Master's

DOGS THAT BARK

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Will play one outright prior to cut @)Oy 1/2 unit to place
Cabrera 15/1
Don't believe his 10th last year was any fluke and don't see his odds getting any longer.Dispite being graded on 2 appearances here which includes a cut he ranks in top 10 scoring ave of this field on this course.
Ranks on tour. 8th Driving distance-21st putting ave-14th scrambling. Pretty good stats for this track which could play real long if rain developes.

Also like Clives take on longshot Mediate and will see what deveopes on him later.
 

Stanley

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Prop plays:

Have had more time to research the UK Betting stat props and have some more to add. With the driving distance props, this year's driving stats are more important than past years at Augusta because of the changes in technology, whereas previous experience at Augusta is more important for the putting stats than current years because of the nature of the greens. A five-year history is looked at for the putting stats rather than three years. Rather than looking at the PGA Tour stats which are a yearly average and can be quite volatile at this early stage of the year, I have looked at stats in common events where both players have made the cut (I do not have the stats for players who missed the cut in each event). This way I can compare players playing in similar conditions regarding the weather and the course.

All plays are combined with one prop in particular:

Tiger Woods to have a longer average driving distance than David Duval -200
Three common events this year and Woods is 3-0: 19 yards longer at the Mercedes; 3 yards longer at the Bay Hill Invitational; and 9 yards longer at the Players Championship. In the last three years at Augusta, Tiger is also 3-0: 15 yards longer in 2001; 26 yards longer in 2000; and 14 yards longer in 1999.

This play is combined with the following with the combined odds displayed:

Fred Couples to have a longer average driving distance than Stuart Appleby +159
Two common events this year and Couples is 2-0: 2 yards longer at the Sony Open and 9 yards longer at the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic. In the last three years, Couples is 1-0: 10 yards longer in 2001.

Scott McCarron to have a longer average driving distance than Vijay Singh +175 [2 units]
Five common events this year and McCarron is 4-1: 4 yards longer at the Phoenix Open; 6 yards longer at the AT&T Pebble Beach; 17 yards longer at the Nissan Open; 1 yard longer at the Bay Hill Invitational; and 6 yards shorter at the BellSouth Classic. In the last three years at Augusta, McCarron is 1-0; 6 yards longer in 1999.

Jerry Kelly to have a longer average driving distance than Scott Hoch +175
Four common events this year and Kelly is 4-0: 11 yards longer at the Sony Open; 1 yard longer at the Nissan Open; 0.1 yards longer at the Bay Hill Invitational; and 6 yards longer at the Players Championship. Kelly is making his Masters debut this week.

David Duval to have a lower average putts per round than Vijay Singh +186
Two common events this year and they are 1-1: Duval had 5 putts less at the Bay Hill Invitational; Singh had 20 putts less at the Honda Classic. In the last five years at Augusta, Duval is 2-0-1: the same number of putts in 2001; 6 putts less in 2000 and 14 putts less in 1999.

Jesper Parnevik to have a lower average putts per round than Lee Janzen +186 [2 units]
Three common events this year and Parnevik is 2-1: 5 putts less at the AT&T Pebble Beach; 7 putts more at the Buick Invitational; and 8 putts less at the Genuity Championship. In the last five years at Augusta, Parnevik is 3-0: 2 putts less in 2001; 2 putts less in 1998; 12 putts less in 1997.

Bernhard Langer to have a lower average putts per round than Justin Leonard +186 [2 units]
Two common events this year and Langer is 2-0: 10 putts less at the Bay Hill Invitational; and 3 putts less at the Players Championship. In the last five years at Augusta, Langer is 3-1-1: 1 putt less in 2001; 3 putts more in 2000; 5 putts less in 1999; the same number of putts in 1998; and 2 putts less in 1997.

All plays are at UK Betting.

BTW, you have to use the messaging facility and email the doubles with Woods and the putting props as their software won't allow combination bets across different pages.
 
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bettingmad

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If the weather is going to play a large part perhaps we should have a saver on Stanley's selections... after all, he has all the luck in the world when weather intervenes (Petterson v poor Miguel.... I've not got over that one yet.. but they say time is an healer!)
 

hoss

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Have any of you guys heard anything about Woosnam - rumoured that he's not been practicing 'cos of a back injury?!

I've played his finishing position on the spreads, but would get more involved if more concrete evidence was available.

The Betinternet price for him to miss cut is now -105 (or was that due to Stanley;) ), by the way their margins are a disgrace!!:mad:

TIA
Hoss
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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A dandy there Stan:D
Bigger descrepency in Masters due to Tiger drawing at will and Duval playing strickly fade.Most fades are into slopes here and rain should compound effect.
 

Stanley

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But the week before it was the weather that deprived Tewell the chance to beat Eichelberger ... how can you cancel the final round when the last group out is already halfway round :nono:

I'm not over that one yet ;)
 

shanker

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driving distance stats

driving distance stats

Stan

bit concerned over the measurement of these stats

have noticed that the pga tour is just publishing the average drive distance based on 2 drives per round (obviously the 2 used for distance measures)

so how do you get a validation on these props?

ravi
 

Stanley

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The Masters is just like any other PGA Tour event in that the driving distance stats are collected on just two holes per round. They are chosen so that they are in opposing direction to counteract the effect of wind and on holes on which the players will use drivers, else the stats are meaningless if players are just using 1-irons off the tee because of the tightness of the fairways, strategic placing of bunkers, etc.

I'm confident that over eight drives in the week, Woods will consistently outdrive Duval by 10-15 yards and the rest stand a fair chance as well.

The props will be decided on the stats provided by the PGA Tour for this event, not on every drive hit by the players measured by a Masters official.
 

Svengali

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Betandwin have a weird one on nationality of winner. South Africa and Zimbabwe comes in at 10-1 which is incidentally the same odds as they have for Els on his tod! So you get the Goose, Price and Sabbatini (for what he's worth!) thrown in for free!
 

bettingmad

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Stanley,
Yes but the rest (no full 3rd round behind Eichelberger) obviously did Tewell good.... that could be why he managed a win for us the week after.... perhaps it's a new trend and we need to get on Martin & Owen next time out.
 

Ian

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Don't normally like betting on 3 balls except where I can eliminate a player - I think Bubba is one such leaving me with Izawa and Woods - with the premise that anything can happen over 18 holes I think the 7/2 on offer for Toshi is very good value (prepare for a Bubba win!)
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays:

Scott Hoch to beat Mark Calcavecchia +100 @ Sports.com
Adding another unit now that I've read that Hoch has had his eyesight restored and is now holding the right end of the putter! He first had Lasix surgery performed about 18 months ago, but when he went back to the eye doctor after blowing the TPC, he learned that his eyesight had deteriorated to 20-50 vision. He had another round of surgery eight days ago. Taking the better odds now available at Sports.com though a tie will be a lost wager.

Charles Howell to beat Adam Scott -110 @ Surrey
Butch Harmon admitted that Scott was 'really excited' about playing in the Players Championship and the Masters this year and he later also admitted that the occasion got too much for him at Sawgrass. Expect the same to happen this week at Augusta and will be surprised if he makes the cut. Howell's game has rather cooled since the beginning of March, but he grew up in Augusta and was a member of Augusta Country Club, which is adjacent to Amen Corner. A return to his birthplace should bring out a stronger performance from this future Masters champion.

Nick Price to beat Colin Montgomerie -110 @ UK Betting
Price is 5-1 over Monty in the last six Masters and that was when Monty was at his prime and he could contend on American soil. Now his temperament gets the better of him and beyond his 17th place finish last week, his best finish in his last 10 PGA Tour starts has been 39th in the 2000 PGA Championship. Price played in three PGA Tour events in March and finished 5th, 9th and 14th.
 

Cartman88

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I have been fairly unorganised leading up to this years Masters so unfortunately I haven't taken advantage of some of those juicy early odds available on certain players.

My outright plays for this week are:

Phil Mickelson each way 14-1
David Duval each way 20-1
Davis Love each way 66-1
Jim Furyk each way 80-1


I am reluctant to leave Tiger Woods out as to state the obvious he will be very hard to beat. He lives & breathes to play majors knowing that at the end of his career he will basically be judged on how many majors he has won. There remains some debate about just how much Augusta suits his game but IMO it is ideal for him. If he was paying 4-1 there would be some value but at 3-1 he is a bit short to include considering how many genuine winning chances there are.
 

Monarch

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To Make Cut:
Cabrera 1.55
Clarke 1.36
Duval 1.22
Els 1.12
Garcia 1.16
Harrington 1.50
Leonard 1.60
McCarron 1.30
Mediate 1.44
Mickelson 1.12
Olazabal 1.17
Woods 1.05 = 20.65

2 Unit Accumulator @ Centrebet.

Outright:
Duval 22/1 @ Spodds
Els 14/1 @ Heathorns both 1 Unit ew.

72 Hole Matchups:
Maruyama v Verplank 1.90 @ Hills 1.5 units.

Props:
Couples longer ave drives than Appelby 8/11
Kelly longer ave drives than Hoch 5/6 @ 1 unit double at UK

Just an accumulation of my bets over the week. Cheers for highlighting those props at UK Stanley. Everyone seems to have quite a lot of action this week so best of luck to all.
 

Cartman88

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My matchups for this week are:

Hoch +100 vs Azinger @ Canbet
Perry -111 vs Maruyama @ Canbet
Toms +135 vs Goosen @ Canbet
Furyk -111 vs Campbell @ DAS
Allenby -113 vs Campbell @ Centrebet
Mediate -115 vs Price @ Carib
Bjorn +100 vs Montgomerie @ Carib


One of the plays I most keen on this year is the Top Australasian group which features the following six players:

Robert Allenby
Michael Campbell
Adam Scott
Greg Norman
Stuart Appleby
Craig Perks

I think there is plenty of value with:

Adam Scott $5.00 @ Centrebet (2 units)
Stuart Appleby $7.00 @ Centrebet (2 units)
 

Cartman88

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Also adding the following "cut" bets:

Ian Woosnam to MISS the cut +100
John Daly to MISS the cut +160
Scott Verplank to MAKE the cut -155
Frank Lickliter to MAKE the cut +120


Good luck to everyone with their bets.

Should be a great event.

:)
 

turtle

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DTB, sorry I didnt respond earlier but I have been away for a few days, I see my old mate Anders posted my miss cut bets. I also have a couple of match ups taken earlier in the week.
McCarron to beat Toms
Di marco to beat Furyk
Faxon to beat Parnevik
Langer to beat Sabbatini
These were all at -110.
Wayne I hope that Tiki does the trick for ya
GL
Len
 
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lostinamerica

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:eek: Just a Masters debutant when it comes to all this action. These look best to me on my card.

72 Hole Matchups @ 1*:
Olazabal(+105) over Els @ Olympic
Perry(-115) over Montgomerie @ Bet365
Price(-110) over Azinger @ Olympic
Couples(+100) over Leonard @ 5dimes

1st Round 3 Balls @ 1*:
McCarron(13/8) over Goosen/Montgomerie @ Bet365

Propositions @ 0.30*:
McCarron(50/1) 1st round low score @ 5dimes
Parnevik(50/1) 1st round low score @ 5dimes
Howell(10/3) Top Debutant @ 5dimes

Propositions @ 2*:
Woods(-110) finishing position under 4.5 @Olympic

Outrights to Win @0.40*:
Woods(3/1)
Duval(20/1)
Mickelson(14/1)
Olazabal(40/1)

Chump change to Win @ 5dimes:
Price(100/1); McCarron(75/1); Goosen(30/1); Couples(85/1); Love(66/1); Daly(66/1)

I REALLY wanted a proposition or some matchups on which holes would play the most difficult in relation to par.

It's springtime again at Augusta.

GL
 

yak merchant

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Looking to get a bet down against Lehman and his case of the yips. Any advice from the golf gurus. Like Di Marco -125 and maybe Lawrie/Perks at -145 at 5dimes.
 

yak merchant

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Also Tiger -215 to beat Izawa and Dickerson? Izawa doesn't look to be the greatest putter by his stats, and who the hell is Bubba Dickerson?
 
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