Bet365.

2) Mike Weir at 60-1 e/w at Oly for 2 units (60-1 to win, 15-1 to show). Another perenial choker in the late rounds but for some reason he does well in the big tournaments. I believe 3 of his wins are in $1 million tournaments.

3) Stuart Appleby to win at 175-1 for 1 unit at WSEX and 2 units to show at Oly at 35-1. Just a hunch but I think he's ready to pop.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes @ $plays
Toms -110over Weir
Calc +120 over Couples

RRC 1st read it to say shock to the head LOL
I'll have someone by 18th green on Friday and if he spits the bit will find out what real bone spur is when he beens down to retrieve ball

 

[Stanley]

Prop play:

Highest 18-hole score under 88.5 -110 @ Olympic [2 units]
There's no Doug Ford, Billy Casper or Gay Brewer this year. All were sent a letter from club chairman, Hootie Johnson, in February asking them not to exercise their right as former winners and play this week. Not a very dignified way to address former winners, but it does mean that there are basically only three players that could shoot this number: Arnold Palmer, Tommy Aaron and Charles Coody. Palmer has only once scored worse than this number - 89 in 1997. Apart from a 3rd round 86 in 2000, Aaron's highest score has been 83 which he scored 1988. And Coody's highest score is 85 which he shot in 1998. Last year he scored a level-par 72 in the 2nd round. It is only the lengthening of the course that stops this being a 3-unit play.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays:

Stewart Cink to beat Mark Calcavecchia +100 @ Cascade
Opposing Calc this week. Has a decent record at Augusta, but his form this year has been awful since the Tour left Hawaii. His foot injury may be one reason for this and his recent electric shock treatment on his heel should benefit him in the long-run, but as he will be wearing special shoes or insoles this week, this looks to be a rather early return to walking such a hilly course. Cink disappointed last week, but he has had some solid performances this year and had three consecutive top-30 finishes before last year's missed cut.

Scott Hoch to beat Mark Calcavecchia -115 @ Intertops
Much better current form from Hoch - 9th at Bay Hill and 4th in the Players Championship - and respectable course form as well. He very rarely misses the cut here, finished in the top-10 twice in the mid-1990s and was the leader with three holes to play in the 1989 Masters. He eventually lost by two to Nick Faldo to earn the silent 'C' at the start of his name. Many pundits have suggested that his career would have been very different had he held on to beat Faldo, but this week another solid mid-table performance will suffice.

Rocco Mediate to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ BetandWin
Much has been made of Campbell's 2nd place finish in the Bay Hill Invitational and his 11th place finish in the Players Championship, but it must also be remembered that Mediate finished 3rd in both of those events. Cambo missed the cut last year and also in 1996 as an amateur; Mediate has played here five times and every time he made the weekend.

Sergio Garcia to beat Jose Maria Olazabal -110@ Surrey
Have had similar seasons with one win apiece, standing #1 and #2 in top-10 finishes and both in the top-5 in scoring average on the PGA Tour though Olazabal's resurgence is the more headline-grabbing. But Olazabal's scoring has been based around scrambling - he lies 2nd in that category whereas he was 54th last year - and while that is always important at Augusta, there is much more emphasis on good driving this week with the course changes. Garcia is ranked 3rd in total driving; Olazabal is 119th.

 

[Myron]

Stanley this is my biggest concern:

From Yahoo Weather:

>>Thursday: Mostly cloudy skies. High near 76F. Winds NE 10 to 15 mph.<<

No doubt there will be some player that won't know how to handle a bit of wind and distance and may very well shoot a 90.

Also Arnold Palmer will be there.

 

[Anders]

Little help please fellas

May break open the TAb a/c for the Masters, so can anyone let me know which books have a better price on these (if so, i'm going elsewhere)...

Campbo to miss cut +125 (like this a lot, tiki and all )
Perks to miss cut -155

Also, Norman to make cut -110 appeals a lot..

Cheers

btw, here's Turtle's "To Make Cut" plays..

Stricker +100
Sluman -113
Di Marco -142
Couples -111
Lehman -142

 

[Stanley]

Yes, Palmer is my biggest concern, but I still don't think he'll shoot 89. The wind is much more a factor for the younger players who hit the ball higher and the other two will be out in the first group when the wind is forecast to be 5-6mph according to weather.com. Rain forecast for tomorrow, so it should make the greens a little less fiery for the first two days and so there should be less four and five-putts greens ... apart from with Mickelson

 

[Stanley]

Prop plays:

Greg Norman to miss the cut +110 @ Olympic or Stan James
Has made the cut in just two of four starts this season and two of the last five Masters since losing the 1996 title to Faldo. Not long enough any more for this course and has lost his putting touch which is even more important around Augusta. While not in the official Tour stats, he would have ranked 141st in driving distance and 163rd in putting average last year.

Lee Westwood to miss the cut +120 @ Stan James [2 units]
In very poor form, though he has shown brief glimpses of his former game, like Norman it is in his driving and putting that he will miss the cut this week. In 2000 he was ranked 9th in total driving and 1st in total putting on the European Tour; in 2001 he was ranked 105th in total driving and 28th in total putting. Should struggle with a late Thursday tee-time, his confidence is too fragile to overcome a poor 1st round when he has to putt on spike-marked greens.

Ian Woosnam to miss the cut +115 @ BetInternet
Like Norman, Woosie is now too old and short off the tee to compete this week. He currently ranks 151st in driving distance on the European Tour. Last year he missed his first cut at Augusta since his debut year and without any warm-up events on the PGA Tour before this week, this should be a short week's work.

Brad Faxon to have a lower average putts per round than Nick Price -110 @ UK Betting [2 units]
Arguably the Tour's best putter against one who struggles on the green. Have to be careful about these props, but expect Price to hit far more greens in regulation anyway. Surprisingly not much difference between them in the Tour stats, but in the one common event this year, the Players Championship, Faxon did average 1.5 putts less per round than Price.

 

[bettingmad]

It's the silly season.... the No.1 golf rule in tatters.... ripped up by the very people who wrote it! Seasoned cappers putting up Davis 'there's something wrong in his head' Love.... on the back of 2 missed cuts and a Masters missed cut.....don't worry lads... I'll get you off after with a plea of temporary insanity....

For now I'll join in the reckless frivolity and disregard for hard earned cash by frittering away a couple of quid on one of my own no brainers.

Taken 200/1 at Surrey on Steve "I promised a lot but didn't deliver" Stricker. Two top 20's this year (Doral & Players) and 14th & 19th in his last 2 Masters. If only he could rekindle the form of his USPGA 2nd to Vijay or the dizzy heights of a World Matchplay win.

 

[bettingmad]

Good one in the Racing Post today.... they must have seen the film 'Face Off' where Cage & Travolta swap faces..... they think it has happened to K Sutherland & S McCarron!!

Never mind at least Chappers has tipped the winner JM Olazabal.

 

[Stanley]

Bettingmad, I agree, it is the silly season ... no Ladies golf for a week and no Seniors for two weeks ... I'll think we'll get that temporary insanity verdict :brows:

It is worrying when you think that DTB has a good play on your outright pick to miss the cut

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Stan Its a wierd week as I don't know which I like best best the odds outright or miss the cut.Have feeling this may be punters nightmare.The forcast is changing daily and now calling for possible rain each day.
http://weather.yahoo.com/forecast/USGA0032_f.html
Conditions and within 10 shots of lead rule could cause havoc with cut line.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Local paper forcasts is completely different from weather channel
http://www.augustachronicle.com/weather/
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
notes from Orando Sentinal (thought Hoch excuse was funny)
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/spor...002apr10.story?coll=orl-sports-headlines-golf

Where do they get these stats?
Putting Ave Woods 138 Daly13th
Scrambling Mick 92nd
Longest Drive Spike 3rd 383 yards.From the horses mouth.
"I have never hit driver wedge that far"

 

[Monarch]

I've been keeping an eye on the weather each day and the forecast is going from bad to worse. With regular chances of thunderstorms throughout, they could still be playing this time next week. Lets hope it's no more than a few showers each day.