NBA FRI 040309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[BillyBatts]

Hell NO!!! I hate my instinct and find it profitable to fade my instinct. If I like a game right away, that means I should do research and find reasons to take the other side. I'm not kidding about this.

I'm sure for Ax and many others, your instincts are better, but for me, my initial lean is wack.

2 days ago my monring leans were 4-2, i changed one of my leans (wont say the play to protect the homers) and ended up 1-3. :violin: I learned my lesson. If I change a lean, it's at best a no play.

 

[joe_shmoe]

Im gonna go ahead and lock the Mavs under in as well. I really liked Golden St as a big play, but it has jumped from 3.5 to 5. Is this due to Ellis's status? I see he has been upgraded to probable. Any inout?

I think the line is moving b/c Jackson is out. But I like GS as well.

 

[BillyBatts]

I think the line is moving b/c Jackson is out. But I like GS as well.

Thank you. :toast:

 

[easterntimezone]

Point: there's something wrong with this team and there in a tough spot tonight. I think they will either destroy Minny or probably get beat by a nothing to loose Minny team.

So, that's my .02 worth - however this plays into capping this game situationally - side or O/U I don't know - but this Utah team has to be feeling really lousy about LN game.

Jazz susceptible to backdoor cover this season; although they've occasionally been dominant, they haven't always run teams out of the building and when they do, there's a corollary to it: Hornets (after an emotional win versus Lakers night before, went to Salt Lake City w/ nothing left in the tank and got blown out).

Utah does not play fierce lockdown defense - all of their hard cuts/etc. are executed to feed their offense; Deron Williams is an OFFENSIVE point guard and isn't a standout defender by any means.

They've been known to come out lackluster and although potentially dangerous, are not the immovable powerhouse in waiting some pundits (Mark Jackson, for instance) would have you believe.

 

[CoFred]

Mavs game just went OTB at Bodog....Any ideas why?

 

[easterntimezone]

I think the line is moving b/c Jackson is out. But I like GS as well.

Mercurial Warriors have a tendency to get up for marquee teams - Chris Paul's presence likely qualifies - can see Golden State trying to jump on the Hornets and attempt to pull away early.

 

[ImNext1000]

i saw the entire UTAH game last night, they dont play D, denver had no problems driving to the basket, i think utah will win but not by 13.5 points, maybe by 7-9, its a home game,and i think they get the W, that team on the road is terrible, lets go, min +13 and im buying some points for my parlay

 

[cubboy]

ax

ax

im sorry guys , i know this is baskets but i have a ? whats the weather like in ny .do you think they will get this cubs/yanks game in.just asking cause i wanna put a small play on my cubbies

 

[Ools]

Jazz susceptible to backdoor cover this season; although they've occasionally been dominant, they haven't always run teams out of the building and when they do, there's a corollary to it: Hornets (after an emotional win versus Lakers night before, went to Salt Lake City w/ nothing left in the tank and got blown out).

Utah does not play fierce lockdown defense - all of their hard cuts/etc. are executed to feed their offense; Deron Williams is an OFFENSIVE point guard and isn't a standout defender by any means.

They've been known to come out lackluster and although potentially dangerous, are not the immovable powerhouse in waiting some pundits (Mark Jackson, for instance) would have you believe.

confirmed!
Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.

 

[axp59]

im sorry guys , i know this is baskets but i have a ? whats the weather like in ny .do you think they will get this cubs/yanks game in.just asking cause i wanna put a small play on my cubbies

thundershowers in the Bronx tonight

 

[cubboy]

thanks

 

[Supaman33]

Cubs,
Going to the games so I hope it stops. On and off rain all day long. Supposed to storm from 5-6, then clear up a bit. Problem is I am not sure they try and play it. I sure hope they do as I am itching for the season to start.

 

[Supaman33]

Scratch that now there are supposed to be lingering showers but it looks to be clearing up outside as I can see the sun for the first time all day. I have my fingers crossed, very windy out though if u want to factor that in.

 

[bostonsbetter]

Yeah, I had to lock it in. Going to continue my bday celebration tonight at Hooters and can't wait around for this to move up a hook. Money is close on both sides of 196 but U was +105.

BOL Cor

AX U GOIN TO SAUGUS!?!?

WE'RE CLOSER THAN I WOULD HAVE IMAGINED...

Maybe i'll see ya! (not that i'll kno it) I was thinking about going there to watch the C's. I'll be the one w the Ray Allen shirt on in a drunken stumble when the c's make the hawks look like the horrible horrible road team they are...:00hour

 

[clkclass]

lol

 

[Eagle123]

Matchbook +105 for DAL/MEM U196

I'm not waiting for the hook to pay -110

hi Ax,

Just back home from drink. lost badly this week.

So is DAL/MEM U196 the play and only one today
?

 

[joe_shmoe]

hi Ax,

Just back home from drink. lost badly this week.

So is DAL/MEM U196 the play and only one today
?

Yes.

 

[Slicer]

Assistant Phil Johnson will coach the Jazz for this contest in Sloan's absence.

ESPN-Preview Jazz/Twolves

 

[mpnyc76]

thundershowers in the Bronx tonight

it is clearing up as we speak

 

[Supaman33]

It is beautiful right outside right now... a little humid, but perfect baseball weather. Let's hope it holds. Sorry if I am getting off topic.

Back to basketball.