#cruncher,
Yeah, there are easier ways to do it, and I keep telling myself to simplify things, but I'm a creature of habit.
I like to spend the morning sitting outside by the pool, surrounded by spiral notebooks, six different color pens, my PC, cell phone, and a cup of Yogi green tea; updating stats and running the day's games through various scenarios looking for an edge. Simple, and it works for me.
Good luck with E Wash this weekend, I like that spot and that #, will ride it with you.
Recap: 4-1, +$425
What a difference one game can make when playing money lines.
I'm sitting at 3-1, +$270, with SD still playing.
They lose and I'm still okay, +$170, a good day by any standards.
But, a W and I'm up +$425, a swing of $255.
SD blew a 2-0 lead in the bottom of the 7th, and tied 2-2, bottom 8, they're in a jam - LA has men on 2nd and 3rd, no outs. But Roberts does the right thing, he yanks Crismatt and brings in Hill, who gets Muncy to ground out, runners can't advance. He intentionally walks Pollock (who homered in his last at-bat) and gets Neuse to hit into a double play. And I'm three outs from the $.
Bottom 9, Melancon comes in and he's all business, striking out the side on just 13 pitches.
And I bank +$425
Record: 15-13, +$513
Updated charts:
BP: 1-2, -$150
GP: 14-11, +457
WF: 39-32, +2,426
GT1: 7-12, -$655
GT2: 0-1, -$110
Got to love those WF spots. Favs WILL make a comeback. But - when?
Today . . .
GT: Tor/TB Ov 7, Az/Atl Ov 8'
WF: Mil, Balt, Wash, Sea, Pit
GP: Cle
Yes, I said I would ride all WF's and fade all GT's until Sunday, but I WILL NOT BET ON BALTIMORE.
If anything, I'll fade those fucks.
And with a nice profit built up after being down $225 just two days ago, I'm going to play a little more selectively. Worst case scenario, I miss out on banking a few units; best case, I'm right about choosing spots and Favs coming back, and I save some units.
Let's look at GT's.
TB is 1-1 in this spot; Tor 0-0.
Atl is 0-2, BUT . . . Az is 2-0.
GT Ov's are 4-9, which means Az has accounted for HALF of the W's, and combined with TB, three of the four W's. Odds say this is a split at best, which means I lose juice. I'll play the odds here - no buys.
As for the WF's, I'm doing well with them so I'll buy the early spot, a play AGAINST the Cubs as much as a play ON Milw.
And, since I'm playing with house $, I'll take the biggest WF on the board with Washington, I don't care who's pitching.
Pit is 4-3 as WF plays, and Minn sucks so I'll buy that one.
And, after last night's W, Sea is 6-2 in this spot, so I'll ride with them, too
Buys:
Mil +152 (Correction +140)
Wash +260
Sea +125
Pit +145