NFL CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY SERVICE THREAD 1/20

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Need4Betting

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Dr. Bob
Opinion
Penn State (+17 1/2) over INDIANA
11:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 807
Indiana applies to a very negative 6-32-1 ATS subset of a 40-115-3 ATS big home favorite letdown situation today and that angle is certainly worthy of a play if the line is fair. Calculating a fair line in this game isn?t an easy task given that Penn State will be without star Gary Claxton for the rest of the season after he injured his knee early in the Lions? 55-80 loss to Wisconsin. The Lions were 2.4 points worse in 4 games that Claxton missed last season than they were with him, but Claxton?s scoring efficiency is better this season by 1.5 points per game, so he could be valued as high as 3.9 points per game. That would result in a fair line of Indiana by 18.8 points in this game. The line opened at 18 ? points, so the oddsmakers came to a similar conclusion on Claxton?s value. I?m still a bit hesitant given how poorly Penn State played without Claxton for the 33 minutes he was out on Tuesday, but it should be easier in this game now that they?ve prepared themselves to play without him. I?ll lean with the Nittany Lions at +17 points or more based on the strong letdown situation applying to Indiana (in fact, Claxton being out given the Hoosiers more of a reason to relax) and I?ll take Penn State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +19 points or more.
 
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Marco D' Angelo


Sun, 01/20/08 - 6:30 PMMarco D'Angelo | NFL Side
triple-dime bet306 GBP -7.5 (-110) vs 305 NYG

10* PLAYOFF LOCK OF THE YEAR



Well once again a Manning is in the Conference Championship Game the only thing is it isn't Peyton it's ELI. Well I'm going to be throwing out some cliches as you heard Winning with Mirrors while that's what the N.Y. Giants have been doing. They beat Dallas with just 230 yards of Offense with a bunch of the yards coming in the drive right before the half when for some reason with just 2 minutes left in the half Dallas went to a semi prevent defense. Also note that Dallas had several long drives last week in which they ate up clock and shortened the game. This helped the N.Y. Giants out. Two other factors to consider this will be the Giants 3rd road game in a row. It is tough to win 3 in a row on the Road in the Playoffs. The last team to do it was Pittsburgh when they won the Super Bowl. Also they beat a team in Dallas that had already beaten them twice I think Dallas thought they just had to show up and they would win. Finally the reason the Giants have played so well in the last 3 games is simple just one TO in 3 games. ELI hasn't made any mistakes but today he is playing in the Biggest Game of his life. Until a QB shows he win in the Big Game you have to assume he can't. Big Ben for the Steelers had a horrible game in his first Championship Game and so will ELI. The last factor I want to point out is that Green Bay has gotten better every week. In September they couldn't run the Ball now they are killing people with their rushing attack rushing for 124 or more in 5 of last 6 games. When they run well it only makes Brett Favre that much better. The giants secondary is banged up Romo didn't exploit it but Favre will. TAKE GREEN BAY as my 10* PLAYOFF LOCK OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

PREDICTED SCORE GREEN BAY 27 -13
 
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Executive

250% San Diego +14 over New England
250% Green Bay -7' over NY Giants


250% Wake Forest -1' over Florida St
 
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Daniel Perkins

Sport: College Basketball
Game: Michigan State Spartans @ Minnesota Golden Gophers - Sunday January 20, 2008 4:00 pm
Pick: 5 units (Free Play) MONEYLINE: Minnesota Golden Gophers -110

Daniel Perkins REDEMPTION SUNDAY Continues at 4pm EST with the Michigan State Spartans traveling to play the Golden Gophers of Minnesota. Once again we are going to POUND THE MONEYLINE on the small home favorite. Minnesota fits into the same system as the early game that has torn apart the books winning 76% of the time! The Golden Gophers are knocking on the doors of the top 25 ranking committee, and for good reason. They sit at 12-4 on the season and an extremely profitable 8-1 on their home court. Lock down defense to the tune of 60.5 points allowed has led Minnesota to many wins this season. They are quick in transition and turn defensive stops into points time after time. Minnesota averages 75 points per game, a difference of +14.5. The Spartans have hit the road twice this season splitting their record at 1-1. They put up just 36 points against IOWA and the 19th ranked defense in the nation. They average just 50 points on the road and will definitely be in tough against the Gophers 38th ranked defense. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS coming off a win and have failed to cover their last 6 against the big ten. They hold a 0-5 record ATS in their last 5 games overall and are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. The home team has covered 10 of the last 12 games between these two. Take the Golden Gophers in a hard fought defensive win this afternoon and continue the 3-0 REDEMPTION SUNDAY MISSION with Daniel Perkins later tonight in the Giants Packers NFL Championship!
 
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Real Animal

5* Green Bay -7 @ -120 at Olympic

4* Green Bay 'OVER' 41

3* San Diego +14 1/2 @ -120 at Olympic

3* San Diego 'OVER' 47 1/2
 
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to1

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MP8621 said:
milan
or
ryan??
:00hour
Click to expand...

Wolkosky Milan

420-319-15 last one hundred fourty five days
90-50-2 last twenty seven days!
38-18 last thirteen days!
4-2 Yesterday

Today:

20* PACKERS -7
20* SD/NE OVER 47
10* CHARGERS +14
10* NYG/GB UNDER 41?
 
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Pure Profit

Money Move...Phoenix Suns
High Roller...Weber State
Power Play...Packers Over
Consensus...New England
 
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A-Play

Double Play...Marquette
Vegas Hotline...Florida State
Heavy Hitter...Minnesota U
Chip Shot...Chargers
Major Shocker...Giants
 
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Michael Cannon

Sunday's Plays...

40 Dime ?

PACKERS (Buy the ? point if your line is -7 ?)

Take the Packer minus the points over the Giants at Lambeau Field tonight.

Hey, I?ve had the Giants in both of their outright wins, but one thing I saw in last week?s win over Dallas that concerns me here is the way their defensive front was blown off the ball.

Had Dallas stuck with the gameplan of running Marion Barber it could have been a different outcome for the Cowboys. Barber finished with 129 yards rushing, but had 101 by halftime when the game was tied.

It?s quite possible the Giants defensive front won?t be recovered from the manhandling it took last week. Now they have to go against the zone-blocking of the Packers and the hard-running Ryan Grant.

Everyone is talking about Brett Favre and rightfully so, but Grant is the key to this entire game for the Packers. If the Giants can?t stop the run, they won?t even come close tonight.

The Packers are going to try and get on top early, forcing the Giants to play from behind. Eli Manning has had a nice run so far in the playoffs, but he?s just been managing the games, not leading them.

If Manning is forced to try and play catch-up, the Giants are in trouble.

Both of these teams boast some impressive ATS numbers, so I won?t even go into detail about them.

The Giants have played great on the road this year, but Lambeau Field in the NFC Championship is like no other road game they?ve encountered this year.

The Packers will dictate this game offensively and force Manning into making some bad decisions once he falls behind.

Take Green Bay minus the points and remember to buy the ? point if your line is -7 ?.

10 Dime ?

CHARGERS

Take the points with the Chargers today against the Patriots in the AFC Championship.

Look, I?m not suggesting that the Chargers are going to win this game, but it seems way too easy to lay the points with the Patriots considering what San Diego is up against.

First, it?s injuries to their three most important players; Antonio Gates, LaDanian Tomlinson and Philip Rivers. Then you have the fact they?re trying to knock off the undefeated Patriots on the road.

It all has the makings of a blowout, but nobody is mentioning the Chargers defense and that?s why I like San Diego to stay within the number.

The Chargers have the ability to pressure Tom Brady with Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips. If they can at least disrupt Brady?s rhythm, then the Chargers won?t get blown out, no matter what the case is with their offense.

This is just too many points for a team to be laying in a conference championship, regardless of who?s injured for San Diego.

Take the points with the Chargers as they stay within the number.
 
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