NFL 2023-2024 Best Bets-OPINIONS-NEWS !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
Pending Picks
| Date | League | Game | Score | Status | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | NFL | Denver Kansas City | - - | 08:15 PM | Over 47.0 |
Completed Picks
| Date | League | Game | Score | Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | NFL | Denver Kansas City | 8 19 | Over 47.0 | Loss |
NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%...................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5.................................58.33%...................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%....................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1..................................50.00%...................................- 00.50
10/01/2023..............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%...................................+ 00.00
TOTALS....................................21 - 20 - 1............................51.21%..................................- 5.00
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%...................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5.................................58.33%...................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%....................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1..................................50.00%...................................- 00.50
10/01/2023..............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%...................................+ 00.00
TOTALS....................................21 - 20 - 1............................51.21%..................................- 5.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
All-time strikeout leaders:
5,714— Nolan Ryan
4,875— Randy Johnson
4,672— Roger Clemens
4,136— Steve Carlton
3,701— Bert Blyleven
3,640— Tom Seaver
Quote of the Day
“There’s a lot of great things happening here. We will own the things that need to get better. People need to make sure they’re seeing the other side of it as well. That’s what we have been trying to say for a long time. … we are venting a little bit of frustration with that to be completely honest. I like the job we are doing there. I think we are set up to play really well in the second half of the season.”
USC coach Lincoln Riley
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; which NFL quarterback was his teammate in high school?
Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid led the NBA in scoring last season, with 33.1 points/game.
Wednesday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Patrick Mahomes/Jared Goff have fathers who played major league baseball.
**********************************************
Four years and two more procedures later, my eye is just fine, thanks to Dr Lemanski, who did two cataract procedures on that eye.
Just wanted to thank those two great doctors for fixing my eye; it is appreciated.
— Chiefs 19, Broncos 8
Chiefs have now won their last 16 games against Denver.
Chiefs won last five games overall, by 8-31-3-7-11 points (4-1 ATS).
Chiefs have outscored opponents 101-28 in first half.
Butker’s 52-yard FG with 2:00 left covered the spread.
Broncos are 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS this season.
Chiefs outgained Denver, 389-197
In their only win this year, Denver trailed 28-7 late in third quarter.
Denver is 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 AFC West road games.
— Houston 41, West Virginia 39
Houston led 35-24 with 4:00 left in game.
West Virginia threw a 50-yard TD pass with 0:12 left to go up 39-35.
Houston connected on a 49-yard Hail Mary on the last play for the win.
WVU was 13-19 on third down, Houston was 3-9.
— SMU 31, East Carolina 10
SMU led 14-0 after the first quarter.
Mustangs broke game open with 34-yard pick-6 in 4th quarter.
ECU completed only 18-39 passes, averaged 4.9 yards/attempt.
— Phillies 3, Braves 1
Nick Castellanos is first player ever with multiple HR’s in consecutive playoff games.
Ranger Suarez allowed three baserunners in 5 IP.
Five Philly relievers got the last 12 outs.
Phillies-Diamondbacks is an unlikely NLCS.
— Last week we shredded Miami coach Mario Cristobal for not having his team take a knee in the last minute, with his team safely ahead and Georgia Tech out of timeouts. Miami fumbled and Tech won the game, which was coaching malpractice, but we found another example of this, maybe a worse one.
September 11, 1999, UNLV is at Baylor; same situation, Baylor is safely ahead, they have the ball on UNLV’s 10-yard line or so, Rebels are out of timeouts, but Baylor runs a play, trying to score another TD, but the kid fumbles and a UNLV defensive back runs the ball back for a TD that won the game, and extended Baylor’s losing streak to seven games.
The reason I bring this up is that Baylor’s coach that night was Kevin Steele, who is now the defensive coordinator at Alabama. This was Steele’s first home game coaching Baylor, and it wound up being a disaster— he went 9-36 with the Bears, 1-31 in Big 12 games.
— Only one college basketball team has been in the Elite 8 the last two NCAA Tournaments; the Miami Hurricanes.
— Word of the Day: Alliance— An alliance is a relationship among people, groups, or states that have joined together for mutual benefit or to achieve some common purpose.
— Kansas Jayhawks are 3-point favorites at Oklahoma State Saturday; it is only the second time in the last 11 seasons that Kansas is a road favorite. Earlier this year, Jayhawks were favored at Nevada; they won 31-24, but didn’t cover the 28-point spread.
— With the Orioles getting swept by Texas, AL East teams went 0-7 in the playoffs this year.
— Dallas Mavericks played couple of exhibitions in Abu Dhabi, then played a game in Spain on the way home— they have only one exhibition game in this country, next week against Detroit.
Not sure how all that travel gets you ready for the regular season, but Mark Cuban is way smarter than I am, so we’ll see how it goes. Dallas opens the season October 25, against the San Antonio Spurs.
— Was surprised to see that Saint Mary’s is the coaches’ choice to win the WCC basketball title this winter, with perennial champ Gonzaga the #2 pick. Don’t think that clipping won’t wind up on a bulletin board in Spokane.
— There is a pro basketball team from Israel, Maccabi Ra’Anana, that is playing three games against NBA teams in the coming week; they lost 135-103 to the Brooklyn Nets Thursday night.
Imagine what the security must be like at those games, given the events of the past week? We just hope things go smoothly and that everyone gets home safely.
— NBA All-Star Game is in Indiana this year; they should honor the old ABA and play the game with a red, white and blue basketball, the one they used in the ABA, where the Pacers played.
NBA absorbed four ABA teams into the league in 1976; Pacers, Nets, Spurs, Nuggets. The ABA was an outstanding league, lot of fun to watch. Would be great if the NBA acknowledged that.
All-time strikeout leaders:
5,714— Nolan Ryan
4,875— Randy Johnson
4,672— Roger Clemens
4,136— Steve Carlton
3,701— Bert Blyleven
3,640— Tom Seaver
Quote of the Day
“There’s a lot of great things happening here. We will own the things that need to get better. People need to make sure they’re seeing the other side of it as well. That’s what we have been trying to say for a long time. … we are venting a little bit of frustration with that to be completely honest. I like the job we are doing there. I think we are set up to play really well in the second half of the season.”
USC coach Lincoln Riley
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; which NFL quarterback was his teammate in high school?
Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid led the NBA in scoring last season, with 33.1 points/game.
Wednesday’s quiz
NFL QB’s Patrick Mahomes/Jared Goff have fathers who played major league baseball.
**********************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….
— Four years ago this week, the retina in my right eye detached while I was in Las Vegas; not good. 10 days later, Dr Mallick fixed my eye here in Albany, and for that I thank him.Four years and two more procedures later, my eye is just fine, thanks to Dr Lemanski, who did two cataract procedures on that eye.
Just wanted to thank those two great doctors for fixing my eye; it is appreciated.
— Chiefs 19, Broncos 8
Chiefs have now won their last 16 games against Denver.
Chiefs won last five games overall, by 8-31-3-7-11 points (4-1 ATS).
Chiefs have outscored opponents 101-28 in first half.
Butker’s 52-yard FG with 2:00 left covered the spread.
Broncos are 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS this season.
Chiefs outgained Denver, 389-197
In their only win this year, Denver trailed 28-7 late in third quarter.
Denver is 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 AFC West road games.
— Houston 41, West Virginia 39
Houston led 35-24 with 4:00 left in game.
West Virginia threw a 50-yard TD pass with 0:12 left to go up 39-35.
Houston connected on a 49-yard Hail Mary on the last play for the win.
WVU was 13-19 on third down, Houston was 3-9.
— SMU 31, East Carolina 10
SMU led 14-0 after the first quarter.
Mustangs broke game open with 34-yard pick-6 in 4th quarter.
ECU completed only 18-39 passes, averaged 4.9 yards/attempt.
— Phillies 3, Braves 1
Nick Castellanos is first player ever with multiple HR’s in consecutive playoff games.
Ranger Suarez allowed three baserunners in 5 IP.
Five Philly relievers got the last 12 outs.
Phillies-Diamondbacks is an unlikely NLCS.
— Last week we shredded Miami coach Mario Cristobal for not having his team take a knee in the last minute, with his team safely ahead and Georgia Tech out of timeouts. Miami fumbled and Tech won the game, which was coaching malpractice, but we found another example of this, maybe a worse one.
September 11, 1999, UNLV is at Baylor; same situation, Baylor is safely ahead, they have the ball on UNLV’s 10-yard line or so, Rebels are out of timeouts, but Baylor runs a play, trying to score another TD, but the kid fumbles and a UNLV defensive back runs the ball back for a TD that won the game, and extended Baylor’s losing streak to seven games.
The reason I bring this up is that Baylor’s coach that night was Kevin Steele, who is now the defensive coordinator at Alabama. This was Steele’s first home game coaching Baylor, and it wound up being a disaster— he went 9-36 with the Bears, 1-31 in Big 12 games.
— Only one college basketball team has been in the Elite 8 the last two NCAA Tournaments; the Miami Hurricanes.
— Word of the Day: Alliance— An alliance is a relationship among people, groups, or states that have joined together for mutual benefit or to achieve some common purpose.
— Kansas Jayhawks are 3-point favorites at Oklahoma State Saturday; it is only the second time in the last 11 seasons that Kansas is a road favorite. Earlier this year, Jayhawks were favored at Nevada; they won 31-24, but didn’t cover the 28-point spread.
— With the Orioles getting swept by Texas, AL East teams went 0-7 in the playoffs this year.
— Dallas Mavericks played couple of exhibitions in Abu Dhabi, then played a game in Spain on the way home— they have only one exhibition game in this country, next week against Detroit.
Not sure how all that travel gets you ready for the regular season, but Mark Cuban is way smarter than I am, so we’ll see how it goes. Dallas opens the season October 25, against the San Antonio Spurs.
— Was surprised to see that Saint Mary’s is the coaches’ choice to win the WCC basketball title this winter, with perennial champ Gonzaga the #2 pick. Don’t think that clipping won’t wind up on a bulletin board in Spokane.
— There is a pro basketball team from Israel, Maccabi Ra’Anana, that is playing three games against NBA teams in the coming week; they lost 135-103 to the Brooklyn Nets Thursday night.
Imagine what the security must be like at those games, given the events of the past week? We just hope things go smoothly and that everyone gets home safely.
— NBA All-Star Game is in Indiana this year; they should honor the old ABA and play the game with a red, white and blue basketball, the one they used in the ABA, where the Pacers played.
NBA absorbed four ABA teams into the league in 1976; Pacers, Nets, Spurs, Nuggets. The ABA was an outstanding league, lot of fun to watch. Would be great if the NBA acknowledged that.
Saturday’s 6-pack:
$$ wagered on sports in August, 2023:
$1.12B— New York
$725.8M— New Jersey
$431M— Nevada
$393M— Pennsylvania
$379.5M— Ohio
$319M— Virginia
Quote of the Day
“Yeah, listen. That’s a boneheaded mistake by me. They were calling one (a time-out) as well. I’m off a down. That was stupid.”
Broncos’ coach Sean Payton
Saturday’s quiz
Where did Deion Sanders play his college football?
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; Matthew Stafford was the quarterback on that team.
Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid led the NBA in scoring last season, with 33.1 points/game.
*******************************************
Memphis led 21-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Tulane is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Memphis ran ball 19 times for only 45 yards.
Under Fritz, Green Wave is 36-23-1 ATS in conference games.
Tulane’s nickname is Green Wave; why do they have light blue uniforms?
— QB’s Daniel Jones (Giants), Deshaun Watson (Browns) have already been declared out of their games this weekend. Jones has a neck injury, Watson has a bruised shoulder.
Tyrod Taylor will start at QB for the Giants, PJ Walker for Cleveland.
— Patriots are 0-10 ATS in their last ten games as an underdog, when Mac Jones was QB.
— Dallas Cowboys have had 26 second-half drives in their five games; they’ve scored only three touchdowns on those 26 drives. Cowboys have six first half TD’s on 20 drives.
— In the NHL, Vegas Golden Knights are 21-2-5 in their last 28 games against San Jose Sharks, 11-0-3 in their last fourteen visits to San Jose.
— Word of the Day: prodigy— a person, usually a young one, gifted with exceptional qualities or abilities.
— Baseball playoffs so far:
first round— no game 3’s
second round— no game 5’s
The big TV ratings come in those winner-take-all games; hasn’t been one of those yet. With two Texas teams and Arizona in this year’s Final Four, not sure the powers-that-be are going to like the TV ratings for this year’s playoffs.
It’ll still be real good baseball, that’s for sure, but lot of the marquis names have already been eliminated.
— Three starting pitchers are already out for 2024, after having arm surgery:
Sandy Alcantara, Marlins
Brandon Woodruff, Brewers
Kyle Wright, Braves
— I watched a few innings of the Arizona Fall League on MLB.tv Friday afternoon; there was a guy playing I’m interested in adding for my fantasy team, wanted to see him throw a couple innings.
Weird TV coverage: only one camera, with a high angle behind home plate. The announcer was actually pretty good. Found out what I needed to know, plus it is always fun to watch baseball.
— There is a pitcher in Japan, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is apparently going to be a free agent in the major leagues this winter: he’s won three straight Triple Crowns in Japan. He had a 1.21 ERA this past year, a 0.74 WHIP and won 16 games. He’s about to become really rich.
— Odds to win the World Series:
Astros +190
Phillies +200
Rangers +275
Diamondbacks +450
— Most touchdown plays of 30+ yards this season:
7— Dolphins
5— Vikings
4— Lions
3— Eagles, Colts, Steelers
— December 2 in Las Vegas, there is a good basketball doubleheader at the MGM Garden Arena: USC-Fresno State, Washington-Colorado State.
— Doing prep work for the coming college hoop season, turns out that Davidson has one thing that really works against them in the Transfer Portal era; Davidson doesn’t have a graduate school, so they can’t take graduate transfers. Therefore, they’re always going to be younger than most of their opponents.
Davidson recruits lot of foreign players; they have one very big thing in their favor, Davidson is where Steph Curry played his college ball.
$$ wagered on sports in August, 2023:
$1.12B— New York
$725.8M— New Jersey
$431M— Nevada
$393M— Pennsylvania
$379.5M— Ohio
$319M— Virginia
Quote of the Day
“Yeah, listen. That’s a boneheaded mistake by me. They were calling one (a time-out) as well. I’m off a down. That was stupid.”
Broncos’ coach Sean Payton
Saturday’s quiz
Where did Deion Sanders play his college football?
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; Matthew Stafford was the quarterback on that team.
Thursday’s quiz
Joel Embiid led the NBA in scoring last season, with 33.1 points/game.
*******************************************
Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a fall Friday…….
— Tulane 31, Memphis 21Memphis led 21-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
Tulane is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Memphis ran ball 19 times for only 45 yards.
Under Fritz, Green Wave is 36-23-1 ATS in conference games.
Tulane’s nickname is Green Wave; why do they have light blue uniforms?
— QB’s Daniel Jones (Giants), Deshaun Watson (Browns) have already been declared out of their games this weekend. Jones has a neck injury, Watson has a bruised shoulder.
Tyrod Taylor will start at QB for the Giants, PJ Walker for Cleveland.
— Patriots are 0-10 ATS in their last ten games as an underdog, when Mac Jones was QB.
— Dallas Cowboys have had 26 second-half drives in their five games; they’ve scored only three touchdowns on those 26 drives. Cowboys have six first half TD’s on 20 drives.
— In the NHL, Vegas Golden Knights are 21-2-5 in their last 28 games against San Jose Sharks, 11-0-3 in their last fourteen visits to San Jose.
— Word of the Day: prodigy— a person, usually a young one, gifted with exceptional qualities or abilities.
— Baseball playoffs so far:
first round— no game 3’s
second round— no game 5’s
The big TV ratings come in those winner-take-all games; hasn’t been one of those yet. With two Texas teams and Arizona in this year’s Final Four, not sure the powers-that-be are going to like the TV ratings for this year’s playoffs.
It’ll still be real good baseball, that’s for sure, but lot of the marquis names have already been eliminated.
— Three starting pitchers are already out for 2024, after having arm surgery:
Sandy Alcantara, Marlins
Brandon Woodruff, Brewers
Kyle Wright, Braves
— I watched a few innings of the Arizona Fall League on MLB.tv Friday afternoon; there was a guy playing I’m interested in adding for my fantasy team, wanted to see him throw a couple innings.
Weird TV coverage: only one camera, with a high angle behind home plate. The announcer was actually pretty good. Found out what I needed to know, plus it is always fun to watch baseball.
— There is a pitcher in Japan, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is apparently going to be a free agent in the major leagues this winter: he’s won three straight Triple Crowns in Japan. He had a 1.21 ERA this past year, a 0.74 WHIP and won 16 games. He’s about to become really rich.
— Odds to win the World Series:
Astros +190
Phillies +200
Rangers +275
Diamondbacks +450
— Most touchdown plays of 30+ yards this season:
7— Dolphins
5— Vikings
4— Lions
3— Eagles, Colts, Steelers
— December 2 in Las Vegas, there is a good basketball doubleheader at the MGM Garden Arena: USC-Fresno State, Washington-Colorado State.
— Doing prep work for the coming college hoop season, turns out that Davidson has one thing that really works against them in the Transfer Portal era; Davidson doesn’t have a graduate school, so they can’t take graduate transfers. Therefore, they’re always going to be younger than most of their opponents.
Davidson recruits lot of foreign players; they have one very big thing in their favor, Davidson is where Steph Curry played his college ball.
Sunday’s 6-pack:
Baseball teams with most improved attendance this year:
+9,578 fans/game— Phillies
7,018— Orioles
6,440— Rangers
4,977— Mariners
4,607— Pirates
4,544— Blue Jays
Quote of the Day
“I think this game is 100% on me.”
Oregon coach Dan Lanning, after a last-second loss to Washington
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of which NFL team?
Saturday’s quiz
Deion Sanders played his college football at Florida State.
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; Matthew Stafford was the quarterback on that team.
*************************************
Lot of football coaches have become reckless with 4th down gambles; Oregon led this game 33-29 with 2:11 left. They had 4th-and-3 at the Washington 47. Instead of punting, pinning the Huskies deep in their own territory, they go for it on 4th down, don’t get the first down, and give Washington a short field.
Huskies then drive 53 yards in two plays and win the game. Oregon missed a 43-yard FG on last play that would’ve tied it up.
Washington led 29-18 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
Oregon converted 10-16 on third down, 0-3 on 4th down.
Ducks’ QB Nix was 33-44 passing, for 337 yards and 2 TD’s.
It kind of sucks that this is the last year for the Pac-12; it is such a good league this season.
— Iowa 15, Wisconsin 6
Total for this game was 33.5, the fifth-lowest total for any game since 1995:
31.5— Iowa-Minnesota, 2022
31.5— Iowa-Kentucky, 2022
32.5— Army-Navy, 2022
33— Arizona-Oregon State, 1995
33.5— Iowa-Wisconsin, 2023
Iowa was 6-14/37 yards passing for the whole game, and they won.
Wisconsin converted 2-17 third down plays.
Total yardage was 332-237, Wisconsin.
— North Carolina 41, Miami 31
Miami led 17-14 at halftime.
WR Walker caught six passes for 132 yards, 3 TD’s; he recovered an onside kick, too.
Tar Heels improve to 6-0, for first time since 1997.
— Arizona 44, Washington State 6
Wazzu was an 8-point favorite in this game.
Arizona was +3 in turnovers, outgained Coogs, 516-234.
Freshman QB Fifita was 34-43/342 passing for Arizona.
— Oklahoma State 39, Kansas 32
Jayhawks led 32-24 with 6:00 left in third quarter.
Oklahoma State kicked three FG’s, got a TD in last 20:26 of the game.
— Kansas State 38, Texas Tech 21— Freshman QB Johnson ran ball 12 times for 91 yards and 5 TD’s. He also completed 8 of 9 passes for 77 yards.
— Eastern Michigan 28, Kent State 14— Kent State started the game with an onside kick, which probably seemed like a good idea Tuesday night or Wednesday morning, whenever they decided to do it.
Saturday afternoon? Not so much; EMU ran the onside kick back 44 yards for a TD.
— Upsets of the Week:
Illinois (+12.5) 27, Maryland 24
Stanford (+11.5) 46, Colorado 43 OT
Iowa (+9) 15, Wisconsin 6
Arizona (+8) 44, Washington State 6
Pittsburgh (+7.5) 38, Louisville 21
Iowa State (+5) 30, Cincinnati 10
Coastal Carolina (+4.5) 27, Appalachian State 24
— Word of the Day: Quisling— a traitor who collaborates with the enemy.
— Stanford 46, Colorado 43— Colorado has split two overtime games this year; they won coin toss before both overtimes, but chose to take the ball first— virtually no one else does this. It is kind of like baseball; you want last up’s, to see what you need to do to win.
Stanford trailed this game 29-0 at halftime; they’re fourth team since 2005 to win after trailing by 28+ points at the half:
2006— Texas Tech 44, Minnesota 41 (trailed 35-7 at half)- bowl game
2015— TCU 47, Oregon 41 (trailed 32-0 at half)- bowl game
2017— UCLA 45, Texas A&M 44 (trailed 38-10 at half)
2023— Stanford 46, Colorado 43 (trailed 29-0 at half)
— Alabama 24, Arkansas 21
Alabama’s first three completions went for 146 yards.
Crimson Tide led 24-6 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Alabama outgained the Aggies, 415-250.
Alabama has been in the top 25 in the last 252 AP polls, second longest streak ever. Nebraska has the longest streak; they were in the top 25 for 347 consecutive polls, from 1981-2002.
— Florida 41, South Carolina 39
South Carolina led 37-27 with 5:00 left in game.
Gators drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:47 left.
— Rutgers 27, Michigan State 24
Spartans led 24-6 after three quarters.
Both teams had three turnovers, both were 4-12 on third down.
— Notre Dame 48, USC 20
USC QB Williams threw three INT’s in first half.
With score 31-20, Notre Dame ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a TD.
— UNLV 45, Nevada 27— Rebels are 5-1 for first time since 1984.
— Texas State 21, UL-Monroe 20
Bobcats threw a 22-yard TD pass with 0:41 left for the win.
UL-Monroe led 20-9 with 5:00 left in the game.
Baseball teams with most improved attendance this year:
+9,578 fans/game— Phillies
7,018— Orioles
6,440— Rangers
4,977— Mariners
4,607— Pirates
4,544— Blue Jays
Quote of the Day
“I think this game is 100% on me.”
Oregon coach Dan Lanning, after a last-second loss to Washington
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of which NFL team?
Saturday’s quiz
Deion Sanders played his college football at Florida State.
Friday’s quiz
Dodgers’ pitcher Clayton Kershaw was the center on his high school football team; Matthew Stafford was the quarterback on that team.
*************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday
— Washington 36, Oregon 33Lot of football coaches have become reckless with 4th down gambles; Oregon led this game 33-29 with 2:11 left. They had 4th-and-3 at the Washington 47. Instead of punting, pinning the Huskies deep in their own territory, they go for it on 4th down, don’t get the first down, and give Washington a short field.
Huskies then drive 53 yards in two plays and win the game. Oregon missed a 43-yard FG on last play that would’ve tied it up.
Washington led 29-18 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
Oregon converted 10-16 on third down, 0-3 on 4th down.
Ducks’ QB Nix was 33-44 passing, for 337 yards and 2 TD’s.
It kind of sucks that this is the last year for the Pac-12; it is such a good league this season.
— Iowa 15, Wisconsin 6
Total for this game was 33.5, the fifth-lowest total for any game since 1995:
31.5— Iowa-Minnesota, 2022
31.5— Iowa-Kentucky, 2022
32.5— Army-Navy, 2022
33— Arizona-Oregon State, 1995
33.5— Iowa-Wisconsin, 2023
Iowa was 6-14/37 yards passing for the whole game, and they won.
Wisconsin converted 2-17 third down plays.
Total yardage was 332-237, Wisconsin.
— North Carolina 41, Miami 31
Miami led 17-14 at halftime.
WR Walker caught six passes for 132 yards, 3 TD’s; he recovered an onside kick, too.
Tar Heels improve to 6-0, for first time since 1997.
— Arizona 44, Washington State 6
Wazzu was an 8-point favorite in this game.
Arizona was +3 in turnovers, outgained Coogs, 516-234.
Freshman QB Fifita was 34-43/342 passing for Arizona.
— Oklahoma State 39, Kansas 32
Jayhawks led 32-24 with 6:00 left in third quarter.
Oklahoma State kicked three FG’s, got a TD in last 20:26 of the game.
— Kansas State 38, Texas Tech 21— Freshman QB Johnson ran ball 12 times for 91 yards and 5 TD’s. He also completed 8 of 9 passes for 77 yards.
— Eastern Michigan 28, Kent State 14— Kent State started the game with an onside kick, which probably seemed like a good idea Tuesday night or Wednesday morning, whenever they decided to do it.
Saturday afternoon? Not so much; EMU ran the onside kick back 44 yards for a TD.
— Upsets of the Week:
Illinois (+12.5) 27, Maryland 24
Stanford (+11.5) 46, Colorado 43 OT
Iowa (+9) 15, Wisconsin 6
Arizona (+8) 44, Washington State 6
Pittsburgh (+7.5) 38, Louisville 21
Iowa State (+5) 30, Cincinnati 10
Coastal Carolina (+4.5) 27, Appalachian State 24
— Word of the Day: Quisling— a traitor who collaborates with the enemy.
— Stanford 46, Colorado 43— Colorado has split two overtime games this year; they won coin toss before both overtimes, but chose to take the ball first— virtually no one else does this. It is kind of like baseball; you want last up’s, to see what you need to do to win.
Stanford trailed this game 29-0 at halftime; they’re fourth team since 2005 to win after trailing by 28+ points at the half:
2006— Texas Tech 44, Minnesota 41 (trailed 35-7 at half)- bowl game
2015— TCU 47, Oregon 41 (trailed 32-0 at half)- bowl game
2017— UCLA 45, Texas A&M 44 (trailed 38-10 at half)
2023— Stanford 46, Colorado 43 (trailed 29-0 at half)
— Alabama 24, Arkansas 21
Alabama’s first three completions went for 146 yards.
Crimson Tide led 24-6 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Alabama outgained the Aggies, 415-250.
Alabama has been in the top 25 in the last 252 AP polls, second longest streak ever. Nebraska has the longest streak; they were in the top 25 for 347 consecutive polls, from 1981-2002.
— Florida 41, South Carolina 39
South Carolina led 37-27 with 5:00 left in game.
Gators drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:47 left.
— Rutgers 27, Michigan State 24
Spartans led 24-6 after three quarters.
Both teams had three turnovers, both were 4-12 on third down.
— Notre Dame 48, USC 20
USC QB Williams threw three INT’s in first half.
With score 31-20, Notre Dame ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a TD.
— UNLV 45, Nevada 27— Rebels are 5-1 for first time since 1984.
— Texas State 21, UL-Monroe 20
Bobcats threw a 22-yard TD pass with 0:41 left for the win.
UL-Monroe led 20-9 with 5:00 left in the game.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF at CLE | 01:00 PM | CLE +10.0 O 36.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIN at CHI | 01:00 PM | MIN -3.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| WAS at ATL | 01:00 PM | ATL -1.0 U 41.5 | +500 +500 |
| NO at HOU | 01:00 PM | NO -2.0 U 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| CAR at MIA | 01:00 PM | MIA -14.0 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| SEA at CIN | 01:00 PM | SEA +3.0 O 45.5 | +500 +500 |
| IND at JAC | 01:00 PM | IND +4.0 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| NE at LV | 04:05 PM | NE +3.0 U 41.5 | +500 +500 |
| PHI at NYJ | 04:25 PM | NYJ +6.5 U 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| ARI at LAR | 04:25 PM | ARI +7.0 O 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| DET at TB | 04:25 PM | TB +3.0 U 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| NYG at BUF | 08:20 PM | NYG +15.5 O 43.5 | +500 +500 |
NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/15/2023...............................7 - 9................................43.75%...................................- 14.50
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5................................58.33%....................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%....................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1................................50.00%....................................- 00.50
10/01/2023.............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%...................................+ 00.00
TOTALS....................................28 - 29 - 1..........................49.12%...................................- 19.50
10/15/2023...............................7 - 9................................43.75%...................................- 14.50
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%..................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5................................58.33%....................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%....................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1................................50.00%....................................- 00.50
10/01/2023.............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%...................................+ 00.00
TOTALS....................................28 - 29 - 1..........................49.12%...................................- 19.50
- Sep 10, 2018
- 16,882
- 15
- 38
Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting college football games to watch this weekend:
— Penn State @ Ohio State (-6)
— Clemson (-3) @ Miami
— Oklahoma State @ West Virginia (-2)
— Wisconsin (-2) @ Illinois
— Utah @ USC (-4)
— Mississippi State @ Arkansas (-9)
Quote of the Day
“It’s awesome. I love it. I was so fired up, stepping back into the huddle each time with a run play. Those guys were loving it. … Wasn’t anything too tricky. Just line up and go play ball.”
Matthew Stafford, on Rams running ball for 174 yards in 2nd half Sunday
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, what well-known actress played Hodges’ mother?
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of the Tampa Bay Bucs.
Saturday’s quiz
Deion Sanders played his college football at Florida State.
**********************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….
Browns 19, 49ers 17
— 49ers missed a 41-yard FG at the gun, wide right.
— San Francisco led 10-0 with 6:00 left in first half.
— 49ers in 2nd half: 25 plays, 48 yards, 7 points.
— Cleveland outgained the 49ers, 334-215.
— Browns kicked four FG’s on seven 2nd half drives.
— Backup QB Walker is now 5-3 as an NFL starter.
— Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Browns had 13 penalties for 119 yards, 49ers 12 for 105.
Jets 20, Eagles 14
— Jets scored only TD on 8-yard drive, after picking off Hurts with 1:54 left.
— Jets were 2-11 on 3rd down, scored one TD, kicked four FG’s.
— Jets on first drive of game: 22 plays, 45 yards, six punts.
— Opponents on first drive of game: 57 plays, 444 yards, 27 points.
— Eagles led 14-12 when Hurts threw awful INT with 1:54 left.
— Philly were 7-14 on third down, Jets 2-11.
— Eagles’ first three drives: 32 plays, 184 yards, two TD’s.
— Eagles’ last seven drives: 38 plays, 187 yards, 3 turnovers, no points.
Ravens 24, Titans 16
— Baltimore outgained the Titans, 360-233.
— Ravens led this game 18-3 at halftime.
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore defense has allowed only five TD’s on 69 drives.
— Ravens were 8-16 on third down, Tennessee 1-9.
— Tennessee lost 11 of its last 13 games SU.
— Five of Titans’ six games stayed under the total.
— Titans scored 27-27 points in wins, 15-3-16-16 in losses.
Commanders 24, Falcons 16
— Washington’s 3 TD drives were all short: 11-47-27 yards.
— Commanders picked off Ridder three times (+3 in turnovers)
— Down 24-16, Falcons were on 2-yard line, but turned ball over.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 4-3 as NFL starter.
— Falcons outgained Washington 402-193; the turnovers were a killer.
— Atlanta is 13-22-2 ATS in last 37 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Atlanta is 3-3, but hasn’t led (0-5-1) at halftime yet.
— Falcons scored 24-25-21 points in their wins, 6-7-16 in losses.
Bengals 17, Seahawks 13
— Bengals’ first two drives: 20 plays, 142 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game, Bengals ran 33 plays, 87 yards, 3 points.
— Bengals are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s team total this season.
— Seahawks were on Cincinnati’s 9-yard line in last minute, didn’t score.
— Last three years, Seahawks are 0-4 SU/ATS in post-bye games.
— Last 3+ years, Seattle is 10-16 ATS coming off a win
— Geno Smith is 25-31 as an NFL starter, 13-13 with Seattle.
Jaguars 37, Colts 20
— Colts turned ball over on three of first seven drives.
— Indianapolis ran ball 17 times for only 44 yards.
— Colts are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Minshew is now 9-17 as an NFL starter.
— Jaguars scored TD’s on first two drives, led 21-6 at halftime.
— Colts are 0-9 SU/ATS in last nine visits to Jacksonville.
— Jaguars won last three games, scoring 23-25-37 points.
— Under Pederson, Jags are +13 in turnovers (minus-20 in 2021)
Dolphins 42, Panthers 21
— Panthers led this game 14-0 after one quarter.
— Panthers after 1st quarter: 49 plays, 162 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost its first six games (0-5-1 ATS).
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dolphins’ first two drives: 6 plays, 5 yards, 2 punts.
— Dolphins’ next six drives: 44 plays, 371 yards, 35 points.
— Miami is 3-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 20 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Miami won/covered five of first six games, scoring 37.1 ppg.
Vikings 19, Bears 13
— Vikings had 3 takeaways; they had total of 3 in first five games.
— With star WR Jefferson out, Vikings were only 2-13 on third down.
— Minnesota in second half: 24 plays, 36 yards, no points.
— Minnesota is 16-7-1 ATS last 24 games as a road favorite.
— QB Fields left in third quarter with a right hand injury.
— Rookie QB Bagent (D-II Shepherd U) lost fumble for a Viking TD.
— Bears are 10-30 SU/14-24-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— Minnesota won last six (5-1 ATS) series games.
Texans 20, Saints 13
— Saints got to Houston 14, Houston 24 on last two series, didn’t score.
— Under is 6-0 in Saints’ games this season.
— New Orleans is 6-8-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Saints have only eight offensive TD’s on 63 drives.
— Texans are off to 3-3 start, with rookie QB, rookie head coach.
— Houston outscored last four foes 59-17 in first half.
— Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
— Houston is 13-7-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Raiders 21, Patriots 17
— Patriots lost their last three games by a combined 93-20.
— Last four games, Patriots have three offensive TDs on 46 drives.
— New England’s team total is 6-0 under this season.
— Since Brady left, NE is 26-30 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Raiders outgained NE 348-259, but scored only one TD, with 4 FG’s.
— Las Vegas held Patriots to 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Raiders covered 3-point spread on a safety with 1:52 left.
— Under is 5-1 in Las Vegas games this season.
Lions 20, Buccaneers 6
— Detroit won/covered five of its six games.
— QB Goff was 30-44/353 passing, with two TD’s.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 11-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 28-11-1 ATS overall.
— Lions were 9-16 on third down, Buccaneers 2-12.
— Tampa Bay ran ball 16 times for only 46 yards.
— Under is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Tampa Bay scored 20-27-26 points in wins, 11-6 in losses.
Rams 26, Cardinals 9
— Arizona led 9-6 at halftime.
— Cardinals in 2nd half: 31 plays, 172 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Rams in 2nd half: 37 plays, 255 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
— Cardinals have been outscored 98-30 in 2nd half.
— Rams ran ball for 174 yards in 2nd half, most in a half since 1996.
— Cooper Kupp caught seven passes for 148 yards and a TD.
— Under McVay, Rams are 22-13-3 ATS in games coming of a loss.
— LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14 in their losses.
Sean McVay has coached 14 games against Arizona; in those 14 games, the Cardinals started eight different quarterbacks.
Bills 14, Giants 9
— Buffalo in first half: 28 plays, 137 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Buffalo in second half: 33 plays, 165 yards, 14 points.
— Bills outscored last five foes 82-26 in second half.
— Bills have converted 37-76 third down plays this year.
— Giants had ball on 1-yard line on last play of both halves, didn’t score either time
— Big Blue, with backup QB Taylor, converted 10-19 on third down.
— Giants lost last two games, despite being +5 in turnovers.
— Giants lost last four games, by 18-21-5-5 points.
Rangers 2, Astros 0
— Jordan Montgomery tossed 6.1 scoreless IP.
— Leody Taveras hit a solo home run.
— Texas leads best-of-7 series, 1-0.
— Rangers are 6-0 this postseason.
Monday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting college football games to watch this weekend:
— Penn State @ Ohio State (-6)
— Clemson (-3) @ Miami
— Oklahoma State @ West Virginia (-2)
— Wisconsin (-2) @ Illinois
— Utah @ USC (-4)
— Mississippi State @ Arkansas (-9)
Quote of the Day
“It’s awesome. I love it. I was so fired up, stepping back into the huddle each time with a run play. Those guys were loving it. … Wasn’t anything too tricky. Just line up and go play ball.”
Matthew Stafford, on Rams running ball for 174 yards in 2nd half Sunday
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, what well-known actress played Hodges’ mother?
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of the Tampa Bay Bucs.
Saturday’s quiz
Deion Sanders played his college football at Florida State.
**********************************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….
Browns 19, 49ers 17
— 49ers missed a 41-yard FG at the gun, wide right.
— San Francisco led 10-0 with 6:00 left in first half.
— 49ers in 2nd half: 25 plays, 48 yards, 7 points.
— Cleveland outgained the 49ers, 334-215.
— Browns kicked four FG’s on seven 2nd half drives.
— Backup QB Walker is now 5-3 as an NFL starter.
— Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Browns had 13 penalties for 119 yards, 49ers 12 for 105.
Jets 20, Eagles 14
— Jets scored only TD on 8-yard drive, after picking off Hurts with 1:54 left.
— Jets were 2-11 on 3rd down, scored one TD, kicked four FG’s.
— Jets on first drive of game: 22 plays, 45 yards, six punts.
— Opponents on first drive of game: 57 plays, 444 yards, 27 points.
— Eagles led 14-12 when Hurts threw awful INT with 1:54 left.
— Philly were 7-14 on third down, Jets 2-11.
— Eagles’ first three drives: 32 plays, 184 yards, two TD’s.
— Eagles’ last seven drives: 38 plays, 187 yards, 3 turnovers, no points.
Ravens 24, Titans 16
— Baltimore outgained the Titans, 360-233.
— Ravens led this game 18-3 at halftime.
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore defense has allowed only five TD’s on 69 drives.
— Ravens were 8-16 on third down, Tennessee 1-9.
— Tennessee lost 11 of its last 13 games SU.
— Five of Titans’ six games stayed under the total.
— Titans scored 27-27 points in wins, 15-3-16-16 in losses.
Commanders 24, Falcons 16
— Washington’s 3 TD drives were all short: 11-47-27 yards.
— Commanders picked off Ridder three times (+3 in turnovers)
— Down 24-16, Falcons were on 2-yard line, but turned ball over.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 4-3 as NFL starter.
— Falcons outgained Washington 402-193; the turnovers were a killer.
— Atlanta is 13-22-2 ATS in last 37 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Atlanta is 3-3, but hasn’t led (0-5-1) at halftime yet.
— Falcons scored 24-25-21 points in their wins, 6-7-16 in losses.
Bengals 17, Seahawks 13
— Bengals’ first two drives: 20 plays, 142 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game, Bengals ran 33 plays, 87 yards, 3 points.
— Bengals are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s team total this season.
— Seahawks were on Cincinnati’s 9-yard line in last minute, didn’t score.
— Last three years, Seahawks are 0-4 SU/ATS in post-bye games.
— Last 3+ years, Seattle is 10-16 ATS coming off a win
— Geno Smith is 25-31 as an NFL starter, 13-13 with Seattle.
Jaguars 37, Colts 20
— Colts turned ball over on three of first seven drives.
— Indianapolis ran ball 17 times for only 44 yards.
— Colts are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Minshew is now 9-17 as an NFL starter.
— Jaguars scored TD’s on first two drives, led 21-6 at halftime.
— Colts are 0-9 SU/ATS in last nine visits to Jacksonville.
— Jaguars won last three games, scoring 23-25-37 points.
— Under Pederson, Jags are +13 in turnovers (minus-20 in 2021)
Dolphins 42, Panthers 21
— Panthers led this game 14-0 after one quarter.
— Panthers after 1st quarter: 49 plays, 162 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost its first six games (0-5-1 ATS).
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dolphins’ first two drives: 6 plays, 5 yards, 2 punts.
— Dolphins’ next six drives: 44 plays, 371 yards, 35 points.
— Miami is 3-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 20 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Miami won/covered five of first six games, scoring 37.1 ppg.
Vikings 19, Bears 13
— Vikings had 3 takeaways; they had total of 3 in first five games.
— With star WR Jefferson out, Vikings were only 2-13 on third down.
— Minnesota in second half: 24 plays, 36 yards, no points.
— Minnesota is 16-7-1 ATS last 24 games as a road favorite.
— QB Fields left in third quarter with a right hand injury.
— Rookie QB Bagent (D-II Shepherd U) lost fumble for a Viking TD.
— Bears are 10-30 SU/14-24-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— Minnesota won last six (5-1 ATS) series games.
Texans 20, Saints 13
— Saints got to Houston 14, Houston 24 on last two series, didn’t score.
— Under is 6-0 in Saints’ games this season.
— New Orleans is 6-8-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Saints have only eight offensive TD’s on 63 drives.
— Texans are off to 3-3 start, with rookie QB, rookie head coach.
— Houston outscored last four foes 59-17 in first half.
— Opponents’ team total: under 5-1
— Houston is 13-7-2 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Raiders 21, Patriots 17
— Patriots lost their last three games by a combined 93-20.
— Last four games, Patriots have three offensive TDs on 46 drives.
— New England’s team total is 6-0 under this season.
— Since Brady left, NE is 26-30 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Raiders outgained NE 348-259, but scored only one TD, with 4 FG’s.
— Las Vegas held Patriots to 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Raiders covered 3-point spread on a safety with 1:52 left.
— Under is 5-1 in Las Vegas games this season.
Lions 20, Buccaneers 6
— Detroit won/covered five of its six games.
— QB Goff was 30-44/353 passing, with two TD’s.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 11-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 28-11-1 ATS overall.
— Lions were 9-16 on third down, Buccaneers 2-12.
— Tampa Bay ran ball 16 times for only 46 yards.
— Under is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Tampa Bay scored 20-27-26 points in wins, 11-6 in losses.
Rams 26, Cardinals 9
— Arizona led 9-6 at halftime.
— Cardinals in 2nd half: 31 plays, 172 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Rams in 2nd half: 37 plays, 255 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
— Cardinals have been outscored 98-30 in 2nd half.
— Rams ran ball for 174 yards in 2nd half, most in a half since 1996.
— Cooper Kupp caught seven passes for 148 yards and a TD.
— Under McVay, Rams are 22-13-3 ATS in games coming of a loss.
— LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14 in their losses.
Sean McVay has coached 14 games against Arizona; in those 14 games, the Cardinals started eight different quarterbacks.
Bills 14, Giants 9
— Buffalo in first half: 28 plays, 137 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Buffalo in second half: 33 plays, 165 yards, 14 points.
— Bills outscored last five foes 82-26 in second half.
— Bills have converted 37-76 third down plays this year.
— Giants had ball on 1-yard line on last play of both halves, didn’t score either time
— Big Blue, with backup QB Taylor, converted 10-19 on third down.
— Giants lost last two games, despite being +5 in turnovers.
— Giants lost last four games, by 18-21-5-5 points.
Rangers 2, Astros 0
— Jordan Montgomery tossed 6.1 scoreless IP.
— Leody Taveras hit a solo home run.
— Texas leads best-of-7 series, 1-0.
— Rangers are 6-0 this postseason.
NFL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/16/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/15/2023...............................7 - 9................................43.75%...................................- 14.50
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%..................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%.................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5................................58.33%...................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1................................50.00%...................................- 00.50
10/01/2023.............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%..................................+ 00.00
TOTALS..................................28 - 31 - 1...........................47.45%...................................- 30.50
10/16/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/15/2023...............................7 - 9................................43.75%...................................- 14.50
10/12/2023...............................0 - 2.................................00.00%..................................- 11.00
10/09/2023...............................2 - 0 ...............................100.00%.................................+ 10.00
10/08/2023...............................7 - 5................................58.33%...................................+ 7.50
10/05/2023...............................0 - 2................................00.00%...................................- 11.00
10/02/2023...............................1 - 1................................50.00%...................................- 00.50
10/01/2023.............................11 - 10 - 1...........................52.27%..................................+ 00.00
TOTALS..................................28 - 31 - 1...........................47.45%...................................- 30.50
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting NFL games to watch this weekend:
— Jaguars @ New Orleans (-3)
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-2.5)
— Raiders (-3) @ Chicago
— Browns (-2) @ Indianapolis
— Lions @ Baltimore (-3)
— Bills (-8.5) @ New England
Tweet of the Day
“There is an epidemic of poor game management and questionable decisions happening among CFB Head Coaches…This leads to a lack of awareness in situational football from the players.”
Joel Klatt, TV analyst/former college QB
Tuesday’s quiz
Which pro football team did Paris Hilton’s grandfather (Barron Hilton) used to own?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, Jaclyn Smith played Hodges’ mother; she was one of the stars of Charlie’s Angels, a very popular TV show in the late 70’s.
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of the Tampa Bay Bucs.
*************************************************
Dallas kicked a 39-yard FG with 2:23 left for the win.
Cowboys’ first seven drives: 39 plays, 220 yards, 10 points.
Cowboys’ last two drives: 22 plays, 129 yards, 10 points.
Dallas is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Chargers ran ball 23 times for only 53 yards.
Last four games, Chargers converted only 17-53 third down plays.
Chargers’ two TD drives were short: 42 and 20 yards.
Chargers are 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— AFC is now 15-11 against the NFC this season.
— Under was 12-2-1 in NFL games this week.
Rangers 2, Astros 0
— Texas scored 4 runs in first inning, three before they made an out.
— Astros hit three home runs, all with bases empty.
— Texas leads best-of-7 series, 2-0.
— Rangers are 7-0 this postseason.
— Astros are 40-45 at home this season; no team has ever been under .500 at home and made it to a World Series.
Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 3
— Phillies hit three solo homers in first two innings.
— Wheeler allowed only three baserunners in six IP.
— Phillies lead best-of-7 series, 1-0.
— Final Four of baseball are those four teams: Rangers, Astros, Arizona, Phillies, In the history of baseball, only one player has played for all four teams.
Matt Kata played in 278 games over five years for five different teams; he was a utility player who hit .239 with 12 home runs in his career. If you’re wondering, Pittsburgh was the fifth team he played for.
— Miami Marlins had a good year this year, going 84-78 and making the playoffs for the first time in a 162-game season since 2003, but Monday, GM Kim Ng surprisingly resigned.
Apparently the Marlins wanted to hire a president of baseball operations who would’ve been ranked above Ng in the team’s hierarchy, so she hit the bricks.
— College football conference trends:
AAC home teams are 6-11 ATS, 4-7 if favored.
ACC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS.
Big X home teams are 14-8 ATS, 8-5 if favored.
Big 14 home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Conference USA home teams are 5-9 ATS.
MAC home teams are 7-11 ATS, 2-5 if they’re an underdog.
Mountain West home teams are 7-9 ATS.
Pac-12 home teams are 14-6 ATS
SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS, home underdogs are 4-7 ATS
Sun Belt home teams are 7-8 ATS.
— NFL divisional trends:
In divisional games, home teams are 11-15-1 ATS.
NFC North teams are 6-9-1 ATS outside the division.
NFC South teams are 4-12 ATS outside the division.
NFC West teams are 4-1 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.
In non-divisional games, home favorites are 18-16 ATS
In non-divisional games, road favorites are 11-10 ATS
Over last few years, NFL teams who turned down a bye the week after playing a game in England have gone 9-4 SU.
AFC East teams are 9-7 ATS outside the division.
AFC North teams are 8-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 9-6 ATS outside the division.
AFC West teams are 6-11 ATS outside the division.
— Colts’ owner Jim Irsay said Monday that rookie QB Anthony Richardson is probably done for the season with a shoulder injury.
— Wisconsin QB Tanner Mordecai broke his throwing hand against Iowa Saturday, a big blow to the Badgers’ season. Redshirt freshman Braedyn Locke is Wisconsin’s new starting QB; this week will be his first college start.
— NC-Charlotte’s basketball team went 22-14 last year, 9-11 in Conference USA; their KenPom rating jumped from #208 to #106- they had a good year, but now the 49ers have moved to the AAC, and their coach, for whatever reason, quit to become an assistant coach at Virginia.
Somehow, Charlotte kept all their returning players; the new coach has been a head coach in pro leagues overseas, so things should be alright, but it is a red flag when the head coach quits after a good year to become an assistant somewhere else.
— Toronto Maple Leafs’ star Auston Matthews had a hat trick in each of Toronto’s first two games; he is only the second player in the last 100 years to do that (Alex Ovechkin, 2017 is the other).
— Word of the Day: Conundrum— a problem that doesn’t have a clear solution or an obvious correct answer.
Handicapping football games can be a conundrum, especially since coaches have become morons about game management situations.
— College football teams that are 6-0 against the spread:
UNLV, Oklahoma, Penn State. Who would’ve thought that?
— Oregon State is 15-1 ATS in its last sixteen home football games.
— Last three games, New England was outscored 26-6 in the first half.
— Last three games, Ravens outscored opponents 49-9 in the first half.
— Last three games, Giants were outscored 51-15 in the second half.
— Golden State Warriors have four players whose fathers played in the NBA.
— Boston Celtics hired Jeff Van Gundy as a senior consultant, after ESPN stupidly let him go as its lead TV analyst.
— Last week in Los Angeles, a 15-year old kid named Robby Thomas was chosen to shoot during the timeout of a Lakers’ exhibition game; if he made a layup and a 3-pointer within a minute, he won whatever the prize was.
ESPN’s commercial got fouled up, so they were live on air as the kid was finishing up; he has good form for a kid that young, and sure enough, he made his last shot to win the contest. Funny thing, he didn’t seem the least bit excited about winning.
The Lakers’ cheerleaders are surrounding him as photographers take pictures and the kid kind of shrugged it off. Unusual for this day and age.
Six interesting NFL games to watch this weekend:
— Jaguars @ New Orleans (-3)
— Falcons @ Tampa Bay (-2.5)
— Raiders (-3) @ Chicago
— Browns (-2) @ Indianapolis
— Lions @ Baltimore (-3)
— Bills (-8.5) @ New England
Tweet of the Day
“There is an epidemic of poor game management and questionable decisions happening among CFB Head Coaches…This leads to a lack of awareness in situational football from the players.”
Joel Klatt, TV analyst/former college QB
Tuesday’s quiz
Which pro football team did Paris Hilton’s grandfather (Barron Hilton) used to own?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show CSI, Jaclyn Smith played Hodges’ mother; she was one of the stars of Charlie’s Angels, a very popular TV show in the late 70’s.
Sunday’s quiz
Rutgers football coach Greg Schiano was once head coach of the Tampa Bay Bucs.
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Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..
— Cowboys 20, Chargers 17:Dallas kicked a 39-yard FG with 2:23 left for the win.
Cowboys’ first seven drives: 39 plays, 220 yards, 10 points.
Cowboys’ last two drives: 22 plays, 129 yards, 10 points.
Dallas is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Chargers ran ball 23 times for only 53 yards.
Last four games, Chargers converted only 17-53 third down plays.
Chargers’ two TD drives were short: 42 and 20 yards.
Chargers are 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— AFC is now 15-11 against the NFC this season.
— Under was 12-2-1 in NFL games this week.
Rangers 2, Astros 0
— Texas scored 4 runs in first inning, three before they made an out.
— Astros hit three home runs, all with bases empty.
— Texas leads best-of-7 series, 2-0.
— Rangers are 7-0 this postseason.
— Astros are 40-45 at home this season; no team has ever been under .500 at home and made it to a World Series.
Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 3
— Phillies hit three solo homers in first two innings.
— Wheeler allowed only three baserunners in six IP.
— Phillies lead best-of-7 series, 1-0.
— Final Four of baseball are those four teams: Rangers, Astros, Arizona, Phillies, In the history of baseball, only one player has played for all four teams.
Matt Kata played in 278 games over five years for five different teams; he was a utility player who hit .239 with 12 home runs in his career. If you’re wondering, Pittsburgh was the fifth team he played for.
— Miami Marlins had a good year this year, going 84-78 and making the playoffs for the first time in a 162-game season since 2003, but Monday, GM Kim Ng surprisingly resigned.
Apparently the Marlins wanted to hire a president of baseball operations who would’ve been ranked above Ng in the team’s hierarchy, so she hit the bricks.
— College football conference trends:
AAC home teams are 6-11 ATS, 4-7 if favored.
ACC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS.
Big X home teams are 14-8 ATS, 8-5 if favored.
Big 14 home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Conference USA home teams are 5-9 ATS.
MAC home teams are 7-11 ATS, 2-5 if they’re an underdog.
Mountain West home teams are 7-9 ATS.
Pac-12 home teams are 14-6 ATS
SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS, home underdogs are 4-7 ATS
Sun Belt home teams are 7-8 ATS.
— NFL divisional trends:
In divisional games, home teams are 11-15-1 ATS.
NFC North teams are 6-9-1 ATS outside the division.
NFC South teams are 4-12 ATS outside the division.
NFC West teams are 4-1 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.
In non-divisional games, home favorites are 18-16 ATS
In non-divisional games, road favorites are 11-10 ATS
Over last few years, NFL teams who turned down a bye the week after playing a game in England have gone 9-4 SU.
AFC East teams are 9-7 ATS outside the division.
AFC North teams are 8-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 9-6 ATS outside the division.
AFC West teams are 6-11 ATS outside the division.
— Colts’ owner Jim Irsay said Monday that rookie QB Anthony Richardson is probably done for the season with a shoulder injury.
— Wisconsin QB Tanner Mordecai broke his throwing hand against Iowa Saturday, a big blow to the Badgers’ season. Redshirt freshman Braedyn Locke is Wisconsin’s new starting QB; this week will be his first college start.
— NC-Charlotte’s basketball team went 22-14 last year, 9-11 in Conference USA; their KenPom rating jumped from #208 to #106- they had a good year, but now the 49ers have moved to the AAC, and their coach, for whatever reason, quit to become an assistant coach at Virginia.
Somehow, Charlotte kept all their returning players; the new coach has been a head coach in pro leagues overseas, so things should be alright, but it is a red flag when the head coach quits after a good year to become an assistant somewhere else.
— Toronto Maple Leafs’ star Auston Matthews had a hat trick in each of Toronto’s first two games; he is only the second player in the last 100 years to do that (Alex Ovechkin, 2017 is the other).
— Word of the Day: Conundrum— a problem that doesn’t have a clear solution or an obvious correct answer.
Handicapping football games can be a conundrum, especially since coaches have become morons about game management situations.
— College football teams that are 6-0 against the spread:
UNLV, Oklahoma, Penn State. Who would’ve thought that?
— Oregon State is 15-1 ATS in its last sixteen home football games.
— Last three games, New England was outscored 26-6 in the first half.
— Last three games, Ravens outscored opponents 49-9 in the first half.
— Last three games, Giants were outscored 51-15 in the second half.
— Golden State Warriors have four players whose fathers played in the NBA.
— Boston Celtics hired Jeff Van Gundy as a senior consultant, after ESPN stupidly let him go as its lead TV analyst.
— Last week in Los Angeles, a 15-year old kid named Robby Thomas was chosen to shoot during the timeout of a Lakers’ exhibition game; if he made a layup and a 3-pointer within a minute, he won whatever the prize was.
ESPN’s commercial got fouled up, so they were live on air as the kid was finishing up; he has good form for a kid that young, and sure enough, he made his last shot to win the contest. Funny thing, he didn’t seem the least bit excited about winning.
The Lakers’ cheerleaders are surrounding him as photographers take pictures and the kid kind of shrugged it off. Unusual for this day and age.
