Al
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Portland, as Utah falls into 69-33, 96-55, 109-71-, and 89-48 ATS systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 69-33 angle. Here, what we want to do is play on certain home favorites of -5 or more points in the regular season, if our home team is off a SU/ATS loss, and is playing with same-season revenge vs. a winning division rival. Portland has reeled off 13 consecutive wins to move its record to 18-12 on the season, and two of those victories came at the expense of Jerry Sloan's Jazz. On Dec. 14, Portland won 99-91 in the Rose Garden, and the Blazers won 97-86 on Dec. 11 at the Delta Center. But Utah is a solid 39-20 ATS since 1990 at home with double revenge, including 11-2 ATS when the Jazz are off B2B SU/ATS losses. This will be a very tough game for Portland. Not only will it play tonight without rest, but it will be without Coach Nate McMillan, who will be attending a funeral. Assistant Coach Dean Demopoulos will work the sidelines in his stead. Portland has played well above expectations thus far, but 10 of its 13 wins during the streak have come at home, where the Blazers are 15-3. On the road, Portland is just 3-9. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 5* College Football Game of the Year. It will be available here tomorrow.
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Fla State Seminoles plus the points over Kentucky, as Bowl Favorites of -7.5 points or more are a poor 0-10 ATS since 1980 off a SU/ATS conference loss to end the regular season, when they're matched up against a foe that is also off a SU loss. Kentucky lost 52-50 to Tennessee in its final game, as a 2.5-point fave, and Florida State lost 45-12 to Florida, so Bobby Bowden's men fit our 100% system perfectly. Take Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks plus the points over South Florida. Oregon has dropped its last three games (both SU and ATS) after its star QB Dennis Dixon sustained an injury. The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade these teams in their bowl games, but they actually do quite well. Since 1980, teams off 3+ losses to end the regular season are a solid 63% ATS, including 100% (7-0 ATS) when getting more than 4 points. Take Oregon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 5* Winner today in the NBA or my 5* College Football Game of the Year. That big play will be released tomorrow right here.
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs plus the points over Ga Tech, as Fresno falls into two of my best bowl systems that are 71-31 and 51-20 ATS. Georgia Tech lost its last regular season game, 31-17, to Georgia, and the Yellow Jackets also failed to cover their last 2 games. Since 1980, Bowl favorites are a poor bet off exactly 2 ATS losses, if they also lost SU in their final regular season game (37% ATS), including a horrid 25% if they're laying more than 3 points. Also, the underdog in Fresno's bowl games are a perfect 7-0 ATS since 1999. Ga Tech coach Jon Tenuta is rumored to be moving on after this game to take the defensive coordinator position at LSU (replacing Bo Pelini), and that distraction can't benefit the Yellow Jackets here. On the other side of the field, Fresno coach Pat Hill is a master motivator, and his kids always get excited to play a school from a big conference. Indeed, Fresno is 24-8 ATS as underdogs vs. non-conference foes since 1997, including 13-1 when its foe is NOT off a win of more than 2 TDs. Finally, since 1980, Ga Tech is a poor 1-11 ATS as favorites vs. non-conference foes, if the Yellow Jackets are off a SU/ATS loss. Take the points with Fresno. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 5* NBA Winner today or my 5* College Football Game of the Year. It will be released here tomorrow.