What's your prediction?

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LA Burns

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getting this virus is like getting a cold

most ppl who get it will never know they had it

is anyone worried for the health of donovan mitchell?

common sense is the most important tool at times like these

went to dinner last night - golf then margaritas today

have 3 and 6 year old kids, hardest thing will be dealing with real life while they are out of school

all viruses are more dangerous for ppl with weak immune systems

the world is not ending
 
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LA Burns

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? Detroit Pistons? Christian Wood has tested positive for coronavirus, sources tell @TheAthleticNBA @Stadium. Wood had 30 and 11 rebounds against Rudy Gobert on Saturday night before a career-high 32 on Wednesday.

Sources say Wood has shown no symptoms and is doing well.?
 
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LA Burns

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many families in the us have had people die for a million different reasons - did we cancel all sports and close the schools?
 
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LA Burns

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why didn?t we take the same precautions during the height of flu season? what?s the difference outside of the fact that the flu is much deadlier?
 
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LA Burns

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simply put, people die

not trying to be insensitive just trying to put things in perspective for people who are overly worried about this shit

the usual suspects will just try to pick a fight like they always do but hopefully some will take a look at those numbers and realize that what we are dealing with is just another virus - a dangerous one yes but it has a very long ways to go to be even close to as dangerous as the flu
 
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LA Burns

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all that being said, i fully admit that i am not omniscient and i could end up being wrong - but until there is data that suggests such i wonder why this mass hysteria exists
 
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LA Burns

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MadJack said:
You're just one of the selfish, that's all. No problem.

https://authorrickfuller.com/2020/0...TgKVx37WMJV-ZnZuGDXx-JYtonSJ5Zg7Fn4icP1bgYPvA
Click to expand...


the thread asked for a prediction and mine is that the collateral damage caused by the hype of this thing will greatly outweigh the negative health effects of the virus itself

like i said earlier i may be wrong but i hope i?m not as the best case scenario is that the virus runs its course and we can all get back to a normal life
 
Snafu

Snafu

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yyz said:
The "experts" are saying this shit will PEAK in late April.
Click to expand...

If everything goes fine, maybe. Imo worst time in Europe is April-May and US is maybe 1-2 months behind.

This isn't something that just goes away. Latest studies say cured person (that's maybe 1 month cycle from infection to symptom free) will carry virus another month until he isn't spreading it around any longer.

That could be two months cycle from infection to be "clean". AND looks like even if you had it already, you may get infected again, how many will, nobody knows.

So, chances of getting this at some form are more likely than not getting it. Point with these lock downs and restrictions is to soften the curve vs letting this run free: health care system has better chance to help people (people working in health care system will get this too) and buying time for possible solution how to beat this virus. Or even instant test like cops alcohol meter would help greatly cut off infection chains.


My guess about sports... all US/euro major sports are done until August or so.


Be ready and take care :0008
 
Snafu

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LA Burns said:
the thread asked for a prediction and mine is that the collateral damage caused by the hype of this thing will greatly outweigh the negative health effects of the virus itself
Click to expand...

i kind of agree, but point with these restrictions is that all people don't get sick at the same time. imo i'd like to see nuclear power plants and food production running even 20-30% of staff is sick vs 90% is sick and shit just stops.


This is well written article about this idea what i'm talking about:


This chart of the 1918 Spanish flu shows why social distancing works

In 1918, the city of Philadelphia threw a parade that killed thousands of people. Ignoring warnings of influenza among soldiers preparing for World War I, the march to support the war effort drew 200,000 people who crammed together to watch the procession. Three days later, every bed in Philadelphia?s 31 hospitals was filled with sick and dying patients, infected by the Spanish flu.

By the end of the week, more than 4,500 were dead in an outbreak that would claim as many as 100 million people worldwide. By the time Philadelphia?s politicians closed down the city, it was too late.

A different story played out in St. Louis, just 900 miles away. Within two days of detecting its first cases among civilians, the city closed schools, playgrounds, libraries, courtrooms, and even churches. Work shifts were staggered and streetcar ridership was strictly limited. Public gatherings of more than 20 people were banned.

https://qz.com/1816060/a-chart-of-the-1918-spanish-flu-shows-why-social-distancing-works/


:0008

EDIT:
Washington posts "corona simulator" :
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/
 
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